Graphical Modeling of Atmospheric Change,An Overview

By: Carey Russell

What am I doing?

The goal is to create a model of the atmosphere over time, predicting it’s strength given user-controlled parameters such as the Montreal Protocol.

Why am I doing this?

Currently, one of the most overlooked world-wide problems is the cruel disregard of the state of our atmosphere. Literally it sustains life on Earth, and it is being destroyed more with each passing day.

This model will assist in assessing the impact of anti-pollution movements.

The Montreal Protocol was initiated after we noticed a sizable thinning of the atmosphere over Antarctica. This is often referred to as an ozone hole. This thinning results in dangerously high levels of incoming radiation.

After discovering the cause of the damage, CFCs from aerosols and fossil fuel carnage, the global community united and signed the Montreal Protocol in 1987. It limited CFC production and usage, gradually calling for a complete phase of all CFCs.

So what’s the program?

This is an sample run of the deterioration of the atmosphere over 1200 years if the Montreal Protocol was not initiated. This does match the predicted results by the WWF published in 1992.

Program Features

•User can set the starting year•User can chose if the Protocol is in place or not•Graphs the radiation that reaches Earth•Accounts for the deterioration of the atmosphere•Accounts for the natural restoration of the atmosphere, as well•Notes the repelling of the other layers of the atmosphere•Utilizes NetLogo•Models the continue flow of radiation•Allows the user to decide if the sun has a large flare and the solar flux goes crazy all of a sudden

Any questions?

If there is enough time, we can test random runs of the model.