Gary C. Hill, CCAPP Symposium 2009, Ohio State University, October 12th, 2009 Photograph: Forest...

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Gary C. Hill, CCAPP Symposium 2009 , Ohio State University, October Gary C. Hill, CCAPP Symposium 2009 , Ohio State University, October 12th, 2009 12th, 2009 The search for extra- The search for extra- terrestrial sources of high terrestrial sources of high energy neutrinos with IceCube energy neutrinos with IceCube hotograph: Forest Banks Gary C. Hill Gary C. Hill University of Wisconsin, Madison University of Wisconsin, Madison for the IceCube collaboration for the IceCube collaboration
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Transcript of Gary C. Hill, CCAPP Symposium 2009, Ohio State University, October 12th, 2009 Photograph: Forest...

Gary C. Hill, CCAPP Symposium 2009 , Ohio State University, October 12th, 2009Gary C. Hill, CCAPP Symposium 2009 , Ohio State University, October 12th, 2009

The search for extra-terrestrial The search for extra-terrestrial sources of high energy neutrinos sources of high energy neutrinos

with IceCubewith IceCube

Photograph: Forest Banks

Gary C. HillGary C. HillUniversity of Wisconsin, MadisonUniversity of Wisconsin, Madison

for the IceCube collaborationfor the IceCube collaboration

Gary C. Hill, CCAPP Symposium 2009 , Ohio State University, October 12th, 2009Gary C. Hill, CCAPP Symposium 2009 , Ohio State University, October 12th, 2009

cosmic rayscosmic rays charged - badcharged - bad

gamma raysgamma rays neutral - goodneutral - good absorbed - badabsorbed - bad

neutrinosneutrinos neutral - goodneutral - good not absorbed -not absorbed - good and bad!good and bad!

It’s a mysterious universe!It’s a mysterious universe!

Messenger particles forMessenger particles forhigh energy astronomy:high energy astronomy:

Gary C. Hill, CCAPP Symposium 2009 , Ohio State University, October 12th, 2009Gary C. Hill, CCAPP Symposium 2009 , Ohio State University, October 12th, 2009

Neutrino and gamma production Neutrino and gamma production in cosmic ray accelerators?in cosmic ray accelerators?

ee

0, ppp

ee

Hadronic accelerator? – Hadronic accelerator? – cosmic ray origin?cosmic ray origin?

The TeV gammas?The TeV gammas?

Let’s look for Let’s look for these neutrinos!these neutrinos!

-rays-rays fromfromsynchrotronsynchrotron

Gary C. Hill, CCAPP Symposium 2009 , Ohio State University, October 12th, 2009Gary C. Hill, CCAPP Symposium 2009 , Ohio State University, October 12th, 2009

Cosmic ray induced Cosmic ray induced “guaranteed sources”“guaranteed sources”

ee

0, ppp

ee

Cosmic rays on CosmicCosmic rays on CosmicMicrowave Background:Microwave Background: GZK neutrinosGZK neutrinos EHE: 10EHE: 109-109-10 GeV GeV

Cosmic rays on the earth’s atmosphere:Cosmic rays on the earth’s atmosphere:Atmospheric neutrinos Atmospheric neutrinos

Cosmic rays onCosmic rays ongalactic plane:galactic plane:galactic planegalactic planeneutrinosneutrinos

Gary C. Hill, CCAPP Symposium 2009 , Ohio State University, October 12th, 2009Gary C. Hill, CCAPP Symposium 2009 , Ohio State University, October 12th, 2009

The high-energy neutrino skyThe high-energy neutrino sky

Gary C. Hill, CCAPP Symposium 2009 , Ohio State University, October 12th, 2009Gary C. Hill, CCAPP Symposium 2009 , Ohio State University, October 12th, 2009

Atmospheric Atmospheric NeutrinosNeutrinos

Cosmic Ray

≈15 Km

π+

+

e+

e

pions, kaons and charmpions, kaons and charm

Gary C. Hill, CCAPP Symposium 2009 , Ohio State University, October 12th, 2009Gary C. Hill, CCAPP Symposium 2009 , Ohio State University, October 12th, 2009

Gary C. Hill, CCAPP Symposium 2009 , Ohio State University, October 12th, 2009Gary C. Hill, CCAPP Symposium 2009 , Ohio State University, October 12th, 2009

