Grands projets in the Japans new science and technology strategy Yuko HARAYAMA Tohoku University...
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Transcript of Grands projets in the Japans new science and technology strategy Yuko HARAYAMA Tohoku University...
Grands projets in the Japan’s new science and technology strategy
Yuko HARAYAMATohoku University
Council for Science & Technology [email protected]
19/11/07 6CP Bruxelles 2
Content• Grands projets and Japan after war catch-up
– Priority-setting– Implementation– Example: New energy technology area
• Grands projets during the « lost decade »– Priority-setting– Implementation
• Grands projets in the new S&T strategy (The end of Japanese grands projets?)
– Framework– New approach
19/11/07 6CP Bruxelles 3
After war catch-up: Priority-setting
• Role of MITI (actual METI) in the “Japanese Miracle”– Widely acknowledged by Western and Japanese policy
experts!
– As a referee, as a coordinator, as a scenario writer?
• A complex mix of consensus-building and planning (shingikai, industry associations, large companies,…) to set up long term “Visions” in emerging areas
19/11/07 6CP Bruxelles 4
After war catch-up: Implementation (1)• Specific, vertical, intervention
– to fit the different priorities, needs and circumstances of individual industries
• Custom design of policy instruments– From “hard” policy tools: laws, regulations, direct
financing– To softer tools such as administrative guidance: non-
codified, extra-legal guidelines• Research & Development Consortia
(Officially Technology Research Associations since 1961)– Large-scale collaborative programs– High-tech industries– METI primary tool of industrial policy and its primary
method of influencing Japanese corporate behavior
19/11/07 6CP Bruxelles 5
After war catch-up: Implementation (2)• R&D consortia
– The aim• To organize major industrial sectors concerned with solving
technological problems common to the sector as a whole or to a smaller group of major companies within the sector (Ito)
– Role• Often linked to the establishment of a vision. R&D consortia were
“essential in realizing the goals of the vision” (Watanabe)
– For instance, the “Vision of the 1970s” • put the emphasis on computer, industrial robots, integrated circuits,
fine chemicals, aircraft and battery-powered electric vehicles
• most of these areas have experienced the creation of R&D consortia (VLSI, SELETE, Sunshine program, Moonlight program, Next Generation Super Computer,…)
19/11/07 6CP Bruxelles 6
After war catch-up: Example• New energy technologies area
– Key role played by NEDO* (New Energy & Industrial Technology** Development Organization)
– Through large-scale cooperative programs
– Principal R&D consortia• Sunshine Program (started in 1974)
• Moonlight Program (started in 1984)
• New Sunshine Program (started in 1990)
• Lithium Battery Energy storage Technology Research Association (Matsushita, Hitachi, Shin Kobe,…)
• Photovoltaic Power Generation Technology Research Association (PVTEC) includes the 30 most important companies in the area
• MCFC Technology Research Association (Mitsubishi,…)
• PAFC Technology Research Association (Tokyo Gas, Osaka Gas, Toho Gas and Saibu Gas)
* Established in 1980 ** Since 1988
19/11/07 6CP Bruxelles 7
« Lost decade »: Priority-setting• Context during the 90s
– The recession!
– Japanese model of industrial policy not relevant anymore in the post catch-up period!
