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Georgia Tech
School of Aerospace Engineering
Aerospace Systems EngineeringA Modern Approach
Dr. Daniel P. Schrage
Professor and Director,
Center of Excellence in Rotorcraft Technology(CERT)
Center for Aerospace Systems Analysis (CASA)
Georgia Tech
School of Aerospace Engineering
Course Materials
• Primary Text, Dieter, “Engineering Design: A Materials and Processing Approach”, 3rd Edition, McGraw Hill, 2000
• Secondary Text,”Systems Engineering Fundamentals” Defense Systems Management College, 1998
Georgia Tech
School of Aerospace Engineering
The Product Design Process(Chapter 1, Dieter)
• Introduction and Importance of Product Design• The Design Process – A Simplified Approach• Considerations of a Good Design• Detailed Description of Design Process• Marketing• Organization for Design• Computer-Aided Engineering• Designing to Codes and Standards• Design Review• Technological Innovation and the Design Process
Georgia Tech
School of Aerospace Engineering
Some Important Concepts• Design: “ to fashion after a plan” (Webster Dictionary)
leaves out the essential fact that to design is to create something that has never been
• Synthesis: “pulling together”• Ability to design is both a science and an art
The science “can be learned” through techniques & methods
The art is best “learned by doing” design• Discovery: “getting the first sight of, or the first knowledge of
something”, as when Columbus discovered America• Invention: requires the design be a step beyond the limits of
existing knowledge (beyond the state of the art). Some designs are truly inventive, but most are not
Georgia Tech
School of Aerospace Engineering
Aerodynamics Economics
Propulsion
Safety
Aerodynamics
S&C
Propulsion
Performance
Manufacturing
Economics
Safety
Structures
Manufacturing
Structures Performance
Conceptual Design Tools (First-Order Methods)
Synthesis & Sizing
Preliminary Design Tools (Higher-Order Methods)
Geometry
Mission
Increasing Sophistication and
Complexity
Approximating Functions Direct Coupling of Analyses
Integrated Routines Table Lookup
Integrated Synthesis and AnalysisVarying Fidelity of Synthesis, Sizing& Analysis
S&C
Georgia Tech
School of Aerospace Engineering
Definition of Design(per Dieter)
• Design establishes and defines solutions to and pertinent structures for problems not solved before, or new solutions to problems which have previously been solved in a different way
Georgia Tech
School of Aerospace Engineering
Good Design requires both Synthesis & Analysis• Typically, we approach complex problems like design by
decomposing the problem into manageable parts or components– Because we need to understand how the part will perform in
service we must be able to calculate as much about the part’s behavior as possible by using the appropriate disciplines of science and engineering science and the necessary computational tools
– This is called Analysis and usually involves the simplification of the real world through models
– Synthesis involves the identification of the design elements that will comprise the product, its decomposition into parts, and the combination of the part solutions into a total workable system
• In the typical design you rarely have a way of knowing the correct answer. Hopefully, your design works, but is it the best, most efficient design that could have been achieved under the conditions? Only time will tell
Georgia Tech
School of Aerospace Engineering
The Four Challenges (C’s) of the Design Environment
• Creativity– Requires creation of something that has not existed before
or not existed in the designer’s mind before• Complexity
– Requires decisions on many variables and parameters• Choice
– Requires making choices between many possible solutions at all levels, from basic concepts to smallest detail of shape
• Compromise– Requires balancing multiple and sometimes conflicting
requirements
Georgia Tech
School of Aerospace Engineering
Product Design Process• Engineering design process can be applied to several
different ends
– Design of Products, whether they be consumer goods and appliances or highly complex products such as missile systems or jet planes
– Another is a complex engineered system such as an electric power generating station or a petrochemical plant
– Yet another is the design of a building or bridge
• The principles and methodology of design can be usefully applied in each of these situations. However, the emphasis in Dieter’s book is on product design and in this course is complex product design, specifically Aerospace Systems
Georgia Tech
School of Aerospace Engineering
Dieter’s Book Goal
• Provide insight into the current best practices for doing product design
• The design process should be conducted so as to develop quality cost-competitive products in the shortest time possible
• Is necessary, but insufficient for Aerospace Systems Design
Georgia Tech
School of Aerospace Engineering
Japanese Auto Industry and The U.S. Auto Industry
90% Total Japanese
Changes Complete
U.S. Company
Japanese Company
20
-24
M
on
ths
14
-17
M
on
ths
1-3
M
on
ths
Job
#1
+3
M
on
ths
Nu
mb
er
of
En
gin
eeri
ng
Pro
du
ct
Ch
an
ges
Pro
cess
ed
Japanese/U.S. Engineering Change Comparison
Georgia Tech
School of Aerospace Engineering
The Quality Engineering Process provides Recomposition Methods & Tools
CustomerQuality Function
Deployment
Off-Line
Quality Function
Deployment
Off-Line
Seven Managementand Planing
ToolsOff-Line
Seven Managementand Planing
ToolsOff-Line
Statistical Process Control
On-Line
Statistical Process Control
On-Line
RobustDesign Methods(Taguchi, Six -Sigma, DOE)
Off-Line
RobustDesign Methods(Taguchi, Six -Sigma, DOE)
Off-Line
Knowledge Feedback
•Needs• Identify Important Items
•Variation Experiments
•Make Improvements
•Hold Gains
•Continuous Improvement
Having heard the “voice of the customer”, QFD prioritizes where improvements are needed; Taguchi provides the mechanism for identifying these improvements
Georgia Tech
School of Aerospace Engineering
Traditional Design & Development Using only a Top Down Decomposition Systems Engineering Process
Georgia Tech
School of Aerospace Engineering
IPPD Environment for System Level Design Trades and Cycle Time Reduction
SYSTEMPROCESS
RECOMPOSITION
SYSTEMFUNCTIONAL
DECOMPOSITION
COMPONENTFUNCTIONAL
DECOMPOSITION
COMPONENTPROCESS
RECOMPOSITION
PARTPROCESS
RECOMPOSITION
PARTFUNCTIONAL
DECOMPOSITION
ProductTrades
ProcessTrades
ProductTrades
ProcessTrades
PRELIMINARYDESIGN
(PARAMETER)
PRELIMINARYDESIGN
(PARAMETER)
DETAILDESIGN
(TOLERANCE)
DETAILDESIGN
(TOLERANCE)
MANUFACTURINGPROCESSES
CONCEPTUALDESIGN
(SYSTEM)
ProcessTrades
INTEGRATEDPRODUCTPROCESS
DEVELOPMENT
ProductTrades
Georgia Tech
School of Aerospace EngineeringCC04264506.ppt
Typical System Life Cycle Cost
CumulativePercentof LCC
Production, Deployment, Operations and SupportE&MDPD & RRCon Exp
•
• •
• • •
100%
75%
50%
25%
0%
Life Cycle CostActually Expended
Life Cycle CostEffectively Rendered
Unchangeable fora Given Design
Georgia Tech
School of Aerospace Engineering
Ramifications of the Quality Revolution
• Decisions made in the design process cost very little in terms of the overall product cost but have a major effect on the cost of the product
• Quality cannot be built into a product unless it is designed into it
• The design process should be conducted so as to develop quality cost-competitive products in the shortest time possible
Georgia Tech
School of Aerospace Engineering
Design Process Paradigm Shift(Research Opportunities in Engineering Design, NSF Strategic Planning Workshop Final
Report, April 1996)
100%
50%
0%
