Grain: World Markets and Tradeuga.ua/wp-content/uploads/USDA.pdf · 6 TRADE CHANGES IN 2017/18...

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Grain: World Markets and Trade Approved by the World Agricultural Outlook Board - USDA United States Department of Agriculture Foreign Agricultural Service October 2017 Australia Frontloads Wheat Exports For email subscription, click here to register: https://public.govdelivery.com/accounts/USDAFAS/subscriber/new On the heels of a record crop last year, Australia continues to move old-crop supplies in the first quarter of 2017/18 trade year (July-June). Therefore, Australia wheat exports are forecast to remain comparatively high at 20.0 million tons, despite a smaller production forecast. Even so, Australia is still expected to have ample old-crop supplies when the bulk of its new harvest enters the market around December. The majority of Australia’s exports are destined for Asia, which continues to have strong demand for high-quality wheat. During the second half of the trade year, some regional demand may be filled by Black Sea supplies, which will be substantially more abundant and competitively priced. For example, as those large crops enter the market, Australia’s dominant share in Indonesia, the second largest global wheat importer, may be threatened. Indonesia prefers Australian wheat, but will purchase Black Sea wheat when there is a large spread in price. 0 5 10 15 20 25 MMT Exports (TY Jul-Jun) 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 MMT Ending Stocks (MY Oct-Sep) Black Sea 20% Australia 47% Others 4% Canada 17% U.S. 12% Indonesia Wheat Imports TY 2016/17

Transcript of Grain: World Markets and Tradeuga.ua/wp-content/uploads/USDA.pdf · 6 TRADE CHANGES IN 2017/18...

Page 1: Grain: World Markets and Tradeuga.ua/wp-content/uploads/USDA.pdf · 6 TRADE CHANGES IN 2017/18 Selected Importers India is down 500,000 tons to 3.5 million based on a larger domestic

Grain:

World Markets and Trade

Approved by the World Agricultural Outlook Board - USDA

United States

Department of

Agriculture

Foreign

Agricultural

Service

October 2017

Australia Frontloads Wheat Exports

For email subscription, click here to register: https://public.govdelivery.com/accounts/USDAFAS/subscriber/new

On the heels of a record crop last

year, Australia continues to move

old-crop supplies in the first quarter

of 2017/18 trade year (July-June).

Therefore, Australia wheat exports

are forecast to remain comparatively

high at 20.0 million tons, despite a

smaller production forecast. Even

so, Australia is still expected to have

ample old-crop supplies when the

bulk of its new harvest enters the

market around December. The

majority of Australia’s exports are

destined for Asia, which continues to

have strong demand for high-quality

wheat.

During the second half of the trade

year, some regional demand may be

filled by Black Sea supplies, which

will be substantially more abundant

and competitively priced. For

example, as those large crops enter

the market, Australia’s dominant

share in Indonesia, the second largest

global wheat importer, may be

threatened. Indonesia prefers

Australian wheat, but will purchase

Black Sea wheat when there is a

large spread in price.

0

5

10

15

20

25

MM

T

Exports (TY Jul-Jun)

0

1

2

3

4

5

6

7

8

9

MM

T

Ending Stocks (MY Oct-Sep)

Black Sea

20%

Australia

47% Others

4%

Canada

17%

U.S.

12%

Indonesia Wheat Imports TY 2016/17

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2

TABLE OF CONTENTS

World Markets and Trade: Commentary and Current Data Wheat ................................................................................................................. 4

Rice .................................................................................................................. 10

Coarse Grains ................................................................................................... 18

Historical Data Series for Selected Regions and Countries ............................ 40

Endnotes to Grain: World Markets and Trade ............................................... 59

The Foreign Agricultural Service (FAS) updates its production, supply and distribution (PSD)

database for cotton, oilseeds, and grains at 12:00 p.m. on the day the World Agricultural Supply

and Demand Estimates (WASDE) report is released. This circular is released by 12:15 p.m.

To download the tables in the publication, go to Production, Supply and Distribution Database

(PSD Online): (http://apps.fas.usda.gov/psdonline/psdHome.aspx), scroll down to Reports, and

Click the plus sign [+] next to Grains.

FAS Reports and Databases:

Current World Markets and Trade and World Agricultural Production Reports:

http://apps.fas.usda.gov/psdonline/psdDataPublications.aspx

Archives World Markets and Trade and World Agricultural Production Reports:

http://usda.mannlib.cornell.edu/MannUsda/viewTaxonomy.do?taxonomyID=7

Production, Supply and Distribution Database (PSD Online):

http://apps.fas.usda.gov/psdonline/psdHome.aspx

Global Agricultural Trade System (U.S. Exports and Imports):

http://apps.fas.usda.gov/gats/default.aspx

Export Sales Report:

http://apps.fas.usda.gov/esrquery/

Global Agricultural Information Network (Agricultural Attaché Reports):

http://gain.fas.usda.gov/Pages/Default.aspx

Other USDA Reports:

World Agricultural Supply and Demand Estimates (WASDE):

http://www.usda.gov/oce/commodity/wasde/

Economic Research Service:

http://www.ers.usda.gov/topics/crops

National Agricultural Statistics Service:

http://www.nass.usda.gov/Publications/

Foreign Agricultural Service/USDA October 2017Office of Global Analysis

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All Grain Summary Comparison

Million Metric Tons

Marketing Year

Wheat Rice, Milled Corn

2017/182016/172015/162017/182016/172015/162017/182016/172015/16

Production

United States (Jun-May) 56.1 62.8 47.4 6.1 7.1 5.7 345.5 384.8 362.7

Other 679.2 691.3 703.8 466.5 480.0 478.1 626.9 690.5 676.1

World Total 735.3 754.1 751.2 472.6 487.1 483.8 972.4 1,075.3 1,038.8

Domestic Consumption

United States (Jun-May) 31.9 31.8 30.9 3.6 4.2 3.7 298.8 313.8 315.9

Other 677.2 703.8 707.6 462.6 472.5 475.3 688.8 721.8 744.0

World Total 709.1 735.6 738.5 466.2 476.7 479.0 987.6 1,035.6 1,059.9

Ending Stocks

United States (Jun-May) 26.6 32.1 26.1 1.5 1.5 0.9 44.1 58.3 59.4

Other 214.6 224.5 242.0 130.5 136.7 140.6 169.9 168.7 141.6

World Total 241.2 256.6 268.1 132.0 138.2 141.5 214.0 227.0 201.0

TY Imports

United States (Jun-May) 3.1 3.3 4.1 0.8 0.8 0.8 1.8 1.4 1.3

Other 165.5 176.0 174.9 36.7 40.9 41.3 136.7 139.5 145.6

World Total 168.6 179.3 179.0 37.5 41.7 42.1 138.5 140.9 146.9

TY Exports

United States (Jun-May) 21.8 29.5 26.0 3.4 3.6 3.5 51.2 55.5 47.0

Other 150.2 152.3 155.9 36.7 41.0 40.9 93.7 86.4 103.9

World Total 172.0 181.8 181.9 40.1 44.6 44.4 144.9 141.9 150.9

Note: Consumption in this table has not been adjusted for differences in marketing year imports and

exports and therefore differs from global totals shown elsewhere.Marketing years for U.S. grains are:

Wheat (Jun-May), Rice (Aug-Jul), Corn (Sep-Aug).'Marketing Year' column is germane for U.S. wheat

only.

Foreign Agricultural Service/USDA October 2017Office of Global Analysis

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4

WHEAT: WORLD MARKETS AND TRADE

OVERVIEW

For 2017/18, global production is up this month as larger crops are expected for Canada, the

European Union, India, Morocco, Russia, and Turkey. Global trade is forecast nearly unchanged

from last month, but remains a record. Imports are forecast down for India and Turkey, but

higher for Iraq. Exports are projected up for Argentina and Canada, offsetting a reduction for

Australia. U.S. trade is unchanged this month. Global ending stocks, already forecast at a record,

are further raised this month. The season-average farm price is unchanged at $4.60 per bushel.

PRICES

Domestic: Overall, wheat prices were up in September, largely on concerns over dry conditions

in some competing countries, especially Australia. Prices fell back slightly at the end of the

month in response to NASS reports which indicated a larger-than-expected spring wheat crop as

well as higher-than-anticipated stocks. Hard Red Winter (HRW) and Soft Red Spring (SRW)

were both up $16/ton to $202 and $180, respectively. While Soft Winter White (SWW)

improved $5/ton to $201 and Hard Red Spring (HRS) increased $4/ton to $277.

100120140160180200220240260280300320340360380400

$/M

T

U.S. Daily FOB Export Bids

HRW SRW SWW HRS

Foreign Agricultural Service/USDA October 2017Office of Global Analysis

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5

FEATURE

Global Wheat Trade Skyrockets in 10 Years

Global trade in 2017/18 is forecast at a record, having grown by nearly 60 percent over the last

decade. Growing import demand in Southeast Asia, Sub-Saharan Africa, and the Middle East

accounts for the majority of the growth in global trade. In Southeast Asia, import demand has

climbed with rising populations and a change in consumer preference from rice to wheat-based

products. Additionally, wheat is commonly used in feed rations, especially for aquaculture. In

Sub-Saharan Africa and the Middle East, consumer demand for wheat-based products is

expanding based on rapidly growing urban populations. Given agronomic and climatic

conditions in those regions, production has not kept pace with consumption growth and imports

have filled the gap.

Larger production in exporting countries has also contributed to the rising tide of wheat trade.

Among major exporters, the European Union, Russia, and Ukraine have seen the most significant

growth in production, spurred by both larger planted areas and higher yields. Consumption in

those countries has grown at a much slower rate, leaving substantially larger exportable supplies.

Further, these suppliers benefit from freight and logistical advantages in reaching many growth

markets in Africa and the Middle East. With competitive prices, Ukraine has greatly expanded

shipments to Asia as well. The combined market share for these three suppliers has nearly

doubled during this period, with the European Union and Russia forecast to surpass the United

States in total export volume this year.

100

110

120

130

140

150

160

170

180

190MMT

Foreign Agricultural Service/USDA October 2017Office of Global Analysis

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6

TRADE CHANGES IN 2017/18

Selected Importers

India is down 500,000 tons to 3.5 million based on a larger domestic crop.

Iraq is elevated 200,000 tons to 2.9 million due to the pace of flour trade from

Turkey.

Turkey is lowered 500,000 tons to 4.5 million based on a larger domestic crop.

Selected Exporters

Argentina is raised 500,000 tons to 12.0 million on a strong pace of trade at the start

of the trade year.

Australia is cut 1.0 million tons to 20.0 million based on a smaller crop.

Canada is up 500,000 tons to 21.0 million based on a larger crop.

Foreign Agricultural Service/USDA October 2017Office of Global Analysis

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World Wheat, Flour, and Products Trade

July/June Year, Thousand Metric Tons

2013/14 2014/15 2015/16 2016/17 2017/18

Sep

2017/18

Oct

none

TY Exports

12,00011,50012,2758,7504,2001,675 Argentina

20,00021,00022,07015,78216,57518,339 Australia

21,00020,50020,27922,11924,88322,156 Canada

28,50028,50027,31134,68635,45532,032 European Union

7,5007,5006,7507,6005,5078,000 Kazakhstan

1,4001,4001,1191,5681,1041,322 Mexico

32,50032,50027,80925,54322,80018,609 Russia

1,1001,1001,0438805931,198 Serbia

6,5006,5006,1775,6054,1354,293 Turkey

16,50016,50018,10717,43111,2699,755 Ukraine

8,9098,8999,40410,23312,35613,571 Others

155,909155,899152,344150,197138,877130,950 Subtotal

26,00026,00029,48821,81123,02331,529 United States

181,909181,899181,832172,008161,900162,479 World Total

none

TY Imports

2,6002,6002,7002,7002,0002,050 Afghanistan

8,2008,1008,4148,1537,2577,484 Algeria

6,5006,5005,5564,7203,9293,354 Bangladesh

7,3007,2007,7885,9225,8697,061 Brazil

3,0003,0004,4103,4761,9266,773 China

2,1502,1502,1102,0321,6271,746 Colombia

12,00012,00011,23611,92511,30010,150 Egypt

6,5006,5005,2756,9165,9793,976 European Union

3,5004,0006,14730127322 India

10,50010,50010,17610,0457,4777,391 Indonesia

2,9002,7002,4472,2182,2533,246 Iraq

5,8005,8005,9115,7155,8786,123 Japan

4,5004,5004,6674,4203,9424,288 Korea, South

5,2005,2005,3704,8054,4714,639 Mexico

4,8004,8005,1914,5034,0863,928 Morocco

5,0005,0004,9724,4104,2444,580 Nigeria

2,1502,1502,0201,7991,9072,114 Peru

5,6505,6505,7044,9185,0543,476 Philippines

3,8003,8003,7162,9313,4993,441 Saudi Arabia

2,6002,6002,4582,0212,6322,664 Sudan

3,0003,0003,6894,8723,4921,759 Thailand

4,5005,0004,5424,4055,9604,147 Turkey

2,8002,8002,7002,6622,2302,224 Uzbekistan

4,8004,8005,5483,0702,2922,157 Vietnam

3,4003,4003,3003,3323,2453,425 Yemen

51,70151,52149,97253,26951,92753,448 Others

174,851175,271176,019165,540154,749155,666 Subtotal

2,9582,5282,5163,4143,1622,028 Unaccounted

4,1004,1003,2973,0543,9894,785 United States

181,909181,899181,832172,008161,900162,479 World Total

TY=Trade Year, see Endnotes.

Foreign Agricultural Service/USDA October 2017Office of Global Analysis

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World Wheat Production, Consumption, and Stocks

Local Marketing Years, Thousand Metric Tons

2013/14 2014/15 2015/16 2016/17 2017/18

Sep

2017/18

Oct

none

Production

17,50017,50018,40011,30013,93010,500 Argentina

21,50022,50033,50022,27523,74325,303 Australia

27,00026,50031,70027,59429,42037,530 Canada

130,000130,000128,850130,190126,208121,930 China

8,1008,1008,1008,1008,3008,250 Egypt

151,039148,870145,466160,480156,912144,583 European Union

98,38096,00087,00086,53095,85093,506 India

15,00015,00015,50015,00013,00014,500 Iran

14,00014,00014,98513,74812,99613,941 Kazakhstan

6,2505,8002,7318,0645,1156,933 Morocco

26,20026,20025,60025,10025,97924,211 Pakistan

82,00081,00072,52961,04459,08052,091 Russia

21,00020,00017,25019,50015,25018,750 Turkey

26,50026,50026,80027,27424,75022,278 Ukraine

7,2007,2007,2007,2007,1506,800 Uzbekistan

52,14552,34555,70455,74355,35655,879 Others

703,814697,515691,315679,142673,039656,985 Subtotal

47,37147,33462,83356,11755,14758,105 United States

751,185744,849754,148735,259728,186715,090 World Total

none

Total Consumption

10,45010,45010,35010,25010,0509,850 Algeria

11,70011,70012,00011,10010,70011,400 Brazil

8,2008,20010,3007,8999,0439,422 Canada

116,000116,000118,500112,000116,500116,500 China

19,70020,00019,40019,20019,10018,500 Egypt

128,250127,250128,500129,850124,677117,300 European Union

100,00099,00097,12088,55193,10293,848 India

9,7009,7009,5009,1007,3657,165 Indonesia

18,35018,35018,10017,80017,50017,000 Iran

10,30010,30010,2009,8009,0009,000 Morocco

25,40025,40024,50024,40024,50024,100 Pakistan

43,50043,00040,00037,00035,50034,100 Russia

17,90017,70017,40018,00017,50017,750 Turkey

10,00010,00010,30012,20011,50011,500 Ukraine

9,9009,9009,7009,3508,9008,400 Uzbekistan

168,249168,178167,963160,610154,158150,692 Others

708,710705,809707,021679,879673,877663,698 Subtotal

30,91731,73331,75131,94231,32834,260 United States

739,627737,542738,772711,821705,205697,958 World Total

none

Ending Stocks

5,1155,1156,8655,1787,10110,398 Canada

127,254127,254111,05497,04276,10565,274 China

11,27610,06810,48715,55712,6979,938 European Union

11,1809,9209,80014,54017,22017,830 India

5,1924,7424,5426,8544,2794,316 Morocco

4,5624,5624,3323,8293,7102,191 Pakistan

17,33016,83510,8305,6076,2875,177 Russia

60,09159,26066,53366,04169,88663,592 Others

242,000237,756224,443214,648197,285178,716 Subtotal

26,13425,38232,13326,55220,47716,065 United States

268,134263,138256,576241,200217,762194,781 World Total

Foreign Agricultural Service/USDA October 2017Office of Global Analysis

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Regional Wheat Imports, Production, Consumption, and Stocks

Thousand Metric Tons

2013/14 2014/15 2015/16 2016/17

Sep

2017/18

Oct

2017/18

TY Imports none

9,866 North America 8,955 8,356 9,156 9,750 9,750

1,833 Central America 1,834 1,834 1,993 2,010 2,010

14,879 South America 13,132 13,342 16,307 15,595 15,845

3,976 European Union - 28 5,979 6,916 5,275 6,500 6,500

1,858 Other Europe 1,760 1,828 1,970 1,860 1,860

7,528 Former Soviet Union - 12 7,678 7,402 7,406 7,960 7,960

28,447 Middle East 26,928 24,499 22,794 23,720 23,520

25,246 North Africa 25,430 27,873 28,334 28,250 28,350

20,405 Sub-Saharan Africa 20,963 22,865 22,236 23,550 23,520

19,465 East Asia 14,114 16,226 17,355 15,830 15,780

6,722 South Asia 8,164 8,823 15,469 14,261 13,771

17,176 Southeast Asia 20,576 25,483 27,763 26,710 26,710

3,050 Others 3,225 3,147 3,258 3,375 3,375

160,451 Total 158,738 168,594 179,316 179,371 178,951

Production none

99,012 North America 88,254 87,462 98,417 77,484 77,921

19,803 South America 24,581 21,601 28,646 25,488 25,388

144,583 European Union - 28 156,912 160,480 145,466 148,870 151,039

4,228 Other Europe 4,088 4,359 4,749 4,235 4,235

103,824 Former Soviet Union - 12 112,382 117,964 130,737 137,273 138,273

41,708 Middle East 35,414 42,905 39,885 41,675 42,675

19,660 North Africa 17,028 19,976 14,081 17,800 18,150

7,204 Sub-Saharan Africa 7,477 6,433 7,227 7,289 7,389

123,248 East Asia 127,650 131,515 130,153 131,344 131,344

125,917 South Asia 130,057 119,676 120,688 130,300 132,680

25,716 Oceania 24,157 22,689 33,918 22,920 21,920

187 Others 186 199 181 171 171

715,090 Total 728,186 735,259 754,148 744,849 751,185

Domestic Consumption none

50,332 North America 47,221 46,841 49,851 47,533 46,717

27,321 South America 27,090 27,840 28,790 28,590 28,615

117,300 European Union - 28 124,677 129,850 128,500 127,250 128,250

4,857 Other Europe 4,875 4,935 5,035 5,035 5,035

72,755 Former Soviet Union - 12 74,990 77,775 79,130 82,190 82,690

58,764 Middle East 58,357 60,110 60,536 61,590 61,940

42,475 North Africa 42,726 43,666 44,570 45,375 45,075

26,371 Sub-Saharan Africa 27,225 28,593 29,189 29,907 29,853

130,201 East Asia 129,523 125,246 132,135 129,610 129,560

132,041 South Asia 132,306 128,914 139,104 142,421 143,421

16,610 Southeast Asia 19,295 23,195 25,775 25,070 25,070

8,280 Oceania 8,564 8,505 9,140 8,420 8,420

3,480 Others 3,574 3,582 3,829 3,870 3,870

690,787 Total 700,423 709,052 735,584 736,861 738,516

Ending Stocks none

26,782 North America 28,101 32,241 39,844 31,193 31,845

6,776 South America 8,639 4,033 4,899 4,308 4,603

9,938 European Union - 28 12,697 15,557 10,487 10,068 11,276

1,009 Other Europe 1,321 1,598 1,962 1,767 1,767

15,832 Former Soviet Union - 12 20,662 16,771 21,933 27,494 27,991

18,834 Middle East 18,474 19,868 15,971 12,531 12,991

14,044 North Africa 13,214 16,626 13,861 13,651 14,601

2,856 Sub-Saharan Africa 3,043 3,198 2,781 2,857 2,902

68,314 East Asia 79,217 100,432 114,423 130,567 130,567

21,661 South Asia 23,109 21,040 16,637 17,197 18,457

3,491 Southeast Asia 3,921 5,349 6,444 7,185 7,124

4,826 Oceania 4,926 4,076 6,898 3,898 3,583

418 Others 438 411 436 422 427

194,781 Total 217,762 241,200 256,576 263,138 268,134

NOTES: Regional definitions appear on last page of this circular. Imports are reported on a trade year basis. All other data are

reported using local marketing years.

Foreign Agricultural Service/USDA October 2017Office of Global Analysis

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RICE: WORLD MARKETS AND TRADE

OVERVIEW

For 2017/18, global production is raised this month to the second highest on record as larger

crops in Nigeria and Egypt more than offset reductions in Bangladesh and Brazil. Consumption

is lowered as multi-year downward revisions for China exceed upward revisions for Nigeria.

With lower consumption, global stocks are raised to the highest level since 2000/01. Global

trade is nearly unchanged this month, as larger imports by Bangladesh and Nigeria nearly offset

reductions for the Philippines and Ghana.

PRICES

Export quotes for the top Asian suppliers remained relatively flat over the past month, down

from the pre-harvest peaks. The narrow spread between Asian exporters reflects strong

competition for the ongoing Bangladeshi tenders. Thai and Indian quotes have converged

around $405/ton, while Vietnamese quotes are at $390/ton and Pakistani quotes are slightly

below these at $385/ton. Meanwhile, the U.S. quote has risen to $560/ton, largely on the smaller

U.S. crop.

300

350

400

450

500

550

600

650

10/8/2013 10/8/2014 10/8/2015 10/8/2016 10/8/2017

$/MT Weekly Price Quotes: Last 4 Years

U.S. #2/4 (long-grain) THAI 100BVIETNAM 5% INDIA 5%PAKISTAN 5%

Foreign Agricultural Service/USDA October 2017Office of Global Analysis

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11

REVISION OF CHINESE STOCKS AND CONSUMPTION SERIES

Estimates for Chinese rice consumption and stocks have been revised this month (from 2010/11

to present) to more closely reflect current dynamics in the market. China’s government does not

publish estimates of rice stocks. Therefore, estimates of consumption and stocks are based on

assumptions regarding the trends in the market, supported by facts regarding government

procurement and auctions of the state reserves.

USDA estimates of consumption include all uses for rice. In the case of China, this primarily

includes food use, but also feed, industrial, seed, waste, and loss. Chinese depend not only on

rice but also on wheat and to a lesser extent on corn for their grain intake. In addition, with

rising incomes, animal protein consumption has been rising. Rice is a relatively expensive

feedstuff and has become more so in the context of more abundant corn in recent years. Seed

use has remained relatively stable.

In total, rice consumption is currently estimated as stable around 103 kg per person over the past

5 years, revised down from 104-106 kg/person in last month’s data. This compares to 74

kg/person for wheat food, seed, and industrial (FSI) use. Chinese rice per capita consumption

remains above other East Asian countries such as Japan (67 kg), South Korea (94 kg), and

Taiwan (48 kg).

Current Chinese government policy has been to encourage the production of rice by maintaining

relatively high procurement prices. Though the procurement price has declined slightly this

year, selling to government reserves remains an attractive option for producers. The policy has

led to a rapid accumulation of stocks. Government purchases for the state reserve have averaged

over 30 million tons of paddy per year since 2013. The 2017/18 procurement is ongoing, so the

total acquired this year for state reserves is not yet known.

0

20

40

60

80

100

120

140

160

MM

T

China's Rice Stocks Continue Rapid Growth As Consumption Remains Steady

Consumption

Stocks

Foreign Agricultural Service/USDA October 2017Office of Global Analysis

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12

The procurement by the government has only been partially offset by the release of the acquired

stocks. Auctions of those reserves have been ongoing, but typically only a small percentage of

what has been offered has been sold. In multiple auctions during 2016, half a million tons were

offered at auction but nothing was sold.

However, the dynamics have begun to change in 2017, with more than 10 percent sold from what

has been offered. Auctions are now being held twice a week. Since the beginning of the

Chinese marketing year in July 2017, nearly 5 million tons of paddy has been sold at prices

ranging $300 to $470/mt. Recent auctions confirm that rice even from the 2013 crop is still held

in the state reserves in large quantities. The quality of rice in large government-held stocks is

unknown.

China’s challenge of large stocks is not unique to rice. Similarly, China wheat stocks are

currently seen to be exceptionally large, set to exceed annual use this year. Corn stocks hit a

peak in 2015/16, but have since been in decline after the government removed the minimum

purchase price. Likewise, this is not the first time that the country has struggled with enormous

quantities of rice. A similar and even larger amount was held in the late 1990s.

The updated consumption and stocks statistics imply a 61 percent stocks-to-use ratio within

China at the end of 2016/17 and the is expected to rise to 65 percent by the end of 2017/18.

0

20

40

60

80

100

120

MM

T

China's Ending Stocks

Previous Estimate Revision

Foreign Agricultural Service/USDA October 2017Office of Global Analysis

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13

China Rice Supply and Distribution Tables

(Thousand Metric Tons)

REVISED DATA

Attribute 2010/11 2011/12 2012/13 2013/14 2014/15 2015/16 2016/17 2017/18

Beginning Stocks 40,534 42,500 47,500 54,000 60,500 69,000 78,500 86,500

Milled Production 137,000

140,700

143,000

142,530

144,560

145,770

144,850

144,000

MY Imports 540

1,790

3,150

4,000

4,700

4,800

5,300

5,250

TY Imports 575

2,900

3,500

4,450

5,150

4,600

5,250

5,250

Total Supply 178,074

184,990

193,650

200,530

209,760

219,570

228,650

235,750

MY Exports 500

441

341

260

426

271

805

900

TY Exports 487

267

447

393

262

368

900

1,000

Consumption and Residual

135,074

137,049

139,309

139,770

140,334

140,799

141,345

142,350

Ending Stocks 42,500 47,500 54,000 60,500 69,000 78,500 86,500 92,500

Total Distribution 178,074

184,990

193,650

200,530

209,760

219,570

228,650

235,750

DIFFERENCE FROM SEPTEMBER ESTIMATE

Attribute 2010/11 2011/12 2012/13 2013/14 2014/15 2015/16 2016/17 2017/18

Beginning Stocks - (74)

2,477

4,168

7,398 11,564 14,765 16,920

Milled Production - - - - - - - -

MY Imports - - - - - - - -

TY Imports - - - - - - - -

Total Supply - (74)

2,477

4,168

7,398 11,564 14,765 16,920

MY Exports - - - - - - - -

TY Exports - - - - - - - -

Consumption and Residual

74

(2,551)

(1,691)

(3,230)

(4,166)

(3,201)

(2,155)

(650)

Ending Stocks (74)

2,477

4,168

7,398 11,564 14,765 16,920 17,570

Total Distribution - (74)

2,477

4,168

7,398 11,564 14,765 16,920

Foreign Agricultural Service/USDA October 2017Office of Global Analysis

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14

Selected Trade Changes for 2018

Burma exports are raised 100,000 tons to 2.1 million on expectations of stronger demand

for competitively priced rice in bordering countries.

Bangladesh imports are up 200,000 tons to 1.2 million on a smaller crop. Production is

now forecast at the lowest since 2010/11.

Ghana imports are down 125,000 tons to 550,000 on a larger crop.

Nigeria imports are lifted 200,000 tons to 2.3 million tons on prospects of continued

consumption growth in line with prior years.

Philippines imports are trimmed 100,000 tons to 1.7 million based on limitations set by

the government on import arrival times.

Selected Trade Changes for 2017

Bangladesh imports are up 100,000 tons to 1.1 million, reflecting continued tenders for

emergency purchases.

Ghana imports are lowered 150,000 tons to 500,000 on the pace of trade.

Nigeria imports are up 200,000 tons to 2.4 million on greater demand for parboiled rice

within urban centers.

Philippines imports are cut 500,000 tons to 1.1 million based on government

announcements that the Minimum Access Volume imports will be allowed beginning in

late December.

Foreign Agricultural Service/USDA October 2017Office of Global Analysis

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World Rice Trade

January/December Year, Thousand Metric Tons

2013/14 2014/15 2015/16 2016/17 2017/18

Sep

2017/18

Oct

none

TY Exports

450450550527310494 Argentina

325325180165323404 Australia

650700650641895852 Brazil

2,1002,0002,4001,3001,7351,688 Burma

1,2501,2501,3501,1501,1501,000 Cambodia

1,0001,000900368262393 China

280280300270251284 European Union

450500430460486446 Guyana

11,80011,80011,20010,04011,04611,588 India

4,1004,1003,9004,0004,0003,700 Pakistan

500500470557371380 Paraguay

180180180198163187 Russia

10,00010,00010,5009,8679,77910,969 Thailand

900900925996718957 Uruguay

6,0006,0006,0005,0886,6066,325 Vietnam

9849941,0721,1401,1671,503 Others

40,96940,97941,00736,76739,26241,170 Subtotal

3,4503,4503,5503,3733,3812,947 United States

44,41944,42944,55740,14042,64344,117 World Total

none

TY Imports

575575550470450500 Angola

1,2001,0001,100355981,335 Bangladesh

600600640771363586 Brazil

540540520500500525 Cameroon

5,2505,2505,2504,6005,1504,450 China

1,5001,5001,3501,3001,150950 Cote d'Ivoire

580580550544575377 Cuba

1,9001,9001,8501,8161,7861,556 European Union

550675500700580590 Ghana

725725725650420520 Guinea

500500490431447387 Haiti

1,3001,3001,6001,1001,3001,400 Iran

1,0501,0501,0009301,0001,080 Iraq

685685685685688669 Japan

520520550500450440 Kenya

9009009008231,051989 Malaysia

800800820731719685 Mexico

675625650625575590 Mozambique

600600600530530520 Nepal

2,3002,1002,4002,1002,1003,200 Nigeria

1,7001,8001,1008002,0001,800 Philippines

1,4501,4501,4001,3001,6011,459 Saudi Arabia

1,0501,0501,000980990960 Senegal

9509501,000954912910 South Africa

825825750670580560 United Arab Emirates

12,66812,57812,99412,18712,92613,365 Others

41,39341,07840,97436,73239,44140,403 Subtotal

2,2762,6012,8332,6402,4452,959 Unaccounted

750750750768757755 United States

44,41944,42944,55740,14042,64344,117 World Total

TY=Trade Year, see Endnotes. Note about dates: 2017/18 is calendar year 2018, 2016/17 is calendar year 2017, and so on.

Foreign Agricultural Service/USDA October 2017Office of Global Analysis

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World Rice Production, Consumption, and Stocks

Local Marketing Years, Thousand Metric Tons

2013/14 2014/15 2015/16 2016/17 2017/18

Sep

2017/18

Oct

none

Milled Production

33,00033,50034,57834,50034,50034,390 Bangladesh

7,8208,0008,3827,2108,4658,300 Brazil

12,60012,60012,50012,16012,60011,957 Burma

5,0005,0004,9504,8474,7004,725 Cambodia

144,000144,000144,850145,770144,560142,530 China

4,3004,0004,8004,0004,5304,750 Egypt

110,000110,000110,150104,408105,482106,646 India

37,00037,00037,15036,20035,56036,300 Indonesia

7,6007,6007,7807,6707,8497,931 Japan

3,9003,9004,1974,3274,2414,230 Korea, South

3,6542,7723,6543,5283,4653,038 Nigeria

6,9006,9006,8506,8006,9006,798 Pakistan

11,20011,20011,68611,00011,91511,858 Philippines

20,40020,40019,20015,80018,75020,460 Thailand

28,45028,45027,97127,58428,16628,161 Vietnam

42,30342,32941,31040,63240,36640,349 Others

478,127477,651480,008466,436472,049472,423 Subtotal

5,6705,7077,1176,1337,1066,117 United States

483,797483,358487,125472,569479,155478,540 World Total

none

Consumption and Residual

34,80034,90035,00035,10035,10034,900 Bangladesh

7,9007,9007,9257,9007,9257,900 Brazil

10,50010,60010,60010,70010,60010,450 Burma

3,7503,7503,7003,7003,6153,650 Cambodia

142,350143,000141,345140,799140,334139,770 China

4,4004,2504,3003,9004,0004,000 Egypt

98,00098,00097,00093,56898,24498,727 India

37,40037,40037,60037,80038,30038,500 Indonesia

8,5008,5008,5508,6008,6008,380 Japan

4,6504,6504,7004,2124,1974,422 Korea, South

3,8503,8503,8243,3533,7703,831 Nepal

6,2004,9006,1006,0005,9005,800 Nigeria

12,90012,90012,90012,90013,00012,850 Philippines

11,50011,50012,0009,10010,00010,600 Thailand

22,60022,60022,50022,60022,00022,000 Vietnam

66,05866,11164,45862,40461,71461,185 Others

476,832476,520476,788464,592469,246471,266 Subtotal

3,6503,6514,1713,5804,2843,978 United States

480,482480,171480,959468,172473,530475,244 World Total

none

Ending Stocks

92,50074,93086,50078,50069,00060,500 China

20,75020,75020,55018,40017,80022,800 India

3,6193,6193,5393,5094,1115,501 Indonesia

2,0772,0772,3722,5322,8213,007 Japan

1,3941,3941,7361,8311,406899 Korea, South

1,9962,0961,9962,1102,4101,695 Philippines

4,5034,5035,3538,40311,27011,999 Thailand

13,79913,22814,69915,28117,27414,593 Others

140,638122,597136,745130,566126,092120,994 Subtotal

8849201,4621,4751,5521,025 United States

141,522123,517138,207132,041127,644122,019 World Total

Note: All data are reported on a milled basis.

Foreign Agricultural Service/USDA October 2017Office of Global Analysis

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Regional Rice Imports, Production, Consumption, and Stocks

Thousand Metric Tons

2013/14 2014/15 2015/16 2016/17

Sep

2017/18

Oct

2017/18

TY Imports none

1,801 North America 1,838 1,855 1,935 1,920 1,920

911 Caribbean 1,174 1,135 1,235 1,235 1,235

1,814 South America 1,685 1,955 1,627 1,612 1,602

132 Other Europe 128 136 140 140 140

626 Former Soviet Union - 12 571 457 461 460 460

6,711 Middle East 6,464 5,711 6,625 6,535 6,535

470 North Africa 396 446 545 435 435

12,658 Sub-Saharan Africa 11,355 12,119 13,005 13,220 13,415

6,044 East Asia 6,686 6,097 6,906 6,866 6,896

2,576 South Asia 1,693 945 2,985 2,400 2,600

5,023 Southeast Asia 5,677 3,883 3,580 4,305 4,205

2,392 Others 2,531 2,761 2,680 2,700 2,700

41,158 Total 40,198 37,500 41,724 41,828 42,143

Production none

6,248 North America 7,285 6,289 7,294 5,892 5,855

1,054 Caribbean 979 869 884 933 933

16,354 South America 16,550 15,391 16,682 16,625 16,403

1,937 European Union - 28 1,954 2,048 2,069 2,083 2,083

1,205 Former Soviet Union - 12 1,185 1,262 1,261 1,297 1,297

2,417 Middle East 2,245 2,392 2,455 2,475 2,475

4,776 North Africa 4,553 4,044 4,837 4,040 4,340

14,387 Sub-Saharan Africa 15,193 15,701 16,397 14,999 16,025

157,701 East Asia 159,486 160,179 159,571 158,244 158,194

154,255 South Asia 153,156 152,263 157,145 156,953 156,375

116,867 Southeast Asia 115,367 111,317 117,228 118,471 118,471

1,339 Others 1,202 814 1,302 1,346 1,346

478,540 Total 479,155 472,569 487,125 483,358 483,797

Domestic Consumption none

5,217 North America 5,522 4,814 5,431 4,931 4,930

1,200 Central America 1,203 1,305 1,358 1,326 1,326

1,992 Caribbean 2,051 2,004 2,082 2,203 2,203

14,578 South America 14,754 14,783 14,820 15,195 15,175

3,250 European Union - 28 3,400 3,550 3,650 3,750 3,750

1,605 Former Soviet Union - 12 1,507 1,508 1,519 1,537 1,537

9,140 Middle East 9,000 8,562 8,883 9,145 9,145

4,452 North Africa 4,407 4,274 4,732 4,675 4,825

26,514 Sub-Saharan Africa 27,141 27,691 28,967 27,911 29,376

156,184 East Asia 156,400 156,433 157,770 159,285 158,615

143,331 South Asia 143,183 138,819 142,445 143,953 143,675

102,763 Southeast Asia 102,457 101,920 104,451 103,976 103,876

717 Others 558 553 565 575 575

470,943 Total 471,583 466,216 476,673 478,462 479,008

Ending Stocks none

1,184 North America 1,717 1,602 1,616 1,146 1,111

210 Central America 228 280 298 272 273

264 Caribbean 223 234 191 146 146

1,813 South America 2,163 1,533 1,681 1,578 1,496

1,163 European Union - 28 1,151 1,181 1,130 1,083 1,083

1,777 Middle East 1,742 1,129 1,251 1,066 1,066

610 North Africa 924 924 1,474 1,274 1,324

3,001 Sub-Saharan Africa 3,215 2,737 2,679 1,644 2,388

64,694 East Asia 73,483 83,106 90,911 78,764 96,334

24,920 South Asia 21,428 21,571 23,126 23,224 23,121

21,976 Southeast Asia 20,960 17,508 13,500 12,930 12,805

241 Oceania 223 77 218 278 263

166 Others 187 159 132 112 112

122,019 Total 127,644 132,041 138,207 123,517 141,522

NOTES: Regional definitions appear on last page of this circular. Imports are reported on a trade year basis. All other data are

reported using local marketing years.

Foreign Agricultural Service/USDA October 2017Office of Global Analysis

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18

140

150

160

170

180

190

200

210

220

$/M

T

Corn Daily FOB Export Bids

Argentina Up River Black Sea Brazil Paranagua US Gulf

COARSE GRAINS: WORLD MARKETS AND TRADE

OVERVIEW

For 2017/18, global corn production is up with a significant boost from the United States and

Nigeria that more than offsets lower prospects for Russia and Ukraine. Major revisions and

updates are made for many African countries this month. Global corn trade is revised downward

with lower projected imports in Vietnam and Turkey. Prospects for slower growth in Vietnam’s

feed industry and higher domestic production in Turkey are the key reasons for the projected

decrease in trade. The U.S. season-average farm price is unchanged at $3.20 per bushel.

PRICES

Global corn prices were mostly unchanged from last month’s WASDE. Argentine and Black

Sea bids fell $2/ton and $3/ton, settling at $149 and $161, respectively. Prices in Argentina

settled lower amid a sluggish pace of new-crop shipments, compeitition from Brazil, and

anticipated new-crop U.S. supplies. Brazilian bids were unchanged at $155/ton with steady

global demand amidst record exports since May. U.S. quotes were up $4/ton to $159 on steady

domestic demand, lack of early harvest supplies, and sharply higher barge rates.

Foreign Agricultural Service/USDA October 2017Office of Global Analysis

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19

6

7

8

9

10

11

MM

T

Corn Imports Fall in 2016/17

Forecast to Rebound in 2017/18

FEATURE

South Korea: Corn Faces Competition in the Feed Market

*indicates prorated based on Oct-Aug data

**NGFI includes DDGS, Cassava, Corn Gluten Feed, and Corn Gluten Meal

South Korea is a price sensitive market for feed grains, basing its buying decisions on the price

competitiveness of alternative feeds. South Korea is also one of the world’s largest importers of

corn, driven by a consistently robust demand for feed for its poultry and swine industries.

However, South Korea’s corn imports have declined after reaching a record high in 2013/14.

U.S. market share also fell due to heavy competition from Black Sea and South American

exporters. Even with a CY 2017 tariff-rate quota (TRQ) that allows for 10 million tons of duty-

free feed corn imports, South Korea’s 2016/17 estimate is down this month due to higher usage

of other feedstuffs.

This trend is largely attributed to stiff competition from competitively-priced feed quality wheat

and the use of domestic rice. The government recently approved 500,000 tons of domestic rice

stocks to be used for feed in 2017, about five times more than the previous year. A nearly

fivefold growth in the import of distiller’s dried grains with solubles (DDGS) over the past 10

years have also factored into the recent decline. Although South Korea has increased its usage of

other substitutes, corn still makes up the majority of feed consumption and 2017/18 imports are

expected up over the previous year to 10.2 million tons. Historically low corn prices are expected

to drive demand in this price-sensitive market amid record global corn trade.

0

2

4

6

8

10

12

2012/13 2013/14 2014/15 2015/16 2016/17*M

MT

Share of Corn in Feed Use Declines

Non-Grain Feed Ingredients (NGFI)**

feed wheat

feed corn

Foreign Agricultural Service/USDA October 2017Office of Global Analysis

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20

TRADE CHANGES IN 2017/18

Selected Exporters

Argentina corn is slashed 1.0 million tons to 27.0 million on expectations of lower global

demand and competition from other major exporters.

Mexico corn is boosted 600,000 tons to 1.3 million on expectations of stronger demand

for non-GM white corn, particularly in African countries.

Russia corn is cut 500,000 tons to 5.5 million on lower expected production.

Ukraine corn is down 500,000 tons to 21.5 million on lower production.

Selected Importers

Vietnam corn is slashed 1.0 million to 9.5 million on expectations for slower-than-

expected growth in feed demand.

Turkey corn is down 500,000 tons to 1.0 million, offset by a larger crop.

Jordan corn is up 300,000 tons to 1.0 million based on expectations for greater feed use.

Mozambique corn is cut 200,000 tons to 300,000 on higher expected production.

China barley is boosted 1.0 million tons to 5.5 million and sorghum is raised 550,000

tons to 5.0 million, both on the expectation of higher demand for feed grains in the

absence of imported distillers’ dried grains and on favorable import margins in grain

deficit regions.

Saudi Arabia barley is cut 1.0 million tons to 9.0 million reflecting stronger demand for

China from relatively tight global exportable supplies.

Mexico sorghum is down 300,000 tons to 200,000 on greater use of domestic corn.

TRADE CHANGES IN 2016/17

Selected Exporters – based on trade data

Argentina corn is slashed 2.5 million tons to 23.5 million.

Brazil corn is cut 736,000 tons to 19.8 million.

Foreign Agricultural Service/USDA October 2017Office of Global Analysis

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21

Mexico corn is boosted 550,000 tons to 1.3 million.

Russia barley is raised 350,000 tons to 3.6 million.

Canada barley is up 250,000 tons to 1.7 million.

Australia barley is boosted 200,000 tons to 9.5 million.

Selected Importers – based on trade data

EU corn is boosted 800,000 tons to 14.8 million.

Vietnam corn is down 500,000 tons to 8.5 million.

Algeria corn is cut 500,000 tons to 4.0 million.

South Korea corn is down 500,000 tons to 9.3 million.

Jordan corn is up 425,000 tons to 1.1 million.

Turkey corn is raised 400,000 tons to 1.4 million.

Israel corn is up 350,000 tons to 1.7 million.

Malaysia corn is cut 300,000 tons to 3.5 million.

Nigeria corn is up 250,000 tons to 600,000.

Chile corn is down 200,000 tons 1.6 million.

China barley is boosted 600,000 tons to 7.6 million.

China sorghum is up 200,000 tons to 5.2 million.

Foreign Agricultural Service/USDA October 2017Office of Global Analysis

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World Coarse Grain Trade

October/September Year, Thousand Metric Tons

2013/14 2014/15 2015/16 2016/17 2017/18

Sep

2017/18

Oct

none

TY Exports

29,30530,30526,60525,29021,00316,630 Argentina

6,7256,72510,4256,3897,2867,004 Australia

36,01536,01519,77035,41521,95422,059 Brazil

4,5504,5504,9754,6873,5995,482 Canada

8,0058,0057,75510,93415,0687,841 European Union

1,3007001,3001,559792501 Mexico

2,5152,5151,9152,6773,0312,718 Paraguay

10,06010,5609,0758,4659,1557,074 Russia

1,9101,9102,0257647622,128 South Africa

26,31026,81027,23521,45724,20824,125 Ukraine

6,6606,6109,1157,87410,58612,909 Others

133,355134,705120,195125,511117,444108,471 Subtotal

52,61552,61561,78059,23056,41956,776 United States

185,970187,320181,975184,741173,863165,247 World Total

none

TY Imports

5,4255,3254,6755,2244,8634,946 Algeria

1,1001,1001,0001,042482488 Bangladesh

2,2202,2201,7151,7441,7071,621 Chile

13,70012,15016,08017,49925,69912,445 China

5,3355,3355,0154,8244,7474,795 Colombia

1,4001,4001,2001,3511,2021,011 Dominican Republic

10,10010,1009,1058,8497,9408,775 Egypt

16,55516,55515,48014,2619,40816,355 European Union

1,1001,1001,0001,027881767 Guatemala

11,30011,3009,9008,3008,0006,600 Iran

1,7951,7952,1551,5101,6032,073 Israel

16,72016,72016,87517,07016,72617,501 Japan

1,7001,4001,9501,7221,4591,672 Jordan

1,3001,3001,230309717444 Kenya

10,27010,2709,36510,19210,24510,499 Korea, South

2,1002,1002,1251,9051,6851,493 Libya

4,0004,0003,5004,1343,2383,485 Malaysia

15,90016,20015,18014,88111,64011,312 Mexico

3,0003,0002,4043,1822,2172,858 Morocco

3,4203,4203,2903,0832,8632,336 Peru

13,51014,51013,51013,99211,11511,332 Saudi Arabia

4,6004,6004,7004,7813,9384,346 Taiwan

1,9001,9001,8001,7131,5251,449 Tunisia

1,6001,6001,0021,7382,4332,627 Venezuela

9,50010,5008,5008,6006,7004,300 Vietnam

18,35619,15624,48523,37422,92220,756 Others

177,906179,056177,241176,307165,955156,286 Subtotal

4,5144,7141,2744,4534,6125,638 Unaccounted

3,5503,5503,4603,9813,2963,323 United States

185,970187,320181,975184,741173,863165,247 World Total

TY=Trade Year, see Endnotes.

