GREYSTAR EUROPE THAMES ESTUARY GROWTH …thamesestuarygrowthday.com/downloads/Thames...
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GREYSTAR EUROPE
INSTITUTIONAL PRS INVESTMENT AND BUILD TO RENTMICHELA HANCOCK, SENIOR DEVELOPMENT DIRECTOR
GREYSTAR EUROPE
THAMES ESTUARY GROWTH DAY
MICHELA HANCOCK, SENIOR DEVELOPMENT DIRECTOR
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WHAT IS GREYSTAR?
Greystar is a global leader in rental
housing with expertise in property
management, investment management
and development.
Since entering the UK market in 2013,
Greystar has built up a rental portfolio
worth £2.8 billion by investing in new
housing and student accommodation.
Greystar has three multifamily
developments underway in the UK:
• Greenford in West London
• Sailmakers in Canary Wharf
• Nine Elms
In addition, Greystar owns and operates
a boutique student accommodation
brand – Chapter – which provides
premium student living in the best
London locations. Chapter has 4,456
student beds across eight sites.
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UK OBJECTIVES POST BREXIT
Whilst Greystar acknowledges that Brexit meanschange within the UK, Greystar remains committedto achieving its stated UK goals:
• Become one of the UK’s largest operators ofrental housing
• Increase its London portfolio to 10,000 rentalunits within four years – this includes doublingour Chapter student accommodation portfolio
So far in 2017, Greystar has announced threeacquisitions; Nine Elms, Chapter White City andthe Quill.
Source: Office of National Statistics, Moody’s Analytics
• GDP growth has remained positive, albeit slower than many would desire, in the past three post-Brexit quarters
• A notable difference in the UK’s economy is it’s inconsistency in the largest drivers of its growth, whereas the US in recent years has been
driven by personal consumption
• Since the June 2016 Brexit vote, the pound has depreciated ~10%, making its products less expensive and spurring inflation
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Components of Real GDP Growth
Personal Consumption Govt. and Non-profit
Domestic Investment Net Exports
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THE BIG PICTURE IN THE UK
LONG-TERM THINKING: POPULATION TRENDS ARE POSITIVE
Source: Office of National Statistics, Moody’s Analytics
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Population Additions
(in millions)
London Other UK
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Population Distribution
(Top city as % of country)
Top City Rest of Country
Age Distribution
Outer Ring – US / NYCInside – UK / London
• Whilst the US outpaced London in population growth in the early 2000’s, London hit an inflection point in 2007 and has outperformed since
• The age distribution of its population is largely consistent with the US, having larger young adult and nearly retired age cohorts
• London possesses an outsized share of the UK population and recent gains indicate a continuance of this trend
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1. Household requirements are estimated based on household characteristicsSource: English Housing Survey
• The private rented sector has nearly doubled its market share in the UK since 2000, and London has experienced a similar trend
tacking on 11% over the last 10 years
• The current private rented sector is insufficient with inefficient building design and woefully out-of-date stock—half of which being
built prior to the end of WWII
GROWTH OF PRS IS NEEDED
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1918 1932 1946 1960 1974 1988 2002 2016
Trends in Tenure
Owner Occupied Private Rented Social Rented
23%
28%
49%
24%
17%
60%
Social Renter
Private Renter
Owner occupied
London Trends in Tenure
2005 2015
Pre-WWI
34%
Pre-WWII
16%
Post-WWII
50%
PRS Building Age
16%
41%
39%
45%
41%
14%
Supply Mix Demand Mix
Housing Stock v. Household Requirements1
1 BR 2 BR 3+ BR
Available for
small
households
Desired by
small
households
Homeownership rate
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WHERE IS PRS BEING BUILT AND WHERE ARE THE
THAMES ESTUARY HOTSPOTS?
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GEOGRAPHICAL OVERVIEW AND HOTSPOTS
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There are 95,918 build-to-rent homes in various stages of completion, compared to 69,824 in Q1 2017 (37.4% increase).
Whilst London still leads the way in completed PRS units, the regions now have more build-to-rent homes under construction: 12,316 compared to 11,696 in London.
Popular regional PRS locations include major cities such as Manchester, Liverpool and Birmingham.
Key hotspots in the Thames Estuary region include Barking, which has several schemes underway, and the London boroughs of Greenwich and Lewisham also have major developments in construction.
*All figures taken from the British Property Federation
WHAT ARE THE OPPORTUNITIES FOR PRS IN THE
THAMES ESTUARY REGION?
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OPPORTUNITIES FOR PRS IN THE THAMES ESTUARY REGION
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Greystar has previously worked in the Thames Estuary region with its
Chapter Lewisham student accommodation scheme.
Looking ahead, there are a number of areas that remain on Greystar’s
watch list, including the London Boroughs of
• Newham
• Havering
• Greenwich
• Bexley
• Barking and Dagenham
All of these areas offer locations that fulfil Greystar investment
criteria...