Today’s Design Process Future Design Process
Kno
wle
dge
Abo
ut D
esig
n D
esig
n Fr
eedo
m
Cos
t Com
mitt
ed
Con
cept
Pre
limin
ary
Des
ign
Analysis and Detail
Design
Prototype Development
Redesign Product Release
• A paradigm shift is underway that attempts to change the way complex systems are being designed
• Emphasis has shifted from design for performance to design for affordability, where affordability is defined as the ratio of system effectiveness to system cost +profit
• System Cost - Performance Tradeoffs must be accommodated early
• Downstream knowledge must be brought back to the early phases of design for system level tradeoffs
• The design Freedom curve must be kept open until knowledgeable tradeoffs can be made
Georgia Tech
School of Aerospace Engineering
Static vs Dynamic Products
• Some products are static, in that the changes in their design concept take place over a long time period; rather, incremental changes occur at the subsystem and component levels (most air vehicles are static)
• Other products are dynamic, like telecommunications systems and software, that change the basic design concept fairly frequently as the underlying technology changes (avionics and mission equipment & software are dynamic)
Georgia Tech
School of Aerospace Engineering
Simplified Design Process
• Definition of the Problem
• Gathering Information
• Generation of Alternative Solutions
• Evaluation of Alternatives
• Communication of the Results
Georgia Tech
School of Aerospace Engineering
Georgia Tech Generic IPPD Methodology
COMPUTER-INTEGRATED ENVIRONMENT
PR
OD
UC
T D
ES
IGN
DR
IVE
NP
RO
CE
SS
DE
SIG
N D
RIV
EN
REQUIREMENTS & FUNCTIONAL
ANALYSIS
SYSTEM DECOMPOSITION &
FUNCTIONAL ALLOCATION
SYSTEM SYNTHESIS THROUGH MDO
SYSTEM ANALYSIS &
CONTROL
ESTABLISH THE NEED
DEFINE THE PROBLEM
ESTABLISH VALUE
GENERATE FEASIBLE ALTERNATIVES
EVALUATE ALTERNATIVE
7 M&P TOOLS AND QUALITY FUNCTION DEPLOYMENT (QFD)
ROBUST DESIGN ASSESSMENT & OPTIMIZATION
ON-LINE QUALITY ENGINEERING &
STATISTICAL PROCESS
MAKE DECISION
SYSTEMS ENGINEERING METHODS
QUALITY ENGINEERING METHODS
TOP-DOWN DESIGN DECISION SUPPORT PROCESS
Georgia Tech
School of Aerospace Engineering
Detailed Description of Design Problems(Morris Asimow’s Morphology of design)
• Phase I. Conceptual Design
• Phase II. Embodiment Design (Preliminary Design)
• Phase III. Detail Design
• Phase IV. Planning for Manufacture
• Phase V. Planning for Distribution
• Phase VI. Planning for Use
• Phase VII. Planning for Retirement of the Product
Georgia Tech
School of Aerospace Engineering
Discrete Steps in Engineering Design Process
Georgia Tech
School of Aerospace Engineering
Design Depends on Individual Who Defines Problem
Georgia Tech
School of Aerospace Engineering
Classification of Products Based on Market
• Platform Product – Is built around a preexisting technological subsystems, e.g. Apple
Macintosh operating systems
– Is similar to a technology-push product
• Process-Intensive Products– Manufacturing process places strict constraints on the properties of
the product
– Examples are automotive sheet, steel, food products, semiconductors chemicals and paper
• Customized Products– Variations in configuration and content created in response to a s
Georgia Tech
School of Aerospace Engineering
The Total Materials Cycle
Georgia Tech
School of Aerospace Engineering
The Systems Engineering ProcessProcess Input• Customer Needs/Objectives/ Requirements - Missions - Measures of Effectiveness - Environments - Constraints• Technology Base• Output Requirements from Prior Development Effort• Program Decision Requirements• Requirements Applied Through Specifications and Standards
Requirements Analysis• Analyze Missions & Environments• Identify Functional Requirements• Define/Refine Performance & Design Constraint Requirement
Functional Analysis/Allocation• Decompose to Lower-Level Functions• Allocate Performance & Other Limiting Requirements to All Functional Levels• Define/Refine Functional Interfaces (Internal/External)• Define/Refine/Integrate Functional Architecture
Synthesis• Transform Architectures (Functional to Physical)• Define Alternative System Concepts, Configuration Items & System Elements• Select Preferred Product & Process Solutions• Define/Refine Physical Interfaces (Internal/External)
System Analysis& Control(Balance)
Verification
Requirement Loop
Design Loop
• Trade-Off Studies• Effectiveness Analysis• Risk Management• Configuration Management• Interface Management• Performance Measurement - SEMS - TPM - Technical Reviews
Process Output• Development Level Dependant - Decision Data Base - System/Configuration Item Architecture - Specification & Baseline
Related Terms: Customer = Organization responsible for Primary Functions Primary Functions = Development, Production/Construction, Verification, Deployment, Operations, Support Training, DisposalSystems Elements = Hardware, Software, Personnel, Facilities, Data, Material, Services, Techniques
Georgia Tech
School of Aerospace EngineeringCC04264864.ppt
Systems Engineering, Its Purpose
To satisfy a mission need with a system
that is cost effective, operationally
suitable, and operationally effective.
Georgia Tech
School of Aerospace EngineeringCC04264865.ppt
Systems Engineering Objectives• Translate customer needs into balanced system/subsystem
design requirements and product• Integrate technical inputs of the entire development
community and all technical disciplines into a coordinated program effort
• Transition new technologies into product and abatement program
• Ensure the compatibility of all functional and physical interfaces
• Verify that the product meets the established requirements• Conduct a formal risk management and
Georgia Tech
School of Aerospace EngineeringCC04264792.ppt
What Is a System?• A system is a collection of components
(subsystems) that– Interact with one another– Have emergent capabilities - capabilities above
and beyond what the same collection of components would if they did not interact
– Interacting components implies architecture
Georgia Tech
School of Aerospace EngineeringCC04264867.ppt
Elements of a System• Elements
– Equipment Hardware– Software– Facilities– Personnel– Data
• All elements are interrelated
Georgia Tech
School of Aerospace EngineeringCC04264868.ppt
System Element Constituents• Equipment Hardware
– Mission hardware
– Ground equipment
– Maintenance equipment
– Training equipment
– Test equipment
– Special equipment
– Real Property
– Spares
Georgia Tech
School of Aerospace EngineeringCC04264869.ppt
System Element Constituents (cont.)• Software
– Instructions
– Commands
– Data
• Facilities– Industrial
– Operational
– Training
– Depot
Georgia Tech
School of Aerospace EngineeringCC04264029.ppt
Systems Engineering Principles Apply to All Acquisition Phases at All Levels of the Engineering Hierarchy
Levels in the System Hierarchy
CED - Concept Exploration/DefinitionPDRR - Program Definition & Risk Reduction
System ofsystems
System
Segment
Subsegment
ItemCED
PDRR
EMD
P/D
AcquisitionPhasesEMD - Engineering/Manufacturing Definition
P/D - Production/Deployment
Require
men
ts
anal
ysis
Syste
m a
nalys
is/
contro
l/eva
luat
ion
Configura
tion
synth
esis
Functio
nal
anal
ysis
Pre-CED
Georgia Tech
School of Aerospace EngineeringCC04264871.ppt
SystemsEngineeringProcess
Systems Engineering In IPD
ProductTeamsProductTeams
IPD
ConcurrentDevelopmentConcurrent
Development
SystemsEngineering
Process
Georgia Tech
School of Aerospace EngineeringCC04264872.ppt
Ability to Influence CostHigh
Low
Time
CED
PDRR
EMD
Production.Deployment
Georgia Tech
School of Aerospace EngineeringCC04264870.ppt
System Element Constituents (cont.)
