FUTURES TRADINGweek two: recap and lessons

Evaluation group membersHarmony Bee Lina Ruiji

A DELIGHTFUL TREND

MFRE Portfolio Performance

Sep.23 Monday morning

Rank UsernamePortfolio

Value %Return

1 wrj1991 123,110.24 23.11%

2 behzad 116,407.81 16.41%

3 Amandaji 113,777.93 13.78%

4 LindaMao 109,653.15 9.65%

5 Mia 104,909.93 4.91%

6 brendanmccaffery 103,652.77 3.65%

7 dongp 102,667.47 2.67%

8 Airlie 102,615.60 2.62%

9 YiwenChen 102,483.55 2.48%

10 sueyjiang 102,155.91 2.16%

11 Weilin 101,215.42 1.22%

12 yifeipeng 100,547.92 0.55%

13 UBC-FRE501-Win2013-a 100,292.93 0.29%

14 UBC-FRE501-Win2013-b 100,090.44 0.09%

Rank Username Portfolio Value %Return

1 ten017 101,109.32 1.11%

2 UBC-FRE501-Win2013-a 100,376.82 0.38%

3 sueyjiang 100,166.82 0.17%

4 jmfercov 100,049.32 0.05%

5 abamex 100,049.32 0.05%

6 UBC-FRE501-Win2013-b 100,049.32 0.05%

Sep.27 Friday Night

22%

78%

INITIAL PER-FORMANCE

POSITIVE RETURN

52%48%

FINAL PER-FORMANCE

The most inspirational person Top 3

MFRE Portfolio Performance

Amanda Behzad

Ruiji

PORTFOLIO VALUE

%RETURN

RANK

$ 90,746.80$113,777.93

- 9.25%13.78%24

3

$ 96,836.80$116,407.81

- 3.16%16.41%17

2

$ 93,624.24$123,110.24

- 6.38%23.11%20

1

Things always change a lot~~

MFRE Portfolio Performance

AlexRank 8 → 27

$99,574.30(-0.43%)

$81,958.02(-18.04%)

MiaRank27 → 5

$ 86,634.24(-13.37%)

$104,909,93(4.91%)

The most fluctuating person TOP 1

The Busiest person TOP 1

MFRE Portfolio Performance

$ 93,286.66

-6.71%Rank 21

$128,321.17

28.32%Rank 1

$ 94,467.51

-5.53%Rank 22

Gianmarco

Linda 19 transactions$ 109,653.15

9.65%

MORE CHOICES MORE HAPPINESS

MFRE Portfolio Performance

What Happened? Not a lot! It was a pretty quiet week!

Until Monday’s USDA Report. Then things started to move quickly! (we’ll get to that in a minute)

Market Recap

What Was Going On Last Week?SOYBEAN week ending at 0.25% gain Surging US export sales – steady demand from China

Soybeans

What Was Going On Last Week?CORN week ending, advanced 0.65% First weekly gain in a month Prediction: downward trend as there is an improve in

US midwest condition

Corn

What Was Going On Last Week?WHEAT week ending, gain 5.4% Price climbing to two months high (robust demand):

Argentina winter crop -- Argentina is one of the largest wheat exporter

Flood in China – import more Wheat shortage in Russia – ban export

Wheat

USDA GRAIN REPORT : 11AM Monday September 30th

USDA Grain Report

DID YOU GO SHORT?

CORNFutures plunged to a 3 year low closing at 441.5 USDA boosted its inventory estimates by 25%.

There is talk of corn hitting a low of almost 400?!

USDA Grain Report

“The market is going to be dealing with big corn supplies for the next year, and that’s going to limit rallies” Dale Durcholz (taken from bloomberg.com)

USDA Grain Report

WHEATFutures for December delivery fell 0.7% to 678.5 countering a price rise in the previous five sessions (the longest rally since mid-March).

The report was in linen with expectations and upped its stock and production estimates and also revised world demand upwards.

SOYBEANSLost 2.75% (the largest drop in six months) and closed at 1,282.75 as supplies topped analyst

estimates by 11% (original estimates of 661 bushels revised to 694 bushels).

Inventories are at 141 bushels and demand predictions have tumbled 41% from August estimates.

1. Stay V.S Trade?

2. Notice harvest season & weather report

3. Think globally, act locally

4. don’t panic when prices shrink, believe your research

5. get up early!

Strategies for the week ahead

agfax.com Daily news updates on Southern cotton, rice,

peanuts, corn, wheat and soybeans and information on insect, weed and disease control in row crops.

futuresmag.com News, analysis, and strategies for futures, options,

and derivative traders. Includes charts, daily columns, blogs, and video.

commodityhq.com Educational content, analysis, and commentary

regarding commodities and futures. agrimoney.com The latest UK and international news, comment and

analysis on soft commodities , agriculture companies and farm investment

Resources and Information

Best 5 Blog Winners!

Why You Rocked!

Creativity was king… or at least it should be! (we’ll get into the reasons why in a minute)

Assigned a ranking based on the following 4 criteria.

Why You Rocked!

Airlie is the creativity Queen!Have you read her blog?!? You should!

Not only did she analyze her portfolio and the market on a daily basis, but she brilliantly ties it all back the farm with stories from her childhood.

All the Top 5sThoughtful and insightful analysisOriginal and easy to readConcise writing style with good flowGood strategizing

Amanda is the Queen of strategy!Who needs Bloomberg. Maybe she’ll offer subscriptions.

Different Styles

Why You Rocked!

BACK TO CREATIVITY..Everyone’s blogs were excellent and a lot of work has gone into them but….We spend all day tracking the market and the blogs are starting to look a bit like the financial news we see all day.

This can be a bit BORING

Especially when we have to read 25 of them!

step out of your comfort zone and embrace your inner

storyteller! (next week’s review group, you can thank us later)