George Washington University poll
Transcript of George Washington University poll
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8/9/2019 George Washington University poll
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26% 10% 65% 1001
30% 8% 62% 195
23% 12% 66% 181
26% 8% 66% 235
27% 4% 69% 96
26% 17% 57% 83
15% 10% 74% 70
28% 12% 61% 141
28% 10% 62% 89
27% 2% 71% 58
29% 4% 66% 71
31% 5% 64% 56
25% 11% 64% 727
25% 11% 64% 217
26% 12% 62% 320
26% 7% 67% 464
24% 9% 67% 405
29% 11% 61% 366
25% 10% 65% 230
24% 7% 69% 241
26% 11% 63% 760
24% 10% 66% 480
27% 10% 63% 521
25% 10% 65% 324
23% 8% 68% 157
29% 11% 61% 281
25% 9% 65% 240
29% 7% 64% 133
27% 10% 63% 605
22% 9% 69% 252
27% 22% 51% 11
32% 17% 51% 200
27% 6% 67% 280
27% 8% 66% 310
17% 11% 72% 200
5% 10% 85% 10
TOTAL
Northeast
Midwest
South
South Central
Central Plains
Mountain States
West
RG1 GEOGRAPHIC AREAS ONE
California
Florida
Texas
New York
Rest of country
RG2 GEOGRAPHIC
AREAS TWO
GOP held seat up in 2014
DEM held seat up in 2014
No Senate election
SENEL U.S. SENATE
ELECTION STATUS BY
STATE
GOP held seat up in 2014
DEM held seat up in 2014
No Gubernatorial election
GOVEL
GUBERNATORIAL
ELECTION STATUS BYSTATE
Competitive statewide
race
Other
COMPST STATES
WITH COMPETITIVE
STATEWIDE
ELECTIONS
Male
Female
GENDER GENDER
Male / employed
Male / not employed
Female / employed
Female / not employed
RSEXEMP
RESPONDENT'S SEX /
EMPLOYMENT/C
Not employed
Employed
Retired
Refused
EMPSTAT
18-34
35-44
45-64
65 or over
Unsure / refused
RAGE RESPONDENT'S AGE/C
RDIRECT
Rightdirection
Unsure Wrong track
RDIRECT DIRECTION THINGS INCOUNTRY ARE GOING/C
TOTAL
(cont.)
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29% 10% 60% 480
27% 8% 66% 310
17% 11% 72% 200
5% 10% 85% 10
29% 9% 62% 302
17% 10% 73% 179
32% 9% 59% 315
20% 11% 70% 205
22% 8% 70% 751
48% 10% 42% 120
31% 19% 50% 90
22% 13% 64% 40
31% 12% 57% 128
20% 8% 72% 623
47% 26% 27% 24
48% 6% 46% 96
28% 28% 44% 41
33% 12% 55% 49
33% 15% 52% 8
20% 13% 67% 32
17% 9% 75% 255
29% 10% 61% 746
22% 7% 71% 368
22% 9% 69% 382
43% 14% 43% 50
52% 7% 41% 70
32% 25% 42% 42
29% 14% 56% 48
8% 5% 87% 390
18% 12% 70% 190
46% 13% 41% 420
9% 5% 86% 214
6% 6% 88% 176
48% 15% 37% 161
44% 12% 44% 259
19% 11% 71% 105
17% 13% 70% 85
18-44
45-64
65+
Unsure / refused
RAGEBG2 AGE/C
Male / under 55
Male / 55+
Female / under 55
Female / 55+
RR96FL AGE / SEX
White
Black / African American
Hispanic / Latino
Other
RRACE
RESPONDENT'S
RACE/C
White millenials 18-34
White older voters 35+
African American
millenials 18-34
African American older voters 35+
Hispanic millenials 18-34
Hispanic older voters 35+
Other races millenials
18-34
Other races older voters
35+
AGE AND RACE
White seniors
Other
WHITE SENIORS
White men
White women
Black men
Black women
Hispanic men
Hispanic women
GENRACE RACE BY
GENDER
Republican
Independent
Democrat
RPARTYID PARTY
IDENTIFICATION/C
Male / GOP
Female / GOP
Male / DEM
Female / DEM
Male / IND
Female / IND
RPTYID89 SEX /
PARTY ID
RDIRECT
Rightdirection
Unsure Wrong track
RDIRECT DIRECTION THINGS INCOUNTRY ARE GOING/C
TOTAL
(cont.)
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9% 6% 85% 223
6% 5% 90% 168
52% 11% 37% 269
35% 17% 48% 151
21% 12% 67% 125
13% 10% 77% 65
8% 4% 88% 448
14% 22% 64% 61
43% 13% 43% 492
7% 4% 88% 360
7% 7% 86% 92
21% 17% 62% 64
26% 16% 58% 84
47% 13% 40% 401
12% 5% 83% 536
16% 20% 64% 76
46% 14% 40% 389
8% 3% 88% 187
14% 7% 79% 348
41% 15% 44% 465
8% 5% 87% 390
18% 12% 70% 190
35% 5% 60% 103
49% 16% 35% 318
50% 14% 36% 335
30% 11% 59% 157
14% 22% 64% 61
18% 6% 77% 69
6% 4% 90% 379
7% 3% 89% 93
3% 2% 95% 68
30% 11% 59% 840
28% 18% 54% 53
19% 13% 68% 227
25% 9% 66% 219
29% 8% 63% 503
27% 8% 65% 248
21% 12% 67% 232
30% 8% 61% 254
24% 12% 64% 266
Under 55 / GOP
55 & over / GOP
Under 55 / DEM
55 & over / DEM
Under 55 / IND
55 & over / IND
RPTY90FL AGE /
PARTY
IDENTIFICATION
Republican
Ticket splitter
Democrat
RPARTY USUAL VOTE
BEHAVIOR/C
Hard GOP
Soft GOP
Ticket splitter Soft DEM
Hard DEM
PARTISAN PARTISAN
Conservative
Moderate
Liberal
RIDEOL
RESPONDENT'S
IDEOLOGY/C
Very conservative
Somewhat conservative
Moderate / liberal
RRIDEOL
RESPONDENT'S
IDEOLOGY/C
Republican
Independent
Conservative DEM
Mod / lib DEM
RPTYID98 TARGET
GROUPS
Liberal DEM
Mod / conservative DEM
Independent
Mod / liberal GOP
Conservative GOP
PARIDEOL PARTY /
IDEOLOGY
Yes / strongly
Yes
No / unsure
RRTEAMEM IDENTIFY
WITH TEA PARTY
MOVEMENT/C
Less than high school
High school graduate
Some college
College graduate
REDUC
RESPONDENT'S
EDUCATION/C
Male college graduates
Male non-college
graduates
Female college graduates
Female non-college
graduates
SEXED2 GENDER AND
EDUCATION
RDIRECT
Rightdirection
Unsure Wrong track
RDIRECT DIRECTION THINGS INCOUNTRY ARE GOING/C
TOTAL
(cont.)
THE TARRANCE GROUP, INC.Battleground 57 #14750: Weighted TablesMay 3-6, 2015
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16% 10% 74% 349
38% 16% 46% 149
29% 8% 63% 503
30% 8% 63% 127
25% 10% 65% 874
32% 14% 54% 215
25% 7% 67% 607
21% 12% 67% 179
25% 9% 67% 171
30% 9% 61% 203
28% 9% 64% 299
23% 6% 71% 308
14% 19% 67% 22
29% 8% 63% 60
34% 6% 60% 42
31% 16% 53% 173
18% 13% 69% 97
34% 16% 49% 98
27% 7% 66% 304
20% 12% 68% 118
29% 12% 58% 117
23% 8% 69% 302
22% 12% 66% 61
23% 8% 70% 75
27% 15% 58% 46
21% 6% 72% 244
23% 8% 69% 243
22% 10% 68% 49
16% 11% 73% 93
38% 14% 48% 250
38% 8% 54% 30
30% 9% 61% 150
21% 12% 67% 23
25% 10% 65% 798
White non-college
graduate
Minority non-college
graduate
Others
SEXEDWH
NON-COLLEGE
GRADUATES
Union household
Non-union household
RUNION MEMBER OF
LABOR UNION/C
Single
Married
No longer married
RMARITAL MARITAL
STATUS/C
Dad
Mom
MOMDAD PARENTS
Married / children
Married / no children
Divorced / children
Divorced / no children
Single / children
Single / no children
Other / mixed
BUNDY MARITALSTATUS / CHILDREN
Single women
Married women
No longer married women
Single menMarried men
No longer married men
GENMAR1 GENDER
AND MARITAL
White single men
White single women
White married men
White married women
White no longer married
men
White no longer married
women
Other
GENMAR2 GENDER,
MARITAL, AND RACE
Single mothers
Married mothers
No longer married
mothers
Non-mothers
MOMMAR MOTHERS
BY MARITAL STATUS
RDIRECT
Rightdirection
Unsure Wrong track
RDIRECT DIRECTION THINGS INCOUNTRY ARE GOING/C
TOTAL
(cont.)
THE TARRANCE GROUP, INC.Battleground 57 #14750: Weighted TablesMay 3-6, 2015
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42% 4% 54% 73
26% 8% 66% 696
22% 16% 62% 205
11% 22% 68% 8
16% 21% 63% 20
22% 7% 71% 551
50% 6% 44% 63
30% 15% 55% 57
28% 17% 55% 25
26% 13% 60% 305
28% 8% 64% 198
17% 8% 75% 185
20% 9% 71% 280
30% 17% 53% 45
36% 11% 53% 262
18% 8% 74% 336
24% 8% 68% 157
30% 7% 63% 191
19% 21% 60% 44
28% 11% 61% 79
11% 6% 83% 106
16% 8% 76% 131
26% 10% 64% 17
30% 11% 60% 667
19% 5% 76% 133
26% 11% 62% 348
21% 7% 72% 179
30% 11% 58% 342
12% 6% 82% 222
40% 7% 53% 90
7% 4% 88% 166
31% 69% 51
25% 11% 64% 55
53% 16% 31% 39
Upper class
Middle class
Low income
Working class
Refused
ECONCLA2
ECONOMIC CLASS
Middle class whites
Middle class African
Americans
Middle class Hispanics
Middle class other races
Other
CLARAC ECONOMIC
CLASS AND RACE
Roman Catholic
Baptist / Evangelical
Mainline Protestant
Other
None
RDENOM
RESPONDENT'SCHURCH/C
At least once a week
At least once a month
Infrequently
Never
RDENOMFR HOWOFTEN DO YOU
ATTEND CHURCH/C
Active Roman Catholics
Active Baptists /
Evangelicals Active Mainline
Protestants
Active other
Other
ACTIVE ACTIVE
CHURCH ATTENDEES
Male born again /
evangelicals
Male not evangelical
Female born again /
evangelicals
Female not evangelical
SEXBORN GENDER
AND BORN AGAIN
White Evangelical
Non-white Evangelical
RACEVANG RACE /
EVANGELICAL
White conservative
Christians
Non-white conservative
Christians
White non-conservative
Christians
Non-white
non-conservative
Christians
IDEOVAN IDEOLOGY /
EVANGELICAL
CHRISTIANS
RDIRECT
Rightdirection
Unsure Wrong track
RDIRECT DIRECTION THINGS INCOUNTRY ARE GOING/C
TOTAL
(cont.)
