Greater Severna Park Council Presentation

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GREATER SEVERNA PARK COUNCIL PRESENTATION Results of Oct. 15-18, 2012 Survey of Anne Arundel County Residents By Dan Nataf Director, Center for the Study of Local Issues Anne Arundel Community College www2.aacc.edu/csli November 13, 2012

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Greater Severna Park Council Presentation. Results of Oct . 15-18, 2012 Survey of Anne Arundel County Residents By Dan Nataf Director, Center for the Study of Local Issues Anne Arundel Community College www2.aacc.edu/csli. November 13, 2012. - PowerPoint PPT Presentation

Transcript of Greater Severna Park Council Presentation

  • GREATER SEVERNA PARK COUNCILPRESENTATIONResults of Oct. 15-18, 2012 Survey of Anne Arundel County Residents

    By Dan NatafDirector, Center for the Study of Local IssuesAnne Arundel Community Collegewww2.aacc.edu/csliNovember 13, 2012

  • Center for the Study of Local Issues:Semi-annual surveyConducted each March and OctoberCSLI Part of the Sarbanes Center for Public and Community ServiceSurveys student volunteers participate to learn social science research methods (engaged learning) and community serviceInvolves 70+/- students as telephone interviewersSurvey contents: Benchmark questions on the economy, most important problem, right/wrong direction, and demographicsVariable questions on current policy choices and major events510 Anne Arundel County residents, 18 or over

  • Plan Focus of this presentationWhat are current trendsRight/wrong directionMost important problem facing residentsPerceptions of the economyEconomic circumstancesHow are these trends related to election choices Other policy issues low cost spaying, maintain healthy weight

  • County: Right or Wrong Direction? Spring 99 to Fall 12

  • Right/Wrong Direction Individual by County, State, Nation

    Individual says Right or Wrong for Yourself personallyLevels (% Right)RightWrongRight-wrongCounty543519State431627Nation44935

  • Right direction by Party

    LevelsOverallDem.Rep.Dem-Rep.Unaff.County5058401856State3655163935Nation3659134633Respondent7883711283

  • Obama Vote by Right/Wrong Direction: County, State and USA

  • Most Important Problem Fall 2006 to Fall 2012Economy continues drop as problem in October 2012

  • County Economic Conditions vs. State and USA

  • Obama Vote by Perceptions of the Economy - County, State, USA

  • Cost of living indicators

  • Other economic indicators

  • Economic Conditions over the next 12 Months

    BetterSameWorseUnsure/NATotalEconomic growth 41341510100Unemployment4230209101Inflation1033489100Your personal financial situation2854144100

  • Spaying and Neutering ProgramLow cost spaying and neutering:Support 71% Oppose 25% Other/NA 4%

    Paying an extraSupportMaybeOpposeN.A.Dollar or two when getting pet rabies shots?815132Penny or two when buying pet food?726202Dollar or two added to your annual state income tax?465482Dollar or two when renewing pet licenses?725213

  • Public Responses to How to maintain and achieve healthy weight

    Answer categoryPercent citing (N=276)Exercise26Food quality/content12Education programs11Food intake/portions11General diet10Facilities create, provide less expensive access8School related actions7Proposals specific measures 6Personal commitment, not a govt. concern5Other3Food cost1

  • Referenda: State and County

    SupportOpposeUnsureNo answerLegalizing same sex marriage 434674Allowing the children of illegal immigrants to attend Maryland community colleges and universities at in-state tuition rates375473Upholding the boundaries for congressional districts created by the state legislature3541187Allowing the creation of a sixth casino in Prince Georges County, table games at all casinos, and more slot machines overall.345763The next two proposals apply to the county.Allowing the county council to replace the county executive if convicted of certain crimes without waiting for any appeals.731864Allowing the party leaders in the relevant central committee to break a tie when the county council cannot pick a replacement county executive or council member.5725136

