Grameenphone Ltd. 3rd Quarter 2014
Transcript of Grameenphone Ltd. 3rd Quarter 2014
46.04 47.11
48.68 49.23 50.29
41.6% 41.4% 42.2% 42.2%
Q3'13 Q4'13 Q1'14 Q2'14 *Q3'14
Subscriptions (Mn) and Market Share
2
● Revenue growth impacted by
– FIFA world cup
– Inclement weather
– Reduction in international call
termination rate
● Healthy margins and improved
normalized bottom line
● Crossed 50 Mn subscriber milestone
● Growing subscriber market share
● Competition remains intense
3Q 2014
Moderate revenue growth impacted by external factors
YoY Growth%
Service revenue generated by own subscription minus interconnection
EBITDA before other items
OCF equals EBITDA minus Capex (excluding license fees)
+ 9.2%
2.4%
Revenue
2.8%
Service
72%
Data
54%
EBITDA
43%
OCF
*Other operator sub base of Sep’14 end not yet published
3
● Value for money product and service offerings
● Managing sales and price perception through
rural activation program
● Creating impact zones for high visual appeal
● Regional empowerment for faster execution
● Moving ahead with attractive campaigns and
execution
– Focusing on innovative service offerings
– Engaging extensive trade push
– Driving more granular micro campaigns
3Q 2014
Strong presence in the competitive environment
4
3Q 2014
Implementing Internet for ALL ambition
● Impressive internet user & volume growth
● Monetization a challenge in intense data price
competitive market
● Attractive consumer led pioneering initiatives
– Firefox OS based low cost smart phone
– Free Facebook browsing to onboard new
subscribers
– Micro packs for first time small screen users
● Launched 3G smart bundles with more
affordability
● Offered double speed on 3G
Active Internet Users (Mn)*
* Minimum 150 KB usage within last 90 days
7.61
8.228.56
9.05
9.7510.18
Apr'14 May'14 Jun'14 Jul'14 Aug'14 Sep'14
5
3Q 2014
Enhanced network supremacy with coverage and quality
● 167 new 2G sites rolled out throughout the
country
● 72 new 3G sites with improved coverage
● Added capacity to cater higher data traffic
● Transformation ongoing for future readiness
with all IP based network
● Tools to monitor real time customer experience
● Further investment to strengthen network
leadership position
3G Site Rollout (Cumulative)
2,143 2,160
2,232
Q1'14 Q2'14 Q3'14
NBR’s claim against
replacement SIM
− LTU formed a committee consisting of AMTOB,
BTRC and NBR to resolve
− Procedure inconsistent with original terms of
reference
− Operators position unchanged on principle issue
− Resolution through administrative mechanism has
been recently sought from Finance minister
6
3Q 2014
Regulatory updates
Imposition of 1% surcharge
on mobile usage
− On 15 Sep’14, Cabinet approved this on the total
income accrued from all services through a SIM
− The tax would be additional to the existing 15%
VAT on mobile phone service usage
− Will be passed on to customers
50% cut in International Call
Termination rates
− BTRC issued directive with $ 0.015 floor price for 6
months on ‘test basis’ with effect from 19 Sep’14
− Revenue sharing distribution increased to 22.5%
− AMTOB requested for initiation of consultation
process to address relevant issues
ARPU, AMPU and APPM
178 165 166 170 165
255 240 240 250 243
0.70 0.69 0.69 0.68 0.68
Q3'13 Q4'13 Q1'14 Q2'14 Q3'14
ARPU (BDT) AMPU APPM (BDT)
● Revenue growth driven by improvement in
data and VAS segment
● Adverse impact of external factors on voice
● Consistency of growth in YTD revenue
● ARPU erosion mainly driven by voice
● Stress on APPM from competitive offers
3Q 2014
Moderate revenue growth…
-7.2%
Deconsolidation of GPIT considered from Q3’13
YTD Revenue (BDT Bn) and Growth (YoY)
Revenue (BDT Bn) and Growth (YoY)
25.0 24.3 24.9
26.2 25.6
9.4% 9.2%6.3%
9.8%
2.4%
Q3'13 Q4'13 Q1'14 Q2'14 Q3'14
72.3 76.7
4.5% 6.1%
YTD 2013 YTD 2014
NPAT, Tax, D&A (BDT Bn) and NPAT%
*EBITDA (BDT Bn) and Margin
3Q 2014
Healthy EBITDA & NPAT . . .
* EBITDA before other items
● EBITDA growth of 4.8% with further
margin improvement
● Efficiency in opex management
● 13.4% growth in NPAT normalizing
GPIT gain (1.0Bn) in Q3’13
● Higher depreciation from additional
investment
● Foreign exchange gain
13.3
12.5
13.4
14.2 14.0
53.2% 51.2% 53.7% 54.0% 54.3%
Q3'13 Q4'13 Q1'14 Q2'14 Q3'14
22.9%16.4% 20.7% 20.7% 20.9%
3.8 4.2 4.2 4.1 4.3
0.71.2 0.4 0.4 0.2
4.1 3.0 3.6 4.2 4.1
4.7 4.0 5.25.4 5.3
1.0
13.3
12.5 13.4
14.2 14.0
Q3'13 Q4'13 Q1'14 Q2'14 Q3'14
D&A FC & Others Tax NPAT GPIT gain
10
● Higher EPS (normalized) resulted from
higher net profit.
● Improved OCF from higher EBITDA,
and lower capex.
● NAV resulted from accumulated profit,
partly offset by dividend payment.
3Q 2014
Key financial figures . . . Earnings per Share (BDT)
NAV (BDT Bn) and NAV/Share (BDT) *OCF (BDT Bn) and OCF/Share (BDT)
*OCF equals EBITDA minus Capex
Gain from sale of GPIT
- 6.8% / +13.4%
3.49
0.76
4.25
2.95
3.82 4.01 3.96
Q3'13 Q4'13 Q1'14 Q2'14 Q3'14
27.2 31.1
36.3 35.0
27.5
20.11 23.06
26.88 25.90 20.35
Q3'13 Q4'13 Q1'14 Q2'14 Q3'14
10.09
6.26
10.64 10.4911.12
7.48
4.63
7.88 7.77 8.23
Q3'13 Q4'13 Q1'14 Q2'14 Q3'14
*Capex (BDT Bn) and Capex/Sales%
Contribution to Government (BDT Bn)
11
● YTD investment of BDT 9.3 Bn in
Capex
● BDT 46.5 Bn contribution to national
exchequer, comprising 61% of total
revenue
3Q 2014
Investment & contribution . . .
* Excluding license fees
*
2G & 3G related payments
3.2
6.2
2.8
3.7
2.8
12.9%
25.5%
11.1% 14.1% 11.1%
Q3'13 Q4'13 Q1'14 Q2'14 Q3'14
17.5 6.9
31.0
11.9 10.7
23.5
12.3
Q3'13 Q4'13 Q1'14 Q2'14 Q3'14
12
Summing up
Growth momentum is intact with some adversity
Strong presence in market amidst intensified competition
Initiatives are ongoing for Internet for ALL ambition
Further investment in network for strengthening leadership position