Gi support slides-part2-011012b

15
This image accompanies the podcast recorded January 10, 2012 Listen to the original podcast for this slide at http://www.traderview.com/globalInsights.htm The content of this slide should not be considered investment advice of any sort, nor should it be used to make investment decisions. Use of this slide is considered to be your explicit acceptance of the Disclosure Statement and the Terms of Use found on the last page of this document. Part 2 Man vs. Markets The Battle of Politicians Against the Markets “It’s a battle of politicians against the markets. But I’m determined to win the battle.” - Angela Merkel, May 6, 2010

description

 

Transcript of Gi support slides-part2-011012b

Page 1: Gi support slides-part2-011012b

This image accompanies the podcast recordedJanuary 10, 2012

Listen to the original podcast for this slide at http://www.traderview.com/globalInsights.htmThe content of this slide should not be considered investment advice of any sort, nor should it be used to make investment decisions. Use of this slide is considered to be your explicit acceptance of the Disclosure Statement and the Terms of Use found on the last page of this document.

Part 2Man vs. Markets

The Battle of Politicians Against the Markets

“It’s a battle of politicians against

the markets. But I’m determined to win

the battle.”- Angela Merkel, May 6, 2010

Page 2: Gi support slides-part2-011012b

This chart accompanies the podcast recordedJanuary 10, 2012

Eurozone 10-Year Yields Deposits at ECBCommercial Paper Markets are Closed

Listen to the original podcast for this slide at http://www.traderview.com/globalInsights.htmThe content of this slide should not be considered investment advice of any sort, nor should it be used to make investment decisions. Use of this slide is considered to be your explicit acceptance of the Disclosure Statement and the Terms of Use found on the last page of this document.

Page 3: Gi support slides-part2-011012b

This chart accompanies the podcast recordedJanuary 10, 2012

Classic Bank RunsPIIGS M1 Deposits (Annualized 6-Month Change)

Listen to the original podcast for this slide at http://www.traderview.com/globalInsights.htmThe content of this slide should not be considered investment advice of any sort, nor should it be used to make investment decisions. Use of this slide is considered to be your explicit acceptance of the Disclosure Statement and the Terms of Use found on the last page of this document.

Page 4: Gi support slides-part2-011012b

This chart accompanies the podcast recordedJanuary 10, 2012

Prime Money Market Funds’ Exposure to European BanksAka Bank Runs

Listen to the original podcast for this slide at http://www.traderview.com/globalInsights.htmThe content of this slide should not be considered investment advice of any sort, nor should it be used to make investment decisions. Use of this slide is considered to be your explicit acceptance of the Disclosure Statement and the Terms of Use found on the last page of this document.

Page 5: Gi support slides-part2-011012b

This chart accompanies the podcast recordedJanuary 10, 2012

Collateral Damage - Banks borrowed against anything they could in 2011, now the cupboard is bare

Listen to the original podcast for this slide at http://www.traderview.com/globalInsights.htmThe content of this slide should not be considered investment advice of any sort, nor should it be used to make investment decisions. Use of this slide is considered to be your explicit acceptance of the Disclosure Statement and the Terms of Use found on the last page of this document.

Page 6: Gi support slides-part2-011012b

This chart accompanies the podcast recordedJanuary 10, 2012

The Financial System of Europe has WALKED the Plank

Listen to the original podcast for this slide at http://www.traderview.com/globalInsights.htmThe content of this slide should not be considered investment advice of any sort, nor should it be used to make investment decisions. Use of this slide is considered to be your explicit acceptance of the Disclosure Statement and the Terms of Use found on the last page of this document.

Page 7: Gi support slides-part2-011012b

This chart accompanies the podcast recordedJanuary 10, 2012

Instruments on ECB eligible collateral list (by country) - added at Year EndMaking Trash Eligible for Fresh Cash…Can you say Euro-Tarp?

Listen to the original podcast for this slide at http://www.traderview.com/globalInsights.htmThe content of this slide should not be considered investment advice of any sort, nor should it be used to make investment decisions. Use of this slide is considered to be your explicit acceptance of the Disclosure Statement and the Terms of Use found on the last page of this document.

Page 8: Gi support slides-part2-011012b

This chart accompanies the podcast recordedJanuary 10, 2012

Instruments on ECB eligible collateral list (by country)No Collateral? No Problem, just redefine it!

Listen to the original podcast for this slide at http://www.traderview.com/globalInsights.htmThe content of this slide should not be considered investment advice of any sort, nor should it be used to make investment decisions. Use of this slide is considered to be your explicit acceptance of the Disclosure Statement and the Terms of Use found on the last page of this document.

