GEC 2017: Craig Mullett
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Transcript of GEC 2017: Craig Mullett
Angel Investing
An Overview
©2017 2017
The angel network in the funding spectrum
2
Friends & Family (“love money”)Personal Savings
Business Angel Investors
Private EquityVenture Capital
IPO
Business Type Funding Required
Seed
Early Stage
Later Stage
Growth
<$100k
$100k-$2m
$2m-$25m
>$25m
©2017
Why this matters …3
Rapid growth start-ups generate the most new jobs in an economy and require the highest amount of equity risk capital.
A 2005 study of 37 countries found that of various sources of funding (debt, private equity, venture capital, angel investor capital), only angel investor capital significantly positively influenced the propensity to be entrepreneurs.
Successful entrepreneurial hubs (Silicon Valley, Boston, New York) all have developed angel investor networks
Incubated start-ups rely heavily on angel networks for financing, contacts and strategy advice
Angel groups Fund new ventures Create jobs
©2017
Angels are organizing globally in groups
4
First group (“Band of Angels”) started in Silicon Valley in 1994
Groups started in Canada and Europe in 1990’s
Rapid growth in 2000’s lead to new groups in many countries
USA Australia/NZ
Canada
30 300 350 20 25
Europe Asia/M-East
Latin America
5
©2017
20
Africa
Why Angel Groups?5
Provide economies of scale and other benefits to : Angel investors
See more deal opportunities with less effort More industry viewpoints to effectively
screen deals More resources for due diligence and deal
negotiation Post-investment support and monitoring
enhances returns Entrepreneurs
One application leveraged to multiple investors
Wider network of contacts can be provided by more investors, as well as coaching and advisory support
Structured process that is quicker turn-around with more follow-on funding potential
Ecosystem impact Angel groups more effective in directing
resources to start-up businesses
©2017
6
Angel Groups
Better deal flow and matching with start-
upsLessons
from experienced investors
Comraderie
Efficient due
diligence
Pooled funds for
larger investmen
ts
Risk sharing
Angel Group Benefits©2017
Source InfoDev 1/2017
Angel Group Ecosystem7 ©2017
The structured activity spectrum of the network
8
Angels
Entrepreneurs
ApplicationsOnline platform accessMarketing/OutreachScreening dealsMeetingsTrainingLeading due diligenceDeal structuring
ApplicationsOnline platform accessMarketing/OutreachAdvisor introductionsBusiness plan trainingPitch CoachingBusiness plan creationTeam development
Passive
ACTIVE
©2017
Key Success Factors for Business Angel Investing
Experienced former entrepreneurs as angel investors
Member of an organized angel group Due diligence prior to investment Investing in sectors in which the angel investor
has experience and insight Portfolio diversification investing Training, mentoring, coaching for new angel
investors Well-functioning entrepreneurial ecosystem Social capital and networks (local and,
increasingly, international) Source : 2011 OECD Study/ACA
9 ©2017
BusinessDocuments
One Page Summary
Pitch
Agreements
Understanding the Angel Investment Process
10
Sourcing/Networking
Business Applications
Initial Deal Screening
Codified Business Plan
Deal Review at Pitch Meeting
Due Diligence
Final Terms Agreed
Closing
Support/Advisory/Monitoring
©2017
BusinessPlan
Using Gust to Drive the Process
Applications online – efficient way to discriminate
Review and comment on likely deals Screening committee Ratings feature on Gust
Set interest level for investing Due diligence Closing process Events/meetings Resources/training
11 ©2017
Product/Technology Concept Barriers/Intellectual Property
Market Size/Growth Competition
Team Deal Terms/Valuation
Ensure a compelling valuation to allow for a return on investment after future funding dilution
(Above ratings system same as on Gust)
Screening Deals : Ranking the Chance of Success
12 ©2017
13
Angel Investor Valuation Models Ballpark ranges
For Hyper-growth Global : Multiples of Revenue For Usual-growth Local : Multiples of Profit To get high-end of valuation range :
Large end-market (TAM), Patents, Customer orders, Proven profit model, Experienced Team
Stage Usual-growth Local
Hyper-growth Global
Developed concept
$25k - $50k $100k - $500k
Proven prototype $50k - $100k $500k - $2mRevenue (>$10k) $100k - $500k $1m - $3m
Real revenue (>$250k)
$500k - $2m $2m - $5m
If exit, returns to angel
Probable 10X Possible 100X
©2017
Standard term sheet outlining key aspects 3 structures
Equity (usually preferred) Debt (usually convertible into equity) Simplified Agreement for Future Equity (SAFE)
Key terms Valuation (dilution, pre vs post money) Board oversight/advisory Information rights Salaries/bonus/dividends – cash stays in
business Exit vs non-exit (lifestyle limits/carrots and
sticks) Minimum raise/closing
Deals Term Sheets & Agreements14 ©2017
Where start-ups will go if you don’t invest …
15 ©2017
Unique Selling Proposition (USP). Defined in a tweet - what is the need filled or problem solved? Any IP/know-how that cannot be duplicated?
