GREATER SEVERNA PARK COUNCILPRESENTATIONResults of Oct. 15-18, 2012 Survey of Anne Arundel County Residents

By Dan NatafDirector, Center for the Study of Local IssuesAnne Arundel Community Collegewww2.aacc.edu/csliNovember 13, 2012

Center for the Study of Local Issues:Semi-annual surveyConducted each March and OctoberCSLI Part of the Sarbanes Center for Public and Community ServiceSurveys student volunteers participate to learn social science research methods (engaged learning) and community serviceInvolves 70+/- students as telephone interviewersSurvey contents: Benchmark questions on the economy, most important problem, right/wrong direction, and demographicsVariable questions on current policy choices and major events510 Anne Arundel County residents, 18 or over

Plan Focus of this presentationWhat are current trendsRight/wrong directionMost important problem facing residentsPerceptions of the economyEconomic circumstancesHow are these trends related to election choices Other policy issues low cost spaying, maintain healthy weight

County: Right or Wrong Direction? Spring 99 to Fall 12

Right/Wrong Direction Individual by County, State, Nation

Individual says Right or Wrong for Yourself personallyLevels (% Right)RightWrongRight-wrongCounty543519State431627Nation44935

Right direction by Party

LevelsOverallDem.Rep.Dem-Rep.Unaff.County5058401856State3655163935Nation3659134633Respondent7883711283

Obama Vote by Right/Wrong Direction: County, State and USA

Most Important Problem Fall 2006 to Fall 2012Economy continues drop as problem in October 2012

County Economic Conditions vs. State and USA

Obama Vote by Perceptions of the Economy - County, State, USA

Cost of living indicators

Other economic indicators

Economic Conditions over the next 12 Months

BetterSameWorseUnsure/NATotalEconomic growth 41341510100Unemployment4230209101Inflation1033489100Your personal financial situation2854144100

Spaying and Neutering ProgramLow cost spaying and neutering:Support 71% Oppose 25% Other/NA 4%

Paying an extraSupportMaybeOpposeN.A.Dollar or two when getting pet rabies shots?815132Penny or two when buying pet food?726202Dollar or two added to your annual state income tax?465482Dollar or two when renewing pet licenses?725213

Public Responses to How to maintain and achieve healthy weight

Answer categoryPercent citing (N=276)Exercise26Food quality/content12Education programs11Food intake/portions11General diet10Facilities create, provide less expensive access8School related actions7Proposals specific measures 6Personal commitment, not a govt. concern5Other3Food cost1

Referenda: State and County

SupportOpposeUnsureNo answerLegalizing same sex marriage 434674Allowing the children of illegal immigrants to attend Maryland community colleges and universities at in-state tuition rates375473Upholding the boundaries for congressional districts created by the state legislature3541187Allowing the creation of a sixth casino in Prince Georges County, table games at all casinos, and more slot machines overall.345763The next two proposals apply to the county.Allowing the county council to replace the county executive if convicted of certain crimes without waiting for any appeals.731864Allowing the party leaders in the relevant central committee to break a tie when the county council cannot pick a replacement county executive or council member.5725136

