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GfK Consumer Tracking Max Havelaar – Value creation in 2010 21 Feb 2011 GfK Consumer Tracking Max Havelaar – Value creation in 2010 21 Feb 2011
Max Havelaar Value creation in 2010
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GfK Consumer Tracking Max Havelaar – Value creation in 2010 21 Feb 2011
Management Summary
• Fairtrade is growing stronger than the FMCG market whilst reducing prices. Attraction of intensive buyers is key
• Fairtrade shoppers are valuable shoppers and are seeking for honesty and authenticity
• Most banana buyers don’t purchase coffee or chocolate
• Oxfam shoppers have spend less as opposed to Lidl shoppers.
• Colruyt switched the most households
• Profile segmentation is closer to population
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GfK Consumer Tracking Max Havelaar – Value creation in 2010 21 Feb 2011
Agenda
1 Belgian FMCG market
2 Belgian Fair trade market
3 Management Summary
4 Contact information
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GfK Consumer Tracking Max Havelaar – Value creation in 2010 21 Feb 2011
The consumer needs more Honesty and Authenticity before buying?
15%
25%
30%
34%
42%
55%
In harmonie met de natuur / en harmonie avec
la nature
Zuinigheid / être économe
Bescherming van het milieu / protection de
l'environnement
Materiële zekerheid /
sécurité matérielle
Authenticity
Eerlijkheid - honnêteté
Consumers are not buying based on price alone. Instead, they are relying more on their
perception of value when deciding which brands to stay loyal to during the recession”.
Brand Week, “Brand Keys Loyalty Report”
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GfK Consumer Tracking Max Havelaar – Value creation in 2010 21 Feb 2011
Value +3,4%
Value per household +2,5%
Households +0,9%
Price effect +1,4%
Calendar effect -0,1%
Volume effect +1,1 %
Shopping trips -0,8%
Volume per trip +1,9%
Year 2010 versus Year 2009
Recent FMCG & Fresh evolution
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GfK Consumer Tracking Max Havelaar – Value creation in 2010 21 Feb 2011
Agenda
1 Belgian FMCG market
2 Belgian Fair trade market
3 Management Summary
4 Contact information
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GfK Consumer Tracking Max Havelaar – Value creation in 2010 21 Feb 2011
Fairtrade buyers are valuable shoppers
Belgian families spend more on fair products and those are even buying more within FMCG. This makes the fairtrade buyers valuable for the retailers, especially in the 2nd semester.
The spending of all fairtrade buyers make almost 40% of all FMCG. They are intensive shoppers
The more shoppers get attracted to switch to fair trade, the more loyalty drops: they haven’t switched completely
FMCG buyer2008 2009
MATQ2
20102010
evolution
year
FMCG spending (€1.000) 23.406.640 23.810.220 24.121.700 24.623.360 3,4%
FMCG value per buyer (€) 5.129 5.162 5.205 5.289 2,5%
Fairtrade buyer2008 2009
MATQ2
20102010
FMCG spending (€1.000) 6.973.441 7.920.402 8.359.728 9.325.959 17,7%
FMCG value per buyer (€) 5.582 5.437 5.533 5.656 4,0%
Fairtrade spending (€1.000) 27.551 29.050 29.953 32.517 11,9%
Fairtrade value per buyer (€) 22,1 19,9 19,8 19,7 -1,1%
Loyalty 0,40% 0,37% 0,36% 0,35%
Intensity 109% 105% 106% 107%
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GfK Consumer Tracking Max Havelaar – Value creation in 2010 21 Feb 2011
Fairtrade evolution driven by attraction of intensive buyers
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29.050 32.517 11,9
8.887 10.546 18,7 3,3 3,1 -5,7
6,1 6,4 4,8 31,6 35,4 12,1
1,266 1,303 2,9 4,8 4,9 1,9
Volume per buying HH Penetration
Volume per shopping trip Shopping trips (in #)
Value (in €1.000)
Volume (in 1.000kg) Average price (€/kg)
Fairtrade Products
Fairtrade label is growing strongly as many households are attracted: almost +200.000 HH. Only Carrefour Hyper lost buyers. Lidl did not convince new shoppers, but they spend a lot more
Fairtrade got less expensive, as FMCG shows higher prices (+1,4%)
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GfK Consumer Tracking Max Havelaar – Value creation in 2010 21 Feb 2011
Weekly evolution of the fairtrade value
0
200
400
600
800
1.000
1.200
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31 32 33 34 35 36 37 38 39 40 41 42 43 44 45 46 47 48 49 50 51 52 53
Weekly spendings on fairtrade and fairtrade bananas 2009 FT
2010 FT
2010 FT bananas
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GfK Consumer Tracking Max Havelaar – Value creation in 2010 21 Feb 2011
Fairtrade bananas convinced many households
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9.345 10.388 11,2
4.229 4.870 15,2 2,2 2,1 -3,4
8,5 7,4 -13,0 10,8 14,2 31,1
1,629 1,712 5,1 5,2 4,3 -17,2
Volume per buying HH Penetration
Volume per shopping trip Shopping trips (in #)
Value (in €1.000)
Volume (in 1.000kg) Average price (€/kg)
Fairtrade Bananas
Bananas were really pulling the label forward, thanks to more than 160.000 additional families
80% of all fair banana buyers don’t purchase coffee or chocolate, yet.
