George H. Weiss - NISTGeorge H. Weiss (August 17, 1962) ... l - g*(s) (5) and that ~I Akl converges...

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JO URNAL OF RESEARCH of the National Bureau of Standards-B. Mathematics and Mathematical Physics Vol. 66B, No.4, October- December 1962 Laguerre Expansions for Successive Gener ations of a Renewal Pr ocess George H. Weiss (August 17, 1962) It is s hown th at the coefficients in the L ag ue rr e expansions for successive gener at ions in a re newal process are related by an algebra ic co nvolution. Thus t he calculations are easily mechanized f or co mpu tat ion . In a pap er published in 1940, Brown [1]1 st udi ed the solution of the renewal equittion und er the assumption t ha t the fun ctions apIJearing in it co uld be represented b yn P earso n type III function . Th e n at mal generalization of th is type of solution is to ass ume that the fun ct ions involved in the renewal equation can be expand ed in terms of a series of generalized Lague rr e fun ction s. R ecentl y Zelen and Dann emiller [2] have pr esent ed a s ummar y of result s con cerning the expansion of reliability fun c- tions in terms of generalized Laguerr e functions, but did not discuss these expansions in the co nt ext of their application to renewal equa ti on s. In view of the increasing numb er of applications of renewal theory and tbe theory of semi-N[flrkov pro cesses [3 - 6] to stoch ast ic mod els in reliabili ty , biology, and the th eor y of trRffic it is of some interest to re- tW"n on ce more to the of approximate solutions to the renewal eq uation. In t hi s not e we shall outline some of the results rela ting solutions of the renewal equat ion a nd expansion into seri es of Lague rr e functions, without going too d ee ply iuto matters of uniqueness and co nvergence of the re- s ul ting series. \;V e shall co nsider the simple renewfl l equ at ion : rp(t) = J(t) + .f rp(r)g(t - r)dr (1) and ass um e in what follows the existence of a uniqu e solution to t hi s equation. For most applications the functions J(t) and get) are assumed to be nonnega- t iv e over the interval 0::; t< 00 and the defi nite integrals 1 00 J(t)dt, 1 00 g(t)dt are assumed to be bound ed. A formal solution to eq (1 ) can be given in terms of the Laplace trans- forms of J(t) and g(t), a nd provided J(t) and get) are measurable, nonn egat ive, and bound ed in every interval, it can be shown that a uniqu e nonn egat iv e 1 Figures in brackets indicate the Jitera tnr e referen ces at Lh e end of this paper. 657118- 62--2 solution of the renewal equ at ion ind eed exists. Furthermore the asymptoti c properties of rp(t) can be obtained from the properties of the individual Laplace transforms [7] . If we define the followin g Laplace trans for ms 'P* (s ) =1 00 e -S 'rp(t )dt /*( s) = 1 00 e-s:/(t)dt g*(s) =1 00 e-S'g (t )dt then the tm ns(ormed solu tion to eq (1) can be written rp* (s) J*(s) 1- g*( s) (2) This solu tion has been used by Feller [7] to discuss in a ri gorous manner an expansion first proposed by Lotl ca. Th e solution in question can be \vritt en (3) where it is assumed that there IS a denumerabl e sequence of di stin ct roots, S o, s], S2 , . . . to the equation g*(s) = 1. (4) F eller proves the following theorem: In order that the solution to eq (1) be expressi ble in the J01'm oj eq (3), where the se rie s converges absolutely Jor t;::: ° it is necessary and sufficient that the Laplace transJorm 4>*(s) admit the expansion /*(s) l- g*(s) (5) and that converges absolutely. The co efficients Ak are determined by (6) 165 --------- -----

Transcript of George H. Weiss - NISTGeorge H. Weiss (August 17, 1962) ... l - g*(s) (5) and that ~I Akl converges...

