GM1-1.22.2013
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Transcript of GM1-1.22.2013
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General Meeting 1
January 22, 2013
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Meeting Agenda
Points System
Semester at A Glance & Meeting Structure
Market Overview
Question of the Day
Pitch Sign-Ups
Pitch
Announcements
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Market News
DavosWorld Economic Forum
Very Confident CEOs36%
Crisis is new normal
Microsoft may invest in Dell
Equities hover at 5-year highs
72% of earnings exceed estimates
Google Profit Rises on year-end ad gains
Apple braces for first profit drop since 2003
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S&P 500
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NASDAQ
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Commodities
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Can We Get Much Higher?
The Standard & Poors 500 Index is 5.1 percent belowthe all-time high in October 2007. Profits in thebenchmark gauge are forecast to exceed $1 trillion thisyear, or 31 percent more than when the gauge peaked,according to more than 11,000 analyst estimatescompiled by Bloomberg. Even if the price- earnings ratio,now 9.8 percent below the six-decade mean, doesntexpand, the S&P 500 is poised to recover fully from thefinancial crisis that began almost six years ago.
-Bloomberg
Jan. 21, 2013
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Investment Thesis Looking for a stable company with an established
reputation.
Microsofts usage of Office as a competitivedifferentiator for its hardware products has beenwell received and has opened up a marketopportunity.
With Windows 8, SkyDrive, and Office 2013,Microsoft is creating an ecosystem that links allyour devices together, and streamlines the entireexperience.
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Company Overview5 Primary Business Segments: Windows and Windows Live
Servers and Tools
Software
Online Services
Entertainment and Devices
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Windows and Windows
Live Comprised of the Windows operating system and Microsoft brandedhardware
75% of segment revenue comes from operating system license sales
Software competition comes from Apple, Google, and open-sourceofferings
Hardware competition comes from Dell, HP, Lenovo, Apple, Samsung
Strengths include ease of use, security, compatibility, and supportnetworks
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Servers and Tools Makes IT professionals systems more productive and efficient 80% of revenue from servers, SQL, Azure, 20% of revenue from
enterprise services
Competition from HP, IBM, and Oracle as well as Amazon and Googlein cloud services
Strengths include performance and total cost of ownership
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Microsoft Business Division Software and online services to increase productivity 90% of revenue from Microsoft Office, 10% from Microsoft Dynamics
business solutions
Competition from Adobe, Apple, Cisco, SAP
Strengths include security, ease of use, historical usage, compatibility
with existing technology
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Online Services Provides online content and connects advertisers to audiences Covers Bing search engine and Microsoft Network (MSN)
Competition from Google in search engine
Strengths include prepackaging services into the Windows operatingsystem through Original Equipment Manufacturer deals
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Entertainment and Devices Covers Xbox 360, Skype, Windows Phones, video game publishing,Xbox Live, Accessories
Covers Bing search engine and Microsoft Network (MSN)
Competition from Sony, Nintendo
Strengths include exclusive game content, Xbox Live player networks
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Microsoft Features One platform across PC, tablet, phone, servers, and cloud Unlike other companies, Microsoft unites everything under one operating
system
Possible to select a movie from a PC, start playing it on the TV and finish
watching on a tablet.
Office redesigned for Windows 8
Touch and pen capabilities
Offerings on new tablets
Cloud Services
SkyDrive
Take notes, annotate documents, and share information using a Windows 8tablet, OneNote, and SkyDrive
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Financial Summary
6042058437
62484
69943
73723
40000
45000
50000
55000
60000
65000
70000
75000
80000
2008 2009 2010 2011 2012
Revenue
24071
20693
24098
2716127956
15000
17000
19000
21000
23000
25000
27000
29000
2008 2009 2010 2011 2012
Operating Income
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Liquidity Summary
21612
19037
24073
26994
31626
0
5000
10000
15000
20000
25000
30000
35000
2008 2009 2010 2011 2012
Cash from Operations
1.446898
1.822889
2.129345
2.603669 2.602912
0
0.5
1
1.5
2
2.5
3
2008 2009 2010 2011 2012
Current Ratio
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Revenue BreakdownsBusiness Segments
Windows & Windows
Live
Server and Tools
Online Services
Microsoft Business
Entertainment and
Devices
Corporate and Other
Geographic Segments
United States
Other Countries
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CompsEnterprise Multiples Pricing Multiples
LTM EV/Revenue LTM EV/EBITDA LTM EV/EBIT NTM EV/EBITDA LTM P/E NTM P/E LTM P/BV
High 8.3x 59.9x 287.1x 27.9x 54.9x 216.6x 24.6x
Low 0.3x 4.5x 6.0x 4.2x 8.7x 8.1x 3.0x
Mean 3.0x 15.5x 40.8x 9.8x 19.2x 33.8x 12.2x
Median 2.3x 9.0x 10.9x 7.0x 14.0x 11.7x 10.1x
LTM EV/Revenue LTM EV/EBITDA LTM EV/EBIT NTM EV/EBITDA LTM P/E NTM P/E LTM P/BV
High $77.50 $211.40 $895.50 $75.20 $102.63 $658.10 $148.75
Low $9.30 $21.90 $24.90 $9.96 $16.35 $24.49 $18.11
Mean $32.10 $59.30 $132.70 $32.75 $36.00 $102.82 $73.98
Median $25.80 $37.10 $40.10 $28.78 $26.14 $35.56 $61.40
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Discounted Cash Flow
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Announcements
Texas Investment Conference
Wall Street Journal
Improvement Surveys Texas Investment Conference
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