Gross domestic product...Electricity: Electricity generated and consumed, as well as water...
Transcript of Gross domestic product...Electricity: Electricity generated and consumed, as well as water...
GDP
Q3 2017
Embargoed until: 11:30am
Gross
domestic
product3rd quarter 2017Embargo: 11:30am
@StatsSA
#GDP
GDP
Q3 2017
GDP
Q3 2017
Embargoed until: 11:30am
GDP
Q3 2017
GDP
production
GDP
Q3 2017
Embargoed until: 11:30am
Quarter-on-quarter
2,0%in Q3 2017
Seasonally adjusted and annualised
Year-on-year
0,8%in Q3 2017
Unadjusted
9 month - 9 month
1,0%in Q3 2017
Unadjusted
GDP
Q3 2017
Embargoed until: 11:30am
The largest contributors to growth in Q3 2017 were activities in the agriculture, mining and manufacturing industries
Quarter-on-quarter, seasonally adjusted and annualised
GDP growth rates
GDP
Q3 2017
Embargoed until: 11:30am
In the Q3 2017, the primary sector recorded the highest growth, with smaller contributions by the secondary and tertiary sectors
Quarter-on-quarter, seasonally adjusted and annualised
2,1%
0,3%
Growth rates in various sectors
14,9%
GDP
Q3 2017
Embargoed until: 11:30am
0,9
0,5
0,5
0,3
0,1
0,1
0,0
-0,1
GDP
2,0%
LHS: growth rates RHS: contributions
Quarter-on-quarter, seasonally adjusted and annualised
-0,1
-0,1
GDP
Q3 2017
Embargoed until: 11:30am
Growth rates by sectorQuarter-on-quarter, seasonally adjusted and annualised, Q3 2017
Agriculture: Increased production of field crops and horticultural products contributed to the rise in agriculture
Mining: Increased production was reported for gold and platinum group metals
Agriculture
44,2%14,9% 6,6%
PRIMARY
SECTORMining
GDP
Q3 2017
Embargoed until: 11:30am
Growth rates by sectorQuarter-on-quarter, seasonally adjusted and annualised, Q3 2017
Manufacturing: Growth was spearheaded by activities in the petroleum and basic metals
Electricity: Electricity generated and consumed, as well as water distribution, declined
Construction: Fell in line with declining residential, non-residential and construction works activities
Electricity
5,5% 1,1%
Construction
2,1%
SECONDARY
SECTORManufacturing
4,3%
GDP
Q3 2017
Embargoed until: 11:30am
Growth rates by sectorQuarter-on-quarter, seasonally adjusted and annualised, Q3 2017
Trade
0,4%
Transport
0,6%0,3%
TERTIARY
SECTORFinance
1,2%
Government
0,7%
Personal
services
0,9%
Trade: Weaknesses in wholesale trade sales contributed to a decline despite a rebound in the retail trade sales
Transport: Increased activity was reported for land and air transportation and communication services
Finance: Financial intermediation and auxiliary activities contributed to the growth of the finance industry
Government: Declined for the third time in 2017, partly attributed to declining employment numbers
GDP
Q3 2017
Embargoed until: 11:30am
Nominal GDP values for Q3 2017
GDP
Q3 2017
Embargoed until: 11:30am
Manufacturing was up by R9 billion to R140 billion
Mining was up by R7 billion to R83 billion
Electricity was down by R6 billion to R39 billion
Nominal GDP estimated at R1 168 billion for Q3 2017,
R22 billion more than in Q2 2017
GDP
Q3 2017
GDP
Q3 2017
Embargoed until: 11:30am
Shares of
nominal GDP
Q3 2017
GDP
Q3 2017
Embargoed until: 11:30am
GDP
Q3 2016
GDP
Q2 2017
Expenditure
on GDP
GDP
Q3 2017
GDP
Q3 2017
Embargoed until: 11:30am
Quarter-on-quarter
2,1%in Q3 2017
Seasonally adjusted and annualised
Year-on-year
1,3%in Q3 2017
Unadjusted
9 month - 9 month
0,8%in Q3 2017
Unadjusted
GDP
Q3 2017
Embargoed until: 11:30am
Growth in Q3 2017 was largely drive by increases in household consumption expenditure, gross fixed capital formation and net
exports. Government spending and changes in inventories contributed negatively to growth.
