FY09 Results Presentationweb3.cmvm.pt/sdi2004/emitentes/docs/FR26737.pdf · FY09 Results...
Transcript of FY09 Results Presentationweb3.cmvm.pt/sdi2004/emitentes/docs/FR26737.pdf · FY09 Results...
FY09 Results Presentation(Un-audited Figures)
28th January 2010 1FY09 Results Presentation
Agenda
I. FY09 Highlights
II. Recent Market & Macro Developments
III. FY09 Consolidated Results
IV. Segment Reporting & Commercial Activity
V. Customer Credit and Funds
VI. Funding & Liquidity, AFS, Pension Fund & Solvency
VII. Wrap Up
28th January 2010 2FY09 Results Presentation
I. Main figures
(1) Net Assets + Asset Management + Off-balance sheet funds + Securitised credit
(2) Basel II ratios as of FY09 (estimate) assume the Foundation approach for credit risk (Advanced for retail portfolios) and Standard method for operational risk, both certified by the Bank of Portugal.
-46.7-%Cost / Income ex-extraordinary
+1.2 pp8.37.1%Tier I
Solvency: Basel II (2)
0.10 pp0.660.56%ROA
- 0.2 pp11.111.3%Total
+1.9 pp8.06.1%Core Tier I
-3.2pp
-9.9pp
8.8%
3.8%
9.5%
7.8%
0.2 pp
29.8%
YoY
58.2
53.0
55,698
51,964
75,187
98,825
9.8
402.3
2008
%
%
Eur mn
Eur mn
Eur mn
Eur mn
%
Eur mn
55.0Cost / Income (ex Markets & Others)
43.1Cost / Income
60,595Total Customer Funds
53,958Loans to Customers (incl. securitisation)
82,297Total Net Assets
106,513Total Assets under Management (1)
10.0ROE
522.1Net Income
2009
28th January 2010 3FY09 Results Presentation
I. 2009 Results highlights• Net income reached at Eur 522.1mn representing a growth of 29.8% YoY, a ROE of 10.0% and a ROA of 0.66%. The 2009 FY
results mark the 2nd highest result in the history of BES and are a sign of strength in a still challenging environment, subdued by low economic growth, high unemployment and historically low interest rates. Excluding the non recurrent factors net income reached Eur462.1mn, still implying a healthy growth of 14.9%.
• International area was once again critical to this performance with net income at Eur 179.3mn, growing by 25.1% representing 39% of recurrent net profit (34.3% of total results) and confirming the merits of BES strategic positioning in the Southern Atlantic axis. Worth mention the 24% disposal in BES Angola for USD 375 mn (Dec 2010) that will reinforce an already strong partnership with local players.
• NII grew 10.6% YoY to Eur 1,200.9mn and, albeit decelerating versus recent quarters, still grew double digit in 2009. The effort to capture on-balance sheet customer funds in the 4Q09 (evident by the Eur 1.6bn QoQ growth of term deposits), the still fading interest rate mismatch effect and the lag effect between new wholesale funding captured in 2009 (at higher cost) and the credit growth in 2009 (mostly in 4Q09), are among the main reasons behind 4Q09 NII performance.
• Fees & Commissions posted a very strong performance growing 12.8% YoY backed by a pick up in activity namely in trade finance & export related fees (+62.7%), commissions on loans (+33.2%), guarantees (+26.7%), bancassurance (+29.1%) and corporate & project finance (+23.7%).
• Capital Markets maintained the usual resilience, contributing with Eur 389mn to banking income (15.9% weight) driven by results from interest rate and equity trading.
• Operating costs grew 5.4% YoY influenced by the expansion in international area (+19.9% YoY) and by post employment benefits that grew 80.4% YoY, on the back of the increase in amortisation of actuarial differences (+192.9% YoY from Eur 16.5mn in 2008 to Eur 49.5mn in 2009). Excluding post employment benefits, operating costs grew only 1.7% YoY reflecting the cost reduction effort brought forward by the Bank during 2009. Very strong efficiency levels with cost to income at 43.1% and excluding extraordinary gain of BES Angola stake sale at 46.7%.
• Credit Provisions reflected the poor economic environment on one side, but also the conservative manner with which BES manages credit risk. The 107bp of cost of risk includes Eur 106mn of extra provisions for credit charged during the year (40mn in 2Q09 and 66mn in 4Q09). Without this extra reinforcement cost of risk would have been 86bp for FY09. The credit provision reserve was therefore further enhanced to 3.07%.
28th January 2010 4FY09 Results Presentation
I. 2009 Results highlights
• Credit quality showed some encouraging signs in 4Q09 with net new entries reducing significantly in the past two quarters (net
new NPL entries in the quarter were an annualised 14bp which compares to 49bp in 3Q09 and 108bp in the 2Q09). NPL’s over 90
days at 1.60% with a coverage of 192%.
• In terms of wholesale funding, BES was able to tap the market successfully several times during 2009, not only guaranteeing the
MLT refinancing needs for 2009 well in advance of the year end, but (and considering the latest Eur 750mn issue at the beginning
of 2010) also guaranteeing a comfortable position for meeting 2010 needs of Eur 5.1bn which are mostly covered. Still on the
liquidity front is worth highlighting the fact that BES ended the year with a short term cash surplus of Eur 1.7bn.
• The Pension Fund had a good performance, reducing the actuarial differences outside the corridor to Eur 619mn from Eur
765mn at the end of 2008. The Eur 146mn reduction will have a positive impact in next year amortisation of actuarial differences.
• The main equity stakes in AFS portfolio continued to recover. At the end of 2009 gross potential capital gains reached Eur
391mn recovering Eur 571mn versus last year gross potential loss of Eur 180mn. The good market performance by Bradesco and
PT during the year were the main drivers for this recovery. Currently potential capital gains are only accounted 45%, gross of taxes
to Tier II.
• Core Tier I ended the year at 8.0%, thus confirming BES as one of the most well capitalised Banks in Iberia.
• Board of Directors will propose to the AGM a distribution of a dividend of 0.14 Euros per share (2008 comparable 0.10
Euros per share), which represents a payout of 35.4% of recurrent earnings (20% in 2008) and a dividend yield at current prices of
3.2% and 3.1% at year-end prices, which is above the current market consensus for European banks.
28th January 2010 5FY09 Results Presentation
Agenda
I. FY09 Highlights
II. Recent Market & Macro Developments
III. FY09 Consolidated Results
IV. Segment Reporting & Commercial Activity
V. Customer Credit and Funds
VI. Funding & Liquidity, AFS, Pension Fund & Solvency
VII. Wrap Up
28th January 2010 6FY09 Results Presentation
II. Markets Environment
Credit Spreads (Financials)Selected Stock Indices.
Source: Bloomberg & Reuters
Global economic recovery on the way, on the back of aggressive policy stimulus and with emerging markets showing strong growth. Stronger growth prospects with low inflationary
pressures have resulted in stronger confidence in financial markets.
30
50
70
90
110
130
150
170
Jun.2007
Set.2007
Dez.2007
Mar.2008
Jun.2008
Set.2008
Dez.2008
Mar.2009
Jun.2009
Set.2009
Dez.2009
Eurostoxx 50
01 Ju
n. 2
007
= 10
0
S&P 500
Bovespa
Shanghai Composite
Sensex (India)
0
50
100
150
200
250
Jan. 2007 Jul. 2007 Jan. 2008 Jul. 2008 Jan. 2009 Jul. 2009 Jan. 2010
(bps)
iTRAXX Financials Senior 5yr
28th January 2010 7FY09 Results Presentation
II. Macro Portugal: Highlights
y-o-y, qoq growth (p.p.)
Source: INE, European Commission & Bloomberg
GDP Evolution
Financial sector stability and no significant housing corrections allowed for an early recovery in GDP growth, with an improvement in exports. The “Greece effect” has hurt sovereign ratings, but public debt affordability remains in line with the main Euro area
economies.
Interest Payments as a percentage of annual tax revenues, %
02468
101214
Finl
and
Spai
n
Neth
erla
nds
Fran
ce
Austr
ia
Ger
man
y
Portu
gal
Irelan
d
Belg
ium
Italy
Gree
ce
Aaa countries Non-Aaa countries
-4.0-3.0-2.0-1.00.0
1.02.03.04.05.0
2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009
%
Q-o-Q
Y-o-Y
Public Debt Affordability
28th January 2010 8FY09 Results Presentation
GDP Evolution(%, y-o-y, qoq).
PMI Services & Manufacturing Index
II. Macro Spain: Highlights
Source: INE & Bloomberg
Domestic demand adjustments are still penalising growth and are delaying a full recovery. But a stabilising trend is already visible in some activity indicators.
-5
-3
-1
1
3
5
2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009
%
y-o-y
q-o-q
25
30
35
40
45
50
55
60
65
1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009
Inde
x (Po
ints)
PMI Services
PMI Manufacturing
28th January 2010 9FY09 Results Presentation
GDP Evolution (% yoy)
Oil Production (mn/day)
II. Macro Angola: Highlights
Source: BNA, OPEC & Bloomberg
Lower oil revenues in 1H2009 have contributed to a slowdown in activity and have forced a kwanza depreciation. But the recovery in oil output, the resilience of non energy sectors, and the environment of macroeconomic stability are already contributing to a reacceleration in growth.
1.4
1.5
1.6
1.7
1.8
1.9
Jan.2007
Apr. Jul. Oct. Jan.2008
Apr. Jul. Oct. Jan.2009
Apr. Jul. Oct.
mb/
d
1.9
10.0
2.0
13.2
20.318.6
20.6
11.2
3.3
13.0 14.8
20.1
27.5
14.1
9.0
10.3
10.0
0.0
5.0
10.0
15.0
20.0
25.0
30.0
2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008F 2009F 2010F
%
Non-oil sector
GDP
28th January 2010 10FY09 Results Presentation
II. Macro Brazil: Highlights
Retail Sales & Industrial Production(% yoy)
GDP Evolution(% yoy)
Source: IBGE, BACEN & Bloomberg
Domestic demand strength is fuelling a recovery and should lead to GDP growth around 5% in 2010. Sound external accounts and strong capital inflows have led to an appreciation in the Real.
-4
-2
0
2
4
6
8
2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009
%
Y-o-Y
Q-o-Q
-20
-15
-10
-5
0
5
10
15
20
2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009
%
Industrial Production
Retail sales
28th January 2010 11FY09 Results Presentation
Agenda
I. FY09 Highlights
II. Recent Market & Macro Developments
III. FY09 Consolidated Results
IV. Segment Reporting & Commercial Activity
V. Customer Credit and Funds
VI. Funding & Liquidity, AFS, Pension Fund & Solvency
VII. Wrap Up
28th January 2010 12FY09 Results Presentation
161.3
21.4
31.8
214.5
246.1
460.6
281.3
741.9
182.3
108.6
451.0
200.7
250.4
4Q09
114.6
10.0
24.8
149.4
137.6
287.0
262.0
549.0
-30.7
108.4
471.3
171.0
300.3
3Q09
29.8%
112.9%
31.5%
34.1%
88.6%
57.2%
5.4%
29.7%
n.m.
