THE CONNECTICUT ECONOMIC DIGEST · THE CONNECTICUT ECONOMIC DIGEST March 2011 Connecticut
Gary L. Wells Iowa State University - Connecticut … L. Wells Iowa State University Presentation...
Transcript of Gary L. Wells Iowa State University - Connecticut … L. Wells Iowa State University Presentation...
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Simultaneous vs. Sequential Lineups
Gary L. WellsIowa State University
Presentation to:The Connecticut Eyewitness Identification Task ForceOctober 19, 2011
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The Scientific Method for Studying Eyewitness Identification
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Created event
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N# witnesses
View a lineup
Created event
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N# witnesses
View a lineup
Identification decision
Certainty of identification
Nature of the witnessed eventCreated event
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N# witnesses
View a lineup
Identification decision
Characteristics of witnesses
Created event
Certainty of identification
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N# witnesses
View a lineup
Identification decision
Instructions
Created event
Certainty of identification
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N# witnesses
View a lineup
Identification decision
Type of lineup
Created event
Certainty of identification
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N# witnesses
View a lineup
Identification decisionBehaviors of lineup administrator
Created event
Certainty of identification
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The Relative-Judgment Process
Eyewitnesses tend to select the person who looks most like the perpetrator relative
to the other members of the
lineup.
From: Wells, The Psychology of Lineup Identifications
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3% 3% 54%
13
%
3% 3%
No choice = 21%
From: What Do We Know About Eyewitness Identification?
Wells, American Psychologist
Note: All witnesses were warned that the actual perpetrator might not be in the lineup
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3% 3% 54%
13
%
3% 3%
No choice = 21%
Removal-without replacement and relative judgment processes [from Wells, American Psychologist]
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3% 3% 54%
13
%
3% 3%
No choice = 21%
Removal-without replacement and relative judgment processes [from Wells, American Psychologist]
54%?
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3% 3% XXX
13
%
3% 3%
No choice = 21% 32%
11%
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3% 6%
3% 12%
XXX
13% 3% 7%
3% 5%
No choice = 21% 32%
38%
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The problem with the relative- judgment process is that some
member will always look more like the perpetrator than the remaining members of the lineup; even when the actual perpetrator is not in the lineup.
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1 2 3
4 5 6
The standard simultaneous procedure
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Is this the man you saw pull the trigger? “yes, no, or not sure”
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Is this the man you saw pull the trigger? “yes, no, or not sure”
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Is this the man you saw pull the trigger? “yes, no, or not sure”
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Is this the man you saw pull the trigger? “yes, no, or not sure”
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Is this the man you saw pull the trigger? “yes, no, or not sure”
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Is this the man you saw pull the trigger? “yes, no, or not sure”
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Steblay, Dysart, & Wells Psychology, Public Policy & Law, 2011
72 experimental tests using 13,143 participant-witnesses
Results: Mistaken identifications from culprit-absent lineups
were reduced by 22%Identifications of the culprit were reduced by 8%
Diagnosticity ratios: 7.72 for sequential and 5.78 for simultaneous
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What Happens with Actual Witnesses to Serious Crimes?
Many lab studies have used versions of the sequential that cannot or are not used in actual practice:1.Backloading; Witness does not know how many to be viewed2.Continuation procedure; Always go through the reminder, even if an identification is made on an earlier one3.If more than one identification, let witness talk and resolve (but, a matter of record)4.If witness requests a second “lap”
then permit it (but, it is
a matter of record…)
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The Simultaneous versus Sequential Field Experiment (2011)Four participating police departments:
1.
Austin, TX2.
Charlotte, NC
3.
San Diego, CA4.
Tucson, AZ
Funding:1.
Open Society Foundations
2.
JEHT Foundation3.
Laura and John Arnold Foundation
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The Simultaneous versus Sequential Field Experiment (2011)Partners:Scientists: Gary WellsNancy SteblayJen Dysart
OrganizationsAmerican Judicature SocietyPolice Foundation Innocence Project
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Main Key Characteristics of the StudyPhoto lineupsAdministered by laptop computerAll instructions follow protocolAll responses automatically entered in recordRandom assignment at last second to
simultaneous or to sequentialRandom assignment at last second to order
All double blind Single suspect embedded among five
known-innocent fillers
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Plus…1.
Backloading; Witness does not know how many to be viewed
2.
Continuation procedure; Always go through the reminder, even if an identification is made on an earlier one
3.
If more than one identification, let witness talk and resolve (but, a matter of record)
4.
If witness requests a second “lap”
then permit it (but, it is a matter of record…)
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Austin Police Department
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Austin Police Department
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Austin Police Department
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Austin Police Department
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For sequential, the only difference in instructions was this one:
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Austin Police Department
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Main Results
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Giving a second lap for those who requested it mattered (a little)
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Summary of Results
Sequential produced a lower rate of identifying known-innocent fillers Sequential was as effective as simultaneous in the rate of identifying the suspect.Outright rejections of the lineup were considerably more common for the simultaneous than for the sequential.
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ImplicationsTo the extent that filler identifications are a good proxy for assessing risk for innocent suspects, the sequential is safer for an innocent suspect.
Filler identifications are a problem in any case because the identification of a filler “spoils”
the witness for any later attempt to
view a lineup.
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FAQsHow many fewer identifications of innocent suspects (as opposed to fillers) with sequential?•No way to know quantity
from these data -
only
the direction (fewer)•Estimated # of ID cases in U.S. –
not definitively
known •One estimate says > 75,000 ID cases estimated by survey of prosecutors. If only 25% of ID attempts are ID of the suspect, then 300,000 lineups?
This, if true, would mean 18,000 fewer filler IDs
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FAQs
If
the “rate ratios”
of filler picks for the sequential/simultaneous also holds for innocent suspect pick rates, then:
12.2% ÷ 18.1% = .674
i.e., the sequential rate of mistaken identification would be 67.4% of the rate of the simultaneous
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If the eyewitness has a credible memory, why should it matter whether the lineup is done sequentially or simultaneously?
Can I see the rest before I make a decision on this one?
A Commonsense Reason to Favor the Sequential
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