Globalization A and N - maconaria.net · APSC 450 Defining Globalization Globalization is the pr...
Transcript of Globalization A and N - maconaria.net · APSC 450 Defining Globalization Globalization is the pr...
AP
SC
450
Econom
icG
lobalizationand
ItsC
onsequences
PR
OF.
WE
RN
ER
AN
TW
EIL
ER
Facultyof
Com
merce
andB
usinessA
dministration
http://pacific.comm
erce.ubc.ca/antweiler/apsc450/
1.D
efinition:W
hatisG
lobalization?
2.T
heC
asefor
Globalization
3.E
vidence:Is
itReally
Happening?
4.W
hatarethe
Driving
Forcesof
Globalization?
5.Strategic
Responses
ofB
usinesses
6.PoliticalG
lobalization
Globalization
/Introduction1
AP
SC
450
Defining
Globalization
Globalization
isthe
processby
which
nationalityand
geographiclocation
become
increasinglyirrelevantfor
economic
activities.
Whatexactly
doesthatm
ean?W
hatisthe
evidenceof
thisprocess?
Which
factorsdrive
thisprocess?
How
shouldbusinesses
respondto
it?
Globalization
/Definition
2
AP
SC
450
Types
ofG
lobalization�
Econom
icG
lobalization:the
processadvancing
theintegration
ofthe
world
economy
throughtrade
andinvestm
ent.
How
doesitw
ork?
�
CulturalG
lobalization:the
processby
which
tastesand
preferencesof
individualsbecom
em
oresim
ilaracross
countries
(e.g.,Nintendo?
Hollyw
oodm
ovies?M
cDonald’s?
orSushi?).
Shouldw
ecare
aboutit?Is
thisdesirable
ornot?
�
PoliticalG
lobalization:countries
careabouttheir
neighbours’
actionsbecause
of(negative)
spillovereffects.
Globalization
/Definition
3
AP
SC
450 Types
ofE
conomic
Globalization
�
Globalization
ofconsumption:
thenation
inw
hicha
product
was
made
becomes
independentofthe
nationalityof
the
consumer.InternationalT
rade
�
Globalization
ofproductionand
ownership:
thenationality
of
theow
nerand
controllerof
productiveassets
isindependentof
thenation
housingthem
.
Foreign
Direct
Investment
Globalization
/Definition
4
AP
SC
450 Globalization
ofC
onsumption
Peoplehave
apreference
forvariety.
Ifeach
nationproduces
anum
berof
varietiesof
goods
proportionaltoits
size,aC
anadianconsum
esforeign
productsin
proportionto
theeconom
icsize
ofthe
originatingcountry.
Since
Canada’s
sharein
world
outputisonly
about3%,only
3%of
goods
consumed
inC
anadaw
ouldbe
domestically
produced.
Ina
fully“globalized”
world,consum
ptionpatterns
willnot
dependon
similarity
inculture,language,or
institutions,andthey
willalso
notdependon
geographicproxim
ityor
traderelations.
Globalization
/Definition
5
AP
SC
450
Globalization
ofProduction
andO
wnership
Location
choicedepends
oncom
parativeadvantage
(lower
per-unit
productioncost)
ina
givenlocation.
Countries
tendto
specializein
activities.International“outsourcing”
ofproduction
allows
companies
toreap
thefullbenefits
ofan
integratedw
orldeconom
y.
Ifthere
isno
“home
bias”in
ownership,C
anada’sassets
would
be
owned
byforeigners
atthesam
eproportion
asforeigners
own
all
world
assets.C
onsequently,onlyabout3%
ofC
anadianassets
would
beow
nedby
Canadians,and
Canadian
firms
would
haveroughly
97%of
theirtotalassets
overseas.
Globalization
/Definition
6
AP
SC
450
The
Gains
fromT
rade
Trade
Leads
toSpecialization
ofC
ountries
�
TechnologicalDifferences:
Some
countriesare
more
productivethan
others.D
iffusionof
newtechnology
isslow
.R
icardo’sT
heoryof
Com
parativeA
dvantageim
pliesthatcountries
will
tradeeven
when
onecountry
hashigher
productivityin
allindustries.
�
Factor
Endow
ments:
Countries
aredifferently
endowed
with
capital,differenttypesof
labour,land,andnaturalresources.
�
IncreasingR
eturnsto
Scale:Per-unitcosts
may
fallwith
outputor
cumulative
output.C
ompanies
may
benefitfromagglom
erationeffects
andother
positive“spillovers.”
Concentration
andspecialization
ofproduction
willbe
beneficial.
Globalization
/Definition
7
AP
SC
450 Gains
fromF
oreignInvestm
ent
Why
doM
ultinationalEnterprises
exist?
Because
MN
Es
internalizeow
nershipadvantages.