THE TARRANCE GROUP, INC.Battleground 57 #14750: Weighted TablesMay 3-6, 2015
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51% 13% 36% 453
20% 30% 50% 62
3% 5% 93% 487
37% 12% 51% 135
30% 5% 65% 228
46% 10% 45% 99
15% 4% 81% 78
16% 11% 73% 116
16% 17% 67% 76
19% 12% 69% 268
11% 7% 82% 71
15% 6% 79% 126
28% 12% 60% 203
42% 10% 48% 132
25% 11% 64% 98
21% 20% 59% 41
42% 15% 43% 101
9% 5% 86% 65
21% 6% 72% 141
42% 2% 56% 11
6% 17% 78% 12
31% 5% 63% 352
22% 11% 67% 571
27% 12% 61% 48
21% 37% 42% 30
10% 6% 84% 318
25% 10% 65% 405
45% 13% 41% 214
43% 13% 44% 56
42% 58% 1
36% 34% 30% 8
48% 10% 42% 245
29% 30% 42% 63
18% 8% 75% 693
36% 12% 52% 510
23% 20% 57% 85
14% 5% 82% 406
Approve
Unsure
Disapprove
RBHOJA BARACK
OBAMA JOB
APPROVAL/C
Jobs
Economy
Health care
Illegal immigration
Foreign threats
Deficit
Other
RMIIP MOST
IMPORTANT ISSUE
FOR NEXT
PRESIDENT/C
Cutting taxes
Reducing deficitCreating jobs
Increase wages
Healthcare costs
Retirement
Higher education
Regulations
Combination
None
Unsure
MEIP ECONOMIC
ISSUE NEXT
PRESIDENT SHOULDFOCUS ON
Views close to own
Most effective person
Both
Unsure
CAND2016 VIEW ON
VOTE FOR
PRESIDENTIAL
CANDIDATE
Very worried
Somewhat worried
Not too worried
Not at all worried
Combination
Unsure
ECONW WORRY
ABOUT US ECONOMY
SUFFERING
DOWNTURN
Yes
Unsure
No
RECONFUT NEXT
GENERATION BETTER
OFF
ECONOMICALLY/C
Approve
Unsure
Disapprove
RISAPP US EFFORTS
AGAINST ISIS/C
RDIRECT
Rightdirection
Unsure Wrong track
RDIRECT DIRECTION THINGS INCOUNTRY ARE GOING/C
TOTAL
(cont.)
THE TARRANCE GROUP, INC.Battleground 57 #14750: Weighted TablesMay 3-6, 2015
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8% 6% 86% 112
14% 7% 79% 283
31% 10% 59% 341
40% 13% 47% 258
100% 1
49% 15% 37% 7
27% 6% 67% 645
23% 16% 61% 356
48% 9% 43% 295
15% 19% 66% 45
9% 2% 89% 306
33% 10% 57% 628
12% 8% 81% 245
17% 10% 73% 128
70% 6% 24% 26
64% 11% 25% 112
46% 11% 43% 221
20% 14% 65% 214
5% 7% 88% 427
7% 2% 91% 150
12% 3% 84% 96
11% 6% 84% 91
20% 8% 72% 87
24% 15% 61% 164
41% 13% 46% 413
26% 10% 65% 1001
Very worried
Somewhat worried
Not too worried
Not at all worried
Combination
Unsure
TERRW WORRY
ABOUT TERRORIST
ATTACK
Yes
No
RIDEAL SRH ABOUT
IRAN NUCLEAR
AGREEMENT/C
Approve
Unsure
Disapprove
RAPPR US SENATE
VOTE ON IRAN
NUCLEAR DEAL/C
YesNo
Not sure
SAMEA ATTEND SAMESEX MARRIAGE
CEREMONY
4 of 4
3 of 4
2 of 4
1 of 4
0 of 4
DEMCON WILLING TO
CONSIDER
DEMOCRATIC
PRESIDENTIAL
CANDIDATE
5-7 of 7
4 of 7
3 of 7
2 of 7
1 of 7
0 of 7
GOPCON WILLING TO
CONSIDER
DEMOCRATIC
PRESIDENTIAL
CANDIDATE
TOTAL
RDIRECT
Rightdirection
Unsure Wrong track
RDIRECT DIRECTION THINGS INCOUNTRY ARE GOING/C
TOTAL
THE TARRANCE GROUP, INC.Battleground 57 #14750: Weighted TablesMay 3-6, 2015
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42% 6% 51% 302
37% 5% 58% 179
53% 7% 40% 315
44% 6% 50% 205
37% 6% 57% 751
90% 3% 7% 120
57% 12% 32% 90
46% 8% 46% 40
43% 10% 47% 128
35% 5% 60% 623
84% 10% 6% 24
92% 1% 7% 96
57% 16% 27% 41
56% 8% 36% 49
63% 6% 31% 8
42% 8% 50% 32
34% 6% 61% 255
49% 6% 45% 746
34% 5% 61% 368
39% 6% 54% 382
86% 14% 50
93% 5% 2% 70
47% 14% 39% 42
64% 10% 26% 48
9% 6% 85% 390
35% 8% 57% 190
84% 5% 11% 420
10% 6% 85% 214
8% 7% 85% 176
87% 5% 9% 161
82% 5% 13% 259
32% 8% 60% 105
39% 9% 52% 85
11% 8% 82% 223
6% 4% 89% 168
85% 5% 11% 269
82% 6% 12% 151
35% 9% 56% 125
34% 8% 58% 65
Male / under 55
Male / 55+
Female / under 55
Female / 55+
RR96FL AGE / SEX
White
Black / African American
Hispanic / Latino
Other
RRACE
RESPONDENT'S
RACE/C
White millenials 18-34
White older voters 35+
African American
millenials 18-34
African American older voters 35+
Hispanic millenials 18-34
Hispanic older voters 35+
Other races millenials
18-34
Other races older voters
35+
AGE AND RACE
White seniors
Other
WHITE SENIORS
White men
White women
Black men
Black women
Hispanic men
Hispanic women
GENRACE RACE BYGENDER
Republican
Independent
Democrat
RPARTYID PARTY
IDENTIFICATION/C
Male / GOP
Female / GOP
Male / DEM
Female / DEM
Male / IND
Female / IND
RPTYID89 SEX /
PARTY ID
Under 55 / GOP
55 & over / GOP
Under 55 / DEM
55 & over / DEM
Under 55 / IND
55 & over / IND
RPTY90FL AGE /
PARTY
IDENTIFICATION
RBHOJA
Approve Unsure Disapprove
RBHOJA BARACK OBAMA JOB APPROVAL/C
TOTAL
(cont.)
THE TARRANCE GROUP, INC.Battleground 57 #14750: Weighted TablesMay 3-6, 2015
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9% 5% 86% 448
25% 18% 56% 61
80% 6% 14% 492
8% 5% 87% 360
8% 8% 84% 92
31% 18% 50% 64
66% 5% 29% 84
85% 5% 10% 401
22% 5% 73% 536
38% 12% 50% 76
79% 6% 15% 389
17% 3% 80% 187
25% 6% 69% 348
72% 7% 21% 465
9% 6% 85% 390
35% 8% 57% 190
74% 5% 21% 103
87% 5% 8% 318
86% 5% 9% 335
68% 8% 25% 157
25% 18% 56% 61
23% 10% 68% 69
7% 4% 89% 379
8% 4% 88% 93
6% 2% 91% 68
52% 7% 41% 840
42% 12% 46% 53
41% 7% 52% 227
45% 6% 50% 219
48% 5% 47% 503
42% 6% 52% 248
38% 6% 56% 232
53% 5% 42% 254
47% 8% 46% 266
29% 7% 64% 349
75% 6% 19% 149
48% 5% 47% 503
57% 6% 38% 127
44% 6% 50% 874
Republican
Ticket splitter
Democrat
RPARTY USUAL VOTE
BEHAVIOR/C
Hard GOP
Soft GOP
Ticket splitter
Soft DEM
Hard DEM
PARTISAN PARTISAN
Conservative
Moderate
Liberal
RIDEOL
RESPONDENT'S
IDEOLOGY/C
Very conservative
Somewhat conservative
Moderate / liberal
RRIDEOL
RESPONDENT'SIDEOLOGY/C
Republican
Independent
Conservative DEM
Mod / lib DEM
RPTYID98 TARGET
GROUPS
Liberal DEM
Mod / conservative DEM
Independent
Mod / liberal GOP
Conservative GOP
PARIDEOL PARTY /
IDEOLOGY
Yes / strongly
Yes
No / unsure
RRTEAMEM IDENTIFY
WITH TEA PARTY
MOVEMENT/C
Less than high school
High school graduate
Some college
College graduate
REDUC
RESPONDENT'S
EDUCATION/C
Male college graduates
Male non-college
graduates
Female college graduates
Female non-college
graduates
SEXED2 GENDER AND
EDUCATION
White non-college
graduate
Minority non-college
graduate
Others
SEXEDWH
NON-COLLEGEGRADUATES
Union household
Non-union household
RUNION MEMBER OF
LABOR UNION/C
RBHOJA
Approve Unsure Disapprove
RBHOJA BARACK OBAMA JOB APPROVAL/C
TOTAL
(cont.)
THE TARRANCE GROUP, INC.Battleground 57 #14750: Weighted TablesMay 3-6, 2015
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63% 9% 28% 215
38% 6% 57% 607
50% 5% 46% 179
31% 9% 60% 171
51% 6% 43% 203
40% 8% 53% 299
36% 4% 61% 308
39% 61% 22
59% 1% 40% 60
62% 5% 33% 42
63% 10% 27% 173
46% 8% 46% 97
68% 13% 19% 98
44% 5% 52% 304
49% 6% 45% 118
59% 5% 36% 117
31% 7% 62% 302
50% 2% 48% 61
52% 4% 44% 75
50% 15% 34% 46
26% 6% 67% 244
37% 4% 59% 243
45% 3% 52% 49
39% 7% 54% 93
71% 7% 22% 250
73% 3% 23% 30
49% 6% 44% 150
36% 3% 62% 23
44% 6% 50% 798
54% 1% 45% 73
43% 5% 52% 696
51% 8% 41% 205
38% 22% 40% 8
39% 29% 32% 20
35% 5% 60% 551
92% 2% 6% 63
57% 9% 34% 57
59% 3% 38% 25
50% 8% 41% 305
Single
Married
No longer married
RMARITAL MARITAL
STATUS/C
Dad
Mom
MOMDAD PARENTS
Married / children
Married / no children
Divorced / children
Divorced / no children
Single / children
Single / no children
Other / mixed
BUNDY MARITAL
STATUS / CHILDREN
Single women
Married women
No longer married women
Single men
Married men
No longer married men
GENMAR1 GENDER AND MARITAL
White single men
White single women
White married men
White married women
White no longer marriedmen
White no longer married
women
Other
GENMAR2 GENDER,
MARITAL, AND RACE
Single mothers
Married mothers
No longer married
mothers
Non-mothers
MOMMAR MOTHERS
BY MARITAL STATUS
Upper class
Middle class
Low income
Working class
Refused
ECONCLA2
ECONOMIC CLASS
Middle class whites
Middle class African
Americans
Middle class Hispanics
Middle class other races
Other
CLARAC ECONOMIC
CLASS AND RACE
RBHOJA
Approve Unsure Disapprove
RBHOJA BARACK OBAMA JOB APPROVAL/C
TOTAL
(cont.)
