Future agenda 2.0 Singapore SMU 05 11 2015
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Transcript of Future agenda 2.0 Singapore SMU 05 11 2015
TheWorldin2025|EmergingInsightsFromFutureAgenda2.0SMU|Singapore|5November2015DrTimJones|ProgrammeDirector
FutureAgendaTheFutureAgendaistheworld’slargestopenforesightprogram
thataccessesmulFpleviewsofthenextdecadesoallcanbebeHerinformedandsFmulateinnovaFon.
LookingForwardsOrganisaFonsincreasinglywanttoidenFfyandunderstand
boththeanFcipatedandunexpectedchangessothattheycanbebeHerpreparedforthefuture.
FutureAgenda1.0TopInsightsfor2020Fromthe2010program,52keyinsightsonthenextdecadeweresharedwidelyandhavebeenextensivelyusedbyorganisaFonsaroundtheworld.AndFutureAgendabecametheworld’slargestopenforesightplaNorm.
FutureAgendainNumbersThefirstFutureAgendaprogrammeengagedawiderangeofviewsin
25countries.FutureAgenda2.0hasdoubledtheface-to-faceinteracFonandsignificantlyraisedonlinesharing,debateanddiscussion.
FutureAgenda1.01HOST16TOPICS25COUNTRIES50WORKSHOPS1500ORGANISATIONS
FutureAgenda2.050HOSTS25TOPICS38COUNTRIES112WORKSHOPS5000ORGANISATIONS
FutureAgenda2.0TopicsThesecondversionoftheFutureAgendaprogramistakingplaceduring2015andhasbeenaddressing20+topicsvia100+eventsin45ciFesin38countriesinpartnershipwitharound50corehosts.
Ageing
CiOes
Company
ConnecOvity
Data
EducaOon
Energy
Food
Government
Health
Learning
Loyalty
Payments
Privacy
Resources
Transport
Travel
Water
Wealth
Work
EightKeyThemesAcrossthemulFplediscussions,86emergingissuesseemtobetouchinguponandconnecFngwitheightunderlying,andinterwoven,themes.
ManyoftheseprovidesignificantopportuniFesforinnovaFon.
TheFiveCertainOes
InterconnectedSystems
TheDataRevoluOon
UnequalAccess
OurHabitat
BeliefsandBelonging
PowerandInfluence
ChangingBusiness
FiveCertainOes
ImbalancedPopulaOonGrowthAgrowingpopulaFonisaddinganotherbillionpeoplebutitisalsorapidlyageing:
Achildbornnextyearwilllive6monthslongerthanoneborntoday.WhilemigraFonhelpstorebalancesomesocieFes,increasingdependencyraFoschallengeall.
ShiVingPowerandInfluenceThecentreofgravityofeconomicpowerconFnuesshi_ingeastwards,backtowhereitwas200yearsago.RecentsuperpowersseektomoderatethepaceofchangebuttherealiFesofpopulaFonandresourcelocaFonsareimmoveable.
EverythingConnectedBy2025over1trillionsensorsareconnectedtomulFplenetworks:EverythingthatcanbenefitfromaconnecFonwillhaveone.Wedeliver10,000xmoredata100x
moreeffecFvelybutneedtomakesenseoftheinformaFonthatflows.
InterconnectedSystems
AirQualityRisingairpolluFoninmanyemergingciFesiskillingpeopleandbecomesthevisiblecatalystforchangingmind-sets.Itdrivespublicsupportfornew
policiesacrosshealth,energy,transportaFonandurbandesign.
FoodWasteThe30-50%offoodwastedeitherinthesupplychainorinconsumpFoncouldfeed
another3billioneveryday.FocusisonusingdatatoopFmisedistribuFonandstorageindevelopingcountriesandenablingbeHerconsumerinformaFoninothers.
UrbanObesityMassurbanisaFon,reducedacFvityandpoordietsareacceleraFngtheriseofobesity.AshalftheglobalpopulaFonisoverweight,levelsofobesityinmostciFesaregrowingfastandtheassociatedhealthcareburdenwillsoonaccountfor5%ofglobalGDP.
TheDataRevoluOon
TheIncreasingValueofDataAsorganisaFonsgrabmoredata,itbecomesacurrencywithavalueandaprice:Itthereforerequiresmarketplaces–transparentecosystemsfortradingdata
-soanythingthatisinformaFonisrepresentedindatamarketplaces.