70.0%
11.4%
12.8%
10.6%
YoY
40.8%522.1402.3Net Income=
n.m.141.6-63.1Other results+
-
-
=
-
=
-
=
+
=
+
+
114.0%53.024.9Minority Interests
28.2%109.883.5Taxes
43.6%684.9510.7Income Bef. Taxes and Minorities
78.9%708.8375.8Net Provisions
60.5%1,393.7886.5Net Operating Income
7.4%1,055.71,001.6Operating Costs
35.1%2,449.41,888.1Banking Income
-389.0228.8Capital Markets Results
-4.3%1,918.81,722.4Commercial Banking Income
17.3%717.9636.2Fees and Commissions
-16.6%1,200.91,086.2Net Interest Income
QoQ20092008(EUR million)
III. FY09 Consolidated Results
28th January 2010 13FY09 Results Presentation
III. FY09 Consolidated Results breakdown: Domestic vs. International
InternationalDomestic
25.2%
143.9%
-36.2%
26.6%
134.5%
55.5%
19.9%
41.0%
-
25.7%
10.2%
34.0%
YoY
179.3
47.3
21.0
247.6
167.9
415.5
221.5
637.0
147.7
489.3
150.2
339.1
2009
143.2
19.4
32.9
195.5
71.6
267.1
184.7
451.8
62.4
389.4
136.3
253.1
2008
32.3%
3.3%
75.8%
38.8%
77.8%
57.9%
2.1%
26.2%
-
7.2%
13.6%
3.4%
YoY
342.8
5.7
88.9
437.4
540.8
978.2
834.2
1,812.4
382.9
1,429.5
567.7
861.8
2009
259.1
5.5
50.6
315.2
304.2
619.4
816.9
1,436.3
103.3
1,333.0
499.9
833.1
2008
=
-
-
=
-
=
-
=
+
=
+
+
34.3%Net Income
89.3%Minority Interests
19.0%Taxes
36.1%Income Bef. Taxes and Minorities
23.7%Net Provisions
29.8%Net Operating Income
21.0%Operating Costs
26.0%Banking Income27.8%Capital Markets Results & Other
25.5%Commercial Banking Income
20.9%Fees and Commissions
28.2%Net Interest Income
% of Total (Consolid.)
(EUR million)
28th January 2010 14FY09 Results Presentation
III. International area continued to show dynamism at the operating level with operating income growing by 55.5%
-19.7%19.7%% of consolidated
25.2%179.3143.2Total
-57.4%55.4%% of international
63.9%68.441.7UK
35.6%
22.2
79.32008
Net Income Contribution(EUR million)
34.3%
7.9
103.02009
-
-64.4%
29.8%
YoY
% consolidated
Other
Strategic Triangle
Other 2.9
UK 68.4
France/Lux 5.0
Angola89.9
Spain -14.0Brazil
27.1( ) FY08
(Eur mn)
(48.2)
(41.7)
(29.8) (1.3)
(13.2)
(9.0)
• Activity growth in Angola continues very dynamic with
banking income up by 70.9% YoY.
• Spanish operation, and in spite of significant increase in
provisions YoY (+146.9%), delivered a strong operating
performance with operating income up by 99.6% driven by
pro-active margin management and tight cost control.
• Brazil maintained the good performance on the back of
active roll in several important deals in capital markets;
• UK sound operating performance driven by Global Trade
Finance.
99.6%73.937.0Spain13.3%55.248.7Brazil70.6%294.7172.7Strategic Triangle
55.5%415.5267.1Total International
65.1%100.260.7UK
33.7
87.0
2008Operating Income(EUR million)
20.6
165.6
2009
-39.2%
90.4%
YoY
Other
Angola
Net Income Breakdown
28th January 2010 15FY09 Results Presentation
NII FY08 PriceEffect
VolumeEffect
MixedEffect
NII FY09
III. Net interest income grew 10.6% YoY, albeit decelerating in 4Q09
(NIM
in b
p; A
ccum
ulat
ed F
igur
es)
258 253269
306315
335
300
250
176 171 170 176193 189196
177
0
50
100
150
200
250
300
350
1Q08 2Q08 3Q08 4Q08 1Q09 2Q09 3Q09 4Q0975
95
115
135
155
175
195
NII (quarter) NIM (Accum)
375395406
423
260180 164 185
3.023.253.38
1.681.47 1.58
2.18
3.58
0.0
100.0
200.0
300.0
400.0
500.0
1Q08 2Q08 3Q08 4Q08 1Q09 2Q09 3Q09 4Q090.000.501.001.502.002.503.003.504.00
Credit NII (LHS, Eur mn) Credit Margin (RHS, %)
-41-39-36-47
56
10910685
-0.66-0.61-0.59-0.74
0.90
1.981.881.55
-70.0
-20.0
30.0
80.0
130.0
1Q08 2Q08 3Q08 4Q08 1Q09 2Q09 3Q09 4Q09-0.90
-0.40
0.10
0.60
1.10
1.60
2.10
Deposits NII (LHS, Eur mn) Deposits Margin (RHS, %)
Credit Margin Deposit Margin
Net Interest Income & Margin Breakdown Volume & Price Effect
1,086.2 +4.8+109.3 +0.5 1,200.9
(EUR mn)
+10.6%
28th January 2010 16FY09 Results Presentation
III. Commissions were very strong backed by a pickup on corporate activity, impacting namely trade finance and export related fees
Capital Markets Related Fees**Trade Finance & Export Related Fees
Total Fees & Commissions * Traditional & Cross Selling Fees
200.7171.0
636.2 717.9
FY08 FY09 3Q09 4Q09
138.5118.3
439.9511.9
FY08 FY09 3Q09 4Q09
13.99.9
33.0
53.7
FY08 FY09 3Q09 4Q09
* Breakdown in appendix** Corporate Finance & Project Finance + Securities + Asset Management
62.252.7
196.3 206.0
FY08 FY09 3Q09 4Q09
(EUR mn)(EUR mn)
(EUR mn)(EUR mn)
12.8% 16.4%
62.7%
Bancassurance: +29.1% YoYCommissions on Loans: +33.2% YoYGuarantees: +26.7% YoY
17.3% 17.0%
40.4%
5.0%
18.0%
28th January 2010 17FY09 Results Presentation
•Markets were supported by both stronger outlook for US and Euro Zone economies and company earnings above expectations.
• Aggressive monetary policies followed by Central Banks on a historical low interest environment, justified most of interest rate results.
• Depreciation of US Dollar against other currencies reveals a stronger correlation with risk appetite environment, in line with liquidity excess.
• Despite the outperformance of credit markets in general (credit spread and liquidity premium reduction), some specific asset classes, like ABS, continued to show some resistance.
• Performance of global equity markets on 2Q onwards explain most of the positive results achieved in this area.
108.6108.4
389.0
228.8
FY08 FY09 3Q09 4Q09
Capital Markets Results Breakdown
Capital Markets Results*
* Breakdown in appendix
(EUR mn)
262.2234.9
-65.5-37.3
167.5
89.4 389.0(EUR mn)
12.1%
15.9%
19.7%
% Bkg Income
FY08Interest Rate
Credit FX & Other
Equity Divid. FY09 Prov. FY09 net of Prov.
-73.0316.0
Interest Rate
Credit FX & Other
Equity Divid.
-144.5 -3.2
22.5
91.8 228.8
III. Capital Markets results maintained their typical resilience benefiting in 2009 from interest rate and equity trading
FY08
FY09
14.6%
-58.1170.6
Prov. FY08 net of Prov.
28th January 2010 18FY09 Results Presentation
III. BES Vida posted a significant recovery during 2009 returning to positive results. Other results impacted by the disposal of 24% stake sale of BES Angola
n.m.6.50.3-26.9%12.817.5… Other
-30.7
-38.1
7.1
7.4
3Q09
n.m.
n.m.
n.m.
n.m.
YoY
182.3
172.9
2.9
9.4
4Q09
n.m.
n.m.
-59.2%
27.0%
QoQ
111.6-42.8Other
141.6
17.2
30.0
FY09
-63.1
-37.8
-20.3
FY08
… BES Vida
(euro mn)
Other Results
Equity accounted earnings, o.w.
Other Results Breakdown
28th January 2010 19FY09 Results Presentation
III. Operating costs were up by 5.4% YoY reflecting the 80.4% increase in post employment benefits. Excluding this effect operating costs were up by a meagre 1.7% YoY
Administrative Costs Depreciation & Amortisation
Total Operating Costs & Cost to Income Staff Costs
262.0 281.3
1,055.71,001.6
FY08 FY09 3Q09 4Q09
148.3140.8
521.1565.9
FY09 FY09 3Q09 4Q09
21.622.0
77.987.2
FY08 FY09 3Q09 4Q09
111.499.3
402.6 402.6
FY08 FY09 3Q09 4Q09
(EUR mn)(EUR mn)
(EUR mn) (EUR mn)
8.6%
Total Staff Costs up 1.4% YoY ex Post
Employment Benefits
12.0%
7.4%
53.0% 43.1%
47.7%
Cost to Income
5.4%37.9% 5.3%
0.0% 12.2% -1.7%
28th January 2010 20FY09 Results Presentation
III. Credit provisions ex extra reinforcement represented 86bp of gross loans in FY09 and show an encouraging decline versus 2009 highest level of 114bp* in 2Q09
Securities Provisions Other Provisions
Total Provisions Credit Provisions & Cost of Risk
104.2 161.695.6
274.4
539.9433.9
FY08 FY09 FY09ex
Extra
3Q09 4Q09 4Q09ex
Extra
246.1137.6
375.8
708.8
FY08 FY09 3Q09 4Q09
48.9
18.5
43.3
95.9
FY08 FY09 3Q09 4Q09
35.5
14.9
58.173.0
FY08 FY09 3Q09 4Q09
(EUR mn)(EUR mn)
(EUR mn) (EUR mn)
57 107 Cost of Risk bp
85 128
86
76
* 2Q09 annualised cost of risk ex extra provision of Eur 40mn recorded in that quarter
28th January 2010 21FY09 Results Presentation
III. Overdue loans over 90 days were 1.60% covered at 192% by provisions. Annualised net new entries on a downward trend
1.77%1.82%
2.3%
1.9%1.8%2.1% 2.1%
1.9%
1.5%
1.3%1.2%
1.3%
1.5%1.77%
1.60%1.56%
2.0%1.7%
1.5%
1.8% 1.8%
1.6%
1.3%
1.1%1.0% 1.1%
1.2%1.42%
'99 '00 '01 '02 '03 '04 '05 '06 '07 '08 1Q09 2Q09 3 Q09 4Q09
Overdue Loans/Gross Loans Overdue Loans (over 90 days)/Gross Loans
174%
159%
123%
159%163%
180%
195%
184%
137%132%131% 132%
140%
170%
192%186%
198%
210%219%
229%218%
197%
167%
153%149%
155%138%
161%
'99 '00 '01 '02 '03 '04 '05 '06 '07 '08 1Q09 2Q09 3Q09 4 Q09
Coverage of Overdue Loans Coverage of Overdue Loans (> 90 days)
Credit Provisions Reserve Net New Entries as % of Performing Loans
NPL’s Evolution Coverage Evolution
2.33%
3.07%
2.35% 2.35% 2.38% 2.52%2.81% 2.91%
1Q08 2Q08 3Q08 4Q08 1Q09 2Q09 3Q09 4Q09
0.41%0.14%
0.52% 0.55%0.37%
1.07% 1.08%
0.49%
1Q08 2Q08 3Q08 4Q08 1Q09 2Q09 3Q09 4Q09
(quarterly annualised)
28th January 2010 22FY09 Results Presentation
Agenda
I. FY09 Highlights
II. Recent Market & Macro Developments
III. FY09 Consolidated Results
IV. Segment Reporting & Commercial Activity
V. Customer Credit and Funds
VI. Funding & Liquidity, AFS, Pension Fund & Solvency
VII. Wrap Up
28th January 2010 23FY09 Results Presentation
IV. The BES Group is composed of eight operational segments (including the corporate centre)
684.9
-223,5
234.1
29.4
71.0
179.3
229.9
13.0
151.6
Income before Taxes and MinoritiesFY09. Euro million
Total Group
Retail
Private Banking
Corporate and Institutional Clients
International Commercial Banking
InvestmentBanking
Asset Management
Markets & Strategic Participations
CorporateCentre
Δ YoY
-13.6%
-24.2%
-30.1%
+51.5%
+1.8%
-10.2%
…
-8.7%
+34.2%
EUR mn
593.1
36.7
506.3
477.1
229.4
54.0
552.8
2,449.4
Δ YoY
-11.8%
-18.0%
+11.5%
+47.8%
+20.5%
-0.9%
+270.7%
+29.7%
Banking IncomeFY09
Operating CostsFY09
Net ProvisionsFY09
EUR mn
415.9
23.0
60.0
157.8
105.8
24.6
45.0
223.5
1,055.7
Δ YoY
-1.0%
-4.7%
+0.1%
+13.9%
+16.5%
+12.7%
+10.5%
+8.7%
+5.4%
EUR mn
25.5
0.6
216.4
140.0
52.5
0.0
273.7
708.8
Δ YoY
-66.9%
-80.9%
…
+112.3%
+76.4%
+60.0%
+103.0%
+88.6%
DomesticCommercialBanking
28th January 2010 24FY09 Results Presentation
IV. BES Group market share topped 21.2% at the end of 2009
21.4%
26.7%
20.4%
28.8%
13.9%
14.4%
18.5%
24.1%
26.3%
20.2%
20.1%
POSs
Trade Finance
Factoring
Leasing
Corporate Lending
Other Loans Indiv.