THE TARRANCE GROUP, INC.Battleground 57 #14750: Weighted TablesMay 3-6, 2015
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35% 3% 62% 71
20% 10% 70% 126
51% 7% 42% 203
79% 5% 16% 132
35% 6% 59% 98
53% 4% 42% 41
72% 2% 26% 101
12% 4% 85% 65
36% 9% 55% 141
63% 37% 11
5% 10% 85% 12
46% 4% 49% 352
45% 7% 48% 571
43% 4% 52% 48
39% 17% 44% 30
26% 6% 68% 318
45% 5% 50% 405
69% 9% 22% 214
61% 3% 36% 56
100% 1
65% 5% 30% 8
69% 7% 25% 245
53% 12% 35% 63
36% 5% 58% 693
59% 7% 34% 510
57% 15% 28% 85
25% 3% 72% 406
25% 4% 71% 112
34% 7% 58% 283
46% 4% 50% 341
65% 7% 28% 258
100% 1
49% 21% 31% 7
44% 4% 51% 645
47% 10% 44% 356
76% 6% 18% 295
40% 6% 54% 45
14% 2% 84% 306
Cutting taxes
Reducing deficit
Creating jobs
Increase wages
Healthcare costs
Retirement
Higher education
Regulations
Combination
None
Unsure
MEIP ECONOMIC
ISSUE NEXT
PRESIDENT SHOULD
FOCUS ON
Views close to own
Most effective person
Both
Unsure
CAND2016 VIEW ON
VOTE FORPRESIDENTIAL
CANDIDATE
Very worried
Somewhat worried
Not too worried
Not at all worried
Combination
Unsure
ECONW WORRY
ABOUT US ECONOMY
SUFFERING
DOWNTURN
Yes
Unsure
No
RECONFUT NEXT
GENERATION BETTEROFF
ECONOMICALLY/C
Approve
Unsure
Disapprove
RISAPP US EFFORTS
AGAINST ISIS/C
Very worried
Somewhat worried
Not too worried
Not at all worried
Combination
Unsure
TERRW WORRY
ABOUT TERRORIST
ATTACK
Yes
No
RIDEAL SRH ABOUT
IRAN NUCLEAR
AGREEMENT/C
Approve
Unsure
Disapprove
RAPPR US SENATE
VOTE ON IRAN
NUCLEAR DEAL/C
RBHOJA
Approve Unsure Disapprove
RBHOJA BARACK OBAMA JOB APPROVAL/C
TOTAL
(cont.)
THE TARRANCE GROUP, INC.Battleground 57 #14750: Weighted TablesMay 3-6, 2015
Page 13
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14/426
55% 7% 38% 628
25% 4% 71% 245
37% 6% 57% 128
96% 4% 26
94% 5% 1% 112
79% 5% 16% 221
52% 9% 39% 214
8% 5% 86% 427
8% 2% 90% 150
8% 7% 85% 96
18% 2% 80% 91
37% 6% 57% 87
48% 8% 44% 164
74% 8% 18% 413
45% 6% 49% 1001
Yes
No
Not sure
SAMEA ATTEND SAME
SEX MARRIAGE
CEREMONY
4 of 4
3 of 4
2 of 4
1 of 4
0 of 4
DEMCON WILLING TO
CONSIDER
DEMOCRATIC
PRESIDENTIAL
CANDIDATE
5-7 of 7
4 of 7
3 of 7
2 of 7
1 of 7
0 of 7
GOPCON WILLING TO
CONSIDER
DEMOCRATIC
PRESIDENTIAL
CANDIDATE
TOTAL
RBHOJA
Approve Unsure Disapprove
RBHOJA BARACK OBAMA JOB APPROVAL/C
TOTAL
THE TARRANCE GROUP, INC.Battleground 57 #14750: Weighted TablesMay 3-6, 2015
Page 14
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8/9/2019 George Washington University poll
15/426
13% 23% 10% 8% 12% 8% 27% 1001
11% 24% 12% 4% 11% 9% 30% 195
14% 22% 8% 7% 12% 8% 30% 181
16% 18% 14% 6% 14% 9% 24% 235
6% 31% 7% 11% 10% 3% 33% 96
18% 25% 9% 8% 14% 2% 23% 83
20% 28% 1% 14% 7% 10% 20% 70
11% 22% 9% 12% 11% 10% 25% 141
15% 18% 5% 17% 11% 11% 22% 89
20% 18% 11% 2% 11% 9% 29% 58
1% 37% 6% 11% 8% 4% 33% 71
10% 36% 6% 1% 17% 4% 26% 56
14% 21% 11% 7% 12% 8% 27% 727
10% 24% 11% 9% 11% 8% 26% 217
13% 26% 12% 7% 13% 5% 24% 320
16% 20% 8% 8% 11% 9% 29% 464
13% 23% 9% 10% 11% 8% 26% 405
13% 25% 8% 7% 13% 7% 28% 366
15% 20% 15% 5% 11% 7% 27% 230
14% 20% 11% 5% 15% 7% 28% 241
13% 24% 9% 9% 11% 8% 26% 760
14% 22% 8% 8% 10% 9% 29% 480
13% 23% 12% 8% 13% 6% 25% 521
13% 23% 8% 7% 10% 10% 28% 324
15% 20% 7% 10% 9% 8% 30% 157
14% 25% 13% 6% 13% 8% 21% 281
12% 21% 12% 10% 13% 4% 29% 240
13% 25% 13% 8% 10% 4% 27% 133
14% 24% 10% 7% 12% 9% 25% 605
14% 18% 8% 11% 13% 6% 31% 252
6% 25% 16% 5% 5% 18% 25% 11
12% 26% 7% 5% 12% 13% 23% 200
13% 29% 12% 5% 10% 6% 25% 280
15% 20% 11% 9% 13% 6% 27% 310
13% 17% 8% 12% 12% 6% 32% 200
30% 7% 18% 6% 40% 10
13% 28% 10% 5% 11% 9% 24% 480
15% 20% 11% 9% 13% 6% 27% 310
13% 17% 8% 12% 12% 6% 32% 200
30% 7% 18% 6% 40% 10
TOTAL
Northeast
Midwest
South
South Central
Central Plains
Mountain States
West
RG1 GEOGRAPHIC
AREAS ONE
California
Florida
Texas
New York
Rest of country
RG2 GEOGRAPHIC
AREAS TWO
GOP held seat up in 2014
DEM held seat up in 2014
No Senate election
SENEL U.S. SENATE
ELECTION STATUS BY
STATE
GOP held seat up in 2014
DEM held seat up in 2014
No Gubernatorial election
GOVEL
GUBERNATORIAL
ELECTION STATUS BY
STATE
Competitive statewide
race
Other
COMPST STATES
WITH COMPETITIVE
STATEWIDE
ELECTIONS
Male
Female
GENDER GENDER
Male / employed
Male / not employed
Female / employed
Female / not employed
RSEXEMP
RESPONDENT'S SEX /EMPLOYMENT/C
Not employed
Employed
Retired
Refused
EMPSTAT
18-34
35-44
45-64
65 or over
Unsure / refused
RAGE RESPONDENT'S
AGE/C
18-44
45-64
65+
Unsure / refused
RAGEBG2 AGE/C
RMIIP
Jobs Economy Health care Illegalimmigration
Foreignthreats
Deficit Other
RMIIP MOST IMPORTANT ISSUE FOR NEXT PRESIDENT/C TOTAL
(cont.)
THE TARRANCE GROUP, INC.Battleground 57 #14750: Weighted TablesMay 3-6, 2015
Page 15
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16/426
14% 26% 7% 6% 10% 10% 27% 302
13% 17% 8% 11% 10% 9% 32% 179
13% 28% 14% 6% 13% 8% 18% 315
14% 16% 9% 10% 13% 4% 35% 205
12% 21% 10% 8% 13% 8% 27% 751
20% 33% 13% 3% 3% 5% 23% 120
15% 20% 7% 8% 14% 8% 28% 90
9% 34% 9% 10% 5% 3% 29% 40
11% 25% 9% 4% 17% 15% 19% 128
13% 20% 10% 9% 12% 7% 29% 623
20% 43% 16% 20% 24
20% 30% 16% 4% 4% 2% 24% 96
13% 18% 4% 12% 5% 9% 38% 41
16% 21% 9% 4% 22% 7% 20% 49
6% 45% 15% 6% 29% 8
10% 32% 8% 12% 7% 2% 29% 32
13% 16% 8% 12% 13% 6% 32% 255
14% 25% 11% 6% 11% 8% 25% 746
14% 21% 7% 8% 10% 10% 30% 368
11% 21% 13% 9% 16% 6% 24% 382
22% 30% 12% 6% 6% 4% 20% 50
19% 34% 13% 1% 2% 5% 25% 70
6% 25% 10% 2% 17% 10% 30% 42
23% 15% 4% 13% 12% 6% 27% 48
9% 19% 6% 12% 18% 9% 26% 390
10% 23% 7% 7% 11% 12% 32% 190
19% 26% 15% 4% 6% 4% 26% 420
12% 19% 3% 12% 15% 11% 28% 214
7% 19% 9% 13% 23% 7% 23% 176
21% 26% 14% 3% 4% 4% 28% 161
18% 26% 16% 5% 7% 4% 24% 259
8% 23% 7% 7% 10% 13% 33% 105
12% 23% 6% 7% 11% 10% 30% 85
10% 24% 6% 9% 19% 11% 22% 223
9% 13% 6% 17% 18% 7% 31% 168
18% 30% 16% 4% 6% 6% 20% 269
20% 19% 15% 4% 5% 2% 35% 151
10% 25% 9% 6% 10% 11% 29% 125
9% 20% 2% 8% 12% 13% 36% 65
Male / under 55
Male / 55+
Female / under 55
Female / 55+
RR96FL AGE / SEX
White
Black / African American
Hispanic / Latino
Other
RRACE
RESPONDENT'S
RACE/C
White millenials 18-34
White older voters 35+
African American
millenials 18-34
African American older voters 35+
Hispanic millenials 18-34
Hispanic older voters 35+
Other races millenials
18-34
Other races older voters
35+
AGE AND RACE
White seniors
Other
WHITE SENIORS
White men
White women
Black men
Black women
Hispanic men
Hispanic women
GENRACE RACE BYGENDER
Republican
Independent
Democrat
RPARTYID PARTY
IDENTIFICATION/C
Male / GOP
Female / GOP
Male / DEM
Female / DEM
Male / IND
Female / IND
RPTYID89 SEX /
PARTY ID
Under 55 / GOP
55 & over / GOP
Under 55 / DEM
55 & over / DEM
Under 55 / IND
55 & over / IND
RPTY90FL AGE /
PARTY
IDENTIFICATION
RMIIP
Jobs Economy Health care Illegalimmigration
Foreignthreats
Deficit Other
RMIIP MOST IMPORTANT ISSUE FOR NEXT PRESIDENT/C TOTAL
(cont.)