• Personnel– Training
– Tasks
– Number
– Types and skills
• Data– Parts Manuals
– Maintenance Manuals
– Operating Manuals
Georgia Tech
School of Aerospace EngineeringCC04264790.ppt
Systems Thinking
Georgia Tech
School of Aerospace EngineeringCC04264791.ppt
Roles of Systems Engineers*• Requirements Owner• System Designer• System Analyst• Validation/Verification Engr• Logistics/Ops Engineer• Glue Among Subsystems
• Customer Interface• Technical Manager• Information Manager• Process Engineer• Coordinator• Classified Ads SE
*Source: Twelve Roles of Systems Engineers, Sarah SheardURL: www.software.org/pub/externalpapers/
Georgia Tech
School of Aerospace EngineeringCC04264792.ppt
What Is a System?• A system is a collection of components
(subsystems) that– Interact with one another– Have emergent capabilities - capabilities above
and beyond what the same collection of components would if they did not interact
– Interacting components implies architecture
Georgia Tech
School of Aerospace EngineeringCC04264793.ppt
Examples of Systems• Aircraft engine vs a collection of parts
• Aircraft with engines and avionics
• Air traffic control with aircraft, airfields, radars, controllers, CCS
• Air transportation with air traffic control, airlines, passengers, cargo, maintenance, pickup and delivery
Georgia Tech
School of Aerospace EngineeringCC04264794.ppt
More Complex SystemsSystems of Systems*
• Individual systems can operate on their own• Systems of systems not owned and controlled as a whole by single entity
*Mark Maier, “Architecting Principles for Systems-of-Systems”, Journal of the International Council on Systems Engineering, Vol I, 1998
Georgia Tech
School of Aerospace EngineeringCC04264795.ppt
Examples of Systems of Systems
• Internet• Auto and truck transportation• Air Defense System – maybe• National Airspace System (NAS)• Future Combat Systems (FCS) for the Objective Force
Brigade (Unit of Action)
Georgia Tech
School of Aerospace EngineeringCC04264796.ppt
Technical Director Is the Systems Thinker
• If not, objectives, approaches, and decisions will not reflect systems thinking
• Technical Directors who don’t think systems inhibit systems thinking on their project
Georgia Tech
School of Aerospace EngineeringCC04264797.ppt
Why Is Systems Thinking Good?
• Intractable problems often have solutions in the design space of the larger system
• Solutions in the larger systems space are often less costly or less risky
• Integration with external systems are addressed early in the development
Georgia Tech
School of Aerospace EngineeringCC04264798.ppt
A Community Example• The Problem (or so they thought)
– Trees, fuels and other natural resources are being used up, so we need to recycle them
• The Solution (or so they thought)– Collect selected trash separately and sell it to
recycling facilities
Georgia Tech
School of Aerospace EngineeringCC04264799.ppt
A Dose of Reality• Separate trash collections for recycleable
would double the cost
• Market for recycled newspaper and aluminum cans was saturated
• Unsold recycleables would have to be stored -- at additional cost
Georgia Tech
School of Aerospace EngineeringCC04264800.ppt
Starting to Think Systems• Who currently collects trash?• From whom?• What is done with the trash?
Georgia Tech
School of Aerospace EngineeringCC04264801.ppt
Answers and More Questions• Two trash collectors
– One collects from homes– One collects from businesses
• Does the collector from businesses separate the recycleables?
• Both put trash in land fills• Both pay to put trash in land fills• How much does it cost to put trash in a land
fill?
Georgia Tech
School of Aerospace EngineeringCC04264802.ppt
The Land Fills as Part of the System
• $17* per ton to dump trash in the land fill
• Expected to reach $30 per ton in 15 years
• Land fills charge $150 per ton in New York
Gee, maybe we should think about
conserving the land fills?
Georgia Tech
School of Aerospace EngineeringCC04264803.ppt
A Systems Solution• Two collections per week
– One for recycleables– One for non-cycleable trash
• Slight increase in fees for storing recycleables
Market demand of recycled paper and aluminum increase soared in
5 years
Georgia Tech
School of Aerospace EngineeringCC04264804.ppt
Consequences of Systems Thinking
• The original objective (saving resources) was satisfied
• Current costs were contained• Future cost containment made the
slight increase saleable to the public
Georgia Tech
School of Aerospace Engineering
Dieter Chapter 2:Need Identification and Problem Definition
• Of all the steps in the engineering design process, problem definition is the most important
• Before the Problem-Definition Step: Design projects commonly fall into one of five types:– Variation of an existing product– Improvement of an existing product– Development of a new product for low-volume production run– Development of a new product for mass production– One-of-a-kind- design
• Identifying Customer Needs• Gathering Information from Customers
Georgia Tech
School of Aerospace Engineering
Dieter Chapter 2:Need Identification and Problem Definition
• Constructing a Survey Instrument• Benchmarking• Customer Requirements• Quality Function Deployment• Product Design Specification
– The basic control and reference document for the design and manufacture of the product
– In-Use Purposes and Market– Functional Requirments– Corporate Constraints– Social, Political and Legal Requirements
Georgia Tech
School of Aerospace Engineering
Presentation Outline
• Synthesis and Sizing of Aerospace Vehicles
• Maneuverability and Agility Considerations for Aerial Vehicles
• Autonomous Vehicle Considerations
• Summary and Conclusions
Georgia Tech
School of Aerospace Engineering
Synthesis and Sizing of Aerial Vehicles• For Aerial Vehicles Synthesis and Sizing provides the
Closure between Mission Requirements and Geometric Configuration Solutions
• A Fuel and Thrust/Power Balance Approach is used which allows for analytical design optimization (min. GW, etc.) through the coupling of a few critical design parameters (FW~aspect ratio, wing loading; RW~disk loading)
• Maneuverability and Agility can be related to Energy Principles (differences between Thrust/Power Available and Thrust/Power Required), Handling Qualities and the design
of the Flight Control System
Georgia Tech
School of Aerospace Engineering
Maneuverability and Agility Considerations for Aerial Vehicles
• Fixed Wing Fighter Aircraft normally have a good high speed capability, good maneuverability at normal combat speeds (medium to high subsonic and transonic speeds), high specific excess power, good to excellent avionics, and the ability to employ guns and a wide range of air-to-air missiles. To achieve these capabilities, their optimum maneuvering speeds are usually rather high, impacting on low speed maneuverability
• Rotary Wing Aircraft have excellent low speed capability due to the rotor hub control moments which provides excellent control power in any axix. This allows rotary wing aircraft to fly Nap-of-the-Earth and stress aggressive concealed movement to take full advantage of masking provided by trees and terrain and attacking from a position of advantage at maximum standoff range
Georgia Tech
School of Aerospace Engineering
Summary and Conclusions• Aerial Vehicle Design and Performance is highly
dependent on the Mission identified and use of a Fuel and Thrust/Power Synthesis Approach
• For high speed, high altitude, high maneuvering attack missions, such as Suppression of Enemy Air Defense (SEAD), Fixed Wing Aerial Vehicle are the Choice
• For low speed, low altitude, high agility(along with vertical takeoff and landing (VTOL)capability) reconnaissance and attack missions, such as Urban Warfare, Rotary Wing Aerial Vehicles are the Choice
Georgia Tech
School of Aerospace Engineering
Technological Innovation and The Design Process
• The advancement of technology has three phases:– Invention: The creative act whereby an idea is conceived
– Innovation: The process by which an invention or idea is brought into successful practice and is utilized by the economy
– Diffusion: The successive and widespread initiation of successful innovation
• The technological innovation activity can considered to be:
Ident. OfMkt Need
Productidea
Pilotlot
Trialsales
CommercExploitation
Development
Georgia Tech
School of Aerospace Engineering
Successful products delineate four factors that lead to success
1. Product planning and research: Products where adequate time was spent in problem definition & concept development
2. Product superiority: Having a superior high-quality product that delivers real value to the customer makes all the differences between winning and losing
3. Quality marketing: High in importance is how well the marketing activities were executed from concept of the idea to the launch of the product in the marketplace
4. Proper organizational design: Successful products are most often developed by a cross-functional team, led by a product champion, supported by top management, and accountable for the entire project from beginning to end
Georgia Tech
School of Aerospace Engineering
Product and Process Cycles
• Product Life Cycle and Cash Flow Analysis
• Technology Development Cycle and S- Curves
• Process Development Cycle
– Uncoordinated development
– Segmental development
– Systematic development
• Producition and Consumption Cycle
Georgia Tech
School of Aerospace Engineering
Societal Considerations in Engineering
• Characteristics of an Environmentally Responsible Design
• Five roles of government in interacting with technology
• Technology Identification, Evaluation and Selection (TIES)
Georgia Tech
School of Aerospace Engineering
Dieter: Chapter 3 Team Behavior and Tools
• A team is a small number of people with complementary skills who are committed to a common purpose, performance goals, and approach for which they hold themselves mutually accountable
Differences between a working group and a teamWorking Group Team
