Preparedness & Response for CERTs Pandemic H1N1 Influenza Interactive Exercise.
Global H1N1 pandemic influenza update (Oct 2009) and overview including critical animal-human...
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Global H1N1 pandemic influenza update (Oct 2009) and overview including critical animal-human interface risk factors. Jan Slingenbergh, Senior Officer, Animal Health Service FAO of the UN Rome, Italy slide 1
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Transcript of Global H1N1 pandemic influenza update (Oct 2009) and overview including critical animal-human...
Global H1N1 pandemic influenza update (Oct 2009) and overview including critical animal-human
interface risk factors.
Jan Slingenbergh, Senior Officer, Animal Health Service
FAO of the UNRome, Italy
slide 1
slide 2
mallard
passerines
other
ducksanatidae waterbirds
domestic ducks and geese
other,
terrestrial poultry
avian -
mammalian
host barrier
pathogen
species
barrier
Influenza type A
Influenza type B
humanspigs
cats
prey birds
sea
mammals
horses
dogs
Host radiation – from generalist to specialist
mink
ferret
slide 3
Influenza A host radiation - agricultural encroachment
human influenza AH1,3
HPAI H5,7 + H9 / other HA subtypes
terrestrial poultry
H1, 3 + ? in domestic
pigs
H1-16domestic waterfowl
wildwater birdreservoir
H1-16
terrestrialwild birds
H1-16
?
H1 ?others?
H1 H3? H1,3 HPAIH5,7+ H9
HPAIH5,7+ H9
??
H1,3 H1 -16
?
?
*
*
*
HPAI H5 ?
H7?H1 -16
HPAI H5
H7?
H1 -16
?
*: so far not sustained; spill- over only
*
slide 4
Poultry in the World
slide 5
Global pre-pandemic influenza alert system
RT monitoring of virus evolution in hot-spots of animal-human contact
FAO data:
losses
costs A.H.
health protectionstrategy
O/I
AGRIPOP / ARALAND.
maps of bio-security+
health protectionregimes
FAOpig / poultry flu
activity / invasibilityproxies
FAO/OIE/WHOlab networks
sequence datavirus evolution
WHO relatedhuman flu activity
monitoring
human animal
validation
geo-spatialanalysis
riskmappingpig + poultry
intensification maps
slide 6
Poultry in Asia
slide 7
Poultry in Vietnam (2002)
slide 8
slide 9
slide 10
slide 11
niches in the disease landscape
0
500,000
1,000,000
1,500,000
2,000,000
2,500,000
19
61
19
64
19
67
19
70
19
73
19
76
19
79
19
82
19
85
19
88
19
91
19
94
19
97
20
00
20
03
Du
ck M
ea
t Pro
du
ctio
n (
To
ns)
China
Cambodia, Indonesia, Lao, Thailand and Vietnam
0
2,000,000
4,000,000
6,000,000
8,000,000
10,000,000
12,000,000
19
61
19
64
19
67
19
70
19
73
19
76
19
79
19
82
19
85
19
88
19
91
19
94
19
97
20
00
20
03
Ch
icke
n M
ea
t Pro
du
ctio
n (
To
ns)
China
Cambodia, Indonesia, Lao, Thailand and Vietnam
HPAI in domestic waterfowl
slide 12
H5N1 niche map