THE TARRANCE GROUP, INC.Battleground 57 #14750: Weighted TablesMay 3-6, 2015
Page 16
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17/426
8% 20% 5% 13% 17% 11% 26% 448
15% 14% 6% 6% 10% 4% 45% 61
18% 27% 15% 4% 7% 5% 25% 492
8% 19% 6% 13% 19% 9% 26% 360
10% 16% 4% 10% 15% 15% 31% 92
17% 29% 2% 7% 8% 6% 32% 64
10% 26% 12% 2% 8% 13% 29% 84
19% 26% 16% 4% 6% 4% 25% 401
12% 21% 7% 10% 15% 9% 26% 536
16% 18% 8% 7% 6% 9% 36% 76
15% 26% 15% 4% 8% 6% 26% 389
13% 13% 7% 12% 15% 11% 29% 187
11% 25% 6% 10% 15% 8% 24% 348
15% 25% 14% 5% 7% 6% 28% 465
9% 19% 6% 12% 18% 9% 26% 390
10% 23% 7% 7% 11% 12% 32% 190
22% 24% 15% 8% 5% 4% 23% 103
18% 27% 15% 3% 6% 4% 27% 318
16% 28% 16% 3% 7% 5% 26% 335
23% 24% 12% 6% 7% 5% 23% 157
15% 14% 6% 6% 10% 4% 45% 61
9% 25% 5% 15% 11% 9% 27% 69
8% 19% 5% 12% 18% 11% 26% 379
13% 19% 1% 15% 15% 6% 32% 93
10% 23% 10% 19% 15% 23% 68
14% 23% 12% 7% 11% 7% 26% 840
27% 19% 7% 7% 13% 4% 22% 53
13% 15% 10% 10% 15% 7% 30% 227
13% 24% 9% 10% 12% 8% 24% 219
12% 26% 11% 6% 10% 8% 27% 503
13% 22% 12% 6% 8% 10% 29% 248
15% 22% 3% 11% 13% 8% 29% 232
12% 29% 9% 6% 13% 6% 24% 254
14% 17% 15% 9% 13% 6% 25% 266
12% 18% 9% 11% 15% 8% 27% 349
21% 24% 9% 7% 9% 4% 26% 149
12% 26% 11% 6% 10% 8% 27% 503
18% 17% 6% 6% 15% 6% 33% 127
13% 24% 11% 8% 11% 8% 26% 874
Republican
Ticket splitter
Democrat
RPARTY USUAL VOTE
BEHAVIOR/C
Hard GOP
Soft GOP
Ticket splitter
Soft DEM
Hard DEM
PARTISAN PARTISAN
Conservative
Moderate
Liberal
RIDEOL
RESPONDENT'S
IDEOLOGY/C
Very conservative
Somewhat conservative
Moderate / liberal
RRIDEOL
RESPONDENT'SIDEOLOGY/C
Republican
Independent
Conservative DEM
Mod / lib DEM
RPTYID98 TARGET
GROUPS
Liberal DEM
Mod / conservative DEM
Independent
Mod / liberal GOP
Conservative GOP
PARIDEOL PARTY /
IDEOLOGY
Yes / strongly
Yes
No / unsure
RRTEAMEM IDENTIFY
WITH TEA PARTY
MOVEMENT/C
Less than high school
High school graduate
Some college
College graduate
REDUC
RESPONDENT'S
EDUCATION/C
Male college graduates
Male non-college
graduates
Female college graduates
Female non-college
graduates
SEXED2 GENDER AND
EDUCATION
White non-college
graduate
Minority non-college
graduate
Others
SEXEDWH
NON-COLLEGEGRADUATES
Union household
Non-union household
RUNION MEMBER OF
LABOR UNION/C
RMIIP
Jobs Economy Health care Illegalimmigration
Foreignthreats
Deficit Other
RMIIP MOST IMPORTANT ISSUE FOR NEXT PRESIDENT/C TOTAL
(cont.)
THE TARRANCE GROUP, INC.Battleground 57 #14750: Weighted TablesMay 3-6, 2015
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18/426
17% 30% 8% 5% 8% 7% 25% 215
13% 22% 10% 8% 13% 8% 26% 607
13% 18% 11% 9% 11% 7% 31% 179
12% 19% 7% 8% 10% 10% 34% 171
11% 27% 15% 6% 15% 7% 19% 203
11% 22% 11% 8% 14% 8% 26% 299
14% 21% 10% 9% 12% 8% 27% 308
13% 10% 35% 21% 22% 22
17% 17% 8% 12% 13% 3% 30% 60
12% 33% 7% 3% 9% 4% 32% 42
18% 30% 8% 5% 8% 8% 23% 173
10% 20% 8% 10% 13% 6% 33% 97
21% 30% 8% 5% 7% 5% 24% 98
11% 24% 12% 8% 16% 7% 23% 304
12% 16% 15% 9% 12% 5% 31% 118
13% 31% 8% 5% 9% 9% 25% 117
14% 19% 8% 9% 10% 9% 30% 302
14% 21% 4% 10% 10% 10% 31% 61
13% 26% 10% 5% 6% 10% 31% 75
23% 34% 6% 4% 9% 2% 21% 46
14% 18% 8% 9% 11% 10% 30% 244
11% 22% 12% 8% 17% 7% 22% 243
14% 23% 11% 12% 12% 27% 49
7% 12% 18% 11% 14% 6% 32% 93
17% 28% 10% 6% 8% 6% 26% 250
13% 33% 10% 4% 7% 5% 29% 30
11% 26% 14% 7% 18% 7% 17% 150
8% 23% 33% 4% 3% 9% 21% 23
14% 22% 9% 8% 11% 8% 29% 798
5% 41% 17% 6% 4% 3% 24% 73
13% 23% 9% 8% 12% 9% 26% 696
17% 18% 13% 6% 13% 4% 29% 205
22% 11% 68% 8
18% 14% 2% 14% 7% 13% 32% 20
13% 21% 9% 9% 14% 10% 25% 551
14% 36% 13% 4% 2% 4% 27% 63
12% 19% 4% 11% 14% 12% 28% 57
7% 35% 12% 4% 5% 3% 34% 25
14% 23% 13% 7% 10% 4% 29% 305
Single
Married
No longer married
RMARITAL MARITAL
STATUS/C
Dad
Mom
MOMDAD PARENTS
Married / children
Married / no children
Divorced / children
Divorced / no children
Single / children
Single / no children
Other / mixed
BUNDY MARITAL
STATUS / CHILDREN
Single women
Married women
No longer married women
Single men
Married men
No longer married men
GENMAR1 GENDER AND MARITAL
White single men
White single women
White married men
White married women
White no longer marriedmen
White no longer married
women
Other
GENMAR2 GENDER,
MARITAL, AND RACE
Single mothers
Married mothers
No longer married
mothers
Non-mothers
MOMMAR MOTHERS
BY MARITAL STATUS
Upper class
Middle class
Low income
Working class
Refused
ECONCLA2
ECONOMIC CLASS
Middle class whites
Middle class African
Americans
Middle class Hispanics
Middle class other races
Other
CLARAC ECONOMIC
CLASS AND RACE
RMIIP
Jobs Economy Health care Illegalimmigration
Foreignthreats
Deficit Other
RMIIP MOST IMPORTANT ISSUE FOR NEXT PRESIDENT/C TOTAL
(cont.)
THE TARRANCE GROUP, INC.Battleground 57 #14750: Weighted TablesMay 3-6, 2015
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19/426
15% 18% 11% 11% 14% 9% 22% 198
9% 18% 8% 9% 15% 6% 35% 185
14% 22% 10% 8% 13% 10% 22% 280
14% 27% 7% 10% 6% 36% 45
16% 30% 11% 6% 5% 5% 26% 262
13% 19% 10% 10% 16% 8% 25% 336
9% 25% 9% 4% 14% 10% 30% 157
13% 22% 10% 10% 11% 8% 26% 191
24% 9% 15% 7% 5% 2% 38% 44
15% 13% 10% 13% 21% 10% 17% 79
10% 19% 7% 9% 18% 7% 31% 106
14% 21% 12% 10% 12% 8% 24% 131
10% 26% 12% 10% 14% 27% 17
14% 25% 10% 7% 10% 7% 28% 667
10% 19% 5% 12% 14% 12% 29% 133
15% 24% 9% 7% 9% 8% 29% 348
10% 19% 13% 10% 13% 6% 28% 179
15% 26% 11% 6% 13% 6% 23% 342
7% 17% 10% 11% 17% 9% 29% 222
19% 23% 9% 10% 6% 7% 27% 90
5% 16% 8% 12% 18% 12% 29% 166
19% 19% 11% 13% 4% 2% 32% 51
12% 22% 17% 8% 12% 2% 28% 55
18% 28% 6% 7% 9% 13% 20% 39
18% 27% 15% 4% 8% 4% 24% 453
17% 19% 4% 6% 12% 17% 26% 62
8% 19% 6% 12% 15% 10% 30% 487
Roman Catholic
Baptist / Evangelical
Mainline Protestant
Other
None
RDENOM
RESPONDENT'S
CHURCH/C
At least once a week
At least once a month
Infrequently
Never
RDENOMFR HOW
OFTEN DO YOU ATTEND CHURCH/C
Active Roman Catholics
Active Baptists /
Evangelicals
Active MainlineProtestants
Active other
Other
ACTIVE ACTIVE
CHURCH ATTENDEES
Male born again /
evangelicals
Male not evangelical
Female born again /
evangelicals
Female not evangelical
SEXBORN GENDER
AND BORN AGAIN
White Evangelical
Non-white Evangelical
RACEVANG RACE /EVANGELICAL
White conservative
Christians
Non-white conservative
Christians
White non-conservative
Christians
Non-white
non-conservative
Christians
IDEOVAN IDEOLOGY /
EVANGELICAL
CHRISTIANS
Approve
Unsure
Disapprove
RBHOJA BARACK
OBAMA JOB
APPROVAL/C
RMIIP
Jobs Economy Health care Illegalimmigration
Foreignthreats
Deficit Other
RMIIP MOST IMPORTANT ISSUE FOR NEXT PRESIDENT/C TOTAL
(cont.)
THE TARRANCE GROUP, INC.Battleground 57 #14750: Weighted TablesMay 3-6, 2015
Page 19
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20/426
14% 25% 4% 11% 18% 2% 26% 71
7% 17% 3% 11% 19% 26% 17% 126
24% 30% 10% 8% 9% 3% 17% 203
23% 28% 16% 3% 5% 4% 22% 132
5% 15% 25% 14% 13% 4% 24% 98
8% 17% 10% 9% 30% 1% 25% 41
11% 26% 14% 4% 15% 11% 19% 101
13% 20% 9% 12% 12% 14% 20% 65
7% 17% 2% 4% 3% 4% 63% 141
2% 41% 18% 39% 11
3% 12% 2% 16% 17% 5% 46% 12
13% 22% 11% 9% 13% 8% 24% 352
14% 23% 10% 8% 11% 7% 27% 571
6% 34% 3% 2% 9% 5% 41% 48
15% 10% 15% 3% 11% 6% 40% 30
13% 19% 8% 9% 12% 8% 31% 318
12% 24% 9% 8% 14% 7% 25% 405
17% 24% 14% 6% 9% 7% 23% 214
8% 31% 13% 6% 6% 14% 22% 56
58% 42% 1
3% 2% 96% 8
18% 26% 11% 7% 10% 6% 22% 245
9% 29% 3% 4% 9% 4% 42% 63
12% 21% 10% 9% 13% 9% 27% 693
14% 27% 13% 6% 9% 8% 22% 510
15% 26% 10% 3% 6% 8% 32% 85
12% 17% 6% 11% 16% 7% 31% 406
13% 12% 11% 13% 9% 8% 34% 112
11% 19% 7% 10% 18% 6% 29% 283
15% 26% 10% 7% 12% 8% 23% 341
15% 29% 13% 5% 6% 9% 24% 258
100% 1
9% 91% 7
14% 24% 8% 8% 14% 7% 25% 645
12% 21% 14% 7% 7% 9% 30% 356
18% 28% 11% 3% 9% 6% 24% 295
27% 12% 9% 4% 9% 7% 33% 45
9% 21% 5% 14% 20% 8% 25% 306
Cutting taxes
Reducing deficit
Creating jobs
Increase wages
Healthcare costs
Retirement
Higher education
Regulations
Combination
None
Unsure
MEIP ECONOMIC
ISSUE NEXT
PRESIDENT SHOULD
FOCUS ON
Views close to own
Most effective person
Both
Unsure
CAND2016 VIEW ON
VOTE FORPRESIDENTIAL
CANDIDATE
Very worried
Somewhat worried
Not too worried
Not at all worried
Combination
Unsure
ECONW WORRY
ABOUT US ECONOMY
SUFFERING
DOWNTURN
Yes
Unsure
No
RECONFUT NEXT
GENERATION BETTEROFF
ECONOMICALLY/C
Approve
Unsure
Disapprove
RISAPP US EFFORTS
AGAINST ISIS/C
Very worried
Somewhat worried
Not too worried
Not at all worried
Combination
Unsure
TERRW WORRY
ABOUT TERRORIST
ATTACK
Yes
No
RIDEAL SRH ABOUT
IRAN NUCLEAR
AGREEMENT/C
Approve
Unsure
Disapprove
RAPPR US SENATE
VOTE ON IRAN
NUCLEAR DEAL/C
RMIIP
Jobs Economy Health care Illegalimmigration
Foreignthreats
Deficit Other
RMIIP MOST IMPORTANT ISSUE FOR NEXT PRESIDENT/C TOTAL
(cont.)