DataOwnershipIndividualsrecognizethevalueoftheirdigitalshadows,privacyagentsanddata
brokerscurateclients’datasetswhilepersonaldatastoresgiveustransparentcontrolofourinformaFon:Weretainmoreownershipofourdataandopttoshareit.
EthicalMachinesMachinesareassmartashumansasautomaFonspreadsbeyondtradinganddronestodriverlesscarsandmanagingsystemicrisk.Asweapproachtechnologysingularity,autonomousrobotsandalgorithmsmakeethicaljudgmentsthatimpactlifeordeath.
UnequalAccess
RisingYouthUnemploymentWithunemploymentratesalreadyover50%insomenaFons,accesstoworkisarisingbarriertomany.EspeciallyacrossNorthAfrica,theMiddleEastandsouthernEurope,
alostgeneraFonof100mfailstoconnectwithandgainfromglobalgrowth.
EducaOonRevoluOonNetworkedschoolsandlearningplaNormsencourageself-organisededucaFonforall.Teachersprovideprompts,notanswers,andhelpstudentslearnfromoneanother.Non-linearhighcontentlearningbecomestheglobalnorm.
OurHabitat
HousingEveryoneMassmigraFonandlocalisedpopulaFonexplosionsdriveupthecostofboth
housingaccessandhomeownership.InmanyciFes,thisleadstothedevelopmentofnewlivingspacesandownershipmodelsthattrytoaccommodatemoreofus.
Off-PlanetLivingRapidtechnologicaladvances,coupledwiththeambiFonsofemergingpowersand
wealthyindividuals,leadtoanewracetocolonisespace.Apriorityinthisislong-termhabitaFononMarsastheseedforafutureNewWorldmigraFon.
PreparingforResilienceAswemoveforwardwiderrecogniFonofadaptaFontoclimatechangeplaysanincreasinglyimportantroleindefiningandshapingbothgovernmental
andbusinessahtudesandriskstrategies.
AcceleraOngDisplacementAfasterchangingclimateandrapidlyincreasinginequaliFesofopportunityaddtoconflictassFmulusformassmigraFonnorthatanunprecedentedscale.
Over1billionareonthemoveoverthenext30to50years.
BeliefsandBelonging
SocialCoagulaOonGeographicallydisparategroups(re)connecttoreinforceideasandexcludeothers-creaFngopportuniFestoreinforceideasandnormaliseacFonswhichotherwisemightseemextremeastheygrowmorepowerful.
AginginCommunityIndividuals,familiesaswellashealthcarepayersdesiretokeepolder
peoplelivinghealthyandindependentloner.Thisrequiresupgradedinfrastructure,transportaFonsystemsandthoughNulproductsandservices.
TheAgeofWomenInmanyregions,womenhavegreatercontrol,influenceandincreasedleadership
parFcipaFon.Thischangesdecision-making,strengthenstherepresentaFonofthefeminineviewandhelpstodrivemorebalancedacFons.
PowerandInfluence
NewWorldOrderAsdemographicshi_s,newalliancesandeconomicchallengesre-alignglobalpowerandinfluence,newleadersemergeandcontrolintheworldchanges
infavourofsome-butwithotherssFllholdingthebalance.
AfricaGrowthDespiteconcernsaroundgovernanceandcorrupFon,theaHracFonofrising
populaFons,agrowingworkforce,500mnewmiddleclassconsumersandconFnuedresourcesuppliesaHractmulFpleglobalbrandstomakeAfricathe#1targetmarket.
PurposeofCompaniesSuccessfulorganisaFonsaligntheirpurposewithaddressingspecificsocietalandstakeholderneedsandmovebeyondjustfocusingoncreaFngshareholdervalue.
AmulF-capitalapproachtointegratedreporFngtakesholdandspreads.
ChangingBusiness
SpeedtoScaleGreaterglobalconnecFvity,growingaverageconsumerwealth,broaderreach
andtheadopFonofstandardplaNormsallcombinetoacceleratetheFmeto1bncustomersforstart-upsandnewcorporateventuresalike.
DigitalMoneyCashisgraduallyreplacedbydigitalmoneyprovidingconsumerswithmore
convenienceandchoice–andorganisaFonswithlowercosttransacFons.WideradopFonenablesnewofferstoproliferate–includingintheblackeconomy.
OrganisaOon3.0NewformsofflaHer,project-based,collaboraFve,virtual,informal
organisaFonsdominate-enabledbytechnologyandaglobalmobileworkforce.AssuchthenatureofworkandtheroleoforganisaFonitselfblurs.
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