Future of Technology
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Transcript of Future of Technology
Glocal Vantage, Inc. 1
The Future of Technology
Glocal Vantage, Inc. 2
Outline
• Technology• Key Technologies for the Future• Technology Management• Guidelines for Thriving
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Technology
• Technology is the practical application of knowledge.
• Types– Direct– Supportive– Enabling
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Types of Technology
Technologies embodied in a product
Technologies used in the development, manufacture, distribution, marketing, etc. of a product
Technologies used to enhance the effectiveness or efficiency of supportive or direct technologies
Enabling
Supportive
Direct
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Product Technology Clusters
Enabling
Supportive
Direct
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Economic Driving Force
Enabling
Supportive
Direct
50’s 60’s 70’s 80’s 90’s 00’s
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Information Technologies
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Characteristics of the New Economy
• Creativity• Informatization• Knowledge
management• Continuous, integrated
education• Innovation• Digitization
• Mass customization• Virtualization• Interactive integration• Disintermediation• Immediacy• Glocalization
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Information and Creativity
Noise
Data
Knowledge
Wisdom
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Key Information Technologies
• Computer• Internet• Telecommunications• Image• Software systems
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Technology Actualization
• Research• Management• Development• Embodiment
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Technology Actualization Process
Research
ManagementDevelopment
Embodiment
Def
initi
on
Open
Closed
StrategicTacticalEmphasis
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Tasks
• Identify and understand the driving forces for change
• Delineate customer needs• Understand competitive strategies• Forecast technological capability
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Technology Forecasting
• Surveillance– Scanning– Monitoring– Tracking
• Trend Analysis– Precursor developments– Trend extrapolation– Pearle curve– Learning curve– Substitution analysis
• Expert Opinion– Interviews– Survey– Group techniques
• Integrative– Scenarios– Cross impact– Mathematical models
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Guidelines for Thriving
• Gain a broader perspective• Look for what’s changing• Find the squeak of the pigs• Focus on the space between• Search for synergy• Expect beauty• Exploit the potential of information technologies
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Market Opportunity & Threat
CustomersCompetitors Technologies
Social Political
EconomicDemographic
Scientific
Opportunity Threat
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The Glocal Vantage
Market
Stakeholders OrganizationCapability
OrganizationCapacity
Strategy
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Potential of Information Technologies
Effective Individuals
High Performance Teams
Integrated Enterprises
Extended Enterprises
Internetworked Business
Source: Digital Economy, Dan Tapscott
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Glocal Vantage, Inc.
• PO Box 161475• Austin, TX 78716• (512) 632-6586• [email protected]• www.glocalvantage.com• http://incollaboration.com• Twitter: innovant2003
Paul Schumann
• Futurist and innovation consultant• Application of web 2.0 to market & strategic intelligence
systems• Web 2.0 tools & technologies• Application of web 2.0 to democratic processes• Broad perspectives on the future• Services
– Strategic market research & technology forecasting– Intelligence systems consulting– Seminars, webinars & presentations
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This work is licensed under the Creative Commons Attribution
license. You may distribute, remix, tweak, and build upon this work,
even commercially, as long as you credit me for the original creation
as Paul Schumann, Glocal Vantage Inc, www.glocalvantage.com.