Chapter Lewisham
GREYSTAR RENTAL HOUSING INVESTMENT CRITERIA
Source: CBRE, Bloomberg, Greystar
Se
rvic
e Integrated leasing and maintenance services for a hassle free experience
Dedicated on-site staff to respond to residents needs quickly
Continuous quality monitoring, allowing employee incentives to be tied to service metrics
Consistent property branding to distinguish property attributes and service
Focused on 1-2 bed units as well as studios, targeting single-living young professionals
Purpose-designed, fully furnished flats of high specification
Best in class amenities targeted to specific customer base. Examples include resident lounges, fitness
center, business center, pool, cycle storage and maintenance facilities, cold storage, etc.Pro
du
ct
Strong transportation links into the city crucial for professionals commuting daily to work
Close proximity to lifestyle amenities such as shopping and leisure
Attractive neighborhood and regeneration areas, characterized by high housing values, incomes, and
educational attainmentLo
ca
tio
n
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LOCAL GOVERNMENT POLICY APPROACHES
Historically build-to-rent has
not enjoyed a specific
distinction within local planning
frameworks.
However, as build-to-rent
becomes an increasingly
deliverable tenure of housing,
local government is beginning
to change its approach.
WHAT KIND OF ‘PLACE’ CAN BUILD-TO-RENT CREATE?
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KEY CONSIDERATIONS
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Every business model is different but at Greystar our goal is to create a lifestyle
that adds value for our residents.
Key considerations that are paramount to the long term viability, efficiency and
success of build to rent include:
• Understanding the local market and the specific needs of the customer
• Amenities designed with their needs and preferences in mind
• Build in flexibility, with open spaces where people can work, relax, chat with
friends or entertain
• Amenity spaces that are designed to create the feeling of home
• A management team to plan resident activities and events
• Customer feedback and reviews that allow for continuous improvements
• Communication is the key to providing excellent customer service
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DESIGN & PLACEMAKING
Key Principles
Purpose designed & built for long-term rental
Buildings remain in long-term single-ownership, under single
management
Design includes internal and external resident amenities, including gyms,
shared roof level clubrooms & terraces, etc.
Generous apartment sizes and ceiling heights exceed LHDG standards
No single bedrooms – to suit families and/or sharers
Sprinklers throughout allow open-plan apartment layouts
Ample circulation and back-of-house spaces to allow for effective
management
Efficient design for ease of construction, operation and maintenance
Quality landscaping to provide attractive environment for residents and
the wider community
Provision of appropriate community facilities and mixed uses to create
daytime activity
Promotes sustainable placemaking (as diagram)
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GREENFORD
GREEN
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CASE STUDY: GREENFORD GREEN
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Block 3
For sale & shared
ownership
Block 6
DMR (Broadway
Living)
Block 4
BTR / multifamily
New bridge
(pedestrian)
New ‘2 form entry’
primary school
Block 1
Grade II Listed refurb.
officeCentral Square
Café / retail / hair
Local grocery
Block 5
BTR / multifamily
Pub / deli / gym
Block 7
BTR / multifamily
Workspace / office
Block 8
BTR / multifamily
Café / retail / cinema
Block 2
For sale & shared
ownership
New Health Centre
Berkeley Avenue
Existing buildings:
• Ferrero UK
• GSM
Café / yoga / cycles
Long-term, sustainable community
1,965 homes in total
Mixed tenure, fully mixed use &
managed development
DMR affordable housing – new
tenure & mechanism
Amenities assist work / life balance
Faster construction than ‘for sale’
Quicker absorption and high levels
of occupancy
Post-construction jobs on site
Canalside living, connecting to
surrounding community & adjacent
parkland
Create new landmark buildings
Public & stakeholder consultation
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GREATER LONDON SITE LOCATION
15 MINS
10 MILES
26 MINS
WEST EALING
(CROSSRAIL)13 MINS
6 MINS
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KEY METRICS
Previous planning consent
(Nov-14)*Current scheme Variance Variance (%)
Residential units 593 1,965 +1,372 +230%
Retail/Commercial/non-resi. (sq ft) 70,633 230,810 +160,178 +225%
Maximum height (resi. storeys) 3 to 9 7 to 19 up to +10 up to 110%
Site area (acres) 13.8 21.3 +7.5 +54%
Density (dwellings/acre) 43 92 +49 +115%
Land basis £/unit 136,594 41,221 -95,372 -70%
(*) The site area for the previous permission was 13.8 acres compared with 21.3 acres for the current scheme
GREYSTAR OPERATIONAL DIFFERENTIATION
Greystar
Property Operations
In-house management, leasing and maintenance, with
dedicated teams on-site
Coordinate and execute repairs onsite swiftly, with clear
and timely communication of progress
Implementation of industry leading reporting and
accountability systems
Tenant Experience
Continuous monitoring both of operational management
and resident experience
Comfort and security of tenure with a dedicated rental
operator and owner
Staff
Highly trained staff specifically dedicated to one asset,
improving responsiveness and visibility
On-site staff incentivized by metrics measuring service and
operational performance
Market
Property Operations
Disparate estate agent leasing process, with no dedicated
management team in place
No repairs offered; tenants responsible for coordinating with
multiple parties to remedy repairs
Integrated data systems usually not in place, with reporting
conducted ad-hoc by hand
Tenant Experience
Generally poor with residents left to fend for themselves
Little to no community orientation or interaction
No security of tenure
Staff
Centrally managed or third party vendors
No accountability of staff for the quality of their service
provision
Greystar Current Market
Greystar’s operational experience is unparalleled in the UK market and will deliver the superior resident experience required to drive
rental premium
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Michela Hancock, Senior Development Director, Greystar [email protected]