Same Sex Marriage by Demographics

Dream Act by Demographic Variables

Chart2

43

-4

-56

17

-53

-16

-39

-27

-31

-6

11

-34

-14

-16

-18

-9

-15

-15

-16

-11

-7

-5

-9

-48

-33

-30

17

-47

11

-19

-2

36

-26

-52

-26

30

-23

-35

12

-21

-14

5

-2

-21

-7

Lib, 43

Mod, -4

Cons, -56

Dem, 17

Rep, -53

PGW, 11

Student, 17

NoRel, 36

WhiteEvang, -52

Jewish, 30

Spiritual, 12

Sep/Div, 5

Chart1

84

13

-67

64

-76

-9

-13

2

-48

2

1

36

50

-20

-21

-8

8

-8

2

-14

-18

3

10

-47

7

-24

19

7

40

-15

90

29

22

-29

-21

60

-13

-55

13

21

-13

19

11

-12

6

PtyIdeo

84

13

-67

64

-76

-9

Obama Vote by Ideology and Party Registration

EdInc

-13

2

-48

2

1

36

50

-20

-21

-8

8

-8

Obama Vote by Education and Income

Empl

2

-14

-18

3

10

-47

7

-24

19

7

40

Obama Vote by Employment

RaceRelMarGdr

-15

90

29

22

-29

-21

60

-13

-55

13

21

-13

19

11

-12

6

Obama Vote by Race, Religion Marital Status and Gender

EconCir

-7

6

8

2

-20

-7

-5

-25

-19

-13

-10

-28

Obama Vote by Economic Circumstances

EcPercept

31

4

-6

-48

50

32

-6

-56

47

63

32

-57

Obama Vote by Perceptions of the Economy - County, State, Nation

CandAttrib

-5

-4

-11

1

15

8

-4

Obama Vote by Candidate Attributes

RightDir

16

-32

61

-49

73

-56

4

-22

Obama Vote by Right/Wrong Direction: County, State, USA, Individual

Chart10

37

7

7

49

Obama Vote by Referenda - "Support"