Mortgage
Asset Mgmt
Other Life Insurance
Pension Plans
On BS Funds
Note: On BS funds includes deposits and debt securities placed with Clients.
20.721.2
2008 2009
Average Market Share
(%)
Market Share by product
28th January 2010 25FY09 Results Presentation
IV. Retail contribution reached Eur 152mn, backed by low impairment and a strong commercial activity, focused on client acquisition and client loyalty
Client Acquisition FY09 Retail Banking FY09 YoYRetail Banking Sales FY09
Client Involvement
Funds
Client involvement: credit and funds
Credit
TotalGroup
Inter-national
Domestic
127 11116
+2.5%
-2.1%
+7.9%
Affluent: +29.0%
• Affluent: +8.6%• Mass Market: +6.5%• Small Businesses: +7.4%
Value-added products soldThousands
FY08 FY09
698847
+22%1H09: +17% YoY2H09: +26% YoY
• Pension Plans: +21% YoY (production market share: 28.4%, rank: #1)
• Mortgages production: +2,2x in 4Q09 vis-à-vis 1Q09
• Auto Insurance: +50% YoY• Health Insurance: +11% YoY
(Thousand clients)
Acquisition in the 2H09 grew by 5% vis-à-vis 1H09
28th January 2010 26FY09 Results Presentation
IV. In Corporate Banking the Group has a string franchise with Portuguese companies (particularly with companies with international activities). The contribution of this segment reached Eur 300mn
Middle Market FY09 YoY Wholesale Banking FY09 YoY
ClientInvol-
vement
Credit
+15.0%
+5.3%
+35.5%
ClientInvol-
vement
Funds
Credit
+4.0%
+3.4%
+7.6%
Impact of the ongoing cross selling initiatives in these segments in terms of commissions
• Domestic Trade Finance: +140%
• Investment Banking Services: +56%
• Renting: +31%
• Life insurance: +66%
Cross Selling FY09
Funds
On-Balance Sheet Funds• Middle Market: +5.0%• Wholesale : +35.0%
Client involvement: credit and funds
28th January 2010 27FY09 Results Presentation
IV. Investment Banking: banking income at record levels
Net IncomeBanking Income
Banking Income FY09: Eur 229mn (21.3% YoY)
International61%
Portugal39% Net
Interest Income
25%
Fees & Commissions
52%
Capital MktsResults
23%
Net Income FY09: Eur 50mn (6% YoY)
International61%Portugal
39%
Domestic market: A strong year for Fixed Income and Project Finance
• Financial Advisor and Mandated Lead Arranger (MLA) on the bid
process and financing of Eur117.5 million for the design, build, finance,
maintain and operate of the Loures Hospital Concession Project.
• MLA in the acquisition of Emparque by Cintra Aparcamientos, S.A.
(Eur 400.3m senior debt) and in the acquisition by Morgan Stanley
Infrastructure Fund / Galp of the gas distribution assets in Madrid of Gas
Natural (closing pending regulatory approval).
• Financial Advisory to Ongoing Strategy Investment in the acquisition of
up to 35% of Media Capital.
• Leadership of the Brokerage market with a strong increase in market
share (from 11.7% in 2008 to 15.9% in 2009).
International Market: Growing Activity in 4Q09• In Spain, ranked 3rd in the Brokerage market (5th in 2008) and increased its market share to 7.6% (5.6% at the end of 2008). Co-Lead Manager of AbengoaEur 300m bond issue.
• In Brazil, Joint-Lead Manager and Bookrunner of Banco Panamericano USD 200m international bond issue and Joint-Lead Manager of BNDESPAR (R$ 1,2bn) and CEMIG (R$ 2,7bn) local bond issues.
• Also in Brazil, the Bank was selected by CSN as Financial Advisor in the takeover bid for Cimpor (transaction currently in progress) and acted as MLA in the USD 1.3bn finance of two deep-water vessels (Norbe VIII and IX) to Odebrecht Oil&Gas. This transaction was considered Americas Deal of the Year by Project Finance International magazine.
• In Australia, MLA in the A$ 1,925m facility to Aquasure, for a concession to provide the Australian State of Victoria with 150 GL of desalinated water per year. This transaction was considered Asia/Pacific PPP Deal of the Year by Project Finance International magazine.
• In Canada, MLA on the C$ 306.2m Senior Secured Construction and Term Loan to design, build, finance and maintain a new 1,650 bed maximum security male detention centre.
28th January 2010 28FY09 Results Presentation
Agenda
I. FY09 Highlights
II. Recent Market & Macro Developments
III. FY09 Consolidated Results
IV. Segment Reporting & Commercial Activity
V. Customer Credit and Funds
VI. Funding & Liquidity, AFS, Pension Fund & Solvency
VII. Wrap Up
28th January 2010 29FY09 Results Presentation
V. Corporate loans continue to be the main growth driver both domestically and internationally. Acceleration of credit in the 4Q09 of Eur 1.4bn
Other Loans to Individuals Book
Corporate Loan BookLoan Portfolio
Mortgage Book
42,261 42,562 43,444
9,703 10,1549,975
FY08 9M09 FY09Domestic Portfolio International Portfolio
14,234 14,081 14,264
553 515523
FY08 9M09 FY09Domestic Portfolio International Portfolio
25,549 26,023 26,686
8,826 9,6759,140
FY08 9M09 FY09Domestic Portfolio International Portfolio
2,478 2,458 2,493
324 324312
FY08 9M09 FY09Domestic Portfolio International Portfolio
YoY %
(EUR mn)
(EUR mn)
(EUR mn)
(EUR mn)
0.0% -6.9%
+2.8% +4.5%
0.2%0.6%
51,964 52,537 53,958 (+3.8% YoY) 34,375 35,163 36,362 (+5.8% YoY)
2,802 2,770 2,817 (+0.5% YoY) 14,787 14,604 14,779 (0.0% YoY)
+8.4% +9.6%
28th January 2010 30FY09 Results Presentation
V. Customer funds were up 8.8% in 2009 driven by both on-BS and off-BS funds with the international area demonstrating a strong performance
Deposits & CD’s Transformation Ratio*
Total Customer Funds On BS Funds & Off BS Funds
42,855 40,939 41,201
12,84319,39418,425
FY08 9M09 FY09Domestic Portfolio International Portfolio
41,47440,10438,189
19,260 19,12217,509
FY08 9M09 FY09On BS Off BS
26,38724,416 25,447
3,523
9,2779,334
FY08 9M09 FY09Deposits CD's
YoY %
1.88 1.921.95
1.97 1.881.99 1.78
1.86
1.181.191.181.231.231.231.181.24
1Q08 2Q08 3Q08 4Q08 1Q09 2Q09 3Q09 4Q09
Core Total
* Core = On BS Credit / DepositsTotal = On BS Credit / On BS Customer Funds
(EUR mn)(EUR mn)
(EUR mn)
-3.9%
+51.0% +9.2%
+8.6%
+163.3%
-3.6%
55,698 59,364 60,595 (+8.8% YoY)
28th January 2010 31FY09 Results Presentation
Agenda
I. FY09 Highlights
II. Recent Market & Macro Developments
III. FY09 Consolidated Results
IV. Segment Reporting & Commercial Activity
V. Customer Credit and Funds
VI. Funding & Liquidity, AFS, Pension Fund & Solvency
VII. Wrap Up
28th January 2010 32FY09 Results Presentation
VI. BES 2009 wholesale funding issues more than doubled MLT refinancing needs of the year
12 13 14 14
63 60 59 59
25 27 27 2721
2008 1H09 9M09 FY09Capital Customer Funds MLT Funds Treasury Gap
5.1 4.73.8
1.52.6 2.4
2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015
Repoable Securities * Funding Activity during the quarter
Funding Structure Medium Long Term Maturity Profile
4.6 4.0 4.4
8.7 9.0 9.3
2008 3Q09 2009
ECB eligibleTotal
(EUR bn)
(EUR bn)
(%)
• The Medium and Long term funding obtained in the market throughout the year more than doubled the refinancing needs for 2009, with issues amounting to EUR 7.0 bn.
• The strong performance evidenced by the Customer Deposits (+EUR 3.2 bn YoY) and the Medium Long Term Funding (+EUR 4.1 bn yoy) combined with a strong and well balanced funding structure, allowed the group to achieve a liquidity surplus up to one year of approximately EUR 1.7 bn at the end of the year.
2009 refinancing needs
2009 funds raised
3.2
7.0
* Already deducted from applicable haircuts
-5
28th January 2010 33FY09 Results Presentation
VI. Gross potential capital gains ended the year recovering Eur 570.3mn versus last year in the main equity holdings of the AFS portfolio
Portugal TelecomStake: 7.34%
EDPStake: 3.04%
Potential Capital Gains & Losses * BradescoStake: 2.78%
390.8291.0
-179.5 -189.2
58.3
2008 1Q09 2Q09 3Q09 4Q09
316.7297.5
-20.5
-5.2
147.4
2008 1Q09 2Q09 3Q09 2009
67.4
-15.7-91.2 -105.4
-31.8
2008 1Q09 2Q09 3Q09 2009
-0.62.8
-75.8 -84.9 -64.8
2008 1Q09 2Q09 3Q09 2009
(EUR mn)(EUR mn)
(EUR mn) (EUR mn)
* Includes Bradesco, PT, EDP and BMCE
28th January 2010 34FY09 Results Presentation
VI. Pension Fund performance allowed for a reduction of Eur 146mn in out-of- corridor actuarial differences
Actuarial Assumptions Pension Fund Highlights
• At the end of the year pension liabilities were 103% covered by the fund’s assets.
• Outside of corridor actuarial differences were reduced by Eur 146mn YoY mainly as a result of the 11% pension fund return (above the expected return of 6%) which had a direct impact of Eur 83mn.
• The 2009 reduction in actuarial differences was important to offset mostly of the needed recognition in 2009 of the ¼ of actuarial differences deferred in 2008 (Eur 137mn for 2009) as allowed by the BoP.