Foreign Agricultural Service/USDA October 2017Office of Global Analysis

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World Coarse Grains Production, Consumption, and Stocks

Local Marketing Years, Thousand Metric Tons

2013/14 2014/15 2015/16 2016/17 2017/18

Sep

2017/18

Oct

none

Production

49,00449,00448,56937,93936,78235,665 Argentina

11,42611,42616,83312,54412,60512,158 Australia

97,60197,601101,35369,12987,71482,634 Brazil

25,55525,35525,81825,61921,99228,745 Canada

223,040223,040227,439231,402222,405225,062 China

13,03513,23512,70013,03514,44213,078 Ethiopia

149,977150,193152,259152,687170,670159,212 European Union

42,24042,24044,35038,70143,07643,216 India

11,35011,35010,90010,5009,0009,100 Indonesia

33,02532,82533,31532,37832,68932,065 Mexico

18,85018,25019,33516,68118,91714,633 Nigeria

43,60044,30040,76537,42740,38635,735 Russia

12,94812,94818,0378,67511,11015,518 South Africa

13,64313,14310,89314,2439,39313,074 Turkey

36,99037,49039,25533,38739,38940,022 Ukraine

161,030160,257162,503158,284164,472156,200 Others

943,314942,657964,324892,631935,042916,117 Subtotal

376,043373,861402,612367,009377,234367,089 United States

1,319,3571,316,5181,366,9361,259,6401,312,2761,283,206 World Total

none

Domestic Consumption

17,38417,38416,03414,22114,23213,695 Argentina

64,75064,75063,89260,24360,04858,053 Brazil

22,94522,94521,67921,23621,29522,345 Canada

259,080255,630252,440238,740228,709223,196 China

16,85816,85816,05815,80314,83214,122 Egypt

160,100160,170160,490157,250162,592164,401 European Union

43,55043,55042,90040,17040,45037,600 India

17,72017,72015,62013,82012,02011,320 Iran

17,05117,05117,18617,25716,87417,570 Japan

48,49048,49046,89544,71542,17540,935 Mexico

19,15018,45019,53016,64118,77614,668 Nigeria

33,20033,30032,42529,71531,13928,219 Russia

15,10516,10514,50514,10511,90511,411 Saudi Arabia

14,01814,01813,09314,09313,02313,414 Turkey

13,60014,60013,10012,2509,4008,200 Vietnam

256,606256,259257,161250,003251,667244,414 Others

1,025,0561,021,4291,028,926942,381965,572931,206 Subtotal

327,182326,377327,435312,597311,339305,044 United States

1,352,2381,347,8061,356,3611,254,9781,276,9111,236,250 World Total

none

Ending Stocks

7,1365,6366,7162,7814,2743,169 Argentina

9,4139,3899,7277,0728,23914,265 Brazil

3,9904,1205,0704,6673,3344,648 Canada

80,59582,066103,015112,051101,91782,544 China

13,18212,42414,70515,44818,88515,565 European Union

6,3546,3547,1147,1747,1345,094 Iran

5,3186,9046,1835,8894,8323,487 Mexico

41,13941,27147,39448,36751,33648,449 Others

167,127168,164199,924203,449199,951177,221 Subtotal

62,12862,09562,21248,11246,94834,313 United States

229,255230,259262,136251,561246,899211,534 World Total

Foreign Agricultural Service/USDA October 2017Office of Global Analysis

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Regional Coarse Grains Imports, Production, Consumption, and Stocks

Thousand Metric Tons

2013/14 2014/15 2015/16 2016/17

Sep

2017/18

Oct

2017/18

TY Imports none

15,349 North America 16,649 19,953 19,680 20,610 20,310

2,923 Central America 3,456 3,938 3,755 4,100 4,100

2,330 Caribbean 2,444 2,597 2,540 2,840 2,840

13,180 South America 13,355 13,876 14,799 14,300 14,300

16,355 European Union - 28 9,408 14,261 15,480 16,555 16,555

807 Former Soviet Union - 12 732 559 941 655 655

26,475 Middle East 27,599 29,745 32,600 33,485 32,285

19,521 North Africa 18,230 20,873 20,109 22,425 22,525

3,166 Sub-Saharan Africa 4,119 6,160 6,990 4,560 4,260

44,865 East Asia 56,655 49,576 47,090 43,790 45,340

12,814 Southeast Asia 14,736 15,810 13,881 16,115 15,115

1,824 Others 1,868 2,940 2,836 3,171 3,171

159,609 Total 169,251 180,288 180,701 182,606 181,456

Production none

427,899 North America 431,915 425,006 461,745 432,041 434,623

133,041 South America 139,788 123,237 163,127 160,662 160,612

159,212 European Union - 28 170,670 152,687 152,259 150,193 149,977

8,992 Other Europe 10,927 9,271 11,328 7,337 7,337

87,859 Former Soviet Union - 12 91,821 82,551 93,253 94,349 93,149

22,274 Middle East 17,931 23,165 19,705 21,806 22,306

11,581 North Africa 10,989 12,292 9,263 11,039 10,807

101,908 Sub-Saharan Africa 110,183 98,317 113,318 107,088 108,543

227,452 East Asia 225,083 233,945 230,094 225,701 225,701

54,221 South Asia 54,182 50,176 56,411 54,774 54,774

31,006 Southeast Asia 30,949 31,550 34,326 34,833 34,833

12,794 Oceania 13,283 13,236 17,408 11,996 11,996

4,967 Others 4,555 4,207 4,699 4,699 4,699

1,283,206 Total 1,312,276 1,259,640 1,366,936 1,316,518 1,319,357

Domestic Consumption none

368,324 North America 374,809 378,548 396,009 397,812 398,617

95,335 South America 98,606 99,038 102,959 107,061 106,958

164,401 European Union - 28 162,592 157,250 160,490 160,170 160,100

7,803 Other Europe 8,347 8,651 8,968 8,047 8,047

56,461 Former Soviet Union - 12 58,273 53,440 57,127 57,094 56,994

46,218 Middle East 45,632 51,742 53,386 56,724 56,024

28,059 North Africa 30,230 32,145 31,439 33,283 33,183

100,887 Sub-Saharan Africa 110,148 104,871 114,086 109,931 111,181

257,340 East Asia 262,458 272,906 286,256 290,139 293,589

48,965 South Asia 52,095 53,181 56,396 57,699 57,699

39,043 Southeast Asia 41,183 43,942 45,762 47,900 46,800

5,754 Oceania 5,846 6,429 6,579 6,211 6,111

10,017 Others 10,257 10,716 10,986 11,586 11,486

1,228,607 Total 1,260,476 1,272,859 1,330,443 1,343,657 1,346,789

Ending Stocks none

42,448 North America 55,114 58,668 73,465 73,119 71,436

21,527 South America 15,971 14,319 20,075 18,453 20,059

15,565 European Union - 28 18,885 15,448 14,705 12,424 13,182

827 Other Europe 1,107 915 1,604 994 994

7,408 Former Soviet Union - 12 7,913 6,237 6,554 6,073 6,019

11,820 Middle East 12,620 14,307 13,408 11,438 11,730

5,638 North Africa 5,349 5,866 3,920 4,091 4,059

9,353 Sub-Saharan Africa 12,165 9,020 10,206 8,711 8,748

86,556 East Asia 105,819 116,410 107,212 86,127 84,584

4,025 South Asia 5,187 3,156 4,283 2,975 2,879

4,324 Southeast Asia 4,166 4,650 3,723 3,666 3,446

1,119 Oceania 1,639 1,594 2,040 1,119 1,045

924 Others 964 971 941 1,069 1,074

211,534 Total 246,899 251,561 262,136 230,259 229,255

NOTES: Regional definitions appear on last page of this circular. Imports are reported on a trade year basis. All other data are

reported using local marketing years.

Foreign Agricultural Service/USDA October 2017Office of Global Analysis

Page 25: Grain: World Markets and Tradeuga.ua/wp-content/uploads/USDA.pdf · 6 TRADE CHANGES IN 2017/18 Selected Importers India is down 500,000 tons to 3.5 million based on a larger domestic

World Corn Trade

October/September Year, Thousand Metric Tons

2013/14 2014/15 2015/16 2016/17 2017/18

Sep

2017/18

Oct

none

TY Exports

27,00028,00023,50021,67818,44812,846 Argentina

36,00036,00019,76435,38221,90922,041 Brazil

1,2001,2001,1001,0001,2501,100 Burma

1,3001,3001,5001,7643951,939 Canada

1,5001,5002,0001,9494,0272,404 European Union

1,3007001,3001,559784501 Mexico

2,5002,5001,9002,6623,0122,714 Paraguay

5,5006,0005,5004,6913,2134,194 Russia

1,9001,9002,0007597462,104 South Africa

21,50022,00021,50016,59519,66120,004 Ukraine

4,2154,1856,3055,6668,11410,292 Others

103,915105,28586,36993,70581,55980,139 Subtotal

47,00047,00055,50051,15646,83150,691 United States

150,915152,285141,869144,861128,390130,830 World Total

none

TY Imports

4,7004,7004,0004,3294,1164,156 Algeria

1,1001,1001,0001,042482488 Bangladesh

2,0002,0001,6001,5391,5161,456 Chile

3,0003,0003,0003,1745,5163,277 China

5,0005,0004,7004,4584,4964,436 Colombia

1,0001,000900853886928 Cuba

1,4001,4001,2001,3511,2021,011 Dominican Republic

10,00010,0009,0008,7767,8418,726 Egypt

16,00016,00014,80013,7688,90816,014 European Union

1,1001,1001,0001,027881767 Guatemala

10,00010,0008,5006,6006,1005,500 Iran

1,4001,4001,7001,1521,2961,652 Israel

15,00015,00015,00015,20114,65715,121 Japan

1,0007001,100820700675 Jordan

1,2001,2001,100200600350 Kenya

10,20010,2009,30010,12110,16810,406 Korea, South

4,0004,0003,5004,1343,2383,485 Malaysia

15,50015,50014,50014,01111,34110,949 Mexico

2,5002,5002,0002,2241,9412,349 Morocco

3,3003,3003,1002,9852,7412,232 Peru

4,5004,5003,5003,5832,9042,684 Saudi Arabia

4,5004,5004,6004,6563,8104,179 Taiwan

1,3001,3001,2001,0171,042993 Tunisia

1,6001,6001,0001,7382,4332,626 Venezuela

9,50010,5008,5008,6006,7004,300 Vietnam

14,76515,56519,74019,31619,31717,102 Others

145,565147,065139,540136,675124,832125,862 Subtotal

4,0503,9209296,4042,7494,241 Unaccounted

1,3001,3001,4001,782809727 United States

150,915152,285141,869144,861128,390130,830 World Total

TY=Trade Year, see Endnotes.

Foreign Agricultural Service/USDA October 2017Office of Global Analysis

Page 26: Grain: World Markets and Tradeuga.ua/wp-content/uploads/USDA.pdf · 6 TRADE CHANGES IN 2017/18 Selected Importers India is down 500,000 tons to 3.5 million based on a larger domestic

World Corn Production, Consumption, and Stocks

Local Marketing Years, Thousand Metric Tons

2013/14 2014/15 2015/16 2016/17 2017/18

Sep

2017/18

Oct

none

Production

42,00042,00041,00029,00029,75026,000 Argentina

95,00095,00098,50067,00085,00080,000 Brazil

14,10013,90013,20013,55911,48714,194 Canada

215,000215,000219,554224,632215,646218,489 China

6,0006,0006,0006,0005,9605,800 Egypt

6,5006,7006,3506,8007,2356,492 Ethiopia

59,38559,38561,09458,74875,73464,931 European Union

25,00025,00026,26022,57024,17024,259 India

11,35011,35010,90010,5009,0009,100 Indonesia

26,20026,00027,56525,97125,48022,880 Mexico

10,5006,90010,7559,54010,7918,423 Nigeria

8,3008,3008,0876,9707,6717,532 Philippines

15,30016,00015,30513,16811,32511,635 Russia

12,50012,50017,4758,21410,62914,925 South Africa

27,00027,50028,00023,33328,45030,900 Ukraine

101,929100,790100,510100,845103,76199,257 Others

676,064672,325690,555626,850662,089644,817 Subtotal

362,732360,302384,778345,506361,091351,272 United States

1,038,7961,032,6271,075,333972,3561,023,180996,089 World Total

none

Total Consumption

12,50012,50011,0009,2009,3008,800 Argentina

61,50061,50060,50057,50057,00055,000 Brazil

13,80013,80012,70012,35412,82012,675 Canada

240,000238,000232,000217,500202,000208,000 China

15,90015,90015,10014,85013,90013,200 Egypt

74,70074,50073,50073,50077,88076,796 European Union

25,80025,80025,00023,55022,35019,600 India

12,20012,20012,20012,10012,20011,900 Indonesia

13,10013,10010,8008,8007,4006,800 Iran

15,10015,10015,10015,20014,60015,000 Japan

10,30010,3009,48010,12310,2509,891 Korea, South

41,20041,00040,40037,30034,55031,700 Mexico

10,9007,20011,0509,60010,7008,500 Nigeria

11,70011,70013,12510,97011,65011,500 South Africa

13,60014,60013,10012,2509,4008,200 Vietnam

171,762171,678166,776163,995162,652157,763 Others

748,964742,150748,515669,133686,025661,897 Subtotal

315,864314,974313,812298,785301,792292,958 United States

1,064,8281,057,1241,062,327967,918987,817954,855 World Total

none

Ending Stocks

6,0714,5715,5661,0612,8981,408 Argentina

9,0699,0699,2696,7697,84213,972 Brazil

79,19881,258101,248110,774100,47281,323 China

6,2725,8617,0876,6939,6266,891 European Union

5,7365,7366,2966,0565,7164,476 Iran

4,7786,2635,5785,2134,0902,603 Mexico

2,1962,1962,9961,0962,4482,198 South Africa

28,19528,21030,65332,19732,47830,018 Others

141,515143,164168,693169,859165,570142,889 Subtotal

59,44159,30158,29544,12343,97431,292 United States

200,956202,465226,988213,982209,544174,181 World Total

Foreign Agricultural Service/USDA October 2017Office of Global Analysis

Page 27: Grain: World Markets and Tradeuga.ua/wp-content/uploads/USDA.pdf · 6 TRADE CHANGES IN 2017/18 Selected Importers India is down 500,000 tons to 3.5 million based on a larger domestic

Regional Corn Imports, Production, Consumption, and Stocks

Thousand Metric Tons

2013/14 2014/15 2015/16 2016/17

Sep

2017/18

Oct

2017/18

TY Imports none

12,354 North America 13,686 16,742 16,850 17,600 17,600

2,922 Central America 3,456 3,938 3,755 4,100 4,100

12,025 South America 12,042 12,462 13,338 12,870 12,870

16,014 European Union - 28 8,908 13,768 14,800 16,000 16,000

452 Former Soviet Union - 12 500 361 411 380 380

13,672 Middle East 15,147 14,896 18,250 20,200 20,000

17,036 North Africa 15,624 16,927 16,900 19,300 19,300

2,491 Sub-Saharan Africa 3,326 5,411 6,130 3,680 3,380

33,057 East Asia 34,198 33,186 31,970 32,750 32,750

12,768 Southeast Asia 14,722 15,795 13,866 16,100 15,100

2,330 Caribbean 2,444 2,597 2,535 2,840 2,840

1,468 Others 1,588 2,374 2,135 2,545 2,545

126,589 Total 125,641 138,457 140,940 148,365 146,865

Production none

388,346 North America 398,058 385,036 425,543 400,202 403,032

118,260 South America 127,572 109,579 149,973 148,231 148,181

64,931 European Union - 28 75,734 58,748 61,094 59,385 59,385

7,297 Other Europe 9,132 7,427 9,407 5,484 5,484

47,034 Former Soviet Union - 12 43,951 39,872 47,359 47,750 46,550

8,763 Middle East 7,785 9,213 8,587 8,628 9,128

5,919 North Africa 6,058 6,096 6,130 6,201 6,201

64,995 Sub-Saharan Africa 67,271 60,982 69,293 63,680 67,769

220,582 East Asia 217,995 226,883 221,908 217,359 217,359

34,100 South Asia 34,100 32,861 37,063 36,286 36,286

3,817 Central America 3,416 3,124 3,580 3,600 3,600

30,724 Southeast Asia 30,655 31,255 34,036 34,543 34,543

1,321 Others 1,453 1,280 1,360 1,278 1,278

996,089 Total 1,023,180 972,356 1,075,333 1,032,627 1,038,796

Domestic Consumption none

337,333 North America 349,162 348,439 366,912 369,774 370,864

84,206 South America 87,426 88,071 91,352 95,455 95,355

76,796 European Union - 28 77,880 73,500 73,500 74,500 74,700

5,897 Other Europe 6,297 6,622 6,920 5,995 5,995

21,755 Former Soviet Union - 12 20,807 19,325 20,184 20,110 20,010

20,195 Middle East 21,749 23,515 26,530 29,180 29,480

20,800 North Africa 22,100 22,990 23,420 25,200 25,200

63,399 Sub-Saharan Africa 67,580 66,127 69,542 65,448 69,332

239,185 East Asia 233,127 249,279 263,440 270,250 272,250

29,782 South Asia 32,773 35,136 37,186 38,585 38,585

38,754 Southeast Asia 40,849 43,634 45,460 47,600 46,500

6,600 Central America 6,710 7,030 7,280 7,640 7,590

3,581 Others 3,984 3,909 3,917 4,115 4,065

948,283 Total 970,444 987,577 1,035,643 1,053,852 1,059,926

Ending Stocks none

35,495 North America 49,466 51,579 66,066 67,587 66,212

19,028 South America 13,813 11,934 18,118 16,727 18,309

6,891 European Union - 28 9,626 6,693 7,087 5,861 6,272

529 Other Europe 896 796 1,445 884 884

2,684 Former Soviet Union - 12 3,164 2,593 2,903 2,663 2,563

5,971 Middle East 7,053 7,495 7,561 6,822 7,114

3,110 North Africa 3,196 2,979 2,664 2,955 2,955

7,361 Sub-Saharan Africa 9,355 7,055 8,222 7,100 7,129

84,864 East Asia 103,922 114,710 105,058 85,000 82,867

2,937 South Asia 3,834 2,444 3,133 2,104 2,104

4,318 Southeast Asia 4,160 4,644 3,723 3,666 3,446

597 Central America 600 628 651 766 746

396 Others 459 432 357 330 355

174,181 Total 209,544 213,982 226,988 202,465 200,956

NOTES: Regional definitions appear on last page of this circular. Imports are reported on a trade year basis. All other data are

reported using local marketing years.

Foreign Agricultural Service/USDA October 2017Office of Global Analysis

Page 28: Grain: World Markets and Tradeuga.ua/wp-content/uploads/USDA.pdf · 6 TRADE CHANGES IN 2017/18 Selected Importers India is down 500,000 tons to 3.5 million based on a larger domestic

World Barley Trade

October/September Year, Thousand Metric Tons

2013/14 2014/15 2015/16 2016/17 2017/18

Sep

2017/18

Oct

none

TY Exports

1,7001,7002,7002,8361,5992,829 Argentina

5,8005,8009,5005,4015,2666,261 Australia

1,3001,3001,7001,1461,3861,714 Canada

6,2006,2005,4008,60310,6424,926 European Union

600600900776476501 Kazakhstan

7575100598126 Moldova

4,5004,5003,5503,7355,8072,791 Russia

15015020049 Turkey

4,6004,6005,5004,6734,3323,827 Ukraine

7070120424336 Uruguay

858515082164571 Others

25,08025,08029,64027,35329,80023,491 Subtotal

130130125161291336 United States

25,21025,21029,76527,51430,09123,827 World Total

none

TY Imports

700600650864723778 Algeria

1001001507111 Belarus

650650737551489337 Brazil

5,5004,5007,6005,8699,8594,891 China

280280285301249253 Colombia

100100100729846 Egypt

35035045031526958 European Union

30030040011921 India

1,3001,3001,4001,7001,9001,100 Iran

350350400321278304 Israel

1,1001,1001,2001,1541,0971,294 Japan

700700850902759997 Jordan

200200400511412436 Kuwait

1,3001,3001,4251,3241,001681 Libya

10010010132184108 Mexico

500500400958276471 Morocco

9,00010,00010,00010,4008,2008,500 Saudi Arabia

1501502502020100 Syria

600600600696483456 Tunisia

400400400668394468 United Arab Emirates

1,0061,0061,7261,1901,6921,744 Others

24,68624,58629,43328,07428,38623,034 Subtotal

174274102-9121,275270 Unaccounted

350350230352430523 United States

25,21025,21029,76527,51430,09123,827 World Total

TY=Trade Year, see Endnotes.

Foreign Agricultural Service/USDA October 2017Office of Global Analysis

Page 29: Grain: World Markets and Tradeuga.ua/wp-content/uploads/USDA.pdf · 6 TRADE CHANGES IN 2017/18 Selected Importers India is down 500,000 tons to 3.5 million based on a larger domestic

World Barley Production, Consumption, and Stocks

Local Marketing Years, Thousand Metric Tons

2013/14 2014/15 2015/16 2016/17 2017/18

Sep

2017/18

Oct

none

Production

2,7502,7503,3004,9402,9004,750 Argentina

8,0008,00013,4148,9938,6469,174 Australia

1,9001,9002,1001,8491,9881,674 Belarus

7,2507,2508,8008,2267,11910,237 Canada

2,1002,1002,0001,8701,8101,700 China

2,0702,0702,0501,9501,9531,908 Ethiopia

58,76558,43359,90362,09560,60959,674 European Union

1,7401,7401,9001,6131,8311,752 India

3,1003,1003,0003,0003,2002,800 Iran

1,2751,2751,5501,5501,000944 Iraq

2,7002,7003,2312,6752,4122,539 Kazakhstan

2,0002,0006203,4001,7002,723 Morocco

20,50020,50017,54717,08320,02615,389 Russia

7,0007,0004,7507,4004,0007,300 Turkey

8,7008,7009,9008,7519,4507,561 Ukraine

9,0619,2939,6089,4959,1799,459 Others

138,911138,811143,673144,890137,823139,584 Subtotal

3,0903,0534,3534,7503,9534,719 United States

142,001141,864148,026149,640141,776144,303 World Total

none

Total Consumption

1,8501,9502,0502,1502,0502,050 Algeria

3,0003,1003,5003,3003,0002,800 Australia

2,0002,0002,2501,8502,0001,800 Belarus

6,9006,9006,7966,9686,4717,718 Canada

7,9006,9009,3007,90011,6006,300 China

2,0752,0752,0251,9901,9751,925 Ethiopia

53,60053,50055,00051,37550,93753,400 European Union

2,0502,0502,1001,5201,4001,200 India

4,6004,6004,8005,0004,6004,500 Iran

2,2002,2002,3002,0002,0002,000 Kazakhstan

2,4502,4502,2003,3502,7002,300 Morocco

15,70015,70014,70013,70014,10012,700 Russia

10,32511,32510,52510,2258,5258,625 Saudi Arabia

6,4006,4005,6006,9005,3506,950 Turkey

4,4004,4004,9004,3005,5005,100 Ukraine

17,63717,63718,64218,58516,76617,029 Others

143,288143,488145,686143,182138,162136,177 Subtotal

4,0944,0944,3754,4084,2354,775 United States

147,382147,582150,061147,590142,397140,952 World Total

none

Ending Stocks

7177498991,3131,3041,178 Algeria

1,1151,2222,0151,4431,2171,950 Canada

5,0574,6825,6926,0605,8345,621 European Union

1,1981,1988487361,533904 Russia

2,7292,7294,0444,0593,0743,389 Saudi Arabia

861861361961332899 Turkey

9659651,2601,6091,5652,071 Ukraine

4,8384,6776,9568,0227,8067,194 Others

17,48017,08322,07524,20322,66523,206 Subtotal

1,5301,5292,3162,2231,7111,791 United States

19,01018,61224,39126,42624,37624,997 World Total

Foreign Agricultural Service/USDA October 2017Office of Global Analysis

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Regional Barley Imports, Production, Consumption, and Stocks

Thousand Metric Tons

2013/14 2014/15 2015/16 2016/17

Sep

2017/18

Oct

2017/18

TY Imports none

640 North America 779 615 315 500 500

886 South America 1,169 1,157 1,342 1,155 1,155

58 European Union - 28 269 315 450 350 350

163 Other Europe 120 84 115 120 120

348 Former Soviet Union - 12 226 173 510 265 265

12,537 Middle East 12,400 14,800 14,275 13,225 12,225

2,432 North Africa 2,581 3,914 3,175 3,100 3,200

116 Sub-Saharan Africa 138 40 120 135 135

6,320 East Asia 11,080 7,136 8,905 5,710 6,710

11 South Asia 22 185 431 351 351

46 Oceania 32 7 25 25 25

23,557 Total 28,816 28,426 29,663 24,936 25,036

Production none

15,550 North America 11,918 13,711 14,131 11,038 11,075

5,743 South America 3,794 5,924 4,656 4,021 4,021

59,674 European Union - 28 60,609 62,095 59,903 58,433 58,765

1,228 Other Europe 1,241 1,258 1,333 1,286 1,286

29,145 Former Soviet Union - 12 35,637 32,633 34,983 35,858 35,858

12,043 Middle East 8,653 12,558 9,725 11,785 11,785

4,739 North Africa 3,975 5,275 2,203 3,908 3,676

2,349 Sub-Saharan Africa 2,423 2,482 2,604 2,535 2,535

1,991 East Asia 2,134 2,158 2,297 2,398 2,398

2,261 South Asia 2,340 2,116 2,432 2,262 2,262

9,580 Oceania 9,052 9,430 13,759 8,340 8,340

144,303 Total 141,776 149,640 148,026 141,864 142,001

Domestic Consumption none

13,243 North America 11,556 12,301 12,121 11,894 11,894

3,528 South America 3,403 3,603 3,494 3,495 3,495

53,400 European Union - 28 50,937 51,375 55,000 53,500 53,600

1,334 Other Europe 1,414 1,373 1,404 1,387 1,387

23,560 Former Soviet Union - 12 25,524 24,012 26,424 26,518 26,518

24,410 Middle East 22,187 26,775 25,391 26,086 25,086

6,282 North Africa 7,182 8,203 7,063 7,128 7,028

2,453 Sub-Saharan Africa 2,471 2,595 2,663 2,700 2,700

8,009 East Asia 13,162 9,481 10,935 8,475 9,475

1,713 South Asia 1,923 2,053 2,668 2,638 2,638

3,240 Oceania 3,450 3,750 3,900 3,460 3,360

141,172 Total 143,209 145,521 151,063 147,281 147,181

Ending Stocks none

3,974 North America 3,326 4,052 4,746 3,101 2,995

822 South America 742 1,040 595 506 506

5,621 European Union - 28 5,834 6,060 5,692 4,682 5,057

246 Other Europe 165 84 106 75 75

3,679 Former Soviet Union - 12 3,749 2,954 2,826 2,600 2,646

5,781 Middle East 5,508 6,757 5,803 4,577 4,577

2,505 North Africa 2,105 2,838 1,202 1,082 1,050

337 Sub-Saharan Africa 425 348 402 372 372

1,038 East Asia 1,090 904 1,171 503 804

247 South Asia 259 274 352 323 227

747 Oceania 1,173 1,115 1,496 791 701

24,997 Total 24,376 26,426 24,391 18,612 19,010

NOTES: Regional definitions appear on last page of this circular. Imports are reported on a trade year basis. All other data are

reported using local marketing years.

Foreign Agricultural Service/USDA October 2017Office of Global Analysis

Page 31: Grain: World Markets and Tradeuga.ua/wp-content/uploads/USDA.pdf · 6 TRADE CHANGES IN 2017/18 Selected Importers India is down 500,000 tons to 3.5 million based on a larger domestic

World Sorghum Trade

October/September Year, Thousand Metric Tons

2013/14 2014/15 2015/16 2016/17 2017/18

Sep

2017/18

Oct

none

TY Exports

600600400772954953 Argentina

6006005507171,701408 Australia

30103523911 China

202015257575 Ethiopia

5050307412288 India

1001001005010050 Nigeria

150150175120156229 Ukraine

100100251130199219 Others

1,6501,6301,5561,9113,3162,033 Subtotal

5,4505,4506,1007,8719,2695,714 United States

7,1007,0807,6569,78212,5857,747 World Total

none

TY Imports

1501504013498109 Chile

5,0004,4505,2008,28410,1624,161 China

505025640104 Colombia

150150200119131184 European Union

5505506006499031,003 Japan

10010013010511794 Kenya

20050055066129162 Mexico

80801001208661 South Africa

150150501987108 South Sudan

20020010020012075 Sudan

350350509607363681 Others

6,9806,7307,50410,96212,0966,742 Subtotal

120350102-1,2784621,002 Unaccounted

005098273 United States

7,1007,0807,6569,78212,5857,747 World Total

TY=Trade Year, see Endnotes.

Foreign Agricultural Service/USDA October 2017Office of Global Analysis

Page 32: Grain: World Markets and Tradeuga.ua/wp-content/uploads/USDA.pdf · 6 TRADE CHANGES IN 2017/18 Selected Importers India is down 500,000 tons to 3.5 million based on a larger domestic

World Sorghum Production, Consumption, and Stocks

Local Marketing Years, Thousand Metric Tons

2013/14 2014/15 2015/16 2016/17 2017/18

Sep

2017/18

Oct

none

Production

3,5003,5003,4003,3753,5004,400 Argentina

1,9001,9001,0171,7912,2091,282 Australia

1,6001,6001,7011,0802,0551,890 Brazil

1,8001,8001,6801,4361,7081,880 Burkina

1,1501,1501,1501,1501,1501,260 Cameroon

1,1009001,4601,266922800 Chad

3,8503,8503,8002,7502,8852,892 China

3,7653,7653,6003,9004,3393,829 Ethiopia

4,5004,5004,5704,2385,4455,542 India

1,3001,3001,3941,5271,272820 Mali

6,0006,0004,7005,5876,2708,500 Mexico

1,7001,7001,8081,8771,4261,320 Niger

6,5506,5506,8875,6646,7415,300 Nigeria

4,5004,5005,8642,3886,2814,524 Sudan

800800800820883832 Tanzania

7,3837,2257,0117,4038,1317,491 Others

51,39851,04050,84246,25255,21752,562 Subtotal

9,2589,41512,19915,15810,9889,966 United States

60,65660,45563,04161,41066,20562,528 World Total

none

Total Consumption

2,9002,9003,1002,9002,8002,700 Argentina

1,0051,005605905505905 Australia

1,6501,6501,6001,1502,0002,000 Brazil

1,7601,7601,6401,4651,7001,900 Burkina

1,1501,1501,1801,1751,1751,275 Cameroon

1,1609501,4701,270930900 Chad

8,9008,4508,80011,00012,9006,800 China

3,8003,8003,7504,1004,1003,900 Ethiopia

4,5004,5004,5004,6005,1005,200 India

1,3501,3501,3941,5271,200950 Mali

6,2006,4005,3506,3006,6008,300 Mexico

1,8501,8501,9001,8201,4501,300 Niger

6,4506,4506,7875,5646,6915,258 Nigeria

8407507608301,050790 South Sudan

4,8004,8005,8143,1006,0004,600 Sudan

8,6328,5648,2468,8519,4739,028 Others

57,15156,76357,04656,09163,54656,882 Subtotal

4,0654,0646,2106,1872,4594,130 United States

61,21660,82763,25662,27866,00561,012 World Total

none

Ending Stocks

8528528529529711,202 Argentina

19118196234252177 Australia

802542882717706568 China

202202237352537343 Ethiopia

186286186286338647 Mexico

190210190180130180 Nigeria

196196301226743357 Sudan

1,2331,1901,5271,4612,0611,668 Others

3,8523,6594,2714,4085,7385,142 Subtotal

711746852930468864 United States

4,5634,4055,1235,3386,2066,006 World Total

Foreign Agricultural Service/USDA October 2017Office of Global Analysis

Page 33: Grain: World Markets and Tradeuga.ua/wp-content/uploads/USDA.pdf · 6 TRADE CHANGES IN 2017/18 Selected Importers India is down 500,000 tons to 3.5 million based on a larger domestic

Regional Sorghum Imports, Production, Consumption, and Stocks

Thousand Metric Tons

2013/14 2014/15 2015/16 2016/17

Sep

2017/18

Oct

2017/18

TY Imports none

165 North America 56 759 600 500 200

240 South America 114 212 79 235 235

184 European Union - 28 131 119 200 150 150

0 Other Europe 0 0 0 0 0

233 Middle East 24 34 45 30 30

41 North Africa 1 1 5 0 0

540 Sub-Saharan Africa 609 678 710 695 695

5,281 East Asia 11,142 9,011 5,855 5,055 5,605

46 Southeast Asia 14 15 15 15 15

15 Others 32 231 45 50 50

6,745 Total 12,123 11,060 7,554 6,730 6,980

Production none

18,466 North America 17,258 20,745 16,899 15,415 15,258

327 Central America 326 337 326 335 335

94 Caribbean 92 92 91 91 91

7,468 South America 6,967 5,730 6,015 6,222 6,222

703 European Union - 28 887 674 638 648 665

706 Middle East 821 697 695 695 695

767 North Africa 809 755 755 755 755

23,748 Sub-Saharan Africa 28,122 23,208 27,778 25,612 25,953

2,895 East Asia 2,887 2,752 3,802 3,852 3,852

5,661 South Asia 5,548 4,383 4,700 4,630 4,630

57 Southeast Asia 55 55 50 50 50

1,282 Oceania 2,209 1,791 1,017 1,900 1,900

354 Others 224 191 275 250 250

62,528 Total 66,205 61,410 63,041 60,455 60,656

Domestic Consumption none

12,430 North America 9,059 12,487 11,560 10,464 10,265

317 Central America 321 345 321 335 335

94 Caribbean 92 92 93 91 91

6,062 South America 6,362 5,405 5,765 5,869 5,866

880 European Union - 28 995 800 790 770 800

828 Middle East 976 740 742 730 730

813 North Africa 785 755 755 755 755

24,183 Sub-Saharan Africa 27,751 24,383 28,208 26,472 26,813

7,951 East Asia 13,882 11,733 9,459 9,057 9,507

5,334 South Asia 5,235 4,956 4,646 4,680 4,680

64 Southeast Asia 95 68 62 60 60

905 Oceania 505 905 605 1,005 1,005

75 Others 75 75 100 105 105

59,936 Total 66,133 62,744 63,106 60,393 61,012

Ending Stocks none

1,511 North America 806 1,216 1,038 1,032 897

21 Central America 26 13 13 8 8

1,548 South America 1,310 1,188 1,114 1,046 1,070

18 European Union - 28 27 16 30 49 40

27 Middle East 39 35 24 19 19

22 North Africa 47 48 53 53 53

1,615 Sub-Saharan Africa 2,278 1,600 1,571 1,228 1,236

627 East Asia 765 772 934 594 854

364 South Asia 587 151 191 141 141

177 Oceania 252 234 96 181 191

76 Others 69 65 59 54 54

6,006 Total 6,206 5,338 5,123 4,405 4,563

NOTES: Regional definitions appear on last page of this circular. Imports are reported on a trade year basis. All other data are

reported using local marketing years.

Foreign Agricultural Service/USDA October 2017Office of Global Analysis

Page 34: Grain: World Markets and Tradeuga.ua/wp-content/uploads/USDA.pdf · 6 TRADE CHANGES IN 2017/18 Selected Importers India is down 500,000 tons to 3.5 million based on a larger domestic

World Oats Trade

October/September Year, Thousand Metric Tons

2013/14 2014/15 2015/16 2016/17 2017/18

Sep

2017/18

Oct

none

TY Exports

250250300214264267 Australia

1,8001,8001,6501,6661,7291,732 Canada

505075268449 Chile

200200200220231291 European Union

101015506 Kazakhstan

10101516146 Russia

50505048466 Ukraine

10101081010 Others

2,3802,3802,3152,2032,3782,367 Subtotal

303050362529 United States

2,4102,4102,3652,2392,4032,396 World Total

none

TY Imports

252525312412 Algeria

555443 Bosnia and Herzegovina

101015111227 Canada

200200280172162116 China

555122 Colombia

303030382121 Ecuador

555943 European Union

505050504746 Japan

100100120778693 Mexico

55107438 Norway

5515411 Russia

555122 Serbia

505030314619 South Africa

505050424951 Switzerland

555040 Turkey

55146107 Others

555555664484478441 Subtotal

15515512122315789 Unaccounted

1,7001,7001,5801,5321,7681,866 United States

2,4102,4102,3652,2392,4032,396 World Total

TY=Trade Year, see Endnotes.

Foreign Agricultural Service/USDA October 2017Office of Global Analysis

Page 35: Grain: World Markets and Tradeuga.ua/wp-content/uploads/USDA.pdf · 6 TRADE CHANGES IN 2017/18 Selected Importers India is down 500,000 tons to 3.5 million based on a larger domestic

World Oats Production, Consumption, and Stocks

Local Marketing Years, Thousand Metric Tons

2013/14 2014/15 2015/16 2016/17 2017/18

Sep

2017/18

Oct

none

Production

110110110110110110 Algeria

660660785553525445 Argentina

1,0501,0501,8731,3001,1981,255 Australia

500500400492522352 Belarus

696696828783351380 Brazil

3,7003,7003,1953,4282,9793,906 Canada

670670713533421610 Chile

190190185180255235 China

7,9608,0538,0347,5547,8218,380 European Union

270270335244226305 Kazakhstan

909072859391 Mexico

300300330286283224 Norway

4,9004,9004,7504,5275,2674,932 Russia

210210210210210210 Turkey

500500500498610467 Ukraine

328328344320291319 Others

22,13422,22722,66421,10321,16222,221 Subtotal

7177809401,3001,019938 United States

22,85123,00723,60422,40322,18123,159 World Total

none

Total Consumption

135135132141126118 Algeria

690690750550525425 Argentina

1,0501,0501,3501,025950950 Australia

500500400500500375 Belarus

725725775765345375 Brazil

1,9001,9001,8061,6151,6811,660 Canada

625625625485355570 Chile

380380440370400350 China

7,8007,9008,0007,4007,7308,075 European Union

275275274245225275 Kazakhstan

190190195190175185 Mexico

320320315295295245 Norway

4,9004,9004,8004,6005,2004,900 Russia

215215210210215215 Turkey

450450450450600475 Ukraine

530530532482466492 Others

20,81520,91521,13919,47919,78519,905 Subtotal

2,7122,7402,5392,7022,4472,757 United States

23,52723,65523,67822,18122,23222,662 World Total

none

Ending Stocks

606095656567 Argentina

11611036614393105 Australia

7007006909306731,054 Canada

707075622745 Chile

572544607720770894 European Union

142142147199289230 Russia

656565433867 Ukraine

251223307171200165 Others

1,9761,9142,3522,3332,1552,627 Subtotal

431497731824780359 United States

2,4072,4113,0833,1572,9352,986 World Total

Foreign Agricultural Service/USDA October 2017Office of Global Analysis

Page 36: Grain: World Markets and Tradeuga.ua/wp-content/uploads/USDA.pdf · 6 TRADE CHANGES IN 2017/18 Selected Importers India is down 500,000 tons to 3.5 million based on a larger domestic

Regional Oats Imports, Production, Consumption, and Stocks

Thousand Metric Tons

2013/14 2014/15 2015/16 2016/17

Sep

2017/18

Oct

2017/18

TY Imports none

1,986 North America 1,866 1,620 1,715 1,810 1,810

29 South America 30 45 40 40 40

3 European Union - 28 4 9 5 5 5

94 Other Europe 62 54 75 65 65

2 Former Soviet Union - 12 1 4 15 5 5

0 Middle East 4 0 5 5 5

12 North Africa 24 31 29 25 25

19 Sub-Saharan Africa 46 31 30 50 50

162 East Asia 209 222 330 250 250

0 Oceania 0 0 0 0 0

2,307 Total 2,246 2,016 2,244 2,255 2,255

Production none

4,935 North America 4,091 4,813 4,207 4,570 4,507

1,478 South America 1,325 1,910 2,372 2,069 2,069

8,380 European Union - 28 7,821 7,554 8,034 8,053 7,960

359 Other Europe 411 418 464 423 423

6,062 Former Soviet Union - 12 6,631 5,767 5,991 6,176 6,176

210 Middle East 210 210 210 210 210

156 North Africa 147 166 175 175 175

59 Sub-Saharan Africa 55 55 55 55 55

237 East Asia 257 181 186 191 191

1,283 Oceania 1,233 1,329 1,910 1,085 1,085

23,159 Total 22,181 22,403 23,604 23,007 22,851

Domestic Consumption none

4,602 North America 4,303 4,507 4,540 4,830 4,802

1,447 South America 1,285 1,865 2,237 2,123 2,123

8,075 European Union - 28 7,730 7,400 8,000 7,900 7,800

435 Other Europe 479 484 515 506 506

6,031 Former Soviet Union - 12 6,531 5,801 5,930 6,131 6,131

215 Middle East 215 210 210 215 215

164 North Africa 163 197 201 200 200

95 Sub-Saharan Africa 94 87 85 105 105

400 East Asia 450 420 490 430 430

978 Oceania 985 1,054 1,385 1,085 1,085

22,442 Total 22,235 22,025 23,593 23,525 23,397

Ending Stocks none

1,417 North America 1,459 1,758 1,425 1,202 1,135

129 South America 106 157 248 174 174

894 European Union - 28 770 720 607 544 572

52 Other Europe 46 35 53 35 35

346 Former Soviet Union - 12 397 298 316 296 296

8 Middle East 6 6 6 6 6

1 North Africa 1 1 1 1 1

11 Sub-Saharan Africa 18 17 11 11 11

23 East Asia 39 22 48 30 59

105 Oceania 93 143 368 112 118

2,986 Total 2,935 3,157 3,083 2,411 2,407

NOTES: Regional definitions appear on last page of this circular. Imports are reported on a trade year basis. All other data are

reported using local marketing years.

Foreign Agricultural Service/USDA October 2017Office of Global Analysis

Page 37: Grain: World Markets and Tradeuga.ua/wp-content/uploads/USDA.pdf · 6 TRADE CHANGES IN 2017/18 Selected Importers India is down 500,000 tons to 3.5 million based on a larger domestic

World Rye Trade

October/September Year, Thousand Metric Tons

2013/14 2014/15 2015/16 2016/17 2017/18

Sep

2017/18

Oct

none

TY Exports

2020202400 Belarus

1501501251118997 Canada

100100150160167201 European Union

5050102312183 Russia

101010211359 Ukraine

000011 Others

330330315339391441 Subtotal

555636 United States

335335320345394447 World Total

none

TY Imports

505025509696 European Union

252525151833 Israel

202025162237 Japan

555548 Korea, South

1010102621 Norway

555555 Russia

555366 Switzerland

0001661 Others

120120100112163207 Subtotal

15152016-3136 Unaccounted

200200200217262204 United States

335335320345394447 World Total

TY=Trade Year, see Endnotes.

