Gas to Liquids: Unlocking Value From Natural...
Transcript of Gas to Liquids: Unlocking Value From Natural...
better together … we deliver
Gas to Liquids: Unlocking Value From Natural GasDragan Djakovic, Business Development Manager
Texas A&MGas and Fuels Research Initiative28 March 2014
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forward-looking statements
Forward-looking statements: Sasol may, in this document, make certain statements that are not historical facts and relate to analyses and other information which are based on forecasts of future results and estimates of amounts not yet determinable. These statements may also relate to our future prospects, developments and business strategies. Examples of such forward-looking statements include, but are not limited to, statements regarding exchange rate fluctuations, volume growth, increases in market share, total shareholder return and cost reductions. Words such as “believe”, “anticipate”, “expect”, “intend”, “seek”, “will”, “plan”, “could”, “may”, “endeavour” and “project” and similar expressions are intended to identify such forward-looking statements, but are not the exclusive means of identifying such statements. By their very nature, forward-looking statements involve inherent risks and uncertainties, both general and specific, and there are risks that the predictions, forecasts, projections and other forward-looking statements will not be achieved. If one or more of these risks materialise, or should underlying assumptions prove incorrect, our actual results may differ materially from those anticipated. You should understand that a number of important factors could cause actual results to differ materially from the plans, objectives, expectations, estimates and intentions expressed in such forward-looking statements. These factors are discussed more fully in our most recent annual report under the Securities Exchange Act of 1934 on Form 20-F filed on 9 October 2013 and in other filings with the United States Securities and Exchange Commission. The list of factors discussed therein is not exhaustive; when relying on forward-looking statements to make investment decisions, you should carefully consider both these factors and other uncertainties and events. Forward-looking statements apply only as of the date on which they are made, and we do not undertake any obligation to update or revise any of them, whether as a result of new information, future events or otherwise.
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presentation outline
ORYX GTL, Qatar
Sasol’s US projects
the North American energy landscape
GTL value proposition
about Sasol
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ORYX GTL, Qatar
Sasol’s US projects
the North American energy landscape
GTL value proposition
about Sasol
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Sasol at a glance
● An international integrated energy and chemical company
● The world’s largest producer of synthetic fuels
● Pioneer in gas-to-liquids (GTL) and coal-to-liquids (CTL) technology
● 60 years experience in gas conversion related technologies
● In-house technology development capacity
● Strong intellectual property portfolio
● Joint venture partner with Qatar Petroleum in ORYX GTL – 32,400 bpd GTL plant
● Already a strong presence in the US
● Turnover (US$20.5bn)1
● Market cap (US$28.3bn)2
● Listed on JSE (SOL) andNYSE (SSL)
● Exploration, development, production, marketing and sales operations in more than 38 countries
● ~35 000 employees worldwide
Notes● 1 For year ending 30 June 2013● 2 Market capitalisation at 30 June 2013
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a history in synthetic fuels
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a history in synthetic fuels
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ORYX GTL, Qatar
Sasol’s US projects
the North American energy landscape
GTL value proposition
about Sasol
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gas to liquids (GTL) in a nutshell
Product work-up
10 mcf 1 barrel of product
1 bcf/d 100 000 bbl/day
1 tcf reserve 100 million bbl of productsOver 30 years
GTL synthesisReformingNatural gas as feedstock
GTL products
Diesel, naphtha, LPGOptional: kero, paraffins, base oils, waxes
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GTL fuels can be supplied through existing supply infrastructure
tankers
pipeline
existing fuelling infrastructure
conventional engines
• compatible with existing engine technology and fuelling infrastructure
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GTL is responsive to market demands
Source: ExxonMobil Outlook for Energy (2012)
• middle distillate is the fastest growing segment of the transport fuel demand
• GTL produces 65-75% of product in the middle distillate range, with the balance of the slate comprising chemical naphtha or added value chemicals, with no “bottom of the barrel” products
transportation fuel demand(millions of oil-equivalent barrels per day)
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GTL raises the bar on quality and performance
● clear, clean burning fuels with high cetane number and no sulfur or aromatics
● can be used “pure” or in blends
● upgrades refinery streams and reduces constraints
● could enable development of new generation internal combustion engine technologies
● improved engine efficiency
● further reduction in tailpipe emissions
● naphtha is an ideal cracker liquid feedstock or diluent for oil sands bitumen
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GTL reduces engine-out emissions
-100
-80
-60
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-20
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% d
iffer
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minmaxaveragePM
NOx
CO
THC
CO2
GTL diesel emissions vs EN590 reference diesel
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GTL value addition
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automotivediesel
baseoils
waxes
% p
lant
yie
ld
Product value
jet fuel
chemicalnaphtha
USGTL~96,000 bpd
(Note: relative global market sizes and product values are approximate)
large fuels markets could sustain multiple world
scale plants
Chemicals markets offer opportunities to
add value
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GTL can improve energy security (certain cases)
• diversifies transport fuels supply
• can reduce dependence on imported petroleum products
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US net imports of crude oil and petroleum products (‘000 barrels per day)
~100,000 GTL bpd ~ 1.5% of current USA net imports
Source: EIA
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GTL offers gas market diversity for resource owners
orORYX GTL, Qatar
traditional pathways for natural gas to remote markets
chemical conversion
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the GTL value proposition is compelling