Pension Fund Assets & Liabilities Actuarial Differences
2,1252,198
Assets Liabilities
206 204 220
765 718 619
2008 1H09 2009
(EUR mn)(EUR mn)
(EUR mn)
971 922
1.75%
3.25%
6.0%
5.5%
Dec 09
1.75%
3.75%
6.35%
5.75%
Jun 09
-2.00%Increase in Pensions
-0.50%4.00%Increase in Salaries
-0.35%5.80%Expected Return of Plan Assets
-0.25%5.75%Discount rate
Chg % vs Jun
09
Dec 08
Actuarial Assumptions
839
28th January 2010 35FY09 Results Presentation
VI. Core Tier I still one of the highest in Iberia with an attractive dividend yield accompanying a strong capital position
RWA Components Evolution* Tier I Capital
Solvency Ratios Evolution* RWA
8.08.28.36.0 5.7 5.5 6.1 5.8
8.38.88.86.67.16.36.66.8
11.112.112.29.9
11.39.99.710.1
1Q08 2Q08 3Q08 4Q08 1Q09 2Q09 3Q09 4Q09
Core Tier I Tier I Total Capital
65,14262,03459,45359,005
55,70557,543 59,183 61,150
1Q08 2Q08 3Q08 4Q08 1Q09 2Q09 3Q09 4Q09
(EUR mn)
(EUR mn)
Standard IRB
3,146
3,712
55,176
3Q09
3,146
3,742
52,565
2Q09
3,146
3,063
52,796
1Q09
2,840
2,878
49,987
4Q08
3,761Op. Risk
3,951Trading Book
57,430Banking Book
4Q09
600 600 600
600 600 600
5,2325,0744,9223,4163,4123,345
3Q08 4Q08 1Q09 2Q09 3Q09 4Q09
(%)
Core Tier IPreferred Shares
28th January 2010 36FY09 Results Presentation
Agenda
I. FY09 Highlights
II. Recent Market & Macro Developments
III. FY09 Consolidated Results
IV. Segment Reporting & Commercial Activity
V. Customer Credit and Funds
VI. Funding & Liquidity, AFS, Pension Fund & Solvency
VII. Wrap Up
28th January 2010 37FY09 Results Presentation
VII. Wrap up• After the financial crisis, BES has emerged stronger than before, maintaining it’s strategic focus, sound financial
management and strong levels of activity growth.• Domestic market share has been reinforced to 21.2%. Since 2005, BES has systematically improved its position in
Portugal, increasing its market share by 320bp (18% in 2005). During 2009 alone, the increase was 50 bp confirming once again the merits of an organic growth strategy that has been BES trademark in the domestic market since 1991.
• Furthermore, BES continues to pursue a profitable growth outside Portugal, and during 2009 has taken important steps to boost the potential of international operations, not only by reinforcing local strategic partnerships like in the case of Angola, but also by entering new markets like Libya and Algeria and further expanding investment banking activities outside Portugal, namely in NY.
• The strategic positioning in the Southern Atlantic axis, namely Africa and Brazil, continues to benefit BES as it allows the Bank to have exposure to high growth countries, while providing its corporate client base with a service that cannot be matched by many, in markets that are evermore important to the clients in general and Portuguese ones in particular.
• During 2009 BES was also able to tap successfully international capital markets concluding a Eur 1.2bn capital increase in a particularly competitive time, placing BES as one the most well capitalised Banks in Iberia. On a similar note, BES Group issued Eur 7.0 bn of medium and long term debt in 2009 and already Eur 750mn in 2010, and is therefore well positioned to meet medium and long terms refinancing needs of this year, after 2009 needs were met well in advance.
• BES strong capital position is a key competitive advantage as it will allow the Bank to continue growing domestically but above all internationally, whilst being able to incorporate regulatory changes that might end up being recommended by the Basel Committee.
• In this context, of strong operating performance and sound financial management, BES Board of Directors will propose a dividend of 0.14 per share, representing a payout of 35% adjusted for non recurrent items.
28th January 2010 38FY09 Results Presentation
Appendix I: Quarterly Data
28th January 2010 39FY09 Results Presentation
Quarterly consolidated income statement
29.8%40.8%138.6%161.3114.6144.9101.367.570.7118.2145.9= Net Income
21.4
31.8
214.5
246.1
460.6
281.3
741.9
182.3
108.6
451.1
200.7
250.4
4Q09
114.0%
28.3%
43.6%
78.9%
60.5%
7.4%
35.1%
n.m.
0.2%
-4.3%
17.3%
-16.6%
QoQ
10.0
24.8
149.4
137.6
287.0
262.0
549.0
-30.7
108.4
471.3
171.0
300.3
3Q09
12.3
8.3
165.5
209.7
375.2
257.5
632.8
-1.7
123.8
510.8
175.9
334.9
2Q09
9.3
45.0
155.6
115.4
271.0
254.7
525.7
-8.2
48.3
485.6
170.3
315.3
1Q09
5.7
19.3
92.5
105.0
197.5
246.3
443.8
-49.9
16.0
477.7
171.6
306.1
4Q08
5.3
-13.0
63.0
89.9
152.9
255.5
408.4
-5.0
-14.4
427.8
158.8
269.0
3Q08
6.2
20.3
172.4
68.2
240.6
241.5
482.1
1.3
71.8
409.0
150.7
258.3
1Q08
276.0%
64.8%
131.7%
134.4%
133.1%
14.3%
67.2%
n.m.
n.m.
-5.6%
16.9%
-18.2%
YoY
112.9%
31.5%
34.1%
88.6%
57.2%
5.4%
29.7%
n.m.
52.4%
11.4%
12.8%
10.6%
FY09/FY08
7.7
56.9
182.8
112.7
295.5
258.4
553.9
-9.4
155.4
407.9
155.1
252.8
2Q08
- Minorities
- Taxes
= Income Bef. Taxes and Min.
+ Other Results
- Net Provisions
= Net Operating Income
- Operating Costs
= Banking Income
+ Capital Markets Results
= Commercial Banking Income
+ Fees and Commissions
+ Net Interest Income
(EUR million)
28th January 2010 40FY09 Results Presentation
Quarterly domestic income statement
32.3%50.2%131.1%108.972.5115.246.147.025.277.8109.1= Net Income
3.5
35.1
147.5
199.4
347.0
207.3
554.4
220.6
333.7
157.2
176.6
4Q09
n.m.
101.5%
64.6%
118.6%
91.9%
-1.8%
41.5%
n.m.
-1.5%
24.6%
-17.0%
QoQ
-0.4
17.4
89.6
91.2
180.8
211.0
391.8
52.9
338.9
126.1
212.8
3Q09
1.2
4.8
121.1
153.6
274.8
210.0
484.8
94.5
390.2
147.9
242.4
2Q09
1.3
31.6
79.0
96.7
175.7
205.8
381.5
14.8
366.7
136.7
230.0
1Q09
2.3
18.2
67.6
68.9
136.5
199.9
336.4
-29.1
365.6
138.5
227.1
4Q08
-0.1
-18.8
6.5
74.9
81.4
211.5
292.9
-28.6
321.5
116.5
205.0
3Q08
1.9
37.6
117.3
98.3
215.6
210.6
426.2
108.9
317.3
121.7
195.6
2Q08
55.0%
92.8%
118.2%
189.1%
154.0%
3.7%
64.7%
n.m.
-8.7%
13.4%
-22.2%
YoY
1.3
13.3
123.7
62.1
185.8
194.9
380.7
52.0
328.7
123.3
205.4
1Q08
3.3%
75.8%
38.8%
77.8%
57.9%
2.1%
26.2%
-
7.2%
13.6%
3.4%
FY09/FY08
- Minorities
- Taxes
= Income Bef. Taxes and Min.
- Net Provisions
= Net Operating Income
- Operating Costs
= Banking Income
+ Capital Markets & Other Results
= Commercial Banking Income
+ Fees and Commissions
+ Net Interest Income
(EUR million)
28th January 2010 41FY09 Results Presentation
Quarterly international income statement
25.2%24.5%156.3%52.442.129.755.220.545.540.436.8= Net Income
17.9
-3.3
67.0
46.6
113.6
74.0
187.5
70.3
117.3
43.5
73.8
4Q09
73.0%
n.m.
11.9%
0.5%
6.9%
45.2%
19.3%
n.m.
-11.4%
-3.2%
-15.6%
QoQ
10.3
7.3
59.7
46.4
106.1
51.0
157.1
24.7
132.4
45.0
87.5
3Q09
11.1
3.5
44.3
56.2
100.5
47.5
148.0
27.4
120.6
28.1
92.5
2Q09
8.0
13.4
76.6
18.7
95.3
48.9
144.2
25.3
118.9
33.6
85.3
1Q09
3.4
1.0
24.9
36.1
61.0
46.4
107.3
-4.8
112.1
33.1
79.0
4Q08
5.3
5.7
56.5
15.1
71.5
44.0
115.5
9.1
106.4
42.4
64.0
3Q08
5.8
19.3
65.5
14.4
79.9
47.7
127.6
37.0
90.6
33.4
57.2
2Q08
n.m.
n.m.
169.5%
29.2%
86.5%
59.6%
74.8%
n.m.
4.7%
31.4%
6.6%
YoY
4.9
7.0
48.7
6.1
54.8
46.6
101.4
21.1
80.3
27.4
52.9
1Q08
143.9%
-36.2%
26.6%
134.5%
55.5%
19.9%
41.0%
-
25.7%
10.2%
34.0%
FY09/FY08
- Minorities
- Taxes
= Income Bef. Taxes and Min.
- Net Provisions
= Net Operating Income
- Operating Costs
= Banking Income
+ Capital Markets & Other Results
= Commercial Banking Income
+ Fees and Commissions
+ Net Interest Income
(EUR million)
28th January 2010 42FY09 Results Presentation
Angola: Quarterly income statement
---96.6%99.3%94.9%84.2%70.2%66.6%64.3%62.4%Total Credit / On BS C.Funds
255.6
1,753.9
1,673.4
4,462.5
21.7%
34.4
16.7
51.0
8.2
59.2
16.4
75.7
55.6
20.1
6.5
13.5
4Q09
15.2%
7.3%
3.1%
13.2%
-
74.7%
4.5%
43.2%
n.m.
57.3%
24.5%
48.8%
n.m.
-45.2%
-35.4%
-48.9%
QoQ
-4.4%1,634.71,599.51,697.11,680.61,508.21,248.3938.9On BS Customer Funds
-26.4%3,942.13,891.43,659.93,530.23,256.11,839.01,405.7Total Assets
-43.6%1,623.71,518.21,428.41,180.31,004.0802.2586.1Total Credit
--26.0%23.6%31.6%33.9%29.4%30.2%39.2%Cost to Income
221.8
19.7
16.0
35.6
2.0
37.7
13.2
50.9
14.3
36.6
10.1
26.5
3Q09
136.4
15.8
7.7
23.5
1.9
25.4
10.6
36.0
-0.3
36.3
16.9
19.5
3Q08
156.8
10.7
10.8
21.6
1.0
22.6
11.6
34.2
2.8
31.5
11.6
19.8
4Q08
107.7
12.5
9.1
21.6
1.1
22.7
9.8
32.5
40
28.4
7.2
21.2
2Q08
188.3
16.0
13.1
29.1
1.9
31.0
14.3
45.3
11.5
33.8
11.8
22.0
1Q09
89.8
9.2
6.4
15.6
0.7
16.3
10.5
26.8
9.0
17.8
3.6
14.2
1Q08
10.7%-36.3%35.8Commercial Banking Income
=
86.4%220.0%19.9Net Income=
198.4
16.0
35.9
1.8
37.7
11.7
49.5
13.7
5.9
29.8
2Q09
-
81.7%
84.5%
n.m.
90.4%
31.0%
70.9%
n.m.
-12.6%
22.9%
FY09/FY08
63.0%
54.2%
136.7%
n.m.
162.1%
41.2%
121.0%
n.m.
-44.0%
-31.9%
YoY
-
=
-
=
-
=
+
+
+
Equity
Taxes & Minority Interests
Income Bef. Taxes & Min.
Net Provisions
Net Operating Income
Operating Costs
Banking Income
Capital Markets Results & Other
Fees and Commissions
Net Interest Income
(EUR million)
28th January 2010 43FY09 Results Presentation
Spain: Quarterly income statement
---174293302992121334437Cost of Risk (bp)
-1.9%0.0%4,182.44,104.84,168.04,128.24,182.53,920.23,793.13,629.1Credit
6,718.9
60.8%
-7.6
-4.1
-11.7
26.5
14.8
22.8
37.6
7.8
29.8
8.2
21.6
4Q09
9.2%
-
n.m.
n.m.
n.m.