Foreign Agricultural Service/USDA October 2017Office of Global Analysis

Page 38: Grain: World Markets and Tradeuga.ua/wp-content/uploads/USDA.pdf · 6 TRADE CHANGES IN 2017/18 Selected Importers India is down 500,000 tons to 3.5 million based on a larger domestic

World Rye Production, Consumption, and Stocks

Local Marketing Years, Thousand Metric Tons

2013/14 2014/15 2015/16 2016/17 2017/18

Sep

2017/18

Oct

none

Production

828279619752 Argentina

800800800753867648 Belarus

320320415226218223 Canada

7,5517,7637,4917,8338,86410,151 European Union

2,5002,5002,5382,0843,2793,360 Russia

350350350350300365 Turkey

450450390394475638 Ukraine

153153145178175130 Others

12,20612,41812,20811,87914,27515,567 Subtotal

246311342295183194 United States

12,45212,72912,55012,17414,45815,761 World Total

none

Total Consumption

828279619752 Argentina

262625221919 Australia

800800800800850700 Belarus

160160169119134107 Canada

7,6007,7007,7008,0258,6009,650 European Union

353533376540 Kazakhstan

525223674635 Norway

2,4002,4002,4002,1503,2503,100 Russia

350350350350325350 Turkey

460460380420475625 Ukraine

11111111793107142 Others

12,08812,18812,07712,16313,97314,815 Subtotal

447505499515406424 United States

12,53512,69312,57612,67814,37915,239 World Total

none

Ending Stocks

59597999166149 Belarus

182175172514244 Canada

7167328151,0841,3861,204 European Union

7712448 Kazakhstan

341341286155264344 Russia

141414141433 Turkey

53537375106128 Ukraine

001234 Others

1,3721,3811,4521,4841,9851,914 Subtotal

15221812157 United States

1,3871,4031,4701,4962,0001,921 World Total

Foreign Agricultural Service/USDA October 2017Office of Global Analysis

Page 39: Grain: World Markets and Tradeuga.ua/wp-content/uploads/USDA.pdf · 6 TRADE CHANGES IN 2017/18 Selected Importers India is down 500,000 tons to 3.5 million based on a larger domestic

Regional Rye Imports, Production, Consumption, and Stocks

Thousand Metric Tons

2013/14 2014/15 2015/16 2016/17

Sep

2017/18

Oct

2017/18

TY Imports none

204 North America 262 217 200 200 200

0 South America 0 0 0 0 0

96 European Union - 28 96 50 25 50 50

28 Other Europe 12 5 15 15 15

5 Former Soviet Union - 12 5 21 5 5 5

33 Middle East 24 15 25 25 25

0 Sub-Saharan Africa 0 0 0 0 0

45 East Asia 26 21 30 25 25

0 Oceania 0 0 0 0 0

411 Total 425 329 300 320 320

Production none

417 North America 401 521 757 631 566

59 South America 105 69 91 92 92

10,151 European Union - 28 8,864 7,833 7,491 7,763 7,551

57 Other Europe 83 108 64 84 84

4,689 Former Soviet Union - 12 4,682 3,268 3,769 3,780 3,780

365 Middle East 300 350 350 350 350

3 Sub-Saharan Africa 3 3 3 3 3

0 East Asia 0 0 0 0 0

20 Oceania 20 22 25 26 26

15,761 Total 14,458 12,174 12,550 12,729 12,452

Domestic Consumption none

531 North America 540 634 668 665 607

59 South America 105 69 91 92 92

9,650 European Union - 28 8,600 8,025 7,700 7,700 7,600

86 Other Europe 97 112 69 99 99

4,465 Former Soviet Union - 12 4,640 3,407 3,613 3,695 3,695

383 Middle East 343 365 375 375 375

3 Sub-Saharan Africa 3 3 3 3 3

48 East Asia 27 22 31 26 26

19 Oceania 19 22 25 26 26

15,244 Total 14,374 12,659 12,575 12,681 12,523

Ending Stocks none

51 North America 57 63 190 197 197

0 South America 0 0 0 0 0

1,204 European Union - 28 1,386 1,084 815 732 716

0 Other Europe 0 0 0 0 0

629 Former Soviet Union - 12 540 333 450 460 460

33 Middle East 14 14 14 14 14

0 Sub-Saharan Africa 0 0 0 0 0

4 East Asia 3 2 1 0 0

0 Oceania 0 0 0 0 0

1,921 Total 2,000 1,496 1,470 1,403 1,387

NOTES: Regional definitions appear on last page of this circular. Imports are reported on a trade year basis. All other data are

reported using local marketing years.

Foreign Agricultural Service/USDA October 2017Office of Global Analysis

Page 40: Grain: World Markets and Tradeuga.ua/wp-content/uploads/USDA.pdf · 6 TRADE CHANGES IN 2017/18 Selected Importers India is down 500,000 tons to 3.5 million based on a larger domestic

40

HISTORICAL DATA SERIES FOR

SELECTED REGIONS AND

COUNTRIES

CONTENTS

European Union: Grain Supply and Demand ............................................... 41

China: Grain Supply and Demand ................................................................ 42

Other Europe: Grain Supply and Demand .................................................... 43

Former Soviet Union: Grain Supply and Demand ........................................ 44

Wheat Supply and Disappearance: Selected Exporters ................................ 48

Corn Supply and Disappearance: Selected Exporters ................................... 50

Barley Supply and Disappearance: Selected Exporters ................................ 52

Sorghum Supply and Disappearance: Selected Exporters ............................ 53

U.S. Grains: Supply and Distribution……………………………. .... ……..54

Total Wheat and Coarse Grains: Supply and Demand ................................. 55

World Wheat and Coarse Grains: Supply and Demand ............................... 56

World Corn and Barley: Supply and Demand .............................................. 57

World Rice: Supply and Demand ................................................................. 58

DG F/SA &F

Foreign Agricultural Service/USDA October 2017Office of Global Analysis

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European Union: Grain Supply and Demand

Wheat and Coarse Grains Millions of Metric Tons/Hectares

Area

Harvested

Yield Productio

n

Imports Exports Feed

Dom.

Domestic

Consumpti

Ending

Stocks

Wheat

125.7 126.260.213.95.25.124.7 2006/07 14.8

120.8 117.252.412.46.84.924.9 2007/08 12.8

151.9 127.660.525.47.75.726.8 2008/09 19.4

139.7 125.657.522.35.45.426.0 2009/10 16.6

136.7 122.852.523.14.65.326.0 2010/11 11.9

138.2 127.257.516.77.45.325.8 2011/12 13.5

133.9 119.351.022.85.35.226.0 2012/13 10.7

144.6 117.349.032.04.05.625.9 2013/14 9.9

156.9 124.755.035.56.05.926.7 2014/15 12.7

160.5 129.959.034.76.96.026.8 2015/16 15.6

145.5 128.556.527.35.35.327.3 2016/17 10.5

151.0 128.356.528.56.55.726.6 2017/18 11.3

Coarse Grains

140.3 150.9112.94.58.14.332.4 2006/07 15.7

138.8 157.2121.64.520.34.232.7 2007/08 13.1

165.2 154.5116.15.73.14.834.1 2008/09 21.3

158.0 152.8114.83.02.94.833.0 2009/10 26.3

143.2 155.0116.96.28.54.730.2 2010/11 16.9

150.1 151.7113.26.57.05.030.2 2011/12 15.7

146.2 153.3113.77.411.84.631.4 2012/13 13.1

159.2 164.4122.48.616.35.131.5 2013/14 15.6

170.7 162.6121.614.09.25.530.8 2014/15 18.9

152.7 157.3117.113.114.25.130.2 2015/16 15.4

152.3 160.5120.07.915.45.229.4 2016/17 14.7

150.0 160.1119.68.016.65.029.7 2017/18 13.2

Wheat and Coarse Grains

265.9 277.1173.118.513.24.757.1 2006/07 30.5

259.6 274.3174.116.927.14.557.5 2007/08 25.9

317.2 282.1176.631.110.85.260.9 2008/09 40.7

297.7 278.4172.325.38.25.059.0 2009/10 42.9

279.9 277.8169.429.313.15.056.3 2010/11 28.8

288.3 278.9170.723.314.35.156.1 2011/12 29.3

280.1 272.6164.730.217.14.957.4 2012/13 23.8

303.8 281.7171.440.720.35.357.4 2013/14 25.5

327.6 287.3176.649.415.25.757.5 2014/15 31.6

313.2 287.1176.147.821.25.557.0 2015/16 31.0

297.7 289.0176.535.220.75.256.8 2016/17 25.2

301.0 288.4176.136.523.15.356.4 2017/18 24.5

Foreign Agricultural Service/USDA October 2017Office of Global Analysis

Page 42: Grain: World Markets and Tradeuga.ua/wp-content/uploads/USDA.pdf · 6 TRADE CHANGES IN 2017/18 Selected Importers India is down 500,000 tons to 3.5 million based on a larger domestic

China: Grain Supply and Demand

Wheat and Coarse Grains Millions of Metric Tons/Hectares

Area

Harvested

Yield Productio

n

Imports Exports Feed

Dom.

Domestic

Consumpti

Ending

Stocks

Wheat

108.5 102.04.02.80.44.623.6 2006/07 38.6

109.3 106.08.02.80.04.623.7 2007/08 39.1

112.5 105.58.00.70.54.823.6 2008/09 45.8

115.1 107.010.00.91.44.724.3 2009/10 54.4

115.2 110.513.00.90.94.724.3 2010/11 59.1

117.4 122.524.01.02.94.824.3 2011/12 55.9

121.0 125.025.01.03.05.024.3 2012/13 54.0

121.9 116.516.00.96.85.124.1 2013/14 65.3

126.2 116.516.00.81.95.224.1 2014/15 76.1

130.2 112.010.50.73.55.424.1 2015/16 97.0

128.9 118.516.50.74.45.324.2 2016/17 111.1

130.0 116.013.00.83.05.424.2 2017/18 127.3

Coarse Grains

158.8 153.2104.75.51.25.131.1 2006/07 38.0

158.8 157.6106.40.91.25.031.8 2007/08 39.5

172.1 160.9108.80.21.75.332.2 2008/09 52.1

169.4 172.9118.80.23.85.133.4 2009/10 52.2

183.5 188.1128.40.22.75.334.6 2010/11 50.1

198.3 195.9131.70.17.95.635.5 2011/12 60.3

211.8 209.3145.70.15.65.737.1 2012/13 68.3

225.1 223.2157.40.012.45.938.3 2013/14 82.5

222.4 228.7158.40.025.75.739.2 2014/15 101.9

231.4 238.7166.40.017.55.840.2 2015/16 112.1

227.4 252.4173.80.116.15.839.0 2016/17 103.0

223.0 259.1176.60.113.76.037.3 2017/18 80.6

Wheat and Coarse Grains

267.2 255.2108.78.21.54.954.7 2006/07 76.5

268.1 263.6114.43.71.24.855.5 2007/08 78.5

284.6 266.4116.80.92.15.155.8 2008/09 97.9

284.5 279.9128.81.15.24.957.6 2009/10 106.6

298.6 298.6141.41.13.65.158.9 2010/11 109.2

315.7 318.4155.71.110.95.359.8 2011/12 116.2

332.9 334.3170.71.18.65.461.3 2012/13 122.2

347.0 339.7173.40.919.25.662.4 2013/14 147.8

348.6 345.2174.40.827.65.563.2 2014/15 178.0

361.6 350.7176.90.821.05.664.3 2015/16 209.1

356.3 370.9190.30.920.55.663.2 2016/17 214.1

353.0 375.1189.60.916.75.761.5 2017/18 207.8

Foreign Agricultural Service/USDA October 2017Office of Global Analysis

Page 43: Grain: World Markets and Tradeuga.ua/wp-content/uploads/USDA.pdf · 6 TRADE CHANGES IN 2017/18 Selected Importers India is down 500,000 tons to 3.5 million based on a larger domestic

Other Europe: Grain Supply and Demand

Wheat and Coarse Grains Millions of Metric Tons/Hectares

Area

Harvested

Yield Productio

n

Imports Exports Feed

Dom.

Domestic

Consumpti

Ending

Stocks

Wheat

3.5 4.60.70.31.53.71.0 2006/07 1.2

3.7 4.81.00.51.93.81.0 2007/08 1.5

4.0 5.11.20.41.74.40.9 2008/09 1.7

3.8 4.91.00.51.73.91.0 2009/10 1.7

3.2 4.70.80.61.73.70.9 2010/11 1.3

3.6 4.91.00.51.94.20.9 2011/12 1.4

3.4 4.71.00.71.64.00.9 2012/13 1.1

4.2 4.91.21.31.94.60.9 2013/14 1.0

4.1 4.91.20.71.84.11.0 2014/15 1.3

4.4 4.91.21.01.84.70.9 2015/16 1.6

4.7 5.01.31.32.04.81.0 2016/17 2.0

4.2 5.01.31.31.94.60.9 2017/18 1.8

Coarse Grains

9.8 9.68.50.90.84.92.0 2006/07 1.3

6.9 7.96.80.10.93.42.0 2007/08 1.1

9.7 8.77.61.50.64.62.1 2008/09 1.1

9.7 8.77.51.40.74.92.0 2009/10 1.4

10.0 8.77.32.00.75.02.0 2010/11 1.4

9.5 8.47.02.30.84.62.0 2011/12 1.0

6.6 7.15.90.60.73.22.1 2012/13 0.6

9.0 7.86.41.90.94.52.0 2013/14 0.8

10.9 8.37.03.10.86.01.8 2014/15 1.1

9.3 8.77.31.60.85.11.8 2015/16 0.9

11.3 9.07.62.50.96.31.8 2016/17 1.6

7.3 8.06.70.80.94.11.8 2017/18 1.0

Wheat and Coarse Grains

13.3 14.29.21.22.34.53.0 2006/07 2.5

10.6 12.67.80.62.73.53.0 2007/08 2.6

13.7 13.88.81.92.34.63.0 2008/09 2.8

13.5 13.78.51.92.44.53.0 2009/10 3.2

13.2 13.48.12.62.44.62.9 2010/11 2.7

13.1 13.38.12.82.74.52.9 2011/12 2.5

10.0 11.87.01.32.43.42.9 2012/13 1.7

13.2 12.77.63.12.74.52.9 2013/14 1.8

15.0 13.28.13.72.55.32.8 2014/15 2.4

13.6 13.68.52.52.65.02.7 2015/16 2.5

16.1 14.08.93.92.85.82.8 2016/17 3.6

11.6 13.17.92.02.74.32.7 2017/18 2.8

Foreign Agricultural Service/USDA October 2017Office of Global Analysis

Page 44: Grain: World Markets and Tradeuga.ua/wp-content/uploads/USDA.pdf · 6 TRADE CHANGES IN 2017/18 Selected Importers India is down 500,000 tons to 3.5 million based on a larger domestic

Former Soviet Union: Grain Supply and Demand

Wheat and Coarse Grains Millions of Metric Tons/Hectares

Area

Harvested

Yield Productio

n

Imports Exports Feed

Dom.

Domestic

Consumpti

Ending

Stocks

Wheat

115.0 80.028.439.78.02.349.7 2011/12 26.6

77.8 71.721.625.47.31.844.1 2012/13 14.5

103.8 72.822.737.37.52.247.7 2013/14 15.8

112.4 75.024.540.27.72.446.6 2014/15 20.7

118.0 77.826.751.57.42.448.9 2015/16 16.8

130.7 79.128.153.97.42.650.6 2016/17 21.9

138.3 82.731.657.58.02.849.9 2017/18 28.0

Coarse Grains

78.6 53.837.924.61.02.927.0 2011/12 6.3

68.3 49.534.819.80.72.527.5 2012/13 6.1

87.9 56.540.830.80.83.029.4 2013/14 7.4

91.8 58.342.233.90.83.030.3 2014/15 7.9

82.6 53.438.331.30.52.928.0 2015/16 6.2

93.3 57.141.736.60.83.328.2 2016/17 6.6

93.1 57.041.737.30.73.328.1 2017/18 6.0

Foreign Agricultural Service/USDA October 2017Office of Global Analysis

Page 45: Grain: World Markets and Tradeuga.ua/wp-content/uploads/USDA.pdf · 6 TRADE CHANGES IN 2017/18 Selected Importers India is down 500,000 tons to 3.5 million based on a larger domestic

Millions of Tons/Hectares

Former Soviet Union: Grain Supply and Demand (Wheat)

Area

Harvested

Ending

Stocks

Total

Consumpti

Feed and

Residual

MY

Exports

MY

Imports

Productio

n

YieldCountry Mktg Year

Former Soviet Union - 12

Kazakhstan

13.0 6.82.05.50.61.111.9 2014/15 3.3

13.7 6.92.17.60.11.211.6 2015/16 2.6

15.0 6.92.16.80.11.212.4 2016/17 4.0

14.0 6.92.17.50.11.211.8 2017/18 3.6

Russia

59.1 35.513.022.80.32.523.6 2014/15 6.3

61.0 37.014.025.50.82.425.6 2015/16 5.6

72.5 40.017.027.80.52.727.0 2016/17 10.8

82.0 43.520.532.50.53.126.8 2017/18 17.3

Ukraine

24.8 11.54.011.30.03.96.3 2014/15 5.7

27.3 12.25.117.40.03.87.1 2015/16 3.3

26.8 10.33.618.10.04.26.5 2016/17 1.8

26.5 10.03.516.50.04.06.6 2017/18 1.8

Uzbekistan

7.2 8.92.20.22.25.11.4 2014/15 2.2

7.2 9.42.30.22.75.11.4 2015/16 2.5

7.2 9.72.40.22.75.11.4 2016/17 2.5

7.2 9.92.50.22.85.11.4 2017/18 2.4

Other Former Soviet Union - 12

8.4 12.33.30.44.52.53.3 2014/15 3.2

8.7 12.33.30.73.82.73.2 2015/16 2.7

9.2 12.23.00.94.12.73.4 2016/17 2.8

8.6 12.43.00.84.62.63.3 2017/18 2.8

Total Former Soviet Union - 12

112.4 75.024.540.27.72.446.6 2014/15 20.7

118.0 77.826.751.57.42.448.9 2015/16 16.8

130.7 79.128.153.97.42.650.6 2016/17 21.9

138.3 82.731.657.58.02.849.9 2017/18 28.0

Foreign Agricultural Service/USDA October 2017Office of Global Analysis

Page 46: Grain: World Markets and Tradeuga.ua/wp-content/uploads/USDA.pdf · 6 TRADE CHANGES IN 2017/18 Selected Importers India is down 500,000 tons to 3.5 million based on a larger domestic

Millions of Tons/Hectares

Former Soviet Union: Grain Supply and Demand (Barley)

Area

Harvested

Ending

Stocks

Total

Consumpti

Feed and

Residual

MY

Exports

MY

Imports

Productio

n

YieldCountry Mktg Year

Former Soviet Union - 12

Kazakhstan

2.4 2.01.70.50.01.31.9 2014/15 0.2

2.7 2.01.70.80.01.32.0 2015/16 0.1

3.2 2.32.00.70.01.71.9 2016/17 0.4

2.7 2.21.90.60.01.32.1 2017/18 0.3

Russia

20.0 14.19.25.30.02.38.8 2014/15 1.5

17.1 13.79.04.20.12.18.0 2015/16 0.7

17.5 14.79.92.90.22.28.0 2016/17 0.8

20.5 15.710.94.50.12.67.9 2017/18 1.2

Ukraine

9.5 5.54.04.50.03.03.2 2014/15 1.6

8.8 4.32.84.40.02.93.0 2015/16 1.6

9.9 4.93.55.40.03.23.1 2016/17 1.3

8.7 4.43.04.60.03.32.7 2017/18 1.0

Uzbekistan

0.2 0.30.20.00.13.20.1 2014/15 0.0

0.2 0.30.20.00.03.20.1 2015/16 0.0

0.2 0.30.20.00.13.20.1 2016/17 0.0

0.2 0.30.30.00.13.20.1 2017/18 0.0

Other Former Soviet Union - 12

3.5 3.62.80.10.22.61.3 2014/15 0.4

3.9 3.72.90.10.02.91.3 2015/16 0.5

4.1 4.23.40.10.12.91.4 2016/17 0.3

3.7 3.93.10.10.22.81.3 2017/18 0.2

Total Former Soviet Union - 12

35.6 25.517.910.30.32.315.3 2014/15 3.7

32.6 24.016.69.60.12.314.5 2015/16 3.0

35.0 26.419.09.10.42.414.4 2016/17 2.8

35.9 26.519.19.80.32.614.0 2017/18 2.6

Foreign Agricultural Service/USDA October 2017Office of Global Analysis

Page 47: Grain: World Markets and Tradeuga.ua/wp-content/uploads/USDA.pdf · 6 TRADE CHANGES IN 2017/18 Selected Importers India is down 500,000 tons to 3.5 million based on a larger domestic

Millions of Tons/Hectares

Former Soviet Union: Grain Supply and Demand (Corn)

Area

Harvested

Ending

Stocks

Total

Consumpti

Feed and

Residual

MY

Exports

MY

Imports

Productio

n

YieldCountry Mktg Year

Former Soviet Union - 12

Kazakhstan

0.7 0.60.50.00.05.30.1 2014/15 0.1

0.7 0.70.60.00.05.30.1 2015/16 0.2

0.8 0.70.60.00.05.60.1 2016/17 0.2

0.8 0.80.70.10.05.60.1 2017/18 0.1

Russia

11.3 8.17.23.20.04.42.6 2014/15 0.7

13.2 8.77.84.70.04.92.7 2015/16 0.6

15.3 9.99.05.50.15.52.8 2016/17 0.5

15.3 9.88.95.50.15.13.0 2017/18 0.6

Ukraine

28.5 8.67.219.70.06.24.6 2014/15 1.5

23.3 6.95.516.60.05.74.1 2015/16 1.4

28.0 6.45.021.50.16.64.3 2016/17 1.5

27.0 5.94.521.50.06.04.5 2017/18 1.2

Uzbekistan

0.1 0.20.10.00.03.40.0 2014/15 0.0

0.1 0.20.10.00.03.40.0 2015/16 0.0

0.1 0.10.10.00.03.40.0 2016/17 0.0

0.1 0.10.10.00.03.40.0 2017/18 0.0

Other Former Soviet Union - 12

3.4 3.43.10.30.43.70.9 2014/15 0.8

2.5 2.92.60.20.32.90.9 2015/16 0.5

3.2 3.02.70.20.23.50.9 2016/17 0.6

3.4 3.43.00.20.33.70.9 2017/18 0.7

Total Former Soviet Union - 12

44.0 20.818.123.20.55.38.3 2014/15 3.2

39.9 19.316.621.50.45.17.8 2015/16 2.6

47.4 20.217.427.20.45.98.1 2016/17 2.9

46.6 20.017.227.30.45.48.6 2017/18 2.6

Foreign Agricultural Service/USDA October 2017Office of Global Analysis

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Million Metric Tons/Hectares

Wheat Supply and Disappearance: Selected Exporters

Area

Harvested

Ending

Stocks

Total

Consumpti

Feed and

Residual

MY

Exports

MY

Imports

Productio

n

YieldCountry Mktg Year

Wheat Competitors

Argentina

10.5 6.10.12.30.03.03.5 2013/14 2.5

13.9 6.40.35.30.02.85.0 2014/15 4.8

11.3 5.90.29.60.02.93.9 2015/16 0.6

18.4 5.70.113.00.03.35.6 2016/17 0.3

17.5 5.90.111.50.03.15.6 2017/18 0.4

Australia

25.3 7.03.618.60.22.012.6 2013/14 4.6

23.7 7.23.816.60.21.912.4 2014/15 4.7

22.3 7.13.716.10.22.011.3 2015/16 3.9

33.5 7.84.323.00.12.712.4 2016/17 6.7

21.5 7.03.518.00.21.712.5 2017/18 3.4

Canada

37.5 9.44.223.30.43.610.4 2013/14 10.4

29.4 9.03.924.20.53.19.5 2014/15 7.1

27.6 7.92.722.10.52.99.6 2015/16 5.2

31.7 10.35.320.20.53.68.9 2016/17 6.9

27.0 8.23.021.00.53.09.0 2017/18 5.1

European Union

144.6 117.349.032.04.05.625.9 2013/14 9.9

156.9 124.755.035.56.05.926.7 2014/15 12.7

160.5 129.959.034.76.96.026.8 2015/16 15.6

145.5 128.556.527.35.35.327.3 2016/17 10.5

151.0 128.356.528.56.55.726.6 2017/18 11.3

Kazakhstan

13.9 6.82.08.10.01.113.0 2013/14 2.0

13.0 6.82.05.50.61.111.9 2014/15 3.3

13.7 6.92.17.60.11.211.6 2015/16 2.6

15.0 6.92.16.80.11.212.4 2016/17 4.0

14.0 6.92.17.50.11.211.8 2017/18 3.6

Russia

52.1 34.112.518.60.92.223.4 2013/14 5.2

59.1 35.513.022.80.32.523.6 2014/15 6.3

61.0 37.014.025.50.82.425.6 2015/16 5.6

72.5 40.017.027.80.52.727.0 2016/17 10.8

82.0 43.520.532.50.53.126.8 2017/18 17.3

Foreign Agricultural Service/USDA October 2017Office of Global Analysis

Page 49: Grain: World Markets and Tradeuga.ua/wp-content/uploads/USDA.pdf · 6 TRADE CHANGES IN 2017/18 Selected Importers India is down 500,000 tons to 3.5 million based on a larger domestic

Million Metric Tons/Hectares

Wheat Supply and Disappearance: Selected Exporters (Continued)

Area

Harvested

Ending

Stocks

Total

Consumpti

Feed and

Residual

MY

Exports

MY

Imports

Productio

n

YieldCountry Mktg Year

Ukraine

22.3 11.53.49.80.13.46.6 2013/14 3.7

24.8 11.54.011.30.03.96.3 2014/15 5.7

27.3 12.25.117.40.03.87.1 2015/16 3.3

26.8 10.33.618.10.04.26.5 2016/17 1.8

26.5 10.03.516.50.04.06.6 2017/18 1.8

Total Wheat Competitors

306.2 192.174.8112.65.63.295.4 2013/14 38.3

320.8 201.182.0121.17.63.495.4 2014/15 44.5

323.7 206.986.8133.18.53.495.9 2015/16 36.8

343.4 209.588.9136.26.53.4100.0 2016/17 41.0

339.5 209.889.2135.57.73.498.9 2017/18 43.0

Foreign Agricultural Service/USDA October 2017Office of Global Analysis

Page 50: Grain: World Markets and Tradeuga.ua/wp-content/uploads/USDA.pdf · 6 TRADE CHANGES IN 2017/18 Selected Importers India is down 500,000 tons to 3.5 million based on a larger domestic

Million Metric Tons/Hectares

Corn Supply and Disappearance: Selected Exporters

Area

Harvested

Ending

Stocks

Total

Consumpti

Feed and

Residual

MY

Exports

MY

Imports

Productio

n

YieldCountry Mktg Year

Argentina

25.0 6.95.016.50.08.33.0 2009/10 2.5

25.2 7.35.316.30.06.73.8 2010/11 4.0

21.0 7.04.817.10.05.83.6 2011/12 0.9

27.0 7.95.318.70.06.84.0 2012/13 1.3

26.0 8.85.817.10.07.63.4 2013/14 1.4

29.8 9.36.019.00.08.53.5 2014/15 2.9

29.0 9.25.921.60.08.33.5 2015/16 1.1

41.0 11.07.325.50.08.44.9 2016/17 5.6

42.0 12.58.529.00.08.15.2 2017/18 6.1

Brazil

56.1 48.541.511.60.44.312.9 2009/10 6.5

57.4 50.043.08.40.84.213.8 2010/11 6.3

73.0 51.544.024.30.84.815.2 2011/12 4.2

81.5 52.544.524.90.95.215.8 2012/13 9.2

80.0 55.046.021.00.85.115.8 2013/14 14.0

85.0 57.048.034.50.35.415.8 2014/15 7.8

67.0 57.549.014.03.44.216.0 2015/16 6.8

98.5 60.551.036.00.55.617.6 2016/17 9.3

95.0 61.552.034.00.35.417.7 2017/18 9.1

China

164.0 165.0118.00.21.35.331.2 2009/10 51.3

177.2 180.0128.00.11.05.532.5 2010/11 49.4

192.8 188.0131.00.15.25.733.5 2011/12 59.3

205.6 200.0144.00.12.75.935.0 2012/13 67.6

218.5 208.0150.00.03.36.036.3 2013/14 81.3

215.6 202.0140.00.05.55.837.1 2014/15 100.5

224.6 217.5153.50.03.25.938.1 2015/16 110.8

219.6 232.0162.00.13.06.036.8 2016/17 101.2

215.0 240.0166.00.13.06.135.0 2017/18 79.2

South Africa

13.4 10.64.92.10.04.13.3 2009/10 2.8

10.9 10.75.02.40.43.82.9 2010/11 1.0

12.8 10.75.01.80.04.13.1 2011/12 1.3

12.4 11.05.12.10.13.83.2 2012/13 0.7

14.9 11.55.52.00.14.93.1 2013/14 2.2

10.6 11.76.20.72.03.53.0 2014/15 2.4

Foreign Agricultural Service/USDA October 2017Office of Global Analysis

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Million Metric Tons/Hectares

Corn Supply and Disappearance: Selected Exporters (Continued)

Area

Harvested

Ending

Stocks

Total

Consumpti

Feed and

Residual

MY

Exports

MY

Imports

Productio

n

YieldCountry Mktg Year

8.2 11.05.70.82.23.72.2 2015/16 1.1

17.5 13.17.12.50.15.83.0 2016/17 3.0

12.5 11.75.81.70.14.32.9 2017/18 2.2

Total Corn Competitors

258.5 231.0169.430.31.75.150.4 2009/10 63.1

270.8 248.0181.327.32.25.152.9 2010/11 60.8

299.5 257.2184.843.46.05.455.5 2011/12 65.7

326.5 271.4198.945.83.75.658.1 2012/13 78.7

339.4 283.3207.340.04.15.858.6 2013/14 98.9

341.0 280.0200.254.17.85.759.4 2014/15 113.7

328.8 295.2214.136.58.85.559.8 2015/16 119.7

376.5 316.6227.464.13.66.062.3 2016/17 119.1

364.5 325.7232.364.83.46.060.8 2017/18 96.5

Foreign Agricultural Service/USDA October 2017Office of Global Analysis

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Million Metric Tons/Hectares

Barley Supply and Disappearance: Selected Exporters

Area

Harvested

Ending

Stocks

Total

Consumpti

Feed and

Residual

MY

Exports

MY

Imports

Productio

n

YieldCountry Mktg Year

Australia

7.9 4.53.33.90.01.84.4 2009/10 1.9

8.0 4.23.04.70.02.23.7 2010/11 1.0

8.2 3.32.15.40.02.23.7 2011/12 0.5

7.5 3.01.84.50.02.13.6 2012/13 0.5

9.2 2.81.56.20.02.43.8 2013/14 0.7

8.6 3.01.75.20.02.14.1 2014/15 1.1

9.0 3.32.05.70.02.24.1 2015/16 1.1

13.4 3.52.29.50.03.34.0 2016/17 1.5

8.0 3.01.75.80.02.13.9 2017/18 0.7

Canada

9.5 8.77.51.30.03.32.9 2009/10 2.5

7.6 7.56.31.20.03.22.4 2010/11 1.5

7.9 6.95.71.30.03.32.4 2011/12 1.2

8.0 6.85.71.40.02.92.8 2012/13 1.0

10.2 7.76.51.60.03.92.7 2013/14 2.0

7.1 6.55.31.50.13.32.1 2014/15 1.2

8.2 7.05.81.20.23.52.4 2015/16 1.4

8.8 6.85.51.50.14.02.2 2016/17 2.0

7.3 6.95.71.30.13.52.1 2017/18 1.1

European Union

62.4 56.841.71.10.14.514.0 2009/10 15.6

53.7 56.641.34.90.24.312.5 2010/11 7.9

51.9 51.235.83.00.54.311.9 2011/12 6.1

54.9 51.035.55.00.14.412.5 2012/13 5.0

59.7 53.438.05.70.04.812.4 2013/14 5.6

60.6 50.935.79.50.14.912.4 2014/15 5.8

62.1 51.436.510.80.35.112.2 2015/16 6.1

59.9 55.040.15.70.44.912.3 2016/17 5.7

58.8 53.638.76.20.44.712.4 2017/18 5.1

Foreign Agricultural Service/USDA October 2017Office of Global Analysis

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Million Metric Tons/Hectares

Sorghum Supply and Disappearance: Selected Exporters

Area

Harvested

Ending

Stocks

Total

Consumpti

Feed and

Residual

MY

Exports

MY

Imports

Productio

n

YieldCountry Mktg Year

Argentina

3.6 1.91.71.80.04.80.8 2009/10 0.2

4.4 1.91.71.70.04.41.0 2010/11 0.9

4.2 1.91.73.10.04.21.0 2011/12 0.2

4.7 2.32.01.80.04.51.1 2012/13 0.8

4.4 2.72.31.30.04.41.0 2013/14 1.2

3.5 2.82.40.90.04.50.8 2014/15 1.0

3.4 2.92.50.50.04.50.8 2015/16 1.0

3.4 3.12.70.40.04.90.7 2016/17 0.9

3.5 2.92.50.60.04.60.8 2017/18 0.9

Australia

1.5 1.21.20.30.03.00.5 2009/10 0.7

1.9 1.41.40.90.03.10.6 2010/11 0.4

2.2 1.11.11.30.03.40.7 2011/12 0.2

2.2 1.11.11.20.03.40.6 2012/13 0.2

1.3 0.90.90.40.02.40.5 2013/14 0.2

2.2 0.50.51.60.03.00.7 2014/15 0.3

1.8 0.90.90.90.03.40.5 2015/16 0.2

1.0 0.60.60.60.02.60.4 2016/17 0.1

1.9 1.01.00.80.03.00.6 2017/18 0.2

Foreign Agricultural Service/USDA October 2017Office of Global Analysis

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U.S. Grains Supply and Distribution: Wheat, Corn, Sorghum, Barley, Oats, Rye, and Rice

Thousand Metric Tons/Hectares

Area

Harvested

Yield Rough

Production

Production Imports TY Imports Exports TY Exports Feed Dom.

Consumption

Domestic

Consumption

Ending

Stocks

Wheat

26,55231,9424,06521,81121,1683,0543,06856,117nr319,149 2015/16

32,13331,7514,26329,48828,7163,2973,21562,833nr417,746 2016/17

26,13430,9173,26626,00026,5354,1004,08247,371nr315,211 2017/18

Corn

44,123298,785129,90951,15648,2881,7821,716345,506nr1132,680 2015/16

58,295313,812138,78755,50058,2421,4001,448384,778nr1135,106 2016/17

59,441315,864139,70647,00046,9921,3001,270362,732nr1133,637 2017/18

Sorghum

9306,1872,7077,8718,6269811715,158nr53,177 2015/16

8526,2103,2806,1006,111504412,199nr52,494 2016/17

7114,0651,5245,4505,334009,258nr52,043 2017/18

Barley

2,2234,4081,0861612353524054,750nr41,278 2015/16

2,3164,3751,043125952302104,353nr41,038 2016/17

1,5304,0947621301093503273,090nr4791 2017/18

Oats

8242,7021,59136291,5321,4751,300nr3516 2015/16

7312,5391,43450501,5801,556940nr2397 2016/17

4312,7121,57930291,7001,724717nr2324 2017/18

Rye

1251519565217222295nr2148 2015/16

1849915954200167342nr2168 2016/17

154479656200204246nr2116 2017/18

Rice, Milled

1,4753,580nr3,3733,3967687666,1338,76181,046 2015/16

1,4624,171nr3,5503,7047507457,11710,16781,253 2016/17

8843,650nr3,4503,3667507685,6708,1008968 2017/18

Notes: Wheat Trade Year (TY) statistics are on July/June years. Barley, corn, sorghum, rye and oats Trade Year (TY)

statistics are on Oct/Sept years. Rice Trade Year (TY) statistics are for the subsequent calendar year; 'Imports' and

'Exports' columns contain data on the local marketing year: wheat, barley, oats and rye are June/May; corn and

sorghum are Sept/Aug; rice is Aug/July.

Foreign Agricultural Service/USDA October 2017Office of Global Analysis

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Total Wheat and Coarse Grains: Supply and Demand

Millions of Metric Tons/Hectares

Area

Harvested

Yield Productio

n

TY

Exports

Feed

Dom.

Domestic

Consumpti

Ending

Stocks

Wheat and Coarse Grains

1,218.0 338.81,301.7619.4203.32.2541.8 1988/89

1,327.1 320.01,345.9644.3208.92.4548.0 1989/90

1,417.5 368.01,369.5669.8190.12.6545.5 1990/91

1,355.5 357.61,365.9653.4207.52.5543.2 1991/92

1,431.7 398.11,388.4664.2205.22.6545.8 1992/93

1,356.4 365.41,389.1657.1188.22.5535.9 1993/94

1,393.0 362.41,395.9670.6200.12.6534.1 1994/95

1,338.9 319.51,381.8641.8187.52.5527.2 1995/96

1,490.2 367.91,441.9674.8198.32.7545.7 1996/97

1,490.8 415.11,443.5685.8190.42.8535.1 1997/98

1,481.4 447.81,448.6685.4198.72.8520.3 1998/99

1,465.5 442.91,469.9690.3214.02.9506.1 1999/00

1,446.2 418.11,470.9699.1204.82.8509.1 2000/01

1,479.8 402.51,495.4713.4208.32.9511.5 2001/02

1,444.9 341.41,506.0711.4209.22.9504.1 2002/03

1,473.3 279.01,535.7718.0205.82.9511.1 2003/04

1,642.7 335.61,586.1756.2214.43.2514.7 2004/05

1,598.4 318.01,616.1757.9222.53.1520.4 2005/06

1,585.1 272.61,630.5749.5229.93.1518.2 2006/07

1,694.9 289.11,678.4763.8244.73.2535.0 2007/08

1,795.6 360.01,724.6774.1253.53.3539.0 2008/09

1,802.5 396.11,766.4784.0254.13.4531.7 2009/10

1,748.6 359.41,785.3775.5249.83.3522.4 2010/11

1,854.3 360.71,852.9809.2287.03.5536.4 2011/12

1,793.8 342.21,812.3808.5279.63.4532.5 2012/13

1,998.3 406.31,934.2865.0327.73.7545.5 2013/14

2,040.5 464.71,982.1887.4335.83.7547.3 2014/15

1,994.9 492.81,966.8904.0356.73.7546.3 2015/16

2,121.1 518.72,095.1949.4363.83.9546.4 2016/17

2,070.5 497.42,091.9956.8367.93.8541.6 2017/18

Notes: Wheat and coarse grains trade data are on July/June years through 1975/76. From 1976/77 to

the present, coarse grains data are on an Oct/Sept trade year.

Foreign Agricultural Service/USDA October 2017Office of Global Analysis

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World Wheat and Coarse Grains: Supply and Demand

Millions of Metric Tons/Hectares

Area

Harvested

Yield Productio

n

TY

Exports

Feed

Dom.

Domestic

Consumpti

Ending

Stocks

Wheat

537.5 155.8545.696.999.22.5216.7 1995/96

581.3 164.4572.7101.4104.02.6227.1 1996/97

610.2 197.9576.7106.2104.52.7226.4 1997/98

590.5 209.3579.1109.4102.02.7219.2 1998/99

587.5 209.1587.7104.6111.92.8212.6 1999/00

582.8 206.1585.8109.8102.02.7215.3 2000/01

583.9 203.3586.6111.9107.92.7214.2 2001/02

569.7 169.1603.9116.1106.52.7213.4 2002/03

555.7 135.9588.9101.7103.52.7207.9 2003/04

626.7 156.4606.2110.7113.22.9215.7 2004/05

618.8 153.3622.0117.7114.12.8217.5 2005/06

596.7 133.5616.5113.1115.32.8212.3 2006/07

611.9 128.2617.2104.6116.02.8216.9 2007/08

684.0 169.2643.0124.0143.23.1224.1 2008/09

687.4 203.6652.9122.3135.33.0225.6 2009/10

649.6 199.0654.2116.8134.03.0216.9 2010/11

697.3 198.9697.5148.6153.63.2221.0 2011/12

658.7 177.6680.0138.3147.23.1215.9 2012/13

715.1 194.8698.0126.7162.53.3219.7 2013/14

728.2 217.8705.2131.6161.93.3221.6 2014/15

735.3 241.2711.8136.4172.03.3223.7 2015/16

754.1 256.6738.8147.3181.83.4222.3 2016/17

751.2 268.1739.6141.5181.93.4219.6 2017/18

Coarse Grains

801.4 163.7836.2544.988.32.6310.5 1995/96

909.0 203.5869.2573.494.32.9318.6 1996/97

880.6 217.2866.9579.685.82.9308.8 1997/98

890.9 238.5869.5575.996.73.0301.2 1998/99

878.0 233.8882.2585.7102.13.0293.4 1999/00

863.4 212.1885.1589.2102.82.9293.7 2000/01

895.9 199.2908.8601.4100.43.0297.3 2001/02

875.2 172.3902.2595.2102.73.0290.7 2002/03

917.7 143.1946.8616.3102.33.0303.2 2003/04

1,016.0 179.2979.8645.5101.23.4299.0 2004/05

979.6 164.7994.1640.2108.43.2302.9 2005/06

988.4 139.11,014.0636.4114.53.2305.9 2006/07

1,083.0 160.81,061.2659.2128.73.4318.1 2007/08

1,111.6 190.81,081.6650.1110.43.5314.9 2008/09

1,115.1 192.41,113.5661.8118.83.6306.1 2009/10

1,099.0 160.31,131.1658.8115.83.6305.5 2010/11

1,156.9 161.81,155.4660.6133.33.7315.4 2011/12

1,135.1 164.61,132.3670.2132.43.6316.6 2012/13

1,283.2 211.51,236.3738.3165.23.9325.8 2013/14

1,312.3 246.91,276.9755.7173.94.0325.7 2014/15

1,259.6 251.61,255.0767.6184.73.9322.7 2015/16

1,366.9 262.11,356.4802.2182.04.2324.1 2016/17

1,319.4 229.31,352.2815.3186.04.1322.0 2017/18

Notes: Wheat and coarse grains trade data are on July/June years through 1975/76. From 1976/77 to

the present, coarse grains data are on an Oct/Sept trade year.

Foreign Agricultural Service/USDA October 2017Office of Global Analysis

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World Corn and Barley: Supply and Demand

Millions of Metric Tons/Hectares

Area

Harvested

Yield Productio

n

TY

Exports

Feed

Dom.

Domestic

Consumpti

Ending

Stocks

Corn

516.7 133.3536.8365.264.83.8135.0 1995/96

592.9 166.3559.9387.866.64.2141.5 1996/97

574.2 167.2573.3400.663.14.2136.2 1997/98

605.8 191.4581.7404.368.74.4138.9 1998/99

608.1 194.4605.0422.472.04.4138.8 1999/00

591.5 175.1610.8427.375.94.3137.0 2000/01

601.8 151.4625.5436.372.74.4137.1 2001/02

604.1 126.9628.6433.376.84.4137.7 2002/03

627.8 104.7650.0445.879.04.4141.6 2003/04

716.9 131.1690.6476.076.04.9145.3 2004/05

700.2 123.4707.8479.682.54.8145.1 2005/06

715.6 108.8730.2480.091.34.8149.6 2006/07

795.7 127.7776.8500.998.25.0160.2 2007/08

800.2 143.2784.7482.883.65.1158.0 2008/09

824.8 140.9827.2493.892.75.3157.0 2009/10

836.3 122.6854.6506.191.75.1164.0 2010/11

891.5 128.2885.8509.8103.75.2172.7 2011/12

874.3 132.9869.5521.3100.74.9179.6 2012/13

996.1 174.2954.9575.1130.85.4182.8 2013/14

1,023.2 209.5987.8587.3128.45.6182.2 2014/15

972.4 214.0967.9601.6144.95.4180.7 2015/16

1,075.3 227.01,062.3632.5141.95.8185.7 2016/17

1,038.8 201.01,064.8650.5150.95.6184.9 2017/18

Barley

141.2 20.5150.7107.813.42.166.4 1995/96

153.1 24.1149.5106.317.92.464.2 1996/97

153.9 32.2145.8104.112.82.463.8 1997/98

136.0 29.0139.299.517.82.456.7 1998/99

127.4 23.9132.594.017.82.452.1 1999/00

133.0 22.6134.394.616.32.553.0 2000/01

143.5 29.2136.995.517.22.655.7 2001/02

134.2 27.6135.894.716.32.554.7 2002/03

142.9 23.5147.0103.314.82.458.4 2003/04

152.3 33.1142.7100.217.02.757.4 2004/05

136.2 28.3141.197.417.42.555.2 2005/06

136.7 21.4143.698.414.62.456.3 2006/07

132.7 20.5133.691.018.52.455.7 2007/08

154.9 32.3143.199.718.22.855.0 2008/09

150.9 37.2146.0102.317.32.854.1 2009/10

123.0 24.3135.891.015.22.647.1 2010/11

133.4 22.5135.292.021.42.749.2 2011/12

129.0 21.6129.987.522.22.650.2 2012/13

144.3 25.0141.097.423.82.950.6 2013/14

141.8 24.4142.498.430.12.949.6 2014/15

149.6 26.4147.6100.827.53.050.3 2015/16

148.0 24.4150.1106.229.83.148.3 2016/17

142.0 19.0147.4102.525.23.047.7 2017/18

Notes: Coarse grains trade data are on July/June years through 1975/76. From 1976/77 to the present,

coarse grains data are on an Oct/Sept trade year.

Foreign Agricultural Service/USDA October 2017Office of Global Analysis

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World Rice: Supply and Demand

Millions of Metric Tons/Hectares

Area

Harvested

Yield Rough

Productio

Productio

n

TY

Exports

Domestic

Consumpti

Ending

Stocks

Rice, Milled

490.8 111.6325.714.0332.13.3146.6 1988/89

510.4 120.6336.411.7345.33.5147.8 1989/90

519.5 126.6345.412.3351.43.5147.0 1990/91

522.9 126.7353.314.4353.33.5147.6 1991/92

524.0 123.1357.414.9353.93.6146.4 1992/93

526.0 118.9358.916.6354.73.6145.3 1993/94

539.9 117.6365.520.8364.13.7147.3 1994/95

547.3 118.1368.219.7368.83.7148.3 1995/96

563.8 120.3378.218.9380.43.8150.2 1996/97

575.2 127.7379.927.6387.43.8151.7 1997/98

586.9 134.0388.624.8394.93.8153.3 1998/99

608.8 143.1400.222.8409.33.9155.8 1999/00

594.0 146.7395.624.3399.23.9152.8 2000/01

594.2 132.9413.127.9399.43.9151.6 2001/02

562.9 103.0408.027.6378.13.8147.6 2002/03

585.3 81.7413.827.3392.53.9149.5 2003/04

596.4 74.0408.528.9400.83.9151.4 2004/05

622.3 76.5415.429.0417.94.0154.2 2005/06

625.1 75.4421.231.8420.14.0154.6 2006/07

643.6 80.9428.129.5433.64.2154.9 2007/08

669.5 93.2437.629.4449.94.2158.5 2008/09

655.2 95.2438.031.8440.04.2155.8 2009/10

671.6 99.9445.436.5450.14.2158.3 2010/11

696.9 109.1458.240.0467.44.4159.8 2011/12

706.2 118.7463.939.5473.54.4159.6 2012/13

713.6 122.0475.244.1478.54.4161.9 2013/14

714.5 127.6473.542.6479.24.4161.0 2014/15

704.6 132.0468.240.1472.64.4159.5 2015/16

726.6 138.2481.044.6487.14.5160.8 2016/17

721.8 141.5480.544.4483.84.5161.9 2017/18

Notes: Stocks, exports and consumption are expressed on a milled basis in marketing years.

