Globalization of Indian Economy

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    Globalization of Indian Economy

    By: Sahil Shroff

    SIMSR 2009-2011MMS - A

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    Reasons for Globalization

    Indias Growth performance between 1960 1980

    had been very disappointing compared to other

    East Asian countries - 3.5% per annum against a

    target of 5%.

    Isolation.

    Overall Backwardness.

    Inefficiency of economy.

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    Reasons for the problems

    Rigidly controlled environment.

    Extensive government control over private sector

    activity.

    High levels of protection to encourage domestic

    production(self-relaince).

    Restrictive approach to foreign investment.

    Lower trade openness.

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    Globalization Process

    Globalization of Indian economy took place in

    early 1990s

    Liberalization towards Trade

    Movement to a flexible exchange rate

    Gradual depreciation Tariff reduction

    Liberalization towards FDI

    In the 1990s FDI was welcome and also actively soughtout in various sectors

    FDI involved setting up new capacities, and portfolio

    investment

    Buying equities in existing companies through the stock

    market

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    Globalization Process

    Privatization

    Change in perception of public sector.

    Exclusive public sectors like steel, petroleum,

    telecommunication was thrown open to private sector.

    India did not hand over management control, but insteadprovided minority stakes in the public sector enterprises

    up for sale.

    Profit-making public sector enterprises were not

    privatized.

    Reforms in various sectors including finance and

    infrastructure

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    Reasons for Financial Reform

    Dismal levels of operational and allocation

    efficiency in the banking system

    Low profitability

    High and growing non performing assets

    Low capital base Administered interest rate structure

    Cross subsidization in lending rates

    Poor quality of loan assets

    Excessive focus on quantitative achievements

    Total neglect of returns and earnings

    Lack of capital adequacy measures

    Bad debts

    Poor customer service

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    Reasons for Financial Reform

    Genuine need for banks to undertake substantial

    restructuring additional capitalization to preserve

    their solvency

    Development of new types of financial instruments

    Technological changes

    Expanding capital markets

    Competition from overseas banks

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    Financial Reforms

    Reforms aimed at :

    1. Enhancing the productivity and efficiency of the

    economy as a whole

    2. Increasing international competitiveness

    3. Moving away from central allocation of resources insome key sectors and instead allocating according to

    market forces

    4. Improving the allocating and functional efficiency of the

    financial system

    5. Developing a diversified competitive financial system to

    support the development and growth of the real sector

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    Financial Reforms

    Objectives

    1. Modifications in the policy framework

    2. Improvement in the financial health and competitive

    capabilities

    3. Building financial infrastructures

    4. Up gradation of the level of managerial competence and

    the quality of human resources

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    Financial Reforms

    Reforms in the Banking Sector

    Deregulation of interest rates

    Flexibility to determine cost at which to raise money and

    lend it out

    Liberalization in controls over bank credit allocation

    Different lending rates for different credit limits

    Introduction of prudential norms

    Income recognition Asset clarification

    Provision for bad and doubtful debts

    Capital Adequacy

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    Financial Reforms

    Improved Supervisory standards Board for Financial Supervision(BFS) was setup in 1994

    Introduction of new system of Off-site monitoring and

    Surveillance System(OSMOS)

    CAMELS and CACS for rating of banks to help identify

    special needs for supervisory attention

    Liberalization of entry for private banks Existing banks are allowed to expand their operations

    New private banks are permitted to establish themselves

    Introduction of minority private share holding in

    public banks Reduction of public ownership to minimum holding of 51%

    Foreign institutions are permitted to own up to 20% equity

    in domestic markets

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    Financial Reforms

    Reforms in the Capital Market

    Elimination of government control over the issue of

    capita

    Establishment of an independent regulator for the

    securities market

    Opening the mutual fund sector for private mutual funds

    Reforms in Insurance

    Opening the sector to new private sector insurers but

    with a cap of 26% in foreign equity

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    Effects of the Financial Reforms

    Liberalization of the banking system has notdestabilized it.

    Robustness of the system helped India during the

    East Asian crisis in that it escaped the contagion

    Level of NPAs of the public sector banks havedropped substantially during the reform period

    Better accounting system and financial

    supervision

    Entry of private banks leading to healthycompetition

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    Outcomes of Globalization

    The Good

    GDP growth improved significantly

    1960 -1980 Growth = 3.5%

    1980 -1991 Growth = 5.4%

    1992 -2005 Growth = 6.3%

    Poverty as conventionally measured declined

    In 1983 45% population was below the poverty line

    In 1993 36% population was below the poverty line

    In 1999 26% population was below the poverty line

    Robust increase in real wages

    In the reform period real wages increased by 42%

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    Outcomes of Globalization

    The Bad

    Growth achievements were less than expected

    Targets of 7% and 8% for the years 1992 -1996 and 2002

    2007 respectively not achieved

    Benefits of growth were not seen to be evenly distributed

    among different states

    Some states accelerated much more than others

    The most poorest and populated states actually decelarated

    in growth

    Marginal increase in Employment

    Shrinkage of employment in public sector did not lead toincreased employment in private sector

    Rural areas did not share adequately in growth as

    agriculture decelerated significantly

    Agricultural GDP growth slowed down from 3.6% between

    1980 1996 to 2% between 1997 -2004

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    Future of Indian Economy post globalization

    India has transitioned from a relatively closed to amore open economy fairing well

    The macroeconomic environment is more

    responsive to growth

    India has increased its savings and investmentrates steadily

    FDI has risen from virtually nothing to 1% of GDP

    with a distinct possibility of raising to 2-3% of

    GDP Investor interest is increasing and 200 out of the

    fortune 500 companies are now operating in India

    Indian businessman have confidently started

    investing abroad