DreamAct

43

-4

-56

17

-53

-16

-39

-27

-31

-6

11

-34

-14

-16

-18

-9

-15

-15

-16

-11

-7

-5

-9

-48

-33

-30

17

-47

11

-19

-2

36

-26

-52

-26

30

-23

-35

12

-21

-14

5

-2

-21

-7

Dream Act by Demographic Variables

SameSex

65

20

-48

30

-38

20

-25

-7

-10

12

18

-12

-3

-15

14

11

8

26

-10

-41

15

12

28

-33

13

15

63

-22

60

6

-24

47

31

-15

-21

40

-7

-22

35

-3

4

0

-8

-17

22

Lib-Con

57

-59

0

-8

-2

-2

10

2

-5

7

-4

0

2

9

4

0

-1

-1

11

-1

-8

0

0

3

-4

60

-10

10

14

3

1

-13

4

-4

-4

4

-2

7

1

-6

-19

20

Chart14

29

-21

-9

0

-1

1

4

-6

0

4

-3

3

0

4

0

3

1

1

-1

-2

-1

-1

1

0

-1

0

-3

8

15

-1

7

-6

1

-3

-3

0

-4

5

4

-3

-13

14

Sheet1

Obama Vote F12 by Demographics

DifferenceObamaRomney

Lib84895

Mod134936

Cons-671178

HS Dip-134154

Some Coll24341

2 yr Degree-481866

BA24442

PGW14544

$250k-84452

RetNotWking24644

RetWorking-143852

Self-emp-183755

Private34643

Govt.NotDef104838

Defense-471158

NonProfit74336

Part-time-243357

Student194627

Unemp74336

Not LabMkt406020

White-153651

Black90922

NoRel295728

NonPract225735

WhiteEvang174932

Cath-213253

Jewish60600

Prot-134053

ChristianOther-551873

Spiritual134431

Single215433

Married-133851

Sep/Div195031

Widow114534

Male-123749

Female64741

Obama Vote F12 by Demographics

DifferenceObamaRomney

Lib84895

Mod134936

Cons-671178

Dem647713

Rep-76783

Unaffil-93443

HS Dip-134154

Some Coll24341

2 yr Degree-481866

BA24442

PGW14544

$250k-84452

RetNotWking24644

RetWorking-143852

Self-emp-183755

Private34643

Govt.NotDef104838

Defense-471158

NonProfit74336

Part-time-243357

Student194627

Unemp74336

Not LabMkt406020

White-153651

Black90922

NoRel295728

NonPract225735

WhiteEvang-293059

Cath-213253

Jewish60600

Prot-134053

ChristianOther-551873

Spiritual134431

Single215433

Married-133851

Sep/Div195031

Widow114534

Male-123749

Female64741

Economic CircumstancesObamaRomney

Wages or salaries not rising-74047

Received a salary increase64842

Unemployment84638

Found job24240

Losses stocks/retirement-203454

Foreclosure-74047

Affordable housing-54045

Transportation cost-253257

Utililties cost-193453

Purchase delay-133548

Health care insurance-103646

Hi Taxes-282957

Perceptions of economy

County Excellent316332

County Good44743

County Fair-63945

County Poor-481664

State Excellent507121

State Good325927

State Fair-64147

State Poor-561470

USA Excellent476922

USA Good637916

USA Fair326028

USA Poor-571370

ObamaRomney

Congress -work with-54247

Right ideas - economy-44347

Defend America-114051

Background appealing14847

Relates to people like me155237

Other candidate - dislike85143

VP choice-44347

County - Right165236

County - Wrong-322860

State - Right617514

State - Wrong-491968

USA - Right73829

USA - Wrong-561571

Individual - Right44541

Individual - Wrong-223254

% supporting

Same Sex Marriage376225

Casinos74639

Congressional Districts74538

In-state tuition for kids of illegal immigrants496920

Illegal in stateSupportOppose

Lib436825

Mod-44347

Cons-561773

Dem175437

Rep-531972

Unaffil-163652

HS Dip-392362

Some Coll-273360

2 yr Degree-312354

BA-64248

PGW115140

$250k-153752

RetNotWking-163652

RetWorking-114152

Self-emp-74350

Private-54550

Govt.NotDef-94150

Defense-482573

NonProfit-332053

Part-time-303060

Student175033

Unemp-471562

Not LabMkt113322

White-193655

Black-24345

NoRel366428

NonPract-263561

WhiteEvang-522173

Cath-263157

Jewish305020

Prot-233457

ChristianOther-352661

Spiritual125341

Single-213051

Married-144054

Sep/Div54742

Widow-22527

Male-213556

Female-74047

Same Sex MarriageSupportOppose

Lib657712

Mod205535

Cons-482068

Dem306030

Rep-382664

Unaffil205131

HS Dip-252853

Some Coll-74047

2 yr Degree-104050

BA125038

PGW185638

$250k265933

RetNotWking-103848

RetWorking-412667

Self-emp155338

Private124937

Govt.NotDef286032

Defense-333164

NonProfit135340

Part-time155540

Student637815

Unemp-222850

Not LabMkt606020

White64842

Black-242953

NoRel477023

NonPract315726

WhiteEvang-154055

Cath-213657

Jewish406020

Prot-74350

ChristianOther-223557

Spiritual355924

Single-33942

Married44844

Sep/Div04747

Widow-83341

Male-173653

Female225634

LiberalsLiberalsCons

Dem577720

Rep-59867

Unaffil01111

HS Dip-8917

Some Coll-22325

2 yr Degree-2810

BA103121

PGW22624

$250k473

RetNotWking02929

RetWorking-1910

Self-emp-189

Private112413

Govt.NotDef-11213

Defense-8513

NonProfit022

Part-time044

Student341

Unemp-415

Not LabMkt6021

White-107989

Black10177

NoRel14239

NonPract352

WhiteEvang11514

Cath-132437

Jewish440

Prot-42125

ChristianOther-426

Spiritual451

Single-2911

Married77568

Sep/Div1109

Widow-6612

Male-193857

Female206343

LibConMod

Dem29772048

Rep-2186729

Unaffil-9111120

HS Dip09179

Some Coll-1232524

2 yr Degree18107

BA4312127

PGW-6262432

$250k0737

RetNotWking3292926

RetWorking19108

Self-emp1897

Private-1241325

Govt.NotDef-2121314

Defense-15136

NonProfit-1223

Part-time1443

Student0414

Unemp-1152

Not LabMkt0212

White-3798982

Black81779

NoRel152398

NonPract-1526

WhiteEvang715148

Cath-6243730

Jewish1403

Prot-3212524

ChristianOther-3265

Spiritual0515

Single-491113

Married5756870

Sep/Div41096

Widow-36129

Male-13385751

Female14634349

Sheet2

Sheet3

Casino Vote by Demographics

Presidential job approvalFall 2007 to Spring 2012

Presidential Vote in Anne Arundel CountyActual vote: Obama 48%; Romney 49%

OverallDemocratsRepublicansUnaffiliatedBarack Obama4277834Mitt Romney47148449Undecided7588Someone else1202Wouldnt vote0002No answer2216Total99100101101

Presidential Vote: Motivations

ItemOverallObamaRomneyUndecidedThe candidate has the right ideas for improving the economy*89899187The ability of the candidate to work with Congress87868890The candidate will better defend Americas national interests*85779190The candidates ability to relate to people like yourself*58714753The candidates choice for vice president48465241The candidates personal background is appealing*34393413My dislike for the other candidate*29352913

ItemOverallObamaRomneyUndecidedEconomy49355968Trust, honesty, character7968Foreign affairs, national security, defense7590Healthcare6944Womens issues (abortion, contraception, equal rights)5934Dislike of other candidate5650Other answers20281416Total99101101100