�
TechnologicalAdvantage:
protectionof
intellectualproperty.
�
Consum
erR
ecognitionA
dvantage:brand
names,com
pany
recognition,positive“source
effect”.
�
Market/L
ocationA
dvantage:localknow
ledge,delivery
logistics.
�
Input/SourcingA
dvantage:superior
abilityto
sourceinputs.
Globalization
/Definition
8
AP
SC
450
Liberty,M
arkets,andM
arketFailure
�
Peopleand
companies
tradew
itheach
otheracross
borders
becausethis
istheir
choiceand
itisto
theiradvantage.
Interferingin
traderelations
limits
freedom.
�
Com
paniesw
hichcom
petew
ithrivals
forcustomers
andw
orkers
worry
abouttheirreputation
forquality
andsocialresponsibility.
Functioningm
arketsexpress
consumerpreferences,notcom
pany
preferences.G
lobalizationgenerally
increasescom
petition.
�
When
markets
fail,governments
havean
obligationto
intervene
(e.g.,bysetting
environmentalstandards).
Globalization
/Myths
andT
ruths9
AP
SC
450
Does
globalizationharm
thepoor?
Accusations:
1.G
lobalizationdisplaces
low-paid
workers
athome
anddrives
down
wages
byraising
unemploym
ent.
2.G
lobalizationshifts
jobsto
poorcountries
where
workers
are
paidm
uchless
thanthe
displacedw
orkersin
richcountries.
Responses:
1.Freertrade
raisesliving
standardsin
bothrich
andpoor
countries.
2.W
orkersin
poorcountries
arebetter
offbecause
theyhave
chosento
work
fora
(usuallybetter-paying)
foreigncom
pany
ratherthan
a(low
er-paying)dom
esticcom
pany.
Globalization
/Myths
andT
ruths10
AP
SC
450
3.W
hiledisplaced
rich-countryw
orkersare
initiallyw
orseoff,
mostof
themw
illeventuallym
oveto
otherjobs.
4.U
nemploym
entratesare
neitherhigher
norlow
erin
anopen
economy
compared
toa
closedeconom
y.
5.B
ecauseim
portsand
exportsm
ustbalancein
thelong
run,“m
ovingjobs
abroad”in
oneindustry
mustbe
matched
byan
increasein
productionin
anotherindustry
athome.
New
jobsat
home
areoften
high-skilledjobs.
6.E
mpirically,investm
entabroaddoes
notdisplaceexports
(and
jobs).Production
abroadoften
requiresinputs
fromthe
home
country,andincreases
tradeam
ongaffiliates
ofm
ultinationals.
As
aresult,exports
tendto
increasealong
with
foreigninvestm
ent.
Globalization
/Myths
andT
ruths11
AP
SC
450
But
whataboutchild
labour?O
rthe
environment?
�
Stoppingim
portsfrom
countriesw
ithchild
labourm
aydo
more
harmthan
good.L
esstrade
means
lessgrow
thand
more
poverty.T
radebarriers
may
simply
drivechildren
fromproducing
forexportto
producinggoods
fordom
esticconsum
ption;theystill
may
notgoto
schoolinstead.In
thelong
run,thebestw
ayto
combatchild
labouris
tocom
batitssource:
poverty.
�
With
increasedFD
I,willenvironm
entalpollutersm
ovefrom
richhigh-standard
countriesto
poorlow
-standardcountries,resulting
ina
“raceto
thebottom
”?Is
freetrade
goodor
badfor
theenvironm
ent?E
vidence:open
economies
growfaster
thanclosed
economies,and
richercountries
implem
enthigherenvironm
entalstandards.
Globalization
/Myths
andT
ruths12
AP
SC
450
Does
globalizationw
idenincom
einequality
athom
e?�
Increasedtrade
doesindeed
seemto
raiseincom
einequality
somew
hat.W
agesfor
low-skilled
jobshave
stagnated,butwages
forhigh-skilled
workers
haveincreased
significantly.
�
How
ever,theeffectfrom
increasedtrade
isovershadow
ed
dramatically
bythe
inequality-raisingeffectfrom
skill-biased
technologicalchange.
�
The
negativeeffects
fromtrade
andtechnology
arecom
pensated
bybetter
educationof
neww
orkersand
retrainingof
low-skilled
workers.
Globalization
/Myths
andT
ruths13
AP
SC
450
Does
globalizationw
identhe
income
gapbetw
eenrich
countriesand
poorcountries?
�
Em
piricalfact:trade
isgood
foreconom
icgrow
th,andw
ithfew
exceptionsincreases
inper-capita
income
ofthe
poorhas
not
fallenbehind
overallincreasesin
per-capitaincom
ein
developingcountries.
�
Povertyis
worstw
heregrow
this
low(A
frica)and
ism
uch
reducedw
heregrow
this
high(E
astAsia).
