GreenSheet-2014
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Transcript of GreenSheet-2014
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PROVINCE OF SASKATCHEWAN(CANADA)
2014-15 BUDGET(Financial Highlights of 2014-15 BUDGET)
March 19, 2014
Balanced Budget
Government of SaskatchewanBudget
for the year ended March 31
(millions of dollars)
Budget
2015
Forecast
2014
Budget
2014
Revenue
Taxation 6,820.3 6,608.2 6,613.8
Non-Renewable Resources 2,694.4 2,551.9 2,670.6
Other Own-Source Revenue 1,863.8 2,216.0 2,079.2
Transfers from Federal Government 2,026.4 1,965.6 1,955.0
Net Income from GBE* 668.2 1,048.9 860.7
Total Revenue 14,073.1 14,390.6 14,179.3
Expense
Agriculture 681.2 497.1 830.2
Community Development 589.0 549.7 552.8
Debt Charges 546.3 584.7 599.5
Economic Development 288.6 328.4 322.3
Education 3,675.0 3,575.3 3,498.1
Environment and Natural Resources 232.5 244.4 230.3
Health 5,355.9 5,135.1 5,242.0
Protection of Persons and Property 593.7 648.1 603.1
Social Services and Assistance 1,172.4 1,147.6 1,119.6
Transportation 539.3 537.5 528.9
Other 327.8 551.7 502.7
Total Expense 14,001.7 13,799.6 14,029.5
Surplus 71.4 591.0 149.8
* Government Business Enterprises
In 2013, Saskatchewan was at or near the top
among provinces in most indicators
During 2013, Saskatchewan achieved:
18,200 net new jobs; a population of 1,114,170 as of October 1, a 19,797
increase from October 1, 2012;
a bumper crop, the biggest on record at 38.4 milliontonnes, 40.4 per cent greater than in 2012 and48.3 per cent greater than 10-year average;
the highest growth in employment and wholesaletrade;
the second highest growth in population, averageweekly earnings and manufacturing sales;
the third highest growth in retail sales and investmentin new housing construction; and
the lowest unemployment rate.
Key Concepts
Although a Summary Budget has been included withthe Saskatchewan Budget since 2004-05, the primaryfocus of provincial budgets has been on the GeneralRevenue Fund prior to this year.
Beginning in 2014-15, the Saskatchewan Budget isbeing presented on a Summary basis, which providesa comprehensive picture of planned financial activityfor the Province of Saskatchewan.
While no longer the focus, Government coreoperations (formerly referred to as the GRF) remainan integral component in the Summary Budget.
Key economic assumptions for 2014 and 2015
2015 2014
Can. Real GDP Growth (%) 2.7 2.4
U.S. Real GDP Growth (%) 3.1 2.5
Can. Dollar (U.S. cents) 90.00 92.00
WTI Oil (US$/barrel) 92.00 95.00
Natural Gas (C$/GJ) 3.70 3.50Potash (US$/KCl tonne) 275.72 273.93
Source: Ministry of Finance
Saskatchewans economy continues to outperform
most provinces. Forecast Real GDP Growth
3.2% in 2013; 2.4% in 2014; and 2.6% in 2015
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
BC AB SK MB ON QC NB NS PE NL
PerCentChange
Real GDP*
2013 2014 2015
* Sources: Major Canadian banks, IHS Global Insight, CBOCand C4SE.Private sector forecast average
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Public debt as percentage of GDP remains
below 2008 level throughout forecast period
20.0%
11.7%
13.7% 13.2%
11.6%12.1%
13.3%
1 4. 2% 1 4. 2% 13.9%13.6%
0%
5%
10%
15%
20%
2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018
Public Debt as a % of GDP
As at March 31
Government Core Operational Debt (GRF) CIC and Other Treasury Board Organizations
Public Debt ofCIC Board Organizations increases
to support economic growth
Schedule of DebtAs at March 31
(millions of dollars)
Budget
2015
Forecast
2014
Budget
2014
Treasury Board Organizations
Government Core Operational Debt (GRF) 3,804.8 3,804.8 3,804.8Debt of Other Treasury Board
Organizations 838.3 750.4 585.3
Public Debt of Treasury Board
Organizations 4,643.1 4,555.2 4,390.1
CIC Board Organizations
Public Debt of CIC Board
Organizations 7,172.1 6,353.6 5,892.4
Public Debt 11,815.2 10,908.8 10,282.5
Debt is issued in the name of the Province under the authority of The Financial Administration Act, 1993
for the purpose of the General Revenue Fund. In certain circumstances, the net proceeds from debtissuance is advanced to CIC and Treasury Board Crown corporations.
Borrowing requirements primarily to fund
infrastructure capital and debt refinancing
$550.0 $468.4
$962.4
$1,605.0
$0
$500
$1,000
$1,500
$2,000
Planned2014-15
Forecast2013-14
Millions
Fiscal Year
GRF Borrowing Requirements
Government Public Debt Crown Corporations
$2,073.4
$1,512.4
This budget enhances governments fiscal
reporting and meets the challenges of a growing
province. It helps secure a better quality of life for
all Saskatchewan people and it represents another
confident step forward by our government on the
path of steady growth.
Honourable Ken Krawetz
Minister of Finance
Canadian domestic public market primary
source for borrowing
GRF Borrowing Sources
(millions of dollars)
Planned
2014-15
Forecast
2013-14
International - -
Canadian Debentures 1,400.0 1,750.0
Promissory Notes 53.1 313.6
Canada Pension Plan 59.3 9.8
Total 1,512.4 2,073.4
Credit Ratings of the Province
Standard & Poors AAA
Moodys Investors Service Aa1*
Dominion Bond Rating Service AA
* positive outlook
For additional copies or information please contact:
Saskatchewan Ministry of Finance
Treasury and Debt Management Division
6thFloor - 2350 Albert Street
Regina, Saskatchewan S4P 4A6
Canada
Telephone: (306) 787-6752 Fax: (306) 787-8493
More Budget information at: www.gov.sk.ca/finance