Globefish European Fish Price Report - Issue 2/2020 ...

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1 Index for prices Groundfish 9 Flatfish 10 Tuna 11 Small Pelagics 11 Cephalopods 12 Crustaceans 13 Bivalves 15 Salmon 15 Trout 16 Freshwater fish 16 Non Traditional Species 16 Seabass-Seabream- Meagre 17 The European Fish Price Report, based on information supplied by industry correspondents, aims to provide guidance on broad price trends. Price information is indicative and should be used only for forecasting medium- and long-term trends. FAO is not responsible for any errors or omissions. Issue 2/2020 February 2020 Latest trends Storms in Europe are overshadowing seafood markets at present. In Spain, in particular, very little fresh fish is available on the market due to the bad weather. Market activities are also being affected by heavy storms in Germany. The European fish market is also being impacted by the ongoing coronavirus outbreak. With limited movement in the Chinese market, several products, including shrimp and lobster, are being offered on the European market at heavily discounted prices. However, it is likely that in the longer term less fish will be coming from China to the European market, and this can be expected to translate into higher prices for some groundfish species such as Alaska pollack. Even for canned tuna, which may otherwise seem to be a product that should not be affected by public concern over the virus, weaker buying interest is reported from European buyers for Asian product. Importers are instead redirecting their orders to Latin American suppliers. GROUNDFISH Forecast for groundfish landings in European waters are quite positive. Landings of Atlantic cod are expected to increase marginally, from 1.131 million tonnes to 1.132 million tonnes. Haddock catches are expected to rise from 299 000 tonnes in 2019 to 340 000 tonnes in 2020, and saithe catches from 351 000 tonnes to 369 000 tonnes.

Transcript of Globefish European Fish Price Report - Issue 2/2020 ...

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Index for prices

Groundfish 9

Flatfish 10

Tuna 11

Small Pelagics 11

Cephalopods 12

Crustaceans 13

Bivalves 15

Salmon 15

Trout 16

Freshwater fish 16

Non Traditional Species 16

Seabass-Seabream- Meagre 17

The European Fish Price Report,

based on information supplied by

industry correspondents, aims to

provide guidance on broad price trends.

Price information is indicative and

should be used only for forecasting

medium- and long-term trends. FAO is

not responsible for any errors or

omissions.

Issue 2/2020 February 2020

Latest trends

Storms in Europe are overshadowing seafood markets at present. In Spain, in particular, very little fresh fish is available on the

market due to the bad weather. Market activities are also being affected by heavy storms in Germany.

The European fish market is also being impacted by the ongoing

coronavirus outbreak. With limited movement in the Chinese market, several products, including shrimp and lobster, are being offered on the European market at heavily discounted prices.

However, it is likely that in the longer term less fish will be coming from China to the European market, and this can be expected to

translate into higher prices for some groundfish species such as Alaska pollack. Even for canned tuna, which may otherwise seem to be a product that should not be affected by public concern over

the virus, weaker buying interest is reported from European buyers for Asian product. Importers are instead redirecting their

orders to Latin American suppliers.

GROUNDFISH

Forecast for groundfish landings in European waters are quite positive. Landings of Atlantic cod are expected to increase

marginally, from 1.131 million tonnes to 1.132 million tonnes. Haddock catches are expected to rise from 299 000 tonnes in 2019

to 340 000 tonnes in 2020, and saithe catches from 351 000 tonnes to 369 000 tonnes.

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Norwegian exports of whole cod were up in 2019 compared with 2018. Some 59 000 tonnes were exported, around 5 000 tonnes more than in 2018. However, 2019 exports were still

below the 2017 figure of 70 000 tonnes. The unit value of whole frozen cod exports from Norway increased, from USD 3.60 per kg in 2017, to USD 4.20 and USD 4.30 respectively

in 2018 and 2019. China is the main buyer of cod from Norway, accounting for about 50

percent of the market. The UK comes in a distant second, accounting for 17 percent of total Norwegian exports of frozen cod.

Haddock prices in Sweden have risen

significantly. After a long period of no availability over the winter months, haddock (H&G) reached an all-time high of NOK 28 per

kg in February 2020.

