GCC Capital Markets Watch Q3 2019 - PwC · IPO and debt preparation IPO and debt execution Our IPO...
Transcript of GCC Capital Markets Watch Q3 2019 - PwC · IPO and debt preparation IPO and debt execution Our IPO...
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GCC Capital Markets Watch Q3 2019
The GCC equity market continued to be quiet, with only one
company listing on the Kingdom of Saudi Arabia’s Tadawul. However, the region’s debt market was active and witnessed iconic
transactions during the quarter.
Even though all IPO activities in the region have been limited to the Kingdom of Saudi Arabia in 2019, we are expecting the UAE market
to pick up in the near future as multiple companies have announced their interest to go public and have initiated the groundwork for a
successful IPO. Tadawul has recently announced that it will soon allow the listing of foreign companies on its exchange, which will
further promote equity activity in the region.
During this quarter, Dubai became one of the largest global centresfor sukuk listings by value when global port operator, DP World,
listed sukuk worth USD 1.5bn and bonds worth USD 800m on Nasdaq Dubai.
The quarter also saw the first sovereign bond in two years issued by
the Emirate of Abu Dhabi, raising USD 10bn. Its positive credit rating and competitive return attracted significant amount of
investors’ interest. The Kingdom of Saudi Arabia also issued its first Euro denominated bond worth EUR 3bn.
Steve Drake
PwC Middle East Capital Markets, Partner
USD 93mraised from the only IPO in Q3
2019 across the GCC, as
compared to USD 484m in Q3
2018.
1 IPOin Q3 2019, down from three
IPOs in Q3 2018.
USD 10bnsovereign bond issued by
the Emirate of Abu Dhabi in
Q3 2019.
PwC | GCC Capital Markets Watch Q3 2019 |2
USD 1.5bnsukuk issued by DP World.
Initial Public Offerings (IPOs)A subdued quarter as multiple companies prepare for their respective IPOs.
Overview
Tadaw ul continued to be the only active market for equity
transactions in Q3 2019. Typical of the third quarter, GCC
market activity w as slow this year w ith just one IPO compared
to three in Q3 2018.
Proceeds of USD 93m w ere generated from the sole IPO,
representing a decline of USD 391m from Q3 2018 w hen USD
484m w as raised. We anticipate the coming quarter to be
signif icantly more active w ith the recent announcement of
Saudi Aramco's record breaking f lotation on Tadw aul, along
w ith many other companies w hich have expressed their
intention to list in 2019.
In addition, Tadaw ul is expected to allow the listing of foreign
companies on its exchange in an attempt to encourage IPO
activity.
Ataa Educational Co.
Sector: Consumer Services
Money raised: USD 93 million
Exchange: Tadawul
No. of shares offered: 12 million
| GCC Capital Markets Watch Q3 2019 | PwC3
337 48 138 179 953 902 1,603 2,500 185 1,1520
101471 274 0 37 400 210 234 2,455 430 463 484 1,027 58 866
93
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Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3
Vo
lum
e o
f IP
Os
Va
lue o
f IP
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(US
Dm
)
Value (USD m) Volume
58
702 4,000 1,439 782 3,300 2,404 1,016
9
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2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 19 YTD
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lum
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f IP
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Va
lue o
f IP
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(US
Dm
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Value (USD m) Volume
GCC IPO trendsThe GCC equity market continued to be slow with a single listing in the quarter.
Figure 2: GCC IPO activity since 2013
Figure 3: GCC quarterly IPO activity since 2013
35
1,377
12
10,500
11,000
FY19
YTDFY18
YTD
14
7,000
7,500
2013
National
Commercial Bank
and Dubai Parks
and Resorts IPOs
Launch of NOMU
Parallel Market
ADNOC and Emaar
Development IPOs
PwC | GCC Capital Markets Watch Q3 2019 |4
2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019
-15%
-10%
-5%
0%
5%
10%
15%
20%
25%
30%
% c
hange s
ince 1
January
2019
Tadawul MSM DFM
ADX QSI BAX
BKP
-40%
-30%
-20%
-10%
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
% c
hange s
ince 1
January
2018
Tadawul MSM DFM ADX QSI BAX BKP
Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Jan Feb Mar April May June July Aug Sep
Market performanceBoursa Kuwait continued to outperform other GCC exchanges by cumulative total return, whilst Tadawul retreated to fifth position in Q3 2019.
