Fusion Ignition and Stockpile Stewardship
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N A T I O N A L N U C L E A R S E C U R I T Y A D M I N I S T R A T I O N O F F I C E O F D E F E N S E P R O G R A M S Fusion Ignition and Stockpile Stewardship Presentation to: Fusion Power Associates Annual Meeting “Fusion Energy: Expectations” Dr. Donald Cook Deputy Administrator for Defense Programs National Nuclear Security Administration 15 December 2011
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Fusion Ignition and Stockpile Stewardship. Presentation to: Fusion Power Associates Annual Meeting “Fusion Energy: Expectations” Dr. Donald Cook Deputy Administrator for Defense Programs National Nuclear Security Administration 15 December 2011. Overview. - PowerPoint PPT Presentation
Transcript of Fusion Ignition and Stockpile Stewardship
N A T I O N A L N U C L E A R S E C U R I T Y A D M I N I S T R A T I O N O F F I C E O F D E F E N S E P R O G R A M S
Fusion Ignition and Stockpile StewardshipPresentation to:
Fusion Power Associates Annual Meeting“Fusion Energy: Expectations”
Dr. Donald Cook Deputy Administrator for Defense Programs
National Nuclear Security Administration15 December 2011
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Overview
• National strategic policy for nuclear weapons
• Requirements resulting from 2010 Nuclear Posture Review
• Logical structure connecting policy to programs and campaigns
• Weapon Life Extension Program (LEP) planning requirements and structure
• Enabling Tools• Predictive Capability Framework (PCF)• Component Maturation Framework (CMF)• Role and application of Stewardship tools• Role and application of Fusion Ignition and Burn in Stockpile
Stewardship
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National Strategic Policy for Nuclear Weapons has been clearly formulated
“In order to sustain a safe, secure, and effective U.S. nuclear stockpile as long as nuclear weapons exist, the United States
must possess a modern physical infrastructure – comprised of the national security laboratories and a complex of supporting facilities – and a highly capable workforce with the specialized skills needed to sustain the nuclear deterrent and support the
President’s nuclear security agenda.” Department of Defense,
“Nuclear Posture Review”, April 2010.
“ The United States will take concrete steps towards a world without nuclear weapons... Make no mistake: As long as these weapons exist, the United States will maintain a safe, secure and effective arsenal to deter any adversary, and guarantee that defense to our allies...” President Obama, April 5, 2009 Prague, Czech Republic
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National Strategic Policy for Nuclear Weapons has been clearly formulated
The NPR stated the following as priorities, among others:
“…providing annual stockpile assessments through weapons surveillance.”
“…funding fully the ongoing LEP for the W76 submarine-based warhead and the LEP study and follow-on activities for the B61 bomb…”
“…initiating a study of LEP options for the W78 ICBM warhead, including the possibility of using the resulting warhead also on SLBMs to reduce the number of warhead types…”
“…the science, technology and engineering base, vital for stockpile stewardship as well as providing insights for non-proliferation, must be strengthened…”
Department of Defense, “Nuclear Posture Review”, April 2010
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PCF and CMF define a systematic array of deliverables in response to stockpile / deterrence requirements
PCF and CMF provide a smooth link between key requirements and Program / Campaign activity
Strong interaction between PCF, CMF and stockpile modernization requirements provide a strong foundation for the SSMP
National PolicyAnd Strategic Planning
Fundamental Source Documents – set weapons requirements e.g. LEP Plans ; Primary Certification Plan
Programs and CampaignsImplementation
PCF LEP 6X Process
CMF
Definition / scheduleof major tasks
The Predictive Capability Framework (PCF) and Component Maturation Framework (CMF) have
become general tools in Defense Programs Planning
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LEP Planning Framework
Programmatic and Technical
Source Requirements
Life Extension Options
Engineering, Readiness, Stockpile Services (Development/Production)
Science, ASC, ICF, Advanced Certification, Engineering
Production Readiness/ RTBF
CMF
PCF
Stockpile Modernization
Requirements and Drivers
Prioritizing and Planning Investment
Decision
Technology Development, Certification, and Component
Maturation
Technology Down-Select and
Stockpile Insertion
Stockpile Services and Systems (Advanced Architecture)
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The Predictive Capability Framework (PCF) Provides a Roadmap for Science Advances
Predictive Capability Framework
20062009
2012
2015
Safety and Security
Nuclear Explosive Package Assessment
Engineering Assessment
Hostile Environments, Output and Effects
Experimental and Computation Capabilities
2020
B61 Safety Design Options
Multi-pointSafety
MPS – RealisticEnvironment
Margin and Uncertaintiesfor Advanced Systems
Energy BalanceInitial Cond.