JO URNAL OF RESEARCH of the National Bureau of Standards-B. Mathematics and Mathematical Physics Vol. 66B, No.4, October- December 1962

Laguerre Expansions for Successive Generations of a Renewal Process

George H. Weiss

(Augus t 17, 1962)

It is shown t hat the coefficients in the Laguerre expa ns ions for successive generat ions in a r enewal process are related by an algebraic co nvolut ion . Thus t he calculations are easily mechanized for computation .

In a paper published in 1940, Brown [1]1 studi ed the solution of the r enewal equittion under the assumption tha t the functions apIJearing in it co uld be r epresented byn P earso n type III function . The natmal generalization of th is type of solu tion is to assume that the functions involved in the r enewal equation can b e expanded in terms of a series of generalized Laguerre functions. R ecently Zelen and Dannemiller [2] have presented a summary of results concerning the expansion of r eliability fun c­tions in terms of generalized Laguerre functions , but did not discuss these expansions in the context of their application t o renewal equations. In view of the incr easing numb er of applications of renewal theory and tbe theory of semi-N[flrkov processes [3- 6] to stochastic models in reliabili ty, biology, and the theory of trRffic it is of some in terest to re­tW"n once more to the su~bj ect of approximate solutions to the renewal eq uation . In this note we shall outline some of the results relat ing solutions of the renewal equation and expansion in to series of Laguerre functions , without going too deeply iuto matters of uniqueness and co nvergence of the re­sul ting series.

\;V e shall consider the simple renewfll equation :

rp(t) =J(t) + .f rp(r)g(t - r)dr (1)

and ass ume in what follows the existence of a unique solution to this equation. For most applications the functions J(t) and get) are assumed to be nonnega­tive over the interval 0::; t< 00 and the definite integrals

1 00 J(t)dt, 1 00

g(t)dt

are assumed to be bounded. A formal solution to eq (1 ) can be given in terms of the Laplace trans­forms of J(t) and g(t), and provided th~tt J(t) and get) are measurable, nonnegative, and bounded in every interval, it can b e shown that a unique nonn egative

1 Figures in brackets indicate the Jiteratnre references at Lhe end of this paper .

657118- 62--2

solution of the renewal equation indeed exists. Furthermore the asymptotic properties of rp(t) can be obtained from the proper ties of the individual Laplace t ransforms [7] .

If we define the followin g Laplace trans forms

'P* (s ) =1 00 e-S'rp(t )dt

/*(s) = 100 e-s:/(t)dt

g*(s) =1 00 e-S'g (t )dt

then t he tmns(ormed solution to eq (1) can be written

rp* (s) J*(s) 1- g*(s)

(2)

This solu tion has been used by Feller [7] to discuss in a rigorous manner an expansion first proposed by Lotlca. The solution in question can be \vritten

(3)

wher e it is assumed that there IS a denumerable sequence of distinct roo ts, So, s], S2 , . . . to the equation

g*(s) = 1. (4)

F eller proves the following theorem: In order that the solution to eq (1) be expressible in

the J01'm oj eq (3), where the series converges absolutely Jor t;::: ° it is necessary and sufficient that the Laplace transJorm 4>*(s) admit the expansion

/*(s) l - g*(s)

(5)

and that ~ I Ak l converges absolutely. The coefficients Ak are determined by

(6)

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--------- -----

It is easy to generalize this theorem to cover t he possibility of having multiple roots. One can see t hat the conversion of the r enewal equation into an algebraic equation in the transform domain leads t o a simple r epresenta tion of the solution . W e shall see that this simplification is r etained when J(t) and get) are expanded in t erms of generalized L aguerre functions. Hadwiger [8] has shown tha t if .I(t ) and get) are r epresented by Taylor series in a finite interval and vanish outside of th e interval then the r enewal fun ction can also be expanded as a T aylor series and t he coeffi cients obey a discrete convolution relation. This result is very similar t o t he r esults t o be presented her e.