-Strong, clearly focused leader -Individual & mutual accountability-The group,s purpose is the - Specific team purpose that the teamSame as the broader org.msn. Itself develops- Individual work products - Collective work products- Runs efficient meetings - Encourages open-ended discussion
and active problem-solving meetings- Measures its effectiveness - Measures performance directly by
indirectly by its influence assessing collective work products-Discusses,decides and delegates- Discusses, decides and does real work
together
Georgia Tech
School of Aerospace Engineering
Dieter: Chapter 3 Team Behavior and Tools
• What It Means to be an Effective Team Member– Take responsibility for the success of the team– Be a person who delivers on commitments– Be a contributor to discussions– Give your full attention to whomever is speaking and demonstrate this by asking
helpful questions– Develop techniques for getting your message across to the team– Learn to give and receive useful feedback
• The following are characteristics of an effective team:– Team goals are as important as individual goals– The team understands the goals and is committed to achieving them– Trust replaces fear and people feel comfortable taking risks– Respect, collaboration and open-mindedness are prevalent– Team members communicate readily; diversity of opinions are encouraged– Decisions are made by consensus and have the acceptance and support of the members
of the team
Georgia Tech
School of Aerospace Engineering
Dieter: Chapter 3 Team Behavior and Tools
• TEAM ROLES: Within a team members assume different roles in addition to being an active team member
• TEAM DYNAMICS:Students of team behavior have observed that most teams go through five stages of development
• EFFECTIVE TEAM MEETINGS: Students who complain about design projects taking too much time often are really expressing their inability to organize their meetings and manage their time effectively
• PROBLEMS WITH TEAMS: A well-functioning team achieves its objectives quickly and efficiently in an environment that induces energy and enthusiam
Georgia Tech
School of Aerospace Engineering
Dieter: Chapter 3 Team Behavior and Tools
• PROBLEM SOLVING TOOLS
• TIME MANAGEMENT
• PLANNING AND SCHEDULING
Georgia Tech
School of Aerospace Engineering
Dieter: Chapter 5 Concept Generation and Evaluation
• With a clear product design specification developed in Chap. 2 we have arrived at the point where we are ready to generate design concepts, evaluate them, and decide which one will be carried forward to a final product
• The principle that grades this work is that put forth by the American architect-engineer Louis Henri Sullivan, “form follows function”
• By this we mean, if the functions of the design are clearly understood, then its appropriate form or structure will be easier to determine
Georgia Tech
School of Aerospace Engineering
Dieter: Chapter 5 Concept Generation and Evaluation
• A design concept is an idea that is sufficiently developed that it can be evaluated in terms of physical realizability, i.e., the means of performing each major function has been determined
• The process that is applied in this chapter will result in the generation of multiple design concepts
• Then, with a set of design concepts we will subject them to an evaluation scheme to determine the best concept or small subset of best concepts
• Finally, a decision process will be used to decide on the best concept to develop into the final design
Georgia Tech
School of Aerospace Engineering
Dieter: Chapter 5.2 -Creativity and Problem Solving– Creative thinkers are distinguished by their ability to synthesize new combinations of
ideas and concepts into meaningful and useful forms– A characteristic of the creative process is that initially the idea is only imperfectly
understood– Usually the creative individual senses the total structure of the idea but initially
perceives only a limited number of the details– The creative process be viewed as moving from an amorphous idea to a well-structured
idea, from the chaotic to the organized, from the implicit to the explicit– Engineers, by nature and training, usually value order and explicit detail and abhor
chaos and vague generality– To achieve a truly creative solution to a problem a person must utilize two thinking
styles: vertical or convergent thinking and lateral or divergent thinking– Vertical thinking is the type of analytical though process reinforced by most
engineering courses where one moves forward in sequential steps after a positive decision has been made about the idea
– In lateral thinking your mind moves in may different directions, combining different pieces of information into new patterns (synthesis) until several solution concepts appear
Georgia Tech
School of Aerospace Engineering
Dieter: Chapter 5.3 -Creativity Methods5.4 – Creative Idea Evaluation
• Mental Blocks: Perceptual blocks, Emotional blocks, Cultural blocks, Environmental blocks, Intellectual blocks
• Brainstorming: Carefully define the problem at the start; Allow 5 minutes for each individual to think the problem on their own before starting the group process; SCAMPER checklist to aid in brainstorming
• Synectics: technique for creative thinking which draws on analogical thinking – Direct analogies, Personal analogies, Symbolic analogies, Fantasy analogies
• Force-Fitting Methods: SCAMPER is one of most widely used methods
• Mind Map: Concept map
Georgia Tech
School of Aerospace Engineering
Dieter: Chapter 5.5: Theory of Inventive Problem Solving (TRIZ)
• Developed in Russia, starting around 1946, Genrich Altshuller,etc. Studied over 1.5 million patents
• They organized the problem solutions from the patent literature into five levels:– Level 1: Routine design solutions (~30%)– Level 2: Minor corrections to an existing system (~45%)– Level 3: Fundamental improvements which resolve contradiction
(~20%) This is where creative design solutions would appear– Level 4: Solutions based on appln of new scientific principle to
perform the primary functions of the design (~4%)– Level 5: Pioneering inventions based on rare scientific discovery
(<1%)
Georgia Tech
School of Aerospace Engineering
Dieter: Chapter 5.6: Conceptual Decomposition• Two chief approaches to conceptual decomposition:
– Decomposition in the physical domain– Decomposition in the functional domain – the great advantage of
functional decompostion is that the method facilitates the examination of options that most likely would not have been considered
• Decomposition in the Physical Domain: an important emerging design consideration is product architecture – scheme by which the functional elements of the product are arranged into physical building blocks
• Functional Decomposition: system’s functions are described as a transformation between an initial state and a desired final state; originated with the German school of design methodology
Georgia Tech
School of Aerospace Engineering
Dieter: Chapter 5.7: Generating Design Concepts
• Concept Development
• Morphological Chart
• Combining Concepts
Georgia Tech
School of Aerospace Engineering
Dieter: Chapter 5.8: Axiomatic Design
• Axiom 1: The independence axiom– Maintain the independence of functional
requirements (FRs)
• Axiom 2: The information axiom– Minimize the information content
Georgia Tech
School of Aerospace Engineering
Dieter: Chapter 6Embodiment (Preliminary) Design
• Many U.S. writers divide the design process into 3 phases:– Conceptual Design– Preliminary (Embodiment) Design– Detail Design
• Others call embodiment design “analytical design” because it is the design phase where most of the detailed analysis and calculation occurs
• Dieter adopts the terminology conceptual design, embodiment design, and detail design because they seem to be more descriptive of what takes place in each of these design phases
• Moving the setting of dimensions and tolerances into embodiment design (from detail design) is in keeping with the current trend for utilizing CAE so as to move the decision making as early as possible in the desing process to compress the product development cycle
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Dieter: Chapter 6
• Three different forms of design:– Routine design: the attributes that define the design and the
strategies and methods for attaining them are well known– Innovative design: not all attributes of the design may be known
beforehand, but the knowledge base for creating the design is known
– Creative design: neither the attributes of the design nor the strategies for achieving them are known ahead of time
• The Conceptual design phase is most central to innovative design
• At the opposite pole is selection design or catalog design, which is more central to routine design
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Dieter: Chapter 6Product Architecture
• Product architecture is the arrangement of the physical elements of a product to carry out its required functions
• It is in the Embodiment design phase that the layout and architecture of the product must be established by defining what the basic building blocks of the product should be in terms of what they do and what their interfaces will be between each other. Some organizations refer to this as system-level design
• There are two entirely opposite styles of product architecture, modular and integral:
– Modular: components (chunks) implement only one or a few functions and the interactions are well defined
– Integral: implementation of functions uses only one or a few components (chunks) leading to poorly defined interactions between components (chunks)
• In integral product achitectures components perform multiple functions• Products designed with high performance as a paramount attribute often have
an integral architecture
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Dieter: Chapter 6Product Architecture• A modular design makes it easier to evolve the design over time, to adapt it to
