Fulton Breen President & CEO. My Background Ether Finished Statistics Marketing, J.Huber Founded XS,...
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Transcript of Fulton Breen President & CEO. My Background Ether Finished Statistics Marketing, J.Huber Founded XS,...
Fulton BreenPresident & CEO
My BackgroundMy Background
Ether
FinishedStatistics
Marketing, J.Huber
FoundedXS, Inc.
LeftRhone Poulenc
SurvivedBudget cycles
Dot com crash
Timeline
Started WEMBAProgramJan. 1996
Breakeven!
OverviewOverview
The US ag market and key trends
Who we are; what we do
Building liquidity
The US ag market and key trends
Who we are; what we do
Building liquidity
The US Agricultural Market and Key TrendsThe US Agricultural Market and Key Trends
US Agriculture 101:Grower ConcentrationUS Agriculture 101:Grower Concentration
The 80/20 rule applies in agricultural production
The 80/20 rule applies in agricultural production
2 million U.S. farms
950 million acres
$209 billion outputs
Target XS customers
18%
60%
87%
Source: USDA, 2000
US Agriculture 101:Inputs and OutputsUS Agriculture 101:Inputs and Outputs
Lower prices are driving operating margins to less than 10% Lower prices are driving operating margins to less than 10%
Seed
Chemicals
Fertilizer
Livestock
Feed
Other operating exp. and capital
$112b crops
$97b livestock
$102-104b
$25b
$15b$11b
$9-10b$6-7b
Outputs=$209b Inputs=$184b
$14b
Equipment
Source: USDA, 2000
Industry Trends Require Efficient Markets Industry Trends Require Efficient Markets
Deregulation
Globalization
Consolidation
Technology
Deregulation
Globalization
Consolidation
Technology
Source: USDA, July 2001
Agricultural inputs move through traditional, complex channels…Agricultural inputs move through traditional, complex channels…
$0$0
$2$2
$4$4
$6$6
$8$8
$10$10
$12$12
ManufacturersManufacturers DistributorsDistributors DealersDealers GrowersGrowers
$B$B
1.0 To Dealers
6.1 To Dist
$7.1
Inter-DistributorTrading = $0.3B
Inter-DealerTrading = $0.3B
5.4
$10.0
4.6
Source: NuVentures Consultants, Industry Interviews, XS AnalysisSource: NuVentures Consultants, Industry Interviews, XS Analysis
COGS3.2
$5.4
5.4 To Growers
Program Margin 0.7
Invoice Margin 0.5
COGS1.0
Invoice Margin 0.8
4.6 To Growers
3.2 To Dealers
$7.8
COGS6.1
Program Margin 0.9
Information
Information
Agriculture Is “Wired”Agriculture Is “Wired”
History of Technology Adoption and Innovation
Catalog purchasesSatellite Communications, cell phones, Rural Telephone NetworkChicago Board of Trade, New York Cotton ExchangeGPS systemsRoundup® Ready Soybeans
All of which is why…
History of Technology Adoption and Innovation
Catalog purchasesSatellite Communications, cell phones, Rural Telephone NetworkChicago Board of Trade, New York Cotton ExchangeGPS systemsRoundup® Ready Soybeans
All of which is why…
>80% of Farmers with revenue over $500,000 have Internet access
>80% of Farmers with revenue over $500,000 have Internet access
Source: US Ag Census
ExternalForces
BuyersSellers
Substitution
IndustryCompetition
•>85% post patent•Generics•Biotech•Consolidation•Costs (inv, overhead)•Internet marketing
•Globalization•Internet procurement
•Internet (channel)•Generics (manufacturers)•Biotech (products)
•Deregulation of markets•Increased regulation of products •Government subsidies
“Power” Is Shifting Towards Buyers“Power” Is Shifting Towards Buyers
Farms Purchasing Inputs Over The InternetFarms Purchasing Inputs Over The Internet
1
Percent of growers buying
8 to 10 (6)
7 to 8 (6)
6 to 7 (6)
5 to 6 (5)
1 to 5 (11)
Source: USDA, July 2001
Who We Are, What We DoWho We Are, What We Do
XS, Inc. Profile XS, Inc. Profile Public exchange offering security, full service fulfillment, and precise customer relationship management (XSAG.com)
Private exchanges (Nterline)
Targeting highly fragmented, $50 billion, U.S. agricultural inputs market
ag chemicals seeds vet supplies Turf equipment parts animal nutrition PCO