Cultured turbot prices remain stable, with the species being offered at low prices in supermarket chains in Spain and Italy. Wild flatfish prices, meanwhile, are seasonally high at present. Smaller sized sole from the Netherlands have risen by 20 percent compared with

prices reported in January 2020.

Demand for canned tuna is weak in the United States of America, although it is good in

Europe, where importers are supplied primarily by Ecuador. The coronavirus has led to a reduction in demand in Europe for tuna

from Asian countries.

Fishing in the Western and Central Pacific continues to be poor and the number of carriers arriving in Thailand remains low. Raw

material inventories at Thai canneries remain

8.50

9.…

11…

9.80

5.07.09.0

11.013.015.017.019.021.023.025.027.029.0

Fresh - whole, cultured 0.5-1kg/pc1-2 kg/pc2-3 kg/pc

EUR/kg

TURBOT - in Spain, origin: Spain

TUNA - BILLFISHES

28.00

5.0

9.0

13.0

17.0

21.0

25.0

29.0

H&G - < 800 gr/pc

NOK/kg

HADDOCK - H&G, origin: Norway

17.38

13.210.0

5.0

10.0

15.0

20.0

25.0

gutted no 4 gutted no 2

EUR/kg

Sole - origin: Netherlands

1.30

0.5

1.0

1.5

2.0

2.5

3.0

Skipjack Bangkok CFR Skipjack Ecuador, ex-vessel

USD/kg

TUNA - Pacific Ocean

USD/kg

TUNA - Pacific Ocean

1.28

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moderate for now and are expected to drop into the unhealthy range if poor fishing persists. Due to the reduction in raw material availability, skipjack prices continue to increase in Bangkok.

Due to a delay in the rectification of the EU-Seychelles fishing agreement, EU-flagged boats are currently not allowed to fish in the Seychelles EEZ. This, together with bad weather, has

translated into poor catches in the Indian Ocean. As a result, skipjack and yellowfin prices have increased.

Fishing in Eastern Pacific is reported to be improving for the Ecuadorian fleet fishing off Peru, but catches in other areas are still disappointing. Carriers and containers continue to arrive

from other oceans. Raw material inventories at local canneries remain healthy.

Despite the improving situation, skipjack prices continue to move upwards, following the global

trend. Prices for Ecuadorian, EU-eligible yellowfin are stable.

The 2-month FAD closure in the Atlantic Ocean will remain in force until the end of February

and catches are reported to be poor. Raw material inventories at local canneries remain

moderate for the time being. Due to the poor catches, skipjack and yellowfin prices have risen in Abidjan.

Due to the poor fishing situation in both the Indian and Atlantic Oceans, European prices for skipjack and yellowfin have increased in line with global trends. In Spain, the increase was 20

percent for skipjack and 10 percent for yellowfin (whole gutted). Further price gains are likely. The market price for loins in Europe, both skipjack and yellowfin, stabilized at a very low level,

but is forecast to rise soon, following the upward trend in raw material prices.

2.25

1.15

1.14

2.20

0.5

1.0

1.5

2.0

2.5

3.0

Skipjack, Seychelles, FOBYellowfin, Seychelles, FOBSkipjack, Abidjan ex-vesselYellowfin, Abidjan, > 10 kg, ex-vessel