To begin our exposition, let us recast eq (1) in to a slightly different form by defining the successive generation funct ions {<Pk(t) } by

<Po(t ) = f (t )

<Pn+ l(t )= I t <p,, (T)g(t - T)dT ,n= O, 1, 2, . . .. (7) .J o

The solution , <p (t), is th en,

(8)

Clearly the <P,Jt) are also the successive terms in a solution to eq (1) by means of successive approxi­mations . If we define the L aplace transforms

<p;, (s) = L { <Pn(t) } (9)

then the Laplace transform of eq (7 ) is

(10) or

<p;,(s) =.1* (s ) [g *(sW . (11)

W· e shall essentially use the forms of the renewal equation given in this paragraph.

The generalized Lag uerre functions L ';; (x) will be defined by

= n (n+m) (- t )j L: . ., j~o n - J . J.

(12)

for n an integer. These normalization property

functions have th e

f (m+T1 +) 0 (13) T! TS

and their Laplace transform s t ake the form

(14)

W e shall assume tha t the fun ctions jet) and get) can b e expanded into series of the generic form

p et) (15)

where "A is a param eter wi th dimensions of t- 1• It is put in because in most applications the functions p et) are densities. The best r esul ts on the pointwise convergence of this series are con tained in a paper by Uspensky [9]. H e proved that the following conditions are sufficient for pointwise convergence (except at discontinuities, where the sum converges

1 to "2 (p(t+ )+ 1) (t-) :

1. f oo tme- tp 2(t)dt exists for a cer tain T.

2. For - l<m::; -~ SaP t"'e- t p2(t)dt exis ts for a

cer tain (3 while for m>-~ on l.r

exis ts. 3. The function pet) is of bounded variation and

absolu tely integrable in any finite interval. I n the cases of present interest most functions pet) will satisfy these three cri teria. In particular if the function f( t) and get) are bounded over (0, (Xl ) then conditions 1 and 2 will always be sa tisfied . Specific application s of this expansion have been m ade in references [11] and [12] .

If the expansion of eq (15) is assumed to exist then the coefficients (tn are given by

(16)

where the fJ. j are the moments

(17)

We will assume that all of the functions pet) that are to be treated are such that momen ts of a ll orders exist. If p* (s) denotes the L aplace transform of p et) then an application of eq (14) shows that

(18)

Thus we see tha t in the s domain the expansion of p*(s) is essentially a power series developmen t in the variable s/(s + "A).

N ow let us assume that .I(t) and get) have the expansions

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e-X'"Am+1 t'" '" f(t) r (m+ l) ~fllL'::("At )

e- XI "AT+ ltT '" g(t )= r (T+ l) ~ gnL~("At ) (19)

and calculate the coefficients in the expansion of 'P j(t). The simplest procedure is to usc Laplace transforms . In this way we find

where the C;k) are constants which satisfy recurrence relations

~(k + l)= ~ C (k) (T+j) 9 ' ~ 1 .LJ J-l . {.

, 1=0 .7

(20)

the

(21)

That is to say, the c's ma~T be fOLlnd by s uccess ive

convolutions with the sequence { C'j.j) gj}' Thus

the convolutio n integrals a rc converted into more convenient algebraic convolut ions.

If the inverse transform of eq (ll) is taken, the expansion of 'Pk(t) in the time domain becomes

The most useful case in pnLCtice is that for which m = 1'= 0, i. e., an expansion in terms 01' Lague1'l'e fun ctions of order zero . For th is special case one has

'" 1 , k+l t k 'P1, (t) = e - AI ~ cjk) (k+ .) _" -k'- L J (At).

J=O J ' k ,

(23)

This expl'ession en n be furth er reduced through the identity

j

L j"(x) = ~ D::- I (x) (24) T=O

01'

---- --- -----

When get) is such that only a few of the coefficients gm are nonzero, then tho procedme of taking alge­braic convolutions is quite simple. For example, if we drop the restriction that J(t) and g(l) be positive, and assume that J(t) and get) are g iven by

J(t) = ae-x, L n(\t )

get) = be-X' L m(\t) (27)

then a direct calculat ion leads to tho res ult 1'01' 'Pt(s):

which implies

"Ak+labks n+km

(s+ \ ) n+Hk(m+l\

_ k \ k+l , k -A' 1 k 'Pk(t) - ab -k' t e ( ) LnHm(\t) . n+km +k

k

\ k+l ] n+km = abk -- tke - A' ' ~

Ie! (n+k(r +l» ) j=O

(28)

