Gross domestic product...Electricity: Electricity generated and consumed, as well as water...

37
GDP Q3 2017 Embargoed until: 11:30am Gross domestic product 3 rd quarter 2017 Embargo: 11:30am @StatsSA #GDP GDP Q3 2017

Transcript of Gross domestic product...Electricity: Electricity generated and consumed, as well as water...

Page 1: Gross domestic product...Electricity: Electricity generated and consumed, as well as water distribution, declined Construction: Fell in line with declining residential, non-residential

GDP

Q3 2017

Embargoed until: 11:30am

Gross

domestic

product3rd quarter 2017Embargo: 11:30am

@StatsSA

#GDP

GDP

Q3 2017

Page 2: Gross domestic product...Electricity: Electricity generated and consumed, as well as water distribution, declined Construction: Fell in line with declining residential, non-residential

GDP

Q3 2017

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GDP

Q3 2017

GDP

production

Page 3: Gross domestic product...Electricity: Electricity generated and consumed, as well as water distribution, declined Construction: Fell in line with declining residential, non-residential

GDP

Q3 2017

Embargoed until: 11:30am

Quarter-on-quarter

2,0%in Q3 2017

Seasonally adjusted and annualised

Year-on-year

0,8%in Q3 2017

Unadjusted

9 month - 9 month

1,0%in Q3 2017

Unadjusted

Page 4: Gross domestic product...Electricity: Electricity generated and consumed, as well as water distribution, declined Construction: Fell in line with declining residential, non-residential

GDP

Q3 2017

Embargoed until: 11:30am

The largest contributors to growth in Q3 2017 were activities in the agriculture, mining and manufacturing industries

Quarter-on-quarter, seasonally adjusted and annualised

GDP growth rates

Page 5: Gross domestic product...Electricity: Electricity generated and consumed, as well as water distribution, declined Construction: Fell in line with declining residential, non-residential

GDP

Q3 2017

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In the Q3 2017, the primary sector recorded the highest growth, with smaller contributions by the secondary and tertiary sectors

Quarter-on-quarter, seasonally adjusted and annualised

2,1%

0,3%

Growth rates in various sectors

14,9%

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Q3 2017

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0,9

0,5

0,5

0,3

0,1

0,1

0,0

-0,1

GDP

2,0%

LHS: growth rates RHS: contributions

Quarter-on-quarter, seasonally adjusted and annualised

-0,1

-0,1

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Q3 2017

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Growth rates by sectorQuarter-on-quarter, seasonally adjusted and annualised, Q3 2017

Agriculture: Increased production of field crops and horticultural products contributed to the rise in agriculture

Mining: Increased production was reported for gold and platinum group metals

Agriculture

44,2%14,9% 6,6%

PRIMARY

SECTORMining

Page 8: Gross domestic product...Electricity: Electricity generated and consumed, as well as water distribution, declined Construction: Fell in line with declining residential, non-residential

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Q3 2017

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Growth rates by sectorQuarter-on-quarter, seasonally adjusted and annualised, Q3 2017

Manufacturing: Growth was spearheaded by activities in the petroleum and basic metals

Electricity: Electricity generated and consumed, as well as water distribution, declined

Construction: Fell in line with declining residential, non-residential and construction works activities

Electricity

5,5% 1,1%

Construction

2,1%

SECONDARY

SECTORManufacturing

4,3%

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Q3 2017

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Growth rates by sectorQuarter-on-quarter, seasonally adjusted and annualised, Q3 2017

Trade

0,4%

Transport

0,6%0,3%

TERTIARY

SECTORFinance

1,2%

Government

0,7%

Personal

services

0,9%

Trade: Weaknesses in wholesale trade sales contributed to a decline despite a rebound in the retail trade sales

Transport: Increased activity was reported for land and air transportation and communication services

Finance: Financial intermediation and auxiliary activities contributed to the growth of the finance industry

Government: Declined for the third time in 2017, partly attributed to declining employment numbers

Page 10: Gross domestic product...Electricity: Electricity generated and consumed, as well as water distribution, declined Construction: Fell in line with declining residential, non-residential

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Q3 2017

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Nominal GDP values for Q3 2017

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Q3 2017

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Manufacturing was up by R9 billion to R140 billion

Mining was up by R7 billion to R83 billion

Electricity was down by R6 billion to R39 billion

Nominal GDP estimated at R1 168 billion for Q3 2017,

R22 billion more than in Q2 2017

GDP

Q3 2017

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Q3 2017

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Shares of

nominal GDP

Q3 2017

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Q3 2017

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GDP

Q3 2016

GDP

Q2 2017

Expenditure

on GDP

GDP

Q3 2017

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GDP

Q3 2017

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Quarter-on-quarter

2,1%in Q3 2017

Seasonally adjusted and annualised

Year-on-year

1,3%in Q3 2017

Unadjusted

9 month - 9 month

0,8%in Q3 2017

Unadjusted

Page 15: Gross domestic product...Electricity: Electricity generated and consumed, as well as water distribution, declined Construction: Fell in line with declining residential, non-residential

GDP

Q3 2017

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Growth in Q3 2017 was largely drive by increases in household consumption expenditure, gross fixed capital formation and net

exports. Government spending and changes in inventories contributed negatively to growth.

