Gif2008 Workshop a400m Suarez
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Transcript of Gif2008 Workshop a400m Suarez
7/27/2019 Gif2008 Workshop a400m Suarez
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Global Investor
Forum 2008
A400MCarlos SuarezCEO
MTAD & Airbus MilitaryTom WilliamsExecutive Vice-President Programmes
Airbus
Seville, 17th / 18th January 2008
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The Company disclaims any intention or obligation to update these forward-looking statements. Consequently the Company isnot responsible for any consequences from using any of the below statements.
Certain of the statements contained in this document are not historical facts but rather are statements of future expectations and other forward-looking statements that are based on management‘s beliefs. These statements reflect the Company‘s views and assumptionsas of the date of the statements and involve known and unknown risk and uncertainties that could cause actual results, performance or events to differ materially from those expressed or implied in such statements.
When used in this document, words such as“ant icipate” , “believe ”, “estimate ”, “expect ”, “may ”, “intend ”, “plan to ” and “project ” areintended to identify forward-looking statements. Such forward-looking statements include, without limitation, projections for improvements in process and operations, new business opportunities, revenues and revenues growth, operating margin growth, cashflow, deliveries, launches, compliance with delivery schedules, performance against Company targets, new products, current andfuture markets for the Company products and other trend projections.
This forward looking information is based upon a number of assumptions including without limitation:· Assumption regarding demand· Current and future markets for the Company‘s products and services· Internal performance including the ability to successfully integrate EADS‘activities to control costs and maintain quality· Customer financing· Customer, supplier and subcontractor performance or contract negotiations· Favourable outcomes of certain pending sales campaigns
Forward looking statements are subject to uncertainty and actual future results and trends may differ materially depending on varietyof factors including without limitation:· General economic and labour conditions, including in particular economic conditions in Europe and North America,· Legal, financial and governmental risk related to international transactions· The cyclical nature of some of the Company‘s businesses· Volatility of the market for certain products and services· Product performance risks, and programme development and management risks· Collective bargaining labour disputes
· Factors that result in significant and prolonged disruption to air travel world-wide· The outcome of political and legal processes, including uncertainty regarding government funding of certain programs· Consolidation among competitors in the aerospace industry· The cost of developing, and the commercial success of new products· Exchange rate and interest rate spread fluctuations between the Euro and the U.S. dollar and other currencies· Legal proceeding and other economic, political and technological risk and uncertainties
Additional information regarding these factors is contained in the Company‘s “registration document” dated 25th April 2007
Safe Harbor Statement
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Background
• Long lasting sales campaign dating from FLA.• Launch date came out at the worst point for Airbus.
• Lack of non specific design activity in previous Airbuspartners.
• Multi mission role leads to a complex set of requirements.
• Lack of experience in Airbus for High Wing, “T” tail, turboprop aircraft and military qualification.
• Strong pressure from Nations to adopt the EPI engine asopposed to the cheaper and less risky PW solution for the
most powerful engine propeller combination ever developed.• Fixed Price Contract (“Commercial Approach”) with
unbalanced Risk taking.
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Programme execution
• Complex work share• Still using the NatCo based development teams.
• Better integration of design tools and PDM.
• Significant early changes in aircraft configuration.
• IFA represents a major stretch for the local team (a miniFAL), they were not sufficiently supported by the Airbusorganisation.
• EPI not organised as a proper programme managementorganisation.
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Key challenges for 2008
• Recover the engine delays.
• Manage the outstanding work (particularly the cargohandling system, …).
• React to the issues coming from first flight.
• Manage the military equipment development.
• Manage the ramp up.
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Supporting actions
• New leadership for the programme.
• New programme organisation in EPI. Audit launched withEPI.
• Stronger support at Bremen through the new integratedCoE fuselage.
• High level focus through weekly reviews with CEO.
• Stronger coordination between Airbus, MTAD (AirbusMilitary) and DS
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TP400-D6 Engine DevelopmentMilestones
TODAY’S
STATUS
CONTRACTUALDATE
30 Oct. 2007
N.A.
