Globalization and Africa

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    GLOBALIZATION AND

    AFRICA

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    Introduction

    The term Globalization means differentthings to different people. It is capable of anynumber of conflicting and sometimes,contradictory interpretations, particularly of aqualitative value-laden nature

    It has numerous implications for trade,investment, politics, culture, human rights andother areas

    However, our preoccupation in this session isessentially with the economic aspects

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    Introduction

    It is characterized by an intensification ofcross-border trade and increased foreigndirect investment (FDI) flows, promoted byrapid liberalization and advances ininformation technology

    While globalization holds out to someparticipants the promise of growth in tradeand international investments, and therefore,prosperity, it heightens for others the risks ofinstability and marginalization, especially insub-Saharan Africa

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    Introduction

    This session examines:

    Issues of development and Africa,

    focusing on Sub-Saharan Africa (SSA);Whether Africa can avoid globalization;

    The avenues of globalization as well as

    its impact; andThe means for maximizing the benefitsof globalization

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    Development and Africa

    In conceptualizing development, it isconvenient to adopt a needs approach,

    which emphasizes the ability of a country orregion to provide basic needs of food, shelter,clothing, etc to its citizens.

    We therefore characterize Africa along the

    universally accepted indices of developmentWhat are the characteristics of Sub-SaharanAfrica?

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    Development and Africa

    Stunted Growth: The region grew atbetween 1.8 2.0 percent only in the period1981-90 and 1991-99 respectively. Judgedagainst the population growth rate, it is lowcompared to other regions of the world (e.g8.0 for East Asia)

    While there has been an increase in realoutput growth in recent times (e.g 4.3 and 4.6percent in 2003 and 2004 respectively), thislies below the about 6 to 7 percent needed toreduce poverty.

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    Development and Africa

    Low Economic Integration: SSA is the leastintegrated sub-continent compared to others.

    What obtains is the proliferation of manyeconomic groupings, often with overlappingfunctions e.g in West Africa, there isECOWAS, The Manu River Union (MRU),and The Francophone Union, all oftencompeting rather than cooperating. There arealso about five such groups in East andSouthern Africa

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    Development and Africa

    Excessive Debt Burden: In 1990, SSAowed a total of $176.8b, which

    increased to $230.1b by 1998.Recent debt relief granted to someAfrican countries have reduced the debt

    burden, but reports have it that some ofthe countries have started to pile upfresh debts

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    Development and Africa

    Excessive Debt Burden: In 1990, SSAowed a total of $176.8b, which

    increased to $230.1b by 1998.Recent debt relief granted to someAfrican countries have reduced the debt

    burden, but reports have it that some ofthe countries have started to pile upfresh debts

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    Development and Africa

    SSA is a poor region: In 2000, of 34countries indicated by the World Bank to be

    poor, 28 were in SSA.In 1999, SSAs GNP at PPP dollars was$929.3b, East Asia and the Pacific $6423.8band MENAs $1337.5b

    SSAs per capita GDP was $1450, EastAsias $3500; Europes $3500 and MENAs$4600

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    Development and Africa

    SSA is a poor region: Even when onelooks at the UNDPs Human

    Development Index (HDI), the continentstill does not fare well. It is the poorestcontinent in the world

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    Development and Africa

    Inadequate Infrastructure: General dearthof infrastructure, both social and economic

    The information superhighway relies almostexclusively on telecommunications. AlthoughGSM has brought about improvement, accessto telephone (fixed and mobile), personalcomputers and internet in SSA remains thelowest in the world.

    A similar picture obtains for otherinfrastructure

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    Development and Africa

    Concentration in Primary Products: SSA isessentially a primary producer.

    These products are subject to declining termsof trade, price volatility and thus, unstableearnings.

    Between 1990 and 99, SSAs domestic valueadded from manufacturing was 17%compared to East Asia and Pacifics 28%

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    What Explains Africas

    Poor Performance?Adverse geographic and demographicconditions

    Terms of trade and other external shocksMacroeconomic policy weaknesses

    Structural policy failures

    Weaknesses in governance, notably poormanagement of resources

    Political instability

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    Can Africa Avoid

    Globalization?According to Ahassane Quattara, a pastdeputy managing director of the IMF, Africa

    cannot escape globalization, and they shouldnot try to avoid it.

    Africa needs to join, but in joining, shouldprepare itself for it.

    He advises that Africa can proceed to theinternational community via strong regionalcooperation

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    Avenues of Globalization

    International Trade: Africas share of worldtrade has been declining as a result ofrestrictive trade regimes, slow income growth,high transport costs and distance frominternational markets

    Capital Flows: What Africa had beenexperiencing was capital flight. Althoughthere has been some increase in FDI flows inthe late 90s and 2000s, Africa has beenworse off

    Net official flows of aid or ODA has also fallensignificantly

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    Avenues of Globalization

    Human Migration

    Advances in Telecommunications and

    transportationSpread of knowledge and technology

    Economic Integration

    International Organizations (IMF, World Bank,

    WTO): Africa has often been a passiveparticipant in most of these organizations.They are not adequately represented

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    Impacts of Globalization

    Increased prosperity and reducedpoverty for some countries, particularly

    in East AsiaMarginalization of Africa in sense thataid has reduced rather than increased

    Other potential impacts are:

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    Impacts of Globalization

    More efficient utilization of resources

    Greater specialization among nations and,

    thus, increased welfareIncrease in output and trade throughliberalization

    Higher quality products and lower prices

    through competitionExposure to new ideas, technology andculture

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    Requirements for

    Maximizing the Benefits

    of GlobalizationPolicy Reform

    Liberalization of trade regimes

    Pursuit of programme of integrationInvesting in people and building capacity

    Improving infrastructure and spurring agric

    developmentPromoting a sound banking and financialdevelopment

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    Requirements for

    Maximizing the Benefits

    of GlobalizationEncouraging private investment throughliberal incentives

    Reducing the size of the public sectorthrough privatization

    Reform of the regulatory framework

    Transparency in governanceSimplicity of procedures

    Fight against corruption

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    Requirements for

    Maximizing the Benefits

    of GlobalizationResponsibility of officials and rule of law

    Individual freedom and collective expression

    Independence of legal systemReduction of dependence on primarycommodities and improvement inmanufacturing value-added

    Reducing poverty and increasing savings

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    Requirements for

    Maximizing the Benefits

    of GlobalizationFacilitating market access through activeparticipation and advocacy in WTO

    Encouraging private capital flowsSupplementing debt relief with increased newlevel of financial support

    Need for a strong international monetary and

    financial system patterned to solving theproblems of Africa

    More and better debt relief

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    Conclusion

    Admittedly, some of these are structuralreforms which take time and involve

    substantial `learning from experience'.Building institutions is much more difficultthan changing policies, so Nigeria and otherAfrican countries may have to rely more on

    the trade channel in the short and mediumterm as their major means of reaping thebenefits of globalization

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    Thanks for listening