Green Ribbon Commission BU Renewable Energy Strategy June 15, 2015.

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Green Ribbon Commission BU Renewable Energy Strategy June 15, 2015

Transcript of Green Ribbon Commission BU Renewable Energy Strategy June 15, 2015.

Page 1: Green Ribbon Commission BU Renewable Energy Strategy June 15, 2015.

Green Ribbon CommissionBU Renewable Energy Strategy

June 15, 2015

Page 2: Green Ribbon Commission BU Renewable Energy Strategy June 15, 2015.

StrategyThe MarketOur Opportunity

Page 3: Green Ribbon Commission BU Renewable Energy Strategy June 15, 2015.

StrategyThe MarketOur Opportunity

Page 4: Green Ribbon Commission BU Renewable Energy Strategy June 15, 2015.

StrategyThe Market Top 15 Universities

  InstitutionGreen Power

Usage Green Power Resources

   (kWh/yr) % of Total Electricity Use

 

1 University of Pennsylvania 200,183,000 51% Wind

2 Georgetown University 152,370,500 130% Various

3 University of Oklahoma 134,898,600 76% Wind

4 The Ohio State University 133,631,369 23% Wind

5 Carnegie Mellon University 115,637,466 98% Solar, Wind

6 Oklahoma State University 100,360,039 71% Wind

7 Northwestern University 96,720,800 38% Solar, Wind

8 Drexel University 96,678,000 100% Solar, Wind

9 University of Utah 85,926,100 28% Solar, Wind

10 University of Tennessee, Knoxville 80,020,000 32% Biogas, Small-hydro, Solar, Wind

11 University at Buffalo 78,392,000 36% Solar

12  University of Wisconsin 68,673,740 15% Wind

13 The City University of New York 64,000,000 15% Wind

14 University of Missouri 56,963,935 22% Biomass, Solar, Wind

15 American University 56,315,885 113% Solar, Wind

100% of Demand

50% of Demand

30% of Demand

Our Opportunity

Source: EPA

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StrategyThe MarketState of Solar

Page 6: Green Ribbon Commission BU Renewable Energy Strategy June 15, 2015.

$3/Watt2013 Average System Price

StrategyThe MarketState of Solar System Pricing

Source: GreentechSolar

Page 7: Green Ribbon Commission BU Renewable Energy Strategy June 15, 2015.

StrategyThe MarketState of Solar US Generation

36%Solar of New US Generation In Q1-Q3 of 2014

Source: SEIA

Page 8: Green Ribbon Commission BU Renewable Energy Strategy June 15, 2015.

StrategyThe MarketState of Solar Renewable Energy

Source: US EIA

Generating Capacity for Solar PV in the Northeast

30% Investment Tax Credit

Page 9: Green Ribbon Commission BU Renewable Energy Strategy June 15, 2015.

StrategyThe MarketState of Solar Renewable Energy

Source: US EIA

Generating Capacity for Wind in the Northeast

30% Investment Tax Credit

Page 10: Green Ribbon Commission BU Renewable Energy Strategy June 15, 2015.

StrategyThe MarketState of Solar Boston Properties

5weeks113mtCO2e$1580savings/week

950 Winter StreetWaltham, MA

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StrategyThe MarketState of Solar

Page 12: Green Ribbon Commission BU Renewable Energy Strategy June 15, 2015.

State of Solar StrategyThe Market Considerations

Financial Model Build/Own/Maintain Power Purchase

Agreement (PPA)

Page 13: Green Ribbon Commission BU Renewable Energy Strategy June 15, 2015.

State of Solar StrategyThe Market Considerations

Financial Model Build/Own/Maintain Power Purchase

Agreement (PPA)

No Upfront Cost Immediate Savings Buy the Power Long Term Agreement Enable Project

Financing

Page 14: Green Ribbon Commission BU Renewable Energy Strategy June 15, 2015.