the needs of different customers, to replenish components as they wear out or are used up, and to reuse the product at the end of its useful life by remanufacture
• Modular design may even be carried to the point of using the same component in multiple products, a product family
• Integral desing is often adopted when constraints of weight,k space, or cost require that performance be maximized
• There is a natural tension between component integration to minimize costs and product architecture
• The best approach is to consider integration of components only within a single chunk (set of components) of the product architecture
• Thus, the product architecture has strong implications for manufacturing costs• A modular architecture tends to shorten the product development cycle becasuse
module can be deveolped independently provided there is not coupling of functon betgween modules, and provided that interfaces are well laid out and understood
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Dieter: Chapter 6Product Architecture
• Four step process for establishing the product architecture– Create a schematic diagram of the product (FFBD, Schematic
Block Diagram)
– Cluster the elements of the schematic (DSM, DeMAID)
– Create a rough geometric layout (3-view drawing)
– Identify the fundamental and incidental interactions (Interrelationship Diagraph, Compatibility Matrix)
• SEE EXAMPLES FROM TEXT
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Dieter: Chapter 6Configuration Design
• In configuration design we establish the shape and general dimensions of components. Exact dimensions and tolerances are established in parametric design
• The term component is used in the generic sense to include special-purpose parts, standard parts, and standard assemblies or modules
• A part is a designed object that has no assembly operations in its manufacture• A standard part is one that has a generic function and is manufactured routinely
w/o regard to a particular product (bolts, washers, etc.)• A special-purpose part is designed and manufactured for a specific purpose in a
specific product line• An assembly is a collection of two or more parts• A subassembly is an assembly that is included within another assembly or
subassembly• A standard assembly or standard module is an assembly or subassembly which
has a generic function and is manufactured routinely (electric motors, pumps, etc.)
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Dieter: Chapter 6Configuration Design
• Steps in starting Configuration design:– Review the PDS– Establish the spatial constraints that pertain to th product or the
subassembly being designed. Most have been set by the product architecture
– Create and refine the interfaces or connections between components– Maintain functional independence in the design of an assembly or
component– Answer the following questions:
• Can the part be eliminated or combine with another part?• Can a standard part or module be used
• Generally, the best way to get started with configuration design is to just start sketching alternative configurations of a part
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Dieter: Chapter 6Parametric Design
• In configuration design the emphasis was on starting with the product architecture and then working out the best form for each component
• In parametric design the attributes of parts identified in configuration design become the design variables for parametric design
• A design variable is an attribute of a part whose value is under the control of the designer
• Robustness means achieving excellent performance under the wide range of conditions that will be found in service
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Dieter: Chapter 6Parametric Design
• Read Table 6.2: Questions for revealing part configuration design risks
• Failure Modes and Effects Analysis (FMEA)
• Design for Reliability
• Robust Design
• Tolerances
• Design Guidelines for Best Practices
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Dieter: Chapter 7Modeling and Simulation
• The Role of Models in Engineering Design– Descriptive model
– Predictive model
– Static or dynamic
– Deterministic or probabilistic
– Iconic-analog-symbolic
– Simulation
– The Prototype
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Dieter: Chapter 7Modeling and Simulation
• Mathematical Modeling– The components of a system are represented by idealized elements that
have the essential characteristics of the real components and whose behavior can be described by mathematical equations
– Techniques for treating large and complex systems by isolating the critical components and modeling them are at the heart of the growing discipline called systems engineering
– Important simplification results when the distributed properties of physical quantities are replaced by their lumped equivalents.
– A system is said to have lumped parameters if it can be analyzed in terms of the behavior of the endpoints of a finite number of discrete elements
– Once the chief components of the system have been identified, the next step is to list the important physical and chemical quantities that describe and determine the behavior of the system
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Dieter: Chapter 7Modeling and Simulation
• Dimensional Analysis– Buckingham Pi Theorem
• Similitude and Scale Models– Scale models
– Geometric similarity• Model dimension = scale factor x prototype dimension
– Static similarity-same portion as geometric dim under cons. stress
– Kinematic similarity- ratio of time proportionality
– Dynamic similarity- fixed ratio of forces
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Dieter: Chapter 7Modeling and Simulation
• Simulation– Finite-Difference Method
• A method of approximate solution of partial differential equations
– Monte Carlo Method• A way of generating information for a simulation when events occur in
a random way
– Geometric Modeling on the Computer• From it initiation,CAD has promised 5 important benefits to the
engineering design process– Automation of routine design tasks– Ability to design in 3D– Design by Solid Modeling– Electronic transfer of the design db to manuf (CAD/CAM)– A paperless design process
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Dieter: Chapter 7Modeling and Simulation
• Surface Modeling
• Methods of Generating Solids
• Constraint-Based Modeler and Features
• Finite-Element Analysis– Types of Elements
– Steps in the FEA Process• Preprocessing: Geometry, Matl constit reln, FE mesh, Bndy Conds
• Postprocessing: Data interpret., Error estim., Design optim
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Dieter: Chapter 7Modeling and Simulation
• Computer Visualization– Dynamic Analysis
– Interactive Product Simulation
• Rapid Prototyping
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Dieter: Chapter 8Materials Selection and Materials in Design
• The selection of the correct materials for a design is a key step in the process because it is the crucial decision that links computer calculations and lines on an engineering drawing with a working design
• Materials, and the manufacturing processes which convert the material into a useful part, underpin all engineering design
• The adoption of concurrent engineering methods has brought materials engineers into the design process at an earlier stage, and the importance given to manufacturing in present day product design has reinforced the fact that materials and manufacturing are closely linked in determining final product performance
• The extensive activity in materials science worldwide has created a variety of new materials and focused our attention on the competition between six broad classes of materials: metals, polymers, elastomers, ceramics, glasses, and composites
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Dieter: Chapter 8Materials Selection and Materials in Design
• Relation of Materials Selection to Design– An incorrectly chosen material can lead not only to failure of the
part but also to unnecessary life-cycle cost– Selecting the best material for a part involves more than selecting a
material that has the properties to provide the necessary performance in service; it is also intimately connected with the processing of the material into the finished part (Fig. 8.1)
– As design proceeds from concept design, the material and process selection becomes more detailed
– Figure 8.2 compares the design methods and tools used at each design stage with the materials and processes selection
– Thus, material and process selection is a progressive process of narrowing from a large universe of possibilities to a specific material and process selection
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Dieter: Chapter 8Materials Selection and Materials in Design
• General Criteria for Selection: Materials are selected on the basis of four general criteria:– Performance characteristics (properties)– Processing characteristics– Environmental profile– Business considerations
• The chief business consideration that affects materials selection is the cost of the part that is made from the material
• This considers both the purchase cost of the material and the cost to process it into a part. A more rational basis for selection is life cycle cost (LCC), which includes the cost of replacing failed parts and the cost of disposing of the material at the end of its useful life
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Dieter: Chapter 8Materials Selection and Materials in Design
• Performance Characteristics of Materials– The performance or functional requirements of material usually is
expressed in terms of physical, mechanical, thermal, electrical, or chemical properties
– Material properties are the link between the basic structure and composition of the material and the service performance of the part (Figure 8.3)