EUR/kg

TUNA - Indian/Atlantic Oceans

EUR/kg

TUNA - Indian/Atlantic Oceans

EUR/kg

TUNA - Indian/Atlantic Oceans

EUR/kg

TUNA - Indian/Atlantic Oceans

EUR/kg

TUNA - Indian/Atlantic Oceans

EUR/kg

TUNA - Indian/Atlantic Oceans

EUR/kg

TUNA - Indian/Atlantic Oceans

EUR/kg

TUNA - Indian/Atlantic Oceans

EUR/kg

TUNA - Indian/Atlantic Oceans

EUR/kg

TUNA - Indian/Atlantic Oceans

EUR/kg

TUNA - Indian/Atlantic Oceans

EUR/kg

TUNA - Indian/Atlantic Oceans

EUR/kg

TUNA - Indian/Atlantic Oceans

EUR/kg

TUNA - Indian/Atlantic Oceans

EUR/kg

TUNA - Indian/Atlantic Oceans

EUR/kg

TUNA - Indian/Atlantic Oceans

2.50

1.200.5

1.0

1.5

2.0

2.5

3.0

Yellowfin > 10 kg, Spain CFR

Skipjack main sizes, Spain CFR

EUR/kg

TUNA - Spanish canneries

6.854.60

2.0

3.5

5.0

6.5

8.0

9.5

Skipjack - frozen cooked loins, single cleaned, Spain/Italy DDP

Yellowfin - frozen cooked loins, double cleaned, Italy DDP

USD/Kg

TUNA - Loins

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In October 2019, the EU28, Norway and the Faroe islands agreed on the 2020 TAC for mackerel.

The total quota was set at 922 064 tonnes, a 41 percent increase over 2019. This TAC is in line with advice from the International Council for the Exploration of the Sea (ICES). However,

Iceland, Greenland and the Russian Federation set their own unilateral quotas in 2019, which represents a grave concern for the management of this resource. The unilaterally

set quotas prompted the suspension of the Marine Stewardship Council (MSC) certificate

for the fishery.

Norway has reported sharply reduced exports of frozen mackerel in recent years. In 2019, total exports were 223 000 tonnes, a 6 percent

decline from 2018. China, Japan and the Republic of Korea continue to be the main

markets for frozen mackerel from Norway. Meanwhile, Norwegian exports of frozen herring increased last year. Some 190 000

tonnes were exported, a 45 percent increase over 2018. Nigeria has emerged as the main

market for Norwegian herring, followed by Egypt and Lithuania.

It is possible that North Atlantic herring will lose its MSC certification at the end of this year,

which will potentially impact the German market where the MSC logo is well perceived by consumers. In Poland, demand for herring

is weak at present and prices are falling. The situation for sprat in Poland is better, however,

with stable demand and high prices.

Most octopus fisheries are not properly managed, and only a tiny part of total wild octopus

production is considered sustainable. Consumption in the first months of the year is generally relatively low, and prices in Europe have reportedly been falling.

In Indonesia, octopus supply is increasing at the moment and this trend is likely to continue until mid-March. As a result, prices have declined slightly from last month.

SMALL PELAGICS

CEPHALOPODS

0.00.51.01.52.02.53.03.54.0

fresh

fresh

EUR/kg

Mackerel - in Italy, origin: France

0.0

0.1

0.2

0.3

0.4

0.5

0.6

0.7

fresh

fresh

USD/kg

Herring - in Poland

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Peruvian squid exports rose dramatically last

year. Some 276 000 of frozen squid were exported, almost double the 2018 figure. These additional volumes impacted the world squid

market, leading to lower squid prices, especially in the lower priced category. Spain was the

second largest importer of frozen squid from Peru, importing 62 500 tonnes, 28 percent more than in 2018. The unit value of frozen squid from

Peru in the Spanish market was USD 2.65 per kg, 4 percent less than in 2018.

In South Africa, catches of squid are currently poor, possibly because water temperatures in the squid fishing areas are high. Some boats are not fishing and prices are unchanged on very

thin volume.

Ecuadorian production and export of shrimp is about to collapse and prices are expected to fall sharply in the coming weeks. Some companies are no longer exporting shrimp to China and

are instead targeting new markets in the EU. The current price of vannamei raw material in Indonesia is still stable with many farmers

intending to harvest during the rainy season.

In Argentina, fresh shrimp production continues with good catches. The low prices of whole shrimp has seen producers shift to shrimp tails, for which prices are stable and relatively high.

In Europe, Christmas sales have been good, but there still remain substantial coldstorage holdings, especially of large shrimp (10/20). However, there are few shrimp available in the 20/30 category, and size 30/40 is missing all together. The result is that prices of all sizes have

again converged, and indeed shrimp in the 10/20 category has sometimes been selling at lower prices than the smaller shrimp. In Italy, large Argentine shrimp are selling at only EUR 9.90

per kg, in an attempt to clear some holdings. Prices are not expected to recover before Holy Week sales.