Launched ag chemicals in 1999, expanded into seed, vet, parts, PCO and turf
Highly scalable, comprehensive, and proprietary system
>65,000 registered users
Public exchange offering security, full service fulfillment, and precise customer relationship management (XSAG.com)
Private exchanges (Nterline)
Targeting highly fragmented, $50 billion, U.S. agricultural inputs market
ag chemicals seeds vet supplies Turf equipment parts animal nutrition PCO
Launched ag chemicals in 1999, expanded into seed, vet, parts, PCO and turf
Highly scalable, comprehensive, and proprietary system
>65,000 registered users
Targeted U.S. Agricultural Inputs MarketTargeted U.S. Agricultural Inputs Market
Source: USDA, Industry Reports, Industry Interviews
Chemicals $9-10 b
Seeds $6-7 b
Fertilizer $11 b
Vet Supplies $6 b
Equipment Parts $15 b
TOTAL MARKET OPPORTUNITY $47-50 b
Conservative 2X multiplierConservative 2X multiplier $100 b$100 b
Building LiquidityBuilding Liquidity
How Hard Can This Be To Sell?How Hard Can This Be To Sell?
Buyer Value Proposition:
Free service
No risk
Save up to 30% or more
Buyer Value Proposition:
Free service
No risk
Save up to 30% or more $136.29 $136.29
$14.87
$34.35
XS $2.73
$185.51
$140.41
24% Savings
Example
Traditional
Freight $1.39
Dealer
Distributor
Manufacturer Manufacturer
NYP
Best in Class Merchandizing Flexibility for SellersBest in Class Merchandizing Flexibility for Sellers
Real time quotes or “free” deliveryReal time quotes or “free” delivery
Nterline ManagedNterline ManagedSeller ManagedSeller ManagedLogisticsLogistics
DEGREES OF FREEDOM FOR EACH LISTINGDEGREES OF FREEDOM FOR EACH LISTINGLEVERLEVER
AnonymousAnonymousIdentifiedIdentifiedSeller IDSeller ID
Customer Specific OffersCustomer Specific Offers
Sell via or to ChannelSell via or to Channel
Sell to AnyoneSell to AnyoneCustomerCustomer
Products and PromotionsProducts and Promotions
Bundled ProductsBundled ProductsSingle ProductSingle ProductProductProduct
Seller CreditSeller CreditThird Party CreditThird Party CreditCreditCredit Cash SalesCash Sales
Dynamic PricingDynamic PricingFixed PricingFixed PricingPricingPricing Contract PricingContract Pricing
VenueVenue Your SiteYour Site Affiliated Site(s)Affiliated Site(s)
Broadly DefinedBroadly DefinedGeographyGeography County Level DetailCounty Level DetailNo RestrictionNo Restriction
Linked from AdvertisingLinked from Advertising
Linked from Editorial Content Linked from Editorial Content
Straight ListingsStraight ListingsProduct Info
Product Info
Single Event PromoSingle Event PromoNoneNone Rewards ProgramRewards ProgramPromotionsPromotions
Demand Starts The Ball RollingDemand Starts The Ball Rolling
Degreeof
Adoption
Degreeof
Adoption
TimeTime
Six Components of E-commerce Trust• Icons, Seals of Approval• Brand• Navigation• Fulfillment• Presentation• Technology
Six Components of E-commerce Trust• Icons, Seals of Approval• Brand• Navigation• Fulfillment• Presentation• Technology
Tru
st
Tru
st
Register, Transact (trial), ConfirmRegister, Transact (trial), Confirm
Consider, Validate, AssessConsider, Validate, Assess
Browse, Search, CompareBrowse, Search, Compare
Tra
de
Tra
de Maintaining the Relationship
• Feature Enhancement• Flawless Execution• Customer Intimacy/One to One Marketing
Maintaining the Relationship• Feature Enhancement• Flawless Execution• Customer Intimacy/One to One Marketing Use Habitually,
Transact FullyUse Habitually,Transact Fully
Controllable Activities• 100+ PR articles• Over 500 Radio interviews• Print ads, radio ads, DTN
screens, mailings• TV interviews• Trade Shows• Outbound call center
Controllable Activities• 100+ PR articles• Over 500 Radio interviews• Print ads, radio ads, DTN
screens, mailings• TV interviews• Trade Shows• Outbound call center
Tra
ffic
Tra
ffic
Hear about siteHear about site
How Do You Build Trust (When Your Sellers Are Anonymous)?How Do You Build Trust (When Your Sellers Are Anonymous)?