Quarter-on-quarter, seasonally adjusted and annualised
Expenditure on GDP growth rates
GDP
Q3 2017
Embargoed until: 11:30am
0,8
LHS: growth rates RHS: contributions
Change in inventories: -R5 527 million (contribution of -1,5 percentage points)
Strong household spending contributed to positive GDP growth
Quarter-on-quarter, seasonally adjusted, annualised
Expenditure
on GDP:
2,1%
1,6
-0,1
-3,3
4,6
GDP
Q3 2017
Embargoed until: 11:30am
Household final
consumption
expenditure (HFCE)
GDP
Q3 2017
Embargoed until: 11:30am
Household final
consumption expenditure
2,6%in Q3 2017
(quarter-on-quarter)
Seasonally adjusted and annualised
GDP
Q3 2017
Embargoed until: 11:30am
Quarter-on-quarter, seasonally adjusted and annualised
Spending related to transport, health, communication and household furnishings contributed largely to growth in Q3 2017
HFCE growth rates
GDP
Q3 2017
Embargoed until: 11:30am
0,2
0,4
0,3
0,4
0,4
0,8
0,1
0,0
-0,1
0,2
0,0
-0,1
LHS: growth rates RHS: contributions
2,6%
HFCE by
purpose
Quarter-on-quarter, seasonally adjusted and annualised
GDP
Q3 2017
Embargoed until: 11:30am
1,6
0,4
LHS: growth rates RHS: contributions
2,6%
HFCE by
durability
Quarter-on-quarter, seasonally adjusted and annualised
0,5
0,1
GDP
Q3 2017
Embargoed until: 11:30am
Government final
consumption
expenditure (GFCE)
GDP
Q3 2017
Embargoed until: 11:30am
Government final
consumption expenditure
-0,5%in Q3 2017
(quarter-on-quarter)
Seasonally adjusted and annualised
GDP
Q3 2017
Embargoed until: 11:30am
Declining employment numbers contributed to a drop in government spending in Q3 2017
Quarter-on-quarter, seasonally adjusted and annualised
GFCE growth rates
GDP
Q3 2017
Embargoed until: 11:30am
Gross fixed capital
formation (GFCF)
GDP
Q3 2017
Embargoed until: 11:30am
Gross fixed capital formation
4,3%in Q3 2017
(quarter-on-quarter)
Seasonally adjusted and annualised
GDP
Q3 2017
Embargoed until: 11:30am
Investment was up 4,3% in Q3 2017 on the back of increased spending on transport equipment and machinery and equipment
Quarter-on-quarter, seasonally adjusted and annualised
GFCF growth rates
GDP
Q3 2017
Embargoed until: 11:30am
3,7
2,5
-0,4
-0,3
-0,2
-0,6
-0,4
LHS: growth rates RHS: contributions
4,3%
GFCF by
asset type
Quarter-on-quarter, seasonally adjusted and annualised
GDP
Q3 2017
Embargoed until: 11:30am
Change in inventories
GDP
Q3 2017
Embargoed until: 11:30am
Change in inventories(R million)
Large inventory drawdowns were reported for the trade sector in Q3 2017
Quarter-on-quarter, seasonally adjusted and annualised
GDP
Q3 2017
Embargoed until: 11:30am
Exports and Imports
GDP
Q3 2017
Embargoed until: 11:30am
Exports of goods
and services
-10,3%in Q3 2017
(quarter-on-quarter)
Imports of goods
and services
-13,7%in Q3 2017
(quarter-on-quarter)
Seasonally adjusted and annualised Seasonally adjusted and annualised
GDP
Q3 2017
Embargoed until: 11:30am
Exports were down 10,3% in Q3 2017, influenced by declining trade in precious mineral, base metals and mineral products
Quarter-on-quarter, seasonally adjusted and annualised
Exports growth
rates
GDP
Q3 2017
Embargoed until: 11:30am
Imports were down 13,7% in Q3 2017, influenced by declining trade in mineral products and machinery and equipment
Quarter-on-quarter, seasonally adjusted and annualised
Imports growth rates
GDP
Q3 2017
Embargoed until: 11:30am
Recap
GDP
Q3 2017
Embargoed until: 11:30am
Quarter-on-quarter, seasonally adjusted and annualised
GDP and expenditure on GDP growth rates
GDP
Q3 2017
Embargoed until: 11:30am
Quarter-on-quarter
2,0%in Q3 2017
Seasonally adjusted and annualised
Year-on-year
0,8%in Q3 2017
Unadjusted
9 month - 9 month
1,0%in Q3 2017
Unadjusted