Georgia Statewide Transportation Plan/

Statewide Strategic Transportation Plan Update

Presented to:

Stakeholder Advisory Committee

November 6, 2013, Meeting #2

• Welcome – Kelly Gwin (GDOT)

• Project Overview – Kelly Gwin (GDOT)

• Existing Conditions Summary – Marc Cutler (CS)

• Economic & Financial Forecasts – Tracy Selin (CS)

• Outreach – Jamie Cochran (GSP)

• Next Steps – Kelly Gwin (GDOT)

Agenda

2

• Combine elements of a traditional, statewide long-range

transportation plan with business case for transportation

• Reflect changes in planning context since 2005 Statewide

Transportation Plan (SWTP) and 2010 Statewide Strategic

Transportation Plan (SSTP)

− Transportation Investment Act (TIA)

− MAP-21

− Revenue updates

− Other studies

Purpose of the Statewide Plan Update

Traditional Long-Range Plan

Business

Case

SWTP/ SSTP

Update

3

I. Document existing conditions across all

modes – November 2013

II. Forecast future conditions for year 2040 –

December 2013

III. Assess future deficiencies across all

modes – April 2014

IV. Develop program-level tradeoff analysis to

inform funding decisions – June 2014

V. Prepare investment recommendations and

final report – 2015

Plan Development Schedule

Existing Conditions

Future Conditions

Future Deficiencies

Trade-Offs

Recommended Investments

4

Modes

Highway

Transit

Air

Rail

Water/Freight

Bicycle and Pedestrian

Existing Conditions

Attributes

Inventory of Facilities

Capacity

Use

Performance

Major Issues/Deficiencies

5

6,968, 2.7% 669 , 0.3% 15,399 , 6.0%

21,705 , 8.4%

31,660 , 12.3%

14,886,5.8%

166,155, 64.5%

INTERSTATE

OTHER FREEWAYS AND

EXPRESSWAYS

OTHER PRINCIPAL

ARTERIAL

MINOR ARTERIAL

MAJOR COLLECTOR

MINOR COLLECTOR

LOCAL

Highway Lane-Miles

6

Source: GDOT Office of Transportation Data.

Total Lane Miles: 256,842

Daily Vehicle-Miles Traveled

7

Source : GDOT Statewide Model.

0.02

0.10

6.90

29.60

51.32

10.93

88.60

0.08

0.12

3.35

5.08

11.84

1.37

0 5 10 15 20 25 30 35 40 45 50 55 60 65 70 75 80 85 90 95

Local

Minor Collector

Major Collector

Minor Arterial

Principal Arterial – Other

Principal Arterial – Other Freeways and Expressways

Interstate

Daily VMT (in Millions)

Non-State Owned Facility

State Owned Facility

96

Congestion: Percentage of Miles State-Owned Urban and Rural Roads

0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100%

Local

Minor Collector

Major Collector

Minor Arterial

Principal Arterial – Other

Principal Arterial – Other Freeways and Expressways

Interstate

A B C D E F

Percentage of Miles at Daily Levels of Service Source: GDOT Statewide Model.

4,329 miles

6,666 miles

5,536 miles

2 miles

8 miles

8

1,248 miles

139 miles

Congestion: Percentage of Miles Non State-Owned Rural and Urban Roads

0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100%

Local

Minor Collector

Major Collector

Minor Arterial

Principal Arterial – Other

Principal Arterial – Other Freeways and Expressways

A B C D E F

Percentage of Miles at Daily Levels of Service

9

10,047 miles

269 miles

2,872 miles

8 miles

7,484 miles

84,935 miles

Source: GDOT Statewide Model.

87.98

#N/A

83.80

70.71

79.66 76.79 78.33

72.82

80.23

70.43

0

10

20

30

40

50

60

70

80

90

100

GDOT Other GDOT Other GDOT Other GDOT Other GDOT Other

Interstate Principal Arterial – Other

Freeways and

Expressways

Principal Arterial – Other Minor Arterial Major Collector

Weighted Average

COPACES

Pavement Condition

10

Source: GDOT State Maintenance Office.

State Non-State State Non-State State Non-State State Non-State State Non-State

0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

60%

70%

80%

90%

100%

State County Municipal

Percent of

All Bridges

Good or Excellent

Functionally Obsolete

Structurally Deficient

6,632 7,317

564

Bridge Condition by Number

11

Source: National Bridge Inventory from GDOT Submissions.

14,281 Bridges

FO = cannot handle volume

SD = needs rehabilitation or

replacement

Bridge Condition by Deck Area

12

Source: National Bridge Inventory from GDOT Submissions.

0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

60%

70%

80%

90%

100%

State County Municipal

Percent of

All Deck Area

Good or Excellent

Functionally Obsolete

Structurally Deficient

0.3 M SF

1.7 M SF

7.0 M SF

Source: Georgia Department of Transportation as of November 1, 2013.