• Priority-setting
• « It is not clear anymore what to target » now that Japan has reached leadership (Okitomo)
• Government and industry no longer share the same expectation and preference (Watanabe)
• Before having strategic technologies, Japan needs an economic strategy (a METI official)
• the speed of techno and market changes has increased
19/11/07 6CP Bruxelles 8
« Lost decade »: Implementation• Increasingly difficult to enlist leading companies in
R&D consortia • Ex: LIBES (lithium battery) consortium: Sony (who
holds the patent) refused to participate• Ex: Fifth Generation Project: Nihon Univac and
IBM Japan declined MITI’s invitation• R&D consortia are too rigid to cope with the pace of
technological change• Ex: consortium on HDTV technologies, could not
switch to digital technologies• Companies are increasingly international (alliances,
M&A) which make their participation in national Big Projects less attractive/more difficult
19/11/07 6CP Bruxelles 9
« Lost decade »: Pros & Cons• A very political debate
• “much of the work on Japanese practices presented by those advocating or opposing joint research is self serving”
• In the 90s: boomerang effect… not only R&D consortia are not effective anymore but their past effectiveness has been overestimated
• The critics addressed to R&D consortia• Remote government-industry relationships (problem
NEDO/METI/Companies)• R&D consortia were technology-push • R&D consortia are not cooperative : “nothing but a public
show: seemingly cooperative institutions mask an underlying reality of fierce competition and conflict” (S. Callon)
19/11/07 6CP Bruxelles 10
« Lost decade »: New Model?• Consensus on the need for a new model
– “METI has to realize that the government role is not to identify promising technologies but to improve the overall environment for innovation” (Porter et al)
– “Japan must abandon its piecemeal, vertically oriented approach and support university-led basic research, which will provide the foundation for long-term and continuous technical innovation (METI, 2000)
– government programs that have funded applied research programs that benefited a specific industry be scaled back or terminated (Japanese Administrative Reform Council, 1997)
– research consortia are “policy tools from the past” (METI official, 2003)
19/11/07 6CP Bruxelles 11
New S&T strategy: Framework• The S&T Basic Law (1995)
– Context• Economic recession To legitimate R&D investment⇒• Government’s agenda: “Nation based on the creation of S&T”
– Implication• No more monopoly of METI• Toward “National Policy”!
• The S&T Basic Plans– 1st BP(96-00), 2nd BP (01-05) & 3rd BP (06-10)
• Innovation 25• “Projects for accelerating the transfer to society”
19/11/07 6CP Bruxelles 12
New S&T strategy: 1st Basic Plan• Highlights
– Universities on the front line– Technology policy to serve the society, mainly the
economy• Strategies
– To increase R&D fundings– To reinforce university-industry linkages– To help the commercialization of « intellectual assets »– « 10 000 post-docs program» (System reform)– To increase the mobility of researchers and enginners
• Total budget– 17 trillion yen (actual expenditure 17.6 trillion)
≈ 102 billion €
19/11/07 6CP Bruxelles 13
New S&T strategy: CSTP• « S & T Policy » by the past
– Shared competencies• S & T Agency = Initiator & Executor• Science & Technology Council = Consutatif instance• Ministry of finance = arbitrage
• Council for S & T Policy (CSTP: 2001)– Within the Cabinet Office directly attache to the Prime Minister– Under the authority of Deputy Minister in charge of Science &
Technology (Fumio KISHIDA?*)– Above all ministries
• CSTP’s functions– Coordination– Initiation
• Expert Panels*Also charged of Okinawa & Northern territories Affaires, Social Affaires, Re-Challenge, Deregulation
19/11/07 6CP Bruxelles 14
New S&T strategy: 2nd Basic Plan• Basic ideas
– S&T to serve the society– Strategic approach
• To create a competitive environment• To implement evaluation system• To reinforce tripartite cooperation• To reinforce the inter-ministerial coordination
– Priority domains• Life sciences, IT, Environment, Nanotech & Materials
• Total budget– 24 trillion yen (actual expenditure 21.1 trillion)
≈ 144 billion €– 36% increase over the 1st Basic Plan
19/11/07 6CP Bruxelles 15
New S&T strategy: 3rd Basic Plan
• Accelerating Innovation– To promote “Centers of excellence”– To stimulate interdisciplinary fields– To enhance the quality of human resources