THE TARRANCE GROUP, INC.Battleground 57 #14750: Weighted TablesMay 3-6, 2015
Page 20
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21/426
13% 28% 11% 6% 11% 7% 23% 628
12% 13% 8% 13% 13% 7% 34% 245
17% 15% 9% 7% 12% 10% 30% 128
21% 42% 15% 5% 17% 26
20% 23% 22% 2% 4% 6% 23% 112
15% 33% 14% 4% 6% 4% 25% 221
19% 16% 9% 8% 15% 9% 25% 214
7% 20% 5% 12% 16% 10% 30% 427
9% 16% 2% 12% 22% 11% 27% 150
4% 20% 6% 11% 10% 15% 34% 96
10% 21% 10% 11% 17% 10% 22% 91
12% 17% 9% 14% 11% 5% 32% 87
18% 22% 11% 8% 13% 10% 19% 164
17% 28% 13% 4% 6% 4% 28% 413
13% 23% 10% 8% 12% 8% 27% 1001
Yes
No
Not sure
SAMEA ATTEND SAME
SEX MARRIAGE
CEREMONY
4 of 4
3 of 4
2 of 4
1 of 4
0 of 4
DEMCON WILLING TO
CONSIDER
DEMOCRATIC
PRESIDENTIAL
CANDIDATE
5-7 of 7
4 of 7
3 of 7
2 of 7
1 of 7
0 of 7
GOPCON WILLING TO
CONSIDER
DEMOCRATIC
PRESIDENTIAL
CANDIDATE
TOTAL
RMIIP
Jobs Economy Health care Illegalimmigration
Foreignthreats
Deficit Other
RMIIP MOST IMPORTANT ISSUE FOR NEXT PRESIDENT/C TOTAL
THE TARRANCE GROUP, INC.Battleground 57 #14750: Weighted TablesMay 3-6, 2015
Page 21
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22/426
7% 13% 20% 13% 10% 4% 10% 7% 14%
9% 15% 16% 15% 10% 3% 10% 4% 17%
7% 12% 22% 7% 9% 6% 10% 8% 16%
7% 8% 23% 14% 9% 4% 7% 10% 15%
11% 17% 15% 13% 11% 2% 13% 1% 12%
2% 10% 27% 18% 13% 2% 8% 4% 14%
9% 18% 16% 15% 12% 7% 7% 4% 11%
4% 15% 20% 13% 8% 4% 17% 9% 10%
5% 18% 22% 10% 8% 4% 14% 7% 11%
9% 4% 18% 8% 8% 9% 9% 10% 22%
9% 13% 13% 12% 12% 3% 14% 2% 16%
15% 13% 12% 12% 10% 3% 11% 22%
6% 13% 22% 14% 10% 4% 9% 7% 13%
8% 13% 19% 16% 9% 3% 9% 6% 14%
6% 12% 27% 12% 11% 4% 10% 7% 10%
8% 13% 16% 13% 9% 5% 11% 6% 17%
9% 11% 18% 14% 11% 4% 9% 5% 15%
6% 13% 23% 11% 8% 4% 10% 8% 16%
5% 14% 20% 15% 10% 4% 11% 8% 10%
8% 11% 24% 14% 9% 5% 6% 8% 14%
7% 13% 19% 13% 10% 4% 11% 6% 14%
8% 16% 20% 10% 8% 4% 9% 8% 14%6% 10% 20% 16% 11% 4% 11% 5% 14%
10% 17% 18% 13% 8% 4% 6% 9% 12%
6% 13% 25% 6% 7% 3% 14% 7% 19%
5% 10% 18% 20% 12% 5% 10% 6% 11%
7% 9% 22% 11% 11% 4% 13% 3% 17%
8% 7% 18% 9% 2% 4% 25% 7% 19%
7% 14% 18% 16% 10% 5% 8% 8% 12%
6% 13% 26% 9% 13% 3% 7% 4% 17%
5% 1% 13% 4% 22% 34% 5% 15%
4% 16% 18% 12% 8% 5% 22% 4% 9%
10% 9% 17% 18% 9% 4% 8% 8% 15%
7% 12% 20% 13% 10% 4% 8% 8% 15%
5% 16% 26% 9% 12% 3% 6% 4% 16%
4% 5% 16% 10% 11% 5% 5% 14% 22%
8% 12% 18% 15% 9% 4% 14% 6% 12%
7% 12% 20% 13% 10% 4% 8% 8% 15%
5% 16% 26% 9% 12% 3% 6% 4% 16%
4% 5% 16% 10% 11% 5% 5% 14% 22%
TOTAL
Northeast
Midwest
South
South Central
Central Plains
Mountain States
West
RG1 GEOGRAPHIC
AREAS ONE
California
Florida
Texas
New York
Rest of country
RG2 GEOGRAPHIC
AREAS TWO
GOP held seat up in 2014
DEM held seat up in 2014
No Senate election
SENEL U.S. SENATE
ELECTION STATUS BY
STATE
GOP held seat up in 2014
DEM held seat up in 2014
No Gubernatorial election
GOVEL
GUBERNATORIAL
ELECTION STATUS BY
STATE
Competitive statewide
race
Other
COMPST STATES
WITH COMPETITIVE
STATEWIDE
ELECTIONS
Male
Female
GENDER GENDER
Male / employed
Male / not employed
Female / employed
Female / not employed
RSEXEMP
RESPONDENT'S SEX /EMPLOYMENT/C
Not employed
Employed
Retired
Refused
EMPSTAT
18-34
35-44
45-64
65 or over
Unsure / refused
RAGE RESPONDENT'S
AGE/C
18-44
45-64
65+
Unsure / refused
RAGEBG2 AGE/C
MEIP
Cutting taxes Reducingdeficit
Creating jobs Increasewages
Healthcarecosts
Retirement Higher education
Regulations Combination
MEIP ECONOMIC ISSUE NEXT PRESIDENT SHOULD FOCUS ON
(cont.)
THE TARRANCE GROUP, INC.Battleground 57 #14750: Weighted TablesMay 3-6, 2015
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10% 16% 17% 12% 8% 3% 10% 9% 13%
5% 15% 26% 8% 8% 4% 7% 8% 17%
6% 8% 19% 19% 9% 5% 15% 6% 11%
6% 12% 21% 11% 15% 3% 7% 3% 19%
7% 15% 19% 12% 11% 4% 8% 7% 14%
6% 4% 29% 23% 2% 2% 17% 4% 11%
8% 7% 19% 13% 9% 6% 16% 2% 19%
10% 4% 19% 13% 9% 5% 8% 7% 17%
4% 21% 17% 12% 12% 7% 18% 4% 3%
8% 14% 19% 12% 11% 3% 7% 8% 16%
10% 20% 11% 39% 10% 11%
8% 2% 31% 26% 2% 3% 11% 3% 11%
7% 8% 17% 11% 4% 4% 24% 24%
9% 6% 22% 14% 13% 8% 10% 4% 15%
10% 24% 11% 27% 6% 11%
10% 5% 17% 13% 11% 6% 4% 7% 19%
5% 14% 23% 9% 12% 4% 7% 6% 17%
8% 12% 19% 15% 9% 4% 11% 7% 13%
7% 19% 19% 10% 9% 3% 7% 10% 14%
7% 12% 19% 13% 13% 5% 10% 5% 13%
12% 3% 31% 11% 6% 12% 3% 16%
2% 5% 27% 31% 3% 20% 5% 7%
10% 12% 18% 14% 9% 9% 22% 7%
6% 3% 21% 12% 9% 4% 11% 4% 30%
10% 20% 16% 4% 12% 3% 6% 12% 15%
7% 14% 17% 9% 13% 5% 12% 5% 15%
5% 5% 26% 24% 6% 5% 13% 2% 13%
11% 21% 16% 4% 9% 4% 4% 15% 15%
8% 18% 16% 4% 16% 3% 9% 9% 14%
6% 8% 30% 21% 4% 4% 11% 2% 12%
4% 3% 23% 26% 8% 5% 13% 3% 13%
7% 16% 15% 7% 13% 4% 13% 5% 16%
6% 12% 19% 11% 13% 5% 11% 4% 15%
12% 18% 11% 6% 11% 3% 8% 14% 13%
6% 22% 22% 2% 13% 3% 4% 9% 17%
6% 6% 25% 26% 4% 5% 14% 3% 10%
4% 4% 27% 19% 10% 5% 11% 1% 17%
5% 16% 15% 10% 13% 6% 17% 5% 12%
9% 11% 21% 7% 14% 3% 4% 4% 23%
Male / under 55
Male / 55+
Female / under 55
Female / 55+
RR96FL AGE / SEX
White
Black / African American
Hispanic / Latino
Other
RRACE
RESPONDENT'S
RACE/C
White millenials 18-34
White older voters 35+
African American
millenials 18-34
African American older voters 35+
Hispanic millenials 18-34
Hispanic older voters 35+
Other races millenials
18-34
Other races older voters
35+
AGE AND RACE
White seniors
Other
WHITE SENIORS
White men
White women
Black men
Black women
Hispanic men
Hispanic women
GENRACE RACE BYGENDER
Republican
Independent
Democrat
RPARTYID PARTY
IDENTIFICATION/C
Male / GOP
Female / GOP
Male / DEM
Female / DEM
Male / IND
Female / IND
RPTYID89 SEX /
PARTY ID
Under 55 / GOP
55 & over / GOP
Under 55 / DEM
55 & over / DEM
Under 55 / IND
55 & over / IND
RPTY90FL AGE /
PARTY
IDENTIFICATION
MEIP
Cutting taxes Reducingdeficit
Creating jobs Increasewages
Healthcarecosts
Retirement Higher education
Regulations Combination
MEIP ECONOMIC ISSUE NEXT PRESIDENT SHOULD FOCUS ON
(cont.)
