G. KOÇTÜRK - LFS Sample Design, Allocation, Weighting

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TURKISH STATISTICAL INSTITUTE Sampling and Analysis Techniques Department Survey Design Group 20/05/14 OUTLINE Gökhan KOÇTÜRK TURKSTAT Expert Sampling & Analysis Techniques Department

Transcript of G. KOÇTÜRK - LFS Sample Design, Allocation, Weighting

TURKISH STATISTICAL INSTITUTE

Sampling and Analysis Techniques DepartmentSurvey Design Group 20/05/14

OUTLINE

Gökhan KOÇTÜRK

TURKSTAT ExpertSampling & Analysis Techniques Department

TURKISH STATISTICAL INSTITUTE

Sampling and Analysis Techniques DepartmentSurvey Design Group 20/05/14

Sampling Frame

Cluster (100 households on average)

Sampling Unit

Estimation Level (NUTS 2 annually, Urban-Rural quarterly)

Stratification

TURKISH STATISTICAL INSTITUTE

Sampling and Analysis Techniques DepartmentSurvey Design Group 20/05/14

Rotational Design

8 Subsamples

%50 overlap between consecutive quarters

%50 overlap between the same quarters of consecutive years

TURKISH STATISTICAL INSTITUTE

Sampling and Analysis Techniques DepartmentSurvey Design Group 20/05/14

2 - 2 - 2 design is used

Around 44.000 households per quarter

550 clusters (10 hh selected from each) for each subsample

Each week is reference week (52 per year)

TURKISH STATISTICAL INSTITUTE

Sampling and Analysis Techniques DepartmentSurvey Design Group 20/05/14

2013 2014 2015Subsample 1 2 3 4 1 2 3 4 1 2 3 4

1 A 2 A A 3 B A A 4 B B A A 5 A B B A A 6 A A B B A A 7 B A A B B A A 8 B B A A B B A A 9 B B A A B B A A

10 B B A A B B A A 11 B B A A B B A A 12 B B A A B B A A13 B B A A B B A14 B B A A B B15 B B A A B16 B B A A17 B B A18 B B19 B

TURKISH STATISTICAL INSTITUTE

Sampling and Analysis Techniques DepartmentSurvey Design Group 20/05/14

General Comparison;

Existing LFS Continous LFS

Reference week 12 per year 52 per year

Sample Size 42000 per quarter 44000 per quarter

No. Of Clusters 353 550

Regulation Article 3.1 Article 3.1 + Article 3.2

TURKISH STATISTICAL INSTITUTE

Sampling and Analysis Techniques DepartmentSurvey Design Group 20/05/14

Sample size calculation;

where;

t: %95 significance levelp: rate of characteristicsq: 1-pd: degree of precisionH: number of strata

Hd

deffqptn *

***2

2

=

TURKISH STATISTICAL INSTITUTE

Sampling and Analysis Techniques DepartmentSurvey Design Group 20/05/14

Article 3(1) and 3(2) is followed for sample size calculation

TURKISH STATISTICAL INSTITUTE

Sampling and Analysis Techniques DepartmentSurvey Design Group 20/05/14

Article 3(1) and 3(2) is followed for sample size calculation

TURKISH STATISTICAL INSTITUTE

Sampling and Analysis Techniques DepartmentSurvey Design Group 20/05/14

Uniform Distribution Among Weeks

* Adana – Urban

* Turkey – Total

TURKISH STATISTICAL INSTITUTE

Sampling and Analysis Techniques DepartmentSurvey Design Group 20/05/14

Design Weights

TURKISH STATISTICAL INSTITUTE

Sampling and Analysis Techniques DepartmentSurvey Design Group 20/05/14

Nonresponse Adjustment

* Adjusted weight;

iinr rww *=

TURKISH STATISTICAL INSTITUTE

Sampling and Analysis Techniques DepartmentSurvey Design Group 20/05/14

Integrative Calibration

* D : Dummy variable for related group

* Wk : Weights after non response adjustment

* pi : weighted sample proportion for related group (for ex. Male)

* Pi : Population proportion for related group

∑∑=

k

ki w

wDp

*

TURKISH STATISTICAL INSTITUTE

Sampling and Analysis Techniques DepartmentSurvey Design Group 20/05/14

Integrative Calibration

* If Dk=1 :

* If Dk=0;

* : weighted Dk values(for all ind. in hh within related group)

oldIk

i

iIk w

p

Pw )()( *=

oldIIk

i

i

ii

IIk w

a

p

Pa

w )()( *1

*1

=

ia

TURKISH STATISTICAL INSTITUTE

Sampling and Analysis Techniques DepartmentSurvey Design Group 20/05/14

Trimming

* : average calibrated weights for household

Lw

w

Lk ≤≤1

w

TURKISH STATISTICAL INSTITUTE

Sampling and Analysis Techniques DepartmentSurvey Design Group 20/05/14

Final Correction

* Final weights ;

Fww kfinal *=

TURKISH STATISTICAL INSTITUTE

Sampling and Analysis Techniques DepartmentSurvey Design Group 20/05/14

(-) Changing too many things at the same time (Changes in methodology & application)

(-) Difficulties in Field Application

(+) Sample Size Calculation & Distribution (using CV, household size, nonresponse rate from previous years)

(+) Better results (because of 52 reference weeks)

(+) Calibration (Hhsize)

TURKISH STATISTICAL INSTITUTE

Sampling and Analysis Techniques DepartmentSurvey Design Group 20/05/14

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