Highway Fatalities

13

1,706 1,647

1,508

1,299 1,250 1,236 1,199

0

200

400

600

800

1,000

1,200

1,400

1,600

1,800

2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012

Fatalities

Source: Georgia Department of Transportation as of November 1, 2013.

Highway Serious Injuries

14

6,230 5,890

5,054 4,832

3,223 3,121 2,872

0

1,000

2,000

3,000

4,000

5,000

6,000

7,000

2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012

Serious Injuries

• Pavement and bridge condition on the

state-owned network is very good

• Pavement and bridge conditions on non-state

owned facilities have lower average condition

ratings

• Peak-period congestion in the Atlanta

metropolitan region is significant

• Some critical bottlenecks in other urban areas

Highway Findings

15

Transit Service by Type by County

Source: GDOT Office of Intermodal Programs.

16

Ridership

17

Unlinked Trips, in millions

• Dedicated funding source

• Service in rural areas

• Coordination of services

• Aging fleet

• Changing lifestyles and aging populations

increase demand in the future, in particular for

non-commute oriented travel

Transit Findings

18

State Bicycle Route Network

Example of Signed

State Bicycle Route Network

Source: GDOT.

19

Source: GDOT Office of Traffic Operations. (Total Crashes 2010-2012).

Crashes Involving a Bicycle by County

20

• Increasing traffic on designated bike routes

• Sidewalk coverage

• Coordination/filling system gaps

• Crash hot spots

Bicycle and Pedestrian Findings

21

Georgia’s Airports

Source: GDOT, FAA (September 2013).

22

• 104 airports operating in

2013, 9 commercial

• World’s busiest airport in

Atlanta

• Most airports have

excess capacity

Commercial Service Operation

0

200,000

400,000

600,000

800,000

1,000,000

1,200,000

1,400,000

1,600,000

2008 Operations (Takeoffs/Landings) 2012 Operations (Takeoffs/Landings)

Other Commercial Service Providers

Hartsfield-Jackson Atlanta International Airport (HJAIA)

23

Operations pre and post recession. Source: GDOT and FAA.

Commercial Service Enplanements

0

5,000,000

10,000,000

15,000,000

20,000,000

25,000,000

30,000,000

35,000,000

40,000,000

45,000,000

50,000,000

2003 2008 2012

Other Commercial Service Providers

Hartsfield-Jackson Atlanta International Airport (HJAIA)

Enplanements

Source: GDOT Intermodal and FAA Annual Enplanement Report.

24

• Airline consolidation

• Ridership stagnation outside of Hartsfield-Jackson

Atlanta International Airport (HJAIA)

• Limited cargo service outside of HJAIA and intense

national competition for HJAIA

• Some general aviation airports do not meet

runway length, taxiway turn-arounds, and Runway

Safety Area standards

• Funding

Aviation Findings

25

Truck

75%

Rail

25%

Water

0.20%

Air

0.06%

Truck

Rail

Water

Air

Total Tonnage (2007)

853 million tons

Source: Georgia Statewide Freight and Logistics Plan, GDOT, 2012.

Freight Tonnage by Mode

26

213.25 million tons

639.75 million tons

170.6 million tons

51.18 million tons

Source: State Transportation Board Designated Freight Corridors per GA code, 2013.

Designated Freight Corridors

27

Top State Trading Partners

for Georgia Truck Traffic

Source: 2007 TRANSEARCH Data.

29

Source: GDOT Truck-Only Lane Needs Identification Study, 2006.

Savannah Port Truck Trip Patterns

Distribution of Port Truck Trip Origins within Georgia

Distribution of Port of Savannah Truck Trip Origins within U.S.

30

Atlanta Regional Truck Trip Origins and Destinations NS Austell Intermodal Railyard

Source: GDOT SWTP/SSTP Intermodal Yard Truck Intercept Survey, August 2013.

31

Georgia Rail

Source: Georgia Statewide Freight and Logistics Plan, 2012.

32

Rail Density Rail Deficiencies Meeting Standard 286K Car Weight Minimum

Maximum Ship Sizes at Panama

Canal Today and After Expansion

33

• Truck congestion and reliability in the Atlanta region

• Supply of truck parking

• Truck safety

• Truck size and weight

• Rail system bottlenecks (line haul capacity and

segments such as Howell Junction)

• Weight limits and vertical clearances

• Rail terminal capacity

• Savannah port deepening to accommodate post-

Panamax ships

• Last mile connectivity to the Port of Savannah and rail

terminals

Freight Findings

35

• Collected historical data from the U.S. Bureau of Economic

Analysis for comparison

− 11 year period (2001-2011) and 32 year period (1980-2011) used

for comparison

• Collected GA statewide forecast data :

− Georgia Governor’s Office of Planning and Budget (2012-2030)

− Georgia’s Workforce Statistics and Economic Research (2010-2020)

− Georgia Statewide Transportation Model (SWM) (2012-2040)

− All Georgia MPOs (2010-2040)

− Economy.com (2012-2043)

− REMI (2011 and 2012-2043)

• Economic indicators include population, employment,

and Gross State Product (GSP)