Betw
een1975
and1995,the
per-capitaincom
egap
between
theU
.S.andC
hinahas
fallenfrom
19to
6;however,A
frica’sincom
egap
hasincreased
from12
to19.
�
Wage
differentialsalso
reflectdifferencesin
productivity.
Globalization
/Myths
andT
ruths14
AP
SC
450
Ifnotglobalization,then
who
orw
hatisresponsible
forthe
scandalouslevelofpoverty
inthis
world?
�
Rich
countries:
�
traderules
excludegoods
frompoor
countries
(e.g.,textiles,agriculturalproducts)
�
protectionof
intellectual
propertyrights
may
excludepoor
countriesfrom
accessing
technology(e.g.,cheap
genericdrugs
tocom
batHIV
)
�
over-protectionof
banksencourages
recklesslending
andthus
contributesto
financialcrisesin
poorcountries
�
Poor
countries:m
anyproblem
sare
indeedhom
e-made
�
corruption
�
incompetence
andpatronage
�
lackof
legal
protectionof
peopleand
property
�
lackof
wom
en’srights
�
tribalwarfare
�
non-democratic
politicalsystems
Globalization
/Myths
andT
ruths15
AP
SC
450
Globalization
Exam
ple:T
heG
ML
eMans
design:G
ermany
components:
Japan,Taiwan,Singapore
assembly:
Korea
advertisingcam
paign:B
ritain
Globalization
/Evidence
16
AP
SC
450
Em
piricalEvidence:
InternationalTrade
1.W
orldexports
haveconsistently
grown
more
thanw
orldG
DP
(output)during
thePost-w
arperiod.
During
thelast45
years
world
merchandise
outputmultiplied
bya
factorof
5.5w
hile
tradem
ultipliedby
afactor
of14.
2.T
radein
manufactured
goodsstillaccounts
forabouthalf
ofall
tradeand
itgrewrapidly
inthe
1990’s.
3.T
radein
services(softw
are,insurance,banking,etc.)is
increasingits
sharein
totaltradeand
isbecom
ingincreasingly
important.
Globalization
/Evidence
17
AP
SC
450
Em
piricalEvidence:
Foreign
DirectInvestm
ent
1.FD
Ihas
increaseddram
atically.B
etween
1984and
1998,total
flowof
FDI
fromallcountries
increasedby
900%,w
hilew
orld
tradegrew
by121%
,andw
orldoutputby
34%.
2.B
y1998,the
globalFDI
stockhas
exceededU
S$4.0trillion
(more
than1/2
thesize
ofthe
U.S.econom
y)
3.45,000
parentcompanies
had280,000
foreignaffiliates.
4.A
bout80%of
world
FDI
isbetw
eendeveloped
countries.
5.A
bout80%of
FDI
intoC
anadacom
esfrom
theU
.S.,and
another10%
fromthe
UK
.
Globalization
/Evidence
18
AP
SC
450
Counter
Evidence:
Isthe
World
aG
lobalVillage?
Nations
andgeography
stillmatter.
Consider
theleading
multinationals.
With
fewexceptions
(Nestle),they
havea
home-country
biasin
boththeir
assetsand
sales(sales
athome
area
higher%
oftotalsales
thanhom
eG
DP
asa
%of
world
GD
P).
Consider
thelarge
automobile-M
NE
sin
theU
S.Deborah
Swenson
hasanalyzed
dataon
thepercentage
ofinputs
originatingin
theU
Sand
thepercentage
ofshipm
entsrem
aining
inthe
US.For
the‘B
ig3’,95%
ofinputs
aredom
esticand
92%
ofshipm
entsrem
ainin
theU
S.Forforeign
assemblers,67%
of
inputsand
88%of
shipments
aredom
estic.
Globalization
/Evidence
19
AP
SC
450
Counter
Evidence
(II)�
FDI
outsideof
thehom
ecountry
isregionally
clustered
(especiallytaking
intoaccounteconom
ysizes):
Japanis
the
principalinvestorin
Korea
andother
Asia-Pacific
areas.
Germ
anydom
inatesinvestm
entinE
asternE
urope.T
heU
nited
Statesdom
inateinvestm
entinthe
restofthe
Am
ericas.
�
Affiliates
ofU
SM
NE
sin
Europe
sellmostof
theirproducts
(on
average60%
)in
thecountry
inw
hichthe
affiliateis
located.
Globalization
/Evidence
20
AP
SC
450 Driving
Forces
ofG
lobalization
1.A
dvancesin
Transportation
Technology:the
“shrinking
globe”;airtravel;container
shipsand
tankers;more
roads.
2.Im
provementin
Com
munication
Technology:coordination
of
activitiesaround
thew
orldis
gettingeasier;the
Internet.
