Germany’s Green Energy Transition
20
Heinrich Böll Foundation North America 1638 R Street, NW, Suite 120 Washington, DC 20009, USA www.hbfus.org Germany’s Green Energy Transition Arne Jungjohann, Heinrich Böll Foundation, Washington DC Durban, December 2011
description
Germany’s Green Energy Transition. Arne Jungjohann , Heinrich Böll Foundation, Washington DC Durban, December 2011. Part 1 Reaction in Germany after Fukushima driven by…. 1. Concerns on Nuclear 2. Credibility of Renewables 3. Politics. Foto : Anti-Atom- Treck 2010 . - PowerPoint PPT Presentation
Transcript of Germany’s Green Energy Transition
Heinrich Böll Foundation North America1638 R Street, NW, Suite 120 Washington, DC 20009, USA
www.hbfus.org
Germany’s Green Energy Transition
Arne Jungjohann, Heinrich Böll Foundation, Washington DC
Durban, December 2011
Washington, DC . Mexico City . San Salvador . Rio de Janeiro . Santiago de Chile . Lagos . Cape Town Nairobi . Addis Ababa . Berlin . Brussels . Warsaw . Prague . Sarajevo . Belgrade . Zagreb . Istanbul Kiev . Moscow . Tbilisi . Kabul . Lahore . New Dheli . Chiang Mai . Phnom Penh . Beijing
Heinrich Böll Foundation North America1638 R Street, NW, Suite 120 Washington, DC 20009, USA
www.hbfus.org
Part 1
Reaction in Germany after Fukushima driven by…
Foto: Anti-Atom-Treck 2010
1. Concerns on Nuclear2. Credibility of Renewables3. Politics
Heinrich Böll Foundation North America1638 R Street, NW, Suite 120 Washington, DC 20009, USA
www.hbfus.org
German reaction after Fukushima driven by
• Chernobyl 1986
• new risk assessment
• 17 old NPP, 80 Million Germany ½ the size of Texas
Heinrich Böll Foundation North America1638 R Street, NW, Suite 120 Washington, DC 20009, USA
www.hbfus.org
Development of electricity generation from renewable energy sources in Germany 1990 - 2009
0
20,000
40,000
60,000
80,000
100,000
120,000
1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009
Elec
tric
ity g
ener
atio
n [G
Wh]
Hydropower Wind energy
Biomass * Photovoltaics
EEG:April 2000
EEG:August 2004
StrEG:January 1991 - March 2000
EEG:January 2009
Amendment to BauGB:November 1997
* Solid, liquid, gaseous biomass, biogenic share of waste, landfill and sewage gas; Electricity from geothermal energy is not presented due to the negligible quantities of electricity produced; StrEG: Act on the Sale of Electricity to the Grid; BauGB: Construction Code; EEG: Renewable
Energy Sources Act; Source: BMU-KI III 1 according to Working Group on Renewable Energies-Statistics (AGEE-Stat); Image: BMU / Christoph Edelhoff; all figures provisional
Source:BMU
Heinrich Böll Foundation North America1638 R Street, NW, Suite 120 Washington, DC 20009, USA
www.hbfus.org 6
Jobs: Renewable Energy vs. Lignite Coal Germany, 2004-2010
Heinrich Böll Foundation North America1638 R Street, NW, Suite 120 Washington, DC 20009, USA
www.hbfus.org
Part 2
Gradual Phase-Out by 2022
Heinrich Böll Foundation North America1638 R Street, NW, Suite 120 Washington, DC 20009, USA
www.hbfus.org
Power Generation in Germany (2010)
Friday, May 28, 2010Source: AG Energiebilanzen
Heinrich Böll Foundation North America1638 R Street, NW, Suite 120 Washington, DC 20009, USA
www.hbfus.org
Before Fukushima:• 17 NPP operating up to 2032• providing 22% of power• ~20 GW installed capacity
After Fukushima: • Immediate shutdown of 8NPP• gradual phase-out by 2022 of
remaining 9 NPP
Nuclear Phase-Out by 2022…
Heinrich Böll Foundation North America1638 R Street, NW, Suite 120 Washington, DC 20009, USA
www.hbfus.org
Part 3
So what about…
…energy costs?…power shortages & imports?
… CO2 emissions?
Heinrich Böll Foundation North America1638 R Street, NW, Suite 120 Washington, DC 20009, USA
www.hbfus.org
Expensive Renewable Energy? No, but modest price tag for ratepayers
Institute Commissioned by Estimated rate increaseSRU - 0,4 ECent/kWhEco-Institute WWF 0,5 ECent/kWhRWI/EWI Fed Government 0,5 ECent/kWhPrognos Fed of
Bavarian Industry0,6 ECent/kWh
R2B BDI/Chamber of C 0,9 ECent/kWhDIW - 1,2 ECent/kWh
Source: MdB Hans-Josef Fell
Heinrich Böll Foundation North America1638 R Street, NW, Suite 120 Washington, DC 20009, USA
www.hbfus.org Friday, May 28, 2010
Nuclear is costly: (Subsidy Billions of Euros since 1970)
Hard Coal Nuclear Power
Lignite RenewablesSource: Green Budget Germany
Heinrich Böll Foundation North America1638 R Street, NW, Suite 120 Washington, DC 20009, USA
www.hbfus.org
Increasing electricity imports?Not as a net exporter
Heinrich Böll Foundation North America1638 R Street, NW, Suite 120 Washington, DC 20009, USA
www.hbfus.org
Increasing emissions?Not with carbon cap on power sector
Friday, May 28, 2010
Mio t CO2
Source: BMU
Heinrich Böll Foundation North America1638 R Street, NW, Suite 120 Washington, DC 20009, USA
www.hbfus.org
Increasing emissions?Not with long-term climate targets
Friday, May 28, 2010
GHG Emissions
Source: BMU
Heinrich Böll Foundation North America1638 R Street, NW, Suite 120 Washington, DC 20009, USA
www.hbfus.org
Part 4
Outlook 2020 – 2050On the Way to a Renewable Energy Economy
Heinrich Böll Foundation North America1638 R Street, NW, Suite 120 Washington, DC 20009, USA
www.hbfus.org
Key Climate and Energy Policies• Ecological tax reform (1999-2003)• Renewable Energy Act (2000)• Nuclear Phase Out (2001-2022)• Cap and trade (2005)• Integrated Climate and Energy Program (2007)• Renewable Energy Action Plan (2010)• Energy concept 2050 (2010)
17
Heinrich Böll Foundation North America1638 R Street, NW, Suite 120 Washington, DC 20009, USA
www.hbfus.org
Goal: 80% to 100%Renewable Energies by 2050
Heinrich Böll Foundation North America1638 R Street, NW, Suite 120 Washington, DC 20009, USA
www.hbfus.org
Energy concept 2050: The road to the renewable era
Source:BMU
Heinrich Böll Foundation North America1638 R Street, NW, Suite 120 Washington, DC 20009, USA
www.hbfus.org
Thank you for your attention!
20
Arne JungjohannHeinrich Boell Foundation, Washington DC