Gary C. Hill, CCAPP Symposium 2009 , Ohio State University, October 12th, 2009Gary C. Hill, CCAPP Symposium 2009 , Ohio State University, October 12th, 2009

XeNe

XN

backgroundbackgroundatmosphericatmosphericmuonmuon

Direction:Direction:Reconstruction ofReconstruction ofCerenkov coneCerenkov coneEnergy:Energy:Counting of modulesCounting of modulesthat see photonsthat see photons

Gary C. Hill, CCAPP Symposium 2009 , Ohio State University, October 12th, 2009Gary C. Hill, CCAPP Symposium 2009 , Ohio State University, October 12th, 2009

Gary C. Hill, CCAPP Symposium 2009 , Ohio State University, October 12th, 2009Gary C. Hill, CCAPP Symposium 2009 , Ohio State University, October 12th, 2009

Event Signatures in IceCubeEvent Signatures in IceCube

signature signature

1013 eV (10 TeV)~90 hits

6x1015 eV (6 PeV)~1000 hits

Multi-PeV

+N+...

± (300 m!)

+hadrons

AMANDAAMANDA

Expect about 100,000 events/yr

Gary C. Hill, CCAPP Symposium 2009 , Ohio State University, October 12th, 2009Gary C. Hill, CCAPP Symposium 2009 , Ohio State University, October 12th, 2009

Where are we pointing?Where are we pointing?

Gary C. Hill, CCAPP Symposium 2009 , Ohio State University, October 12th, 2009Gary C. Hill, CCAPP Symposium 2009 , Ohio State University, October 12th, 2009

Moon declination during first 15 yearsMoon declination during first 15 years

Gary C. Hill, CCAPP Symposium 2009 , Ohio State University, October 12th, 2009Gary C. Hill, CCAPP Symposium 2009 , Ohio State University, October 12th, 2009

RA distribution relative to moonRA distribution relative to moon

Gary C. Hill, CCAPP Symposium 2009 , Ohio State University, October 12th, 2009Gary C. Hill, CCAPP Symposium 2009 , Ohio State University, October 12th, 2009

Li and Ma significance distributionLi and Ma significance distribution

Gary C. Hill, CCAPP Symposium 2009 , Ohio State University, October 12th, 2009Gary C. Hill, CCAPP Symposium 2009 , Ohio State University, October 12th, 2009

Point source searchesPoint source searches

Gary C. Hill, CCAPP Symposium 2009 , Ohio State University, October 12th, 2009Gary C. Hill, CCAPP Symposium 2009 , Ohio State University, October 12th, 2009

IC40 6 month all-sky point source searchIC40 6 month all-sky point source search

Gary C. Hill, CCAPP Symposium 2009 , Ohio State University, October 12th, 2009Gary C. Hill, CCAPP Symposium 2009 , Ohio State University, October 12th, 2009

pre-trial significance 10-4.4

expected in 61% of random skies

IC40 6 month all-sky point source searchIC40 6 month all-sky point source search

Gary C. Hill, CCAPP Symposium 2009 , Ohio State University, October 12th, 2009Gary C. Hill, CCAPP Symposium 2009 , Ohio State University, October 12th, 2009

Search for a diffuse Search for a diffuse signal with IC40 signal with IC40

Diffuse modelsDiffuse modelsall harder (~Eall harder (~E-2-2) than) thanatmospheric (~Eatmospheric (~E-3.7-3.7):):energy separationenergy separationNch variableNch variable

Range of Range of spectral slopes:spectral slopes:start with Estart with E-2-2

Gary C. Hill, CCAPP Symposium 2009 , Ohio State University, October 12th, 2009Gary C. Hill, CCAPP Symposium 2009 , Ohio State University, October 12th, 2009

Blind regionBlind region

Energy separation:Energy separation:Nch variableNch variableBlind analysis: Blind analysis: Best limit setting powerBest limit setting power(model rejection potential)(model rejection potential)Nch>100Nch>100 E-2 test flux

Atmospheric neutrinos

Gary C. Hill, CCAPP Symposium 2009 , Ohio State University, October 12th, 2009Gary C. Hill, CCAPP Symposium 2009 , Ohio State University, October 12th, 2009

Sensitivity:Sensitivity:for bg=6.1 eventsfor bg=6.1 eventsmedian event limit 5.84median event limit 5.84Flux limit : 5.84/66.7x10Flux limit : 5.84/66.7x10-6-6