-5.4%
-25.2%
7.2%
-8.4%
n.m.
-26.4%
-37.9%
-20.9%
QoQ
--51.9%52.5%58.2%71.2%71.6%75.2%64.5%Cost to Income
6,155.0
-4.5
-3.8
-8.3
28.0
19.7
21.3
41.0
0.6
40.5
13.1
27.3
3Q09
5,908.8
-8.7
-3.2
-11.8
31.9
20.1
22.2
42.3
4.5
37.8
9.5
28.3
2Q09
5,866.1
2.6
0.6
3.2
4.4
7.6
23.0
30.6
2.8
27.8
11.4
16.4
2Q08
6,071.5
0.3
-0.7
-0.4
8.2
7.8
19.7
27.5
-1.1
28.5
11.7
16.8
3Q08
6,341.3
-8.7
-5.1
-13.8
22.7
8.9
22.0
30.9
-0.5
31.4
9.7
21.7
4Q08
6,103.7
6.7
2.2
9.0
10.3
19.3
21.6
40.9
2.9
38.0
8.9
29.1
1Q09
6,225.6
7.0
1.8
8.8
3.9
12.7
23.1
35.8
3.5
32.3
15.0
17.3
1Q08
21.7%-5.1%Commercial Banking Income
=
n.m.n.m.Net Income=
6.0%
n.m.
n.m.
16.8%
65.8%
3.8%
21.6%
n.m.
-16.0%
-0.2%
YoY
-
n.m.
n.m.
146.9%
99.6%
0.2%
29.7%
n.m.
-17.1%
47.4%
FY09/FY08
-
=
-
=
-
=
+
+
+
Assets
Taxes & Minority Interests
Income Bef. Taxes & Min.
Net Provisions
Net Operating Income
Operating Costs
Banking Income
Capital Markets Results & Other
Fees and Commissions
Net Interest Income
(EUR million)
28th January 2010 44FY09 Results Presentation
Brazil: Quarterly income statement
42.3%30.7%24.0%29.5%115.6%24.9%20.3%39.7%Cost to Income
1,638.9
4.8
6.5
11.3
-0.5
10.8
7.9
18.7
0.7
18.0
10.3
7.7
4Q09
19.8%
-35.0%
n.m.
12.8%
n.m.
-24.7%
24.5%
-9.6%
-92.9%
67.8%
229.9%
1.0%
QoQ
1,367.9
7.4
2.6
10.0
4.3
14.3
6.4
20.7
10.0
10.7
3.1
7.6
3Q09
1,087.3
4.7
3.9
8.6
3.1
11.7
4.9
16.6
7.6
9.0
3.4
5.6
1Q09
1,090.8
11.6
15.1
26.7
0.4
27.1
6.9
34.0
29.0
5.0
3.9
1.2
2Q08
1,096.9
10.5
2.7
13.2
0.7
13.9
4.6
18.5
14.5
4.0
4.0
0.0
3Q08
1,027.6
1.5
-4.9
-3.4
2.9
-0.5
3.7
3.2
-6.6
9.8
0.0
9.8
4Q08
1,299.2
10.2
5.7
15.9
2.4
18.3
5.8
24.2
15.3
8.9
3.4
5.5
2Q09
1,049.8
6.2
1.9
8.1
0.1
8.2
5.4
13.6
7.7
5.9
3.1
2.8
1Q08
88.7%83.9%Commercial Banking Income
=
-9.0%215.9%Net Income=
59.5%
n.m.
n.m.
n.m.
n.m.
113.1%
482.9%
-110.8%
n.m.
-21.7%
YoY
26.8%
2.9%
126.5%
13.3%
21.3%
15.7%
-24.8%
85.8%
91.0%
FY09/FY08
-
=
-
=
-
=
+
+
+
Assets
Taxes & Minority Interests
Income Bef. Taxes & Min.
Net Provisions
Net Operating Income
Operating Costs
Banking Income
Capital Markets Results & Other
Fees and Commissions
Net Interest Income
(EUR million)
28th January 2010 45FY09 Results Presentation
UK: Quarterly income statement
6514429419961811317Cost of Risk (bp)
8.4%6.3%2,9022,6772,6612,6422,7292,7632,6192,455Credit (Eur mn)
13.712%13%10%14%19%21%25%Cost to Income
25.0
-2.8
22.3
4.7
27.0
4.3
31.3
7.4
23.9
4.3
19.7
4Q09
70.3%
n.m.
30.9%
-50.9%
1.3%
18.7%
3.4%
n.m.
-24.0%
-69.9%
13.5%
QoQ
14.7
2.3
17.0
9.7
26.7
3.6
30.3
-1.2
31.5
14.2
17.3
3Q09
21.7
1.4
23.1
1.2
24.3
2.8
27.1
1.9
25.2
5.2
20.0
1Q09
5.5
-0.6
5.0
7.4
12.4
3.3
15.7
-1.8
17.5
6.5
11.0
2Q08
13.1
0.2
13.3
1.3
14.6
3.4
18.0
-5.4
23.4
4.4
19.0
3Q08
14.7
2.2
16.9
6.5
23.4
3.7
27.1
0.7
26.4
6.4
20.0
4Q08
6.9
-4.3
2.6
19.5
22.1
3.3
25.5
0.0
25.4
5.1
20.4
2Q09
8.4
0.9
9.3
1.0
10.3
3.4
13.7
-0.1
13.8
2.1
11.7
1Q08
30.6%-9.4%Commercial Banking Income
=
63.9%70.5%Net Income=
n.m.
32.1%
-27.4%
15.5%
16.0%
15.6%
n.m.
-32.8%
-1.9%
YoY
n.m.
46.4%
116.1%
65.1%
1.6%
53.3%
n.m.
47.9%
25.2%
FY09/FY08
-
=
-
=
-
=
+
+
+
Taxes & Minority Interests
Income Bef. Taxes & Min.
Net Provisions
Net Operating Income
Operating Costs
Banking Income
Capital Markets Results & Other
Fees and Commissions
Net Interest Income
(EUR million)
28th January 2010 46FY09 Results Presentation
200.7
21.3
2.4
16.7
9.6
25.5
17.9
20.8
18.8
13.9
32.0
21.8
4Q09
17.3%
3.5%
21.0%
37.3%
7.0%
-5.3%
37.1%
14.0%
48.0%
41.0%
27.8%
1.3%
QoQ
171.0
20.6
1.9
12.2
9.0
27.0
13.0
18.3
12.7
9.9
25.1
21.5
3Q09
170.3
27.2
1.6
12.1
8.0
22.7
12.5
13.8
10.7
17.0
23.7
21.0
1Q09
175.9
17.1
1.9
19.8
8.5
23.6
9.2
20.2
12.4
12.8
28.1
22.1
2Q09
171.6
24.6
1.9
9.0
9.2
23.4
13.9
17.0
14.5
10.6
25.0
22.5
4Q08
158.8
19.4
1.7
12.3
8.6
25.3
14.3
13.7
9.4
10.0
19.8
24.3
3Q08
155.1
24.2
1.7
12.3
9.3
25.0
9.1
14.6
7.8
8.4
21.0
21.6
2Q08
17.0%
-28.4%
25.5%
85.5%
4.0%
9.3%
28.4%
22.5%
29.2%
30.8%
28.1%
-3.0%
YoY
150.7
21.1
1.5
13.6
8.0
27.2
13.9
12.3
12.5
4.0
16.0
20.6
1Q08
62.5%Trade Finance & Exp. related (1)
23.7%Corporate & Project Finance
12.8%
-3.9%
16.0%
29.1%
-0.2%
-2.1%
2.7%
26.7%
33.2%
-2.8%
FY09/FY08
Other
Bancassurance
Factoring
Guarantees
Total Fees & Commissions
Cards
Asset Management (3)
Securities related fees (2)
Commissions on Loans
Account Management Fees
(EUR million)
Quarterly fees & commissions
(1) Includes trade finance and letters of credit(2) Includes Brokerage(3) Includes discretionary management
Note: change calculated based on figures in thousand euros
28th January 2010 47FY09 Results Presentation
Quarterly capital markets results and VAR
0.75%40.70
-21.09
22.3226.4413.04
93.4
14.9
108.4
5.7
79.1
84.8
-26.5
14.8
35.2
23.5
3Q09
1.04%54.65
-30.87
29.2833.6722.57
109.0
14.7
123.7
60.4
59.4
119.8
-8.0
-3.2
15.1
3.9
2Q09
0.57%30.74
-20.36
16.6621.6812.77
73.1
35.5
108.6
21.6
73.0
94.6
10.5
1.0
2.5
14.0
4Q09
0.80%31.33
-22.25
10.6021.8021.18
40.4
- 7.9
48.3
1.6
-44.0
-42.4
-13.3
-78.1
182.1
90.7
1Q09
VAR – value at risk32.5812.037.5621.97Interest Rate25.0127.9035.3212.31FX9.237.2314.885.85Equity & Commodities
-19.57-17.58-18.44-16.01Diversification Effect47.2629.5839.3124.12Global VAR
-14.2-22.0137.369.5Capital Markets net of Provisions for securities
1.01%
-18.0
155.4
52.7
96.0
148.7
-31.1
-38.5
76.3
6.7
2Q08
0.76%
-7.6
-14.5
3.1
-16.0
-12.9
-16.3
-40.5
55.2
-1.6
3Q08
1.20%
-30.2
16.0
18.4
-84.1
-65.7
21.6
-57.6
117.7
81.7
4Q08
13.0… Interest rate
-7.9… Credit
22.5… FX & Other
-2.3Provisions for Securities
71.8Capital market results
17.7… Income from securities
0.61%
26.5
44.2
27.6
1Q08
Global VAR as % of Tier I
… Trading
Equity
Interest Rate & FX
(EUR million)
28th January 2010 48FY09 Results Presentation
Quarterly other resultsReconciliation between IFRS P&L and Presentation
-43.0
120.0
23.6
100.6
9M09
-18.9
106.7
14.5
102.3
1H09
-7.2
96.5
9.2
98.5
1Q09Accumulated
-40.3
-4.6
37.0
-7.9
FY08
-21.9
-4.4
27.1
0.9
9M08
-15.3
-0.5
19.7
3.9
1H08
-10.8
0.8
8.0
-2.0
1Q08
-45.2… Other
103.3… Capital Markets
37.8… Fees
95.8Other Results, ow
FY09(EUR million)
-24.1
13.3
9.1
-1.7
3Q09
-11.7
10.2
5.3
3.8
2Q09
-7.2
96.5
9.2
98.5
1Q09Quarterly
-18.4
-0.2
9.9
-8.8
4Q08
-6.6
-3.8
7.4
-2.9
3Q08
-4.4
-1.3
11.7
6.0
2Q08
-10.8
0.8
8.0
-2.0
1Q08
-2.2… Other
-16.7… Capital Markets
14.2… Fees
-4.8Other Results, ow
4Q09(EUR million)
28th January 2010 49FY09 Results Presentation
Quarterly Equity Accounted Earnings
6.5
2.9
9.4
4Q09
0.3
7.1
7.4
3Q09
30.0%.
n.m.
n.m.
YoY %
n.m.
-59.2%
27.0%
QoQ %
2.3
11.3
13.6
2Q09
3.7
-4.1
-0.4
1Q09
Equity Accounted Earnings
5.0
-35.0
-30.0
4Q08
2.8
-1.0
1.8
3Q08
2.6
-7.6
-5.0
2Q08
7.1
5.8
12.9
1Q08
… Others
… BES Vida
Equity Accounted Earnings
(EUR million)
12.8
17.2
30.0
FY09
6.3
14.3
20.6
9M09
-26.9%
n.m.
n.m.
