Future outlook
30
CCBY Per Olof Arnäs Per Olof Arnäs Chalmers [email protected] @Dr_PO An outlook into a (possible) future
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How will we live in 30 years time? How will the transportation and logistics industry be affected?
Transcript of Future outlook
CC-‐BY Per Olof Arnäs
Per Olof ArnäsChalmers
per-‐[email protected]@Dr_PO
An outlook into a (possible) future
CC-‐BY Per Olof Arnäs
In 30 yearsfrom now...
...what will the
world be like?
...how will we
live?work?travel?consume?
CC-‐BY Per Olof Arnäs
Global trends
UrbanizaJon
Sustainability focus
Popula4on growth
Some
Climate change
Energy shortage Efficiency focus
CC-‐BY Per Olof Arnäs
Sustainability will affect everything we do
CC-‐BY Per Olof Arnäs
Environmental tax will increase greatly
Consumers demand transparency
CC-‐BY Per Olof Arnäs
Most of us will live in ciJes
CC-‐BY Per Olof Arnäs
ExponenJal increase in complexity
City LogisJcs becomes a global industry
CC-‐BY Per Olof Arnäs
We will experience an energy shortage
CC-‐BY Per Olof Arnäs
Not enough biomass,materials etc.
Not available where it is needed most
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Vehicles and vessels will (always) be ”full”
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Specialized vehicles
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Twoother
1: Homo Digitalis
2: Prosumerism
affect logisJcs and transportaJon
trendsthat will
CC-‐BY Per Olof Arnäs
We are in the middle of a huge exponenJal development curve
beginning
CC-‐BY Per Olof Arnäs
A new global eco-‐system where new types of, knowledge based, industriescompete with the tradiJonal ones
CC-‐BY Per Olof Arnäs h"p://bryce.vc/post/18404303850/the-‐problem-‐with-‐innova=on
Startups don’t compete with airlines...
by purchasing a bunch of planeshiring a bunch of pilots
and locking up a bunch of terminals at airports.
CC-‐BY Per Olof Arnäs h"p://bryce.vc/post/18404303850/the-‐problem-‐with-‐innova=on
Startups compete with airlines by invenJng videoconferencing.
Startups don’t compete with airlines...
by purchasing a bunch of planeshiring a bunch of pilots
and locking up a bunch of terminals at airports.
CC-‐BY Per Olof Arnäs
Homo Digitalis
CC-‐BY Per Olof Arnäs
Even though the created world around us evolves quickly...
...we as a species do not. Well, not without tools, anyway.
CC-‐BY Per Olof Arnäs
People will sJll want the same things
Get paid
Get made
Quote from Dave McClure
Get laid
CC-‐BY Per Olof Arnäs
CC-‐BY Per Olof Arnäs
CC-‐BY Per Olof Arnäs
We are deeply connected to everything around us
From Minority Report
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Homo EconomicusThe Economic Man
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Homo Digitalis Economicus
The Economic ManWell-‐informedWell-‐equippedWell-‐connected
With high expectaJons ondataopJmizaJoninteracJon
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Our digital double will be our extension into the ”matrix”
No difference between personal and professional
Our double will handleInterac4onNego4a4onOp4miza4onCommunica4onFiltering
CC-‐BY Per Olof Arnäs
Prosumerism
CC-‐BY Per Olof Arnäs
CC-‐BY Per Olof Arnäs
3D-‐prinJng will be done at home or in local/regional faciliJes
Increased global flows of raw materials
Decreased global flow of products
CC-‐BY Per Olof Arnäs
CC-‐BY Per Olof Arnäs
Per Olof ArnäsChalmersper-‐[email protected]@Dr_PO
Thank you!
Slides available on my SlideShare channel:slideshare.net/poarImages CC-‐licensed, source in comments