Foreign Agricultural Service/USDA October 2017Office of Global Analysis

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59

ENDNOTES TO GRAIN: WORLD MARKETS AND TRADE REGIONAL TABLES North America: Canada, Mexico, the United States. Central America: Belize, Costa Rica, El Salvador, Guatemala, Honduras, Nicaragua, Panama. Caribbean: Anguilla, Antigua and Barbuda, Aruba, Bahamas, Barbados, Bermuda, British Virgin Islands, Cayman Islands, Cuba, Dominica, Dominican Republic, French West Indies, Grenada, Guadeloupe, Haiti, Jamaica and Dep, Leeward-Windward Islands, Martinique, Montserrat, Netherlands Antilles, Puerto Rico, Kitts and Nevis, St. Lucia, St. Vincent and the Grenadines, Trinidad and Tobago, Turks and Caicos Islands, Virgin Islands of the U.S. South America: Argentina, Bolivia, Brazil, Chile, Colombia, Ecuador, Falkland Islands (Islas Malvinas), French Guiana, Guyana, Paraguay, Peru, Suriname, Uruguay, Venezuela. EU: Austria, Belgium/Luxembourg, Bulgaria, Croatia, Cyprus, Czech Republic, Denmark, Estonia, Finland, France, Germany, Greece, Hungary, Ireland, Italy, Latvia, Lithuania, Malta, Netherlands, Poland, Portugal, Romania, Slovakia, Slovenia, Spain, Sweden, United Kingdom. Other Europe: Albania, Azores, Bosnia and Herzegovina, Former Yugoslavia, Gibraltar, Iceland, Macedonia, Montenegro, Norway, Serbia, Switzerland. Former Soviet Union: Armenia, Azerbaijan, Belarus, Georgia, Kazakhstan, Kyrgyzstan, Moldova, Russia, Tajikistan, Turkmenistan, Ukraine, Uzbekistan. Middle East: Bahrain, Iran, Iraq, Israel, Jordan, Kuwait, Lebanon, Oman, Qatar, Saudi Arabia, Syria, Turkey, United Arab Emirates, Yemen. North Africa: Algeria, Egypt, Libya, Morocco, Tunisia. Sub-Saharan Africa: all African countries except North Africa. East Asia: China, Hong Kong, Japan, South Korea, North Korea, Macau, Mongolia, Taiwan. South Asia: Afghanistan, Bangladesh, Bhutan, India, Nepal, Pakistan, Sri Lanka, Maldives. Southeast Asia: Brunei, Burma, Cambodia, Indonesia, Laos, Malaysia, Philippines, Singapore, Thailand, Vietnam. Oceania: Australia, Fiji, New Zealand, Papua New Guinea.

Foreign Agricultural Service/USDA October 2017Office of Global Analysis

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60

OTHER NOTES Local Marketing Years (LMY): LMY refers to the 12-month period at the onset of the main harvest, when the crop is marketed (i.e., consumed, traded, or stored). The year first listed begins a country's LMY for that commodity (2016/17 starts in 2016); except for summer grains in certain Southern Hemisphere countries and for rice in selected countries, where the second year begins the LMY (2016/17 starts in 2017). Key exporter LMY’s are:

Wheat Corn Barley Sorghum Argentina (Dec/Nov) Argentina (Mar/Feb) Australia (Nov/Oct) Argentina (Mar/Feb) Australia (Oct/Sep) Brazil (Mar/Feb) Canada (Aug/Jul) Australia (Mar/Feb) Canada (Aug/Jul) China (Oct/Sep) European Union (Jul/Jun) United States (Sep/Aug) China (Jul/Jun) South Africa (May/Apr) Russia (Jul/Jun) European Union (Jul/Jun) United States (Sep/Aug) Ukraine (Jul/Jun) India (Apr/Mar) United States (Jun/May) Kazakhstan (Jul/Jun) Russia(Jul/Jun) Turkey (Jun/May) Ukraine (Jul/Jun) United States (Jun/May)

For a complete list of local marketing years, please see the FAS website (http://www.fas.usda.gov/psdonline/psdAvailability.aspx). Stocks: Unless otherwise stated, stock data are based on an aggregate of differing local marketing years and should not be construed as representing world stock levels at a fixed point in time. Consumption: World totals for consumption reflect total utilization, including food, seed, industrial, feed, and waste; as well as differences in local marketing year imports and local marketing year exports. Consumption statistics for regions and individual countries, however, reflect food, seed, industrial, feed, and waste only. Trade: All PSD tables are balanced on the different local marketing years. All trade tables contain Trade Year (TY) data which puts all countries on a uniform, 12-month period for analytical comparisons: wheat is July/June; coarse grains, corn, barley, sorghum, oats, and rye are Oct/Sept; and rice is calendar year. EU Consolidation: The trade figures starting from 1999/00 represent the European Union (Croatia plus the former EU-27) and exclude all intra-trade. For the years 1960/61 through 1998/99, figures are the EU-15 and also exclude all intra-trade. EU-15 member states' data for grains are no longer maintained in the official USDA database. Data for the individual NMS-10, plus Bulgaria, Romania, and Croatia, exists only prior to 1999/00. Statistics: (1) Wheat trade statistics include wheat, flour, and selected pasta products on a grain equivalent basis. (2) Rice trade statistics include rough, brown, milled, and broken on a milled equivalent basis. (3) Coarse grains statistics include corn, barley, sorghum, oats, rye, millet, and mixed grains but exclude trade in barley malt, millet, and mixed grains.

Foreign Agricultural Service/USDA October 2017Office of Global Analysis

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61

Unaccounted: This term includes grain in transit, reporting discrepancies in some countries, and trade to countries outside the USDA database. The Global Commodity Analysis Division, Office of Global Analysis, Foreign Agricultural Service, USDA, Washington, DC 20250, prepared this circular. Information is gathered from official statistics of foreign governments and other foreign source materials, reports of U.S. agricultural attachés and Foreign Service officers, office research, and related information. Further information may be obtained by writing the Division or telephoning (202) 720-3448. Note: The previous report in this series was Grain: World Markets and Trade September 2017. For further details on world grain production, please see World Agricultural Production October 2017. This circular is available in its entirety on the Internet via the Foreign Agricultural Service Home Page. The address is: http://www.fas.usda.gov Questions may be directed to the following staff: Andrew Sowell (202) 720-0262 [email protected] Wheat Shelbi Knisley (202) 690-2361 [email protected] Wheat Rachel Trego (202) 720-1073 [email protected] Rice Tiffany Landry (202) 720-2349 [email protected] Rice Yoonhee Macke (202) 690-4199 [email protected] Coarse Grains Graham Soley (202) 772-4235 [email protected] Coarse Grains Olutayo Akingbe (202) 690-1624 [email protected] Coarse Grains

Foreign Agricultural Service/USDA October 2017Office of Global Analysis

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United States Department of Agriculture Foreign Agricultural Service

Approved by the World Agricultural Outlook Board/USDA

October 2017

Soybean Trade Growth: A Story of Brazil, the United States, and China

Over the past 2 years, global soybean exports have risen 20 million tons, supplied exclusively

from Brazil and the United States. This pattern of export growth reflects the dominance of both

countries in production and trade as well as the buying patterns in China which accounts for

nearly two-thirds of global soybean trade.

The share of export growth captured by Brazil and the United States varies from year to year

depending on relative prices and the quantity of exportable supplies. Over the past 5 years,

Brazil has captured a greater share of global export growth, 49 percent versus 40 percent for the

United States. This trend reflects Brazil’s larger production growth and smaller domestic market

for soybean products. On the demand side, China remains the driver in soybean trade based

entirely on the magnitude of its consumption. With that said, growth in demand in markets

outside China and the EU have also been strong on a percentage basis. Increased supplies of

rapeseed, sunflowerseed, and grains in the EU have slowed the demand for imported soybeans in

recent years.

Over the next year, USDA’s forecast calls for global soybean demand to continue expanding,

with imports rising 5 million tons to nearly 149 million tons. While emerging markets such as

Egypt, Pakistan, and Vietnam are forecast to have strong growth in their imports, China is still

forecast to account for more than half of the increase in demand, albeit at a slower growth rate.

Given the recent trend in exports, it is likely that this increase in global demand will be split

between the United States and Brazil, with export shares dependent upon relative availability of

supplies in each country.

For an email subscription, click here to register: https://public.govdelivery.com/accounts/USDAFAS/subscriber/new

3.8 3.9

0.1

8.8

5.4

-1.1 Brazil U.S. Other

12-Month Soybean Export Growth Year Ending September (million tons)

2016 2017 (estimate)

4.9 5.0

9.3

0.9

China Other

12-Month Soybean Import Growth Year Ending September (million tons)

2016 2017 (estimate)

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OVERVIEW 2017/18 Global oilseed production is forecast lower this month at 577 million tons. Reduced soybean and sunflowerseed production primarily in Russia and Ukraine, and lower rapeseed production in the United States, offset higher global cottonseed and peanut production. Cottonseed crop prospects are higher for Argentina and Brazil, offset by a reduction in the United States, while the peanut production estimate is raised for China. Global soybean imports are down slightly this month on reductions for the European Union that surpass gains in Pakistan. Exports are down due to a lower Ukraine soybean export forecast, and lower projections of Russia and Ukraine sunflowerseed exports. Global soybean ending stocks are lowered this month as strong export demand in 2016/17 reduces 2017/18 carryin. The U.S. season-average farm price for soybeans is unchanged at $9.20 per bushel. 2016/17 Global oilseed production is raised this month as higher sunflowerseed output in Ukraine more than offsets lower in global soybean and peanut production. Global soybean imports are raised this month on larger shipments to China, Argentina, Pakistan, and Russia, exceeding reductions in the European Union. Exports are estimated higher this month on larger shipments from Brazil and Argentina. Final trade data shows U.S. soybean exports to be a record. The U.S. season-average farm price for soybeans is finalized at $9.47 per bushel. SOYBEAN PRICES U.S. export bids in September, FOB Gulf, averaged $379/ton, up $7 from the previous month. In comparison, FOB Brazil Paranagua and FOB Argentina Up River averaged $384/ton and $378/ton, up $6 and $11 from last month, respectively. Following strong global import demand as well as early season weather issues in South America, prices have trended higher in September. However, harvest pressure and farmer selling have helped pressure prices lower into early October. For the week ending September 28, U.S. 2017/18 soybean export commitments (outstanding sales plus accumulated exports) to China totaled 10.7 million tons compared to 12.6 million a year ago. Total commitments to the world are 23.3 million tons, compared to 28.3 million for the same period last year.

340

360

380

400

420

440

FOB ($/M

T)

Soybean Export Prices

U.S. Gulf Brazil Paranagua Argentina Up River

Foreign Agricultural Service/USDA October 2017Office of Global Analysis

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2017/18 OUTLOOK CHANGES Australia rapeseed exports are down 100,000 tons to 2.5 million on tighter supplies. European Union

o Rapeseed imports are lifted 200,000 tons to 4.2 million following strong early season shipments from Ukraine.

o Soybean imports are cut 500,000 tons to 14.0 million in line with reductions for 2016/17 as well as larger-than-expected rapeseed imports from Ukraine.

India sunflowerseed oil imports are down 100,000 tons to 1.7 million on lower global supplies. Indonesia palm oil exports are raised 700,000 tons to 26.2 million on higher carryover stocks

and competitive pricing. Pakistan

o Rapeseed imports are down 100,000 tons to 1.1 million, and soybean imports are up 280,000 tons to 2.0 million, both on a growing preference for locally processed soybean meal.

Russia o Sunflowerseed exports are slashed in half to 100,000 tons following a lower production

estimate. o Sunflowerseed meal exports are lowered 100,000 tons to 1.5 million on lower crush.

Ukraine o Rapeseed exports are up 350,000 tons to 1.7 million on a stronger pace of trade at the

beginning of the marketing year. o Rapeseed meal exports are slashed 200,000 tons to 215,000 and rapeseed oil exports are

down 135,000 tons to 150,000, both following a reduced crush estimate. o Sunflowerseed exports are down 100,000 tons to 150,000 reflecting a lower production

estimate. o Sunflowerseed oil exports are lowered 100,000 tons to 5.2 million, on lower crush. o Soybean exports are cut 450,000 tons to 2.5 million on a smaller production estimate.

2016/17 TRADE CHANGES (on trade data unless specified otherwise)  

United States o Soybean exports are up 99,000 tons to a record 59.2 million. o Soybean meal exports are down 90,000 tons to 10.6 million.

Argentina o Soybean exports are up 400,000 tons to 6.9 million. o Soybean imports are up 200,000 tons to 1.7 million. o Soybean meal exports are up 350,000 tons to 31.6 million.

Brazil o Soybean exports are boosted 637,000 tons to 63.1million. o Soybean oil exports are lowered 130,000 tons to 1.2 million.

Burma palm oil imports are down 109,000 tons to 671,000. China

o Soybean imports are boosted 500,000 tons to 92.5 million. o Soybean meal exports are down 100,000 tons to 1.2 million. o Fish meal imports are up 100,000 tons to 1.4 million.

Foreign Agricultural Service/USDA October 2017Office of Global Analysis

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Egypt o Soybean imports are up 100,000 tons to 2.3 million. o Soybean meal imports are reduced 200,000 tons to 1.2 million. o Soybean oil imports are cut 130,000 tons to 270,000, while palm oil imports are raised

100,000 tons to 1.3 million. European Union

o Soybean imports are lowered 300,000 tons to 13.2 million. o Sunflowerseed meal imports are down 100,000 tons to 3.7 million.

India o Soybean oil imports are down 200,000 tons to 3.5 million. o Sunflowerseed oil imports are up 100,000 tons to 2.0 million. o Peanut exports are lowered 100,000 tons to 950,000.

Indonesia palm oil exports are boosted 1.0 million tons to 26.0 million. Iran palm oil imports are up 100,000 tons to 500,000. Malaysia palm oil exports are reduced 149,000 tons to 16.3 million. Pakistan rapeseed imports are down 200,000 tons to 1.0 million, while soybean imports are

raised 209,000 to 1.7 million. Peru fishmeal exports are up 100,000 tons to 1.1 million. Philippines palm oil imports are up 100,000 tons to 1.0 million. Russia

o Sunflowerseed meal exports are reduced 100,000 tons to 1.3 million. o Soybean imports are raised 200,000 tons to 2.2 million.

Singapore palm oil imports are lowered 100,000 tons to 350,000. Ukraine

o Sunflowerseed meal exports are down 100,000 tons to 4.8 million. o Sunflowerseed oil exports are up 195,000 tons to 5.8 million.

Foreign Agricultural Service/USDA October 2017Office of Global Analysis

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Table 01: Major Oilseeds: World Supply and Distribution (Commodity View)

Million Metric Tons

2013/14 2014/15 2015/16 2016/17

Sep

2017/18

Oct

2017/18

none

Production none

5.42 Oilseed, Copra 5.42 5.32 5.41 5.54 5.54

45.04 Oilseed, Cottonseed 44.43 35.78 39.02 44.15 44.30

15.93 Oilseed, Palm Kernel 16.56 15.96 16.80 18.04 18.04

41.87 Oilseed, Peanut 40.46 40.40 42.63 42.90 43.00

71.68 Oilseed, Rapeseed 71.45 69.88 70.35 72.14 71.88

282.75 Oilseed, Soybean 320.01 313.71 351.25 348.44 347.88

41.54 Oilseed, Sunflowerseed 39.25 40.30 47.60 47.40 46.35

504.22 Total 537.58 521.35 573.07 578.60 576.99

none

Imports none

0.09 Oilseed, Copra 0.10 0.13 0.14 0.08 0.08

0.78 Oilseed, Cottonseed 0.68 0.69 1.00 0.96 0.94

0.06 Oilseed, Palm Kernel 0.07 0.06 0.06 0.07 0.07

2.36 Oilseed, Peanut 2.52 3.29 3.11 3.27 3.22

15.55 Oilseed, Rapeseed 14.32 14.52 16.32 16.08 16.17

113.07 Oilseed, Soybean 124.36 133.33 143.61 148.86 148.64

1.62 Oilseed, Sunflowerseed 1.56 1.87 2.16 1.98 1.86

133.54 Total 143.60 153.87 166.39 171.29 170.98

none

Exports none

0.11 Oilseed, Copra 0.11 0.11 0.13 0.10 0.10

0.94 Oilseed, Cottonseed 0.72 0.74 0.94 1.10 1.04

0.04 Oilseed, Palm Kernel 0.04 0.04 0.05 0.05 0.05

2.90 Oilseed, Peanut 3.30 3.52 3.80 3.73 3.74

15.10 Oilseed, Rapeseed 15.10 14.38 16.02 15.74 16.01

112.78 Oilseed, Soybean 126.13 132.46 147.46 151.42 150.97

1.96 Oilseed, Sunflowerseed 1.66 2.00 2.47 2.14 1.99

133.82 Total 147.06 153.26 170.88 174.29 173.91

none

Crush none

5.40 Oilseed, Copra 5.38 5.32 5.38 5.48 5.48

34.22 Oilseed, Cottonseed 33.84 28.38 29.20 32.89 33.04

15.85 Oilseed, Palm Kernel 16.50 15.69 16.47 17.64 17.64

17.70 Oilseed, Peanut 16.77 16.82 18.13 18.24 18.14

66.86 Oilseed, Rapeseed 67.59 67.83 68.61 70.27 69.85

242.92 Oilseed, Soybean 264.35 274.93 288.40 301.15 301.25

36.99 Oilseed, Sunflowerseed 35.55 36.65 43.10 43.25 42.69

419.93 Total 439.99 445.61 469.29 488.93 488.09

none

Ending Stocks none

0.12 Oilseed, Copra 0.10 0.08 0.09 0.09 0.09

1.78 Oilseed, Cottonseed 1.68 0.91 1.34 1.97 1.84

0.29 Oilseed, Palm Kernel 0.26 0.20 0.27 0.31 0.36

3.70 Oilseed, Peanut 3.27 2.53 2.28 2.19 2.37

7.50 Oilseed, Rapeseed 7.53 6.78 5.86 5.03 4.98

61.59 Oilseed, Soybean 77.52 77.74 94.86 97.53 96.05

3.01 Oilseed, Sunflowerseed 2.76 2.27 2.61 2.33 2.22

77.97 Total 93.12 90.52 107.31 109.46 107.90

Totals may not add due to rounding

Foreign Agricultural Service/USDA October 2017Office of Global Analysis

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Table 02: Major Protein Meals: World Supply and Distribution (Commodity View)

Million Metric Tons

2013/14 2014/15 2015/16 2016/17

Sep

2017/18

Oct

2017/18

none

Production none

1.80 Meal, Copra 1.80 1.76 1.79 1.83 1.83

15.71 Meal, Cottonseed 15.55 13.07 13.48 15.14 15.21

4.45 Meal, Fish 4.69 4.49 4.88 4.58 4.58

8.29 Meal, Palm Kernel 8.60 8.16 8.62 9.20 9.20

7.06 Meal, Peanut 6.66 6.67 7.23 7.24 7.22

38.78 Meal, Rapeseed 39.09 39.35 39.64 40.65 40.42

190.46 Meal, Soybean 208.13 215.76 226.19 236.55 236.62

16.85 Meal, Sunflowerseed 16.13 16.50 19.30 19.41 19.18

283.39 Total 300.65 305.79 321.11 334.60 334.26

none

Imports none

0.70 Meal, Copra 0.67 0.56 0.59 0.56 0.56

0.36 Meal, Cottonseed 0.26 0.23 0.27 0.26 0.26

2.74 Meal, Fish 2.51 2.46 2.87 2.45 2.46

6.51 Meal, Palm Kernel 6.82 6.40 6.71 6.74 6.74

0.10 Meal, Peanut 0.02 0.03 0.15 0.12 0.12

6.46 Meal, Rapeseed 5.99 5.70 6.09 6.22 6.22

57.94 Meal, Soybean 60.86 61.89 61.74 64.80 64.76

5.76 Meal, Sunflowerseed 5.52 5.95 7.06 7.03 7.08

80.57 Total 82.65 83.22 85.48 88.18 88.20

none

Exports none

0.72 Meal, Copra 0.73 0.58 0.56 0.63 0.65

0.38 Meal, Cottonseed 0.32 0.29 0.36 0.31 0.33

2.47 Meal, Fish 2.28 2.19 2.46 2.16 2.16

6.38 Meal, Palm Kernel 6.46 6.38 6.57 6.90 6.90

0.13 Meal, Peanut 0.06 0.06 0.20 0.17 0.17

6.35 Meal, Rapeseed 6.07 5.69 6.04 6.38 6.23

60.72 Meal, Soybean 64.36 65.31 65.26 67.42 67.41

6.22 Meal, Sunflowerseed 5.87 6.23 7.30 7.49 7.39

83.37 Total 86.15 86.72 88.76 91.46 91.24

none

Domestic Consumption none

1.78 Meal, Copra 1.71 1.71 1.74 1.76 1.76

15.68 Meal, Cottonseed 15.49 13.16 13.37 15.03 15.09

4.95 Meal, Fish 4.88 4.75 5.28 4.89 4.90

8.18 Meal, Palm Kernel 8.93 8.38 8.78 8.92 8.92

7.02 Meal, Peanut 6.63 6.61 7.20 7.19 7.17

38.92 Meal, Rapeseed 39.29 39.26 39.59 40.54 40.48

186.83 Meal, Soybean 201.70 213.53 222.20 234.38 234.44

15.94 Meal, Sunflowerseed 15.82 16.29 18.95 18.99 19.06

279.29 Total 294.44 303.69 317.10 331.69 331.81

none

Ending Stocks none

0.11 Meal, Copra 0.14 0.18 0.25 0.24 0.24

0.22 Meal, Cottonseed 0.22 0.07 0.09 0.14 0.14

0.23 Meal, Fish 0.26 0.27 0.28 0.27 0.27

0.61 Meal, Palm Kernel 0.65 0.46 0.44 0.51 0.56

0.03 Meal, Peanut 0.03 0.05 0.03 0.03 0.03

0.95 Meal, Rapeseed 0.68 0.78 0.88 0.85 0.81

10.69 Meal, Soybean 13.61 12.42 12.89 12.88 12.42

1.26 Meal, Sunflowerseed 1.23 1.17 1.28 1.18 1.08

14.10 Total 16.81 15.41 16.14 16.09 15.55

Totals may not add due to rounding

Foreign Agricultural Service/USDA October 2017Office of Global Analysis

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Table 03: Major Vegetable Oils: World Supply and Distribution (Commodity View)

Million Metric Tons

2013/14 2014/15 2015/16 2016/17

Sep

2017/18

Oct

2017/18

none

Production none

3.38 Oil, Coconut 3.37 3.32 3.38 3.44 3.44

5.16 Oil, Cottonseed 5.12 4.29 4.41 4.99 4.99

3.20 Oil, Olive 2.40 3.12 2.55 3.05 3.00

59.30 Oil, Palm 61.81 58.83 62.29 66.86 66.87

7.07 Oil, Palm Kernel 7.31 6.94 7.28 7.81 7.80

5.72 Oil, Peanut 5.43 5.44 5.88 5.88 5.87

27.27 Oil, Rapeseed 27.62 27.83 28.12 28.79 28.63

45.24 Oil, Soybean 49.20 51.50 53.90 56.13 56.16

15.45 Oil, Sunflowerseed 14.92 15.38 18.18 18.16 17.96

171.80 Total 177.18 176.65 185.99 195.09 194.70

none

Imports none

1.74 Oil, Coconut 1.82 1.58 1.58 1.62 1.62

0.08 Oil, Cottonseed 0.07 0.06 0.06 0.06 0.05

0.76 Oil, Olive 0.91 0.79 0.77 0.78 0.78

41.94 Oil, Palm 44.84 42.61 44.02 45.51 45.47

2.50 Oil, Palm Kernel 3.06 2.63 2.55 2.53 2.53

0.19 Oil, Peanut 0.25 0.24 0.23 0.23 0.23

3.83 Oil, Rapeseed 3.96 4.16 4.50 4.58 4.53

9.25 Oil, Soybean 10.04 11.63 10.94 11.51 11.45

6.97 Oil, Sunflowerseed 6.19 7.00 8.50 8.42 8.17

67.26 Total 71.13 70.70 73.15 75.22 74.83

none

Exports none

1.91 Oil, Coconut 1.94 1.56 1.87 1.72 1.72

0.14 Oil, Cottonseed 0.14 0.08 0.09 0.11 0.11

0.84 Oil, Olive 1.00 0.90 0.88 0.92 0.92

43.19 Oil, Palm 47.37 43.73 46.75 47.16 47.88

2.88 Oil, Palm Kernel 3.23 3.02 2.89 3.06 3.06

0.22 Oil, Peanut 0.26 0.25 0.24 0.26 0.26

3.83 Oil, Rapeseed 4.07 4.14 4.49 4.64 4.53

9.44 Oil, Soybean 11.09 11.68 11.43 11.92 11.85

7.78 Oil, Sunflowerseed 7.38 8.11 10.18 9.44 9.36

70.24 Total 76.47 73.47 78.82 79.21 79.67

none

Domestic Consumption none

3.34 Oil, Coconut 3.29 3.22 3.19 3.27 3.27

5.09 Oil, Cottonseed 5.06 4.38 4.38 4.90 4.90

2.99 Oil, Olive 2.65 2.82 2.70 2.88 2.83

57.53 Oil, Palm 58.72 59.32 59.68 63.19 62.61

6.58 Oil, Palm Kernel 7.22 6.81 6.94 7.14 7.14

5.68 Oil, Peanut 5.51 5.44 5.76 5.79 5.84

26.17 Oil, Rapeseed 27.29 28.16 29.25 29.42 29.26

45.28 Oil, Soybean 47.86 52.08 53.46 55.74 55.79

14.14 Oil, Sunflowerseed 14.12 15.16 16.53 17.01 16.81

166.79 Total 171.72 177.41 181.88 189.34 188.45

none

Ending Stocks none

0.33 Oil, Coconut 0.29 0.41 0.31 0.39 0.38

0.23 Oil, Cottonseed 0.22 0.11 0.11 0.15 0.15

0.65 Oil, Olive 0.31 0.49 0.23 0.26 0.26

9.54 Oil, Palm 10.10 8.48 8.36 9.74 10.21

0.93 Oil, Palm Kernel 0.85 0.59 0.59 0.73 0.72

0.24 Oil, Peanut 0.15 0.14 0.25 0.30 0.25

5.52 Oil, Rapeseed 5.74 5.44 4.32 3.66 3.69

3.93 Oil, Soybean 4.22 3.59 3.54 3.63 3.51

2.80 Oil, Sunflowerseed 2.40 1.50 1.47 1.54 1.43

24.15 Total 24.27 20.75 19.19 20.38 20.59

Totals may not add due to rounding

Foreign Agricultural Service/USDA October 2017Office of Global Analysis

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Table 04: Major Oilseeds: World Supply and Distribution (Country View)

Million Metric Tons

2013/14 2014/15 2015/16 2016/17

Sep

2017/18

Oct

2017/18

Production none

99.02 United States 116.03 115.88 126.94 132.77 132.27

90.01 Brazil 100.16 99.01 117.04 110.12 110.26

57.03 Argentina 66.26 60.80 62.69 62.48 62.61

58.64 China 57.66 54.45 55.00 56.95 57.25

36.86 India 32.28 29.37 37.76 36.46 36.46

162.66 Other 165.19 161.83 173.64 179.81 178.14

504.22 Total 537.58 521.35 573.07 578.60 576.99

Imports none

75.58 China 83.15 87.93 97.33 100.00 99.95

18.01 European Union 17.35 20.14 19.45 20.01 19.70

5.58 Mexico 5.73 5.92 6.35 6.46 6.45

5.49 Japan 5.70 5.78 5.87 6.00 6.00

1.15 Pakistan 1.68 2.63 2.86 3.14 3.27

1.89 Thailand 2.51 2.91 3.18 3.25 3.25

2.55 Indonesia 2.25 2.52 2.70 2.95 2.95

2.40 Turkey 3.12 2.98 3.01 2.98 2.93

1.76 Egypt 2.01 1.37 2.37 2.87 2.87

1.97 Vietnam 1.96 1.98 2.28 2.69 2.69

17.17 Other 18.14 19.72 21.00 20.96 20.94

133.54 Total 143.60 153.87 166.39 171.29 170.98

Exports none

46.99 Brazil 50.85 54.65 63.32 64.30 64.25

45.57 United States 51.12 53.96 60.28 62.45 62.43

12.69 Canada 13.01 14.55 15.70 16.83 16.83

8.59 Argentina 11.56 11.21 7.85 9.21 9.17

4.92 Paraguay 4.54 5.34 6.63 5.52 5.52

3.57 Ukraine 4.43 3.89 4.13 4.55 4.35

3.07 Australia 2.92 2.23 3.56 3.01 2.91

8.42 Other 8.64 7.45 9.41 8.42 8.45

133.82 Total 147.06 153.26 170.88 174.29 173.91

Crush none

107.63 China 112.09 117.20 121.97 130.05 130.55

51.46 United States 55.11 55.06 56.24 57.96 57.73

38.79 Argentina 43.39 46.37 47.41 48.72 48.72

45.27 European Union 47.39 46.98 47.08 47.78 47.38

39.71 Brazil 42.94 41.84 43.78 44.59 44.74

28.91 India 25.15 22.90 27.48 28.31 28.21

13.15 Russia 12.98 13.59 15.45 16.73 16.50

12.16 Ukraine 11.45 12.93 15.60 15.34 14.75

8.50 Canada 9.15 10.32 11.14 11.35 11.35

9.64 Indonesia 10.25 9.82 10.31 10.81 10.81

6.08 Mexico 6.41 6.49 7.00 7.22 7.22

5.11 Pakistan 5.96 5.58 5.95 6.70 6.80

5.53 Malaysia 5.55 5.20 5.37 5.99 5.99

4.40 Japan 4.66 4.73 4.78 4.83 4.83

3.41 Turkey 4.28 3.65 3.99 4.36 4.35

40.19 Other 43.24 42.96 45.76 48.19 48.17

419.93 Total 439.99 445.61 469.29 488.93 488.09

Ending Stocks none

26.61 Argentina 33.38 32.63 36.96 38.11 38.30

16.00 Brazil 19.07 18.32 24.64 22.66 22.13

14.98 China 18.60 18.42 21.94 20.63 20.87

3.95 United States 6.76 6.87 9.62 14.86 13.52

3.59 European Union 3.70 3.80 2.55 2.82 2.76

12.84 Other 11.61 10.48 11.61 10.38 10.31

77.97 Total 93.12 90.52 107.31 109.46 107.90

Major Oilseeds includes Copra, Cottonseed, Palm Kernel, Peanut, Rapeseed, Soybeans and Sunflowerseeds.

Foreign Agricultural Service/USDA October 2017Office of Global Analysis

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Table 05: Major Protein Meals: World Supply and Distribution (Country View)

Million Metric Tons

2013/14 2014/15 2015/16 2016/17

Sep

2017/18

Oct

2017/18

Production none

74.75 China 78.57 83.09 87.08 93.00 93.40

39.29 United States 43.21 42.78 43.02 44.61 44.51

29.10 Argentina 32.29 34.51 35.21 36.07 36.07

29.88 Brazil 32.48 31.74 33.17 33.72 33.80

28.95 European Union 30.27 30.35 30.18 30.78 30.42

81.42 Other 83.83 83.31 92.46 96.42 96.06

283.39 Total 300.65 305.79 321.11 334.60 334.26

Imports none

24.62 European Union 25.82 25.41 25.38 26.11 26.11

3.94 Vietnam 5.16 5.71 5.76 6.21 6.21

4.21 Indonesia 3.98 4.30 4.35 4.55 4.55

3.80 United States 3.87 4.08 3.99 4.02 4.03

3.68 Korea, South 3.42 3.39 3.30 3.48 3.48

3.14 Thailand 3.65 2.98 3.33 3.34 3.34

2.52 Japan 2.31 2.60 2.90 3.08 3.08

34.66 Other 34.42 34.75 36.48 37.40 37.41

80.57 Total 82.65 83.22 85.48 88.18 88.20

Exports none

25.38 Argentina 29.19 31.08 32.35 31.96 31.98

13.95 Brazil 14.29 15.41 13.76 15.25 15.25

10.80 United States 12.14 11.18 10.88 11.41 11.41

3.81 Ukraine 3.74 4.35 5.18 5.58 5.37

3.67 Canada 3.86 4.44 4.97 4.89 4.89

3.93 Indonesia 4.28 4.12 4.35 4.50 4.50

2.51 Paraguay 2.55 2.45 2.75 2.75 2.75

19.32 Other 16.10 13.69 14.52 15.13 15.10

83.37 Total 86.15 86.72 88.76 91.46 91.24

Domestic Consumption none

74.78 China 78.73 82.88 88.79 93.75 94.14

52.22 European Union 54.49 54.75 54.77 55.63 55.28

32.31 United States 34.94 35.69 36.08 37.24 37.13

16.43 Brazil 16.88 17.26 18.07 18.72 18.80

12.19 India 12.17 13.05 13.96 15.20 15.18

5.14 Vietnam 5.85 6.62 7.25 7.98 7.98

5.83 Mexico 6.42 7.06 7.32 7.68 7.68

4.95 Russia 5.42 5.91 6.47 7.01 7.01

5.45 Japan 5.54 5.86 6.21 6.41 6.41

5.26 Thailand 5.32 5.36 5.43 5.47 5.47

64.74 Other 68.69 69.26 72.76 76.59 76.72

279.29 Total 294.44 303.69 317.10 331.69 331.81

SME none

71.37 China 75.44 79.79 85.94 90.71 91.10

46.65 European Union 48.66 49.20 49.19 50.10 49.71

30.99 United States 33.61 34.35 34.71 35.77 35.70

16.18 Brazil 16.66 17.07 17.85 18.49 18.55

10.80 India 10.83 11.43 12.32 13.38 13.35

4.99 Vietnam 5.68 6.45 7.12 7.85 7.85

5.49 Mexico 6.07 6.71 6.93 7.28 7.28

74.56 Other 78.64 80.55 84.66 88.86 89.02

261.03 Total 275.59 285.55 298.71 312.44 312.56

Ending Stocks none

2.49 Brazil 3.82 2.92 4.29 3.96 4.07

4.22 Argentina 4.18 4.26 3.53 4.36 3.80

0.71 India 0.70 0.36 1.02 0.77 0.72

0.70 Indonesia 0.50 0.42 0.39 0.57 0.57

0.77 European Union 1.08 0.91 0.38 0.56 0.48

5.21 Other 6.53 6.53 6.53 5.87 5.90

14.10 Total 16.81 15.41 16.14 16.09 15.55

Major Protein Meals include Copra, Cottonseed, Fish, Palm Kernel, Peanut, Rapeseed, Soybean, and Sunflower Meal.

Foreign Agricultural Service/USDA October 2017Office of Global Analysis

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Table 06: Major Vegetable Oils: World Supply and Distribution (Country View)

Million Metric Tons

2013/14 2014/15 2015/16 2016/17

Sep

2017/18

Oct

2017/18

Production none

35.02 Indonesia 37.78 36.61 38.82 41.01 41.01

24.31 China 25.04 26.19 26.72 28.31 28.40

22.59 Malaysia 22.27 19.85 21.13 23.54 23.53

18.30 European Union 18.00 18.46 18.21 18.65 18.57

10.43 United States 10.94 11.21 11.42 11.75 11.67

7.84 Argentina 8.98 9.69 9.95 10.22 10.22

8.00 Brazil 8.65 8.45 8.79 8.97 8.97

45.32 Other 45.54 46.20 50.96 52.64 52.32

171.80 Total 177.18 176.65 185.99 195.09 194.70

Imports none

11.50 India 14.14 15.11 15.02 15.80 15.70

9.98 European Union 9.88 9.97 9.90 9.98 9.88

9.10 China 8.63 7.77 7.87 7.90 7.85

4.02 United States 4.23 4.53 4.73 4.88 4.87

2.84 Pakistan 2.98 2.91 3.18 3.30 3.28

1.68 Bangladesh 1.79 2.15 2.15 2.35 2.35

2.08 Egypt 2.25 2.04 2.17 2.20 2.17

1.46 Turkey 1.53 1.41 1.52 1.55 1.50

0.85 Malaysia 1.68 1.34 1.25 1.26 1.26

1.60 Iran 1.14 0.99 1.24 1.16 1.16

22.14 Other 22.90 22.48 24.14 24.84 24.81

67.26 Total 71.13 70.70 73.15 75.22 74.83

Exports none

23.94 Indonesia 28.51 25.19 28.27 27.77 28.47

18.75 Malaysia 18.84 17.84 17.52 18.58 18.58

4.55 Argentina 5.72 6.41 6.17 6.59 6.59

4.36 Ukraine 4.12 4.81 6.09 5.71 5.46

2.45 Canada 2.54 2.93 3.33 3.30 3.30

2.46 Russia 2.23 2.23 2.89 2.98 3.01

2.31 European Union 2.48 2.48 2.40 2.27 2.22

11.44 Other 12.04 11.58 12.14 12.02 12.05

70.24 Total 76.47 73.47 78.82 79.21 79.67

Domestic Consumption none

32.77 China 33.61 34.53 35.56 36.66 36.66

25.20 European Union 25.90 26.16 26.00 26.19 26.09

18.66 India 20.05 21.05 21.90 22.63 22.58

13.50 United States 13.68 14.54 14.75 15.46 15.42

11.05 Indonesia 9.90 11.40 11.13 12.26 11.71

7.00 Brazil 7.52 7.48 7.85 8.03 8.03

4.36 Malaysia 4.56 4.53 4.39 5.26 5.28

3.77 Pakistan 4.15 4.26 4.45 4.68 4.65

3.16 Russia 3.24 3.36 3.47 3.70 3.60

3.53 Argentina 3.11 3.56 3.62 3.57 3.57

2.41 Mexico 2.61 2.67 2.86 2.94 2.94

2.32 Thailand 2.49 2.44 2.55 2.82 2.82

1.90 Bangladesh 2.08 2.37 2.49 2.80 2.80

2.40 Egypt 2.49 2.51 2.56 2.67 2.65

2.33 Japan 2.36 2.36 2.44 2.46 2.47

32.42 Other 33.99 34.21 35.86 37.23 37.18

166.79 Total 171.72 177.41 181.88 189.34 188.45

Ending Stocks none

3.61 Indonesia 3.02 3.09 2.53 3.15 3.40

2.45 Malaysia 3.00 1.83 2.29 3.11 3.22

5.33 China 5.25 4.56 3.44 2.89 2.92

1.70 India 1.81 1.62 1.61 1.84 1.68

2.23 European Union 1.73 1.51 1.23 1.37 1.36

8.82 Other 9.47 8.14 8.08 8.02 8.00

24.15 Total 24.27 20.75 19.19 20.38 20.59

Major Vegetable Oils includes Coconut, Cottonseed, Olive, Palm, Palm Kernel, Peanut, Rapeseed, Soybean, and Sunflowerseed oil.

Foreign Agricultural Service/USDA October 2017Office of Global Analysis

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Table 07: Soybeans: World Supply and Distribution

Thousand Metric Tons

2013/14 2014/15 2015/16 2016/17

Sep

2017/18

Oct

2017/18

Production none

91,389 United States 106,878 106,857 116,920 120,593 120,582

86,700 Brazil 97,200 96,500 114,100 107,000 107,000

53,400 Argentina 61,400 56,800 57,800 57,000 57,000

11,951 China 12,154 11,785 12,900 14,000 14,200

9,477 India 8,711 6,929 11,500 10,000 10,000

8,190 Paraguay 8,154 9,217 10,665 9,400 9,400

5,359 Canada 6,049 6,371 6,463 8,200 8,200

16,285 Other 19,467 19,250 20,906 22,242 21,502

282,751 Total 320,013 313,709 351,254 348,435 347,884

Imports none

70,364 China 78,350 83,230 92,500 95,000 95,000

13,293 European Union 13,914 15,119 13,200 14,500 14,000

3,842 Mexico 3,819 4,126 4,200 4,300 4,300

2,894 Japan 3,004 3,186 3,200 3,300 3,300

1,798 Thailand 2,411 2,798 3,077 3,150 3,150

1,694 Egypt 1,947 1,300 2,300 2,800 2,800

2,241 Indonesia 2,006 2,274 2,400 2,600 2,600

2,335 Taiwan 2,520 2,476 2,450 2,400 2,400

301 Iran 1,311 1,864 2,120 2,300 2,300

1,564 Vietnam 1,707 1,602 1,900 2,300 2,300

12,741 Other 13,373 15,350 16,264 16,209 16,489

113,067 Total 124,362 133,325 143,611 148,859 148,639

Exports none

46,829 Brazil 50,612 54,383 63,137 64,000 64,000

44,594 United States 50,143 52,860 59,157 61,235 61,235

7,842 Argentina 10,575 9,921 6,900 8,000 8,000

3,469 Canada 3,763 4,236 4,570 5,800 5,800

4,900 Paraguay 4,488 5,310 6,600 5,500 5,500

5,143 Other 6,548 5,753 7,100 6,888 6,438

112,777 Total 126,129 132,463 147,464 151,423 150,973

Crush none

68,850 China 74,500 81,000 87,000 93,500 94,000

47,192 United States 50,975 51,335 51,681 52,798 52,798

36,173 Argentina 40,235 43,267 43,880 44,840 44,840

36,861 Brazil 40,435 39,747 41,300 42,000 42,000

13,400 European Union 14,000 15,200 14,200 15,100 14,500

8,700 India 7,700 5,700 8,900 8,700 8,700

3,400 Russia 3,650 4,050 4,300 4,800 4,800

4,030 Mexico 4,175 4,400 4,650 4,720 4,720

3,350 Paraguay 3,650 3,600 3,950 3,950 3,950

1,680 Egypt 1,950 1,200 2,300 2,800 2,800

2,250 Bolivia 2,500 2,350 2,050 2,500 2,500

450 Iran 1,450 2,100 2,300 2,490 2,490

1,969 Japan 2,150 2,283 2,300 2,350 2,350

1,525 Canada 1,787 2,000 2,000 2,200 2,200

11 Pakistan 500 1,250 1,650 1,700 2,000

13,078 Other 14,693 15,448 15,939 16,699 16,599

242,919 Total 264,350 274,930 288,400 301,147 301,247

Ending Stocks none

25,271 Argentina 31,700 31,700 35,970 37,060 37,130

15,820 Brazil 18,925 18,200 24,463 22,500 21,963

13,848 China 17,009 16,910 20,190 19,440 19,640

2,504 United States 5,188 5,354 8,201 12,928 11,716

623 European Union 683 1,148 692 832 832

3,521 Other 4,013 4,432 5,346 4,774 4,764

61,587 Total 77,518 77,744 94,862 97,534 96,045

Most countries are on an October/September Marketing Year (MY). The United States, Mexico, and Thailand are on a

September/August MY. Canada is on an August/July MY. Paraguay is on a March/February MY.

Foreign Agricultural Service/USDA October 2017Office of Global Analysis

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Table 08: Soybean Meal: World Supply and Distribution

Thousand Metric Tons

2013/14 2014/15 2015/16 2016/17

Sep

2017/18

Oct

2017/18

Production none

54,531 China 59,004 64,152 68,904 74,052 74,448

36,909 United States 40,880 40,525 40,493 41,799 41,821

27,892 Argentina 30,928 33,211 33,720 34,420 34,420

28,540 Brazil 31,300 30,750 32,000 32,500 32,500

10,586 European Union 11,060 12,008 11,218 11,929 11,455

6,960 India 6,160 4,560 7,120 6,960 6,960

2,679 Russia 2,876 3,191 3,388 3,782 3,782

22,361 Other 25,921 27,367 29,347 31,106 31,236

190,458 Total 208,129 215,764 226,190 236,548 236,622

Imports none

18,137 European Union 19,623 19,214 19,000 19,500 19,500

3,344 Vietnam 4,502 5,090 5,150 5,500 5,500

3,983 Indonesia 3,844 4,203 4,250 4,450 4,450

2,665 Thailand 3,068 2,433 2,781 2,800 2,800

2,335 Philippines 2,204 2,617 2,450 2,750 2,750

1,410 Mexico 1,795 2,367 2,200 2,450 2,450

1,825 Korea, South 1,751 2,118 1,900 2,000 2,000

2,683 Iran 1,948 1,420 1,700 1,870 1,870

1,976 Japan 1,699 1,721 1,700 1,850 1,850

1,441 Algeria 1,101 1,438 1,500 1,550 1,550

18,145 Other 19,320 19,266 19,110 20,083 20,043

57,944 Total 60,855 61,887 61,741 64,803 64,763

Exports none

24,972 Argentina 28,575 30,325 31,600 31,200 31,200

13,948 Brazil 14,290 15,407 13,762 15,250 15,250

10,504 United States 11,891 10,844 10,569 11,068 11,068

2,504 Paraguay 2,530 2,450 2,750 2,750 2,750

3,252 India 1,521 409 1,800 1,700 1,700

5,536 Other 5,556 5,875 4,778 5,455 5,445

60,716 Total 64,363 65,310 65,259 67,423 67,413

Domestic Consumption none

52,534 China 57,467 62,267 67,764 72,682 73,078

26,775 United States 29,282 30,044 30,209 31,026 31,025

28,392 European Union 29,942 31,092 30,242 31,142 30,642

15,100 Brazil 15,700 16,270 16,900 17,500 17,500

4,100 Vietnam 4,750 5,620 6,190 6,800 6,800

4,575 Mexico 5,100 5,775 5,860 6,170 6,170

3,640 India 4,500 4,630 4,850 5,450 5,450

3,825 Indonesia 4,100 4,178 4,250 4,350 4,350

4,150 Thailand 4,100 4,230 4,281 4,300 4,300

2,800 Iran 3,030 3,250 3,550 3,850 3,850

3,434 Japan 3,361 3,453 3,450 3,620 3,620

2,700 Russia 2,850 3,150 3,100 3,580 3,580

2,450 Egypt 2,650 2,950 3,130 3,450 3,400

2,100 Argentina 2,402 2,680 2,851 3,056 3,055

2,200 Philippines 2,350 2,550 2,700 2,850 2,850

28,054 Other 30,116 31,391 32,875 34,549 34,769

186,829 Total 201,700 213,530 222,202 234,375 234,439

Ending Stocks none

2,484 Brazil 3,812 2,910 4,283 3,950 4,063

4,073 Argentina 4,025 4,231 3,500 4,225 3,665

407 India 553 119 596 463 413

481 Indonesia 225 250 250 350 350

162 Vietnam 448 532 406 277 277

3,079 Other 4,544 4,376 3,853 3,611 3,653

10,686 Total 13,607 12,418 12,888 12,876 12,421

Most countries are on an October/September Marketing Year (MY). The Mexico and Thailand are on a September/August MY.