Quarter-on-quarter, seasonally adjusted and annualised

Expenditure on GDP growth rates

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0,8

LHS: growth rates RHS: contributions

Change in inventories: -R5 527 million (contribution of -1,5 percentage points)

Strong household spending contributed to positive GDP growth

Quarter-on-quarter, seasonally adjusted, annualised

Expenditure

on GDP:

2,1%

1,6

-0,1

-3,3

4,6

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Household final

consumption

expenditure (HFCE)

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Household final

consumption expenditure

2,6%in Q3 2017

(quarter-on-quarter)

Seasonally adjusted and annualised

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Q3 2017

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Quarter-on-quarter, seasonally adjusted and annualised

Spending related to transport, health, communication and household furnishings contributed largely to growth in Q3 2017

HFCE growth rates

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Q3 2017

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0,2

0,4

0,3

0,4

0,4

0,8

0,1

0,0

-0,1

0,2

0,0

-0,1

LHS: growth rates RHS: contributions

2,6%

HFCE by

purpose

Quarter-on-quarter, seasonally adjusted and annualised

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1,6

0,4

LHS: growth rates RHS: contributions

2,6%

HFCE by

durability

Quarter-on-quarter, seasonally adjusted and annualised

0,5

0,1

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Q3 2017

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Government final

consumption

expenditure (GFCE)

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Q3 2017

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Government final

consumption expenditure

-0,5%in Q3 2017

(quarter-on-quarter)

Seasonally adjusted and annualised

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Q3 2017

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Declining employment numbers contributed to a drop in government spending in Q3 2017

Quarter-on-quarter, seasonally adjusted and annualised

GFCE growth rates

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Q3 2017

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Gross fixed capital

formation (GFCF)

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Gross fixed capital formation

4,3%in Q3 2017

(quarter-on-quarter)

Seasonally adjusted and annualised

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Investment was up 4,3% in Q3 2017 on the back of increased spending on transport equipment and machinery and equipment

Quarter-on-quarter, seasonally adjusted and annualised

GFCF growth rates

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Q3 2017

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3,7

2,5

-0,4

-0,3

-0,2

-0,6

-0,4

LHS: growth rates RHS: contributions

4,3%

GFCF by

asset type

Quarter-on-quarter, seasonally adjusted and annualised

Page 29: Gross domestic product...Electricity: Electricity generated and consumed, as well as water distribution, declined Construction: Fell in line with declining residential, non-residential

GDP

Q3 2017

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Change in inventories

Page 30: Gross domestic product...Electricity: Electricity generated and consumed, as well as water distribution, declined Construction: Fell in line with declining residential, non-residential

GDP

Q3 2017

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Change in inventories(R million)

Large inventory drawdowns were reported for the trade sector in Q3 2017

Quarter-on-quarter, seasonally adjusted and annualised

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Exports and Imports

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Exports of goods

and services

-10,3%in Q3 2017

(quarter-on-quarter)

Imports of goods

and services

-13,7%in Q3 2017

(quarter-on-quarter)

Seasonally adjusted and annualised Seasonally adjusted and annualised

Page 33: Gross domestic product...Electricity: Electricity generated and consumed, as well as water distribution, declined Construction: Fell in line with declining residential, non-residential

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Exports were down 10,3% in Q3 2017, influenced by declining trade in precious mineral, base metals and mineral products

Quarter-on-quarter, seasonally adjusted and annualised

Exports growth

rates

Page 34: Gross domestic product...Electricity: Electricity generated and consumed, as well as water distribution, declined Construction: Fell in line with declining residential, non-residential

GDP

Q3 2017

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Imports were down 13,7% in Q3 2017, influenced by declining trade in mineral products and machinery and equipment

Quarter-on-quarter, seasonally adjusted and annualised

Imports growth rates

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Q3 2017

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Recap

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Q3 2017

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Quarter-on-quarter, seasonally adjusted and annualised

GDP and expenditure on GDP growth rates

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Quarter-on-quarter

2,0%in Q3 2017

Seasonally adjusted and annualised

Year-on-year

0,8%in Q3 2017

Unadjusted

9 month - 9 month

1,0%in Q3 2017

Unadjusted