Governance and Innovation - National Academies of Sciences,...
Transcript of Governance and Innovation - National Academies of Sciences,...
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Basic Socio-Economic Frame
Advancing Sustainability of US-Mexico TransboundaryDrylands: A Binational Workshop,
San Luis Potosí, MexicoMay 2-4, 2018
Dr. Ismael Aguilar-BarajasDepartment of Economics and Water Center for Latin Americaand the CaribbeanTecnológico de Monterrey, Campus MonterreyMEXICO
Governance and InnovationPreliminary reflections
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El AMM en la cuenca del Río San Juan
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Patrón de precipitación pluvial, noreste de México, 1902-2011(Promedio de precipitación anual acumulada, en milímetros)
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Crecimiento del área urbana, AMM, 1970-2014
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El gran reto de la presión urbana, el río Santa Catarina
260 m140 m
260 m
Fuente: Ramírez (2011)
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En Monterrey…
Los huracanes: una maldición bendita
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Almacenamiento (% NAMO) NAMO
Almacenamiento conjunto
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La “Formula” Monterrey del Agua: Factores Condicionantes y Elementos Clave
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1. No será más húmedo (y probablemente será másseco).
2. No será más estable (y probablemente sea másextremo).
• Con o sin cambio climático, la necesidad deadaptación es clara y urgente. Los escenarios decambio climático sugieren que dicha necesidad será másaguda que lo que sugiere el registro histórico.
Las proyecciones propias para la cuenca del Río SanJuan, sugieren que el clima regional:
El futuro: el cambioclimático
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Gestión del Riesgo y Vulnerabilidad
•World Economic Forum Global RisksReport 2018•World Bank Development Report2014•Organización de las Naciones Unidas(2013), Evaluación Global sobre laReducción del Riesgo de Desastres•UNESCO (2012), Managing WaterUnder Uncertainty and Risk
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Finanzas Municipales e Intergubernamentales (Bird, 2001)
CONCLUSIÓN“Es más bien que poco se podrá hacer a menos que los países incorporen en sus sistemas de gobierno local, instituciones que motiven el ejercicio de la previsión, la imaginación, el esfuerzo y la prudencia, que son los ingredientes clave de un buen gobierno en cualquier parte” (p. 122).Bird, R.M. (2001), “Presentación del Escenario: Finanzas Municipales e Intergubernamentales”, pp. 108-123, en M. Freire y R. Stren (eds.), Los Retos del Gobierno Urbano, Washington, D.C. y México, D.F., Banco Mundial y Alfaomega