YoY %
6.0
7.2
13.2
1H09
3.7
-4.1
-0.4
1Q09
Equity Accounted Earnings
17.5
-37.8
-20.3
FY08
12.5
-2.8
9.7
9M08
9.7
-1.8
7.9
1H08
7.1
5.8
12.9
1Q08
… Others
… BES Vida
Equity Accounted Earnings
(EUR million)
28th January 2010 50FY09 Results Presentation
Quarterly operating costs
281.3
21.6
111.4
0.4
14.7
12.0
20.5
112.6
148.3
4Q09
7.4%
-0.8%
12.4%
n.m.
-12.2%
n.m.
-6.6%
11.3%
5.2%
QoQ
262.0
22.0
99.2
1.0
16.9
12.1
22.0
101.1
140.8
3Q09
192.9%93.6%12.712.76.26.12.32.3… Amortisation actuarial differences
254.8
21.6
95.0
1.0
15.1
21.3
100.7
138.1
1Q09
-45.5%n.m.0.61.30.92.50.8…Long term service benefits
-9.5/-10.8%14.016.616.316.615.5…Other
80.4%27.7%22.216.116.27.57.9…Post Employment Benefits, ow
241.4
17.7
98.9
100.7
124.9
1Q08
258.3
18.8
106.5
106.5
133.0
2Q08
257.5
21.9
96.9
101.9
138.8
2Q09
246.4
21.1
95.7
95.6
129.5
4Q08
255.5
20.3
101.6
100.2
133.7
3Q08
14.3%
3.2%
16.5%
17.7%
14.4%
YoY
3.8%…Remunerations
5.4%
12.0%
0.0%
8.6%
FY09/
FY08
Admin costs
Total Operating Costs
Depreciation
Staff costs
(EUR million)
28th January 2010 51FY09 Results Presentation
Quarterly operating costs: domestic and international
74.1
3.9
28.6
-
1.5
-0.3
40.5
41.6
207.2
17.8
82.8
0.4
13.2
12.0
20.8
72.1
106.6
4Q09
45.3%
-3.5%
47.5%
-6.2%
60.8%
50.9%
-1.7%
-1.0%
3.9%
-55.9%
-13.4%
n.m.
-1.6%
-5.0%
-6.0%
QoQ
51.0
4.0
19.4
-
1.6
0.8
25.2
27.6
211.0
18.0
79.7
1.0
15.2
12.1
21.1
75.9
113.2
3Q09
192.9%93.6%12.712.76.26.12.32.3… Amort. of Actuarial Differences
5.0%-5.9%1.81.61.61.41.61.6…Other
49.0
4.0
16.7
-
1.0
25.7
28.3
205.8
17.6
78.3
1.0
13.5
20.3
75.0
109.8
1Q09
-----… Long term service benefits
-45.0%-66.5%0.61.30.92.50.8…Long term service benefits
-7.8%-12.0%12.215.014.815.013.9…Other
86.9%39.6%21.514.915.57.07.4…Post Employment Benefits, ow
46.6
2.8
18.0
0.5
23.8
25.8
194.8
14.9
80.9
76.9
99.0
1Q08
47.7
3.0
16.7
0.5
25.9
28.0
210.7
15.8
89.8
80.5
105.1
2Q08
22.6%80.6%24.522.422.4…Remunerations
20.5%65.1%27.125.124.5Staff Costs
International
47.5
3.9
16.4
0.8
210.1
18.0
80.4
77.4
111.6
2Q09
46.4
3.7
17.6
1.2
200.0
17.4
78.1
73.2
104.5
4Q08
44.0
3.7
15.8
0.7
211.5
16.6
85.8
77.9
109.1
3Q08
59.4%
4.1%
62.8%
3.7%
3.0%
6.1%
-1.5%
2.1%
YoY
-2.6%…Remunerations
19.8%
18.8%
19.3%
-21.9%
2.1%
10.5%
-4.0%
5.7%
FY09/FY08
International Operating Costs
Admin costs
Depreciation
Admin costs
…Post Employment Benefits
Domestic Operating Costs
Depreciation
Staff costs
Domestic (EUR million)
28th January 2010 52FY09 Results Presentation
Quarterly Provisions
59 bp61 bp87 bp81 bp40 bp62 bp55 bp55 bpcost of risk ex extra (bp)
76 bp85 bp114 bp80 bp61 bp67 bp57 bp51 bpcost of risk ex extra
246.1
48.9
35.5
139 bp
36.4
125 bp
125.2
128 bp
161.6
4Q09
708.8
95.9
73.0
152.9
387.0
107 bp
539.9
FY09
78.8%
164.4%
138.0%
-17.5%
108.8%
43 bp
55.3%
QoQ
177 bp215 bp75 bp147 bp86 bp67 bp28 bpcost of risk (bp)
94.2%227.8%60.0123.877.938.259.051.650.6Domestic
61 bp128 bp81 bp40 bp62 bp55 bp55 bpcost of risk (bp)
103.6%2.2%44.253.718.735.619.914.15.5International
137.6
18.5
14.9
85 bp
104.2
3Q09
25.6%17.6%14.77.930.27.618.02.2…Securities
115.4
10.9
80 bp
96.6
1Q09
121.3%n.m.17.51.03.428.99.9…Other
50 bp67 bp147 bp61 bp67 bp57 bp51 bp…cost of risk (bp)
68.2
56.1
1Q08
112.7
65.7
2Q08
209.7
177.5
2Q09
105.0
73.8
4Q08
89.9
78.9
3Q08
134.4%
119.0%
YoY
96.7%…Credit
88.6%
FY09/
FY08
Total Provisions
(EUR million)
28th January 2010 53FY09 Results Presentation
Quarterly balance sheet: assets
82,297
3,490
188
21
794
138
659
-
238
455
-
2,542
(1,552)
48,979
7,998
8,532
1,002
4,460
611
2,192
4Q09
80,718
4,724
88
57
775
122
670
-
326
385
-
2,568
(1,426)
47,606
7,701
7,779
2,122
3,856
668
1,271
3Q09
81,428
3,094
142
57
672
123
645
-
252
487
-
2,670
(1,365)
47,275
11,185
7,387
1,605
4,025
574
1,233
2Q09
9.5%
11.8%
32.5%
-60.3%
23.2%
11.0%
3.2%
-
60.6%
-51.4%
-
17.7%
35.2%
4.1%
76.5%
20.3%
-53.6%
20.8%
-8.1%
8.1%
YoY
2.0%76,64175,18774,42172,56467,892Total Assets
-26.1%3,4183,1212,7322,9892,141Other assets
114.0%159142632725Deferred income tax assets
-63.4%5753181919Current income tax assets
2.5%636645543559583Investments in associated companies
13.5%1231241009590Intangible assets
-1.6%654638546574550Other tangible assets
------Investment property
-27.0%172148121380302Non current assets held for sale
18.2%632936301228448Hedging derivatives
------Financial Assets with repurchase agreements
-1.0%2,4852,160521539495Held to maturity investments
8.9%(1,215)( 1,148)( 1,111)(1,080) (1,033)(Provisions)
2.9%47,06347,04946,06844,87943,385Loans and advances to customers
3.9%6,6484,5329,1118,8846,466Loans and advances to banks
9.7%7,1487,0946,8415,8215,741Financial assets available for sale
-52.8%2,0722,1622,1342,5231,921Financial assets at fair value through P&L
15.7%3,9063,6903,6113,5594,028Financial assets held for trading
-8.6%531664677525507Deposits with banks
72.4%9372,0271,0339631,192Cash and deposits at central banks
QoQ 1Q094Q083Q082Q081Q08(Eur mn)
28th January 2010 54FY09 Results Presentation
Quarterly balance sheet: liabilities
75,358
1,230
2,639
-
79
134
180
22
253
-
33,101
25,447
6,896
-
1,561
2,005
3,818
4Q09
74,103
2,147
2,702
-
88
75
149
63
286
-
31,571
24,416
7,658
-
1,628
1,071
3,319
3Q09
71,979
1,488
2,550
-
70
85
132
13
333
-
26,246
25,328
11,083
-
1,976
24
2,673
1Q09
6.9%
-6.6%
-6.7%
-
111.5%
49.3%
37.1%
68.5%
-65.2%
-
34.6%
-3.6%
-10.2%
-
-18.5%
39.2%
-20.6%
YoY
1.7%75,19870,53469,58967,65862,770Total Liabilities
-42.7%1,3541,3161,3301,7801,575Other liabilities
-2.3%2,6642,8292,5452,0882,090Other subordinated loans
------Instruments representing capital
-9.7%79372952123Deferred income tax liabilities
78.7%4690476775Current income tax liabilities
21.1%145131164165142Provisions
-65.9%421313250233Non current liabilities held for sale
-11.5%310727332396386Hedging derivatives
------Financial liabilities associated to transferred assets
4.8%30,23024,59728,12627,33025,858Debt securities
4.2%25,15626,38723,11723,91722,069Due to customers
-10.0%10,3507,6828,2157,3137,187Deposits from banks
------Financial assets at fair value through P&L
-4.1%1,5841,9141,8371,4191,526Financial liabilities held for trading
87.2%1,0351,4411621560(ow, European Central Banks System)
15.0%3,2394,8103,8342,8801,507Amounts owed to central banks
QoQ2Q094Q083Q082Q081Q08(Eur mn)
28th January 2010 55FY09 Results Presentation
Quarterly balance sheet: equity
6,939
284
-
522
672
301
600
-25
-
1,085
3,500
6,119
4Q09
6,615
191
-
361
675
227
600
(26)
-
1,086
3,500
6,063
3Q09
4,662
171
-
101
941
( 291)
600
( 29)
-
669
2,500
4,389
1Q09
48.8%
84.7%
-
29.8%
5.4%
n.m.
0.0%
-15.9%
-
62.3%
40.0%
49.4%
YoY
4.7%6,2294,6534,8324,9065,122Total Equity
48.2%187154154147137Minority interests
------Anticipated dividends (prefshares)
44.7%246402335264146Net Profit for the period / year
-2.5%666624621615884Other reserves and retained earnings
32.4%(31)( 266)( 17)141222Fair value reserve
0.0%600600600600600Preference shares
-2.8%(26)( 30)( 30)( 30)( 35)Treasury stock
------Other capital instruments
-0.1%1,086669669669669Share premium
0.0%3,5002,5002,5002,5002,500Share capital
0.9%5,7964,0974,3434,4954,839Shareholders' Equity
QoQ2Q094Q083Q082Q081Q08(Eur mn)
28th January 2010 56FY09 Results Presentation
Quarterly loan portfolio (including securitised)
5.4%
2.1%
2.7%
5.8%
2.5%
3.4%
3.8%
1.4%
1.7%
-1.5%
1.3%
1.2%
1.3%
QoQ
811
1,183
1,994
849
1,137
1,987
0
15
15
-38
30
-8
7
YoYabs
20%
10,514
43,444
53,958
9,675
26,686
36,362
324
2,493
2,817
515
14,264
14,779
17,596
4Q09
19%
9,975
42,562
52,537
9,141
26,023
35,164
312
2,458
2,770
523
14,081
14,604
17,374
3Q09
19%
9,903
42,053
51,956
9,032
25,508
34,540
321
2,427
2,748
550
14,118
14,668
17,416
1Q09
19%
9,996
42,232
52,228
9,139
25,803
34,942
318
2,397
2,715
539
14,032
14,571
17,286
2Q09
19%
9,703
42,261
51,964
8,826
25,549
34,375
324
2,478
2,802
553
14,234
14,787
17,589
4Q08
18%
9,226
41,829
51,055
8,331
25,130
33,461
341
2,407
2,748
554
14,293
14,847
17,594
3Q08
17%
8,487
41,460
49,946
7,601
24,756
32,357
348
2,407
2,755
538
14,297
14,834
17,589
2Q08
539
882
1,421
534
663
1,198
12
35
47
-8
183
175
222
QoQabs
8.4%
2.8%
3.8%
9.6%
4.5%
5.8%
0.0%
0.6%
0.5%
-6.9%
0.2%
-0.1%
0.0%
YoY
16%
7,862
40,661
48,523
7,001
24,056
31,056
332
2,421
2,753
530
14,184
14,714
17,467
1Q08
… International
… Domestic
Loan portfolio
… International
% total
… ow Other
… Domestic
Corporate Lending
… International
… Domestic
… International
… Domestic
… ow Mortgages
Loans to Individuals
(EUR million)
(1) Considering the outstanding amounts of securitised credit. Securitised credit only includes domestic loans.
