GeoCosmo GLOBAL EARTHQUAKE€¦ · GeoCosmo Research Centre, founded by NASA Senior Scientist Dr....
Transcript of GeoCosmo GLOBAL EARTHQUAKE€¦ · GeoCosmo Research Centre, founded by NASA Senior Scientist Dr....
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Katerina Zalamova, PhD
GeoCosmoTM GLOBAL EARTHQUAKE FORECAST SYSTEM
GEO COSMO RESEARCH CENTER United Kingdom
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–Prof. Friedemann Freund
at the NASA Ames Research Center
“In human history we have never come close to forecasting earthquakes. Although, earthquake
disasters affect about 1/3rd of the world population.”
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For 100 years the seismological community worldwide has tried – and failed – to “see” major earthquakes coming, relying on seismic, i.e. mechanical
precursors. The discovery of the scientific basis that helps understand the range of electrical and electrochemical, atmospheric and ionospheric earthquake precursors provides the foundation for the development of an operational
GLOBAL EARTHQUAKE FORECAST SYSTEM
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Prof. Friedemann Freund
Peroxy Bonds: The Science behind the non-seismic
signals before major earthquakes
All non-seismic pre-earthquake phenomena can be traced back to one fundamental physical process: the activation of electronic charges in rocks in response to the ever- increasing tectonic stresses prior to any major seismic event, namely the rupture of peroxy bonds.
Journal of Asian Earth Science, 2015, 114, 338–351. http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.jseaes.2015.04.016
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TODAY’S “EARLY WARNING” SYSTEM
This is merely an Earthquake Announcement System as the seismic waves are already racing through the ground.
IN PROGRESS
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GeoCosmoTM GLOBAL EARTHQUAKE FORECAST SYSTEM
- provides 2 to 3 days lead time before any major earthquake
- combines information available from satellites, both on geostationary and low-Earth orbits, with information available from regional ground station networks and other ground assets
- monitors the range of signals that the Earth produces when stresses build up deep below to dangerously high levels, heralding an increased probability of a major seismic event
- never again a major earthquake will strike “out of the blue”
- occasional false positives have to be accepted
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GeoCosmo Research CenterGeoCosmo Research Centre, founded by NASA Senior Scientist Dr. Friedemann Freund and his team, is dedicated to understanding the field of pre-earthquake science and to using this knowledge to advance earthquake forecasting.
What distinguishes GeoCosmo research from other scientific investigation of earthquake precursor signals is that, whereas others focus on just one or two parameters, GeoCosmo has the scientific know-how to monitor and evaluate the full spectrum of precursory signals, thereby arriving at more robust and reliable earthquake forecasts.
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GeoCosmo Research CenterTEAM MEMBERS
Prof Dr Friedemann Freund, Founder & Chairman
Ronald Karel, President
Oliver Smyth, Accounting & Business
Dr Katerina Zalamova, Head of Business & Technology
SCIENTIFIC PARTNERS & ADVISORS
Prof Dr George Melikadze, Institute of Geophysics, Ivane Javakhishvili Tbilisi State University, Georgia
Prof Dr Orhan Şen, Department of Meteorological Engineering, Istanbul Technical University, Turkey
Dr. Christos Tsabaris, Institute of Oceanography , Hellenic Center for Marine Research, Greece
Dr. Mircea Radulian , National Institute for Earth Physics, Romania
Prof Dr Lazo Pekevski, Seismological Observatory, University Ss. Cyril and Methodius, Skopje, R. Macedonia
Dr Keramova Ramida Aga-Dadash, Republican Center of Seismic Service at Azerbaijan National Academy of Sciences, Azerbaijan
Dr Orlin Dimitrov, Associate Prof., Technical University Varna, Bulgaria
Dr Spomenko Mihajlovic, Center for Geomagnetism and Aeronomy, Republic Geodetic Authority, Serbia
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GeoCosmoTM GLOBAL EARTHQUAKE FORECAST SYSTEM Main Elements
❖ Satellite-derived information on thermal infrared (TIR) emission from the ground, on ionospheric perturbations to be separated from geomagnetic storm effects.
❖ Regional ground sensor networks built on the existing and new smart infrastructures through strategic partnerships.
❖ AI data platform for data analysis, evaluation and forecasting.
❖ Web-Mobile App for alerts communication.
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GeoCosmoTM GLOBAL EARTHQUAKE FORECAST SYSTEM Implementation Model
Upgrade existing smart infrastructures to earthquake forecasting systems
❖ More that 23B sensors are already deployed worldwide*.
❖ 86% of the owners of those infrastructures express an interest in
upgrading their data analytics to include earthquake forecasting for their
assets**.
❖ All of the interviewed enterprises recognise that however, they don’t expect major events, the forecasting data can help their process optimisation and improve their effectiveness saving costs**.
*https://www.statista.com/statistics/471264/iot-number-of-connected-devices-worldwide/
**K. Zalamova, CREA IDEA LAB Market Research Study, IOTSWC, Barcelona 2018
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GeoCosmoTM GLOBAL EARTHQUAKE FORECAST SYSTEM Become a Partner
We are looking to build an extend partnership network with smart infrastructure owners who have the following functionalities:
❖ Air Quality Monitoring
❖ Smart lighting
❖ Smart Water
❖ Smart Manufacturing
As a partner, you will have an exclusive access to a real-time earthquake forecasting information through our GeoCosmo portal.
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Katerina Zalamova, PhD
GeoCosmoTM GLOBAL EARTHQUAKE FORECAST SYSTEM
GEO COSMO RESEARCH CENTER UK
www.geocosmo.co.uk
+34 695662979