  • Same Sex Marriage by Demographics

  • Dream Act by Demographic Variables

    Chart2

    43

    -4

    -56

    17

    -53

    -16

    -39

    -27

    -31

    -6

    11

    -34

    -14

    -16

    -18

    -9

    -15

    -15

    -16

    -11

    -7

    -5

    -9

    -48

    -33

    -30

    17

    -47

    11

    -19

    -2

    36

    -26

    -52

    -26

    30

    -23

    -35

    12

    -21

    -14

    5

    -2

    -21

    -7

    Lib, 43

    Mod, -4

    Cons, -56

    Dem, 17

    Rep, -53

    PGW, 11

    Student, 17

    NoRel, 36

    WhiteEvang, -52

    Jewish, 30

    Spiritual, 12

    Sep/Div, 5

    Chart1

    84

    13

    -67

    64

    -76

    -9

    -13

    2

    -48

    2

    1

    36

    50

    -20

    -21

    -8

    8

    -8

    2

    -14

    -18

    3

    10

    -47

    7

    -24

    19

    7

    40

    -15

    90

    29

    22

    -29

    -21

    60

    -13

    -55

    13

    21

    -13

    19

    11

    -12

    6

    PtyIdeo

    84

    13

    -67

    64

    -76

    -9

    Obama Vote by Ideology and Party Registration

    EdInc

    -13

    2

    -48

    2

    1

    36

    50

    -20

    -21

    -8

    8

    -8

    Obama Vote by Education and Income

    Empl

    2

    -14

    -18

    3

    10

    -47

    7

    -24

    19

    7

    40

    Obama Vote by Employment

    RaceRelMarGdr

    -15

    90

    29

    22

    -29

    -21

    60

    -13

    -55

    13

    21

    -13

    19

    11

    -12

    6

    Obama Vote by Race, Religion Marital Status and Gender

    EconCir

    -7

    6

    8

    2

    -20

    -7

    -5

    -25

    -19

    -13

    -10

    -28

    Obama Vote by Economic Circumstances

    EcPercept

    31

    4

    -6

    -48

    50

    32

    -6

    -56

    47

    63

    32

    -57

    Obama Vote by Perceptions of the Economy - County, State, Nation

    CandAttrib

    -5

    -4

    -11

    1

    15

    8

    -4

    Obama Vote by Candidate Attributes

    RightDir

    16

    -32

    61

    -49

    73

    -56

    4

    -22

    Obama Vote by Right/Wrong Direction: County, State, USA, Individual

    Chart10

    37

    7

    7

    49

    Obama Vote by Referenda - "Support"