THE TARRANCE GROUP, INC.Battleground 57 #14750: Weighted TablesMay 3-6, 2015
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25/426
4% 10% 22% 15% 5% 4% 20% 5% 11%
9% 13% 20% 12% 11% 4% 6% 8% 15%
6% 14% 18% 14% 13% 5% 10% 4% 14%
11% 17% 18% 10% 9% 4% 4% 9% 13%
7% 7% 19% 18% 8% 6% 11% 8% 14%
11% 12% 19% 15% 10% 4% 5% 8% 14%
7% 14% 22% 9% 11% 3% 8% 7% 16%
5% 21% 3% 36% 6% 10% 5% 14%
7% 7% 16% 17% 12% 5% 15% 1% 18%
2% 4% 19% 3% 3% 6% 30% 6% 12%
5% 11% 23% 18% 5% 4% 18% 5% 11%
6% 16% 22% 8% 15% 3% 10% 6% 12%
5% 6% 25% 15% 6% 4% 27% 1% 12%
8% 10% 20% 15% 11% 4% 8% 7% 14%
2% 13% 16% 18% 17% 5% 9% 4% 13%
4% 13% 20% 16% 4% 5% 15% 9% 10%
9% 17% 20% 9% 10% 4% 5% 9% 15%
13% 15% 21% 7% 5% 4% 13% 5% 17%
3% 16% 17% 17% 6% 3% 12% 12% 11%
3% 7% 18% 16% 11% 7% 19% 17%
8% 19% 20% 8% 11% 3% 4% 10% 16%
9% 11% 21% 13% 13% 4% 8% 6% 11%
10% 18% 18% 9% 5% 3% 16% 6% 13%
3% 16% 14% 14% 16% 7% 9% 5% 16%
7% 5% 24% 17% 5% 4% 15% 4% 15%
27% 9% 42% 18%
10% 7% 19% 20% 11% 5% 6% 7% 14%
18% 4% 30% 6% 9% 6% 18% 9%
7% 14% 21% 12% 10% 4% 10% 6% 14%
7% 7% 23% 19% 8% 17% 9% 9%
7% 14% 21% 11% 9% 4% 10% 8% 14%8% 8% 17% 18% 12% 7% 10% 3% 15%
8% 32% 60%
20% 29% 10% 10% 10% 3% 1% 17%
7% 17% 21% 10% 10% 4% 7% 8% 14%
7% 2% 26% 18% 3% 2% 22% 8% 7%
2% 8% 20% 13% 8% 4% 20% 2% 23%
6% 4% 17% 16% 9% 12% 8% 19%
8% 9% 19% 17% 11% 5% 11% 4% 14%
Single
Married
No longer married
RMARITAL MARITAL
STATUS/C
Dad
Mom
MOMDAD PARENTS
Married / children
Married / no children
Divorced / children
Divorced / no children
Single / children
Single / no children
Other / mixed
BUNDY MARITAL
STATUS / CHILDREN
Single women
Married women
No longer married women
Single men
Married men
No longer married men
GENMAR1 GENDER AND MARITAL
White single men
White single women
White married men
White married women
White no longer marriedmen
White no longer married
women
Other
GENMAR2 GENDER,
MARITAL, AND RACE
Single mothers
Married mothers
No longer married
mothers
Non-mothers
MOMMAR MOTHERS
BY MARITAL STATUS
Upper class
Middle class
Low income
Working class
Refused
ECONCLA2
ECONOMIC CLASS
Middle class whites
Middle class African
Americans
Middle class Hispanics
Middle class other races
Other
CLARAC ECONOMIC
CLASS AND RACE
MEIP
Cutting taxes Reducingdeficit
Creating jobs Increasewages
Healthcarecosts
Retirement Higher education
Regulations Combination
MEIP ECONOMIC ISSUE NEXT PRESIDENT SHOULD FOCUS ON
(cont.)
THE TARRANCE GROUP, INC.Battleground 57 #14750: Weighted TablesMay 3-6, 2015
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10% 11% 25% 10% 10% 4% 10% 7% 12%
6% 12% 21% 11% 7% 5% 11% 7% 20%
8% 16% 21% 10% 14% 4% 7% 8% 12%
9% 16% 15% 19% 3% 8% 5% 2% 18%
5% 11% 17% 20% 9% 2% 15% 4% 12%
7% 15% 23% 10% 8% 5% 9% 9% 13%
9% 11% 18% 12% 13% 3% 10% 7% 16%
10% 12% 21% 12% 10% 5% 8% 5% 15%
1% 6% 24% 18% 16% 4% 3% 1% 22%
6% 13% 29% 9% 8% 9% 13% 7% 6%
9% 14% 19% 11% 7% 3% 11% 9% 15%
6% 16% 25% 8% 10% 3% 4% 12% 14%
14% 24% 1% 11% 10% 10% 25%
7% 11% 19% 15% 10% 4% 11% 5% 14%
17% 14% 18% 8% 4% 5% 7% 13% 14%
5% 16% 21% 11% 9% 3% 9% 7% 15%
5% 12% 22% 13% 13% 4% 8% 6% 16%
6% 8% 19% 17% 11% 5% 13% 4% 13%
12% 16% 18% 6% 11% 5% 5% 10% 16%
6% 5% 26% 22% 4% 3% 14% 7% 13%
14% 20% 16% 5% 9% 4% 4% 12% 15%
10% 5% 30% 19% 3% 4% 9% 7% 13%
5% 4% 26% 12% 18% 6% 8% 2% 18%
2% 6% 20% 26% 6% 1% 19% 6% 14%
5% 6% 23% 23% 8% 5% 16% 2% 11%
4% 21% 22% 11% 10% 3% 3% 4% 20%
9% 18% 18% 4% 12% 4% 5% 11% 16%
7% 7% 35% 22% 4% 2% 8% 6% 7%
8% 10% 27% 16% 6% 3% 11% 6% 11%
3% 4% 20% 21% 24% 4% 14% 6% 3%
10% 17% 20% 4% 18% 5% 5% 10% 7%
11% 20% 15% 6% 11% 10% 13% 7% 3%
2% 43% 9% 7% 5% 1% 15% 12% 7%
7% 8% 13% 11% 9% 4% 7% 5% 33%
Roman Catholic
Baptist / Evangelical
Mainline Protestant
Other
None
RDENOM
RESPONDENT'S
CHURCH/C
At least once a week
At least once a month
Infrequently
Never
RDENOMFR HOW
OFTEN DO YOU ATTEND CHURCH/C
Active Roman Catholics
Active Baptists /
Evangelicals
Active MainlineProtestants
Active other
Other
ACTIVE ACTIVE
CHURCH ATTENDEES
Male born again /
evangelicals
Male not evangelical
Female born again /
evangelicals
Female not evangelical
SEXBORN GENDER
AND BORN AGAIN
White Evangelical
Non-white Evangelical
RACEVANG RACE /EVANGELICAL
White conservative
Christians
Non-white conservative
Christians
White non-conservative
Christians
Non-white
non-conservative
Christians
IDEOVAN IDEOLOGY /
EVANGELICAL
CHRISTIANS
Approve
Unsure
Disapprove
RBHOJA BARACK
OBAMA JOB
APPROVAL/C
Jobs
Economy
Health care
Illegal immigration
Foreign threats
Deficit
Other
RMIIP MOSTIMPORTANT ISSUE
FOR NEXT
PRESIDENT/C
MEIP
Cutting taxes Reducingdeficit
Creating jobs Increasewages
Healthcarecosts
Retirement Higher education
Regulations Combination
MEIP ECONOMIC ISSUE NEXT PRESIDENT SHOULD FOCUS ON
(cont.)
THE TARRANCE GROUP, INC.Battleground 57 #14750: Weighted TablesMay 3-6, 2015
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7% 14% 17% 19% 9% 4% 7% 10% 11%
7% 11% 23% 11% 11% 4% 12% 5% 15%
13% 15% 14% 8% 3% 7% 8% 30%
1% 20% 7% 21% 8% 13% 4% 15%
8% 13% 20% 10% 9% 3% 6% 7% 17%
8% 14% 21% 11% 9% 6% 12% 7% 12%
5% 8% 20% 21% 12% 3% 12% 4% 13%
1% 21% 18% 18% 9% 2% 11% 9% 8%
100%
8% 28% 24% 2% 38%
8% 8% 20% 21% 7% 6% 13% 4% 12%
9% 7% 22% 3% 11% 2% 16% 6% 18%
7% 15% 20% 11% 11% 4% 8% 7% 15%
7% 12% 20% 16% 10% 5% 12% 4% 13%
13% 4% 22% 7% 10% 4% 16% 4% 18%
6% 15% 20% 11% 10% 3% 7% 10% 15%
10% 11% 20% 8% 12% 5% 5% 7% 19%
8% 14% 21% 8% 11% 5% 8% 8% 14%
9% 10% 23% 9% 9% 5% 10% 8% 15%
3% 15% 17% 27% 8% 2% 14% 3% 10%
9% 31% 60%
6% 15% 21% 15% 10% 3% 8% 8% 13%
8% 9% 20% 10% 10% 5% 14% 5% 16%
2% 11% 21% 27% 9% 5% 11% 1% 11%
7% 11% 28% 1% 6% 1% 9% 7% 29%
11% 18% 19% 5% 11% 3% 6% 14% 12%
6% 11% 21% 15% 10% 4% 14% 5% 12%
8% 17% 22% 10% 10% 3% 4% 9% 15%
10% 12% 16% 9% 8% 5% 3% 11% 24%
10% 13% 49% 4% 8% 17%
2% 6% 20% 36% 9% 2% 14% 1% 9%
7% 5% 28% 14% 8% 4% 18% 2% 12%
5% 9% 27% 11% 10% 7% 11% 3% 15%
10% 20% 14% 6% 11% 3% 5% 12% 16%
Views close to own
Most effective person
Both
Unsure
CAND2016 VIEW ON
VOTE FOR
PRESIDENTIAL
CANDIDATE
Very worried
Somewhat worried
Not too worried
Not at all worried
Combination
Unsure
ECONW WORRY
ABOUT US ECONOMY
SUFFERING
DOWNTURN
Yes
Unsure
No
RECONFUT NEXT
GENERATION BETTER
OFF
ECONOMICALLY/C
Approve
Unsure
Disapprove
RISAPP US EFFORTS
AGAINST ISIS/C
Very worried
Somewhat worried
Not too worried
Not at all worried
Combination
Unsure
TERRW WORRY
ABOUT TERRORIST
ATTACK
Yes
No
RIDEAL SRH ABOUTIRAN NUCLEAR
AGREEMENT/C
Approve
Unsure
Disapprove
RAPPR US SENATE
VOTE ON IRAN
NUCLEAR DEAL/C
Yes
No
Not sure
SAMEA ATTEND SAME
SEX MARRIAGE
CEREMONY
4 of 4
3 of 4
2 of 4
1 of 4
0 of 4
DEMCON WILLING TO
CONSIDER
DEMOCRATIC
PRESIDENTIALCANDIDATE
MEIP
Cutting taxes Reducingdeficit
Creating jobs Increasewages
Healthcarecosts
Retirement Higher education
Regulations Combination
MEIP ECONOMIC ISSUE NEXT PRESIDENT SHOULD FOCUS ON
(cont.)
THE TARRANCE GROUP, INC.Battleground 57 #14750: Weighted TablesMay 3-6, 2015
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14% 20% 14% 0% 11% 4% 3% 16% 16%
9% 29% 12% 2% 4% 3% 3% 15% 18%
6% 24% 23% 3% 13% 3% 6% 9% 10%
8% 14% 21% 7% 15% 2% 11% 4% 16%
6% 8% 24% 11% 8% 5% 17% 5% 11%
5% 5% 22% 25% 10% 5% 12% 2% 14%
7% 13% 20% 13% 10% 4% 10% 7% 14%
5-7 of 7
4 of 7
3 of 7
2 of 7
1 of 7
0 of 7
GOPCON WILLING TO
CONSIDER
DEMOCRATIC
PRESIDENTIAL
CANDIDATE
TOTAL
MEIP
Cutting taxes Reducingdeficit
Creating jobs Increasewages
Healthcarecosts
Retirement Higher education
Regulations Combination
MEIP ECONOMIC ISSUE NEXT PRESIDENT SHOULD FOCUS ON
(cont.)