(early phase)
Initial Cond.(late phase)
Burn-init
SecondaryPerform. 1
BurnBoost
SecondaryPerform. 2
Surveillance
Neutron GeneratorValidated Model
NormalEnvironment
3D AbnormalAssessment
Flight Performance
Full Re-EntryPerformance
Non-Nuclear Design andQualification with QMU
Adv. CircuitPrediction and
Integrated Response
“End-End” Outputsand Total Response
DARHT
MESA
PetaflopComputing
CEFNIF
LANSCE
100-200Petaflop
300-500Petaflop
ExascaleComputing
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The Component Maturation Framework (CMF) provides a roadmap for stockpile technology
development and insertionW
orking Document
Component Maturation Framework
FY 2010FY 2013
FY 2016FY 2019
Arming, Fuzing, and Firing
Limited-Life Components
Nuclear Explosives Package
Safety, Security and Use Control
Diagnostics
Facilities
Systems StructuralHandling Gear
Shipping Containers
Supports/Mounts
Environmental Testing
Environmental TestingEnvironmental Testing
MicroMicroMicro
JTA
JTA
JTA
Testers
NDE Equipment
Trainers
Power SourcesUse Control
Power SourcesUse Control
CaseSecondary/Interstage
Primary
CasePrimary
GTSNG
Fuzing
Fuzing
FiringArming
Arming
Power Sources
Power SourcesHardwareArming
Power Sources
FuzingFiring
B61 LEP W88 AltW78 LEP
NG
Handling and Rework
Handling Gear
TrainersTesters
W88 NG
September 6, 2011
Hardware
B61-11 NG NGW87 NG
GTSW87 GTS
W80-1 NG W88 GTS
W80-1 GTS
Fuzing
W80-1B83-1W87 NG
B61-11
Secondary/Interstage
Dates shown are the required dates for achieving TRL7/MRL6 status.*The W88 NEP LEP FPU Date is FY 2025.
UPF Technologies
Firing
LegendB61 LEP Sub-SystemW88 Alt Sub-SystemW78 LEP Sub-SystemW88 NEP Sub-System*LLC Exchange Sub-System
Hardware
PrimarySecondary/Interstage
Handling and Rework
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Flow of Science and Technology Deliverables to the LEP process
Phase 6.2/2A Feasibility and Cost
Study
Phase 6.4 Production Engineering
Phase 6.3 Development Engineering
Phase 6.5
FPU
Phase 6.6 Full Rate Production
Phase 6.1Study
SSMP-PCF, CMF• Refurbishment options analyzed (PCF)• Determination of component lifetimes
(CMF)
CMF• Component technology and manufacturing development• Integration between DAs, PAs, and FPMs
PCF• Certification and qualification activities• Models and simulations of all aspects of weapon performance • Supplies computational tools and data to the CMF
Phas
e 6.
x
AcronymsDA=Design AgencyFPM=Federal Program ManagerPA=Production Agency
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After the explosive phase, weapons rapidly evolve into the HED and plasma regimes
(UGTs, sub-crits, DARHT, JASPER, etc)
HE phaseHigh explosive creates supercritical assembly
Primary phaseSuper-critical assembly
Primary energy production
Pre-nuclear phase
Energy transferX-rays transfer energy from
primary to secondary
Secondary phaseSecondary produces energy,
explosion and radiationNuclear Phase(UGTs NIF and, Z)
Weapons operation proceeds through the conditions of planetaryinteriors, to stellar interiors
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The Predictive Capability Framework (PCF) Provides a Roadmap for Science Advances
Predictive Capability Framework
20062009
2012
2015
Safety and Security
Nuclear Explosive Package Assessment
Engineering Assessment
Hostile Environments, Output and Effects
Experimental and Computation Capabilities
2020
B61 Safety Design Options
Multi-pointSafety
MPS – RealisticEnvironment
Margin and Uncertaintiesfor Advanced Systems
Energy BalanceInitial Cond.
(early phase)
Initial Cond.(late phase)
Burn-init
SecondaryPerform. 1
BurnBoost
SecondaryPerform. 2
Surveillance
Neutron GeneratorValidated Model
NormalEnvironment
3D AbnormalAssessment
Flight Performance
Full Re-EntryPerformance
Non-Nuclear Design andQualification with QMU
Adv. CircuitPrediction and
Integrated Response
“End-End” Outputsand Total Response
DARHT
MESA
PetaflopComputing
CEFNIF
LANSCE
100-200Petaflop
300-500Petaflop
ExascaleComputing
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Implementation of the 2010 Nuclear Posture Review is being pursued aggressively. The results show in an increased focus on support for the New Start treaty, nuclear non-proliferation, weapon life extension programs, infrastructure investments, and weapon dismantlements.
The Stockpile Stewardship and Management Plan provides a roadmap for the advanced science and technology development required to maintain the safety, security and reliability of the stockpile.
Conclusions