    DreamAct

    43

    -4

    -56

    17

    -53

    -16

    -39

    -27

    -31

    -6

    11

    -34

    -14

    -16

    -18

    -9

    -15

    -15

    -16

    -11

    -7

    -5

    -9

    -48

    -33

    -30

    17

    -47

    11

    -19

    -2

    36

    -26

    -52

    -26

    30

    -23

    -35

    12

    -21

    -14

    5

    -2

    -21

    -7

    Dream Act by Demographic Variables

    SameSex

    65

    20

    -48

    30

    -38

    20

    -25

    -7

    -10

    12

    18

    -12

    -3

    -15

    14

    11

    8

    26

    -10

    -41

    15

    12

    28

    -33

    13

    15

    63

    -22

    60

    6

    -24

    47

    31

    -15

    -21

    40

    -7

    -22

    35

    -3

    4

    0

    -8

    -17

    22

    Lib-Con

    57

    -59

    0

    -8

    -2

    -2

    10

    2

    -5

    7

    -4

    0

    2

    9

    4

    0

    -1

    -1

    11

    -1

    -8

    0

    0

    3

    -4

    60

    -10

    10

    14

    3

    1

    -13

    4

    -4

    -4

    4

    -2

    7

    1

    -6

    -19

    20

    Chart14

    29

    -21

    -9

    0

    -1

    1

    4

    -6

    0

    4

    -3

    3

    0

    4

    0

    3

    1

    1

    -1

    -2

    -1

    -1

    1

    0

    -1

    0

    -3

    8

    15

    -1

    7

    -6

    1

    -3

    -3

    0

    -4

    5

    4

    -3

    -13

    14

    Sheet1

    Obama Vote F12 by Demographics

    DifferenceObamaRomney

    Lib84895

    Mod134936

    Cons-671178

    HS Dip-134154

    Some Coll24341

    2 yr Degree-481866

    BA24442

    PGW14544

    $250k-84452

    RetNotWking24644

    RetWorking-143852

    Self-emp-183755

    Private34643

    Govt.NotDef104838

    Defense-471158

    NonProfit74336

    Part-time-243357

    Student194627

    Unemp74336

    Not LabMkt406020

    White-153651

    Black90922

    NoRel295728

    NonPract225735

    WhiteEvang174932

    Cath-213253

    Jewish60600

    Prot-134053

    ChristianOther-551873

    Spiritual134431

    Single215433

    Married-133851

    Sep/Div195031

    Widow114534

    Male-123749

    Female64741

    Obama Vote F12 by Demographics

    DifferenceObamaRomney

    Lib84895

    Mod134936

    Cons-671178

    Dem647713

    Rep-76783

    Unaffil-93443

    HS Dip-134154

    Some Coll24341

    2 yr Degree-481866

    BA24442

    PGW14544

    $250k-84452

    RetNotWking24644

    RetWorking-143852

    Self-emp-183755

    Private34643

    Govt.NotDef104838

    Defense-471158

    NonProfit74336

    Part-time-243357

    Student194627

    Unemp74336

    Not LabMkt406020

    White-153651

    Black90922

    NoRel295728

    NonPract225735

    WhiteEvang-293059

    Cath-213253

    Jewish60600

    Prot-134053

    ChristianOther-551873

    Spiritual134431

    Single215433

    Married-133851

    Sep/Div195031

    Widow114534

    Male-123749

    Female64741

    Economic CircumstancesObamaRomney

    Wages or salaries not rising-74047

    Received a salary increase64842

    Unemployment84638

    Found job24240

    Losses stocks/retirement-203454

    Foreclosure-74047

    Affordable housing-54045

    Transportation cost-253257

    Utililties cost-193453

    Purchase delay-133548

    Health care insurance-103646

    Hi Taxes-282957

    Perceptions of economy

    County Excellent316332

    County Good44743

    County Fair-63945

    County Poor-481664

    State Excellent507121

    State Good325927

    State Fair-64147

    State Poor-561470

    USA Excellent476922

    USA Good637916

    USA Fair326028

    USA Poor-571370

    ObamaRomney

    Congress -work with-54247

    Right ideas - economy-44347

    Defend America-114051

    Background appealing14847

    Relates to people like me155237

    Other candidate - dislike85143

    VP choice-44347

    County - Right165236

    County - Wrong-322860

    State - Right617514

    State - Wrong-491968

    USA - Right73829

    USA - Wrong-561571

    Individual - Right44541

    Individual - Wrong-223254