Page 9: Gi support slides-part2-011012b

This chart accompanies the podcast recordedJanuary 10, 2012

Avalanche Alert – EU27 bank bonds, $bn

Listen to the original podcast for this slide at http://www.traderview.com/globalInsights.htmThe content of this slide should not be considered investment advice of any sort, nor should it be used to make investment decisions. Use of this slide is considered to be your explicit acceptance of the Disclosure Statement and the Terms of Use found on the last page of this document.

Page 10: Gi support slides-part2-011012b

This chart accompanies the podcast recordedJanuary 10, 2012

$259 billion - Payback Time – Will these borrowers roll from government-guaranteed debt and become unsecured borrowers?

Listen to the original podcast for this slide at http://www.traderview.com/globalInsights.htmThe content of this slide should not be considered investment advice of any sort, nor should it be used to make investment decisions. Use of this slide is considered to be your explicit acceptance of the Disclosure Statement and the Terms of Use found on the last page of this document.

Page 11: Gi support slides-part2-011012b

This chart accompanies the podcast recordedJanuary 10, 2012

Global Schedule for Maturing Corporate Debt750 billion of Bank Debt Must Roll

Listen to the original podcast for this slide at http://www.traderview.com/globalInsights.htmThe content of this slide should not be considered investment advice of any sort, nor should it be used to make investment decisions. Use of this slide is considered to be your explicit acceptance of the Disclosure Statement and the Terms of Use found on the last page of this document.

Page 12: Gi support slides-part2-011012b

This chart accompanies the podcast recordedJanuary 10, 2012

3-Month US LIBOR

Listen to the original podcast for this slide at http://www.traderview.com/globalInsights.htmThe content of this slide should not be considered investment advice of any sort, nor should it be used to make investment decisions. Use of this slide is considered to be your explicit acceptance of the Disclosure Statement and the Terms of Use found on the last page of this document.

Announcement of Coordinated Central Bank Swaps.

Page 13: Gi support slides-part2-011012b

This chart accompanies the podcast recordedJanuary 10, 2012

Risk perceptions in the financial sector are on the riseBank credit default swap rates, basis points

Listen to the original podcast for this slide at http://www.traderview.com/globalInsights.htmThe content of this slide should not be considered investment advice of any sort, nor should it be used to make investment decisions. Use of this slide is considered to be your explicit acceptance of the Disclosure Statement and the Terms of Use found on the last page of this document.

Page 14: Gi support slides-part2-011012b

This chart accompanies the podcast recordedJanuary 10, 2012

The Battle of Politicians Against the Markets

Listen to the original podcast for this slide at http://www.traderview.com/globalInsights.htmThe content of this slide should not be considered investment advice of any sort, nor should it be used to make investment decisions. Use of this slide is considered to be your explicit acceptance of the Disclosure Statement and the Terms of Use found on the last page of this document.

It is Already Failing.

“It’s a battle of politicians against the markets. But I’m determined to win the battle.”

- Angela Merkel, May 6, 2010

Scoreboard:

Politicians

0Markets

5

Page 15: Gi support slides-part2-011012b

DISCLOSURE STATEMENT AND TERMS OF USE

THE CONTENT OF THIS SLIDE PRESENTATION AND ITS ACCOMPANYING RECORDED AUDIO DISCUSSION ARE INTENDED FOR EDUCATIONAL PURPOSES ONLY.

This slide presentation and its accompanying recorded audio discussion are not a solicitation to trade or invest, and any analysis is the opinion of the author and is not to be used or relied upon as investment advice. Trading and investing can involve substantial risk of loss. Past performance is no guarantee of future returns/results. Commentary is only the opinions of the authors and should not to be used for investment decisions. You must carefully examine the risks associated with investing of any sort and whether investment programs are suitable for you. You should never invest or consider investments without a complete set of disclosure documents, and should consider the risks prior to investing. This slide presentation and its accompanying recorded audio discussion are not in any way a substitution for disclosure. Suitability of investing decisions rests solely with the investor. Your acknowledgement of this Disclosure and Term of Use Statement is a condition of access to it. Furthermore, any investments you may make are your sole responsibility.

THERE IS RISK OF LOSS IN TRADING AND INVESTING OF ANY KIND. PAST PERFORMANCE IS NOT INDICATIVE OF FUTURE RESULTS.

Listen to the original podcast for this slide at http://www.traderview.com/globalInsights.htm