Target market. Specific customer profile with payment options to buy the product/service.
Market size, growth, and share. Look for >$100m niches within markets with double-digit growth and double-digit penetration plan.
Competition. Current vs expected. Current customer alternatives.
Revenue model. Pricing model and revenue streams/waterfall/pipeline.
Sales/Marketing/Distribution. Online vs multi-level distributors, partners, or value-added resellers. International vs local?
Team. Experience, capabilities, location, x-factor. Operations/Production. In-sourced vs Outsourced. Time
to market vs cost. Financial Model. Variable contribution margins,
marketing and sales costs, overhead costs, and support costs. Cash flow projections vs funding.
Due Diligence – what could go right?16 ©2017
Founders spend frugally – couch surfStrategic acquirers have already talked to businessFounders have deep experience of industryReference customers have been signed upFree media coverage has commended businessPatent firm has expressed confidence in IPPassive co-investment by suppliers/customersFounders respond well to advice, adjust plans as needed
Due Diligence – Green Flags17 ©2017
Conducting a pre-mortem (funeral avoidance) If this business was bankrupt in a year, it
most likely would have been caused by … Risk removal = value creation Deal structuring protection mechanisms
Preferred Equity/Debt/Asset claim Management salaries/bonus/distributions Board governance (low-water marks for
cash) Dilution/options risks Non-compete contracts
Due Diligence – what could go wrong?18 ©2017
Founders have no ability to manage cash flowToo much of fundraising round going towards founder salariesFamily members in the leadership team and businessQuestionable ethics of founderLifestyle-business orientation of founderNo company website or e-mail addressesToo many competitors crowding in on marketFunding will not get business to break-even
Due Diligence – Red Flags19 ©2017
Avoiding the paralysis of analysis …20 ©2017
Roles for Business Angels in Investments Pre-close
Human Capital(Experience)
Social Capital(Relationships)
Sourcing & Screening
Market insightsScreening input
ContactsNetworking
Improving Pitch
Business basicsPlan 4 Pitch
Coaching
21 ©2017
Roles for Business Angels in Investments Post-close
Human Capital(Experience)
Social Capital(Relationships)
Business Growth
Strategic insight
Resources Contacts
Governance/Management
Board memberMonitoring
Mentoring
22 ©2017
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10
20
30
40
50
60
<1X 1X to 5X 5X to 10X 10X to 30X >30X
Exit Multiple
Perc
ent o
f Exi
tsDistribution of Returns by Angel Investment
UK: Overall Multiple: 2.2XHolding Period: 3.6 years
US: Overall Multiple: 2.6XHolding Period: 3.5 years
Approx 22% IRR
Approx 27% IRR
Hold: 3.0 yrs.
Hold: 3.3 yrs.
Hold: 4.6 yrs.Hold: 4.9 yrs.Hold: 6.0+ yrs.
Source : Willamette University 2011
23 ©2017
Why be an Angel?
In recruiting business angels, the Milan-based Italian Angels use the following mantra :
“Financially attractive, professionally
stimulating,
personally fun”CAUTION
HIGH RISK INVOLVED
24 ©2017
Energy + Optimism + Capacity + Execution
25 ©2017
“Never doubt that a small group of thoughtful, committed citizens can change the world; indeed, it's the
only thing that ever has.”Margaret Mead