– We can divide structural engineering materials into metals, ceramics, and polymers; Further division leads to the categories of elastomers, glasses, and composites; Finally, there is the technology driving class of electronic, magnetic, and semiconductor materials
– The chief characteristics of metals, ceramics, and polymers are given in Table 8.1
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Dieter: Chapter 8Materials Selection and Materials in Design
• Performance Characteristics of Materials– The ultimate goal of materials science is to predict how to improve the
properties of engineering materials by understanding how to control the various aspects of structure
– Figure 8.4 relates various dimensions of structure with typical structural elements
– The first task in materials selection is to determine which material properties are relevant to the situation
– Figure 8.5 shows the relations between some common failure modes and the mechanical properties most closely related to the failures
– The material properties usually are formalized through specifications: Performance and Product specifications
– Table 8.2 provides a fairly complete listing of material performance characteristics
– Figure 8.6 illustrates the generic tree that is developed by expanding the category of fatigue properties
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Dieter: Chapter 8Materials Selection and Materials in Design
• The Materials Selection Process– The problem is not only often made difficult by insufficient or
inaccurate property data but is typically one of decision making in the face of multiple constraints without a clear-cut objective function
– A problem of materials selection usually involves one of two different situations
• Selection of the materials for a new product or design• Reevaluation of an existing product or design to reduce cost,
increase reliability, improve performance, etc.– It generally is not possible to realize the full potential of a new
material unless the product is redesigned to exploit both the properties and the manufacturing characteristics of the material
– In other words, a simple substitution of a new material without changing the design rarely provides optimum utilization of the material
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Dieter: Chapter 8Materials Selection and Materials in Design
• Materials selection for a new product or new design: The steps that must be followed are:
– Define the functions that the design must perform– Define the manufacturing parameters– Compare the needed properties and parameters with large database– Investigate the candidate materials in more detail– Develop design data and/or a design specification
• Materials substitution in an existing design– Characterize the currently used material in terms of performance, manufacturing
requirements, and cost– Determine which characteristics must be improved for enhanced product function– Search for alternative matls & processing routes – Compile a short list of matls & processing routes and use these to estimate the costs
of manufactured parts– Evaluate the results of Step 4 & make a recommendation for a replacement material
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Dieter: Chapter 8Materials Selection and Materials in Design
• Design Process and Materials Selection– There are two approaches to determing the material-process
combination for a part• Material first approach: the designer begins by selecting a material
class and narrowing it down
• Process first approach: the designer begins by selecting the manufacturing process
– While materials selection issues arise at every stage in the design process, the opportunity for greatest innovation in materials selection occurs at the conceptual design stage
– Ashby Charts: Figure 8.7a: Young’s modulus vs density; Figure 8.7b: Strength vs density
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Dieter: Chapter 8Materials Selection and Materials in Design
• Materials Selection in Embodiment (Preliminary) Design– Detailed materials selection is typically carried out in the
embodiment design phase using the process illustrated in Fig. 8.8
– When the material process selection is deemed adequate for the requirements, the process passes to a detailed specification of the material and the design
– Once the component goes into production, the early runs will be used to fine tune the manufacturing process and to gauge the market receptivity to the product
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Dieter: Chapter 8Materials Selection and Materials in Design
• Sources of Information on Materials Properties– The purpose of this section is to provide a guide to material
property data that are readily available in the published technical literature
– Scatter or variability of material property results is considerable, however, it is rare to find a property data presented in a proper statistical manner by a mean value and the standard deviation (See Chap. 10)
– Obviously, for critical applications in which reliability is of great importance, it is necessary to determine the frequency distribution of both the material property and the parameter that describes the service behavior
– Figure 8.9 shows that when the two frequency distributions overlap, there will be a statistically predictable number of failures
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Dieter: Chapter 8Materials Selection and Materials in Design
• Sources of Information on Materials Properties– Conceptual Design
• Typical material selection references, such as Ashby scheme
– Embodiment (Preliminary) Design• Design decisions are being made on the layout and size of parts and components• Design calculations require materials properties for a narrower class of materials but
specific to a particular heat treatment or manufacturing process• These data are typically found in handbooks and computer dbs.
– Detail Design• Very precise data is required• This goes beyond just material properties to include information on
manufacturability, cost, the experience in other applns, avail in the sizes and forms needed, and issues of repeat. of properties & QA
• Two often overlooked factors are whether the manufacturing process will produce different properties in different directions in the part, and whether the part will contain a detrimental state of residual stress after manufacture
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Dieter: Chapter 8Materials Selection and Materials in Design
• Economics of Materials– Ultimately the decision on a particular design will come down to a trade-off
between performance and cost– Where performance doesn’t dominate the manufacturer must provide a value to
cost ratio that is no worse, and preferably better, than the competition
– By value we mean the extent to which the performance criteria appropriate to the application are satisfied. Cost is what must be paid to achieve that level of value
– Because cost is such an overpowering consideration in material selection we need to give this factor additional attention
- Scarcity - Cost & amount of energy required to process- Basic supply & demand for the material
- Increases in properties, like yield strength, beyond those of the basic material are produced by changes in structure brought about by compositional changes and additional processing steps
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Dieter: Chapter 8Materials Selection and Materials in Design
• Methods of Materials Selection– There is no method or small number of methods of materials selection that has
evolved to a position of prominence– Since the final choice is a trade-off between cost and performance (properties),
it is logical to attempt to express that relation as carefully as possible– Figure 8.10 shows the costs of substituting lightweight magterials to achieve
weight saving (fuel economy) in automobiles– It is important to realize that the cost of a material expressed in dollars per
pound may not always be the most valid criterion– Total LLC is the most appropriate cost to consider– Consideration of factors beyond just the initial materials cost leads to relations
like the relation shown in Figure 8.11– A classic situation regarding cost is the choice between two or more materials
with different initial costs and different expected lives. This is a standard problem in the field of engineering economy (See Chap. 13)
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Dieter: Chapter 8Materials Selection and Materials in Design
• Selection with Computer-Aided Databases– Use of a Merit Factor approach similar to an OEC
• Material Performance Indices– A materials performance index is a group of material properties
which governs some aspect of the performance of a component
• Decision Matrices– Pugh Selection Method
– Weighted Property Index
• Materials Selection by Expert Systems
• Value Analysis
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Dieter: Chapter 8Materials Selection and Materials in Design
• Design for Brittle Fracture: An important advance in engineering knowledge has been the ability to predict the influence of cracks and crack-like defects on the brittle fracture of materials through the science of fracture mechanics
• Design for Fatigue Failure: Materials subjected to a repetitive or fluctuating stress will fail at a stress much lower than required to cause fracture on a single application of load
• Infinite-life design• Safe-life design• Fail-safe design• Damage-tolerance design
– Design for Corrosion Resistance– Designing with Plastics– Designing with Brittle Materials
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Dieter: Chapter 9Materials Processing and Design
• Role of Processing in Design– Producing the design is a critical link in the chain of events that starts
with a creative idea and ends with a successful product in the marketplace