Canada is on an August/July MY. Paraguay is on a March/February MY. Vietnam and the Philippines are on a January/December

MY and Bolivia is on a March/February MY.

Foreign Agricultural Service/USDA October 2017Office of Global Analysis

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Table 09: Soybean Oil: World Supply and Distribution

Thousand Metric Tons

2013/14 2014/15 2015/16 2016/17

Sep

2017/18

Oct

2017/18

Production none

12,335 China 13,347 14,515 15,590 16,755 16,845

9,131 United States 9,706 9,956 9,988 10,208 10,208

6,785 Argentina 7,687 8,433 8,500 8,630 8,630

7,070 Brazil 7,760 7,630 7,930 8,060 8,060

2,546 European Union 2,660 2,888 2,698 2,869 2,755

1,566 India 1,386 1,025 1,600 1,564 1,564

609 Russia 654 726 771 860 860

5,202 Other 6,001 6,329 6,820 7,182 7,233

45,244 Total 49,201 51,502 53,897 56,128 56,155

Imports none

1,804 India 2,815 4,269 3,500 4,100 4,100

442 Bangladesh 508 639 834 750 750

629 Algeria 631 732 715 740 740

1,353 China 773 586 750 500 500

444 Morocco 432 465 475 485 485

355 Peru 395 382 400 420 420

288 Colombia 304 372 375 385 385

230 Egypt 480 674 270 400 370

551 Iran 421 299 250 300 300

201 Mexico 253 282 290 300 300

2,957 Other 3,026 2,932 3,081 3,125 3,098

9,254 Total 10,038 11,632 10,940 11,505 11,448

Exports none

4,087 Argentina 5,094 5,697 5,450 5,850 5,850

1,378 Brazil 1,510 1,550 1,240 1,450 1,450

852 United States 914 1,017 1,157 953 953

766 European Union 1,010 915 850 900 850

650 Paraguay 690 682 730 735 735

332 Russia 423 431 500 520 520

371 Bolivia 389 385 320 380 380

1,007 Other 1,059 1,004 1,185 1,134 1,109

9,443 Total 11,089 11,681 11,432 11,922 11,847

Domestic Consumption none

13,650 China 14,200 15,250 16,230 17,050 17,200

8,576 United States 8,600 9,145 9,003 9,434 9,434

5,705 Brazil 6,265 6,290 6,590 6,700 6,700

3,300 India 4,100 5,300 5,300 5,650 5,550

2,844 Argentina 2,401 2,831 2,870 2,795 2,795

1,990 European Union 2,065 2,285 2,205 2,185 2,155

890 Mexico 1,001 1,050 1,130 1,160 1,160

551 Bangladesh 668 785 1,005 1,000 1,000

462 Egypt 762 950 650 850 830

590 Algeria 640 700 720 760 760

600 Iran 660 720 700 760 760

107 Pakistan 242 415 450 490 520

440 Morocco 445 460 480 490 490

340 Colombia 380 440 460 480 480

410 Japan 421 451 458 445 460

4,823 Other 5,009 5,009 5,205 5,493 5,492

45,278 Total 47,859 52,081 53,456 55,742 55,786

Ending Stocks none

529 United States 841 765 740 797 697

965 China 778 533 528 638 573

151 Argentina 365 270 450 485 435

420 India 521 512 312 426 426

386 Brazil 382 237 397 237 367

1,477 Other 1,332 1,274 1,113 1,046 1,012

3,928 Total 4,219 3,591 3,540 3,629 3,510

Most countries are on an October/September Marketing Year (MY). Mexico is on a September/August MY. Peru is on an

January/December MY and Paraguay and Bolivia are on a March/February MY.

Foreign Agricultural Service/USDA October 2017Office of Global Analysis

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Table 10: Soybeans and Products: World Trade

Thousand Metric Tons

Marketing Year

Meal, Soybean Oil, Soybean Oilseed, Soybean

2017/182016/172015/162017/182016/172015/162017/182016/172015/16

Exports

North America 11,192 10,873 11,412 1,171 1,334 1,127 57,096 63,727 67,035

Canada (Aug-Jul) 334 291 330 151 173 170 4,236 4,570 5,800

United States (Sep-Aug) 10,844 10,569 11,068 1,017 1,157 953 52,860 59,157 61,235

South America 49,853 49,533 50,911 8,315 7,743 8,419 71,883 79,532 80,305

Argentina (Oct-Sep) 30,325 31,600 31,200 5,697 5,450 5,850 9,921 6,900 8,000

Brazil (Oct-Sep) 15,407 13,762 15,250 1,550 1,240 1,450 54,383 63,137 64,000

Paraguay (Mar-Feb) 2,450 2,750 2,750 682 730 735 5,310 6,600 5,500

South Asia 417 1,808 1,706 3 0 0 134 250 220

India (Oct-Sep) 409 1,800 1,700 3 0 0 134 250 220

Other 3,848 3,045 3,384 2,192 2,355 2,301 3,350 3,955 3,413

World Total 65,310 65,259 67,413 11,681 11,432 11,847 132,463 147,464 150,973

Imports

European Union (Oct-Sep) 19,214 19,000 19,500 325 285 250 15,119 13,200 14,000

East Asia 3,912 3,722 3,957 952 1,151 902 90,145 99,385 101,980

China (Oct-Sep) 24 60 30 586 750 500 83,230 92,500 95,000

Japan (Oct-Sep) 1,721 1,700 1,850 7 8 5 3,186 3,200 3,300

Korea, South (Oct-Sep) 2,118 1,900 2,000 250 280 285 1,249 1,225 1,275

Taiwan (Oct-Sep) 33 40 45 0 0 0 2,476 2,450 2,400

Southeast Asia 15,656 16,103 17,044 289 293 290 7,854 8,287 9,070

Indonesia (Oct-Sep) 4,203 4,250 4,450 24 22 22 2,274 2,400 2,600

Malaysia (Oct-Sep) 1,291 1,450 1,520 120 125 120 885 750 850

Philippines (Jan-Dec) 2,617 2,450 2,750 43 45 45 275 140 150

Thailand (Sep-Aug) 2,433 2,781 2,800 4 8 8 2,798 3,077 3,150

Vietnam (Jan-Dec) 5,090 5,150 5,500 76 70 70 1,602 1,900 2,300

North America 3,522 3,320 3,492 430 458 456 5,053 5,284 5,360

Canada (Aug-Jul) 789 802 770 18 21 20 286 479 380

Mexico (Sep-Aug) 2,367 2,200 2,450 282 290 300 4,126 4,200 4,300

South America 4,842 5,030 5,326 1,223 1,333 1,377 2,163 3,044 2,877

Brazil (Oct-Sep) 25 35 30 65 60 60 410 250 200

Colombia (Oct-Sep) 1,206 1,315 1,375 372 375 385 544 550 600

Central America 1,173 1,225 1,282 151 158 163 335 375 409

Caribbean 952 1,062 1,086 296 319 338 118 150 160

Middle East 4,117 4,850 5,180 404 361 418 5,185 5,516 5,750

Iran (Oct-Sep) 1,420 1,700 1,870 299 250 300 1,864 2,120 2,300

Israel (Oct-Sep) 131 135 155 11 10 10 392 410 425

Syria (Jan-Dec) 50 85 125 2 2 2 16 25 35

Turkey (Oct-Sep) 603 790 700 0 0 0 2,283 2,271 2,250

North Africa 4,496 3,630 3,720 1,995 1,595 1,745 1,946 3,020 3,570

Egypt (Oct-Sep) 2,174 1,200 1,200 674 270 370 1,300 2,300 2,800

Other 4,003 3,799 4,176 5,567 4,987 5,509 5,407 5,350 5,463

World Total 61,887 61,741 64,763 11,632 10,940 11,448 133,325 143,611 148,639

Foreign Agricultural Service/USDA October 2017Office of Global Analysis

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Table 11: Palm Oil: World Supply and Distribution

Thousand Metric Tons

2013/14 2014/15 2015/16 2016/17

Sep

2017/18

Oct

2017/18

Production none

30,500 Indonesia 33,000 32,000 34,000 36,000 36,000

20,161 Malaysia 19,879 17,700 18,860 21,000 21,000

2,000 Thailand 2,068 1,804 2,000 2,200 2,200

1,041 Colombia 1,110 1,275 1,146 1,320 1,320

970 Nigeria 970 970 970 970 970

4,632 Other 4,783 5,084 5,315 5,365 5,375

59,304 Total 61,810 58,833 62,291 66,855 66,865

Imports none

7,820 India 9,139 8,857 9,000 9,400 9,400

6,969 European Union 6,936 6,638 6,500 6,500 6,500

5,573 China 5,696 4,689 4,650 4,900 4,900

2,725 Pakistan 2,826 2,720 3,000 3,100 3,100

1,232 Bangladesh 1,280 1,511 1,314 1,600 1,600

1,220 United States 1,143 1,307 1,351 1,395 1,395

1,075 Egypt 1,489 1,038 1,300 1,250 1,250

681 Philippines 792 941 1,000 950 950

581 Burma 789 788 671 800 800

646 Russia 854 933 800 800 800

13,419 Other 13,897 13,186 14,435 14,812 14,772

41,941 Total 44,841 42,608 44,021 45,507 45,467

Exports none

21,719 Indonesia 25,964 22,905 26,000 25,500 26,200

17,344 Malaysia 17,378 16,621 16,301 17,300 17,300

411 Guatemala 453 614 700 700 700

600 Benin 500 460 580 570 570

556 Papua New Guinea 607 572 560 550 550

2,564 Other 2,468 2,562 2,609 2,538 2,558

43,194 Total 47,370 43,734 46,750 47,158 47,878

Domestic Consumption none

8,302 India 9,150 9,100 9,250 9,500 9,500

8,750 Indonesia 7,520 8,920 8,570 9,600 9,050

6,600 European Union 6,920 6,700 6,400 6,350 6,350

5,700 China 5,700 4,800 4,650 4,900 4,900

2,869 Malaysia 2,941 2,990 2,786 3,550 3,570

2,540 Pakistan 2,738 2,815 2,995 3,030 3,030

1,790 Thailand 1,925 1,835 1,918 2,160 2,160

1,215 Bangladesh 1,275 1,411 1,314 1,620 1,620

1,470 Nigeria 1,470 1,320 1,340 1,400 1,400

1,207 United States 1,092 1,269 1,350 1,360 1,360

1,150 Egypt 1,350 1,150 1,300 1,250 1,250

908 Colombia 943 1,020 1,035 1,105 1,105

600 Philippines 811 930 1,064 1,080 1,080

750 Russia 810 880 830 830 830

595 Burma 743 788 710 790 790

13,080 Other 13,329 13,395 14,170 14,666 14,616

57,526 Total 58,717 59,323 59,682 63,191 62,611

Ending Stocks none

3,210 Indonesia 2,734 2,917 2,347 2,839 3,097

2,090 Malaysia 2,641 1,546 2,019 2,776 2,899

370 India 539 496 446 546 546

296 Pakistan 382 287 292 362 362

168 Thailand 335 293 300 305 305

3,402 Other 3,469 2,945 2,960 2,911 2,997

9,536 Total 10,100 8,484 8,364 9,739 10,206

Foreign Agricultural Service/USDA October 2017Office of Global Analysis

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Table 12: Rapeseed and Products: World Supply and Distribution

Thousand Metric Tons

Marketing Year

Meal, Rapeseed Oil, Rapeseed Oilseed, Rapeseed

2017/182016/172015/162017/182016/172015/162017/182016/172015/16

Production

China (Oct-Sep) 11,009 9,998 10,295 7,258 6,591 6,787 14,931 13,500 13,100

India (Oct-Sep) 2,985 3,460 3,550 1,900 2,200 2,250 5,920 7,091 7,200

Canada (Aug-Jul) 4,698 5,200 5,200 3,625 4,020 4,020 18,377 19,600 19,900

Japan (Oct-Sep) 1,343 1,360 1,360 1,050 1,075 1,075 3 4 4

European Union (Jul-Jun) 13,851 14,136 14,193 10,157 10,366 10,408 21,997 20,543 22,000

Other 5,466 5,487 5,822 3,843 3,871 4,086 8,652 9,608 9,671

World Total 39,352 39,641 40,420 27,833 28,123 28,626 69,880 70,346 71,875

Imports

China (Oct-Sep) 359 875 700 768 815 750 4,011 4,150 4,300

India (Oct-Sep) 3 0 0 383 440 430 0 0 0

Canada (Aug-Jul) 15 23 25 46 55 60 105 90 100

Japan (Oct-Sep) 15 10 10 16 18 18 2,387 2,450 2,450

European Union (Jul-Jun) 409 219 300 207 153 150 3,493 4,743 4,200

Other 4,899 4,960 5,182 2,744 3,022 3,121 4,523 4,885 5,117

World Total 5,700 6,087 6,217 4,164 4,503 4,529 14,519 16,318 16,167

Exports

China (Oct-Sep) 114 15 50 3 17 5 1 0 0

India (Oct-Sep) 291 350 375 3 3 3 0 0 0

Canada (Aug-Jul) 4,100 4,670 4,550 2,770 3,150 3,120 10,282 11,100 11,000

Japan (Oct-Sep) 8 10 10 1 1 1 0 0 0

European Union (Jul-Jun) 469 511 450 350 344 300 343 320 350

Other 707 483 792 1,012 975 1,101 3,753 4,599 4,657

World Total 5,689 6,039 6,227 4,139 4,490 4,530 14,379 16,019 16,007

Domestic Consumption

China (Oct-Sep) 11,254 10,858 10,945 8,350 8,500 8,100 19,100 17,400 17,900

India (Oct-Sep) 2,600 2,935 3,285 2,280 2,545 2,705 5,930 6,900 7,170

Canada (Aug-Jul) 620 545 650 779 940 990 8,726 9,258 9,248

Japan (Oct-Sep) 1,325 1,378 1,370 1,071 1,085 1,092 2,419 2,455 2,455

European Union (Jul-Jun) 13,800 13,920 14,000 10,100 10,250 10,180 25,200 25,700 25,800

Other 9,662 9,951 10,234 5,582 5,930 6,189 9,395 9,846 10,349

World Total 39,261 39,587 40,484 28,162 29,250 29,256 70,770 71,559 72,922

Ending Stocks

China (Oct-Sep) 0 0 0 3,837 2,726 2,158 1,340 1,590 1,090

India (Oct-Sep) 245 420 310 222 314 286 469 660 690

Canada (Aug-Jul) 92 100 125 500 485 455 2,016 1,348 1,100

Japan (Oct-Sep) 61 43 33 31 38 38 67 66 65

European Union (Jul-Jun) 209 133 176 427 352 430 1,931 1,197 1,247

Other 175 188 166 419 407 324 955 1,003 785

World Total 782 884 810 5,436 4,322 3,691 6,778 5,864 4,977

Foreign Agricultural Service/USDA October 2017Office of Global Analysis

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Table 13: Sunflowerseed and Products: World Supply and Distribution

Thousand Metric Tons

Marketing Year

Oilseed, Sunflowerseed Meal, Sunflowerseed Oil, Sunflowerseed

2017/182016/172015/162017/182016/172015/162017/182016/172015/16

Production

Argentina (Mar-Feb) 2,700 3,400 4,000 1,141 1,325 1,452 1,142 1,325 1,465

Russia (Sep-Aug) 9,173 10,858 11,000 3,510 4,167 4,311 3,530 4,192 4,337

Turkey (Sep-Aug) 1,100 1,320 1,600 743 963 1,040 587 761 822

Ukraine (Sep-Aug) 11,900 15,200 13,500 4,811 5,986 5,555 5,010 6,351 5,784

European Union (Oct-Sep) 7,721 8,573 8,500 3,888 4,212 4,158 3,042 3,296 3,253

Other 7,703 8,253 7,749 2,409 2,643 2,661 2,066 2,256 2,295

World Total 40,297 47,604 46,349 16,502 19,296 19,177 15,377 18,181 17,956

Imports

Argentina (Mar-Feb) 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0

Russia (Sep-Aug) 121 110 50 7 10 5 3 17 15

Turkey (Sep-Aug) 396 591 450 801 958 850 686 793 750

Ukraine (Sep-Aug) 22 25 20 1 0 0 1 2 2

European Union (Oct-Sep) 622 625 600 3,295 3,700 3,900 1,430 1,640 1,650

Other 704 809 742 1,849 2,393 2,326 4,883 6,044 5,754

World Total 1,865 2,160 1,862 5,953 7,061 7,081 7,003 8,496 8,171

Exports

Argentina (Mar-Feb) 306 68 270 734 725 725 605 620 625

Russia (Sep-Aug) 104 360 100 1,211 1,300 1,500 1,540 2,150 2,200

Turkey (Sep-Aug) 42 47 40 4 4 5 583 635 550

Ukraine (Sep-Aug) 83 200 150 3,817 4,800 4,700 4,500 5,845 5,150

European Union (Oct-Sep) 426 400 350 215 270 200 374 440 350

Other 1,042 1,393 1,083 244 205 261 508 491 481

World Total 2,003 2,468 1,993 6,225 7,304 7,391 8,110 10,181 9,356

Domestic Consumption

Argentina (Mar-Feb) 2,834 3,254 3,554 530 600 625 723 742 762

Russia (Sep-Aug) 9,070 10,670 11,020 2,250 2,800 2,850 1,950 2,065 2,130

Turkey (Sep-Aug) 1,452 1,862 2,012 1,600 1,850 1,930 930 980 1,010

Ukraine (Sep-Aug) 11,820 14,780 13,630 900 1,150 1,100 590 585 590

European Union (Oct-Sep) 8,220 8,840 8,740 6,960 7,760 7,810 4,230 4,410 4,560

Other 7,256 7,554 7,646 4,048 4,786 4,749 6,741 7,749 7,757

World Total 40,652 46,960 46,602 16,288 18,946 19,064 15,164 16,531 16,809

Ending Stocks

Argentina (Mar-Feb) 598 676 852 25 25 127 195 158 236

Russia (Sep-Aug) 255 193 123 249 326 292 92 86 108

Turkey (Sep-Aug) 47 49 47 83 150 105 84 23 35

Ukraine (Sep-Aug) 168 413 153 465 501 256 215 138 184

European Union (Oct-Sep) 646 604 614 238 120 168 170 256 249

Other 557 672 434 113 158 135 746 806 617

World Total 2,271 2,607 2,223 1,173 1,280 1,083 1,502 1,467 1,429

Foreign Agricultural Service/USDA October 2017Office of Global Analysis

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Table 14: Minor Vegetable Oils: World Supply and Distribution

Thousand Metric Tons

Marketing Year

Oil, Peanut Oil, Cottonseed Oil, Olive

2017/182016/172015/162017/182016/172015/162017/182016/172015/16

Production

China (Oct-Sep) 2,816 2,864 2,960 1,091 1,115 1,215 5 5 5

India (Oct-Sep) 875 1,240 1,120 1,230 1,160 1,320 nr nr nr

Turkey (Nov-Oct) 7 7 7 157 187 223 170 190 200

United States (Aug-Jul) 103 129 141 211 253 343 14 15 15

European Union (Oct-Sep) 12 12 12 38 38 38 2,320 1,800 2,100

Other 1,629 1,625 1,631 1,563 1,656 1,850 609 537 682

World Total 5,442 5,877 5,871 4,290 4,409 4,989 3,118 2,547 3,002

Imports

China (Oct-Sep) 113 130 130 0 0 0 41 40 40

India (Oct-Sep) 0 0 0 0 0 0 nr nr nr

Turkey (Nov-Oct) 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 1 1

United States (Aug-Jul) 42 18 12 3 2 2 330 319 325

European Union (Oct-Sep) 65 65 65 2 1 1 100 110 100

Other 20 21 20 56 55 49 318 298 313

World Total 240 234 227 61 58 52 790 768 779

Exports

China (Oct-Sep) 10 9 5 1 1 5 0 0 0

India (Oct-Sep) 11 20 15 0 0 0 nr nr nr

Turkey (Nov-Oct) 0 0 0 2 1 1 14 50 50

United States (Aug-Jul) 5 5 9 25 48 59 8 12 10

European Union (Oct-Sep) 5 5 5 0 0 0 672 645 600

Other 221 198 224 55 41 42 206 175 258

World Total 252 237 258 83 91 107 900 882 918

Domestic Consumption

China (Oct-Sep) 2,919 2,985 3,085 1,090 1,114 1,210 46 45 45

India (Oct-Sep) 874 1,130 1,110 1,275 1,165 1,310 nr nr nr

Turkey (Nov-Oct) 7 7 7 155 185 220 145 155 150

United States (Aug-Jul) 140 140 144 193 207 286 336 322 330

European Union (Oct-Sep) 72 72 72 40 39 39 1,570 1,470 1,570

Other 1,429 1,425 1,426 1,630 1,666 1,831 723 707 734

World Total 5,441 5,759 5,844 4,383 4,376 4,896 2,820 2,699 2,829

Ending Stocks

China (Oct-Sep) 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0

India (Oct-Sep) 82 172 167 37 32 42 nr nr nr

Turkey (Nov-Oct) 0 0 0 4 5 7 40 26 27

United States (Aug-Jul) 9 11 11 23 23 23 0 0 0

European Union (Oct-Sep) 3 3 3 0 0 0 311 106 136

Other 41 64 65 44 48 74 142 95 98

World Total 135 250 246 108 108 146 493 227 261

Foreign Agricultural Service/USDA October 2017Office of Global Analysis

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Table 15: World Oilseeds and Products Supply and Distribution

Million Metric Tons

Area

Harvested

Beginning

Stocks

Productio

n

Imports Total

Supply

Exports Food Use

Dom.

Domestic

Consumpti

Ending

Stocks

Major Oilseeds

382.73 30.5274.35502.0872.7246.63218.98 2004/05 368.14 59.60

394.02 31.7375.82529.0375.4159.60220.69 2005/06 386.85 66.36

405.77 31.5683.11552.9680.8366.36223.39 2006/07 394.69 75.15

391.45 31.5991.38557.0590.4575.15219.54 2007/08 402.50 63.17

398.98 33.6294.66556.6994.5563.17230.45 2008/09 404.86 57.18

447.52 34.77107.03607.28102.5857.18235.79 2009/10 425.45 74.80

461.14 36.24109.13640.97105.0274.80245.27 2010/11 446.56 85.28

447.64 36.30111.70646.06113.1485.28248.17 2011/12 467.69 66.68

475.57 36.50118.54657.02114.7766.68256.20 2012/13 470.22 68.25

504.22 37.46133.82706.01133.5468.25260.05 2013/14 494.21 77.97

537.58 38.56147.06759.16143.6077.97264.76 2014/15 518.98 93.12

521.35 39.99153.26768.35153.8793.12262.94 2015/16 524.57 90.52

573.07 41.51170.88829.98166.3990.52264.68 2016/17 551.80 107.31

576.99 42.76173.91855.27170.98107.31277.47 2017/18 573.47 107.90

Major Protein Meals

206.34 0.2961.85274.0459.478.24nr 2004/05 203.98 8.20

217.08 0.2867.33290.9765.688.20nr 2005/06 214.77 8.87

224.15 0.2769.40300.3267.308.87nr 2006/07 220.66 10.27

231.56 0.2973.07312.2570.4210.27nr 2007/08 228.98 10.20

229.89 0.3270.12308.5268.4310.20nr 2008/09 230.08 8.32

244.41 0.4072.79323.2470.518.32nr 2009/10 240.38 10.07

256.98 0.3377.93342.1775.1210.07nr 2010/11 251.72 12.52

268.34 0.4081.09360.0279.1612.52nr 2011/12 264.59 14.34

269.58 0.4379.50358.3774.4614.34nr 2012/13 266.07 12.81

283.39 0.4483.37376.7680.5712.81nr 2013/14 279.29 14.10

300.65 0.4586.15397.3982.6514.10nr 2014/15 294.44 16.81

305.79 0.4886.72405.8183.2216.81nr 2015/16 303.69 15.41

321.11 0.5988.76422.0085.4815.41nr 2016/17 317.10 16.14

334.26 0.7191.24438.6088.2016.14nr 2017/18 331.81 15.55

Major Vegetable Oils

112.14 91.4643.84163.4840.1711.1712.85 2004/05 107.18 12.46

119.85 94.2948.61176.2443.9412.4613.60 2005/06 113.46 14.18

122.74 96.7550.62184.2647.3414.1814.19 2006/07 119.03 14.61

129.71 99.5954.74194.8150.5014.6114.72 2007/08 125.17 14.90

134.94 103.0456.85203.8554.0014.9015.59 2008/09 131.31 15.69

142.44 107.1558.88213.7955.6615.6916.36 2009/10 138.18 16.73

149.08 109.9460.67222.8957.0816.7317.05 2010/11 143.10 19.12

158.42 115.8964.75239.4361.8919.1217.63 2011/12 151.97 22.71

161.61 121.6368.35249.8665.5322.7118.37 2012/13 159.39 22.12

171.80 126.3170.24261.1867.2622.1219.11 2013/14 166.79 24.15

177.18 131.5276.47272.4771.1324.1519.81 2014/15 171.72 24.27

176.65 135.0173.47271.6270.7024.2720.41 2015/16 177.41 20.75

185.99 139.2678.82279.8973.1520.7520.88 2016/17 181.88 19.19

194.70 143.7579.67288.7174.8319.1921.35 2017/18 188.45 20.59

Based on the aggregate of different marketing years

Foreign Agricultural Service/USDA October 2017Office of Global Analysis

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Table 16: World Soybeans and Products Supply and Distribution

Million Metric Tons

Area

Harvested

Beginning

Stocks

Productio

n

Imports Total

Supply

Exports Crush Domestic

Consumpti

Ending

Stocks

Oilseed, Soybean

215.49 175.6164.75317.8763.5638.8293.35 2004/05 204.48 48.63

220.78 186.1263.85333.5264.1048.6393.03 2005/06 215.78 53.89

235.70 195.4271.14358.6369.0553.8994.92 2006/07 224.67 62.83

219.15 202.4978.32360.6778.6862.8391.05 2007/08 229.68 52.67

212.07 194.6377.21342.6477.9052.6796.46 2008/09 222.56 42.87

260.76 210.2291.47391.1387.5042.87102.60 2009/10 238.97 60.69

264.40 221.9891.71414.8889.7960.69103.44 2010/11 252.61 70.57

240.44 229.9092.19405.5694.5570.57102.90 2011/12 260.14 53.23

268.46 231.51100.80418.8997.1953.23110.00 2012/13 262.88 55.21

282.75 242.92112.78451.03113.0755.21112.63 2013/14 276.67 61.59

320.01 264.35126.13505.96124.3661.59118.45 2014/15 302.32 77.52

313.71 274.93132.46524.55133.3377.52120.42 2015/16 314.35 77.74

351.25 288.40147.46572.61143.6177.74120.30 2016/17 330.28 94.86

347.88 301.25150.97591.39148.6494.86126.11 2017/18 344.37 96.05

Meal, Soybean

138.87 175.6348.03190.6346.005.75nr 2004/05 136.69 5.91

146.55 186.1453.01203.8451.385.91nr 2005/06 144.66 6.17

153.71 195.4454.99212.6252.746.17nr 2006/07 150.20 7.43

158.90 202.5156.64221.1154.787.43nr 2007/08 156.85 7.62

152.87 194.7153.25212.1651.677.62nr 2008/09 153.82 5.09

165.55 210.3056.02224.1853.545.09nr 2009/10 161.38 6.78

174.81 222.0758.91238.4656.876.78nr 2010/11 170.72 8.83

181.45 230.0158.72247.2556.978.83nr 2011/12 178.10 10.44

181.98 231.6558.52246.2453.8310.44nr 2012/13 177.89 9.83

190.46 243.0860.72258.2357.949.83nr 2013/14 186.83 10.69

208.13 264.5464.36279.6760.8610.69nr 2014/15 201.70 13.61

215.76 275.1765.31291.2661.8913.61nr 2015/16 213.53 12.42

226.19 288.6565.26300.3561.7412.42nr 2016/17 222.20 12.89

236.62 301.4967.41314.2764.7612.89nr 2017/18 234.44 12.42

Oil, Soybean

32.63 175.619.0643.858.382.84nr 2004/05 31.47 3.31

34.89 186.129.7947.008.803.31nr 2005/06 33.36 3.85

36.40 195.4210.5650.039.773.85nr 2006/07 35.41 4.06

37.77 202.4910.8852.1210.294.06nr 2007/08 37.28 3.96

36.10 194.639.1849.069.003.96nr 2008/09 36.32 3.55

38.91 210.229.1750.948.483.55nr 2009/10 38.14 3.63

41.43 221.989.6654.449.383.63nr 2010/11 40.47 4.31

42.96 229.908.5255.267.994.31nr 2011/12 42.43 4.31

43.29 231.519.3656.098.504.31nr 2012/13 42.59 4.15

45.24 242.929.4458.659.254.15nr 2013/14 45.28 3.93

49.20 264.3511.0963.1710.043.93nr 2014/15 47.86 4.22

51.50 274.9311.6867.3511.634.22nr 2015/16 52.08 3.59

53.90 288.4011.4368.4310.943.59nr 2016/17 53.46 3.54

56.16 301.2511.8571.1411.453.54nr 2017/18 55.79 3.51

Based on the aggregate of different marketing years, primarily October through September.

Foreign Agricultural Service/USDA October 2017Office of Global Analysis

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Table 17: World Rapeseed and Products Supply and Distribution

Million Metric Tons

Area

Harvested

Beginning

Stocks

Productio

n

Imports Total

Supply

Exports Food Use

Dom.

Domestic

Consumpti

Ending

Stocks

Oilseed, Rapeseed

46.24 0.354.9153.435.002.1926.88 2004/05 43.40 5.12

48.93 0.356.9860.766.715.1227.36 2005/06 48.16 5.63

45.81 0.356.6558.467.025.6326.76 2006/07 46.63 5.18

48.37 0.358.1861.127.575.1828.66 2007/08 49.23 3.70

58.01 0.4012.2073.8612.153.7031.02 2008/09 54.86 6.80

61.06 0.4210.9078.6710.816.8030.85 2009/10 59.77 8.00

60.94 0.4510.9379.1210.188.0033.71 2010/11 60.09 8.10

61.64 0.4512.9982.9813.248.1033.51 2011/12 63.79 6.21

64.06 0.4712.5683.1012.836.2136.05 2012/13 65.69 4.85

71.68 0.4915.1092.0815.554.8536.01 2013/14 69.48 7.50

71.45 0.5515.1093.2714.327.5035.52 2014/15 70.64 7.53

69.88 0.6514.3891.9314.527.5333.79 2015/16 70.77 6.78

70.35 0.7516.0293.4416.326.7833.75 2016/17 71.56 5.86

71.88 0.8516.0193.9116.175.8636.40 2017/18 72.92 4.98

Meal, Rapeseed

23.71 0.002.5126.932.290.93nr 2004/05 23.71 0.71

26.21 0.002.6829.552.630.71nr 2005/06 26.09 0.78

25.59 0.003.0029.583.210.78nr 2006/07 25.88 0.70

27.24 0.003.9331.823.880.70nr 2007/08 27.30 0.59

30.36 0.003.7534.733.770.59nr 2008/09 30.17 0.80

33.04 0.003.6337.723.880.80nr 2009/10 32.81 1.28

33.33 0.005.2839.945.331.28nr 2010/11 33.55 1.12

35.26 0.005.5641.945.551.12nr 2011/12 35.24 1.14

36.49 0.005.7043.215.581.14nr 2012/13 36.53 0.99

38.78 0.006.3546.226.460.99nr 2013/14 38.92 0.95

39.09 0.006.0746.035.990.95nr 2014/15 39.29 0.68

39.35 0.005.6945.735.700.68nr 2015/16 39.26 0.78

39.64 0.006.0446.516.090.78nr 2016/17 39.59 0.88

40.42 0.006.2347.526.220.88nr 2017/18 40.48 0.81

Oil, Rapeseed

16.10 13.141.2917.911.200.60nr 2004/05 15.82 0.79

18.03 13.701.6520.301.480.79nr 2005/06 17.60 1.05

17.82 13.272.0021.082.211.05nr 2006/07 18.24 0.85

18.96 13.531.9121.862.050.85nr 2007/08 18.81 1.14

21.23 14.522.4724.852.481.14nr 2008/09 21.11 1.27

23.28 15.302.7527.512.961.27nr 2009/10 22.81 1.95

23.53 15.923.4328.863.381.95nr 2010/11 23.46 1.96

24.90 16.553.9830.944.081.96nr 2011/12 23.92 3.04

25.68 17.033.9532.663.943.04nr 2012/13 24.29 4.42

27.27 18.263.8335.523.834.42nr 2013/14 26.17 5.52

27.62 19.134.0737.103.965.52nr 2014/15 27.29 5.74

27.83 19.804.1437.744.165.74nr 2015/16 28.16 5.44

28.12 20.704.4938.064.505.44nr 2016/17 29.25 4.32

28.63 20.624.5337.484.534.32nr 2017/18 29.26 3.69

Based on the aggregate of different marketing years.

Foreign Agricultural Service/USDA October 2017Office of Global Analysis

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Table 18: World Sunflower and Products Supply and Distribution

Million Metric Tons

Area

Harvested

Beginning

Stocks

Productio

n

Imports Exports Domestic

Consumpti

Ending

Stocks

Oilseed, Sunflowerseed

25.39 2.9625.741.231.163.3820.69 2004/05

29.92 3.4829.311.521.422.9622.72 2005/06

30.08 4.0229.441.911.813.4823.45 2006/07

27.35 3.7227.481.461.294.0221.34 2007/08

32.89 3.8532.532.151.923.7223.89 2008/09

31.56 2.5932.821.551.563.8522.99 2009/10

32.72 2.3232.831.781.622.5923.11 2010/11

38.66 2.4538.311.931.702.3224.64 2011/12

35.02 2.6934.681.451.362.4523.61 2012/13

41.54 3.0140.891.961.622.6924.03 2013/14

39.25 2.7639.391.661.563.0123.15 2014/15

40.30 2.2740.652.001.872.7623.29 2015/16

47.60 2.6146.962.472.162.2725.24 2016/17

46.35 2.2246.601.991.862.6125.78 2017/18

Meal, Sunflowerseed

10.30 0.2210.082.772.550.22nr 2004/05

11.72 0.3111.413.573.350.22nr 2005/06

11.87 0.2411.903.493.440.31nr 2006/07

11.11 0.3010.693.312.960.24nr 2007/08

13.07 0.8012.474.304.200.30nr 2008/09

13.42 0.9812.834.093.690.80nr 2009/10

13.31 1.0812.704.574.060.98nr 2010/11

15.62 1.6814.646.806.421.08nr 2011/12

14.16 0.8214.815.134.931.68nr 2012/13

16.85 1.2615.946.225.760.82nr 2013/14

16.13 1.2315.825.875.521.26nr 2014/15

16.50 1.1716.296.235.951.23nr 2015/16

19.30 1.2818.957.307.061.17nr 2016/17

19.18 1.0819.067.397.081.28nr 2017/18

Oil, Sunflowerseed

9.19 1.028.582.582.170.83nr 2004/05

10.56 1.219.773.923.311.02nr 2005/06

10.74 1.2010.164.053.461.21nr 2006/07

10.16 1.209.413.532.781.20nr 2007/08

11.88 1.9310.754.554.151.20nr 2008/09

12.12 1.8911.464.503.811.93nr 2009/10

12.09 1.7711.374.543.701.89nr 2010/11

14.37 2.9512.536.485.831.77nr 2011/12

12.87 2.3113.115.575.162.95nr 2012/13

15.45 2.8014.147.786.972.31nr 2013/14

14.92 2.4014.127.386.192.80nr 2014/15

15.38 1.5015.168.117.002.40nr 2015/16

18.18 1.4716.5310.188.501.50nr 2016/17

17.96 1.4316.819.368.171.47nr 2017/18

Based on the aggregate of different marketing years, primarily September through August.

Foreign Agricultural Service/USDA October 2017Office of Global Analysis

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Table 19: World Palm Oil, Coconut Oil, and Fish Meal Supply and Distribution

Million Metric Tons

Beginning

Stocks

Productio

n

Imports Total

Supply

Exports Industrial

Dom.

Food Use

Dom.

Domestic

Consumpti

Ending

Stocks

Oil, Palm

24.07 24.926.2425.8262.1433.634.43 2004/05 31.70 4.62

25.63 25.316.9427.9966.2636.024.62 2005/06 32.79 5.48

26.87 27.177.5728.6569.9437.595.48 2006/07 35.24 6.04

30.35 29.708.8532.7877.8241.436.04 2007/08 39.12 5.92

33.39 31.709.9735.2483.7844.475.92 2008/09 42.30 6.24

34.57 33.1010.3736.4087.1946.376.24 2009/10 44.10 6.68

35.37 33.9711.1937.2391.2449.196.68 2010/11 45.79 8.23

38.51 36.6612.7239.7999.2652.538.23 2011/12 50.07 9.40

42.11 40.2314.9243.05107.8856.389.40 2012/13 55.82 9.01

41.94 41.0215.8043.19110.2659.309.01 2013/14 57.53 9.54

44.84 43.1414.8247.37116.1961.819.54 2014/15 58.72 10.10

42.61 42.3216.2743.73111.5458.8310.10 2015/16 59.32 8.48

44.02 43.2215.7146.75114.8062.298.48 2016/17 59.68 8.36

45.47 44.5917.1947.88120.7066.878.36 2017/18 62.61 10.21

Oil, Coconut

1.91 1.801.402.085.843.420.51 2004/05 3.29 0.47

2.04 1.781.432.055.853.340.47 2005/06 3.35 0.44

1.88 1.661.431.745.393.070.44 2006/07 3.18 0.47

1.91 1.771.511.935.783.400.47 2007/08 3.31 0.55

1.67 1.651.561.485.583.360.55 2008/09 3.24 0.86

2.30 2.091.702.076.633.470.86 2009/10 3.82 0.74

1.80 1.871.671.806.133.590.74 2010/11 3.58 0.76

1.84 1.931.551.865.983.390.76 2011/12 3.51 0.61

1.89 2.001.711.926.133.620.61 2012/13 3.75 0.46

1.74 1.751.551.915.583.380.46 2013/14 3.34 0.33

1.82 1.741.521.945.533.370.33 2014/15 3.29 0.29

1.58 1.641.551.565.183.320.29 2015/16 3.22 0.41

1.58 1.611.551.875.373.380.41 2016/17 3.19 0.31

1.62 1.701.551.725.373.440.31 2017/18 3.27 0.38

Meal, Fish

3.60 0.000.063.7010.005.560.83 2004/05 5.57 0.73

3.05 0.000.052.808.774.990.73 2005/06 5.24 0.73

2.82 0.000.052.658.695.140.73 2006/07 5.07 0.97

3.15 0.000.052.949.265.140.97 2007/08 5.49 0.83

3.26 0.000.053.079.295.200.83 2008/09 5.51 0.71

2.77 0.000.052.427.734.240.71 2009/10 5.04 0.28

2.78 0.000.052.698.605.550.28 2010/11 5.23 0.69

3.04 0.000.052.768.444.710.69 2011/12 5.40 0.28

2.46 0.000.052.327.584.840.28 2012/13 4.80 0.45

2.74 0.000.052.477.654.450.45 2013/14 4.95 0.23

2.51 0.000.052.287.424.690.23 2014/15 4.88 0.26

2.46 0.000.052.197.214.490.26 2015/16 4.75 0.27

2.87 0.000.052.468.034.880.27 2016/17 5.28 0.28

2.46 0.000.002.167.334.580.28 2017/18 4.90 0.27

Based on the aggregate of different marketing years.

Foreign Agricultural Service/USDA October 2017Office of Global Analysis

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Table 20: United States Oilseeds and Products Supply and Distribution Local Marketing Year

Thousand Metric Tons

Area

Harvested

Beginning

Stocks

Productio

n

Imports Total

Supply

Exports Crush Domestic

Consumpti

Ending

Stocks

Major Oilseeds

95,941 50,16730,708100,7746814,15236,808 2004/05 61,777 8,289

95,671 51,89726,611104,6246648,28936,587 2005/06 63,812 14,201

96,843 53,48331,647112,0771,03314,20136,962 2006/07 63,407 17,023

82,453 53,49533,045100,7411,26517,02331,970 2007/08 60,787 6,909

89,201 49,34235,69497,4051,2956,90935,265 2008/09 56,091 5,620

98,951 51,48341,691105,6371,0665,62035,511 2009/10 58,402 5,544

100,432 49,32341,938106,9219455,54437,179 2010/11 57,664 7,319

92,442 50,31637,813101,0461,2857,31935,131 2011/12 57,621 5,612

93,323 50,25037,156100,5401,6055,61236,676 2012/13 57,621 5,763

99,016 51,45945,569107,8463,0675,76335,438 2013/14 58,324 3,953

116,029 55,11151,116121,8331,8513,95338,983 2014/15 63,961 6,756

115,879 55,05553,959123,7651,1306,75638,398 2015/16 62,938 6,868

126,935 56,23560,278135,3021,4996,86839,245 2016/17 65,406 9,618

132,273 57,73262,429143,4251,5349,61842,936 2017/18 67,480 13,516

Major Protein Meals

39,191 50,1676,95441,0011,537273nr 2004/05 33,832 215

39,894 51,8977,60841,7721,663215nr 2005/06 33,803 361

41,390 53,4838,26443,4601,709361nr 2006/07 34,811 385

40,786 53,4958,70643,1631,992385nr 2007/08 34,123 334

37,630 49,3427,94039,7811,817334nr 2008/09 31,595 246

39,992 51,48310,30841,5821,344246nr 2009/10 30,933 341

38,032 49,3238,48840,6142,241341nr 2010/11 31,748 378

39,450 50,3169,17042,8603,032378nr 2011/12 33,354 336

38,593 50,25010,46142,3223,393336nr 2012/13 31,546 315

39,293 51,45910,80343,4063,798315nr 2013/14 32,311 292

43,210 55,11112,14447,3753,873292nr 2014/15 34,941 290

42,778 55,05511,17947,1464,078290nr 2015/16 35,692 275

43,019 56,23510,88447,2883,994275nr 2016/17 36,076 328

44,509 57,73211,40748,8654,028328nr 2017/18 37,129 329

Major Vegetable Oils

9,769 50,16783812,4051,8417950 2004/05 10,443 1,124

10,435 51,89789913,9382,3791,1240 2005/06 11,242 1,797

10,450 53,4831,33314,7742,5271,7970 2006/07 11,700 1,741

10,544 53,4951,67915,3943,1091,7410 2007/08 12,251 1,464

9,666 49,3421,45714,3603,2301,4640 2008/09 11,166 1,737

10,058 51,4831,94815,1333,3381,7370 2009/10 11,194 1,991

9,775 49,3231,86115,3783,6121,9910 2010/11 11,794 1,723

10,032 50,3161,14615,5863,8311,7230 2011/12 12,873 1,567

10,231 50,2501,38715,5993,8011,5670 2012/13 13,068 1,144

10,427 51,4591,11615,5874,0161,1440 2013/14 13,499 972

10,938 55,1111,17416,1404,2309720 2014/15 13,680 1,286

11,212 55,0551,24817,0254,5271,2860 2015/16 14,536 1,241

11,415 56,2351,41917,3814,7251,2410 2016/17 14,752 1,210

11,668 57,7321,21817,7514,8731,2100 2017/18 15,424 1,109

Based on the aggregate of different marketing years

Foreign Agricultural Service/USDA October 2017Office of Global Analysis

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Table 21: United States Soybeans and Products Supply and Distribution Local Marketing Years

Thousand Metric Tons

Area

Harvested

Beginning

Stocks

Productio

n

Imports Total

Supply

Exports Crush Domestic

Consumpti

Ending

Stocks

Oilseed, Soybean

85,016 46,16029,86088,2271523,05929,930 2004/05 51,407 6,960

83,507 47,32425,57990,559926,96028,834 2005/06 52,751 12,229

87,001 49,19830,38699,47624612,22930,190 2006/07 53,473 15,617

72,859 49,08131,53888,74526915,61725,959 2007/08 51,627 5,580

80,749 45,23034,81786,6903615,58030,222 2008/09 48,112 3,761

91,470 47,67340,79895,6283973,76130,907 2009/10 50,724 4,106

90,663 44,85140,95995,1623934,10631,003 2010/11 48,351 5,852

84,291 46,34837,18690,5824395,85229,856 2011/12 48,786 4,610

82,791 45,96736,12988,5041,1034,61030,814 2012/13 48,550 3,825

91,389 47,19244,59497,1671,9533,82530,858 2013/14 50,069 2,504

106,878 50,97550,143110,2869042,50433,423 2014/15 54,955 5,188

106,857 51,33552,860112,6866415,18833,076 2015/16 54,472 5,354

116,920 51,68159,157122,8796055,35433,466 2016/17 55,521 8,201

120,582 52,79861,235129,4636808,20136,208 2017/18 56,512 11,716

Meal, Soybean

36,936 46,1606,65937,261134191nr 2004/05 30,446 156

37,416 47,3247,30137,700128156nr 2005/06 30,114 285

39,037 49,1987,98739,464142285nr 2006/07 31,166 311

38,359 49,0818,38438,798128311nr 2007/08 30,147 267

35,473 45,2307,70835,82080267nr 2008/09 27,899 213

37,836 47,67310,12538,194145213nr 2009/10 27,795 274

35,608 44,8518,23836,045163274nr 2010/11 27,489 318

37,217 46,3488,84537,731196318nr 2011/12 28,614 272

36,174 45,96710,11136,668222272nr 2012/13 26,307 250

36,909 47,19210,50437,506347250nr 2013/14 26,775 227

40,880 50,97511,89141,409302227nr 2014/15 29,282 236

40,525 51,33510,84441,127366236nr 2015/16 30,044 239

40,493 51,68110,56941,050318239nr 2016/17 30,209 272

41,821 52,79811,06842,365272272nr 2017/18 31,025 272

Oil, Soybean

8,782 46,1606009,28212488nr 2004/05 7,911 771

9,248 47,32452310,03516771nr 2005/06 8,147 1,365

9,294 49,19885110,676171,365nr 2006/07 8,426 1,399

9,335 49,0811,32010,764301,399nr 2007/08 8,317 1,127

8,503 45,2309959,671411,127nr 2008/09 7,378 1,298

8,897 47,6731,52410,242471,298nr 2009/10 7,173 1,545

8,568 44,8511,46610,185721,545nr 2010/11 7,506 1,213

8,954 46,34866410,235681,213nr 2011/12 8,396 1,175

8,990 45,96798110,254891,175nr 2012/13 8,522 751

9,131 47,1928529,95775751nr 2013/14 8,576 529

9,706 50,97591410,355120529nr 2014/15 8,600 841

9,956 51,3351,01710,927130841nr 2015/16 9,145 765

9,988 51,6811,15710,900147765nr 2016/17 9,003 740

10,208 52,79895311,084136740nr 2017/18 9,434 697

Data based on Local Marketing Year (MY). Soybeans are on a September/August MY, and Soybean

Meal and Oil are on an October/September MY.