• System reforms– To enhance the mobility of people– To attract foreign researchers– To make research environments more competitive
• Total budget– 25 trillion yen (≈ 150 billion €)
19/11/07 6CP Bruxelles 16
New S&T strategy:Strategic priority setting (1)
• Basic research• Steady promotion
• Policy mission-oriented R&D– 4 priority promotion areas: Life science, IT, Environmental sciences,
Nanotech & materials)– 4 promotion areas: Energy, MONODZUKURI-tech, Social infrastructure,
Frontier– Further prioritization based on:
• Future impact on science, economy, and society• Japan’s competitive advantage• Public & Private partnership
• Strategic S&T priorities including “Key technologies of national importance”• +Various measures for promoting S&T
19/11/07 6CP Bruxelles 17
New S&T strategy:Strategic priority setting (2)
Total S&T budget (FY2007): 3.57 trillion yen
Basic research&
higher education
1.42 trillion yen
Policy mission-oriented R&D
1.79 trillion yen
Strategic S&Tpriorities
286 billion yen(16%)
62 Strategic S&T priorities
/273 R&D themes
Systems reform& others
365 billion yen
19/11/07 6CP Bruxelles 18
9
Taking international leadership for overcoming global warming
Connecting basic research and the development of new drugs and other clinical technologies Life science
Environment
Minimizing damages in case of a catastrophic disasterSocial
infrastructure
Transportation systems for outer-space and deep-sea utilizationFrontier and others…
Bioinformatics
Winning international competition in next generation-super computers and in the IT industryIT
Nano-device sensors
Making breakthroughs with innovative materialsNano & materials * Other various
integrated areas of S&T exist
Further strengthening Japan’s MONODZUKURI-techMONODZUKURI
Energy-saving MONODZUKURI-tech
Breaking the dependency on oil in transportation servicesEnergy
New S&T strategy:Strategic priority setting (3)
19/11/07 6CP Bruxelles 19
New S&T strategy:Strategic priority setting (4)
• Key technologies of national importance– Next generation super computer* (IT)– Marine-earth observation & exploration system (E
nvironment, Social infrastructure, & Frontier)– X-ray free electron laser (Nano & Materials)– Fast reactor cycle technology development (Energ
y)– Space transportation system (Frontier)
* Presentation on Nov. 20
19/11/07 6CP Bruxelles 20
New S&T strategy: Innovation 25
• Former Prime Minister Abe’s vision (2006)– “Innovation” and “Openness”
– Innovation 25 Strategy Council (Cabinet Office)
• Long Term Strategic Guidelines “Innovation 25” – Adopted at a Cabinet meeting (June 2007)
– Policy roadmap towards Japan based on innovation• Strategies for social system reform
• Roadmap for technology innovation strategies
• Institutional reform, including inter-ministry cooperation
19/11/07 6CP Bruxelles 21
New S&T strategy: PATS
• Characteristics of “Projects for Accelerating the Transfer to Society”– Interdisciplinary approach– Public-Private cooperation– Inter-ministry approach– Embedded system reform
• Projects aiming for:– “A society where all can stay healthy throughout life”– “A safe and secured society”– “A society with diversified lifestyles”– “A society contributing to resolve the global issues”– “A society open to the world”
19/11/07 6CP Bruxelles 22
・ Standardization (METI)・ Facilitating the use of newly developed technologies (MHLW, METI)・ Regulations related to the application in different fields (concerned ministries)
RoboticsMETI
(1.2 billion yen)
Supporting mobility, autonomy, communication
Reduced physical & time constraints
Family taking care
Elderly, disable, sick
persons
2008 2012
Use
2025
Development
Applied researchMinistry of Health, La
bour and Welfare(80 million yen)
Rehabilitation devices
Telemedicine system
2008 FY
Robots for assisting mobility, communication, autonomy
Home care Project
Cost reduction
Care facilities
Example: Advanced home care for elderly people, disable people, & sick persons
Technologiessupporting in-home care
Experimental proof
System reform
Society whereall can
stay healthy throughout
life
Medical & health care devices
19/11/07 6CP Bruxelles 23
“Grand Projets” still alive!• But…
– transforming their:• Mission• Supervisor• Governance & Management• Funding structure• Scope (R&D + institutional reform)
– As a response to the changing:• Economic & social environment• Institutional framework
• “Grands Projets” as an evolving political tool!