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GfK Consumer Tracking Max Havelaar – Value creation in 2010 21 Feb 2011
Fairtrade coffee manages thanks to higher price
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5.862 5.960 1,7
637 562 -11,8 9,2 10,6 15,2
2,0 1,7 -13,4 6,9 7,0 1,0
0,594 0,471 -20,7 3,3 3,7 9,3
Volume per buying HH Penetration
Volume per shopping trip Shopping trips (in #)
Value (in €1.000)
Volume (in 1.000kg) Average price (€/kg)
Fairtrade Coffee
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GfK Consumer Tracking Max Havelaar – Value creation in 2010 21 Feb 2011
Fairtrade sugar suffers
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2.799 2.649 -5,4
1.160 1.099 -5,2 2,4 2,4 -0,1
2,8 2,8 -1,6 8,9 8,5 -4,6
0,868 0,902 3,9 3,3 3,1 -5,2
Volume per buying HH Penetration
Volume per shopping trip Shopping trips (in #)
Value (in €1.000)
Volume (in 1.000kg) Average price (€/kg)
Fairtrade Sugar
Fair sugar really suffered in the 1th semester of 2010, but restores slightly in the 2nd semester: volume: +1% and value – 1%.
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GfK Consumer Tracking Max Havelaar – Value creation in 2010 21 Feb 2011
Fairtrade chocolates grow in 1th semester of 2010
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1.052 1.237 17,6
119 144 21,2 8,9 8,6 -3,0
0,6 0,7 4,2 4,0 4,6 15,2
0,294 0,294 0,0 2,2 2,3 4,0
Volume per buying HH Penetration
Volume per shopping trip Shopping trips (in #)
Value (in €1.000)
Volume (in 1.000kg) Average price (€/kg)
Fairtrade Chocolate
Fair chocolates made a promising start of 2010, but decreases value in the 2nd semester with 10% due to a drop in shopping trips.
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GfK Consumer Tracking Max Havelaar – Value creation in 2010 21 Feb 2011
31,6
4,9
5,8
7,5
3,4
6,3
5,6
3,1
32,6
4,6
6,1
6,8
3,2
7,5
6,3
3,2
35,4
4,4
6,8
8,0
4,1
8,4
6,4
3,6
Total Belgium
Carrefour Hyper
Carrefour GB-Market
Delhaize SM
Delhaize AD
Colruyt
Lidl
Oxfam Wereldwinkel
Penetration
2009
MAT Q2 2010
2010
20,6 20,6 19,3
8,6 9,9 10,8
12,6 13,0 12,4
6,8 5,6 7,3
15,8 16,6 16,6
9,3 9,6 9,2
11,3 9,8 9,7
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
80
90
2009 MAT Q2 2010
2010
Value share %
Carrefour Hyper
Carrefour GB-Market
Delhaize SM
Delhaize AD
Colruyt
Lidl
Oxfam Wereldwinkel
Where is the value created?
Lidl managed to intensify their fair shoppers: more value with same HH.
Colruyt, Delhaize AD, GB and Oxfam
stores attracted shoppers, Delhaize SM could so in 2nd semester.
Delhaize AD increased market share,
whilst Oxfam is losing 20,6 20,6 19,3
8,6 9,9 10,8
12,6 13,0 12,4
6,8 5,6 7,3
15,8 16,6 16,6
9,3 9,6 9,2
11,3 9,8 9,7
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
80
90
2009 MAT Q2 2010
2010
Value share %
Carrefour Hyper
Carrefour GB-Market
Delhaize SM
Delhaize AD
Colruyt
Lidl
Oxfam Wereldwinkel
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GfK Consumer Tracking Max Havelaar – Value creation in 2010 21 Feb 2011
Who creates the value?