Foreign Agricultural Service/USDA October 2017Office of Global Analysis

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Table 22: Brazil Soybeans and Products Supply and Distribution Local Marketing Years

Thousand Metric Tons

Area

Harvested

Beginning

Stocks

Productio

n

Imports Total

Supply

Exports Crush Domestic

Consumpti

Ending

Stocks

Oilseed, Soybean (Local)

53,000 29,72822,79957,9003524,54822,917 2004/05 32,413 2,688

57,000 28,75624,77059,728402,68822,229 2005/06 31,506 3,452

59,000 31,51123,80562,5601083,45220,700 2006/07 34,261 4,494

61,000 31,89524,51565,577834,49421,300 2007/08 34,695 6,367

57,800 30,77928,04164,2911246,36721,700 2008/09 33,579 2,671

69,000 35,70029,18871,8211502,67123,500 2009/10 38,550 4,083

75,300 37,26433,78979,423404,08324,200 2010/11 40,164 5,470

66,500 36,23031,90572,2682985,47025,000 2011/12 39,130 1,233

82,000 36,43242,82683,4732401,23327,700 2012/13 39,378 1,269

86,700 38,19545,74788,5485791,26930,100 2013/14 41,345 1,456

97,200 40,33954,63598,9853291,45632,100 2014/15 43,700 650

96,500 40,12552,10097,51236265033,300 2015/16 43,607 1,805

114,100 41,85065,635116,1552501,80533,900 2016/17 45,520 5,000

107,000 42,00064,000112,2002005,00034,700 2017/18 45,740 2,460

Meal, Soybean (Local)

23,040 29,72814,25624,125244841nr 2004/05 9,133 736

22,280 28,75612,28723,230214736nr 2005/06 10,080 863

24,420 31,51112,34625,429146863nr 2006/07 10,800 2,283

24,720 31,89512,70927,1461432,283nr 2007/08 12,300 2,137

23,850 30,77912,15326,073862,137nr 2008/09 12,800 1,120

27,670 35,70014,14728,862721,120nr 2009/10 13,187 1,528

28,880 37,26414,45230,459511,528nr 2010/11 13,400 2,607

28,080 36,23013,85430,702152,607nr 2011/12 14,000 2,848

28,230 36,43213,61931,108302,848nr 2012/13 14,800 2,689

29,560 38,19513,72132,276272,689nr 2013/14 15,100 3,455

31,230 40,33915,10634,701163,455nr 2014/15 15,700 3,895

31,050 40,12514,65134,972273,895nr 2015/16 16,300 4,021

32,390 41,85014,26036,446354,021nr 2016/17 17,000 5,186

32,500 42,00015,35037,716305,186nr 2017/18 17,600 4,766

Oil, Soybean (Local)

5,705 29,7282,6976,0563348nr 2004/05 3,099 260

5,520 28,7562,3155,79818260nr 2005/06 3,211 272

6,050 31,5112,5216,38462272nr 2006/07 3,505 358

6,120 31,8952,1986,4879358nr 2007/08 4,005 284

5,910 30,7791,4966,23541284nr 2008/09 4,395 344

6,850 35,7001,6327,1962344nr 2009/10 5,060 504

7,150 37,2641,7587,6540504nr 2010/11 5,305 591

6,950 36,2301,6887,5432591nr 2011/12 5,395 460

6,990 36,4321,4107,4544460nr 2012/13 5,528 516

7,330 38,1951,3267,8460516nr 2013/14 5,955 565

7,740 40,3391,6508,31611565nr 2014/15 6,220 446

7,700 40,1251,2508,22175446nr 2015/16 6,440 531

8,030 41,8501,3158,62160531nr 2016/17 6,680 626

8,060 42,0001,4758,74660626nr 2017/18 6,735 536

Data based on Brazil's local February/January Marketing Year (MY).

Where February 2012 - January 2013 is the 2011/12 MY.

Foreign Agricultural Service/USDA October 2017Office of Global Analysis

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Table 23: Argentina Soybeans and Products Supply and Distribution Local Marketing Years

Thousand Metric Tons

Area

Harvested

Beginning

Stocks

Productio

n

Imports Total

Supply

Exports Crush Domestic

Consumpti

Ending

Stocks

Oilseed, Soybean (Local)

39,000 29,56010,68642,2417092,53214,400 2004/05 31,000 555

40,500 32,7487,13242,0681,01355515,200 2005/06 34,268 668

48,800 35,96312,13351,8042,33666816,300 2006/07 37,593 2,078

46,200 31,88311,80351,2252,9472,07816,371 2007/08 33,608 5,814

32,000 28,5553,48637,9711575,81416,000 2008/09 30,405 4,080

54,500 39,19613,70158,58004,08018,600 2009/10 41,196 3,683

49,000 37,52110,38952,696133,68318,300 2010/11 39,821 2,486

40,100 30,6816,09842,58822,48617,577 2011/12 33,431 3,059

49,300 35,0097,81752,36123,05919,750 2012/13 38,209 6,335

53,400 38,5037,43459,73726,33519,250 2013/14 42,089 10,214

61,400 45,11011,67071,75514110,21419,340 2014/15 49,285 10,800

56,800 43,0809,04668,9041,30410,80019,530 2015/16 47,401 12,457

57,800 43,8306,90071,9571,70012,45718,350 2016/17 48,315 16,742

57,000 45,0008,00075,2421,50016,74219,100 2017/18 49,600 17,642

Meal, Soybean (Local)

23,350 29,56022,70324,43611,085nr 2004/05 530 1,203

25,582 32,74824,72326,78501,203nr 2005/06 535 1,527

27,857 35,96328,10829,38621,527nr 2006/07 544 734

24,839 31,88324,38925,5763734nr 2007/08 652 535

22,519 28,55521,30323,0584535nr 2008/09 750 1,005

30,493 39,19628,38431,49801,005nr 2009/10 850 2,264

29,181 37,52127,48531,44502,264nr 2010/11 1,085 2,875

23,946 30,68121,97326,82102,875nr 2011/12 1,550 3,298

27,150 35,00923,93730,44803,298nr 2012/13 1,950 4,561

29,528 38,50327,47334,08904,561nr 2013/14 2,200 4,416

34,737 45,11031,86739,15414,416nr 2014/15 2,500 4,787

33,095 43,08030,98037,88204,787nr 2015/16 2,687 4,215

33,565 43,83031,35037,78004,215nr 2016/17 2,865 3,565

34,540 45,00031,25038,10503,565nr 2017/18 3,075 3,780

Oil, Soybean (Local)

5,558 29,5605,0825,8620304nr 2004/05 395 385

6,169 32,7485,6676,5540385nr 2005/06 402 485

6,917 35,9636,5157,4020485nr 2006/07 675 212

6,037 31,8834,9876,2490212nr 2007/08 1,125 137

5,448 28,5553,7095,5850137nr 2008/09 1,716 160

7,460 39,1965,1807,6200160nr 2009/10 2,215 225

7,148 37,5214,2277,3730225nr 2010/11 2,755 391

5,840 30,6813,4336,26635391nr 2011/12 2,550 283

6,616 35,0094,2816,95859283nr 2012/13 2,375 302

7,191 38,5034,2967,51926302nr 2013/14 2,843 380

8,753 45,1106,3119,1385380nr 2014/15 2,301 526

8,380 43,0805,3868,9060526nr 2015/16 3,085 435

8,445 43,8305,6008,8800435nr 2016/17 2,870 410

8,665 45,0005,8509,0750410nr 2017/18 2,780 445

Data based on Argentina's Local April/March Marketing Year (MY).

Where April 2012 - March 2013 is the 2011/12 MY.

Foreign Agricultural Service/USDA October 2017Office of Global Analysis

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Table 24: South East Asia Oilseeds and Products Supply and Distribution

Thousand Metric Tons

2013/14 2014/15 2015/16 2016/17

Sep

2017/18

Oct

2017/18

none

Production none

4,187 Oilseed, Copra 4,175 4,054 4,150 4,243 4,243

13,851 Oilseed, Palm Kernel 14,403 13,705 14,548 15,750 15,750

1,040 Oilseed, Soybean 995 947 940 921 921

3,808 Other 3,811 3,705 3,696 3,714 3,714

22,886 Total 23,384 22,411 23,334 24,628 24,628

none

Domestic Consumption none

853 Meal, Fish 848 796 870 923 923

801 Meal, Rapeseed 745 407 373 430 430

15,956 Meal, Soybean 16,996 18,383 19,256 20,237 20,237

2,574 Other 2,986 3,058 3,127 3,262 3,262

20,184 Total 21,575 22,644 23,626 24,852 24,852

none

SME none

1,233 Meal, Fish 1,225 1,150 1,257 1,334 1,334

570 Meal, Rapeseed 530 290 265 306 306

15,956 Meal, Soybean 16,996 18,383 19,256 20,237 20,237

1,429 Other 1,595 1,650 1,700 1,752 1,752

19,188 Total 20,347 21,473 22,479 23,629 23,629

none

Imports none

241 Meal, Fish 237 279 298 321 321

738 Meal, Rapeseed 658 369 368 430 430

13,743 Meal, Soybean 15,105 15,656 16,103 17,044 17,044

391 Other 562 684 649 660 660

15,113 Total 16,562 16,988 17,418 18,455 18,455

none

Industrial Dom. Cons. none

7,380 Oil, Palm 5,995 7,245 6,684 8,440 8,040

0 Oil, Rapeseed 0 0 0 0 0

36 Oil, Soybean 39 42 46 45 45

0 Oil, Sunflowerseed 0 0 0 0 0

3,832 Other 4,014 3,971 4,093 4,231 4,236

11,248 Total 10,048 11,258 10,823 12,716 12,321

none

Food Use Dom. Cons. none

7,931 Oil, Palm 8,550 8,833 8,974 9,370 9,190

61 Oil, Rapeseed 54 26 27 17 17

526 Oil, Soybean 574 677 721 822 822

112 Oil, Sunflowerseed 131 131 131 131 131

1,437 Other 1,384 1,443 1,488 1,562 1,562

10,067 Total 10,693 11,110 11,341 11,902 11,722

none

Domestic Consumption none

15,684 Oil, Palm 15,014 16,523 16,109 18,327 17,747

61 Oil, Rapeseed 54 26 27 17 17

562 Oil, Soybean 613 719 767 867 867

112 Oil, Sunflowerseed 131 131 131 131 131

5,279 Other 5,408 5,424 5,591 5,803 5,808

21,698 Total 21,220 22,823 22,625 25,145 24,570

none

Imports none

2,920 Oil, Palm 3,762 3,608 3,496 3,745 3,695

10 Oil, Rapeseed 13 13 13 13 13

292 Oil, Soybean 321 289 293 286 290

0 Oil, Sunflowerseed 0 0 0 0 0

509 Other 671 544 535 502 502

3,731 Total 4,767 4,454 4,337 4,546 4,500

Southeast Asia includes Brunei, Burma, Cambonia, Indonesia, Laos, Malaysia, Philippines, Singapore, Thailand, and Vietnam.

SME - 44 Percent Protein Soybean Meal Equivalent

Foreign Agricultural Service/USDA October 2017Office of Global Analysis

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Table 25: Middle East Oilseeds and Products Supply and Distribution

Thousand Metric Tons

2013/14 2014/15 2015/16 2016/17

Sep

2017/18

Oct

2017/18

none

Production none

1,106 Oilseed, Cottonseed 1,243 1,032 1,228 1,405 1,405

430 Oilseed, Rapeseed 425 400 400 400 400

318 Oilseed, Soybean 327 297 297 282 282

1,502 Oilseed, Sunflowerseed 1,306 1,206 1,426 1,706 1,706

140 Other 120 150 145 145 145

3,496 Total 3,421 3,085 3,496 3,938 3,938

none

Domestic Consumption none

86 Meal, Fish 89 100 105 105 105

895 Meal, Rapeseed 971 951 924 995 995

6,785 Meal, Soybean 7,105 7,605 8,246 8,806 8,856

3,034 Other 2,961 2,924 3,204 3,376 3,424

10,800 Total 11,126 11,580 12,479 13,282 13,380

none

SME none

124 Meal, Fish 129 145 152 152 152

637 Meal, Rapeseed 691 677 657 708 708

6,785 Meal, Soybean 7,105 7,605 8,246 8,806 8,856

2,626 Other 2,543 2,509 2,822 2,963 3,008

10,172 Total 10,468 10,935 11,877 12,629 12,724

none

Imports none

80 Meal, Fish 84 100 100 100 100

295 Meal, Rapeseed 217 195 215 219 219

5,279 Meal, Soybean 4,334 4,117 4,850 5,180 5,180

1,407 Other 1,406 1,497 1,600 1,475 1,525

7,061 Total 6,041 5,909 6,765 6,974 7,024

none

Imports none

2,362 Oil, Palm 2,127 2,310 2,577 2,522 2,522

54 Oil, Rapeseed 60 79 86 89 89

641 Oil, Soybean 498 404 361 418 418

1,916 Oil, Sunflowerseed 1,760 1,661 2,118 2,039 1,989

182 Other 463 169 174 187 187

5,155 Total 4,908 4,623 5,316 5,255 5,205

none

Industrial Dom. Cons. none

180 Oil, Palm 185 185 180 180 180

35 Oil, Rapeseed 35 30 30 30 30

81 Oil, Soybean 137 127 129 120 120

30 Oil, Sunflowerseed 20 20 20 20 20

52 Other 69 58 70 64 64

378 Total 446 420 429 414 414

none

Food Use Dom. Cons. none

1,803 Oil, Palm 1,507 1,815 1,961 2,011 2,001

322 Oil, Rapeseed 404 398 358 386 386

838 Oil, Soybean 916 972 967 1,050 1,050

1,835 Oil, Sunflowerseed 1,981 2,074 2,323 2,362 2,342

636 Other 855 640 641 680 680

5,434 Total 5,663 5,899 6,250 6,489 6,459

none

Domestic Consumption none

1,983 Oil, Palm 1,692 2,000 2,141 2,191 2,181

357 Oil, Rapeseed 439 428 388 416 416

974 Oil, Soybean 1,131 1,179 1,151 1,220 1,220

1,885 Oil, Sunflowerseed 2,011 2,104 2,353 2,392 2,372

695 Other 931 704 717 750 750

5,894 Total 6,204 6,415 6,750 6,969 6,939

Middle East includes Bahrain, Gaza Strip, Iran, Iraq, Israel, Jordan, Kuwait, Lebanon, Oman, Qatar, Saudi Arabia, Syria, Turkey,

United Arab Emirates, West Banks, and Yemen.

SME - 44 Percent Protein Soybean Meal Equivalent

Foreign Agricultural Service/USDA October 2017Office of Global Analysis

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Table 26: European Union Oilseeds and Products Supply and Distribution

Thousand Metric Tons

2013/14 2014/15 2015/16 2016/17

Sep

2017/18

Oct

2017/18

none

Production none

21,306 Oilseed, Rapeseed 24,587 21,997 20,543 21,950 22,000

1,211 Oilseed, Soybean 1,832 2,320 2,379 2,480 2,480

9,054 Oilseed, Sunflowerseed 8,974 7,721 8,573 8,500 8,500

479 Other 520 405 416 434 473

32,050 Total 35,913 32,443 31,911 33,364 33,453

none

Domestic Consumption none

597 Meal, Fish 529 581 605 610 610

13,700 Meal, Rapeseed 14,500 13,800 13,920 13,850 14,000

28,392 Meal, Soybean 29,942 31,092 30,242 31,142 30,642

9,532 Other 9,519 9,276 10,002 10,031 10,031

52,221 Total 54,490 54,749 54,769 55,633 55,283

none

SME none

863 Meal, Fish 764 840 874 881 881

9,748 Meal, Rapeseed 10,317 9,819 9,904 9,854 9,961

28,392 Meal, Soybean 29,942 31,092 30,242 31,142 30,642

7,652 Other 7,640 7,452 8,170 8,223 8,223

46,654 Total 48,663 49,203 49,190 50,101 49,707

none

Imports none

372 Meal, Fish 279 284 300 300 300

457 Meal, Rapeseed 453 409 219 300 300

18,137 Meal, Soybean 19,623 19,214 19,000 19,500 19,500

5,656 Other 5,469 5,502 5,856 6,005 6,005

24,622 Total 25,824 25,409 25,375 26,105 26,105

none

Industrial Dom. Cons. none

3,100 Oil, Palm 3,400 3,400 3,300 3,300 3,300

6,865 Oil, Rapeseed 7,095 7,200 7,100 7,100 7,100

940 Oil, Soybean 990 930 850 830 800

310 Oil, Sunflowerseed 310 420 400 400 400

480 Other 515 475 475 475 475

11,695 Total 12,310 12,425 12,125 12,105 12,075

none

Food Use Dom. Cons. none

3,250 Oil, Palm 3,320 3,100 2,900 2,850 2,850

2,900 Oil, Rapeseed 3,250 2,850 3,100 3,000 3,030

1,000 Oil, Soybean 1,025 1,300 1,300 1,300 1,300

3,400 Oil, Sunflowerseed 3,350 3,800 4,000 4,200 4,150

2,571 Other 2,317 2,357 2,246 2,406 2,356

13,121 Total 13,262 13,407 13,546 13,756 13,686

none

Domestic Consumption none

6,600 Oil, Palm 6,920 6,700 6,400 6,350 6,350

9,815 Oil, Rapeseed 10,395 10,100 10,250 10,150 10,180

1,990 Oil, Soybean 2,065 2,285 2,205 2,185 2,155

3,720 Oil, Sunflowerseed 3,670 4,230 4,410 4,610 4,560

3,076 Other 2,854 2,847 2,736 2,896 2,846

25,201 Total 25,904 26,162 26,001 26,191 26,091

none

Imports none

6,969 Oil, Palm 6,936 6,638 6,500 6,500 6,500

303 Oil, Rapeseed 261 207 153 200 150

329 Oil, Soybean 253 325 285 250 250

1,039 Oil, Sunflowerseed 829 1,430 1,640 1,700 1,650

1,341 Other 1,603 1,373 1,326 1,326 1,326

9,981 Total 9,882 9,973 9,904 9,976 9,876

European Union includes Austria, Belgium, Bulgaria, Croatia, Cyprus, Czech Republic, Denmark, Estonia, Finland, France,

Germany, Greece, Hungary, Ireland, Italy, Latvia, Lithuania, Luxembourg, Malta, Netherlands, Poland, Portugal, Romania,

Slovakia, Slovenia, Spain, Sweden, and United Kingdom.

Foreign Agricultural Service/USDA October 2017Office of Global Analysis

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Table 27: China Oilseeds and Products Supply and Distribution

Thousand Metric Tons

2013/14 2014/15 2015/16 2016/17

Sep

2017/18

Oct

2017/18

none

Production none

16,972 Oilseed, Peanut 16,482 16,440 17,000 17,400 17,500

14,458 Oilseed, Rapeseed 14,772 14,931 13,500 13,100 13,100

11,951 Oilseed, Soybean 12,154 11,785 12,900 14,000 14,200

2,424 Oilseed, Sunflowerseed 2,492 2,698 2,800 2,850 2,850

12,835 Other 11,757 8,600 8,800 9,600 9,600

58,640 Total 57,657 54,454 55,000 56,950 57,250

none

Domestic Consumption none

1,599 Meal, Fish 1,474 1,439 1,831 1,435 1,435

11,287 Meal, Rapeseed 11,032 11,254 10,858 10,945 10,945

52,534 Meal, Soybean 57,467 62,267 67,764 72,682 73,078

9,360 Other 8,761 7,916 8,339 8,685 8,685

74,780 Total 78,734 82,876 88,792 93,747 94,143

none

SME none

2,311 Meal, Fish 2,130 2,079 2,646 2,074 2,074

8,031 Meal, Rapeseed 7,849 8,007 7,725 7,787 7,787

52,534 Meal, Soybean 57,467 62,267 67,764 72,682 73,078

8,491 Other 7,996 7,435 7,801 8,164 8,164

71,367 Total 75,442 79,789 85,936 90,707 91,103

none

Imports none

1,041 Meal, Fish 1,031 1,042 1,400 1,000 1,000

314 Meal, Rapeseed 142 359 875 700 700

20 Meal, Soybean 58 24 60 30 30

747 Other 553 407 625 500 500

2,122 Total 1,784 1,832 2,960 2,230 2,230

none

Food Use Dom. Cons. none

3,600 Oil, Palm 3,750 2,750 2,600 2,800 2,800

2,851 Oil, Peanut 2,819 2,919 2,985 3,085 3,085

7,400 Oil, Rapeseed 7,750 8,350 8,500 8,200 8,100

13,650 Oil, Soybean 14,200 15,250 16,230 17,050 17,200

1,010 Oil, Sunflowerseed 998 1,379 1,331 1,492 1,442

1,662 Other 1,563 1,272 1,289 1,385 1,385

30,173 Total 31,080 31,920 32,935 34,012 34,012

none

Domestic Consumption none

5,700 Oil, Palm 5,700 4,800 4,650 4,900 4,900

2,851 Oil, Peanut 2,819 2,919 2,985 3,085 3,085

7,400 Oil, Rapeseed 7,750 8,350 8,500 8,200 8,100

13,650 Oil, Soybean 14,200 15,250 16,230 17,050 17,200

1,010 Oil, Sunflowerseed 998 1,379 1,331 1,492 1,442

2,157 Other 2,141 1,832 1,864 1,935 1,935

32,768 Total 33,608 34,530 35,560 36,662 36,662

none

Imports none

5,573 Oil, Palm 5,696 4,689 4,650 4,900 4,900

74 Oil, Peanut 141 113 130 130 130

902 Oil, Rapeseed 732 768 815 750 750

1,353 Oil, Soybean 773 586 750 500 500

531 Oil, Sunflowerseed 534 878 775 900 850

671 Other 751 737 745 720 720

9,104 Total 8,627 7,771 7,865 7,900 7,850

SME - 44 Percent Protein Soybean Meal Equivalent

Foreign Agricultural Service/USDA October 2017Office of Global Analysis

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Table 28: India Oilseeds and Products Supply and Distribution

Thousand Metric Tons

2013/14 2014/15 2015/16 2016/17

Sep

2017/18

Oct

2017/18

none

Production none

12,950 Oilseed, Cottonseed 12,525 10,996 11,463 12,736 12,736

6,482 Oilseed, Peanut 4,855 4,470 6,700 5,500 5,500

6,650 Oilseed, Rapeseed 5,080 5,920 7,091 7,200 7,200

9,477 Oilseed, Soybean 8,711 6,929 11,500 10,000 10,000

580 Oilseed, Sunflowerseed 383 320 275 255 255

725 Other 730 735 735 770 770

36,864 Total 32,284 29,370 37,764 36,461 36,461

none

Domestic Consumption none

4,230 Meal, Cottonseed 4,264 3,962 3,737 4,265 4,265

1,630 Meal, Peanut 1,242 1,107 1,572 1,442 1,417

2,115 Meal, Rapeseed 1,600 2,600 2,935 3,285 3,285

3,640 Meal, Soybean 4,500 4,630 4,850 5,450 5,450

271 Meal, Sunflowerseed 184 315 412 350 350

304 Other 376 435 450 410 410

12,190 Total 12,166 13,049 13,956 15,202 15,177

none

SME none

3,428 Meal, Cottonseed 3,455 3,210 3,028 3,456 3,456

1,832 Meal, Peanut 1,396 1,244 1,767 1,621 1,593

1,505 Meal, Rapeseed 1,138 1,850 2,088 2,337 2,337

3,640 Meal, Soybean 4,500 4,630 4,850 5,450 5,450

256 Meal, Sunflowerseed 174 297 389 330 330

136 Other 169 194 201 182 182

10,797 Total 10,832 11,426 12,323 13,377 13,349

none

Food Use Dom. Cons. none

1,250 Oil, Cottonseed 1,250 1,230 1,120 1,265 1,265

8,052 Oil, Palm 8,750 8,600 8,700 8,900 8,900

1,237 Oil, Peanut 1,040 864 1,120 1,050 1,100

2,300 Oil, Rapeseed 2,000 2,200 2,460 2,620 2,620

3,300 Oil, Soybean 4,100 5,300 5,300 5,650 5,550

1,500 Oil, Sunflowerseed 1,700 1,665 2,020 1,900 1,900

345 Other 380 265 228 241 241

17,984 Total 19,220 20,124 20,948 21,626 21,576

none

Domestic Consumption none

1,295 Oil, Cottonseed 1,295 1,275 1,165 1,310 1,310

8,302 Oil, Palm 9,150 9,100 9,250 9,500 9,500

1,247 Oil, Peanut 1,050 874 1,130 1,060 1,110

2,370 Oil, Rapeseed 2,080 2,280 2,545 2,705 2,705

3,300 Oil, Soybean 4,100 5,300 5,300 5,650 5,550

1,500 Oil, Sunflowerseed 1,700 1,665 2,020 1,900 1,900

643 Other 672 553 487 501 501

18,657 Total 20,047 21,047 21,897 22,626 22,576

none

Imports none

0 Oil, Cottonseed 0 0 0 0 0

7,820 Oil, Palm 9,139 8,857 9,000 9,400 9,400

0 Oil, Peanut 0 0 0 0 0

155 Oil, Rapeseed 383 383 440 430 430

1,804 Oil, Soybean 2,815 4,269 3,500 4,100 4,100

1,516 Oil, Sunflowerseed 1,575 1,492 2,000 1,800 1,700

202 Other 224 106 80 65 65

11,497 Total 14,136 15,107 15,020 15,795 15,695

SME - 44 Percent Protein Soybean Meal Equivalent

Foreign Agricultural Service/USDA October 2017Office of Global Analysis

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Year Rapeseed CopraBeg U.S. U.S. Brz Arg Rott U.S. Rott U.S. Rott Hamb RottOct 1 1/ 2/ 3/ 4/ 5/ 6/ 7/ 8/ 9/ 10/ 11/

Oct - Sep Average05/06-14/15 391 401 427 427 465 510 1434 469 498 489 708

2005/06 205 202 228 227 261 383 857 261 291 292 3872006/07 254 264 279 279 335 394 1,128 343 401 375 5372007/08 414 452 472 469 550 458 1,688 532 745 644 8672008/09 368 365 403 392 421 517 1,204 461 364 393 4872009/10 354 357 390 395 429 467 1,209 342 452 419 6132010/11 454 482 508 511 549 508 1,792 591 661 647 11882011/12 488 505 549 533 562 729 2,480 632 593 616 8292012/13 530 537 538 543 592 635 1,391 546 580 579 5702013/14 482 487 514 517 542 524 1,300 480 466 505 8542014/15 362 356 388 401 407 482 1,294 506 432 417 749

2015/16 Oct 324 320 364 358 376 412 1,150 410 464 426 736 Nov 319 316 331 349 368 392 1,175 406 478 406 716 Dec 322 321 330 350 372 392 1,200 428 473 413 759 Jan 320 320 333 340 367 425 1,175 441 465 397 763 Feb 313 317 332 327 369 434 1,150 452 464 395 813 Mar 315 322 342 332 375 423 1,150 472 436 394 990 Apr 332 345 375 360 393 432 1,163 461 427 421 1045 May 359 377 413 402 422 425 1,200 430 428 414 963 Jun 375 412 465 455 457 430 1,260 443 429 410 1048 Jul 375 387 452 430 432 419 1,400 417 403 393 1008 Aug 365 367 427 407 413 419 1,550 437 404 419 1018 Sep 346 350 415 395 405 421 1,550 395 406 425 1025 Average 339 346 382 375 396 419 1,260 433 440 409 907

2016/17 Oct 342 348 413 386 403 421 1,550 375 413 431 964 Nov 348 358 395 386 412 410 1,600 362 423 431 1,021 Dec 354 367 396 388 420 408 1,600 379 420 439 1,127 Jan 357 371 402 392 425 430 1,650 379 416 446 1,225 Feb 362 369 401 397 427 437 1,650 388 415 448 1,146 Mar 356 354 381 374 404 448 1,650 384 410 440 1,016 Apr 342 336 358 352 389 437 1,650 395 400 431 1,044 May 340 340 367 360 388 428 1,650 381 403 432 1,113 Jun 334 330 360 355 380 434 1,450 388 396 404 1,119 Jul 346 356 388 378 408 452 1,450 395 399 417 1,059 Aug 340 337 378 368 390 437 1,405 421 397 427 1,062 *Sep N/A 343 384 378 397 N/A 1,344 N/A 399 433 1,015 Average 347 351 385 376 404 431 1,554 386 408 432 1,076

7/ Rotterdam CIF; US Runners 40/50%, Shelled Basis, Oilworld. 8/ US Farm Price; USDA9/ Rotterdam/Amsterdam CIF; EU; Oil World 10/Hamburg CIF; Europe "00"; Oil World.

* Preliminary Sept/Oct/Nov Shipment

3/ Brazil Paranagua, FOB; IGC 4/ Argentina Up River, FOB; IGC5/ Rotterdam CIF; US origin; Oil World. 6/ US Farm Price, Inshell, USDA.

11/ Phil/Indo CIF NW Europe; Oil World

Table 29: Oilseed Prices U.S. Dollars per Metric Ton

Soybean Peanut Sunseed

1/ U.S. Farm Price; USDA. 2/ U.S. NO.1 Yellow Cash Central Illinois; AMS.

10/12/2017 11:19:17 AM

Foreign Agricultural Service/USDA October 2017Office of Global Analysis

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Year FishBeg U.S. Brz Arg Hamb U.S. Rott HambOct 1 1/ 2/ 3/ 4/ 6/ 7/ 8/

Oct - Sep Average05/06-14/15 377 356 347 410 200 242 1433

2005/06 192 176 158 215 85 122 10602006/07 226 199 181 276 116 178 12202007/08 370 337 299 469 191 298 11462008/09 365 333 290 401 168 178 11032009/10 343 327 311 391 167 222 16682010/11 381 383 386 418 242 254 1,6072011/12 434 442 442 461 272 263 1,4482012/13 516 489 506 538 266 318 1,7912013/14 540 500 509 533 263 315 1,6602014/15 406 376 386 403 231 269 1,632

2015/16 Oct 362 331 346 351 234 260 1,531 Nov 340 308 330 328 207 253 1,537 Dec 319 294 301 317 180 227 1,503 Jan 308 294 307 316 173 210 1,476 Feb 302 282 301 303 145 205 1,472 Mar 304 273 299 301 132 203 1,448 Apr 335 292 332 339 121 219 1,478 May 415 387 410 406 165 252 1,514 Jun 450 430 446 430 183 284 1,586 Jul 409 412 409 400 167 246 1,550 Aug 376 375 371 375 155 235 1,574 Sep 373 338 341 344 164 197 1,535 Average 358 335 349 351 169 233 1,517

2016/17 Oct 356 335 334 340 164 194 1,497 Nov 355 328 338 343 155 193 1,463 Dec 354 321 329 345 160 184 1,423 Jan 366 342 354 355 175 174 1,386 Feb 369 342 355 357 178 177 1,353 Mar 353 323 336 346 171 175 1,304 Apr 337 307 314 331 163 169 1,296 May 339 312 315 329 159 173 1,331 Jun 331 300 303 313 154 173 1,333 Jul 359 324 320 326 144 174 1,354 Aug 332 306 306 318 148 177 1,380 *Sep 339 318 312 329 148 174 1,402 Average 349 322 326 336 160 178 1,377

1/ Decatur, Average Wholsale 48% Protein; USDA. 2/ Brazil Paranagua, FOB; 48% Protein; IGC.3/ Argentina Pellets, Up River, FOB; IGC; 4/ Hamburg FOB 44/45% Ex-Mill; Oil World.5/ Memphis FOB; 41% Protein Solvent Extraction; USDA; 6/ Minneapolis FOB; 32% Protein; USDA.7/ HiPro a.o. cif France or Ukraine DAF; Argentina Pellet 37-38% (Prior to Aug 2012); Oilworld.8/ Bremen 64-65% Protein; Oil World. 9/ Hamburg FOB; Ex-Mill 34% Protein; Oil World.* Preliminary

U.S.5/

285

159

Table 30: Protein Meal Prices U.S. Dollars per Metric Ton

Soybean SunseedCottonseed

302303366

335

166280281244

274262239229

416

322322295

314288

267244

267313309309

230

RapeseedHamb

9/

254

129184298

215198

219236

198221

240246245232

353323

257

269

195221278295

217239262260

231216218203

213217210216

233228218232

10/12/2017 11:19:17 AM

225

238221217211

239238239238

Foreign Agricultural Service/USDA October 2017Office of Global Analysis

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Year Cottonseed Palm Canola Coconut CornBegin U.S. Brz Arg Rott U.S. U.S. Rott U.S. Rott Malay Rott Rott U.S.Oct 1 1/ 2/ 3/ 4/ 5/ 6/ 7/ 8/ 9/ 10/ 11/ 12/ 13/

Oct - Sep Average05/06-14/15 875 888 886 979 1,056 1,442 1,054 1,603 1,568 796 1,032 1,064 967

2005/06 516 474 467 573 649 896 635 981 931 416 770 583 5552006/07 684 673 667 771 787 1,279 846 1,253 1,219 655 852 812 7012007/08 1,147 1,190 1,191 1,327 1,622 2,010 1,639 2,225 2,018 1,058 1,410 1,306 1,5292008/09 709 740 741 826 820 1,108 837 1,539 1,339 633 868 735 7222009/10 793 848 829 924 888 1,164 956 1,353 1,291 793 927 921 8662010/11 1,173 1,210 1,211 1,306 1,202 1,899 1,404 1,806 1,751 1,154 1,367 1,772 1,3312011/12 1,144 1,162 1,164 1,241 1,173 1,834 1,254 2,247 2,455 1,032 1,258 1,244 1,2362012/13 1,039 1,012 1,014 1,098 1,071 1,452 1,189 1,934 1,963 791 1,127 858 1,0292013/14 843 871 870 950 1,337 1,304 929 1,430 1,355 803 954 1,278 8692014/15 697 706 705 778 1,009 1,471 850 1,265 1,354 626 782 1,128 827

2015/16 Oct 598 673 665 742 976 1,587 883 1,272 1,314 565 802 1,108 807 Nov 582 678 675 726 996 1,422 862 1,280 1,298 541 790 1,073 803 Dec 655 677 680 761 1,066 1,367 852 1,290 1,283 539 818 1,147 843 Jan 637 658 651 727 1,043 1,279 846 1,239 1,274 550 777 1,155 880 Feb 657 680 675 758 1,015 1,196 869 1,213 1,271 613 781 1,216 888 Mar 680 691 687 761 1,019 1,186 842 1,225 1,286 654 768 1,448 905 Apr 715 740 731 796 1,044 1,186 857 1,239 1,350 707 811 1,586 929 May 678 721 710 791 1,015 1,190 868 1,353 1,600 686 808 1,445 889 Jun 669 714 709 798 1,004 1,195 851 1,347 1,700 640 792 1,586 881 Jul 634 694 688 788 987 1,217 816 1,369 1,673 615 763 1,507 857 Aug 688 753 747 814 998 1,235 815 1,345 1,650 704 819 1,529 861 Sep 705 764 752 829 973 1,235 823 1,358 1,620 716 852 1,547 840 Average 658 704 698 774 1,011 1,275 849 1,294 1,443 628 798 1,362 865

2016/17 Oct 746 797 782 858 989 1,235 830 1,430 1,575 677 896 1,463 799 Nov 761 803 796 880 1,010 1,235 830 1,455 1,525 708 899 1,538 812 Dec 784 826 841 907 1,023 1,235 844 1,391 1,504 745 918 1,699 840 Jan 740 798 812 872 982 1,235 817 1,386 1,520 759 917 1,815 835 Feb 705 761 762 835 915 1213 808 1392 1,545 740 878 1,703 840 Mar 680 734 712 812 870 1,146 783 1,451 1,578 713 850 1,549 836 Apr 652 704 699 791 828 1,124 784 1,536 1,558 681 824 1,580 830 May 675 734 734 827 852 1,113 797 1,560 1,550 698 844 1,687 831 Jun 678 739 741 827 851 1,120 780 1,680 1,518 670 813 1,697 838 Jul 724 747 744 835 857 1,130 793 1,670 1,498 658 843 1,591 827 Aug 731 760 758 855 802 1,163 806 1,535 1,478 651 875 1,604 810 *Sep 734 779 779 882 848 1,217 810 1,468 1,433 690 889 1,525 804 Average 718 765 763 848 902 1,181 807 1,496 1,524 699 871 1,621 8251/ Decatur; Average Wholesale Tank Crude; USDA. 2/ Brazil Paranagua, FOB Crude; IGC.3/ Argentina Up River, FOB Crude; IGC 4/ Dutch FOB; Ex-Mill; Oil World. 5/ PBSY Greenwood MS; USDA. 6/ Minneapolis FOB; USDA. 7/ EU FOB NW Euro; Oil World. 8/ South East Mills FOB; Tank Cars Crude; USDA. 9/ Rotterdam CIF; Any Origin; Oil World. 10/ Malaysia FOB; RBD; Oil World. 11/ Rotterdam, Dutch FOBEx-Mill; Oilworld. 12/ Rotterdam CIF; Phil/Indo; Oil World. 13/ Chicago; Crude; AMS * Preliminary

Table 31: Vegetable Oil Prices U.S. Dollars per Metric Ton

10/12/2017 11:19:17 AM

Soybean Sunseed Peanut

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Approved by the World Agricultural Outlook Board

United States Department of Agriculture Foreign

Agricultural Service Circular Series WAP 10-17 October 2017

Bangladesh Rice: Heavy Rains Continue to Decrease Production Estimates

USDA estimates 2017/18 Bangladesh rice production at 33.0 million metric tons (milled basis), down 1 percent from last month, and down 5 percent from last year. Yield is estimated at 4.38 metric tons per hectare, down slightly from last year. Harvested area is estimated at 11.3 million hectares, down nearly 2 percent from last month and down 4 percent from last year. The area decrease is attributed to monsoonal rains since June that caused flooding across the major rice areas of Dhaka and Rajshahi. The excessive rains impacted the Aus and Aman crops, which account for roughly 50 percent of the total rice crop. In 2015 excessive rains occurred as well, but earlier in August and in different areas of the country.

World Agricultural Production

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Heavy rains have persisted since May and cumulative rainfall is 78 percent higher than the long-term average for the country. The Bangladesh Department of Disaster reported that 600,000 hectares have been flooded in over 32 districts. They have also reported that several areas have been impacted by landslides in the major rice areas. Although the government has provided financial incentives to replant, farmers say it’s too late to plant rice this season. The monsoon is beginning to retreat and is forecast to end in mid-October. Daily rainfall is beginning to return to the long-term normal.

Rice is grown throughout the year. The growing seasons are comprised of the Boro which is the largest crop that accounts for about 50 percent of production, followed by the Aus and Aman crop. (For more information, please contact [email protected]) China Corn: Record Yield Estimated

USDA estimates China’s 2017/18 corn production at 215.0 million metric tons (mmt), unchanged from last month, down 4.55 mmt or 2 percent from last year. Projected area of 35 million hectares is unchanged from last month but down 5 percent from last year. Area has shown a downward trend in recent years, particularly in the Northeast, as reductions in government support for corn has increased profitability for alternative crops such as soybeans. Yield is forecast at a record 6.14 tons per hectare, unchanged from last month, and up 3 percent from last year. Despite unseasonably warm and localized dry weather during April through June, satellite data indicated favorable soil moisture conditions across the major corn-producing provinces in northeast China and the North China Plain. Abnormally dry conditions may have slowed planting and early crop development in some regions including Henan (9 percent of total corn production), Liaoning (7 percent), Hebei (8 percent), Inner Mongolia (9 percent), as well as parts

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of Jilin (13 percent), and Shandong (10 percent). Timely rainfall, however, during reproduction improved conditions and re-enforced record yield estimates. In September, analysts from the USDA Foreign Agricultural Service conducted crop assessment travel in Liaoning, Shandong, and Anhui provinces when the crop was at physiological maturity and ready to be harvested. The crop conditions were favorable across the region with above-average yield expectations. Farmers indicated that harvest is expected to be completed by mid-October in time for wheat planting. Last year’s poor corn prices resulted in a significant area shift from corn to soybean across the major corn regions. (For more information, please contact [email protected]) EU Corn: Offsetting Production Changes

Total corn production in the European Union (EU) is estimated at 59.4 million metric (mmt) tons, unchanged from last month, but 1.7 mmt or 3 percent down from last year and 7 percent down from the 5-year average. Yield remains unchanged from last month at 6.90 tons per hectare, down 3 percent from last year, but up 1 percent from the 5-year average. Area is unchanged at 8.6 million hectares, down slightly from last year and 0.8 million below the 5-year average. Off-setting production changes were made to two of the top EU corn producers: France and Italy. The crop in France experienced beneficial

late-season weather, including favorable precipitation and moderate temperatures which boosted yield estimates. Due to these improved conditions, the production estimate for France was raised 0.4 mmt to 13.6 mmt. The harvest in France has recently just begun and was at 15 percent complete on October 2, according to the farm office FranceAgriMer. Meanwhile, the effects of high temperatures and dryness in central Europe during the summer months have further reduced yields in Italy. Production is estimated at 5.8 mmt, down 0.4 million from last month and 21

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percent below the five-year average. Corn area in Italy has been declining for the past five-years as area is being replaced with soybeans. The two other top corn producers within the EU are Romania and Hungary. The crop in Romania benefited from favorable rainfall in its main southern growing region and production continues to be estimated above average. Hungary has struggled with drought and heat and its production continues to be estimated below average. Production estimates remain unchanged this month in both countries at 10.0 mmt and 6.7 mmt, respectively. Without widespread irrigation they are highly dependent on rainfall and often have large production swings based on weather fluctuations. Other EU countries such as France, Italy, and Spain have significant irrigation networks, which mitigate adverse weather and typically provide more stable yields. (For more information, please contact [email protected]) Turkey Corn: Record Yield USDA estimates Turkey corn production for 2017/18 at 6.0 million metric tons (mmt), up 0.5 mmt or 9 percent from last month, now up 0.5 mmt or 9 percent from last year. The area is estimated at 0.6 million hectares (mha), up 0.1 mha from last month and last year. The yield forecast of 10.00 tons per hectare is at a record level. Precipitation has been very favorable during the planting and development months. Excellent spring rains led to rapid plant growth and a strong satellite vegetation signal (normalized difference vegetation index, or NDVI), which is an indication of an abundant crop biomass. Similarly, satellite NDVI analysis suggests that high summer temperatures during tasseling have not been detrimental to crop growth. The corn crop this year is just below the record set in 2015/16 of 6.2 mmt. Harvest began in September and continues until the end of October. (For more information, please contact [email protected]) Mexico Corn: Estimated Production Increased USDA estimates Mexico corn production for 2017/18 at 26.2 million metric tons, up about one percent from last month, but still down 5 percent from last year. Yield is estimated at 3.61 tons per hectare, down 2 percent from last year. Area harvested is estimated at 7.25 million hectares, up about one percent from last month, but down 3 percent from last year. The year-to-year decrease in area harvested is primarily due to farmers reverting back to planting sorghum. Last year more corn was planted due to the prevalence of the sugar cane aphid affecting sorghum.