3.L
ower
Barriers
toT
rade:N
AFTA
,GA
TT
andthe
WT
O;the
Most-Favoured
Nation
(MFN
)Principle.
4.L
ower
Barriers
toInvestm
ent:T
heN
ationalTreatm
ent(NT
)
Principleensures
non-discrimination
againstforeigncom
panies
5.Integration
ofFinancialM
arkets:H
ighlevelof
international
capitalmobility;increased
markettransparency.
Globalization
/Driving
Forces
21
AP
SC
450
Driving
Forces
ofGlobalization
(continued)
6.C
onvergencein
Tastes:A
sper
capitaincom
eshave
converged
among
theO
EC
Dnations
(Europe,N
orthA
merica,Japan),this
hasprom
otedm
oresim
ilarbuying
patterns,making
goods
producedabroad
more
attractivethan
theyw
erebefore.
Greater
similarity
inbuying
patternsm
ayalso
emerge
fromincreased
travel,migration,and
internationalmedia.
Forexam
ple:W
ith
theexposure
tonew
cuisines,Am
ericansare
sprinklingan
average3.1
poundsof
spicesonto
foodannually,nearly
apound
more
thana
decadeago.
Globalization
/Driving
Forces
22
AP
SC
450 How
ShouldB
usinessesR
espondto
theC
hallengeof
Globalization?
�
Rationalization:
thereorganization
ofproduction
byproductor
processin
differentcountriesto
exploitlocationadvantages
(see:gains
fromtrade).
–C
onsolidation:shutting
down
ofinefficientproduction
linesin
some
plantsand
boostingof
productioncapacity
ofefficientproduction
linesin
otherplants
–Specialization:
dedicationof
productionplants
toindividual
productsor
processes.
�
Fragm
entation:D
uplicationof
productionlines
indifferent
geographiclocations
toaddress
localdifferencesin
consumer
behaviouror
exploitproximity
advantages.
Globalization
/StrategicR
esponses23
AP
SC
450
Globalization:
StrategicR
esponses
GlobalStrategy:
Inresponse
tohigh
costpressures,centralize
productionand
functionsin
them
ostsuitablelocation(s)
inorder
toexploiteconom
iesof
scale.Sella
“globalproduct”.
Multidom
esticStrategy:
Inresponse
tohigh
demand
pressures,
establishself-reliantoperations
inm
anycountries
with
little
globalintegration.Sella
“localproduct”.
InternationalStrategy:A
mixture
ofthe
previoustw
o
strategiesw
itha
strongheadquarter
(e.g.,forR
&D
),strong
globalintegration,butsome
duplicationof
functionsin
individualcountriesor
regions.
Globalization
/StrategicR
esponses24
AP
SC
450
Globalization:
OperationalM
odes�
Exporting
�
Licensing
andF
ranchising
�
Subsidiary
–B
uyingan
existing“brow
nfield”operation.
–E
stablishinga
new“greenfield”
operation.
�
JointVentures
�
StrategicA
lliances
Globalization
/StrategicR
esponses25
AP
SC
450
Globalization:
PracticalC
hallenges�
Different
Legaland
TaxE
nvironments:
ownership
rulestax
rates,doubletaxation,governm
entincentives
�
InternationalFinance:
differentcurrencies,exchangerates,
hedgingagainstcurrency
risk.
�
InternationalMarketing:
consumers
havedifferent
preferences,differentlevelsof
sophisticationand
purchasing
power,differentsocialcontext.
�
OrganizationalIntegration:
differentlanguages,different
businessculture.
Globalization
/StrategicR
esponses26
AP
SC
450
PoliticalG
lobalizationA
ndT
heW
estphalianP
rinciple�
The
17th-centuryPeace
ofW
estphalia,which
endedthe
30-Years
War,established
therule
thatstatesm
aydo
whatever
theylike
(suchas
imposing
thesovereign’s
religion)w
ithintheir
borders—only
externalrelationsare
theproper
concernof
the
internationalcomm
unity.
�
Under
which
conditionsare
we
willing
tointerfere
inthe
internal
affairsof
asovereign
state?In
reality,theW
estphalianPrinciple
iseroding.
Globalization
/PoliticalG
lobalization27
AP
SC
450 The
Westphalian
Principle
(II)�
Whataboutspillover
effects?V
iolationsof
human
rights
generaterefugee
streams.
Violations
ofenvironm
entalstandards
spillacrossborders
throughpollution
(e.g.,acidrain,global
warm
ing).
�
How
strongis
the(econom
icand/or
political)rationale
for
harmonizing
standardssuch
aslabour
laws,environm
ental
protection,orhum
anrights?
�
Whatcan
we
doto
coordinateactivities
andprotectstandards?
�
Isolationismis
notanoption.
Globalization
isa
reality.
Globalization
/PoliticalG
lobalization28