● alternative natural gas monetization option ● pathway for natural gas into transportation ● energy security● products transparent to supply infrastructure● high product quality relative to conventional equivalents● product responsive to markets demands
● middle distillates and chemicals● sound environmental credentials● job creation● fiscal revenue
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ORYX GTL, Qatar
Sasol’s US projects
the North American energy landscape
GTL value proposition
about Sasol
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ORYX Qatar, Sasol’s GTL flagship
● A joint venture with Qatar Petroleum
● 32 400 bbl/d nameplate capacity (GTL diesel, GTL naphtha, LPG)
● First cargo shipped to international markets in April 2007
● A total of 56+ million barrels produced to date
● On-line availability has improved significantly, enabling stable, increased production
● nine months at 99+% on-line availability
Highly profitable venture with handsome returns to shareholders
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ORYX GTL (32,400 bpd)
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● Joint venture with Chevron + NNPC
● 32 400 bbl/d – Oryx look alike
● GTL diesel, naphtha, LPG
● Joint venture with Uzbekneftegaz + Petronas
● 38 400 bbl/d – enhanced Oryx
● GTL diesel, kero, naphtha and LPG
other GTL projects in the pipeline
Escravos GTL, Nigeria OLTIN YO’L GTL, Uzbekistan
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● Across the fence utility supply
● Modularisation● Partnerships and alliances
● Chemicals● Electricity● Base oils
● Reactor intensification● Generation 3 FT catalyst● Improvement in reforming
technology
identified various levers to extract greater value
Improvingcapital
productivity
Drivingtechnology
improvementImprovingproductvalue
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GTL reactor facts
• Height = ~170 ft (~50 m)
• Diameter = ~35 ft (~10 m)
• Mass = ~2,200 tons
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scale up and intensification of GTL reactor
● Significant scale-up during successful commercialization at ORYX GTL
● Subsequent focus on intensification to increase production in essentially the same shell
● Enabled by:
● Integrated catalyst and reactor technology developments
● Intensive fundamental studies, model systems and semi-commercial piloting
● Understanding critical design parameters and margins based on commercial operation – enabled significant optimization
● US GTL design at 150% of ORYX GTL reactor capacity
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ORYX GTL, Qatar
Sasol’s US projects
the North American energy landscape
GTL value proposition
about Sasol
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shale gas has changed the face of North American energy and chemical markets
Source: EIA, Annual Energy Outlook 2011
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28%
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Net imports
Shale gas
Non-associated onshore
Non-associated offshore
Tight gas
Coal-bed methaneAlaska
Associated with oil
1%
45%
8%
8%
22%
7%1%7%
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…e.g. natural gas imports/exports
2004 2014
Source: EIA Annual Energy Outlook 2004/2014
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…e.g. fuel mix for electricity generation
2004 2014
Source: EIA Annual Energy Outlook 2004/2014
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paradigms have shifted…
2004 2014
Source: EIA Annual Energy Outlook 2004/2014
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GTL exploits the differential between gas and liquids pricing
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Brent crude oil price ($/bbl) expressed as a multiple of Henry Hub natural gas price ($/mmBtu)
actual EIA (2013)
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North America… the new frontier for GTL
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1992 1997 2002 2007 2012 2017 2022 2027 2032 2037
Brent crude oil price ($/bbl) expressed as a multiple of Henry Hub natural gas prices ($/mmBtu)
actual EIA (2013)
divergence betweenoil and gas prices
established gas pipelinenetwork
+
attractive investment environment for GTL
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ORYX GTL, Qatar
Sasol’s US projects
the North American energy landscape
GTL value proposition
about Sasol
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in December 2012 Sasol announced its decision to proceed with FEED for world scale cracker and GTL projects in Louisiana, USA
Louisiana Governor Bobby Jindal& Sasol CEO David Constable
FEED Announcement (December 3, 2012)
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Sasol North America Lake Charles Chemical Complex
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chemicals facility
● a world scale ethane cracker will produce approximately 1.5 million tons of ethylene per year which will be converted on-site by seven downstream to a range of high-value derivatives
● estimated project capital investment: US$ 5 billion to US$ 7 billion
● final investment decision: 2014
● construction phase: 2014-2017
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gas-to-liquids facility
● ~1 billion cubic feet per day of natural gas will be converted to 96,000* barrels per day of liquid fuels and chemicals including GTL diesel, GTL naphtha, liquefied petroleum gas, paraffin, GTL base oils and medium and hard waxes
● estimated project capital investment: US$ 11 billion to US$ 14 billion
● final investment decision: 2016
● construction phase: 2016-2020
*nominal capacity
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US GTL product marketing
● a balanced product portfolio of 29% chemicals and 71% fuels (by mass)
natural gas reforming
sasol LTFT process
wax extraction
paraffin extraction
fuels product work -up
Process *
oxygen
naturalgas
syngas
reactor wax
condensate
Paraffin for LAB production
natural gas reforming
sasol LTFT process
paraffin extraction
fuelsproduct work -up Process *
syngas reactor wax
condensate
wax products
LPG
naphtha
diesel
paraffins
LPG
naphtha
diesel
base oilsbase oils
phas
e 1
phas
e 2 oxygen
naturalgas
a Sasol wholly owned facility with a nominal capacity of 96 000 bbl/d
debottleneck in Hamburg, Germany
new emulsification
units
new LAB unit in Lake Charles
minor modifications in
Augusta, Italy
* flexible design allows for operation in fuels only or value adds mode
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● Arbitraging gas and oil - shale gas revolution
● Technology enhancements -extending our lead
● World class products
● Chemical value adds
● Integrated value chain
● World class infrastructure
● Supportive government
● Access to multiple markets
● Competitive labour and contractor market
● Abundant feedstock compelling investment opportunity
in summary
GTL value proposition Lake Charles
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Thank you