28th January 2010 57FY09 Results Presentation
Quarterly asset quality indicators
(1) According to Bank of Portugal rules (Circular Letter N. 99/09/2003)
293 bp
177 bp
61 bp
85 bp
2.91%
130.6%
2.23%
159.4%
2.04%
3.58%
0.71%
1.82%
186.4%
1.56%
Sep 09
1.60%1.42%1.20%1.09%1.05%1.08%1.02%Overdue Loans >90 days / Gross Loans
191.5%197.9%209.5%219.0%223.4%217.3%228.9%Coverage of Overdue Loans > 90 days
1.95%1.95%1.64%1.38%1.38%1.34%1.27%Corporates (>30d)
3.55%3.60%3.60%3.13%3.24%3.18%3.02%Consumer (>30d)
0.75%0.74%0.72%0.68%0.68%0.67%0.65%Mortgage (>30d)
174 bp302 bp99 bp212 bp133 bp44 bp37 bpSpain
125 bp128 bp81 bp40 bp62 bp55 bp55 bp… Domestic
139 bp215 bp75 bp147 bp86 bp67 bp28 bp… International
107 bp147 bp80 bp61 bp67 bp57 bp51 bpQoQ Provision Charge
173.7%158.7%163.0%180.2%178.2%181.4%189.0%Coverage of Overdue Loans >30 days
2.81%
134.3%
2.09%
1.77%
Jun 09
2.35%
152.8%
1.54%
1.32%
Sep 08
2.38%
150.7%
1.58%
1.32%
Dec 08
2.33%
162.3%
1.43%
1.23%
Mar 08
2.52%
144.8%
1.74%
1.54%
Mar 09
2.35%
152.6%
1.54%
1.30%
Jun 08
2.27%Overdue and Doubtful Loans Ratio (BoP) (1)
135.2%Coverage of Overdue and Doubtful Loans (BoP)
3.07%Provisions for Credit / Total Gross Loans
1.77%Overdue Loans >30 days / Gross Loans
Dec 09(EUR million)
(1) According to Bank of Portugal rules (Circular Letter N. 99/09/2003)
28th January 2010 58FY09 Results Presentation
378.3
1,425.7
58.5
1,091.9
764.8
894.4
49,032
9M09
265.5
404.2
-6.4
385.9
286.4
256.1
2,333
EUR mn
YoY Chg
96.7%
35.2%
-7.8%
50.7%
54.6%
40.3%
4.8%
%
539.9
1,552.3
76.2
1,147.9
810.6
893.5
50,531
FY09
QoQ Chg
-
126.6
-
56.0
45.8
-0.9
1,499
EUR mn
-
8.9%
-
5.1%
6.0%
0.0%
3.1%
%
82.6Write Offs (acumm)
274.4Credit provisions (P&L)
1,148.1Credit provisions (Balance)
762.0Overdue and Doubtful Loans (BoP) (1)
524.2Overdue Loans (over 90 days)
636.9Overdue Loans (over 30 days)
48,198Gross Loans (On-BS)
FY08(EUR million)
Asset Quality Indicators
(1) According to Bank of Portugal rules (Circular Letter N. 99/09/2003)
28th January 2010 59FY09 Results Presentation
Quarterly & accumulated credit provision charge & net new entries
0.88
0.49
233 bp
156 bp
89 bp
103 bp
71.8
116.5
261.8
378.3
293 bp
177 bp
61 bp
85 bp
30.1
44.3
60.0
104.2
3Q09
0.131.081.070.370.550.520.41Net new entries as % Performing Loans (quarter)
387.0201.877.9199.3161.1102.150.6… Domestic
152.972.418.775.139.519.65.5… International
90.041.710.242.720.57.53.3ow Spain
97 bp104 bp81 bp52 bp57 bp55 bp55 bp… Domestic
145 bp145 bp75 bp77 bp57 bp46 bp28 bp… International
215 bp200 bp99 bp102 bp70 bp40 bp37 bpow Spain
125 bp128 bp81 bp40 bp62 bp55 bp55 bp… Domestic
139 bp215 bp75 bp147 bp86 bp67 bp28 bp… International
174 bp302 bp99 bp212 bp133 bp44 bp37 bpow Spain
18.231.510.222.213.04.23.3ow Spain
125.2123.877.938.259.051.650.6… Domestic
36.453.718.735.619.914.15.5… International
1.08
113 bp
274.1
147 bp
177.5
2Q09
1.07
80 bp
96.6
80 bp
96.6
1Q09
0.48
57 bp
200.7
67 bp
78.9
3Q08
0.45
57 bp
274.4
61 bp
73.7
4Q08
0.67
107 bp
539.9
128 bp
161.6
4Q09
0.46
53 bp
121.8
57 bp
65.7
2Q08
0.41
51 bp
56.1
51 bp
56.1
1Q08
Net new entries as % Performing Loans (accum.)
As % Loan Portfolio (bp)
P&L Credit Provisions Accumulated
As % Loan Portfolio (bp)
P&L Credit Provisions
(EUR million; % annualised)
28th January 2010 60FY09 Results Presentation
Quarterly customer funds
5.3%
0.6%
2.1%
-0.7%
3.4%
6.2%
-0.6%
10.0%
-7.7%
4.2%
2.9%
QoQ
6,551
-1,653
4,898
1,614
3,284
-1,530
5,754
546
-1,485
-940
4,814
YoYabs
32%
19,394
41,201
60,595
19,122
41,473
6,749
9,277
18,059
7,389
25,447
34,724
4Q09
31%29%26%22%29%29%28%% total
-616-16.7%8,0057,9637,1248,8748,7609,6638,398Sight
1,6483.1%16,41117,19318,20417,51314,35714,25413,671Term
18,425
40,939
59,364
19,260
40,104
6,354
9,334
24,416
33,750
3Q09
14,643
40,696
55,339
16,923
38,416
7,144
5,944
25,328
31,272
1Q09
16,892
41,486
58,378
18,326
40,052
7,090
7,806
25,156
32,962
2Q09
1,031-3.6%26,38723,11723,91722,069… Deposits
-57163.3%3,5237,4136,9916,447… Certificates of Deposits
12,843
42,855
55,698
17,508
38,189
8,279
29,910
4Q08
16,037
38,989
55,031
17,495
37,536
7,006
30,530
3Q08
16,329
39,799
56,128
18,238
37,890
6,981
30,908
2Q08
51.0%
-3.9%
8.8%
9.2%
8.6%
-18.5%
16.1%
YoY
14,801
38,292
53,093
18,231
34,862
6,346
28,516
1Q08
969
262
1,231
-138
1,369
395
974
QoQabs
Total Customer Funds
… International
… Domestic
Off-BS Funds
On-BS Customer Funds
Debt Securities
Deposits (1)
(EUR million)
(1) Includes Client deposits and certificates of deposits
28th January 2010 61FY09 Results Presentation
Quarterly off-BS customer funds
2,866
16,256
19,122
516
3,579
4,095
5,511
140
2,581
2,721
71
1,192
1,263
2,139
3,393
5,532
4Q09
3,350
15,910
19,260
981
3,249
4,230
5,454
138
2,506
2,644
69
1,194
1,263
2,162
3,507
5,669
3Q09
3,010
13,913
16,923
884
2,565
3,449
5,077
129
2,363
2,492
75
1,023
1,098
1,922
2,885
4,807
1Q09
3,102
15,224
18,326
929
3,351
4,280
5,202
136
2,384
2,520
71
1,135
1,206
1,966
3,152
5,118
2Q09
-0.2%11.3%1,0711,1501,2371,265… Domestic
2.9%0.0%71---… International
2,977
14,531
17,508
877
2,943
3,820
5,190
132
2,476
2,608
1,142
1,897
2,851
4,748
4Q08
3,180
14,315
17,495
1,021
3,052
4,073
4,982
125
2,130
2,255
1,150
2,034
3,001
5,035
3Q08
3,087
15,151
18,238
984
3,116
4,100
5,128
120
2,372
2,492
1,237
1,983
3,298
5,281
2Q08
-3.7%
11.9%
9.2%
-41.2%
21.6%
7.2%
6.2%
6.1%
4.2%
4.3%
10.6%
12.8%
19.0%
16.5%
YoY
3,200
15,031
18,231
994
3,462
4,456
5,060
122
2,413
2,535
1,265
2,084
2,831
4,915
1Q08
2.2%… Domestic
-14.5%
-0.7%
-47.4%
10.2%
-3.2%
1.0%
1.5%
3.0%
2.9%
0.0%
-1.1%
-3.3%
-2.4%
QoQ
Total Off-BS Funds
… International
… Domestic
… International
Pension Funds
Other (*)
Bancassurance (Domestic)
… International
… Domestic
Real Estate Funds
… International
… Domestic
Mutual Funds
(EUR million)
(*) Other includes off-BS structured products, discretionary management and venture capital
28th January 2010 62FY09 Results Presentation
Available for Sale Portfolio – main equity holdings potential gains & losses
Potential Capital gains (losses) evolutionAt the end of FY09
291.0
6.4
-15.7
2.8
297.5
3Q09
58.2
7.4
-31.8
-64.8
147.4
2Q09
390.8
7.3
67.4
-0.6
316.7
4Q09
-189.2-179.5838.81,538.0Total
-5.2-20.5661.72.78%696.3Bradesco
0.25%
7.34%
3.04%
% AFS
8.0
-91.2
-75.8
2008
8.6
76.0
70.5
2007
6.3
-105.4
-84.9
1Q09
2.5BMCE493.6Portugal Telecom345.6EDP
Acquis. Value(EUR million)
28th January 2010 63FY09 Results Presentation
Quarterly solvency ratios
12.1%
8.8%
8.2%
11%
600
2,097
5,450
5,074
7,536
+3,146
3,712
55,176
62,034
Sep 09(IRB)
12.2%
8.9%
8.3%
11%
600
1,981
5,263
4,922
7,234
3,146
3,742
52,265
59,453
Jun 09(IRB)
9.9%
6.6%
5.8%
15%
600
1,946
3,901
3,415
5,838
3,146
3,063
52,796
59,005
Mar 09(IRB)(IRB)(Std)
11.3%
7.1%
6.1%
15%
600
2,327
3,946
3,412
6,273
2,840
2,878
49,987
55,705
10.5%
6.6%
5.7%
15%
600
2,337
3,948
3,412
6,277
3,042
2,878
53,791
59,711
Dec 08
11.1%
8.3%
8.0%
11%
600
1,851
5,407
5,232
7,258
3,761
3,951
57,430
65,142
Dec 09(IRB)
9.9%
6.3%
5.5%
15%
600
2,202
3,883
3,345
6,077
3,042
3,707
54,401
61,150
Sep 08(Std)
9.7%
6.6%
5.7%
15%
600
1,833
3,889
3,357
5,716
3,042
4,408
51,733
59,183
Jun 08(Std)
10.1%
6.8%
6.0%
15%
600
1,888
3,943
3,434
5,825
3,042
5,825
48,676
57,543
Mar 08(Std)
As % Tier I
Banking Book
Trading Book
Oper. Risk
Core Tier I
Tier I (%)
Total Capital
Tier I
Other
Core Tier I (%)
Total (%)
Pref. Shares
RWA (BoP)
(EUR million)
Note: BIS II IRB corresponds to calculations based on IRB Foundation for credit risk and standardised approach for operational risk
28th January 2010 64FY09 Results Presentation
Appendix II: Macro Data
28th January 2010 65FY09 Results Presentation
Markets Environment: Global economic recovery on the way, on the back of aggressive policy stimulus and with emerging markets showing strong growth.