    % supporting

    Same Sex Marriage376225

    Casinos74639

    Congressional Districts74538

    In-state tuition for kids of illegal immigrants496920

    Illegal in stateSupportOppose

    Lib436825

    Mod-44347

    Cons-561773

    Dem175437

    Rep-531972

    Unaffil-163652

    HS Dip-392362

    Some Coll-273360

    2 yr Degree-312354

    BA-64248

    PGW115140

    $250k-153752

    RetNotWking-163652

    RetWorking-114152

    Self-emp-74350

    Private-54550

    Govt.NotDef-94150

    Defense-482573

    NonProfit-332053

    Part-time-303060

    Student175033

    Unemp-471562

    Not LabMkt113322

    White-193655

    Black-24345

    NoRel366428

    NonPract-263561

    WhiteEvang-522173

    Cath-263157

    Jewish305020

    Prot-233457

    ChristianOther-352661

    Spiritual125341

    Single-213051

    Married-144054

    Sep/Div54742

    Widow-22527

    Male-213556

    Female-74047

    Same Sex MarriageSupportOppose

    Lib657712

    Mod205535

    Cons-482068

    Dem306030

    Rep-382664

    Unaffil205131

    HS Dip-252853

    Some Coll-74047

    2 yr Degree-104050

    BA125038

    PGW185638

    $250k265933

    RetNotWking-103848

    RetWorking-412667

    Self-emp155338

    Private124937

    Govt.NotDef286032

    Defense-333164

    NonProfit135340

    Part-time155540

    Student637815

    Unemp-222850

    Not LabMkt606020

    White64842

    Black-242953

    NoRel477023

    NonPract315726

    WhiteEvang-154055

    Cath-213657

    Jewish406020

    Prot-74350

    ChristianOther-223557

    Spiritual355924

    Single-33942

    Married44844

    Sep/Div04747

    Widow-83341

    Male-173653

    Female225634

    LiberalsLiberalsCons

    Dem577720

    Rep-59867

    Unaffil01111

    HS Dip-8917

    Some Coll-22325

    2 yr Degree-2810

    BA103121

    PGW22624

    $250k473

    RetNotWking02929

    RetWorking-1910

    Self-emp-189

    Private112413

    Govt.NotDef-11213

    Defense-8513

    NonProfit022

    Part-time044

    Student341

    Unemp-415

    Not LabMkt6021

    White-107989

    Black10177

    NoRel14239

    NonPract352

    WhiteEvang11514

    Cath-132437

    Jewish440

    Prot-42125

    ChristianOther-426

    Spiritual451

    Single-2911

    Married77568

    Sep/Div1109

    Widow-6612

    Male-193857

    Female206343

    LibConMod

    Dem29772048

    Rep-2186729

    Unaffil-9111120

    HS Dip09179

    Some Coll-1232524

    2 yr Degree18107

    BA4312127

    PGW-6262432

    $250k0737

    RetNotWking3292926

    RetWorking19108

    Self-emp1897

    Private-1241325

    Govt.NotDef-2121314

    Defense-15136

    NonProfit-1223

    Part-time1443

    Student0414

    Unemp-1152

    Not LabMkt0212

    White-3798982

    Black81779

    NoRel152398

    NonPract-1526

    WhiteEvang715148

    Cath-6243730

    Jewish1403

    Prot-3212524

    ChristianOther-3265

    Spiritual0515

    Single-491113

    Married5756870

    Sep/Div41096

    Widow-36129

    Male-13385751

    Female14634349

    Sheet2

    Sheet3

  • Casino Vote by Demographics

  • Presidential job approvalFall 2007 to Spring 2012

  • Presidential Vote in Anne Arundel CountyActual vote: Obama 48%; Romney 49%

    OverallDemocratsRepublicansUnaffiliatedBarack Obama4277834Mitt Romney47148449Undecided7588Someone else1202Wouldnt vote0002No answer2216Total99100101101

  • Presidential Vote: Motivations

    ItemOverallObamaRomneyUndecidedThe candidate has the right ideas for improving the economy*89899187The ability of the candidate to work with Congress87868890The candidate will better defend Americas national interests*85779190The candidates ability to relate to people like yourself*58714753The candidates choice for vice president48465241The candidates personal background is appealing*34393413My dislike for the other candidate*29352913

    ItemOverallObamaRomneyUndecidedEconomy49355968Trust, honesty, character7968Foreign affairs, national security, defense7590Healthcare6944Womens issues (abortion, contraception, equal rights)5934Dislike of other candidate5650Other answers20281416Total99101101100