– A serious problem has been the tendency to separate the design and manufacturing functions into separate organizational units
– More conventional manufacturing is divided into (1) process engineering, (2) tool engineering, (3) work standards, (4) plant engineering, and (5) administration and control
– We ordinary think of modern engineering in terms of the automotive assemble line, but mass production manufacturing systems account for less than 25 percent of metal pars manufactured
– The major opportunity for greatly increasing manufacturing productivity in small-lot manufacture
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Dieter: Chapter 9Materials Processing and Design
• Classification of Manufacturing Processes– Solidification (casting) processes– Deformation processes– Material removal or cutting (machining) processes– Polymer processing– Powder processing– Joining processing– Heat treatment and surface treatment– Assembly processes
• Types of Process Systems– Job shop - Assembly line– Batch - Continuous flow
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Dieter: Chapter 9Materials Processing and Design
• Factors Determining Process Selection– Cost of manufacture and life cycle cost– Quantity of parts required– Complexity – shape, form, size– Material– Quality of part– Availability, lead time, and delivery schedule
• Design for Manufacturability (DFM)– DFM Guidelines (Min tot # of parts; Standardize comps; Use
common parts across product lines; Design parts to be multifcnl; Design parts for ease of fab.; Avoid too tight tolerances; Avoid secondary opns; Utilize the special characteristics of processes)
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Dieter: Chapter 9Materials Processing and Design
• Design for Assembly (DFA)– The assembly process consists of two operations,
handling followed by insertion– There are three types of assembly, classified by the level
of automation– A list of DFA guidelines are:
• Min. the tot. no. of parts• Min. the assembly surfaces• Avoid separate fasteners• Min. assembly direction• Max. compliance in assembly• Min handling in assembly
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Dieter: Chapter 9Materials Processing and Design
• Early Estimation of Manufacturing Cost– The decisions about materials, shape, features and tolerances that
are made in the embodiment phase of design determine the manufacturing cost of the product
– It is not often possible to get large cost reductions once production has begun because of the high cost of change at this stage of the product life cycle
– Therefore, we need a way of identifying costly designs as early as possible in the design process
– One way is to include knowledgeable manuf psnl on IPT
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Dieter: Chapter 10Engineering Statistics
• Statistics and Design– Since in engineering design we typically deal with poorly defined
situations or are forced to use data that have low precision, it is easy to appreciate how the proper application of statistical analysis can help greatly with engineering design
– At least four major aspects of statistical analysis are important in engineering design
• Hypotheses tests
• Confidence limits
• Analysis of variance
• Statistical design of experiments
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Dieter: Chapter 10Engineering Statistics - Probability
• A basic underlying assumption of probability theory is that it deals with random events
• A random event is one in which the conditions are such that each member of the population N has an equal chance of being chosen
• A special and precise system of language and notation is used in probability theory
• Two events A and B are said to be independent if the occurrence of either one has no effect on the occurrence of the other
• Two events that have no elements in common are said to be mutually exclusive events
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Dieter: Chapter 10Engineering Statistics – Errors and Samples & Frequency
Distribution
• The act of making any type of experimental observation involves two types of errors: – Systematic errors (which exert a nonrandom basis)
– Experimental,or random, errors
• When a large number of observations are made from a random sample, a method is needed to characterize the data– Histograms,
– Frequency Distribution
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Dieter: Chapter 10Engineering Statistics – Measures of Central Tendency &
Dispersion
• A frequency distribution can be described with numbers that indicate the central location of the distribution and how the observations are spread out from the central location (dispersion)
– Arithmetic mean, or average
– Mode and Median
– Standard Deviation
– Range
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Dieter: Chapter 10Engineering Statistics – Types of Distributions
• Normal and Lognormal Distributions– Many physical measurements follow the symmetrical, bell-shaped curve of
the normal, or Gaussian, frequency distribution• Weibull Distribution
– Widely used for many engineering problems because of its versatility, since many random variables follow a bounded, nonsymmetrical distribution, such as fatigue life of components
• Gamma Distribution– Used to describe random variables that are bounded at one end
• Exponential Distribution– Special case of the gamma distribution for η = 1
• Distributions for Discrete Variables– The normal and other distributions discussed deal with continuous random
variables;however, there are important engineering problems in which the random variable takes on only discrete values
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Dieter: Chapter 10Engineering Statistics – Sampling Distributions
• The central problem in statistics is relating the population and the samples that are drawn from it
• This problem is viewed from two perspectives:– What does the population tell us about the behavior of the samples
– What does a sample or series of samples tell us about the population form which the sample came
• Distribution of Sample Means
• t Distribution
• Distribution of Sample Variances
• F Distribution
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Dieter: Chapter 10Engineering Statistics – Statistical Tests of Hypotheses
and Statistical Intervals
• The statistical decision-making process can be put on a rational, systematic basis by considering various statistically based hypotheses – Null hypothesis Ho: μ = μo
– Alternative hypothesis H1: μ < μo
• Interval estimation is commonly used to make probability statements about the population from which a sample has been drawn or to predict the results of a future sample from the same population– Confidence Interval - Tolerance Interval– Prediction Interval - Rejection of Outliers
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Dieter: Chapter 10Engineering Statistics – Analysis of Variance
• When we have three or more samples treatments we can use a statistical procedure call the Analysis of Variance (ANOVA) which is important in design of experiments
• With ANOVA we determine:– The total spread of results between the different treatments
– The spread of results within each treatment
• One-Way Classification
• Two-Way Classification
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Dieter: Chapter 10Engineering Statistics – Statistical Design of Experiments
• The greatest benefit can be gained from statistical analysis when the experiments are planned in advance so that data are taken in a way that will provide the most unbiased and precise results commensurate with the desired expenditure of time and money
• This can best be done through the combined efforts of a statistician and the engineer during the planning stage of the project
• Probably the most important benefit from statistically designed experiments is that more information per experiment will be obtained than with an unplanned experimentation
• A second benefit is that statistical design results in an organized approach to the collection and analysis of information
• Still another advantage of statistical planning is the credibility that is given to the conclusions of an experimental program when the variability and sources of experimental error are made clear by statistical analysis
• Finally, an important benefit of statistical design is the ability to discover interactions between experimental variables
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Dieter: Chapter 10Engineering Statistics – Statistical Design of Experiments
• In general, there are three classes of statistically designed experiments– Blocking designs use blocking techniques to remove the effect of
background variables from experimental error– Factorial designs are experiments in which all levels of each factor
in an experiment are combined with all levels of every other factor– Response surface designs are used to determine the empirical
functional relation between factors (independent variables) and the response (performance variable). The central composite design and rotatable designs are frequently used for this purpose
• Factorial Design• Fractional Factorial Designs
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Dieter: Chapter 10Engineering Statistics – Regressional Analysis
• Regression analysis is the statistical technique for establishing such relationships between two or more variables– Functional relation: emphasis is on prediction
– Association: correlation between variables, which vary jointly
• Method of Least Squares
• Linear Multiple Regression Analysis
• Nonlinear Regression Analysis
• Linearization Transformation
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Dieter: Chapter 10Engineering Statistics – Response Surface Methodology
• A powerful statistical procedure that employs factorial analysis and regression analysis has been developed for the determination of the optimum operating condition.