Economic Forecast Methodology

36

• Three funding tiers

− 2015-2020, 2021-2030, 2031-2040

• All funding sources

− Federal (FHWA and FTA)

− State (state general fund, state motor fuel tax, GTIB)

− Local/Regional (MARTA sales tax and fares, TIA,

managed lanes, local funds used for highways)

• Fiscally Constrained Scenario

− Stable fund sources projected into the future

• Fiscally Unconstrained Scenario

− Less conservative assumptions

Financial Forecast Methodology

37

• Continuous throughout study process

• Tailored outreach, targeting engagement methods to

different audiences

• Project website – 490 hits in the first month

(www.dot.ga.gov/SSTP-SWTP)

• Ongoing input via: ― Plan update web site

― Statewide outreach

― On-line survey, smartphone link

― Consultation with local elected

officials, agency representatives

― Stakeholder Advisory Committee

Stakeholder Outreach

38

Fall Festival Public Outreach GDOT

District Festival County Date

Surveys

Received

1 Big Red Apple Festival Habersham 10/12/13 164

2 Kaolin Festival Washington 10/12/13 49

3 Shady Days in Gay Meriwether 10/05/13 41

4 Georgia Peanut Festival Worth 10/19/13 67

5 Rock Shrimp Festival Camden 10/05/13 158

6 Georgia Apple Festival Gilmer 10/19/13 64

7 Atlanta Streets Alive Fulton 10/06/13 62

TOTAL 605

39

Fall Festival Public Outreach Locations

40

6

1

7

3

2

4 5

Festival Survey Form

41

Festival Survey Form (cont’d)

42

What is the Best Thing About Georgia’s

Transportation System?

59%

5%

19%

11% 6%

Maintenance of the

roads and highways

Transit

Local walking and

biking opportunities

Airports, railroads &

ports

Other

43

Where Are Opportunities for

GDOT to Improve?

22%

18%

16%

26%

4%

11% 3%

Maintenance of the roads and

highways

Safety of roads

Transit options

Local walking and biking

opportunities

Airports, railroads & ports

Strategic investment to support

economic development

Other

44

What Are the Most Important Areas to

Emphasize in the Future?

12%

36%

9%

14%

20%

6% 3%

Better connectivity of the roadway

system

Reducing traffic congestion

Safety of the transportation system

Maintenance of the roads and

bridges

Providing more public

transportation options

Supporting the economy by moving

freight more efficiently

Other

45

Looking to the Future, What is Georgia’s

Most Valuable Transportation Asset?

32%

39%

9%

9%

10% 1%

State roads

Interstate system

Local walking and biking

opportunities

Transit systems

Airports, railroads & ports

Other

46

What Are the Most Significant Transportation

Challenges Georgia Faces in the Next 25 Years?

4,595 2,200

2,075

1,835

1,525

1,345

770

660

550

105

Aging and deteriorating infrastructure

Rising transportation costs

Increasing traffic/congestion delays

Safety

Increasing truck traffic on our highways

The travel needs of the elderly

Reliability of our public transit services

Increasing distances we have to travel

Land development patterns

Other

Scoring Scale

#1 Priority – 15 points

#2 Priority – 10 points

#3 Priority – 5 points

47

Scored Statements

2.28 2.47 2.58

3.72

1.77 1.95

It is easy to get

where I need to

go; there is good

connectivity.

The roads are

safe.

The roads and

bridges are well

maintained.

I have public

transit options

to choose from.

Airports,

railroads and

ports are

important to the

economy.

My commute

time to work or

school takes

about the same

amount of time

each day (i.e., it

is "reliable").

1.00

2.00

3.00

4.00

5.00

Using a scale of 1 through 5 with “1” meaning “I strongly agree”

and “5” meaning “I strongly disagree”, please score the following

statements based on your experience.

Strongly

Disagree

Strongly

Agree

48

What Are Your Top Traveling Priorities?

6,870

3,560

2,250

1,815

1,790

470

460

50

Safety

Travel time

Reliability

Cost

Convenience

Health benefits

Comfort

Other

Weighted Score

49

Scoring Scale

#1 Priority – 15 points

#2 Priority – 10 points

#3 Priority – 5 points

Next Outreach Activities

• Environmental Justice/Title VI

Outreach

− School curriculum (5th grade)

− Spanish surveys were available at

all fall festivals

• On-line and Smart Phone

Survey

− FlipSides tool is part of on-line

survey

− Educational information about

trade-off in investment choices

− Gives real-time feedback to users

• Rural Focus Group

50

Next Steps

Future Deficiencies Analysis

Spring 2014 (Third SAC Meeting)

Tradeoff Analysis

Fourth Stakeholder Advisory Committee Meeting, Summer 2014 – Tradeoff Analysis

51

Questions?

52

Georgia Department of Transportation

Attn: Ms. Kelly Gwin,

Phone: (404) 631-1987

kgwin@dot.ga.gov,

Project web site – www.dot.ga.gov/SSTP-SWTP

Project Contact Information

53