2018
Source: Eikon (Thomson Reuter), Pw Canalysis
*The IPOs of Integrated Holding Co KCSC, National Building and
Marketing, Al Nefaie Umm Alqura REIT and Al Moammar Information
System Company have been excluded due to insufficient data.
Figure 4: GCC equity markets performance by cumulative total return since 1 January 2018
2019
Source: Eikon (Thomson Reuter), Pw Canalysis
(Bahrain) (Kuwait)(KSA) (Oman) (Dubai) (Abu Dhabi) (Qatar)
Figure 5: Share price performance of 2018 and 2019 GCC IPOs* by sector, relative to the respective all share index, from the IPO date to 30 September 2019
Figure 4a: GCC equity markets performance by cumulative total return since 1 January 2019
| GCC Capital Markets Watch Q3 2019 | PwC5
Jan Feb Mar April May June July Aug Sep
-9%
-33%
-5%
-90%
-5%
30%
55%
-100% -50% 0% 50% 100%
Real Estate
Financials
Energy
Consumer Discretionary
Industrial
Logistic
Education
Commercial and…Commercial and
Professional service
40.4
62.6
51.6
-
50
100
150
200
250
300
Q3 2019 Q2 2019 Q3 2018
-
10.0
20.0
30.0
40.0
50.0
60.0
70.0
Proceeds raised (billions) Number of IPOs
Global IPOsAsia Pacific was the IPO leader in Q3 2019 in terms of proceeds and volume. EMEA activity suffered from continued geopolitical uncertainties and weakening of local economic fundamentals.
Figure 7: Top exchanges by % of total IPO proceeds raised
Source: Dealogic as at
30 September 2019
Q3 2019 w as quieter than expected for equity capital markets.
Volatility w as high against a backdrop of geopolitical tensions,
increased economic w eakness and doubts regarding central
bank action. The We Company w ithdrew its intended listing,
Peloton and TeamView er’s shares fell during their f irst day of
trading, and Budw eiser Brew ing Company APAC’s shares priced
at the low er end of the range.
All regions recorded a reduction in IPO activity in terms of both
proceeds and volume compared to Q3 2018. Globally, 226 IPOs
raised USD 40.4bn compared to 279 IPOs w ith proceeds of USD
51.6bn in Q3 2018 – a reduction of 19% in volume and 22% in
proceeds.
The Further Offer market performance continued to decline w ith
602 offerings raising total proceeds of USD 104.1bn in Q3 2019,
compared to 627 further offers raising USD 114.3bn in Q3 2018.
Asia Pacif ic dominated the quarter having the highest proceeds
raised and volume, helped by the new ly opened STAR Market in
China. The region accounted for 51% (USD 20.6bn) of proceeds
and 68% (153) of the number of IPOs. The Americas came
second, contributing 38% (USD 15.3bn) of the global proceeds
and 23% (53) of the global volume in the quarter. EMEA
transactions show ed a further decline, accounting for 11% (USD
4.5bn) of IPO proceeds, and 9% (20) of the number of
transactions in the quarter. On a year-to-date basis, the Americas
continued to lead by proceeds, helped by some sizeable IPOs in
Q2 2019 – most notably Uber, Avantor, Lyft and Pinterest.
Asset World Corp
Exchange: Thailand Stock
Exchange
Pricing date: 27 Sep 2019
Money raised:
USD 1.4bnFree Float:
22.5%
3
Figure 6: Global IPO activity
Figure 8: Top 3 global IPOs in Q3 2019 by proceeds
USD
226bn
PwC | GCC Capital Markets Watch Q3 2019 |6
USD
280bn
USD
279bn
Budweiser Brewing
Company APAC
Exchange: HKEX
Pricing date: 24 Sep 2019
Money raised:
USD 5.0bnFree Float:
10.8%
1
TeamViewer
Exchange: Deutsche Börse
Pricing date: 24 Sep 2019
Money raised:
USD 2.2bnFree Float:
37.5%
2
NASDAQ
Global
26%
Others
22%NYSE
22%
HKEX
12%
LSE Group
7%
DB3%
SSE4%
SZSE4%
GCC bond and sukuk issuancesA notable quarter for the GCC market with high value sovereign bond and sukuk issuances.