(k+lI+~~nl-j- l) L j(\t ). (29)

The simplest way to find 'P(t) is Lo sum ovel' k in the transform. This leads to a result analogous to that of Lotka in eq (3). If J(t ) and get) are g iven by

J (t )= g(t) = e- A'(l + aL,,("At» (3 0)

then it is easily verified by induction t bat

where (32)

hence cjO) = 0 j. o+ao i. n (33)

we see that cjk) = 0 unless j is an i IlLegral rnuItiple of n. A further calculation starting from eq (3 1) shows that

C (k) =(k+ 1) aT Tn r r= O, 1,2, ... k+l. (34)

L 'J'( .r)= t (J - p+m- l) L p(x) p=O m- l m;::: 1. (25) With this explicit formula, the infinite sum ill eq (23)

is reduced to a finite scrics

On sub tituLing this expression into eq (22) and collecting tcrms we find

( j+lc- m-l) AH 1tk '" ", ' m - ]

'Pk(t)=--l,- e-'At ~ L",(\t ) :6 (')' cjk) IC. 1tl=O j=1Ii J+' lc

.7

k;::: 1. (26)

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There are several extensions of this method t hat are possible. It is not too difficult to generalize the solut ions here to finite sets of semi-Markov eq uations (i.e. , the matrix analog of eq (1». It has also b een pointed out by Harold Kaplan that discrete renewal equations can also be handled by the same methods provided that we start with Gottlieb polynomials [10] ,: rather than Laguerre functions for the relevant expansions. The obvious advantage of the present method is the fact that one can reduce the integral equation in ftn exact way to recurrence relations which may then be easily handled by a compu ter. The method is probably not too good if there are many nonzero coefficients or if only the moments of jet) and get) are known experimentally and the co­efficients must be calculated from them. Prelimi­nary experiments show that the results are very sensitive to errors in expressions for higher moments .

References

[1] A. W. Brown, A note on t he use of a Pearson type III function in renewal theory, Ann. Math. Stat. 11, 448 (1940).

[2] M. Zelen and C. Dannemiller, The robustness of life testing procedures derived from t he exponential distribution, T echn ometrics 3, 29 (1961).

[3] K. J. Arrow, S. Karl in , and H. Scarf, cd., Studies in the Mathematical Theory of Inventory and Production (Stanford Univ. Press, 1958) .

[4] K. J . Arrow, S. Karlin , an d H . Scarf cd. , Studies in Applied Probability and Management Science (Stan­ford Univ. Press, 1962) .

[5] G. H. Weiss and A. A. Maradudin, Some problems in t raffic delay, Operat ions R esearch 10, 74 (1962) .

[6] G. H. Weiss and M . Zelen, A semi-Markov model for chronic diseases (to be published).

[7] VIf. Feller, On t he integral eq uation of renewal t heory, An n. Math. ~tat . 12, 243 (1941) .

[8] H . Hadwiger, Ube!" die Entwicklung Erneuerungsfunk­tion in eine Potenzreihe, Skand. Aktuarietidskrift 21, 31 (1938).

[9] J. V. Uspensky, On t he development of a rbi trary func­t ions in series of Hermite's and Laguerre 's polynomials, Ann. Math. 28, 593 (1927).

[10] M. J . Gottlieb, Concerning some Pol y nomials Orthogonal on a Finite or Enumerable set of Points, Am. J. Math. 60, 453 (1938) .

[12] M. M. Siddiqui , Some p roperties of the empirical dis­tribution function of a random process, J . Research NBS 65B (Math. & Math. Phys.) No.2, 117 (1961).

[13] J. Gurland, Distribut ion of quadrat.ic form s and ratios of quadratic fo rms, Ann. Math. Stat. 240, 416 (1953).

(PH per 66B4- 83)

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