• Response surface methodology (RSM) has two objectives:– To determine with one experiment where to move in the next
experiment so as to continually seek out the optimal point on the response surface
– To determine the equation of the response surface near the optimal point
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Dieter: Chapter 11Risk, Reliability, and Safety
• A hazard (unsafe condition) is the potential for human, property, or environmental damage
• A risk is the likelihood, expressed either as a probability or as a frequency, of a hazard’s materializing
• Risk assessment has become increasingly important in engineering design as the complexity of engineering systems has increased
• Reliability is a measure of the capability of a part or a system to operate without failure in the service environment. It is always expressed as a probability
• Safety is relative protection from exposure to hazards. A thing is safe if its risks are judged to be acceptable
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Dieter: Chapter 11Risk, Reliability, and Safety
• Regulation as a Result of Risk– In a democracy when the public perception of a risk reaches sufficient
intensity, legislation is enacted to control the risk
• Standards– Standards are one of the most important ways in which the engineering
profession makes sure that society receives a minimum level of safety and performance
• Risk Assessment– The assessment of risk is an imprecise process involving judgment and
intuition– Three classifications of level of risk
• Tolerable risk• Acceptable risk• Unacceptable risk
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Dieter: Chapter 11Risk, Reliability, and Safety: Probabilistic Approach to
Design
• Conventional engineering design uses a deterministic approach
• It disregards the fact that material properties, the dimensions of the components, and the externally applied loads are stochastic in nature
• In conventional design these uncertainties are handled by applying a factor of safety
• In critical design situations, such as aircraft, space, and nuclear applications, however, there is a growing trend toward using a probabilistic approach to better quantify uncertainty and thereby increase reliability
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Dieter: Chapter 11Risk, Reliability, and Safety: Probabilistic Approach to
Design
• There are three typical approaches for incorporating probabilistic effects in design– The use of a factor of safety
– The use of the absolute worst case design
– The use of probability in design
• The use of probability in designPf = P(σ > Sy)
The reliability R is defined as
R = 1-Pf
See Example in Text
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Dieter: Chapter 11Risk, Reliability, and Safety: Probabilistic Approach to
Design
• Variability in Material Properties– The mechanical properties of engineering materials exhibit
variability
– Fracture and fatigue properties show greater variability than do the static tensile properties of yield strength and tensile strength
– Conservative design values for material properties are required in the design of minimum weight
• Probabilistic Design– Review the illustrated example of a crank that must support a
single static load
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Dieter: Chapter 11Risk, Reliability, and Safety: Probabilistic Approach to
Design
• Safety Factor– The use of a safety factor is far simpler but with much less
information content
– Using a safety factor is a form of “derating” but the extent of reduction from the true capacity is not known
• Absolute Worse Case Design– In absolute worse case (AWC) design the variables are set at either
the lowest or largest expected values
– AWC design, like the use of safety factor, is an approach that accounts for the statistical nature of the design environment in a deterministic way
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Dieter: Chapter 11Risk, Reliability, and Safety: Reliability Theory
• Reliability is the probability that a system, component, or device will perform without failure for a specified period of time under specified operating conditions
• The discipline of reliability engineering basically is a study of the causes, distribution, and prediction of failure
• Definitions– Mean life: The average life of the number of components put on test or
in service, measured over the entire life curve out to wearout– Mean time between failures (MTTF): The sum of survival time (up
time) for all of the components divided by the number of failures– Mean time between failures (MTBF): The mean time between two
successive component failures. MTBF is similar to MTTF, but it is applied for components or systems that are repaired
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Dieter: Chapter 11Risk, Reliability, and Safety: Reliability Theory
• Constant Failure Rate– The probability distribution of reliability is a negative exponential
distribution– Although an individual component may not have an exponential
reliability distribution, in a complex system with many components the overall reliability may appear as a series of random events and the system will follow an exponential reliability distribution
• Variable Failure Rate– Mechanical failures and some electronic components, e.g. relays and
thermionic devices, do not exhibit a period of constant failure rate– The most common practice is to consider that failure is distributed
according to the Weibull function
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Dieter: Chapter 11Risk, Reliability, and Safety: Reliability Theory
• System Reliability– Most mechanical and electronic systems comprise a collection of
components
– The overall reliability of the system depends on how the individual components with their individual failure rates are arranged
– It is obvious that if there are many components exhibiting series reliability, the system reliability quickly becomes very low
– A system in which the components are arranged to give parallel reliability is said to be redundant; there is more than one mechanism for the system functions to be carried out
– In a system with full active redundancy all but one component may fail before the system fails; See Aircraft Example for partial redun.
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Dieter: Chapter 11Risk, Reliability, and Safety: Reliability Theory
• Maintenance and Repair– If a failed component can be repaired while a redundant
component has replaced it in service, then the overall reliability of the system is improved
– If components subject to wear can be replaced before they have failed, then the system reliability will be improved
– Preventive maintenance is aimed at minimizing system failure– Repairing a failed component in a series system will not improve
the reliability, since the system is not operating– However, decreasing the repair time will shorten the period during
which the system is out of service– Maintainability is the probability that a component or system that
has failed will be restored to service within a given time
Georgia Tech
School of Aerospace Engineering
Dieter: Chapter 11Risk, Reliability, and Safety: Design for Reliability
• The design strategy used to ensure reliability can fall between two broad extremes– Fail-safe approach– “the one-horse shay” approach– Absolute worse-case approach
• Two major areas of engineering activity determine the reliability of an engineering system– Provision for reliability must be established during the earliest
design concept stage, carried through the detailed design development, and many steps in manufacture
– Once the system becomes operational, it is imperative that provision be made for its continued maintenance during its service
Georgia Tech
School of Aerospace Engineering
Dieter: Chapter 11Risk, Reliability, and Safety: Methods and Techniques
• Failure Mode and Effects Analysis (FMEA)– Team-based methodology for identifying potential problems with
new or existing designs
• Fault Tree Analysis (FTA)– A technique that provides a systematic description of the
combinations of possible occurrences in a system that can result in failure or severe accidents
• Defects and Failure Modes– Hardware failure– Software failure– Human failure– Organization failure
Georgia Tech
School of Aerospace Engineering
Dieter: Chapter 11Risk, Reliability, and Safety: Design for Safety
• Safety may well be the paramount issue in product design
• There are three aspects to design for safety– Make the product safe, i.e. design all hazards out of the product
– If above not possible, then design in protective devices
– If Step 2 cannot remove all hazards, then warn the user of the product with appropriate warnings like labels, flashing lights, and loud sounds
• Guidelines for Design for Safety– Be familiar with these
Georgia Tech
School of Aerospace Engineering
Dieter: Chapter 13Economic Decision Making
• The major engineering infrastructure that built this nation – the railroads, major dams, waterways, and air transportation – required a methodology for predicting costs and balancing them against alternative courses of action
• Mathematics of Time Value of Money• Depreciation• Taxes• Profitability of Investments• Other Aspects of Probability• Inflation• Sensitivity and Break-Even Analysis• Uncertainty in Economic Analysis• Benefit-Cost Analysis
Georgia Tech
School of Aerospace Engineering
Dieter: Chapter 14Cost Evaluation
• An engineering design is not complete until we have a good idea of the cost required to build the design or manufacture the product
• Categories of Costs• Methods of Developing Cost Estimates• Cost Indexes• Cost-Capacity Factors• Estimating Plant Cost • Design To Cost• Manufacturing Costs• Value Analysis in Costing• Overhead Costs• Activity-Based Costing• Product Profit Model• Learning Curve• Cost Models• Life Cycle Costing
Georgia Tech
School of Aerospace Engineering
Exam #2: Life Cycle Design Considerations
• Primary Text Chapters– Chap 6: Embodiment Design– Chap 7: Modeling and Simulation– Chap 8: Materials Selection & Materials in Design– Chap 9: Materials Processing & Design– Chap 10: Engineering Statistics– Chap 11: Risk, Reliability, and Safety– Chap 13: Economic Decision Making– Chap 14: Cost Evaluation
• Secondary Text Chapter– Chap 13: Modeling and Simulation