CRUSTACEANS

8.50

3.0

4.0

5.0

6.0

7.0

8.0

9.0

Squid - Whole, FAS, size M

EUR/kg

SQUID - in Italy, origin: South Africa

6.70

6.60

6.60

3.0

4.5

6.0

7.5

9.0

10.5

> 10-20 pc/kg > 30-40 > 40-60

EUR/kg

ARGENTINA RED SHRIMP - origin: Argentina

EUR/kg

ARGENTINA RED SHRIMP - origin: Argentina

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Crab and lobster prices peaked during the end of year period, reaching higher levels than last year. Lobster prices reached EUR 52.00 per kg in December 2019, compared with EUR 46.00

in December 2018. Impacted by the coronavirus in China and the resulting spike in volumes available to European

buyers, prices of lobster are now falling. Crab prices have also declined sharply for the same reason. In February 2020, crab prices dropped to EUR 3.72 per kg, some 10 percent lower

than in the same period of last year.

The importance of Europe as an importer of pangasius fillets from Viet Nam continued to diminish in 2019. China, the United States of America and Mexico were the main importers of

pangasius fillets, accounting together for more than 50 percent of the market. The Netherlands and UK imported some 13 000 tonnes each of pangasius fillets in 2019,

coming in as the 9th and 10th largest importers respectively. Spain, which used to be the main European market for pangasius fillets some years ago, continues to reduce its pangasius

imports. Spain is now in 20th place, behind even Germany and Italy. In the UK, pangasius is mainly used to replace cod in fish and chips. Prices of pangasius fillets are stable at present on the European market.

FRESHWATER FISH

3.72

1.0

2.0

3.0

4.0

5.0

6.0

400-600 - 600-800 kg/pc

EUR/kg

CRAB - in France, origin: Europe

2.52.83.03.33.53.84.04.34.54.85.0

dethawed fillets

dethawed fillets

USD/kg

Pangasius - in Italy, origin: Viet Nam

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A wide range of mussels are available on the French market, but sales are quite poor at

present. Prices are stable at December 2019 levels. Next month, bouchot mussels will no

longer be available due to the seasonal closure of the production sites.

Oyster sales are now falling from their seasonal peak. Norovirus outbreaks in France

leading to cases of gastroenteritis have contributed to this downward trend and have also caused temporary closures of production

sites.

Prices for farmed Atlantic salmon on European markets fell by some 19 percent over the last month, with the NASDAQ salmon index falling to NOK 64.29 per kg as of week 6, 2020.

However, after a strong rally at the end of 2019, prices remain significantly higher compared with the same week of last year, when the NASDAQ salmon index registered NOK 54.51 per kg. Buoyed by resilient demand growth across a diverse array of global markets, salmon export

sales have been lifting the Norwegian seafood industry to new heights, and this continued into early 2020.

According to the Norwegian Seafood Council (NSC), another record figure for seafood export revenues was set in January, with salmon the major contributor. The NSC reports total salmon

exports of 88 000 tonnes for the month, with a cumulative value of NOK 6.8 billion. These figures represent year-on-year increases of 3 percent and 21 percent respectively.

Value growth was recorded for all world regions, with respective increases in January export revenues of 22 percent, 20 percent and 23 percent reported for the EU, Asia and North America

respectively. Volume to Asia was marginally down, but this is mainly due to the timing of the Chinese New Year in 2020. China has become

an important export market for the Norwegian industry, and the recent coronavirus outbreak

is likely to have a significant effect on restaurant sales in the Chinese domestic market. In the UK, export prices for Scottish

salmon are also relatively high but falling, with buyers reporting prices of GBP 7.20 per kg for

3-5 kg fish. Scotland’s salmon export revenues hit record heights in 2019, according to official statistics recently released. The total of GBP

618 million for the year represents an increase of 22 percent compared with the previous year.