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Mexico has two seasons for corn production: the spring/summer (main season) is planted in April through August and harvested in September through February. The fall/winter season is planted in October through February and harvested in March through July. Planting and crop establishment for the spring/summer cycle in the main corn-producing regions had beneficial rainfall. As the harvest began, the most recent harvest data from the Secretariat of Agriculture, Livestock, Rural Development, Fisheries and Food (SAGARPA) on August 30, 2017 indicate the abandonment rate is down approximately 50 percent from average (2012-2015). The reduction in the abandonment rate is attributed to the continued favorable rainfall throughout the 2017/18 growing season. Similar conditions were seen last year when the abandonment rate for corn was at its lowest in the past two decades. (For more information, please contact [email protected]) Australia Winter Crops: Lower Forecast for Wheat and Rapeseed Production Australia’s 2017/18 wheat production is estimated at 21.5 million metric tons (mmt), down 1.0 mmt or 4 percent from last month, and down 12.0 mmt or 36 percent from last year. Area is estimated at 12.5 million hectares (mha), unchanged from last month, up 0.1 million or 1 percent from last year. The yield estimate of 1.72 tons per hectare (t/ha) is the second lowest in the past ten seasons. The two lowest yields occurred in the severe drought years of 2002/03 and 2006/07.

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Australia’s 2017/18 rapeseed production is estimated at 3.0 mmt, down 0.2 mmt or 6 percent from last month, and down 1.1 mmt or 27 percent from last year. Area is estimated at 2.6 mha, unchanged from last month, up 0.28 mha or 12 percent from last year. The yield forecast of 1.15 t/ha is the fourth lowest in the past ten seasons. Persistent dryness and the current soil moisture deficit in major portions of Australia’s winter crop region contributed to an estimated 17 percent drop in wheat yield and an 18 percent drop in rapeseed yield from the 5-year average. Precipitation has been well below average since major sowing operations commenced in May. Winter crops are sown in May and June. Harvest begins in November and is finished by the end of December. Satellite-derived vegetation indices (the normalized difference vegetation index or NDVI) observed below-average conditions for Western Australia and New South Wales, which are major producing states. South Australia and Victoria, however, show near-average crop conditions as seen in the NDVI. (For more information, please contact [email protected])

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India Wheat: Production Estimated at a Record Level USDA estimates wheat production for 2017/18 at a record 98.4 million metric tons, up 13 percent from last year. Yield is estimated at a record level of 3.22 tons per hectare, up nearly 12 percent from last year. The increase is due to favorable weather, boosting yields in the main wheat producing areas. Harvested area is estimated at 30.6 million hectares, up slightly from last year. The increase in area is attributed to strong domestic prices resulting from tight domestic

supplies. (For more information, please contact [email protected]) Turkey Wheat: Record Production and Yield USDA estimates Turkey wheat production for 2017/18 at 21.0 million metric tons (mmt), up 1.0 mmt or 5 percent from last month, and up 3.8 mmt or 22 percent from last year. The area estimate is 7.8 million hectares, unchanged from last month, but down just slightly from last year. The yield estimate of 2.69 tons per hectare is a record. Turkey has had an exceptional year regarding wheat production considering the challenging crop conditions at planting and establishment. A dry planting window followed by cold temperatures led to an earlier-than-normal dormancy, negatively impacting crop establishment. Beneficial snow cover, however, protected the crop over the winter months and once dormancy broke, provided plentiful soil moisture. This was followed by frequent and favorable amounts of spring precipitation during tillering and maturation. Despite the poor establishment, the beneficial spring promoted record yields. Harvest is finished and while news

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accounts are clear about a record crop, poor quality has been reported to be a problem. (For more information, please contact [email protected]) Russia Wheat: Harvest Reports Increase Record Production USDA estimates Russia wheat production for 2017/18 at 82.0 million metric tons (mmt), up 1.0 mmt from last month and topping last year’s record output by 9.5 mmt. Total wheat yield is estimated at 3.06 tons per hectare (t/ha), up about one percent from last month, and up 14 percent from last year’s record. Winter wheat harvest is complete and spring wheat harvest is wrapping up and should be finished by the end of October.

Updated harvest reports from the Ministry of Agriculture indicate higher yields than last year in the main three spring wheat growing regions (Urals, Volga and Siberia). In the Urals District, harvest is 93 percent complete and yield this year is currently at 2.02 t/ha as compared to last year’s 1.71 t/ha. In Volga, which grows both spring and winter wheat, harvest for the spring crop is 95 percent complete and yield this year is currently at 2.51 t/ha as compared to last year’s 2.01 t/ha. In Siberia, harvest is 84 percent complete and yield this year is currently at 1.66 t/ha as compared to last year’s 1.64 t/ha. Satellite imagery throughout the season confirmed these outstanding conditions. The USDA production estimate excludes output of roughly 1.0 mmt from Crimea. (For more information, please contact [email protected])

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China Cotton: Near Record Yield China’s 2017/18 cotton production is estimated at 24.5 million (480 lb.) bales (5.33 million metric tons), unchanged from last month, up 8 percent from last year. Area is still estimated at 3.13 million hectares, up 8 percent from last year. Yield is estimated at 1,707 kilograms per hectare (kg/ha), down slightly from last year’s record of 1,708 kg/ha. Cotton picking is in full progress under favorable weather conditions across Xinjiang province. According to the China Cotton Association, 20 percent of Xinjiang’s crop had been harvested by the end of September. In the eastern provinces of Shandong, Hebei, and Jiangsu nearly half of the crop has been harvested. Since the season began in April, most major cotton growing regions received normal to above-normal rainfall, resulting in favorable planting conditions, plant growth, and a promising finish to the season. China cotton area increased slightly due to higher cotton prices. The area increased the most in Xinjiang and Hebei provinces. According to the National Cotton Monitoring Network (NCMN), Xinjiang province planted over 2 million hectares, increasing its cotton production to roughly 78 percent of the national total. This year’s area increase is a change from the trend of the past five years. For the past five consecutive seasons, harvested area declined across all cotton regions as farmers responded to changes in agricultural policy. In 2014 the government announced and enacted policies regarding the removal of cotton support, or direct subsidies, to farmers in an effort to minimize high stockpiles of cotton. (For more information, please contact [email protected])

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World Agricultural Production U.S. Department of Agriculture

Foreign Agricultural Service / Office of Global Analysis International Production Assessment Division (IPAD)

Ag Box 1051, Room 4630, South Building Washington, DC 20250-1051

http://www.pecad.fas.usda.gov/ Telephone: (202) 720-1662 Fax: (202) 720-1158

This report uses information from the Foreign Agricultural Service’s (FAS) global network of agricultural attachés and counselors, official statistics of foreign governments and other foreign source materials, and the analysis of economic data and satellite imagery. Estimates of foreign area, yield, and production are from the International Production Assessment Division, FAS, and are reviewed by USDA’s Inter-Agency Commodity Estimates Committee. Estimates of U.S. area, yield, and production are from USDA’s National Agricultural Statistics Service. Numbers within the report may not add to totals because of rounding. This report reflects official USDA estimates released in the World Agricultural Supply and Demand Estimates (WASDE-570), October 12, 2017. Printed copies are available from the National Technical Information Service. Download an order form at http://www.ntis.gov/products/specialty/usda/fas_a-g.asp, or call NTIS at 1-800-363-2068. The FAS International Production Assessment Division prepared this report. The next issue of World Agricultural Production will be released after 12:00 p.m. Eastern Time, November 9, 2017.

Conversion Table

Metric tons to bushels

Wheat, soybeans = MT * 36.7437 Corn, sorghum, rye = MT * 39.36825 Barley = MT * 45.929625 Oats = MT * 68.894438

Metric tons to 480-lb bales

Cotton = MT * 4.592917

Metric tons to hundredweight

Rice = MT * 22.04622

Area & weight

1 hectare = 2.471044 acres 1 kilogram = 2.204622 pounds

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For further information, contact: U.S. Department of Agriculture Foreign Agricultural Service

Office of Global Analysis International Production Assessment Division

Ag Box 1051, Room 4630, South Building Washington, DC 20250-1051

Telephone: (202) 720-1662 Fax: (202) 720-1158

GENERAL INFORMATION Director Ronald Frantz 202-720-4056 [email protected] Deputy Director Robert Tetrault 202-720-1071 [email protected] Administrative Assistant Shelisa Johnson 202-720-1662 [email protected] USDA Remote Sensing Advisor Glenn Bethel 202-720-1280 [email protected] Sr. Analyst/Satellite Imagery Curt Reynolds, Ph.D. 202-690-0134 [email protected] Archives Manager/Technical Lead Sr. Analyst/ Technical Lead Dath Mita, Ph.D. 202-720-7339 [email protected] Sr. Analyst/ Global Special Jim Crutchfield 202-690-0135 [email protected] Projects Manager/Technical Lead Sr. Analyst/Technical Lead Vacant GIS Analyst/WAP Coordinator Justin Jenkins 202-720-0419 [email protected] COUNTRY- AND REGION-SPECIFIC INFORMATION South America, Argentina, Venezuela, Denise McWilliams, Ph.D.202-720-0107 [email protected] and Colombia Western and Central Europe, Bryan Purcell 202-690-0138 [email protected] and North Africa Russia, Ukraine, Kazakhstan Mark Lindeman 202-690-0143 [email protected] South Asia, Sri Lanka Arnella Trent 202-720-0881 [email protected] Bangladesh, India, and Nepal East Asia, China, and Japan Dath Mita, Ph.D. 202-720-7339 [email protected] Sub-Saharan Africa, Curt Reynolds, Ph.D. 202-690-0134 [email protected] Nigeria and South Africa S.E. Asia, Indonesia, Thailand, Malaysia, Michael Shean 202-720-7366 [email protected] Cambodia and Vietnam Central America, Mexico, Justin Jenkins 202-720-0419 [email protected] and Western United States Australia, New Zealand, Pakistan Jim Crutchfield 202-690-0135 [email protected] Papua New Guinea and South Pacific Islands Middle East, Central Asia, Afghanistan Bill Baker, Ph.D. 202-260-8109 [email protected] Iraq, Iran, and Syria Canada, Caribbean, Katie McGaughey 202-720-9210 [email protected] Eastern United States Brazil Maria Anulacion 202-720-6878 [email protected]

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The Foreign Agricultural Service (FAS) updates its production, supply and distribution (PSD) database for cotton, oilseeds, and grains at 12:00 p.m. on the day the World Agricultural Supply and Demand Estimates

(WASDE) report is released. This circular is released by 12:15 p.m.

FAS Reports and Databases:

Current World Market and Trade and World Agricultural Production Reports: http://apps.fas.usda.gov/psdonline/psdDataPublications.aspx

Archives World Market and Trade and World Agricultural Production Reports: http://usda.mannlib.cornell.edu/MannUsda/viewTaxonomy.do?taxonomyID=7

Production, Supply and Distribution Database (PSD Online): http://apps.fas.usda.gov/psdonline/psdHome.aspx

EU Countries Area & Production Estimates http://apps.fas.usda.gov/psdonline/psdDownload.aspx

Global Agricultural Trade System (U.S. Exports and Imports): http://apps.fas.usda.gov/gats/default.aspx

Export Sales Report: http://apps.fas.usda.gov/esrquery/

Global Agricultural Information Network (Agricultural Attaché Reports): http://gain.fas.usda.gov/Pages/Default.aspx

Other USDA Reports: World Agricultural Supply and Demand Estimates (WASDE):

http://www.usda.gov/oce/commodity/wasde/ Economic Research Service: http://www.ers.usda.gov/topics/crops

National Agricultural Statistics Service: http://www.nass.usda.gov/Publications/

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Million Metric Tons

Table 01 World Crop Production Summary

World

-

Total

Foreign

North

America

North

America

North

America

Former

Soviet

Former

Soviet

Europea

n

Asia

(WAP)

Asia

(WAP)

Asia

(WAP)

Asia

(WAP)

Asia

(WAP)

South

America

South

America

Selected

Other

Selected

Other

Selected

Other

All

Others

none

-

none

-

United

States

Mexico

-

Canada

-

Russia

-

Ukraine

-

none

-

China

-

India

-

Indo-

nesia

Paki-

stan

Thai-

land

Argen-

tina

Brazil

-

South

Africa

Turkey

-

none

-

Aus-

tralia

Commodity

---Million metric tons---

Wheat

2015/16 257.619.51.422.35.511.30.025.10.086.5130.2nr27.361.03.827.656.1679.1735.3

2016/17 prel. 237.217.31.933.56.718.40.025.60.087.0128.9nr26.872.53.931.762.8691.3754.1

2017/18 proj.

Sep 240.920.01.622.55.217.50.026.20.096.0130.0nr26.581.03.726.547.3697.5744.8

Oct 243.421.01.721.55.117.50.026.20.098.4130.0nr26.582.03.627.047.4703.8751.2

Coarse Grains

2015/16 330.214.28.712.569.137.94.85.710.538.7231.4nr33.437.432.425.6367.0892.61,259.6

2016/17 prel. 335.510.918.016.8101.448.65.36.110.944.4227.4nr39.340.833.325.8402.6964.31,366.9

2017/18 proj.

Sep 330.713.112.911.497.649.05.06.311.442.2223.0nr37.544.332.825.4373.9942.71,316.5

Oct 331.713.612.911.497.649.05.06.311.442.2223.0nr37.043.633.025.6376.0943.31,319.4

Rice, Milled

2015/16 147.70.50.00.27.20.915.86.836.2104.4145.8nr0.00.70.20.06.1466.4472.6

2016/17 prel. 150.60.50.00.68.40.919.26.937.2110.2144.9nr0.00.70.20.07.1480.0487.1

2017/18 proj.

Sep 148.40.50.00.68.00.920.46.937.0110.0144.0nr0.00.70.20.05.7477.7483.4

Oct 149.10.50.00.67.80.920.46.937.0110.0144.0nr0.00.70.20.05.7478.1483.8

Total Grains

2015/16 735.534.210.135.081.950.120.637.646.7229.6507.4nr60.799.236.353.2429.32,038.22,467.5

2016/17 prel. 723.228.619.950.9116.567.824.538.548.1241.5501.1nr66.1114.037.457.5472.62,135.62,608.2

2017/18 proj.

Sep 720.033.714.534.6110.867.425.439.448.4248.2497.0nr64.0126.036.751.9426.92,117.82,544.7

Oct 724.135.214.733.6110.567.425.439.448.4250.6497.0nr63.5126.336.852.6429.12,125.32,554.3

Oilseeds

2015/16 81.92.31.53.799.060.80.93.511.829.454.5nr17.612.91.024.8115.9405.5521.4

2016/17 prel. 83.32.72.35.5117.062.70.93.712.337.855.0nr20.715.01.126.1126.9446.1573.1

2017/18 proj.

Sep 84.93.12.24.9110.162.51.04.412.736.557.0nr20.716.71.228.1132.8445.8578.6

Oct 85.03.12.24.7110.362.61.04.412.736.557.3nr19.616.11.328.1132.3444.7577.0

Cotton

2015/16 13.92.70.02.95.90.80.07.00.025.922.01.30.00.00.90.012.983.396.2

2016/17 prel. 14.73.20.14.27.00.80.07.70.027.022.81.30.00.00.80.017.289.4106.6

2017/18 proj.

Sep 15.53.80.15.07.50.70.09.20.030.024.51.40.00.01.40.021.899.0120.8

Oct 15.43.80.15.07.81.10.09.20.030.024.51.50.00.01.50.021.199.7120.9

1/ Includes wheat, coarse grains, and rice (milled) shown above.

Foreign Agricultural Service/USDA October 2017Office of Global Analysis

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Table 02 Wheat Area, Yield, and Production

From last month From last year

MMTPercent

Yield

(Metric tons per hectare)

Oct 2015/16 MMT

Country / Region

Area

(Million hectares)

Production

(Million metric tons)

Change in Production

2015/16

Prel.

2016/17 Sep Sep

Prel.

2016/17 Oct

Prel.

2016/17 Sep Oct Percent

2017/18 Proj.2017/18 Proj. 2017/18 Proj.

2015/16

223.66World -0.39-2.960.856.34751.19222.34 220.43 219.57 3.29 3.39 3.38 3.42 735.26 754.15 744.85

19.15United States -24.61-15.460.080.0447.3717.75 15.43 15.21 2.93 3.54 3.07 3.11 56.12 62.83 47.33

204.51Total Foreign 1.8112.500.906.30703.81204.60 205.01 204.35 3.32 3.38 3.40 3.44 679.14 691.32 697.52

none

26.83European Union 3.835.571.462.17151.0427.31 26.64 26.64 5.98 5.33 5.59 5.67 160.48 145.47 148.87

24.14China 0.891.150.000.00130.0024.19 24.20 24.20 5.39 5.33 5.37 5.37 130.19 128.85 130.00

South Asia

31.47 India 13.0811.382.482.3898.3830.22 30.72 30.60 2.75 2.88 3.13 3.22 86.53 87.00 96.00

9.20 Pakistan 2.340.600.000.0026.209.20 9.05 9.05 2.73 2.78 2.90 2.90 25.10 25.60 26.20

2.55 Afghanistan -1.96-0.100.000.005.002.55 2.55 2.55 1.96 2.00 1.96 1.96 5.00 5.10 5.00

0.77 Nepal 3.610.060.000.001.780.77 0.77 0.77 2.25 2.23 2.31 2.31 1.74 1.72 1.78

Former Soviet Union - 12

25.58 Russia 13.069.471.231.0082.0027.00 26.80 26.80 2.39 2.69 3.02 3.06 61.04 72.53 81.00

7.12 Ukraine -1.12-0.300.000.0026.506.45 6.60 6.60 3.83 4.16 4.02 4.02 27.27 26.80 26.50

11.57 Kazakhstan -6.57-0.990.000.0014.0012.37 11.80 11.80 1.19 1.21 1.19 1.19 13.75 14.99 14.00

1.40 Uzbekistan 0.000.000.000.007.201.40 1.40 1.40 5.14 5.14 5.14 5.14 7.20 7.20 7.20

0.73 Belarus 0.000.000.000.002.600.70 0.70 0.70 3.96 3.71 3.71 3.71 2.90 2.60 2.60

9.58Canada -14.83-4.701.890.5027.008.88 9.00 9.00 2.88 3.57 2.94 3.00 27.59 31.70 26.50

South America

3.95 Argentina -4.89-0.900.000.0017.505.56 5.60 5.60 2.86 3.31 3.13 3.13 11.30 18.40 17.50

2.45 Brazil -24.22-1.63-1.92-0.105.102.12 1.95 1.90 2.26 3.17 2.67 2.68 5.54 6.73 5.20

0.33 Uruguay -20.74-0.160.000.000.600.22 0.19 0.19 3.61 3.52 3.24 3.24 1.19 0.76 0.60

11.28Australia -35.82-12.00-4.44-1.0021.5012.40 12.50 12.50 1.97 2.70 1.80 1.72 22.28 33.50 22.50

Africa

1.26 Egypt 0.000.000.000.008.101.26 1.26 1.26 6.43 6.43 6.43 6.43 8.10 8.10 8.10

3.31 Morocco 128.853.527.760.456.252.41 3.30 3.32 2.44 1.13 1.76 1.88 8.06 2.73 5.80

1.60 Ethiopia 7.690.300.000.004.201.60 1.60 1.60 2.19 2.44 2.63 2.63 3.50 3.90 4.20

2.10 Algeria 20.000.40-4.00-0.102.401.30 2.10 1.60 1.29 1.54 1.19 1.50 2.70 2.00 2.50

Middle East

7.86 Turkey 21.743.755.001.0021.007.82 7.80 7.80 2.48 2.21 2.56 2.69 19.50 17.25 20.00

6.80 Iran -3.23-0.500.000.0015.006.80 6.80 6.80 2.21 2.28 2.21 2.21 15.00 15.50 15.00

2.45 Iraq -4.73-0.200.000.004.032.35 2.23 2.23 1.80 1.80 1.81 1.81 4.41 4.23 4.03

1.45 Syria -8.33-0.200.000.002.201.10 1.10 1.10 2.41 2.18 2.00 2.00 3.50 2.40 2.20

0.83Mexico -8.60-0.33-2.74-0.103.550.72 0.68 0.66 4.55 5.39 5.37 5.38 3.75 3.88 3.65

7.93Others -7.59-1.700.490.1020.697.90 7.69 7.69 2.71 2.83 2.68 2.69 21.52 22.39 20.59

World and Selected Countries and Regions

Foreign Agricultural Service/USDA October 2017Office of Global Analysis

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Table 03 Total Coarse Grain Area, Yield, and Production

From last month From last year

MMTPercent

Yield

(Metric tons per hectare)

Oct 2015/16 MMT

Country / Region

Area

(Million hectares)

Production

(Million metric tons)

Change in Production

2015/16

Prel.

2016/17 Sep Sep

Prel.

2016/17 Oct

Prel.

2016/17 Sep Oct Percent

2017/18 Proj.2017/18 Proj. 2017/18 Proj.

2015/16

322.67World -3.48-47.580.222.841,319.36324.06 322.38 322.01 3.90 4.22 4.08 4.10 1,259.64 1,366.94 1,316.52

37.80United States -6.60-26.570.582.18376.0439.20 37.26 36.91 9.71 10.27 10.03 10.19 367.01 402.61 373.86

284.87Total Foreign -2.18-21.010.070.66943.31284.86 285.12 285.10 3.13 3.39 3.31 3.31 892.63 964.32 942.66

none

40.16China -1.93-4.400.000.00223.0438.99 37.27 37.27 5.76 5.83 5.98 5.98 231.40 227.44 223.04

30.21European Union -1.50-2.28-0.14-0.22149.9829.45 29.74 29.74 5.05 5.17 5.05 5.04 152.69 152.26 150.19

South America

17.00 Brazil -3.70-3.750.000.0097.6018.61 18.71 18.71 4.07 5.45 5.22 5.22 69.13 101.35 97.60

5.78 Argentina 0.900.440.000.0049.006.84 7.03 7.03 6.56 7.11 6.97 6.97 37.94 48.57 49.00

Former Soviet Union - 12

15.23 Russia 6.952.84-1.58-0.7043.6015.14 15.15 15.15 2.46 2.69 2.92 2.88 37.43 40.77 44.30

7.62 Ukraine -5.77-2.27-1.33-0.5036.997.83 7.64 7.64 4.38 5.01 4.91 4.84 33.39 39.26 37.49

2.46 Kazakhstan -14.33-0.640.000.003.802.33 2.47 2.47 1.51 1.90 1.54 1.54 3.73 4.43 3.80

0.95 Belarus -2.44-0.100.000.004.001.22 1.15 1.15 3.48 3.37 3.48 3.48 3.32 4.10 4.00

Africa

12.75 Nigeria -2.51-0.493.290.6018.8512.75 13.15 12.65 1.31 1.52 1.39 1.49 16.68 19.34 18.25

2.41 South Africa -28.21-5.090.000.0012.953.18 3.09 3.09 3.61 5.67 4.19 4.19 8.68 18.04 12.95

5.15 Tanzania 9.430.56-2.26-0.156.505.33 5.35 5.35 1.39 1.12 1.24 1.21 7.17 5.94 6.65

3.85 Burkina 5.260.220.000.004.403.85 3.85 3.85 1.00 1.09 1.14 1.14 3.85 4.18 4.40

5.41 Ethiopia 2.640.34-1.51-0.2013.045.64 5.66 5.66 2.41 2.25 2.34 2.30 13.04 12.70 13.24

0.97 Egypt 0.000.000.000.006.860.97 0.97 0.97 7.05 7.05 7.05 7.05 6.86 6.86 6.86

3.95 Mali -18.50-1.110.000.004.903.85 3.85 3.85 1.43 1.56 1.27 1.27 5.67 6.01 4.90

24.51India -4.76-2.110.000.0042.2424.50 24.15 24.15 1.58 1.81 1.75 1.75 38.70 44.35 42.24

Southeast Asia

3.30 Indonesia 4.130.450.000.0011.353.40 3.50 3.50 3.18 3.21 3.24 3.24 10.50 10.90 11.35

2.42 Philippines 2.630.210.000.008.302.68 2.70 2.70 2.88 3.02 3.07 3.07 6.97 8.09 8.30

1.15 Vietnam 0.570.030.000.005.601.20 1.20 1.20 4.55 4.64 4.67 4.67 5.23 5.57 5.60

1.12 Thailand -5.71-0.300.000.004.951.20 1.13 1.13 4.25 4.39 4.39 4.39 4.76 5.25 4.95

9.25Mexico -0.87-0.290.610.2033.039.28 9.25 9.30 3.50 3.59 3.55 3.55 32.38 33.32 32.83

4.88Canada -1.02-0.260.790.2025.564.65 4.75 4.77 5.25 5.55 5.34 5.36 25.62 25.82 25.36

5.58Australia -32.12-5.410.000.0011.435.49 5.27 5.37 2.25 3.07 2.17 2.13 12.54 16.83 11.43

Middle East

4.31 Turkey 25.252.753.800.5013.644.26 4.24 4.29 3.31 2.56 3.10 3.18 14.24 10.89 13.14

1.74 Iran 1.800.100.000.005.661.74 1.84 1.84 3.20 3.20 3.08 3.08 5.56 5.56 5.66

72.73Others -0.42-0.450.880.92106.0770.52 72.03 72.29 1.45 1.51 1.46 1.47 105.18 106.52 105.14

World and Selected Countries and Regions; Coarse Grain includes: Barley, Corn, Millet, Mixed Grains, Oats, Rye and Sorghum

Foreign Agricultural Service/USDA October 2017Office of Global Analysis

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Table 04 Corn Area, Yield, and Production

From last month From last year

MMTPercent

Yield

(Metric tons per hectare)

Oct 2015/16 MMT

Country / Region

Area

(Million hectares)

Production

(Million metric tons)

Change in Production

2015/16

Prel.

2016/17 Sep Sep

Prel.

2016/17 Oct

Prel.

2016/17 Sep Oct Percent

2017/18 Proj.2017/18 Proj. 2017/18 Proj.

2015/16

180.71World -3.40-36.540.606.171,038.80185.67 182.81 184.92 5.38 5.79 5.65 5.62 972.36 1,075.33 1,032.63

32.68United States -5.73-22.050.672.43362.7335.11 33.79 33.64 10.57 10.96 10.66 10.78 345.51 384.78 360.30

148.03Total Foreign -2.10-14.490.563.74676.06150.56 149.02 151.28 4.23 4.59 4.51 4.47 626.85 690.56 672.33

none

38.12China -2.07-4.550.000.00215.0036.76 35.00 35.00 5.89 5.97 6.14 6.14 224.63 219.55 215.00

South America

16.00 Brazil -3.55-3.500.000.0095.0017.60 17.70 17.70 4.19 5.60 5.37 5.37 67.00 98.50 95.00

3.50 Argentina 2.441.000.000.0042.004.90 5.20 5.20 8.29 8.37 8.08 8.08 29.00 41.00 42.00

0.38 Bolivia 670.830.810.000.000.930.09 0.37 0.37 2.47 1.38 2.50 2.50 0.94 0.12 0.93

9.25European Union -2.80-1.710.000.0059.398.58 8.60 8.60 6.35 7.12 6.90 6.90 58.75 61.09 59.39

Africa

2.21 South Africa -28.47-4.980.000.0012.503.00 2.90 2.90 3.71 5.83 4.31 4.31 8.21 17.48 12.50

5.80 Nigeria -2.37-0.2652.173.6010.505.80 3.80 5.80 1.64 1.85 1.82 1.81 9.54 10.76 6.90

2.15 Ethiopia 2.360.15-2.99-0.206.502.20 2.22 2.22 3.16 2.89 3.02 2.93 6.80 6.35 6.70

0.75 Egypt 0.000.000.000.006.000.75 0.75 0.75 8.00 8.00 8.00 8.00 6.00 6.00 6.00

4.00 Tanzania 11.110.54-2.73-0.155.354.20 4.20 4.20 1.50 1.15 1.31 1.27 6.00 4.82 5.50

1.75 Malawi 51.961.230.000.003.601.65 1.70 1.70 1.59 1.44 2.12 2.12 2.78 2.37 3.60

0.96 Zambia 25.550.730.000.003.611.16 1.43 1.43 2.72 2.48 2.52 2.52 2.62 2.87 3.61

2.10 Kenya -5.75-0.180.000.002.952.10 2.10 2.10 1.76 1.49 1.40 1.40 3.69 3.13 2.95

1.10 Uganda 4.170.10-3.85-0.102.501.10 1.10 1.10 2.04 2.18 2.36 2.27 2.25 2.40 2.60

1.53 Zimbabwe 320.901.640.000.002.160.77 1.88 1.88 0.48 0.66 1.15 1.15 0.74 0.51 2.16

Former Soviet Union - 12

4.09 Ukraine -3.57-1.00-1.82-0.5027.004.25 4.50 4.50 5.71 6.59 6.11 6.00 23.33 28.00 27.50

2.67 Russia -0.03-0.01-4.38-0.7015.302.78 3.00 3.00 4.93 5.51 5.33 5.10 13.17 15.31 16.00

South Asia

8.81 India -4.80-1.260.000.0025.009.60 9.50 9.50 2.56 2.74 2.63 2.63 22.57 26.26 25.00

1.21 Pakistan 3.570.200.000.005.801.30 1.35 1.35 4.38 4.31 4.30 4.30 5.30 5.60 5.80

0.85 Nepal 0.000.000.000.002.000.90 0.90 0.90 2.35 2.22 2.22 2.22 2.00 2.00 2.00

Southeast Asia

3.30 Indonesia 4.130.450.000.0011.353.40 3.50 3.50 3.18 3.21 3.24 3.24 10.50 10.90 11.35

2.42 Philippines 2.630.210.000.008.302.68 2.70 2.70 2.88 3.02 3.07 3.07 6.97 8.09 8.30

1.15 Vietnam 0.570.030.000.005.601.20 1.20 1.20 4.55 4.64 4.67 4.67 5.23 5.57 5.60

1.09 Thailand -5.77-0.300.000.004.901.17 1.10 1.10 4.31 4.45 4.45 4.45 4.70 5.20 4.90

7.21Mexico -4.95-1.370.770.2026.207.45 7.20 7.25 3.60 3.70 3.61 3.61 25.97 27.57 26.00

1.31Canada 6.820.901.440.2014.101.33 1.40 1.42 10.33 9.96 9.93 9.93 13.56 13.20 13.90

0.62Turkey 9.090.509.090.506.000.57 0.55 0.60 10.00 9.65 10.00 10.00 6.20 5.50 5.50

23.71Others -6.42-3.881.600.8956.5423.28 23.17 23.31 2.46 2.60 2.40 2.43 58.40 60.42 55.65

World and Selected Countries and Regions

Foreign Agricultural Service/USDA October 2017Office of Global Analysis

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Table 05 Barley Area, Yield, and Production

From last month From last year

MMTPercent

Yield

(Metric tons per hectare)

Oct 2015/16 MMT

Country / Region

Area

(Million hectares)

Production

(Million metric tons)

Change in Production

2015/16

Prel.

2016/17 Sep Sep

Prel.

2016/17 Oct

Prel.

2016/17 Sep Oct Percent

2017/18 Proj.2017/18 Proj. 2017/18 Proj.

2015/16

50.33World -4.07-6.030.100.14142.0048.25 47.79 47.71 2.97 3.07 2.97 2.98 149.64 148.03 141.86

1.28United States -29.01-1.261.210.043.091.04 0.79 0.79 3.72 4.19 3.87 3.91 4.75 4.35 3.05

49.05Total Foreign -3.31-4.760.070.10138.9147.21 47.00 46.92 2.95 3.04 2.95 2.96 144.89 143.67 138.81

none

12.25European Union -1.90-1.140.570.3358.7712.31 12.39 12.39 5.07 4.87 4.72 4.74 62.10 59.90 58.43

Former Soviet Union - 12

8.04 Russia 16.832.950.000.0020.507.96 7.90 7.90 2.12 2.21 2.59 2.59 17.08 17.55 20.50

3.00 Ukraine -12.12-1.200.000.008.703.05 2.65 2.65 2.92 3.25 3.28 3.28 8.75 9.90 8.70

2.04 Kazakhstan -16.43-0.530.000.002.701.89 2.05 2.05 1.31 1.71 1.32 1.32 2.68 3.23 2.70

0.50 Belarus -9.52-0.200.000.001.900.60 0.55 0.55 3.70 3.50 3.45 3.45 1.85 2.10 1.90

0.36 Azerbaijan 0.000.000.000.000.950.35 0.35 0.35 2.95 2.71 2.71 2.71 1.06 0.95 0.95

2.35Canada -17.61-1.550.000.007.252.22 2.10 2.10 3.49 3.96 3.45 3.45 8.23 8.80 7.25

4.11Australia -40.36-5.410.000.008.004.04 3.80 3.90 2.19 3.32 2.11 2.05 8.99 13.41 8.00

Middle East

3.40 Turkey 47.372.250.000.007.003.40 3.40 3.40 2.18 1.40 2.06 2.06 7.40 4.75 7.00

1.30 Iran 3.330.100.000.003.101.30 1.40 1.40 2.31 2.31 2.21 2.21 3.00 3.00 3.10

1.25 Iraq -17.74-0.280.000.001.281.20 1.03 1.03 1.24 1.29 1.24 1.24 1.55 1.55 1.28

0.70 Syria -1.54-0.010.000.000.320.45 0.45 0.45 0.71 0.72 0.71 0.71 0.50 0.33 0.32

Africa

1.20 Ethiopia 0.980.020.000.002.071.20 1.20 1.20 1.63 1.71 1.73 1.73 1.95 2.05 2.07

2.06 Morocco 222.581.380.000.002.001.21 1.80 1.80 1.65 0.51 1.11 1.11 3.40 0.62 2.00

1.00 Algeria -3.20-0.03-19.33-0.230.970.90 0.95 0.76 1.30 1.11 1.26 1.27 1.30 1.00 1.20

0.38 Tunisia 33.330.130.000.000.500.28 0.38 0.38 0.97 1.34 1.33 1.33 0.37 0.38 0.50

0.09 South Africa -25.14-0.090.000.000.270.09 0.09 0.09 3.53 3.98 2.94 2.94 0.33 0.35 0.27

South America

1.25 Argentina -16.67-0.550.000.002.750.87 0.73 0.73 3.95 3.79 3.77 3.77 4.94 3.30 2.75

0.09 Uruguay -14.45-0.100.000.000.580.19 0.14 0.14 3.86 3.57 4.14 4.14 0.36 0.68 0.58

0.13 Brazil -5.36-0.020.000.000.300.11 0.11 0.11 2.07 3.02 2.86 2.86 0.26 0.32 0.30

0.71India -8.42-0.160.000.001.740.70 0.65 0.65 2.28 2.71 2.68 2.68 1.61 1.90 1.74

0.45China 5.000.100.000.002.100.50 0.52 0.52 4.18 4.00 4.04 4.04 1.87 2.00 2.10

0.32Mexico -24.85-0.240.000.000.740.33 0.30 0.30 2.33 2.96 2.45 2.45 0.74 0.98 0.74

0.28Afghanistan -2.38-0.010.000.000.410.28 0.28 0.28 1.43 1.50 1.46 1.46 0.40 0.42 0.41

1.79Others -4.23-0.180.000.004.031.80 1.80 1.80 2.33 2.34 2.24 2.24 4.18 4.21 4.03

World and Selected Countries and Regions

Foreign Agricultural Service/USDA October 2017Office of Global Analysis

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Table 06 Oats Area, Yield, and Production

From last month From last year

MMTPercent

Yield

(Metric tons per hectare)

Oct 2015/16 MMT

Country / Region

Area

(Million hectares)

Production

(Million metric tons)

Change in Production

2015/16

Prel.

2016/17 Sep Sep

Prel.

2016/17 Oct

Prel.

2016/17 Sep Oct Percent

2017/18 Proj.2017/18 Proj. 2017/18 Proj.

2015/16

9.58World -3.19-0.75-0.68-0.1622.859.48 9.47 9.47 2.34 2.49 2.43 2.41 22.40 23.60 23.01

0.52United States -23.72-0.22-8.08-0.060.720.40 0.36 0.32 2.52 2.37 2.19 2.21 1.30 0.94 0.78

9.06Total Foreign -2.34-0.53-0.42-0.0922.139.09 9.11 9.14 2.33 2.49 2.44 2.42 21.10 22.66 22.23

none

2.50European Union -0.92-0.07-1.15-0.097.962.56 2.59 2.62 3.02 3.14 3.11 3.04 7.55 8.03 8.05

Former Soviet Union - 12

2.83 Russia 3.160.150.000.004.902.75 2.80 2.80 1.60 1.73 1.75 1.75 4.53 4.75 4.90

0.22 Ukraine 0.000.000.000.000.500.21 0.20 0.20 2.29 2.40 2.56 2.56 0.50 0.50 0.50

0.15 Belarus 25.000.100.000.000.500.14 0.15 0.15 3.26 2.86 3.33 3.33 0.49 0.40 0.50

0.20 Kazakhstan -19.40-0.070.000.000.270.21 0.22 0.22 1.20 1.60 1.26 1.26 0.24 0.34 0.27

1.06Canada 15.810.510.000.003.700.91 1.07 1.07 3.25 3.52 3.46 3.46 3.43 3.20 3.70

South America

0.24 Argentina -15.92-0.130.000.000.660.32 0.30 0.30 2.30 2.45 2.24 2.24 0.55 0.79 0.66

0.29 Brazil -15.94-0.130.000.000.700.29 0.29 0.29 2.69 2.84 2.37 2.37 0.78 0.83 0.70

0.11 Chile -6.03-0.040.000.000.670.14 0.14 0.14 4.94 5.20 4.75 4.75 0.53 0.71 0.67

0.03 Uruguay -7.320.000.000.000.040.03 0.03 0.03 1.38 1.58 1.52 1.52 0.04 0.04 0.04

Oceania

0.82 Australia -43.94-0.820.000.001.050.91 0.70 0.70 1.58 2.05 1.50 1.50 1.30 1.87 1.05

0.01 New Zealand -5.410.000.000.000.040.01 0.01 0.01 4.83 5.29 5.00 5.00 0.03 0.04 0.04

0.18China 2.700.010.000.000.190.19 0.19 0.19 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 0.18 0.19 0.19

Africa

0.09 Algeria 0.000.000.000.000.110.09 0.09 0.09 1.29 1.29 1.29 1.29 0.11 0.11 0.11

0.05 Morocco 0.000.000.000.000.070.05 0.05 0.05 1.19 1.44 1.44 1.44 0.06 0.07 0.07

0.03 South Africa 0.000.000.000.000.060.03 0.03 0.03 1.83 1.83 1.83 1.83 0.06 0.06 0.06

Other Europe

0.06 Norway -9.09-0.030.000.000.300.08 0.08 0.08 4.54 4.34 4.00 4.00 0.29 0.33 0.30

0.03 Serbia 0.000.000.000.000.070.03 0.03 0.03 2.20 2.17 2.17 2.17 0.07 0.07 0.07

0.01 Albania 0.000.000.000.000.030.01 0.01 0.01 2.08 2.08 2.08 2.08 0.03 0.03 0.03

0.01 Bosnia and Herzegovina -37.93-0.010.000.000.020.01 0.01 0.01 2.67 2.90 2.57 2.57 0.02 0.03 0.02

0.09Turkey 0.000.000.000.000.210.09 0.09 0.09 2.33 2.33 2.33 2.33 0.21 0.21 0.21

0.05Mexico 25.000.020.000.000.090.04 0.05 0.05 1.81 1.89 1.80 1.80 0.09 0.07 0.09

0.01Others 0.000.000.000.000.030.01 0.01 0.01 1.93 1.79 1.79 1.79 0.03 0.03 0.03

World and Selected Countries and Regions

Foreign Agricultural Service/USDA October 2017Office of Global Analysis

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Table 07 Rye Area, Yield, and Production

From last month From last year

MMTPercent

Yield

(Metric tons per hectare)

Oct 2015/16 MMT

Country / Region

Area

(Million hectares)

Production

(Million metric tons)

Change in Production

2015/16

Prel.

2016/17 Sep Sep

Prel.

2016/17 Oct

Prel.

2016/17 Sep Oct Percent

2017/18 Proj.2017/18 Proj. 2017/18 Proj.

2015/16

4.15World -0.78-0.10-2.18-0.2812.454.22 4.26 4.16 2.93 2.97 2.99 2.99 12.17 12.55 12.73

0.15United States -28.07-0.10-20.90-0.070.250.17 0.17 0.12 1.99 2.04 1.79 2.12 0.30 0.34 0.31

4.00Total Foreign -0.020.00-1.71-0.2112.214.05 4.09 4.05 2.97 3.01 3.04 3.02 11.88 12.21 12.42

none

1.96European Union 0.800.06-2.73-0.217.551.90 2.01 1.97 3.99 3.94 3.86 3.83 7.83 7.49 7.76

Former Soviet Union - 12

1.25 Russia -1.50-0.040.000.002.501.25 1.20 1.20 1.67 2.03 2.08 2.08 2.08 2.54 2.50

0.25 Belarus 0.000.000.000.000.800.33 0.30 0.30 3.01 2.46 2.67 2.67 0.75 0.80 0.80

0.15 Ukraine 15.380.060.000.000.450.14 0.17 0.17 2.59 2.71 2.65 2.65 0.39 0.39 0.45

0.04 Kazakhstan -26.83-0.010.000.000.030.04 0.02 0.02 0.97 1.14 1.25 1.25 0.04 0.04 0.03

0.14Turkey 0.000.000.000.000.350.14 0.14 0.14 2.50 2.50 2.50 2.50 0.35 0.35 0.35

0.10Canada -22.89-0.100.000.000.320.13 0.12 0.12 2.38 3.22 2.78 2.78 0.23 0.42 0.32

South America

0.00 Chile 0.000.000.000.000.010.00 0.00 0.00 5.00 5.00 5.00 5.00 0.01 0.01 0.01

0.03 Argentina 3.800.000.000.000.080.04 0.04 0.04 1.79 1.93 2.10 2.10 0.06 0.08 0.08

Other Europe

0.00 Bosnia and Herzegovina -15.380.000.000.000.010.00 0.00 0.00 2.50 3.25 2.75 2.75 0.01 0.01 0.01

0.00 Switzerland 0.000.000.000.000.010.00 0.00 0.00 5.50 5.50 5.50 5.50 0.01 0.01 0.01

0.00 Serbia 0.000.000.000.000.010.00 0.00 0.00 2.50 2.50 2.50 2.50 0.01 0.01 0.01

0.04Australia 4.000.000.000.000.030.04 0.04 0.04 0.61 0.63 0.65 0.65 0.02 0.03 0.03

0.04Others 50.000.020.000.000.060.03 0.04 0.04 2.24 1.21 1.71 1.71 0.08 0.04 0.06

World and Selected Countries and Regions

Foreign Agricultural Service/USDA October 2017Office of Global Analysis

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Table 08 Sorghum Area, Yield, and Production

From last month From last year

MMTPercent

Yield

(Metric tons per hectare)

Oct 2015/16 MMT

Country / Region

Area

(Million hectares)

Production

(Million metric tons)

Change in Production

2015/16

Prel.

2016/17 Sep Sep

Prel.

2016/17 Oct

Prel.

2016/17 Sep Oct Percent

2017/18 Proj.2017/18 Proj. 2017/18 Proj.