THE TARRANCE GROUP, INC.Battleground 57 #14750: Weighted TablesMay 3-6, 2015
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29/426
1% 1% 1001
1% 1% 195
2% 1% 181
0% 1% 235
4% 1% 96
1% 1% 83
2% 70
0% 0% 141
89
2% 58
5% 1% 71
2% 56
1% 1% 727
2% 1% 217
1% 1% 320
1% 1% 464
2% 1% 405
1% 1% 366
1% 2% 230
1% 241
1% 1% 760
2% 1% 480
1% 2% 521
2% 1% 324
0% 1% 157
0% 2% 281
1% 2% 240
1% 0% 133
1% 1% 605
1% 2% 252
2% 11
1% 200
1% 1% 280
1% 2% 310
1% 2% 200
8% 10
1% 0% 480
1% 2% 310
1% 2% 200
8% 10
TOTAL
Northeast
Midwest
South
South Central
Central Plains
Mountain States
West
RG1 GEOGRAPHIC
AREAS ONE
California
Florida
Texas
New York
Rest of country
RG2 GEOGRAPHIC
AREAS TWO
GOP held seat up in 2014
DEM held seat up in 2014
No Senate election
SENEL U.S. SENATE
ELECTION STATUS BY
STATE
GOP held seat up in 2014
DEM held seat up in 2014
No Gubernatorial election
GOVEL
GUBERNATORIAL
ELECTION STATUS BY
STATE
Competitive statewide
race
Other
COMPST STATES
WITH COMPETITIVE
STATEWIDE
ELECTIONS
Male
Female
GENDER GENDER
Male / employed
Male / not employed
Female / employed
Female / not employed
RSEXEMP
RESPONDENT'S SEX /EMPLOYMENT/C
Not employed
Employed
Retired
Refused
EMPSTAT
18-34
35-44
45-64
65 or over
Unsure / refused
RAGE RESPONDENT'S
AGE/C
18-44
45-64
65+
Unsure / refused
RAGEBG2 AGE/C
MEIP
None Unsure
MEIP ECONOMIC ISSUE
TOTAL
(cont.)
THE TARRANCE GROUP, INC.Battleground 57 #14750: Weighted TablesMay 3-6, 2015
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2% 1% 302
1% 1% 179
1% 1% 315
1% 2% 205
1% 1% 751
3% 120
90
5% 3% 40
1% 128
1% 2% 623
24
3% 96
41
49
10% 8
3% 4% 32
1% 2% 255
1% 1% 746
1% 1% 368
1% 2% 382
6% 50
70
42
48
1% 2% 390
1% 2% 190
1% 0% 420
1% 0% 214
1% 3% 176
2% 0% 161
1% 0% 259
1% 2% 105
1% 3% 85
1% 1% 223
0% 2% 168
2% 269
1% 1% 151
1% 2% 125
2% 3% 65
Male / under 55
Male / 55+
Female / under 55
Female / 55+
RR96FL AGE / SEX
White
Black / African American
Hispanic / Latino
Other
RRACE
RESPONDENT'S
RACE/C
White millenials 18-34
White older voters 35+
African American
millenials 18-34
African American older voters 35+
Hispanic millenials 18-34
Hispanic older voters 35+
Other races millenials
18-34
Other races older voters
35+
AGE AND RACE
White seniors
Other
WHITE SENIORS
White men
White women
Black men
Black women
Hispanic men
Hispanic women
GENRACE RACE BYGENDER
Republican
Independent
Democrat
RPARTYID PARTY
IDENTIFICATION/C
Male / GOP
Female / GOP
Male / DEM
Female / DEM
Male / IND
Female / IND
RPTYID89 SEX /
PARTY ID
Under 55 / GOP
55 & over / GOP
Under 55 / DEM
55 & over / DEM
Under 55 / IND
55 & over / IND
RPTY90FL AGE /
PARTY
IDENTIFICATION
MEIP
None Unsure
MEIP ECONOMIC ISSUE
TOTAL
(cont.)
THE TARRANCE GROUP, INC.Battleground 57 #14750: Weighted TablesMay 3-6, 2015
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0% 2% 448
4% 1% 61
1% 0% 492
0% 2% 360
2% 3% 92
1% 64
1% 2% 84
1% 0% 401
0% 1% 536
2% 2% 76
2% 1% 389
0% 2% 187
0% 1% 348
2% 1% 465
1% 2% 390
1% 2% 190
0% 103
2% 0% 318
2% 0% 335
0% 157
4% 1% 61
4% 69
0% 2% 379
1% 2% 93
3% 68
1% 1% 840
5% 53
2% 2% 227
1% 1% 219
1% 0% 503
2% 0% 248
1% 1% 232
0% 1% 254
1% 2% 266
1% 2% 349
1% 1% 149
1% 0% 503
2% 3% 127
1% 1% 874
Republican
Ticket splitter
Democrat
RPARTY USUAL VOTE
BEHAVIOR/C
Hard GOP
Soft GOP
Ticket splitter
Soft DEM
Hard DEM
PARTISAN PARTISAN
Conservative
Moderate
Liberal
RIDEOL
RESPONDENT'S
IDEOLOGY/C
Very conservative
Somewhat conservative
Moderate / liberal
RRIDEOL
RESPONDENT'SIDEOLOGY/C
Republican
Independent
Conservative DEM
Mod / lib DEM
RPTYID98 TARGET
GROUPS
Liberal DEM
Mod / conservative DEM
Independent
Mod / liberal GOP
Conservative GOP
PARIDEOL PARTY /
IDEOLOGY
Yes / strongly
Yes
No / unsure
RRTEAMEM IDENTIFY
WITH TEA PARTY
MOVEMENT/C
Less than high school
High school graduate
Some college
College graduate
REDUC
RESPONDENT'S
EDUCATION/C
Male college graduates
Male non-college
graduates
Female college graduates
Female non-college
graduates
SEXED2 GENDER AND
EDUCATION
White non-college
graduate
Minority non-college
graduate
Others
SEXEDWH
NON-COLLEGEGRADUATES
Union household
Non-union household
RUNION MEMBER OF
LABOR UNION/C
MEIP
None Unsure
MEIP ECONOMIC ISSUE
TOTAL
(cont.)
THE TARRANCE GROUP, INC.Battleground 57 #14750: Weighted TablesMay 3-6, 2015
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32/426
3% 1% 215
1% 2% 607
1% 1% 179
3% 1% 171
0% 2% 203
0% 1% 299
1% 2% 308
22
2% 60
12% 3% 42
1% 173
0% 1% 97
1% 98
1% 2% 304
1% 1% 118
5% 117
0% 1% 302
1% 61
3% 75
3% 46
0% 1% 244
1% 2% 243
1% 49
0% 1% 93
2% 0% 250
4% 30
1% 2% 150
23
1% 1% 798
1% 73
1% 1% 696
1% 2% 205
8
1% 20
1% 1% 551
5% 63
57
6% 4% 25
1% 1% 305
Single
Married
No longer married
RMARITAL MARITAL
STATUS/C
Dad
Mom
MOMDAD PARENTS
Married / children
Married / no children
Divorced / children
Divorced / no children
Single / children
Single / no children
Other / mixed
BUNDY MARITAL
STATUS / CHILDREN
Single women
Married women
No longer married women
Single men
Married men
No longer married men
GENMAR1 GENDER AND MARITAL
White single men
White single women
White married men
White married women
White no longer marriedmen
White no longer married
women
Other
GENMAR2 GENDER,
MARITAL, AND RACE
Single mothers
Married mothers
No longer married
mothers
Non-mothers
MOMMAR MOTHERS
BY MARITAL STATUS
Upper class
Middle class
Low income
Working class
Refused
ECONCLA2
ECONOMIC CLASS
Middle class whites
Middle class African
Americans
Middle class Hispanics
Middle class other races
Other
CLARAC ECONOMIC
CLASS AND RACE
MEIP
None Unsure
MEIP ECONOMIC ISSUE
TOTAL
(cont.)
THE TARRANCE GROUP, INC.Battleground 57 #14750: Weighted TablesMay 3-6, 2015
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1% 1% 352
1% 1% 571
2% 1% 48
2% 9% 30
3% 2% 318
0% 1% 405
1% 1% 214
2% 1% 56
1
8
0% 1% 245
5% 2% 63
1% 1% 693
1% 1% 510
2% 0% 85
1% 2% 406
2% 2% 112
2% 1% 283
0% 1% 341
1% 0% 258
100% 1
7
1% 1% 645
1% 1% 356
2% 0% 295
1% 1% 45
0% 2% 306
1% 1% 628
1% 1% 245
2% 128
26
2% 112
2% 0% 221
2% 0% 214
0% 2% 427
Views close to own
Most effective person
Both
Unsure
CAND2016 VIEW ON
VOTE FOR
PRESIDENTIAL
CANDIDATE
Very worried
Somewhat worried
Not too worried
Not at all worried
Combination
Unsure
ECONW WORRY
ABOUT US ECONOMY
SUFFERING
DOWNTURN
Yes
Unsure
No
RECONFUT NEXT
GENERATION BETTER
OFF
ECONOMICALLY/C
Approve
Unsure
Disapprove
RISAPP US EFFORTS
AGAINST ISIS/C
Very worried
Somewhat worried
Not too worried
Not at all worried
Combination
Unsure
TERRW WORRY
ABOUT TERRORIST
ATTACK
Yes
No
RIDEAL SRH ABOUTIRAN NUCLEAR
AGREEMENT/C
Approve
Unsure
Disapprove
RAPPR US SENATE
VOTE ON IRAN
NUCLEAR DEAL/C
Yes
No
Not sure
SAMEA ATTEND SAME
SEX MARRIAGE
CEREMONY
4 of 4
3 of 4
2 of 4
1 of 4
0 of 4
DEMCON WILLING TO
CONSIDER
DEMOCRATIC
PRESIDENTIALCANDIDATE
MEIP
None Unsure
MEIP ECONOMIC ISSUE
TOTAL
(cont.)
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2% 150
1% 3% 96
3% 91
0% 1% 87
3% 2% 164
1% 0% 413
1% 1% 1001
5-7 of 7
4 of 7
3 of 7
2 of 7
1 of 7
0 of 7
GOPCON WILLING TO
CONSIDER
DEMOCRATIC
PRESIDENTIAL
CANDIDATE
TOTAL
MEIP
None Unsure
MEIP ECONOMIC ISSUE
TOTAL
THE TARRANCE GROUP, INC.Battleground 57 #14750: Weighted TablesMay 3-6, 2015
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43% 52% 5% 1% 302
37% 58% 3% 2% 179
59% 38% 3% 315
45% 51% 3% 0% 205
40% 57% 3% 1% 751
82% 13% 4% 1% 120
61% 28% 12% 90
48% 48% 4% 40
48% 51% 1% 1% 128
39% 58% 3% 1% 623
80% 10% 11% 24
83% 13% 2% 1% 96
65% 18% 17% 41
57% 36% 8% 49
79% 21% 8
40% 55% 5% 32
34% 62% 3% 1% 255
52% 44% 4% 0% 746
36% 61% 3% 1% 368
44% 53% 3% 0% 382
76% 14% 8% 3% 50
87% 12% 1% 70
46% 39% 15% 42
73% 18% 9% 48
11% 86% 2% 0% 390
39% 51% 8% 1% 190
84% 12% 3% 0% 420
12% 85% 2% 1% 214
11% 87% 2% 176
83% 11% 5% 1% 161
85% 13% 2% 0% 259
34% 56% 7% 2% 105
45% 46% 9% 85
14% 83% 2% 223
7% 90% 2% 1% 168
84% 12% 3% 1% 269
85% 12% 3% 0% 151
44% 46% 9% 1% 125
29% 62% 7% 2% 65
Male / under 55
Male / 55+
Female / under 55
Female / 55+
RR96FL AGE / SEX
White
Black / African American
Hispanic / Latino
Other
RRACE
RESPONDENT'S
RACE/C
White millenials 18-34
White older voters 35+
African American
millenials 18-34
African American older voters 35+
Hispanic millenials 18-34
Hispanic older voters 35+
Other races millenials
18-34
Other races older voters
35+
AGE AND RACE
White seniors
Other
WHITE SENIORS
White men
White women
Black men
Black women
Hispanic men
Hispanic women
GENRACE RACE BYGENDER
Republican
Independent
Democrat
RPARTYID PARTY
IDENTIFICATION/C
Male / GOP
Female / GOP
Male / DEM
Female / DEM
Male / IND
Female / IND
RPTYID89 SEX /
PARTY ID
Under 55 / GOP
55 & over / GOP
Under 55 / DEM
55 & over / DEM
Under 55 / IND
55 & over / IND
RPTY90FL AGE /
PARTY
IDENTIFICATION
RHRCID
Favorable Unfavorable No opinion Never heardof
RHRCID HILLARY CLINTON NAME ID/C TOTAL
(cont.)