30 Oct. 2007
30 Jan. 2007
30 Jun. 2007
30 Nov. 2006
30 Dec. 2005
30 Aug. 2005
July 2008TP400 Engine First Flight Clearance
Oct. 2008TP400 Certification Std. Engine Delivery (HPC
redesign)
19 Nov. 2007Engine Delivery for Flight Test Bed
April 2008Flight Test Bed First Flight
Mar. 2009TP400 Engine Certification
Feb. 2008Engine Delivery or First A400M Test Aircraft
23 Feb. 2006First Engine & Propeller Test
28 Oct. 2005First Engine Test
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R U N N I N G H
R S
ETPv03 (2-09-2005)ETP06.01(September 2007)
ACTUAL (7-01-2008)
ETP06.01 FTB
Flight Clearance
ETP06.01 Initial
Flight Clearance
ETP06.01
ETP03
ETP Status: Running Hours
684:58 hr
Engine Contract Milestone
(M8) 1150 hours
• Approx. 1200hr are needed to build up maturity confidence before First Flight
• Current Flight Test Engine Standard will impose Flight Limitations and some
test need to be repeated when final Engine Standard available (HPC redesign)
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First Flight Schedule
Jul y A ugus t Sept em ber Oc tober N ovem ber Dec em ber January F ebruary M arc h A pri l M ay June Jul y A ugus t
20082007
St50
St 60 Outstanding Work St 40 SGT
Outstanding Work & St 35
St 30
St 20
10
FlightLineSt 25
St 72 St 70
45a
Empennage Join-up
Fuselage Join-up A/C Integration &
Equipping
45b
Engine equipping
Software reloading
Weighing
Wing Join -up Wing E qu ipping & Test
Ready for
First Flight
Ready for
First Flight
Indoor Ground Tests
Outdoor
Ground Tests
Painting
Software Loading
GT
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IOC Flight Testing
And EIS
SOC Flight Testing
Impact to EIS
Contract
Qtr 1
2008 2009 2010 2011
FF IOC/EIS SOC
IOC/EISFF
MSN1
2m
SOC Flight Test
6 months delay
6 months delay
Engine clearance
OSW completion
Systems Integration
Engine unknowns
Systems development
Unknowns form Flight test
MMC/GADIRS/FMS
integration
Qtr 2 Qtr 3 Qtr 4 Qtr 1 Qtr 2 Qtr 3 Qtr 4 Qtr 1 Qtr 2 Qtr 3 Qtr 4 Qtr 1 Qtr 2 Qtr 3 Qtr 4
SOC
6 m risk to SOC
MMC/GADIRS/FMS integration
CHS/ADS development
Military Qualification
IOC Flight Test
6 m risk to IOC/EIS
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A400M Programme Organisation
Sub-Contracts
Third Parties
Engine
Manufacturer Engine
Manufacturer
Propeller
Manufacturer Propeller
Manufacturer
...
Shareholder Agreements
Shareholders
IndustrialAgreements
Partners
LaunchContract
OCCAR
Organisation for Joint
Armaments cooperation
---------------
Organisme Conjoint de Coopération
en matière d'Armement
MoU
N
A
T
I
O
N
S
D e v e l o p m e n t
M a n a g e m e n t
C o n t r a c t
MTAD
MTAD
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A400M Rapid Response: Logistic andTactical
Tactical
Capability
Logistic Capability: Payload / Range
… fil ls the
logis t ic/tact ical gap
Tactical
Transports
C-130
Strategic Airlifters
An-124, C-17
A400M
… complements C-17
capabi l i ty
… affo rdab le
Proprietary Information
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An impressive Market Segment
3130 Medium size transports in service, in storage and on order, early 2007
1630 C-130
177 C-160
520 An-12 800 IL-76/78
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Market Requirement for A400M type transports
E u r o p
e
N o r t h
A m e r i
c a
L a t i n
A m e r i
c a A f r i c
a
M i d d l e E a
s t A s i a
A u s t r
a l a s i a
C I S + C h i n
a
plus Deliveries to current A400M Customers (192 a/c)
050
100
150
200
250
300
350
400
450
~1100 aircraft in 60 countries up to 2025
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Capacity Requirement A400M type transports
North
America
~400
CIS, China
~320
Customers
192
Export Potential:400 aircraft in56 countries
~ 1300 Deliveries 2006 – 2025+
New demand plus replacements translate into a worldwide need for some
1300 deliveries of A400M type aircraft
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Export Potential : 400 aircraft in 56countries
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
80
90
A s i a
excluding Current Customers, North America, CIS, China
M i d
d l e E a s
t
A f r i c a
L a t i n
A m e r i c
a
E u r o p e
A u s t r a l a s i a
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A400M Delivery Potential ~ 400aircraft
North
America
~400
CIS, China
~320
Customers
192
Export Potential:
400 aircraft in56 countries
Export Potential
200
Other Transactions
200
A400M Delivery Potential to
Customer and Export Nations:
~ 400
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Strong Market Prospects
• A400M marketing efforts have achieved 192 orders before firstflight.
• There is a strong market interest in the aircraft which will
strengthen as soon as the first aircraft starts flying.
• Even assuming conservative assumptions the A400M should
achieve 400 sales.
• HOWEVER this assumes no penetration into the USAF which
represents a further 400 units requirement.
• Just half of this US market would enable the currently planned
production rate (~30 aircraft/year) to be maintained for >15years
EADS is convinced that their confidence in the A400M
programme will be vindicated.
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A400M Operational Capabilities
Notwithstanding the immediate challenges ahead
the A400M will meet the demanding requirements of both
operational and humanitarian missions because:
. . . capabilities which put the
A400M into a class of its own.
• A400M provides true Logistic (Inter-Theatre) Airlift:
• High Cruise Speed, Long Range, Outsize Load Capacity
• A400M is a better Tactical Airlifter than current fleets:
• Greater Manouvrability…Softer Field Capability…Better Self-Protection
• A400M has a built-in Air-to-Air Refuelling capability:
• Fast / high enough for fast-jets…plus slow / low enough for helicopters
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