US: GDP growth (%, y-o-y) and ISM manufacturingChina: GDP growth and imports (%, y-o-y).
Volume of international trade flows(% q-o-q growth, 3-month moving average).
Oil Price (Brent), USD vs. EUR/barrel.
Source: Bloomberg
0
20
40
60
80
100
120
140
160
2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010
USD;
EUR USD
EUR
73
51
Per
cent
Per
cent
-15
-10
-5
0
5
10
1992 1994 1996 1998 2000 2002 2004 2006 2008
%
28th January 2010 66FY09 Results Presentation
Markets Environment: Stronger growth prospects with low inflationary pressures have resulted in stronger confidence in financial markets.
10- year Government Bond Yields.
3-month Euribor and USD Libor (%) Credit Spreads (Financials)
Selected Stock Indices.
Source: Bloomberg & Reuters
2.0
2.5
3.0
3.5
4.0
4.5
5.0
5.5
Jan. Abr. Jul. Out. Jan. Abr. Jul. Out. Jan. Abr. Jul. Out. Jan.
%
USA
Euro Zone
2007 2008 2009 2010
0.0
1.0
2.0
3.0
4.0
5.0
6.0
2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010
%
3-month Euribor
3-month Libor
30
50
70
90
110
130
150
170
Jun.2007
Set.2007
Dez.2007
Mar.2008
Jun.2008
Set.2008
Dez.2008
Mar.2009
Jun.2009
Set.2009
Dez.2009
Eurostoxx 50
01 Ju
n. 2
007
= 10
0
S&P 500
Bovespa
Shanghai Composite
Sensex (India)
0
50
100
150
200
250
Jan. 2007 Jul. 2007 Jan. 2008 Jul. 2008 Jan. 2009 Jul. 2009 Jan. 2010
(bps)
iTRAXX Financials Senior 5yr
28th January 2010 67FY09 Results Presentation
Portugal: Financial sector stability and no significant housing corrections allowed for an early recovery in GDP growth, with an improvement in exports. The “Greece effect” has hurt sovereign ratings, but public debt affordability remains in line with the main Euro area economies.
10-year Government Bond Yield Spread vs. Germany (bps).
Public Debt Affordability (Interest Payments as a percentage of annual tax revenues, %).
Source: INE, IGCP, European Commission & Bloomberg
02468
101214
Finl
and
Spai
n
Neth
erla
nds
Fran
ce
Austr
ia
Ger
man
y
Portu
gal
Irela
nd
Belg
ium
Italy
Gre
ece
Aaa countries Non-Aaa countries
-4.0-3.0-2.0-1.00.0
1.02.03.04.05.0
2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009
%
Q-o-Q
Y-o-Y
Exports of Goods and Services (EUR billion, Monthly Flows, 3-month MA).
GDP growth (%, y-o-y and q-o-q).
0
50
100
150
200
250
300
350
O ut. 2007 M ar. 2008A go . 2008 Jan. 2009 Jun. 2009 Nov. 2009
Basi
s Po
ints
G reece
Ire land
P ortu galSpa i
8292
149
304
82
Ita ly
28th January 2010 68FY09 Results Presentation
Sources: INE, Bank of Portugal, ES Research.
Portugal Forecasts 2009-2011
Annual real growth rates (%), except where indicated.
10.510.09.27.68.07.7Unemployment (% of Labour Force)
-9.5-9.3-8.2-10.5-8.1-9.3Current & Capital Account Balance (% GDP)
91.184.677.466.463.564.7Public Debt (% GDP)
-6.5-8.3-9.3-2.7-2.6-3.9Budget Balance (% GDP)
1.81.5-0.82.62.53.1Inflation (%)
3.00.7-10.12.15.65.1Imports
4.12.3-12.3-0.57.58.7Exports
0.5-1.0-12.5-0.13.2-0.3Investment
0.20.31.50.50.0-1.4Public Consumption
1.00.3-0.31.61.61.9Private Consumption
1.00.5-2.60.01.91.4GDP
2011F2010F2009200820072006
28th January 2010 69FY09 Results Presentation
PMI Services and Manufacturing
GDP growth (%).
Public Deficit (% GDP, European Commission Forecasts).
Spain: Domestic demand adjustments are still penalising growth and are delaying a full recovery. But a stabilising trend is already visible in some activity indicators.
Source: INE & Bloomberg
-20
-15
-10
-5
0
5
10
15
2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009
%
Private consumption
Investment
Export
-5
-3
-1
1
3
5
2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009
%
y-o-y
q-o-q
25
30
35
40
45
50
55
60
65
1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009
Inde
x (Po
ints)
PMI Services
PMI Manufacturing
-12.0
-10.0
-8.0
-6.0-4.0
-2.0
0.0
2.0
4.0
1999 2001 2003 2005 2007 2009F 2011F
%
Private consumption, exports and investment (%, y-o-y).
28th January 2010 70FY09 Results Presentation
Sources: INE, Bank of Spain, ES Research, European Commission.
Spain Forecasts 2009-2010
Annual real growth rates (%), except where indicated.
20.520.017.911.38.38.5Unemployment (% of Labour Force)
-3.5-3.7-4.5-9.1-9.6-8.4Current & Capital Account Balance (% GDP)
74.066.354.339.736.139.6Public Debt (% GDP)
-9.3-10.1-11.2-4.11.92.0Budget Deficit (% GDP)
1.80.9-0.34.12.83.4Inflation (%)
2.2-2.7-20.0-4.98.010.3Imports
3.31.3-13.0-1.06.66.7Exports
-1.3-8.4-15.6-4.44.67.1Investment
2.21.74.35.55.54.6Public Consumption
0.9-0.5-5.2-0.63.63.9Private Consumption
1.0-0.8-3.70.93.63.9GDP
2011F2010F2009F200820072006
28th January 2010 71FY09 Results Presentation
Annual GDP growth (%) External reserves (USD million)
Kwanza exchange rate Oil production (mb/day)
Angola: Lower oil revenues in 1H2009 have contributed to a slowdown in activity and have forced a kwanza depreciation. But the recovery in oil output, the resilience of non energy sectors, and the environment of macroeconomic stability are already contributing to a reacceleration in growth.
Source: BNA, OPEC & Bloomberg
0
20
40
60
80
100
120
140
2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010
EUR/
AOA
and
USD/
AOA
127.33
89.96
EUR/AOA
USD/AOA
1.4
1.5
1.6
1.7
1.8
1.9
Jan.2007
Apr. Jul. Oct. Jan.2008
Apr. Jul. Oct. Jan.2009
Apr. Jul. Oct.
mb/
d
1.9
10.0
2.0
13.2
20.318.6
20.6
11.2
3.3
13.0 14.8
20.1
27.5
14.1
9.0
10.3
10.0
0.0
5.0
10.0
15.0
20.0
25.0
30.0
2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008F 2009F 2010F
%
Non-oil sector
GDP
0
5
10
15
20
25
Jan. Mar. May Jul. Sep.Nov. Jan. Mar. May Jul. Sep. Nov.
12.9
20.1
USD
billio
ns
2008 2009
28th January 2010 72FY09 Results Presentation
Sources: IMF, Angolan Central Bank, Finance Ministry, ES Research.
Angola Forecasts 2009-2010
25.025.030.019.619.614.0BNA Rediscount Rate (%), end of period
80.080.078.075.177.180.4Exchange Rate (USD/KZ), annual average
5.00.6-4.88.811.514.8Budget Balance (% GDP)
2.42.2-3.47.515.925.2Current Account Balance (% GDP)
14.015.414.012.512.213.3Inflation (%)
5.3674.9194.0275.0543,6292,847GDP per capita (USD, current prices)
9.110.02.013.220.318.6GDP (real growth rate, %)
2011F2010F2009F200820072006
28th January 2010 73FY09 Results Presentation
Brazil: Domestic demand strength is fuelling a recovery and should lead to GDP growth around 5% in 2010. Sound external accounts and strong capital inflows have led to an appreciation in the Real.
GDP growth (%)
External Accounts
USD/BRL and Sovereign CDS spread
Retail sales and industrial production (%, y-o-y).
Source: IBGE, BACEN & Bloomberg
-4
-2
0
2
4
6
8
2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009
%
Y-o-Y
Q-o-Q
0
500
1000
1500
2000
2500
3000
3500
4000
2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009
CDS
Spre
ad
1.5
2.0
2.5
3.0
3.5
4.0USD/BRL
USD/BRL (RHS)Brazil
5Y CDS(LHS)
-20
-15
-10
-5
0
5
10
15
20
2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009
%
Industrial Production
Retail sales
28th January 2010 74FY09 Results Presentation
Sources: IBGE, Central Bank of Brazil, ES Research.
Brazil Forecasts 2009-2011
9.5010.508.7513.7511.2513.25SELIC Interest Rate (%, End of Period)
1.951.831.991.841.952.18Exchange Rate (USD/BRL), annual average
-2.5-2.1-1.4-1.70.11.3Current Account Balance (% GDP)
7.88.18.17.99.310.0Unemployment (% of Labour Force)
39.841.643.138.843.944.0Public Debt (% GDP)
3.33.31.93.73.53.8Primary Budget Balance (% GDP)
4.44.54.35.94.53.1Inflation (%)
4.05.00.05.16.14.0GDP (real growth rate, %)
2011F2010F2009F200820072006
28th January 2010 75FY09 Results Presentation
Disclaimer
This news release may include certain statements relating to the Banco Espírito Santo Group that are neither
reported financial results nor other historical information. These statements, which may include targets, forecasts,
projections, descriptions of anticipated cost savings, statements regarding the possible development or possible
assumed future results of operations and any statement preceded by, followed by or that includes the words
“believes”, “expects”, “aims”, “intends”, “may” or similar expressions or negatives thereof are or may constitute
forward-looking statements.
By their nature, forward-looking statements are inherently predictive, speculative and involve risk and uncertainty.
There are a number of factors that could cause actual results and developments to differ materially from those
expressed or implied by forward-looking statements. These factors include, but are not limited to, changes in
economic conditions in individual countries in which the BES Group conducts its business and internationally, fiscal
or other policies adopted by various governments and regulatory authorities of Portugal and other jurisdictions, levels
of competition from other banks and financial services companies as well as future exchange and interest rates.
Banco Espírito Santo does not undertake to release publicly any revision to the forward-looking information included
in this news release to reflect events, circumstances or unanticipated events occurring after the date hereof.
28th January 2010 76FY09 Results Presentation
Investor Relations
Investor Relations Contacts
Website: www.bes.pt/irPhone: + 351 21 359 7390E-mail: [email protected]: + 351 21 359 7001
NUMBER OF SHARES: 1,167 millionNOMINAL VALUE: 3 Euros per shareSHARE CAPITAL: EUR 3.5 bnSECTOR: Financial Services: BankingINDEX MEMBERSHIP: PSI20
Euronext 100Dow Jones EurostoxxDow Jones Stoxx BanksFTSE4GOODFTSE All World Developed
LISTING: NYSE EuronextBLOOMBERG: BES PLREUTERS: BES.LSISIN CODE: PTBES0AM0007RATINGS: Moody’s: A1 / Stable / P-1
Fitch: A+ / Stable / F1 S&P: A / Negative / A-1
FY09 Results Presentation(Un-audited Figures)