5,3 5,1 7,15,6 7,0 6,411,3 10,8 11,4
23,7 22,424,9
12,0 11,012,9
11,8 13,512,4
12,2 10,48,4
18,0 19,7 16,5
2008 2009 2010
Buyers%Wealthy pensioner
Pensioner lim inc
Single >40y
Costwinner (2p,1inc)
Wealthy HH with kids
HH kids lim inc
DINK (2p,2inc)
Young single4,4 5,5 9,27,1 6,4
4,58,7 8,9 6,4
22,9 24,5 28,3
13,5 10,311,6
11,8 15,014,1
13,0 6,95,3
18,6 22,5 20,6
2008 2009 2010
Value%Wealthy pensioner
Pensioner lim inc
Single >40y
Costwinner (2p,1inc)
Wealthy HH with kids
HH kids lim inc
DINK (2p,2inc)
Young single
Young singles and wealthy HH with kids, together with cost winners became more important for fairtrade.
HH with limited income have spend less and some wealthy pensioners haven’t
bought fairtrade anymore
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GfK Consumer Tracking Max Havelaar – Value creation in 2010 21 Feb 2011
Who buys more than 1 category of banana, coffee or chocolate?
Mixed buyers are young singles and young families with kids.
Potential to increase cross selling: among wealthy pensioners
3,811,1 6,2
13,810,5
13,912,0
12,017,1
16,5
16,011,2
6,8
10,7
7,49,97,5
7,6
7,8
12,410,5
3,2
8,9
4,15,83,8
2,71,7
12,411,5
13,214,3
25,5 21,7 25,7 20,6
All Mixed All Mixed
Buyers% Value%
Buyers%2+ p./no kids HW >54y
2+ p./no kids HW 35-54y
2+ p/no kids HW <35y
HH y kid 13-17y
HH y kid 6-12y
HH y kid 0-5y
Single HW >54y
Single HW 35-54y
Single HW <35y
7,116,0
9,215,2
6,4
5,8
4,52,911,4
6,1
6,44,8
24,924,7
28,330,8
12,9 7,4 11,612,1
12,4 13,4 14,114,4
8,46,2 5,3
3,8
16,5 20,4 20,6 16,0
All Mixed All Mixed
Buyers% Value%
Buyers%Wealthy pensioner
Pensioner lim inc
Single >40y
Costwinner (2p,1inc)
Wealthy HH with kids
HH kids lim inc
DINK (2p,2inc)
Young single
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GfK Consumer Tracking Max Havelaar – Value creation in 2010 21 Feb 2011
Summary Fair trade
• Fair shoppers are important for retailers as they spend more
• Make them spend more at fairtrade
• Many new families have switched (to bananas)
• But they also have to buy other categories
• Coffee remains stable thanks to price rise (2ns SEM=worse)
• Sugar goes down due to frequency
• Chocolate value decreases in 2d SEM, but good performance in 1th SEM
• All retailers (Colruyt!) have gained fair shoppers, except for Carrefour Hyper and Lidl
• Lidl managed to intensify their shoppers and grows strongly
• AD wins market share from Oxfam
• Young singles and wealthy HH with kids gain importance
• Potential to increase cross seling among wealthy pensioners
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GfK Consumer Tracking Max Havelaar – Value creation in 2010 21 Feb 2011
Agenda
1 Belgian FMCG market
2 Belgian Fair trade market
3 Management Summary
4 Contact information
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GfK Consumer Tracking Max Havelaar – Value creation in 2010 21 Feb 2011
Management Summary
• Fairtrade is growing stronger than the FMCG market whilst reducing prices. Attraction of intensive buyers is key
• Fairtrade shoppers are valuable shoppers and are seeking for honesty and authenticity
• Still, 80% of the banana buyers don’t purchase coffee or chocolate
• Oxfam shoppers have spend less as opposed to Lidl shoppers.
• Colruyt switched the most households. Carrefour Market and Delhaize AD attracted more than Oxfam
• Profile segmentation is closer to population
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GfK Consumer Tracking Max Havelaar – Value creation in 2010 21 Feb 2011
Recommendations
• Fairtrade shoppers need to be convinced to buy more than one fair category
• Especially for banana buyers: help those new consumers
• Potential at wealthy pensioners
• They have to become more loyal: more fair trade
• Oxfam need to be focussed on filling the shopping basket