BIVALVES

SALMON

5.40

3.0

3.5

4.0

4.5

5.0

5.5

6.0

Monthly average consumer prices in metropolitan France

EUR/kg

MUSSEL BOUCHOT - in France

65.74

65.38

0.010.020.030.040.050.060.070.080.090.0

100.0

3-4 kg 6-7

NOK/kg

Salmon - origin: Norway

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Global Atlantic salmon production is currently forecast to increase by around 4-5 percent in

2020, which would represent a return to the long-term trend after a relatively higher increase in 2019. Both Norway and Scotland are expected to experience a slowdown in output growth. In the UK, the Scottish industry is concerned with the additional burden of the health

certificates that will be required to export to the EU after the Brexit transition phase is completed. Overall, however, the market’s price expectations remain high, with Fish Pool

forward contracts currently settling at NOK 67.75 per kg for March and NOK 65.77 per kg for Q2.

The rapid growth in Norway’s farmed trout export revenues has continued into 2020, with the

NSC reporting total exports of 5 700 tonnes for the month, for a total value of NOK 356 million. These figures represent increases of 45 percent and 36 percent respectively. Prices for fresh

whole trout out of Norway averaged NOK 59.10 per kg as of week 5, 2020. The recent decision of the Russian Federation to prohibit importation of Norwegian salmon via Belarus is expected to see exports to Belarus fall this year, although no significant impact is apparent so far.

Prices for farmed bass and bream rose marginally this month on the large Italian market, coming in at EUR 3.60 per kg and EUR 4.60 per kg for Greek-origin 300-450 g bass and bream

respectively. The differential of EUR 1 per kg between the species is the widest differential that has been seen for some years, and producers are hoping for spring demand in Mediterranean

markets to finally lift bass prices from their current unsustainable levels. Overall, supply is expected to tighten in 2020 and the market situation should improve,

although the benefits in terms of price gains are unlikely to be seen until mid-year. In Greece, the country’s new second largest bass and bream producer has officially launched under its

new name, Philosofish.

TROUT

SEABASS SEABREAM

4.60

3.603.0

3.5

4.0

4.5

5.0

5.5

6.0

6.5

Seabass fresh whole 300-450 gr/pc Seabream fresh whole 300-450 gr/pc

EUR/kg

SEABASS/SEABREAM - in Italy origin: Greece

EUR/kg

SEABASS/SEABREAM - in Italy origin: Greece

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GLOBEFISH Market Reports are available from the GLOBEFISH web site: www.fao.org/in-action/globefish

All rights reserved. No part of FAO/GLOBEFISH European Fish Price Report may be reproduced, stored in a retrieval system, or transmitted in any form or by any means (electronic, mechanical, photocopying or otherwise), without prior permission. Requests for use of this material (including

purpose and extent) should be addressed to: GLOBEFISH - Fisheries and Aquaculture Department - Food and Agriculture Organization, Viale delle Terme di Caracalla, 00153 Rome, Italy.

PRICE REFERENCE (INCOTERMS 2010)

CFR Cost and Freight

CIF Cost, Insurance and Freight

CIP Carriage and Insurance Paid To

CPT Carriage Paid To

DAT Delivered at Terminal

DAP Delivered at Place

DDP Delivered Duty Paid

EXW Ex Works

FCA Free Carrier

FAS Free Alongside Ship

FOB Free on Board

PRODUCT FORM

C&P Cooked and Peeled

FAS Frozen at Sea

H&G Headed and Gutted

HOG Head on Gutted (salmon)

IQF Individually Quick Frozen

IWP Individually Wrapped Pack

PBI Pinbone In

PBO Pinbone Off

PD Peeled and Deveined

PTO Peeled Tail On

PUD Peeled, Undeveined

SYMBOLS

+ Price increased in original currency

since last report

- Price decreased in original currency

since last report

= Updated but unchanged price

* New insertion

Not updated since last issue

CURRENCY RATES

US$ EUR

Canada CAD 1.32 1.45

Hungary HUF 309.53 337.12

Norway NOK 9.25 10.04

USA USD 1.09

EU EUR 0.92

Denmark DKK 6.89 7.47

Russia RUR 63.58 69.02

Exchange Rates 14.2.2020

The European Fish Price Report is a monthly GLOBEFISH publication. This issue was prepared by Helga Josupeit, Nada Bougouss, Felix Dent, and Alessia Capasso.

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