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11% 86% 3% 0% 448
35% 49% 12% 3% 61
82% 14% 4% 1% 492
9% 88% 2% 0% 360
14% 82% 3% 0% 92
41% 46% 9% 4% 64
66% 23% 10% 0% 84
86% 11% 3% 1% 401
25% 72% 3% 1% 536
46% 48% 6% 76
79% 16% 4% 0% 389
15% 81% 4% 1% 187
30% 66% 3% 1% 348
74% 22% 4% 0% 465
11% 86% 2% 0% 390
39% 51% 8% 1% 190
74% 19% 6% 1% 103
88% 10% 2% 0% 318
87% 10% 3% 0% 335
72% 21% 5% 1% 157
35% 49% 12% 3% 61
20% 74% 5% 1% 69
9% 89% 2% 0% 379
19% 76% 4% 1% 93
7% 91% 2% 68
54% 42% 4% 1% 840
52% 36% 10% 3% 53
45% 47% 7% 1% 227
45% 52% 2% 1% 219
49% 49% 2% 0% 503
42% 55% 3% 1% 248
39% 53% 6% 1% 232
56% 43% 1% 254
51% 44% 5% 0% 266
36% 60% 3% 1% 349
68% 20% 11% 1% 149
49% 49% 2% 0% 503
55% 41% 4% 127
46% 49% 4% 1% 874
Republican
Ticket splitter
Democrat
RPARTY USUAL VOTE
BEHAVIOR/C
Hard GOP
Soft GOP
Ticket splitter
Soft DEM
Hard DEM
PARTISAN PARTISAN
Conservative
Moderate
Liberal
RIDEOL
RESPONDENT'S
IDEOLOGY/C
Very conservative
Somewhat conservative
Moderate / liberal
RRIDEOL
RESPONDENT'SIDEOLOGY/C
Republican
Independent
Conservative DEM
Mod / lib DEM
RPTYID98 TARGET
GROUPS
Liberal DEM
Mod / conservative DEM
Independent
Mod / liberal GOP
Conservative GOP
PARIDEOL PARTY /
IDEOLOGY
Yes / strongly
Yes
No / unsure
RRTEAMEM IDENTIFY
WITH TEA PARTY
MOVEMENT/C
Less than high school
High school graduate
Some college
College graduate
REDUC
RESPONDENT'S
EDUCATION/C
Male college graduates
Male non-college
graduates
Female college graduates
Female non-college
graduates
SEXED2 GENDER AND
EDUCATION
White non-college
graduate
Minority non-college
graduate
Others
SEXEDWH
NON-COLLEGEGRADUATES
Union household
Non-union household
RUNION MEMBER OF
LABOR UNION/C
RHRCID
Favorable Unfavorable No opinion Never heardof
RHRCID HILLARY CLINTON NAME ID/C TOTAL
(cont.)
THE TARRANCE GROUP, INC.Battleground 57 #14750: Weighted TablesMay 3-6, 2015
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62% 31% 5% 2% 215
41% 55% 3% 0% 607
51% 46% 3% 179
36% 59% 5% 171
58% 38% 4% 203
44% 51% 4% 299
38% 59% 2% 1% 308
73% 21% 6% 22
54% 42% 4% 60
63% 33% 5% 42
62% 31% 5% 2% 173
44% 54% 3% 97
71% 26% 3% 1% 98
49% 49% 3% 304
52% 43% 5% 118
55% 36% 7% 3% 117
34% 62% 4% 1% 302
48% 51% 1% 61
51% 45% 2% 2% 75
56% 41% 2% 1% 46
29% 67% 3% 1% 244
42% 56% 2% 243
46% 53% 1% 49
44% 51% 5% 93
69% 24% 7% 1% 250
68% 25% 7% 30
55% 41% 3% 150
61% 33% 6% 23
45% 51% 4% 1% 798
56% 42% 2% 73
45% 52% 2% 1% 696
52% 39% 8% 1% 205
60% 40% 8
45% 44% 11% 20
37% 60% 2% 1% 551
86% 10% 1% 2% 63
66% 27% 7% 57
60% 38% 2% 25
53% 40% 7% 0% 305
Single
Married
No longer married
RMARITAL MARITAL
STATUS/C
Dad
Mom
MOMDAD PARENTS
Married / children
Married / no children
Divorced / children
Divorced / no children
Single / children
Single / no children
Other / mixed
BUNDY MARITAL
STATUS / CHILDREN
Single women
Married women
No longer married women
Single men
Married men
No longer married men
GENMAR1 GENDER AND MARITAL
White single men
White single women
White married men
White married women
White no longer marriedmen
White no longer married
women
Other
GENMAR2 GENDER,
MARITAL, AND RACE
Single mothers
Married mothers
No longer married
mothers
Non-mothers
MOMMAR MOTHERS
BY MARITAL STATUS
Upper class
Middle class
Low income
Working class
Refused
ECONCLA2
ECONOMIC CLASS
Middle class whites
Middle class African
Americans
Middle class Hispanics
Middle class other races
Other
CLARAC ECONOMIC
CLASS AND RACE
RHRCID
Favorable Unfavorable No opinion Never heardof
RHRCID HILLARY CLINTON NAME ID/C TOTAL
(cont.)
THE TARRANCE GROUP, INC.Battleground 57 #14750: Weighted TablesMay 3-6, 2015
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44/426
34% 47% 13% 5% 302
34% 54% 8% 4% 179
43% 33% 16% 9% 315
43% 45% 9% 3% 205
34% 50% 11% 5% 751
65% 15% 13% 7% 120
41% 28% 21% 11% 90
41% 47% 8% 4% 40
38% 36% 17% 10% 128
33% 53% 10% 4% 623
46% 6% 37% 11% 24
70% 17% 6% 7% 96
42% 29% 25% 4% 41
40% 26% 17% 17% 49
63% 31% 6% 8
36% 51% 10% 3% 32
34% 55% 9% 3% 255
40% 40% 13% 7% 746
32% 55% 9% 4% 368
37% 44% 14% 5% 382
52% 17% 20% 11% 50
75% 13% 7% 5% 70
38% 33% 23% 5% 42
43% 23% 18% 16% 48
10% 73% 14% 3% 390
34% 48% 12% 6% 190
68% 14% 11% 7% 420
11% 75% 11% 3% 214
8% 70% 18% 4% 176
65% 16% 12% 7% 161
69% 13% 10% 7% 259
34% 51% 10% 5% 105
34% 44% 13% 9% 85
9% 70% 16% 5% 223
11% 76% 11% 2% 168
65% 13% 14% 8% 269
72% 16% 6% 6% 151
35% 44% 12% 8% 125
32% 54% 10% 3% 65
Male / under 55
Male / 55+
Female / under 55
Female / 55+
RR96FL AGE / SEX
White
Black / African American
Hispanic / Latino
Other
RRACE
RESPONDENT'S
RACE/C
White millenials 18-34
White older voters 35+
African American
millenials 18-34
African American older voters 35+
Hispanic millenials 18-34
Hispanic older voters 35+
Other races millenials
18-34
Other races older voters
35+
AGE AND RACE
White seniors
Other
WHITE SENIORS
White men
White women
Black men
Black women
Hispanic men
Hispanic women
GENRACE RACE BYGENDER
Republican
Independent
Democrat
RPARTYID PARTY
IDENTIFICATION/C
Male / GOP
Female / GOP
Male / DEM
Female / DEM
Male / IND
Female / IND
RPTYID89 SEX /
PARTY ID
Under 55 / GOP
55 & over / GOP
Under 55 / DEM
55 & over / DEM
Under 55 / IND
55 & over / IND
RPTY90FL AGE /
PARTY
IDENTIFICATION
RJOEBID
Favorable Unfavorable No opinion Never heardof
RJOEBID JOE BIDEN NAME ID/C TOTAL
(cont.)
THE TARRANCE GROUP, INC.Battleground 57 #14750: Weighted TablesMay 3-6, 2015
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11% 74% 12% 3% 448
22% 36% 25% 17% 61
66% 16% 11% 7% 492
8% 74% 14% 3% 360
16% 75% 6% 4% 92
34% 36% 19% 12% 64
56% 28% 12% 4% 84
68% 13% 11% 8% 401
20% 65% 10% 5% 536
27% 37% 23% 14% 76
67% 15% 13% 6% 389
12% 72% 11% 5% 187
24% 61% 10% 4% 348
60% 19% 14% 7% 465
10% 73% 14% 3% 390
34% 48% 12% 6% 190
50% 27% 12% 11% 103
73% 10% 11% 6% 318
73% 11% 11% 5% 335
50% 28% 10% 12% 157
22% 36% 25% 17% 61
24% 45% 24% 7% 69
9% 79% 10% 2% 379
11% 77% 5% 7% 93
10% 86% 3% 1% 68
44% 36% 14% 6% 840
32% 33% 16% 19% 53
33% 42% 14% 11% 227
38% 48% 9% 5% 219
43% 43% 12% 2% 503
37% 49% 12% 2% 248
31% 51% 11% 7% 232
48% 37% 13% 2% 254
38% 38% 14% 11% 266
28% 52% 11% 8% 349
50% 24% 14% 12% 149
43% 43% 12% 2% 503
46% 35% 11% 7% 127
38% 45% 12% 5% 874
Republican
Ticket splitter
Democrat
RPARTY USUAL VOTE
BEHAVIOR/C
Hard GOP
Soft GOP
Ticket splitter
Soft DEM
Hard DEM
PARTISAN PARTISAN
Conservative
Moderate
Liberal
RIDEOL
RESPONDENT'S
IDEOLOGY/C
Very conservative
Somewhat conservative
Moderate / liberal
RRIDEOL
RESPONDENT'SIDEOLOGY/C
Republican
Independent
Conservative DEM
Mod / lib DEM
RPTYID98 TARGET
GROUPS
Liberal DEM
Mod / conservative DEM
Independent
Mod / liberal GOP
Conservative GOP
PARIDEOL PARTY /
IDEOLOGY
Yes / strongly
Yes
No / unsure
RRTEAMEM IDENTIFY
WITH TEA PARTY
MOVEMENT/C
Less than high school
High school graduate
Some college
College graduate
REDUC
RESPONDENT'S
EDUCATION/C
Male college graduate