2015/16

43.88World -3.78-2.390.330.2060.6641.98 41.73 41.94 1.40 1.50 1.45 1.45 61.41 63.04 60.46

3.18United States -24.11-2.94-1.67-0.169.262.49 2.15 2.04 4.77 4.89 4.38 4.53 15.16 12.20 9.42

40.70Total Foreign 1.090.560.700.3651.4039.48 39.58 39.89 1.14 1.29 1.29 1.29 46.25 50.84 51.04

none

Africa

5.45 Nigeria -4.89-0.340.000.006.555.45 5.35 5.35 1.04 1.26 1.22 1.22 5.66 6.89 6.55

1.70 Ethiopia 4.580.170.000.003.771.80 1.80 1.80 2.29 2.00 2.09 2.09 3.90 3.60 3.77

8.00 Sudan -23.26-1.360.000.004.508.00 8.00 8.00 0.30 0.73 0.56 0.56 2.39 5.86 4.50

1.80 Burkina 7.140.120.000.001.801.80 1.80 1.80 0.80 0.93 1.00 1.00 1.44 1.68 1.80

1.25 Mali -6.74-0.090.000.001.301.25 1.25 1.25 1.22 1.12 1.04 1.04 1.53 1.39 1.30

3.70 Niger -5.97-0.110.000.001.703.70 3.70 3.70 0.51 0.49 0.46 0.46 1.88 1.81 1.70

0.75 Cameroon 0.000.000.000.001.150.75 0.75 0.75 1.53 1.53 1.53 1.53 1.15 1.15 1.15

0.80 Tanzania 0.000.000.000.000.800.80 0.80 0.80 1.03 1.00 1.00 1.00 0.82 0.80 0.80

0.14 Egypt 0.000.000.000.000.750.14 0.14 0.14 5.36 5.36 5.36 5.36 0.75 0.75 0.75

0.35 Uganda 6.250.020.000.000.340.35 0.35 0.35 0.91 0.91 0.97 0.97 0.32 0.32 0.34

0.25 Ghana 7.690.020.000.000.280.25 0.25 0.25 0.91 1.04 1.12 1.12 0.23 0.26 0.28

0.37 Mozambique 8.330.028.330.020.260.40 0.40 0.40 0.60 0.60 0.60 0.65 0.22 0.24 0.24

0.05 South Africa -16.67-0.030.000.000.130.04 0.05 0.05 1.45 3.75 2.50 2.50 0.07 0.15 0.13

1.68Mexico 27.661.300.000.006.001.46 1.70 1.70 3.33 3.22 3.53 3.53 5.59 4.70 6.00

South America

0.75 Argentina 2.940.100.000.003.500.70 0.76 0.76 4.50 4.86 4.61 4.61 3.38 3.40 3.50

0.58 Brazil -5.94-0.100.000.001.600.61 0.61 0.61 1.86 2.80 2.62 2.62 1.08 1.70 1.60

South Asia

6.08 India -1.53-0.070.000.004.505.10 5.00 5.00 0.70 0.90 0.90 0.90 4.24 4.57 4.50

0.24 Pakistan 0.000.000.000.000.130.20 0.20 0.20 0.60 0.65 0.65 0.65 0.15 0.13 0.13

0.57China 1.320.050.000.003.850.76 0.78 0.78 4.79 5.00 4.94 4.94 2.75 3.80 3.85

0.52Australia 86.820.880.000.001.900.39 0.63 0.63 3.44 2.63 3.02 3.02 1.79 1.02 1.90

0.13European Union 4.230.032.620.020.670.12 0.12 0.12 5.27 5.41 5.45 5.50 0.67 0.64 0.65

5.54Others -0.84-0.055.720.325.935.42 5.15 5.45 1.13 1.10 1.09 1.09 6.26 5.98 5.61

World and Selected Countries and Regions

Foreign Agricultural Service/USDA October 2017Office of Global Analysis

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World and Selected Countries and Regions

Table 09 Rice Area, Yield, and Production

From last month From last year

MMTPercent

Yield

(Metric tons per hectare)

Oct 2015/16 MMT

Country / Region

Area

(Million hectares)

Production

(Million metric tons)

Change in Production

2015/16

Prel.

2016/17 Sep Sep

Prel.

2016/17 Oct

Prel.

2016/17 Sep Oct Percent

2017/18 Proj.2017/18 Proj. 2017/18 Proj.

2015/16

159.46World -0.68-3.330.090.44483.80160.78 161.43 161.85 4.42 4.52 4.47 4.46 472.57 487.13 483.36

1.05United States -20.33-1.45-0.65-0.045.671.25 0.97 0.97 8.38 8.11 8.41 8.37 6.13 7.12 5.71

158.42Total Foreign -0.39-1.880.100.48478.13159.53 160.46 160.88 4.39 4.49 4.44 4.44 466.44 480.01 477.65

none

East Asia

30.21 China -0.59-0.850.000.00144.0030.16 30.00 30.00 6.89 6.86 6.86 6.86 145.77 144.85 144.00

1.59 Japan -2.31-0.180.000.007.601.57 1.56 1.56 6.64 6.81 6.69 6.69 7.67 7.78 7.60

0.80 Korea, South -7.08-0.300.000.003.900.78 0.74 0.74 7.22 7.22 7.01 7.01 4.33 4.20 3.90

0.48 Korea, North -3.13-0.05-3.13-0.051.550.50 0.50 0.50 4.21 4.92 4.92 4.77 1.30 1.60 1.60

South Asia

43.50 India -0.14-0.150.000.00110.0043.19 44.50 44.50 3.60 3.83 3.71 3.71 104.41 110.15 110.00

11.77 Bangladesh -4.56-1.58-1.49-0.5033.0011.75 11.50 11.30 4.40 4.42 4.37 4.38 34.50 34.58 33.50

2.74 Pakistan 0.730.050.000.006.902.69 2.70 2.70 3.72 3.82 3.83 3.83 6.80 6.85 6.90

1.50 Nepal 0.810.030.000.003.251.50 1.50 1.50 2.87 3.23 3.25 3.25 2.86 3.22 3.25

1.23 Sri Lanka 45.220.900.000.002.900.68 1.10 1.10 3.95 4.35 3.88 3.88 3.29 2.00 2.90

Southeast Asia

12.10 Indonesia -0.40-0.150.000.0037.0012.24 12.20 12.20 4.71 4.78 4.78 4.78 36.20 37.15 37.00

7.70 Vietnam 1.710.480.000.0028.457.73 7.73 7.73 5.73 5.79 5.89 5.89 27.58 27.97 28.45

9.44 Thailand 6.251.200.000.0020.4010.25 10.70 10.70 2.53 2.84 2.89 2.89 15.80 19.20 20.40

6.90 Burma 0.800.100.000.0012.607.00 7.00 7.00 2.75 2.79 2.81 2.81 12.16 12.50 12.60

4.52 Philippines -4.16-0.490.000.0011.204.72 4.50 4.50 3.86 3.93 3.95 3.95 11.00 11.69 11.20

3.03 Cambodia 1.010.050.000.005.003.09 3.12 3.12 2.50 2.51 2.51 2.51 4.85 4.95 5.00

0.97 Laos 2.560.050.000.002.000.97 0.98 0.98 3.17 3.19 3.24 3.24 1.93 1.95 2.00

0.69 Malaysia 0.000.000.000.001.820.70 0.70 0.70 4.01 4.03 4.03 4.03 1.80 1.82 1.82

South America

2.01 Brazil -6.70-0.56-2.25-0.187.821.98 2.10 2.00 5.28 6.22 5.60 5.75 7.21 8.38 8.00

0.42 Peru 5.200.120.000.002.450.42 0.45 0.45 7.56 7.95 7.93 7.93 2.17 2.33 2.45

Africa

0.65 Egypt -10.42-0.507.500.304.300.85 0.70 0.76 8.92 8.18 8.28 8.18 4.00 4.80 4.00

1.45 Madagascar -16.13-0.390.000.002.051.48 1.43 1.43 2.57 2.59 2.25 2.25 2.38 2.44 2.05

3.10 Nigeria 0.000.0031.820.883.653.20 2.58 3.20 1.81 1.81 1.71 1.81 3.53 3.65 2.77

0.44European Union 0.680.010.000.002.080.44 0.44 0.44 6.78 6.76 6.79 6.79 2.05 2.07 2.08

0.63Iran 0.000.000.000.001.780.63 0.63 0.63 4.32 4.32 4.32 4.32 1.78 1.78 1.78

10.58Others 1.460.320.110.0222.4211.03 11.12 11.16 3.03 3.04 3.06 3.05 21.06 22.10 22.40

Yield is on a rough basis, before the milling process. Production is on a milled basis, after the milling process.

Foreign Agricultural Service/USDA October 2017Office of Global Analysis

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World and Selected Countries and Regions

Table 10 Total Oilseed Area, Yield, and Production

From last month From last year

MMTPercent

Yield

(Metric tons per hectare)

Oct 2015/16 MMT

Country / Region

Area

(Million hectares)

Production

(Million metric tons)

Change in Production

2015/16

Prel.

2016/17 Sep Sep

Prel.

2016/17 Oct

Prel.

2016/17 Sep Oct Percent

2017/18 Proj.2017/18 Proj. 2017/18 Proj.

2015/16

--World Total 0.693.93-0.28-1.61576.99-- -- -- -- -- -- -- 521.35 573.07 578.60

--Total Foreign -0.32-1.41-0.25-1.10444.72-- -- -- -- -- -- -- 405.47 446.13 445.82

--Oilseed, Copra 2.380.130.000.005.54-- -- -- -- -- -- -- 5.32 5.41 5.54

--Oilseed, Palm Kernel 7.421.250.000.0018.04-- -- -- -- -- -- -- 15.96 16.80 18.04

none

232.24Major OilSeeds 0.462.55-0.29-1.61553.41233.55 245.30 245.90 2.15 2.36 2.26 2.25 500.07 550.86 555.01

38.40United States 4.215.34-0.38-0.50132.2739.25 42.65 42.94 3.02 3.23 3.11 3.08 115.88 126.94 132.77

none

193.84Foreign Oilseeds -0.66-2.79-0.26-1.10421.14194.30 202.65 202.97 1.98 2.18 2.08 2.07 384.19 423.92 422.24

62.18South America -3.78-7.420.140.27188.8761.75 64.00 64.20 2.82 3.18 2.95 2.94 175.14 196.29 188.60

34.43 Brazil -5.79-6.770.130.14110.1635.03 35.96 36.01 2.87 3.34 3.06 3.06 98.91 116.93 110.02

21.50 Argentina -0.13-0.080.200.1362.6120.68 21.68 21.83 2.83 3.03 2.88 2.87 60.80 62.69 62.48

3.41 Paraguay -11.71-1.270.000.009.543.50 3.52 3.52 2.75 3.09 2.71 2.71 9.39 10.80 9.54

1.48 Bolivia 62.141.350.000.003.521.23 1.57 1.57 2.25 1.77 2.25 2.25 3.34 2.17 3.52

1.18 Uruguay -20.74-0.680.000.002.601.13 1.10 1.10 1.92 2.90 2.37 2.37 2.27 3.28 2.60

22.74China 4.092.250.530.3057.2522.93 23.68 23.73 2.39 2.40 2.41 2.41 54.45 55.00 56.95

38.32South Asia -1.68-0.690.000.0040.4737.56 38.74 38.74 0.85 1.10 1.04 1.04 32.50 41.16 40.47

34.75 India -3.61-1.340.000.0035.6934.43 35.22 35.22 0.82 1.08 1.01 1.01 28.64 37.03 35.69

3.22 Pakistan 17.380.650.000.004.362.77 3.17 3.17 1.07 1.34 1.38 1.38 3.45 3.71 4.36

11.84European Union 4.831.540.270.0933.4511.76 12.10 12.13 2.74 2.71 2.76 2.76 32.44 31.91 33.36

21.25Former Soviet Union - 12 -0.12-0.05-3.97-1.6539.8822.49 23.78 23.77 1.62 1.78 1.75 1.68 34.31 39.93 41.53

9.43 Russia 7.411.11-3.30-0.5516.1010.20 10.95 10.95 1.37 1.47 1.52 1.47 12.88 14.99 16.65

8.31 Ukraine -5.45-1.13-5.31-1.1019.608.70 9.15 9.15 2.11 2.38 2.26 2.14 17.58 20.73 20.70

1.29 Uzbekistan -2.00-0.030.000.001.371.18 1.18 1.18 1.16 1.19 1.16 1.16 1.49 1.40 1.37

10.56Canada 7.792.030.000.0028.1510.33 12.15 12.15 2.35 2.53 2.32 2.32 24.82 26.11 28.15

18.35Africa 0.860.140.000.0016.8618.31 18.69 18.69 0.89 0.91 0.90 0.90 16.34 16.71 16.86

3.46 Nigeria 0.080.000.000.003.783.48 3.47 3.47 1.09 1.09 1.09 1.09 3.77 3.77 3.78

1.25 South Africa -7.93-0.190.000.002.161.29 1.43 1.43 1.23 1.82 1.52 1.52 1.54 2.35 2.16

1.24 Tanzania -1.30-0.010.000.000.911.19 1.19 1.19 0.74 0.77 0.76 0.76 0.92 0.92 0.91

3.30Southeast Asia -0.020.000.000.004.643.29 3.28 3.28 1.41 1.41 1.41 1.41 4.65 4.64 4.64

1.06 Indonesia -2.72-0.050.000.001.641.03 1.01 1.01 1.62 1.64 1.62 1.62 1.71 1.69 1.64

1.87 Burma 1.130.030.000.002.241.88 1.88 1.88 1.18 1.18 1.19 1.19 2.22 2.21 2.24

2.45Australia -15.56-0.86-3.99-0.194.672.96 3.15 3.16 1.52 1.87 1.54 1.48 3.74 5.53 4.87

1.02Turkey 17.380.470.000.003.141.10 1.20 1.20 2.24 2.43 2.61 2.61 2.28 2.68 3.14

1.83Others -4.96-0.202.250.083.771.82 1.89 1.93 1.92 2.19 1.95 1.95 3.50 3.97 3.69

World Total and Total Foreign: (Major Oilseeds plus copra and palm kernel) Major Oilseeds: (soybeans, sunflowerseeds, peanuts(inshell), cottonseed and

rapeseed)

Foreign Agricultural Service/USDA October 2017Office of Global Analysis

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Table 11 Soybean Area, Yield, and Production

From last month From last year

MMTPercent

Yield

(Metric tons per hectare)

Oct 2015/16 MMT

Country / Region

Area

(Million hectares)

Production

(Million metric tons)

Change in Production

2015/16

Prel.

2016/17 Sep Sep

Prel.

2016/17 Oct

Prel.

2016/17 Sep Oct Percent

2017/18 Proj.2017/18 Proj. 2017/18 Proj.

2015/16

120.42World -0.96-3.37-0.16-0.55347.88120.30 125.73 126.11 2.61 2.92 2.77 2.76 313.71 351.25 348.44

33.08United States 3.133.66-0.01-0.01120.5833.47 35.91 36.21 3.23 3.49 3.36 3.33 106.86 116.92 120.59

87.35Total Foreign -3.00-7.03-0.24-0.54227.3086.83 89.83 89.91 2.37 2.70 2.54 2.53 206.85 234.33 227.84

none

South America

33.30 Brazil -6.22-7.100.000.00107.0033.90 34.70 34.70 2.90 3.37 3.08 3.08 96.50 114.10 107.00

19.53 Argentina -1.38-0.800.000.0057.0018.35 19.10 19.10 2.91 3.15 2.98 2.98 56.80 57.80 57.00

3.26 Paraguay -11.86-1.270.000.009.403.39 3.40 3.40 2.82 3.15 2.76 2.76 9.22 10.67 9.40

1.34 Bolivia 62.081.310.000.003.421.13 1.44 1.44 2.40 1.86 2.38 2.38 3.21 2.11 3.42

1.14 Uruguay -21.54-0.690.000.002.521.09 1.05 1.05 1.94 2.95 2.41 2.41 2.21 3.21 2.52

East Asia

6.51 China 10.081.301.430.2014.207.20 7.80 7.85 1.81 1.79 1.79 1.81 11.79 12.90 14.00

0.06 Korea, South 60.000.050.000.000.120.05 0.07 0.07 1.82 1.53 1.79 1.79 0.10 0.08 0.12

0.16 Korea, North 0.000.000.000.000.200.15 0.15 0.15 1.39 1.33 1.33 1.33 0.22 0.20 0.20

0.14 Japan 10.170.020.000.000.260.15 0.16 0.16 1.70 1.57 1.68 1.68 0.24 0.24 0.26

11.67India -13.04-1.500.000.0010.0011.40 10.50 10.50 0.59 1.01 0.95 0.95 6.93 11.50 10.00

2.20Canada 26.881.740.000.008.202.18 2.88 2.88 2.90 2.97 2.85 2.85 6.37 6.46 8.20

Former Soviet Union - 12

2.08 Russia 18.060.57-5.13-0.203.702.12 2.50 2.50 1.30 1.48 1.56 1.48 2.71 3.13 3.90

2.14 Ukraine -6.54-0.28-13.04-0.604.001.85 2.00 2.00 1.84 2.31 2.30 2.00 3.93 4.28 4.60

0.87European Union 4.250.100.000.002.480.80 0.89 0.89 2.68 2.99 2.80 2.80 2.32 2.38 2.48

Southeast Asia

0.44 Indonesia -4.42-0.030.000.000.540.43 0.42 0.42 1.32 1.31 1.29 1.29 0.58 0.57 0.54

0.09 Vietnam 5.100.010.000.000.170.10 0.11 0.11 1.57 1.57 1.57 1.57 0.15 0.16 0.17

0.03 Thailand -3.510.000.000.000.060.03 0.03 0.03 1.76 1.78 1.77 1.77 0.06 0.06 0.06

0.15 Burma 0.000.000.000.000.160.15 0.15 0.15 1.07 1.07 1.07 1.07 0.16 0.16 0.16

0.22Serbia -46.15-0.300.000.000.350.19 0.20 0.20 2.20 3.51 1.75 1.75 0.48 0.65 0.35

0.25Mexico -5.88-0.0314.290.060.480.28 0.24 0.27 1.36 1.81 1.75 1.78 0.33 0.51 0.42

Africa

0.50 South Africa -16.41-0.220.000.001.100.57 0.65 0.65 1.48 2.29 1.69 1.69 0.74 1.32 1.10

0.70 Nigeria 0.000.000.000.000.680.70 0.70 0.70 0.96 0.96 0.96 0.96 0.68 0.68 0.68

0.11 Zambia 30.970.080.000.000.350.14 0.23 0.23 2.02 1.94 1.56 1.56 0.23 0.27 0.35

0.05 Uganda 0.000.000.000.000.030.05 0.05 0.05 0.60 0.60 0.60 0.60 0.03 0.03 0.03

Middle East

0.08 Iran 0.000.000.000.000.200.08 0.08 0.08 2.44 2.44 2.44 2.44 0.20 0.20 0.20

0.03 Turkey -15.00-0.020.000.000.090.03 0.02 0.02 3.70 3.33 3.86 3.86 0.10 0.10 0.09

0.32Others 3.500.020.000.000.620.33 0.33 0.33 1.86 1.84 1.86 1.86 0.59 0.60 0.62

World and Selected Countries and Regions

Foreign Agricultural Service/USDA October 2017Office of Global Analysis

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Table 12 Cottonseed Area, Yield, and Production

From last month From last year

MMTPercent

Yield

(Metric tons per hectare)

Oct 2015/16 MMT

Country / Region

Area

(Million hectares)

Production

(Million metric tons)

Change in Production

2015/16

Prel.

2016/17 Sep Sep

Prel.

2016/17 Oct

Prel.

2016/17 Sep Oct Percent

2017/18 Proj.2017/18 Proj. 2017/18 Proj.

2015/16

29.98World 13.535.280.350.1644.3028.92 32.26 32.45 1.19 1.35 1.37 1.37 35.78 39.02 44.15

3.27United States 24.331.19-2.81-0.186.063.85 4.66 4.62 1.12 1.27 1.34 1.31 3.67 4.87 6.23

26.71Total Foreign 11.994.090.870.3338.2525.07 27.61 27.83 1.20 1.36 1.37 1.37 32.12 34.15 37.92

none

South Asia

12.30 India 11.111.270.000.0012.7410.85 12.20 12.20 0.89 1.06 1.04 1.04 11.00 11.46 12.74

2.80 Pakistan 19.400.650.000.004.002.40 2.80 2.80 1.09 1.40 1.43 1.43 3.05 3.35 4.00

3.05China 9.090.800.000.009.602.90 3.13 3.13 2.82 3.03 3.07 3.07 8.60 8.80 9.60

Former Soviet Union - 12

1.29 Uzbekistan -2.00-0.030.000.001.371.18 1.18 1.18 1.16 1.19 1.16 1.16 1.49 1.40 1.37

0.50 Turkmenistan 13.710.070.000.000.590.55 0.55 0.55 1.14 0.95 1.08 1.08 0.57 0.52 0.59

0.15 Tajikistan 0.000.000.000.000.150.17 0.17 0.17 1.08 0.93 0.90 0.90 0.16 0.15 0.15

0.10 Kazakhstan -3.570.000.000.000.110.12 0.14 0.13 0.80 0.97 0.80 0.86 0.08 0.11 0.11

South America

0.96 Brazil 14.150.325.710.142.590.94 1.05 1.10 2.03 2.41 2.33 2.35 1.94 2.27 2.45

0.38 Argentina 39.210.1149.420.130.390.24 0.30 0.45 0.81 1.16 0.86 0.86 0.31 0.28 0.26

Middle East

0.37 Turkey 19.050.200.000.001.250.40 0.46 0.46 2.35 2.63 2.72 2.72 0.87 1.05 1.25

0.04 Syria -18.75-0.020.000.000.070.04 0.04 0.04 1.60 2.00 1.86 1.86 0.06 0.08 0.07

0.10 Iran -8.16-0.010.000.000.090.10 0.10 0.10 0.98 0.98 0.90 0.90 0.10 0.10 0.09

0.31Australia 19.230.250.000.001.550.58 0.48 0.48 2.82 2.24 3.23 3.23 0.88 1.30 1.55

0.30European Union 13.700.068.990.040.470.26 0.29 0.31 1.37 1.58 1.51 1.51 0.41 0.42 0.43

Africa

0.66 Burkina 7.800.030.000.000.390.70 0.76 0.76 0.47 0.51 0.51 0.51 0.31 0.36 0.39

0.55 Mali 6.670.020.000.000.370.66 0.70 0.70 0.51 0.53 0.53 0.53 0.28 0.35 0.37

0.22 Cameroon 6.380.020.000.000.250.23 0.23 0.23 1.17 1.04 1.11 1.11 0.26 0.24 0.25

0.40 Cote d'Ivoire 11.980.020.000.000.190.35 0.36 0.36 0.41 0.48 0.52 0.52 0.17 0.17 0.19

0.30 Benin 3.310.010.000.000.280.42 0.45 0.45 0.55 0.66 0.62 0.62 0.17 0.27 0.28

0.40 Tanzania -9.84-0.010.000.000.110.35 0.35 0.35 0.30 0.35 0.31 0.31 0.12 0.12 0.11

0.10 Egypt 101.890.050.000.000.110.06 0.11 0.11 0.98 0.96 0.97 0.97 0.10 0.05 0.11

0.26 Nigeria 3.030.000.000.000.100.28 0.27 0.27 0.38 0.36 0.38 0.38 0.10 0.10 0.10

0.07 Uganda 0.000.000.000.000.110.07 0.08 0.08 1.23 1.49 1.45 1.45 0.08 0.11 0.11

0.10 Zimbabwe 73.470.040.000.000.090.13 0.20 0.20 0.23 0.38 0.43 0.43 0.02 0.05 0.09

0.05 Sudan 0.000.000.000.000.090.07 0.07 0.07 1.54 1.24 1.24 1.24 0.08 0.09 0.09

0.13Mexico 89.960.234.900.020.490.10 0.19 0.20 2.41 2.51 2.54 2.52 0.32 0.26 0.47

0.24Burma 8.770.030.000.000.310.24 0.25 0.25 1.23 1.17 1.24 1.24 0.30 0.29 0.31

0.60Others -3.76-0.020.000.000.410.72 0.74 0.74 0.54 0.59 0.55 0.55 0.32 0.43 0.41

World and Selected Countries and Regions

Foreign Agricultural Service/USDA October 2017Office of Global Analysis

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Table 13 Peanut Area, Yield, and Production

From last month From last year

MMTPercent

Yield

(Metric tons per hectare)

Oct 2015/16 MMT

Country / Region

Area

(Million hectares)

Production

(Million metric tons)

Change in Production

2015/16

Prel.

2016/17 Sep Sep

Prel.

2016/17 Oct

Prel.

2016/17 Sep Oct Percent

2017/18 Proj.2017/18 Proj. 2017/18 Proj.

2015/16

24.76World 0.860.370.240.1043.0025.34 25.16 25.16 1.63 1.68 1.70 1.71 40.40 42.63 42.90

0.63United States 39.491.000.060.003.530.62 0.74 0.74 4.31 4.07 4.77 4.77 2.72 2.53 3.53

24.13Total Foreign -1.58-0.630.250.1039.4724.72 24.42 24.42 1.56 1.62 1.61 1.62 37.68 40.10 39.37

none

4.62China 2.940.500.570.1017.504.75 4.85 4.85 3.56 3.58 3.59 3.61 16.44 17.00 17.40

Africa

2.50 Nigeria 0.000.000.000.003.002.50 2.50 2.50 1.20 1.20 1.20 1.20 3.00 3.00 3.00

2.18 Sudan 0.000.000.000.001.401.80 1.80 1.80 0.86 0.78 0.78 0.78 1.87 1.40 1.40

1.14 Senegal 5.820.060.000.001.001.15 1.10 1.10 0.93 0.82 0.91 0.91 1.05 0.95 1.00

0.40 Cameroon 0.000.000.000.000.550.40 0.40 0.40 1.38 1.38 1.38 1.38 0.55 0.55 0.55

0.40 Ghana 0.000.000.000.000.440.40 0.40 0.40 1.10 1.10 1.10 1.10 0.44 0.44 0.44

0.50 Chad 0.000.000.000.000.400.50 0.50 0.50 0.80 0.80 0.80 0.80 0.40 0.40 0.40

0.37 Malawi 0.000.000.000.000.260.37 0.37 0.37 0.79 0.71 0.71 0.71 0.29 0.26 0.26

0.48 Congo (Kinshasa) 0.000.000.000.000.370.48 0.48 0.48 0.78 0.78 0.78 0.78 0.37 0.37 0.37

0.74 Niger 0.000.000.000.000.350.74 0.74 0.74 0.47 0.47 0.47 0.47 0.35 0.35 0.35

0.38 Mali 0.000.000.000.000.330.38 0.38 0.38 1.39 0.87 0.87 0.87 0.52 0.33 0.33

0.43 Uganda 0.000.000.000.000.300.43 0.43 0.43 0.71 0.71 0.71 0.71 0.30 0.30 0.30

0.45 Burkina 0.000.000.000.000.350.45 0.45 0.45 0.78 0.78 0.78 0.78 0.35 0.35 0.35

0.30 Guinea 0.000.000.000.000.360.30 0.30 0.30 1.17 1.20 1.20 1.20 0.35 0.36 0.36

0.06 Egypt 0.000.000.000.000.210.06 0.06 0.06 3.20 3.20 3.20 3.20 0.21 0.21 0.21

0.10 Central African Republic 0.000.000.000.000.150.10 0.10 0.10 1.50 1.50 1.50 1.50 0.15 0.15 0.15

0.02 South Africa -18.70-0.020.000.000.100.06 0.06 0.06 1.04 2.20 1.82 1.82 0.02 0.12 0.10

0.29 Mozambique 0.000.000.000.000.110.29 0.29 0.29 0.38 0.38 0.38 0.38 0.11 0.11 0.11

0.08 Cote d'Ivoire 0.000.000.000.000.090.08 0.08 0.08 1.13 1.13 1.13 1.13 0.09 0.09 0.09

0.16 Benin 0.000.000.000.000.140.15 0.15 0.15 0.85 0.93 0.93 0.93 0.13 0.14 0.14

South Asia

4.55 India -17.91-1.200.000.005.505.30 5.00 5.00 0.98 1.26 1.10 1.10 4.47 6.70 5.50

0.11 Pakistan 5.880.010.000.000.090.09 0.10 0.10 0.90 0.94 0.95 0.95 0.10 0.09 0.09

Southeast Asia

0.62 Indonesia -1.79-0.020.000.001.100.60 0.59 0.59 1.84 1.87 1.86 1.86 1.13 1.12 1.10

0.89 Burma 0.000.000.000.001.380.89 0.89 0.89 1.55 1.55 1.55 1.55 1.38 1.38 1.38

0.19 Vietnam 3.100.010.000.000.470.20 0.20 0.20 2.31 2.31 2.33 2.33 0.44 0.45 0.47

0.02 Thailand 0.000.000.000.000.040.02 0.02 0.02 1.63 1.67 1.67 1.67 0.04 0.04 0.04

South America

0.29 Argentina 0.000.000.000.001.160.35 0.35 0.35 3.21 3.30 3.36 3.36 0.93 1.16 1.16

0.12 Brazil -0.870.000.000.000.460.13 0.13 0.13 3.38 3.63 3.46 3.46 0.41 0.46 0.46

0.07Mexico 0.000.000.000.000.100.06 0.06 0.06 1.55 1.70 1.70 1.70 0.10 0.10 0.10

1.70Others 2.360.040.000.001.781.72 1.68 1.68 1.00 1.01 1.06 1.06 1.69 1.74 1.78

World and Selected Countries and Regions

Foreign Agricultural Service/USDA October 2017Office of Global Analysis

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Table 14 Sunflowerseed Area, Yield, and Production

From last month From last year

MMTPercent

Yield

(Metric tons per hectare)

Oct 2015/16 MMT

Country / Region

Area

(Million hectares)

Production

(Million metric tons)

Change in Production

2015/16

Prel.

2016/17 Sep Sep

Prel.

2016/17 Oct

Prel.

2016/17 Sep Oct Percent

2017/18 Proj.2017/18 Proj. 2017/18 Proj.

2015/16

23.29World -2.64-1.26-2.22-1.0546.3525.24 25.72 25.78 1.73 1.89 1.84 1.80 40.30 47.60 47.40

0.73United States -31.75-0.38-6.49-0.060.820.62 0.49 0.55 1.82 1.94 1.79 1.50 1.33 1.20 0.88

22.57Total Foreign -1.88-0.87-2.14-0.9945.5324.62 25.23 25.23 1.73 1.88 1.84 1.80 38.97 46.40 46.52

none

Former Soviet Union - 12

6.45 Russia 1.310.14-4.35-0.5011.007.18 7.50 7.50 1.42 1.51 1.53 1.47 9.17 10.86 11.50

5.50 Ukraine -11.18-1.70-3.57-0.5013.506.40 6.40 6.40 2.16 2.38 2.19 2.11 11.90 15.20 14.00

0.70 Kazakhstan -0.66-0.010.000.000.750.81 0.80 0.80 0.76 0.94 0.94 0.94 0.53 0.76 0.75

4.17European Union -0.85-0.070.000.008.504.15 4.18 4.18 1.85 2.06 2.03 2.03 7.72 8.57 8.50

South America

1.27 Argentina 17.650.600.000.004.001.72 1.90 1.90 2.13 1.98 2.11 2.11 2.70 3.40 4.00

0.04 Uruguay 18.180.010.000.000.080.04 0.05 0.05 1.50 1.50 1.56 1.56 0.06 0.07 0.08

0.15 Bolivia 64.060.040.000.000.110.10 0.13 0.13 0.89 0.67 0.80 0.80 0.13 0.06 0.11

0.05 Brazil 8.740.010.000.000.110.06 0.08 0.08 1.21 1.66 1.47 1.47 0.06 0.10 0.11

0.05 Paraguay 10.420.010.000.000.050.03 0.03 0.03 1.64 1.60 1.66 1.66 0.07 0.05 0.05

1.04China 1.790.050.000.002.851.08 1.10 1.10 2.60 2.59 2.59 2.59 2.70 2.80 2.85

South Asia

0.48 India -7.27-0.020.000.000.260.38 0.32 0.32 0.66 0.72 0.81 0.81 0.32 0.28 0.26

0.09 Pakistan 0.000.000.000.000.080.07 0.07 0.07 1.06 1.07 1.07 1.07 0.09 0.08 0.08

Middle East

0.55 Turkey 21.210.280.000.001.600.60 0.65 0.65 2.00 2.20 2.46 2.46 1.10 1.32 1.60

0.07 Iran 0.000.000.000.000.090.07 0.07 0.07 1.29 1.29 1.29 1.29 0.09 0.09 0.09

0.01 Israel 0.000.000.000.000.020.01 0.01 0.01 1.60 1.60 1.60 1.60 0.02 0.02 0.02

Africa

0.01 Egypt 11.760.000.000.000.020.01 0.01 0.01 2.43 2.43 2.38 2.38 0.02 0.02 0.02

0.02 Morocco 0.000.000.000.000.030.02 0.02 0.02 1.29 1.29 1.29 1.29 0.03 0.03 0.03

0.72 South Africa 6.290.060.000.000.930.64 0.70 0.70 1.05 1.38 1.33 1.33 0.76 0.88 0.93

0.60Burma 0.000.000.000.000.390.60 0.60 0.60 0.65 0.65 0.65 0.65 0.39 0.39 0.39

0.04Canada -7.840.000.000.000.050.03 0.03 0.03 1.92 1.82 1.88 1.88 0.07 0.05 0.05

0.02Australia 25.000.0117.650.010.040.03 0.03 0.04 1.09 1.10 1.13 1.08 0.03 0.03 0.03

0.55Others -20.13-0.280.000.001.090.61 0.56 0.56 1.87 2.25 1.95 1.95 1.02 1.37 1.09

World and Selected Countries and Regions

Foreign Agricultural Service/USDA October 2017Office of Global Analysis

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Table 15 Rapeseed Area, Yield, and Production

From last month From last year

MMTPercent

Yield

(Metric tons per hectare)

Oct 2015/16 MMT

Country / Region

Area

(Million hectares)

Production

(Million metric tons)

Change in Production

2015/16

Prel.

2016/17 Sep Sep

Prel.

2016/17 Oct

Prel.

2016/17 Sep Oct Percent

2017/18 Proj.2017/18 Proj. 2017/18 Proj.

2015/16

33.79World 2.171.53-0.36-0.2671.8833.75 36.43 36.40 2.07 2.08 1.98 1.97 69.88 70.35 72.14

0.69United States -9.01-0.13-16.86-0.261.280.69 0.86 0.83 1.88 2.04 1.80 1.55 1.31 1.41 1.54

33.09Total Foreign 2.401.660.000.0070.5933.06 35.57 35.57 2.07 2.09 1.98 1.98 68.57 68.94 70.59

none

6.51European Union 7.091.460.230.0522.006.55 6.75 6.75 3.38 3.13 3.25 3.26 22.00 20.54 21.95

8.32Canada 1.530.300.000.0019.908.12 9.24 9.24 2.21 2.41 2.15 2.15 18.38 19.60 19.90

7.53China -2.96-0.400.000.0013.107.00 6.80 6.80 1.98 1.93 1.93 1.93 14.93 13.50 13.10

South Asia

5.75 India 1.540.110.000.007.206.50 7.20 7.20 1.03 1.09 1.00 1.00 5.92 7.09 7.20

0.23 Pakistan -5.00-0.010.000.000.190.21 0.20 0.20 0.96 0.95 0.95 0.95 0.22 0.20 0.19

0.25 Bangladesh 0.000.000.000.000.230.25 0.25 0.25 0.92 0.92 0.92 0.92 0.23 0.23 0.23

Former Soviet Union - 12

0.90 Russia 40.420.4012.000.151.400.91 0.95 0.95 1.12 1.10 1.32 1.47 1.00 1.00 1.25

0.68 Ukraine 68.000.850.000.002.100.45 0.75 0.75 2.58 2.78 2.80 2.80 1.74 1.25 2.10

0.17 Belarus 0.000.000.000.000.300.17 0.17 0.17 1.82 1.82 1.82 1.82 0.30 0.30 0.30

0.22 Kazakhstan 32.350.060.000.000.230.16 0.23 0.23 0.62 1.06 1.00 1.00 0.14 0.17 0.23

2.09Australia -27.45-1.14-6.25-0.203.002.32 2.60 2.60 1.33 1.78 1.23 1.15 2.78 4.14 3.20

South America

0.05 Chile 13.110.020.000.000.210.05 0.05 0.05 4.00 3.98 4.14 4.14 0.21 0.18 0.21

0.09 Paraguay -4.760.000.000.000.080.07 0.07 0.07 1.00 1.20 1.10 1.10 0.09 0.08 0.08

0.02Switzerland 0.000.000.000.000.070.02 0.02 0.02 3.14 3.14 3.14 3.14 0.07 0.07 0.07

0.05Ethiopia 0.000.000.000.000.070.05 0.05 0.05 1.56 1.56 1.56 1.56 0.07 0.07 0.07

0.25Others 1.360.010.000.000.520.25 0.25 0.25 2.05 2.10 2.07 2.07 0.50 0.52 0.52

World and Selected Countries and Regions

Foreign Agricultural Service/USDA October 2017Office of Global Analysis

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Table 16 Copra, Palm Kernel, and Palm Oil Production

Country / Region

Production

(Million metric tons)

2015/16

Prel.

2016/17

2017/18 Proj.

Sep Oct MMT Percent MMT Percent

Change in Production

From last month From last year

Oilseed, Copra

0.00 0.00 0.10 4.55 Philippines 2.10 2.302.302.20

0.00 0.00 -0.01 -0.63 Indonesia 1.59 1.571.571.58

0.00 0.00 0.03 4.17 India 0.72 0.750.750.72

0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Vietnam 0.26 0.270.270.27

0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Mexico 0.21 0.210.210.21

0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Papua New Guinea 0.09 0.100.100.10

0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Thailand 0.07 0.070.070.07

0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sri Lanka 0.07 0.070.070.07

0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Solomon Islands 0.03 0.030.030.03

0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Cote d'Ivoire 0.03 0.030.030.03

0.00 0.00 0.13 2.40 World 5.32 5.545.545.41

Oilseed, Palm Kernel

0.00 0.00 0.50 5.56 Indonesia 8.50 9.509.509.00

0.00 0.00 0.62 12.97 Malaysia 4.50 5.405.404.78

0.00 0.00 0.08 10.81 Thailand 0.68 0.820.820.74

0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Nigeria 0.73 0.730.730.73

0.00 0.00 0.04 16.67 Colombia 0.27 0.280.280.24

0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Guatemala 0.13 0.150.150.15

0.00 0.00 0.01 7.69 Papua New Guinea 0.15 0.140.140.13

0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Honduras 0.12 0.120.120.12

0.00 0.00 0.01 9.09 Ecuador 0.11 0.120.120.11

0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Cameroon 0.11 0.110.110.11

0.00 0.00 1.24 7.38 World 15.96 18.0418.0416.80

Oil, Palm

0.00 0.00 2.00 5.88 Indonesia 32.00 36.0036.0034.00

0.00 0.00 2.14 11.35 Malaysia 17.70 21.0021.0018.86

0.00 0.00 0.20 10.00 Thailand 1.80 2.202.202.00

0.00 0.00 0.17 14.78 Colombia 1.28 1.321.321.15

0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Nigeria 0.97 0.970.970.97

0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Guatemala 0.63 0.740.740.74

0.00 0.00 0.01 1.79 Ecuador 0.52 0.580.580.56

0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Honduras 0.49 0.550.550.55

0.00 0.00 0.01 1.92 Papua New Guinea 0.58 0.530.530.52

0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Ghana 0.50 0.520.520.52

0.00 0.00 4.57 7.34 World 58.83 66.8766.8662.29

World and Selected Countries and Regions

Foreign Agricultural Service/USDA October 2017Office of Global Analysis

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Table 17 Cotton Area, Yield, and Production

From last month From last year

MBalesPercent

Yield

(Kilograms per hectare)

Oct 2015/16 MBales

Country / Region

Area

(Million hectares)

Production

(Million 480 lb. bales)

Change in Production

2015/16

Prel.

2016/17 Sep Sep

Prel.

2016/17 Oct

Prel.

2016/17 Sep Oct Percent

2017/18 Proj.2017/18 Proj. 2017/18 Proj.

2015/16

30.64World 13.3714.250.090.11120.8629.58 32.98 33.10 683 785 797 795 96.17 106.61 120.75

3.27United States 22.983.95-2.96-0.6421.123.85 4.66 4.62 859 972 1,017 996 12.89 17.17 21.76

27.37Total Foreign 11.5210.310.760.7699.7525.73 28.32 28.49 663 757 761 762 83.29 89.44 98.99

none

South Asia

12.30 India 11.113.000.000.0030.0010.85 12.20 12.20 458 542 535 535 25.90 27.00 30.00

2.80 Pakistan 18.831.450.000.009.152.40 2.80 2.80 544 699 711 711 7.00 7.70 9.15

3.05China 7.691.750.000.0024.502.90 3.13 3.13 1,570 1,708 1,707 1,707 22.00 22.75 24.50

South America

0.96 Brazil 11.430.804.000.307.800.94 1.05 1.10 1,345 1,621 1,555 1,544 5.90 7.00 7.50

0.38 Argentina 40.000.3050.000.351.050.24 0.30 0.45 479 680 508 508 0.83 0.75 0.70

0.01 Paraguay 0.000.000.000.000.020.01 0.01 0.01 419 416 416 416 0.03 0.02 0.02

Africa

0.66 Burkina 7.690.100.000.001.400.70 0.76 0.76 371 404 404 404 1.13 1.30 1.40

0.55 Mali 6.560.080.000.001.300.66 0.70 0.70 390 406 404 404 0.98 1.22 1.30

0.40 Cote d'Ivoire 12.000.080.000.000.700.35 0.36 0.36 333 394 421 421 0.62 0.63 0.70

0.30 Benin 6.060.050.000.000.880.42 0.45 0.45 363 433 423 423 0.50 0.83 0.88

0.10 Egypt 105.880.180.000.000.350.06 0.11 0.11 697 673 693 693 0.32 0.17 0.35

0.22 Cameroon 6.380.030.000.000.500.23 0.23 0.23 510 455 484 484 0.52 0.47 0.50

0.40 Tanzania -10.71-0.030.000.000.250.35 0.35 0.35 147 174 156 156 0.27 0.28 0.25

0.26 Nigeria 2.170.010.000.000.240.28 0.27 0.27 193 182 190 190 0.23 0.23 0.24

0.10 Zimbabwe 73.080.100.000.000.230.13 0.20 0.20 131 218 245 245 0.06 0.13 0.23

0.07 Ethiopia 0.000.000.000.000.200.08 0.08 0.08 586 544 544 544 0.18 0.20 0.20

Former Soviet Union - 12

1.29 Uzbekistan -0.67-0.030.000.003.701.18 1.18 1.18 644 687 683 683 3.80 3.73 3.70

0.50 Turkmenistan 5.660.080.000.001.400.55 0.55 0.55 631 529 559 559 1.45 1.33 1.40

0.15 Tajikistan 6.410.030.000.000.420.17 0.17 0.17 599 515 532 532 0.41 0.39 0.42

0.10 Kazakhstan 0.000.00-7.69-0.030.300.12 0.14 0.13 440 568 524 523 0.20 0.30 0.33

Middle East

0.37 Turkey 18.750.600.000.003.800.40 0.46 0.46 1,559 1,742 1,799 1,799 2.65 3.20 3.80

0.04 Syria -20.00-0.040.000.000.160.04 0.04 0.04 1,034 1,089 995 995 0.19 0.20 0.16

0.10 Iran -6.67-0.020.000.000.280.10 0.10 0.10 599 653 610 610 0.28 0.30 0.28

0.31Australia 19.050.800.000.005.000.58 0.48 0.48 1,989 1,577 2,268 2,268 2.85 4.20 5.00

0.13Mexico 89.790.695.070.071.450.10 0.19 0.20 1,544 1,615 1,624 1,619 0.94 0.76 1.38

0.24Burma 2.110.020.000.000.730.24 0.25 0.25 651 634 634 634 0.72 0.71 0.73

1.60Others 8.370.311.540.063.961.69 1.79 1.76 459 472 473 490 3.37 3.66 3.90

World and Selected Countries and Regions

Foreign Agricultural Service/USDA October 2017Office of Global Analysis

Page 126: Grain: World Markets and Tradeuga.ua/wp-content/uploads/USDA.pdf · 6 TRADE CHANGES IN 2017/18 Selected Importers India is down 500,000 tons to 3.5 million based on a larger domestic

TABLE 18 Note: Tables on pages 35-37 present a record of the October projection and the final Estimate. Using

world wheat production as an example, the "root mean square error" means that chances are 2 out of

3 that the current forecast will not be above or below the final estimate by more than 1.7 percent.

Chances are 9 out of 10 (90% confidence level) that the difference will not exceed 2.9 percent. The

average difference between the October projection and the final estimate is 7.5 million tons, ranging

from 1.2 million to 26.7 million tons. The October projection has been below the estimate 26 times

and above 9 times.

RELIABILITY OF PRODUCTION PROJECTIONS 1/

COMMODITY AND

REGION

Root mean

square error

90 percent

confidence

interval

Difference between forecast and final estimate

Average Smallest Largest

Years

Below

final

Above

final

Percent ---Million metric tons---

WHEAT

World 1.7 2.9 7.5 1.2 26.7 26 9

U.S. 0.5 0.8 0.2 0.0 1.2 12 16

Foreign 1.9 3.3 7.5 1.4 26.8 26 9

COARSE GRAINS 2/

World 1.9 3.2 15.0 0.8 49.7 28 7

U.S. 2.7 4.6 4.4 0.1 17.9 21 14

Foreign 2.4 4.0 13.9 0.6 47.0 29 6

RICE (Milled)

World 2.3 3.9 6.2 0.0 20.9 27 7

U.S. 3.3 5.7 0.2 0.0 0.5 20 15

Foreign 2.3 4.0 6.2 0.1 21.0 27 8

SOYBEANS

World 4.5 7.6 6.5 0.1 28.7 19 16

U.S. 2.9 4.9 1.5 0.0 3.8 16 19

Foreign 7.3 12.4 6.6 0.0 28.1 18 17

COTTON ---Million 480-lb. bales---

World 4.6 7.8 2.9 0.0 10.9 19 15

U.S. 4.6 7.7 0.6 0.0 1.7 22 13

Foreign 5.3 9.0 2.7 0.0 10.5 18 16

UNITED STATES -------Million bushels-------

CORN 2.9 4.8 172 5 618 20 15

SORGHUM 4.9 8.4 20 1 71 21 14

BARLEY 1.5 2.6 4 0 24 9 15

OATS 2.6 4.4 2 0 18 6 11

1/ Marketing years 1981/82 through 2016/17 for grains, soybeans, and cotton. Final for grains, soybeans, and cotton is defined as the first November estimate following the marketing year for 1981/82 through 2015/16, and for 2016/17 the last month’s estimate.

2/ Includes corn, sorghum, barley, oats, rye, millet, and mixed grain

October 2017 Office of Global Analysis, FAS, USDA

Foreign Agricultural Service/USDA October 2017Office of Global Analysis