Gold and Silver: Opportunity of a Lifetime?

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Dohmen Capital Research

Gold and Silver: Opportunity of a Lifetime?

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Our recent special report on gold named gold as a possible “Opportunity of a lifetime.” In the big bull market in gold from 1977 to 1980, our subscribers had a chance for immense profits. And when the tide turned with Paul Volcker in 1980, we turned correctly bearish and predicted a 20 year bear market.

It happened. The next bull market started in 2001.

For those who did not read our special report, we repeat this long-term chart of GOLD. It goes back to the start of this secular bull market in 2001. Note that since 2014, it has formed a bullish, potential inverse “head and shoulder” pattern. If it can close decisively above $1400, we would become even more bullish. It would confirm a potentially very bullish, long-term formation. See the chart on the next slide.






Gold’s potential inverse “head and shoulder” pattern:

http://dohmencapital.com/gold-silver-opportunity-lifetime/



Furthermore, the chart of the GOLD MINERS ETF (GDX) below shows a very nice, long-term bottom on these mining stocks (shaded area).

http://dohmencapital.com/gold-silver-opportunity-lifetime/


Our Contrarian View On GoldOur view for about 40 years has always been contrary to the common thinking on gold. Popular opinions are:

1) “Gold is a crisis hedge.” We disagree. It actually declined from over $800 to around $250 from 1981 to 2001, or twenty years.

2) Others say that “gold is a fear hedge.” We disagree. They never specify the fear. Is it nuclear war, a terrorist attack, a Greek or Italian debt default? Well, none of these influenced gold for the longer term.

3) Lately we hear that fears of “rising interest rates are bearish for gold.” We disagree. Actually, it’s vice versa. Interest rates rise when inflation fears rise. And rising inflation is bullish for gold as it is a “store of value.”






Our Contrarian View On Gold

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Gold and Silver: Opportunity of a Lifetime?

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