Leverage “Trust Brokers”
Farm credit
Agricultural education
Teleconference testimonials
Buying Groups; Buying Group Premiums
Build relationships
Phone, E-mail, letters
Tradeshows, personal visits
Educate to clarify value proposition
PR
Speaking engagements
Survey to refine message
Over deliver on service, response time, complaint handling
Leverage “Trust Brokers”
Farm credit
Agricultural education
Teleconference testimonials
Buying Groups; Buying Group Premiums
Build relationships
Phone, E-mail, letters
Tradeshows, personal visits
Educate to clarify value proposition
PR
Speaking engagements
Survey to refine message
Over deliver on service, response time, complaint handling
Identify and Correct MisconceptionsIdentify and Correct Misconceptions
Data required for an ACHtransfer is easily collected
using a simple graphic
Target Segments To Drive Behavior
Info
rmati
on
Ad
op
tion
The UniverseE-mail, Word of Mouth, PR
Site visitCall back
Pre-registerPrice Visibility
Fully register$1 Auction, Group Buying
List;No sale
Bid;No purch.
Haggle, Market Maker Features
1st TradePersonal Letter, premium
Repeat
Beta Testers, special prizes
Adoption Will Begin With Those Who Have The Most To GainAdoption Will Begin With Those Who Have The Most To Gain
Trading Participants to Date
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
80%
90%
100%
Manufacturer Distributor Dealer Total
Sellers
% o
f T
otal
Sal
es
To Grower
To Dealer
To Distributor
3%7%5%5%
17%
13%
26%
61%
100%
6%
20%
54%
80%
XSAg.com: Gaining Real Traction…XSAg.com: Gaining Real Traction…
2001 vs. 2000• Trade value: ~2x• Net revenue: ~ 4x• Listings: >$1.5
Billion• Members: >65,000• Avg. trade incr:
>50%
2001 vs. 2000• Trade value: ~2x• Net revenue: ~ 4x• Listings: >$1.5
Billion• Members: >65,000• Avg. trade incr:
>50%
Source: XS metrics
OctNov Dec Ja
nFeb M
ar AprM
ay Jun Ju
lAug Sep
1999
2000
2001
2002
What We’ve Learned In 4 Years…What We’ve Learned In 4 Years…
Demand drives transactions (bring customers; the shelves will fill themselves)
Traditional awareness building activities don’t generate demand
Big companies respond to fear, not opportunity
Transparency, anonymity, technology have been the drivers of success, but…
…You can’t build a relationship with ‘anonymity’
Learn how to ‘monetize’ existing relationships
Execution is everything
Demand drives transactions (bring customers; the shelves will fill themselves)
Traditional awareness building activities don’t generate demand
Big companies respond to fear, not opportunity
Transparency, anonymity, technology have been the drivers of success, but…
…You can’t build a relationship with ‘anonymity’
Learn how to ‘monetize’ existing relationships
Execution is everything
Questions?
Fulton Breen: [email protected]