State of Solar StrategyThe Market Considerations

Financial Model Build/Own/Maintain Power Purchase

Agreement (PPA)

Initial Cost/kWh Escalation Rate Price Floor Buyout Schedule Incentives Risk

Page 15: Green Ribbon Commission BU Renewable Energy Strategy June 15, 2015.

State of Solar StrategyThe Market Considerations

Renewables On Site Solar Wind

Renewables Off Site Inside MA Inside NE Outside NE

Page 16: Green Ribbon Commission BU Renewable Energy Strategy June 15, 2015.

StrategyState of Solar The Market

Page 17: Green Ribbon Commission BU Renewable Energy Strategy June 15, 2015.

State of Solar StrategyThe Market Drivers

1. Reduce Annual Elect. Costs

2. Reduce Exposure to Price Volatility

3. Retain Renewable Energy Credits Where possible

4. Maximize Value through Aggregation

Page 18: Green Ribbon Commission BU Renewable Energy Strategy June 15, 2015.

State of Solar StrategyThe Market Process

Learning Curve Proactive vs Reactive AASHE SSCC NECSC DOER EPA Green Power Peers Developers Brokers Boston Properties

Page 19: Green Ribbon Commission BU Renewable Energy Strategy June 15, 2015.

State of Solar StrategyThe Market

Feasibility Study Bldg. by Bldg.

Evaluation Solar Resource Interconnection Infrastructure Roof Condition Structural Capacity PV System Reqs. Balance of System

Reqs. Economic Analysis

Process

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State of Solar StrategyThe Market

Three RFPs1. CRC2. BUMC/BMC3. Large Off Site

Process

Page 21: Green Ribbon Commission BU Renewable Energy Strategy June 15, 2015.

State of Solar StrategyThe Market Developing Projects

Feasibility Study Phase I

1.7MW Phase II

2.0MW

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State of Solar StrategyThe Market

100 Ashford Street 750 kW Roof-mounted 790,000 kWh Annually

Developing Projects

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State of Solar StrategyThe Market

CILSE 112 kW Roof-mounted 140,000 kWh Annually

Developing Projects

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State of Solar StrategyThe Market

BUMC/BMC 610 Albany

0.53MW 710 Albany

0.45MW

Developing Projects

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State of Solar StrategyThe Market

Large Scale Off Site American/GW Example OSU Example GRC Renewable

Energy Purchasing Network

Developing Projects

Source: American University Source: Ohio State University

Page 26: Green Ribbon Commission BU Renewable Energy Strategy June 15, 2015.

  InstitutionGreen Power

Usage Green Power Resources

   (kWh/yr) % of Total Electricity Use

 

1 University of Pennsylvania 200,183,000 51% Wind

2 Georgetown University 152,370,500 130% Various

3 University of Oklahoma 134,898,600 76% Wind

4 The Ohio State University 133,631,369 23% Wind

5 Carnegie Mellon University 115,637,466 98% Solar, Wind

6 Oklahoma State University 100,360,039 71% Wind

7 Northwestern University 96,720,800 38% Solar, Wind

8 Drexel University 96,678,000 100% Solar, Wind

9 University of Utah 85,926,100 28% Solar, Wind

10 University of Tennessee, Knoxville 80,020,000 32% Biogas, Small-hydro, Solar, Wind

11 University at Buffalo 78,392,000 36% Solar

12  University of Wisconsin 68,673,740 15% Wind

13 The City University of New York 64,000,000 15% Wind

14 University of Missouri 56,963,935 22% Biomass, Solar, Wind

15 American University 56,315,885 113% Solar, Wind

100% of Demand

50% of Demand

30% of Demand

GHG Reduction

Annual Savings

Total Saving

63% $1.5 – $3.5 Million

$38 - $88 Million

44% $0.6 - $1.7 Million

$14 - $44 Million

36% $0.4 - $0.8 Million

$8 - $20 Million

Source: EPASource: CFR w/BU analysis

GHG Reduction

Annual Savings

Total Saving

GHG Reduction

Annual Savings

Total Saving

State of Solar StrategyThe Market Scale of Opportunity