It has been an eventful quarter in the UAE debt market w ith DP
World issuing a USD 1.5bn sukuk and a USD 800m conventional
bond on Nasdaq Dubai, projecting Dubai into one of the largest
global centres for sukuk listings by value. DP World is the largest
debt issuer on Nasdaq Dubai, having raised an aggregate value
of USD 9.1bn in recent years.
During the quarter, the Emirate of Abu Dhabi sold USD 10bn of
bonds in a three part deal w hich w as its f irst offering in tw o years.
This experienced high demand due to competitive returns
compared to international central banks rates.
The Kingdom of Saudi Arabia has also issued sovereign bonds
during the quarter. The Kingdom raised EUR 3bn from its
inaugural Euro denominated bond issue, w hich w as split into a
EUR 1bn eight year tranche w ith a coupon rate of 0.75% and a
EUR 2bn 20 year tranche of 2% coupon rate.
Total value of sovereign bonds issued in Q3 2019 by the Emirate of Abu Dhabi.
The Emirate of Abu Dhabi issued USD
3bn in f ive-year bonds w ith a coupon rate
of 2.1%, USD 3bn in 10 year bonds w ith
a coupon rate of 2.5% and USD 4bn in 30
year notes w ith a coupon rate of 3.1%.
Total value of corporate bond issued by DP World Crescent Limited in Q3 2019.
DP World Crescent Limited issued USD
300m of conventional bonds as a tap
issuance on the USD 1 billion bond that
w as issued in September 2018. It also
issued USD 500m w orth of bonds on 30
September 2019 w ith a coupon rate of
4.7% and 30 year maturity.
Total value of sukuk issuance in Q3 2019 by DP World Crescent Limited on Nasdaq Dubai.
DP World Crescent Limited issued USD
1bn w orth of sukuk on Nasdaq Dubai on
18 July 2019 w ith a coupon rate of 3.9%
and USD 500m w orth of sukuk on 30
September 2019 w ith a coupon rate of
3.8%. Both w ill mature in 10 years.
USD 1.5bn
| GCC Capital Markets Watch Q3 2019 | PwC7
USD 10bn USD 800m
How PwC can help you
At Pw C, w e understand that good preparation is essential to a successful IPO and debt issuance. We have experience in a w ide range
of international, regional and domestic IPOs and debt issuances, and can provide expert guidance from initial planning, through to
execution and beyond.
IPO and debt preparation IPO and debt execution
Our IPO and debt Readiness Assessment is an early stage
diagnostic review of the critical areas needed for a successful
issuance. We highlight w here current processes, procedures,
structures and practices fall short of the requirements for a
company w hose securities are to be publicly traded and
provide recommendations on how to address these gaps.
We w ork w ith issuers and their advisors to provide IPO and
debt advisory and assurance services. This may include
w orking capital reporting, f inancial due diligence, f inancial
positions and prospects procedures assessment, assistance
w ith MD&A drafting in relation to a prospectus, comfort letters
and project management.
This content is f or general inf ormation purposes only , and should not be used as a substitute f or consultation with prof essional adv isors.
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About PwC’s GCC Capital Markets Watch
GCC Capital Markets Watch surveys IPOs on GCC’s principal stock exchanges and market segments as w ell as conventional bond
and sukuk issuances on a quarterly basis. This survey w as conducted betw een 1 July 2019 and 30 September 2019 and captures
the relevant data based on their transaction date. GCC Capital Markets Watch is prepared by Pw C Middle East (w ww.pwc.com/me).
All market data is sourced from publicly available information and has not been independently verif ied by Pw C.
Steve Drake
Partner, PwC Capital Markets,
Middle East
Direct: +971 (0) 4304 3421
Mobile: +971 (0) 5045 14661
Email: s.drake@pw c.com
Muhammad Hassan
Partner, PwC Capital Markets,
Middle East
Direct: +971 (0) 4304 3443
Mobile: +971 (0) 5017 42472
Email: muhammad.hassan@pw c.com
Sergiu Gherasim
Partner, PwC Capital Markets,
KSA
Direct: +966 (11) 2110 400
Mobile: +971 (0) 5641 76719
Email: sergiu.gherasim@pw c.com
Contacts