= 8.8 x 10= 8.8 x 10-8-8

Gary C. Hill, CCAPP Symposium 2009 , Ohio State University, October 12th, 2009Gary C. Hill, CCAPP Symposium 2009 , Ohio State University, October 12th, 2009

Unblind the data:Unblind the data:6 events observed6 events observedevent limit 5.84event limit 5.84Flux limit : 5.84/66.1x10Flux limit : 5.84/66.1x10-6-6

= 8.8 x 10= 8.8 x 10-8-8

Gary C. Hill, CCAPP Symposium 2009 , Ohio State University, October 12th, 2009Gary C. Hill, CCAPP Symposium 2009 , Ohio State University, October 12th, 2009

Reconstructing The Muon energy lossReconstructing The Muon energy loss

Approximate as:

loglog}){|}({log1

NnnPk

iiiii

dust

ycl

ean

deep

shallow

Incorporate Ice Properties:

Formulate LLH:e+e-

pair-creation

bremsstrahlung

photo-nuclear

Gary C. Hill, CCAPP Symposium 2009 , Ohio State University, October 12th, 2009Gary C. Hill, CCAPP Symposium 2009 , Ohio State University, October 12th, 2009

Energy estimator comparisonEnergy estimator comparison

Reconstructed dE/dX Number of Channels

Gary C. Hill, CCAPP Symposium 2009 , Ohio State University, October 12th, 2009Gary C. Hill, CCAPP Symposium 2009 , Ohio State University, October 12th, 2009

Atmospheric neutrinos

E-2 test flux

Gary C. Hill, CCAPP Symposium 2009 , Ohio State University, October 12th, 2009Gary C. Hill, CCAPP Symposium 2009 , Ohio State University, October 12th, 2009

Likelihood shape analysis - probability Likelihood shape analysis - probability of observable shape distribution {nof observable shape distribution {n i i } }

given theory {given theory {μμii}} ? ?

Product of Poisson probabilities over bins:

)(

1 !

)()})({|}({

i

i

en

nPk

i i

ni

ii

},...,,,...,, 12 kmm 1{

m parameters of interest; k-m nuisance parameters

Gary Hill

Gary C. Hill, CCAPP Symposium 2009 , Ohio State University, October 12th, 2009Gary C. Hill, CCAPP Symposium 2009 , Ohio State University, October 12th, 2009

Atmospheric neutrinos onlyAtmospheric neutrinos only

Gary C. Hill, CCAPP Symposium 2009 , Ohio State University, October 12th, 2009Gary C. Hill, CCAPP Symposium 2009 , Ohio State University, October 12th, 2009

Allowed EAllowed E-2-2 and prompt contributions and prompt contributions

Number of E-2

Nu

mb

er o

f p

rom

pt

Gary C. Hill, CCAPP Symposium 2009 , Ohio State University, October 12th, 2009Gary C. Hill, CCAPP Symposium 2009 , Ohio State University, October 12th, 2009

Atmospheric and EAtmospheric and E-2 -2 neutrinosneutrinos

Gary C. Hill, CCAPP Symposium 2009 , Ohio State University, October 12th, 2009Gary C. Hill, CCAPP Symposium 2009 , Ohio State University, October 12th, 2009

Allowed EAllowed E-2-2 and prompt contributions and prompt contributions

Number of E-2

Nu

mb

er o

f p

rom

pt

Gary C. Hill, CCAPP Symposium 2009 , Ohio State University, October 12th, 2009Gary C. Hill, CCAPP Symposium 2009 , Ohio State University, October 12th, 2009

Atmospheric, EAtmospheric, E-2 -2 and prompt neutrinos and prompt neutrinos

Gary C. Hill, CCAPP Symposium 2009 , Ohio State University, October 12th, 2009Gary C. Hill, CCAPP Symposium 2009 , Ohio State University, October 12th, 2009

Allowed EAllowed E-2-2 and prompt contributions and prompt contributions

Number of E-2

Nu

mb

er o

f p

rom

pt

Gary C. Hill, CCAPP Symposium 2009 , Ohio State University, October 12th, 2009Gary C. Hill, CCAPP Symposium 2009 , Ohio State University, October 12th, 2009

IC40 diffuse sensitivityIC40 diffuse sensitivity