FSREC Fund Series · Q2 2009 Q4 2009 Q2 2010 Q4 2010 Q2 2011 Q4 2011 Q2 2012 Q4 2012 Q2 2013 Q4...
Transcript of FSREC Fund Series · Q2 2009 Q4 2009 Q2 2010 Q4 2010 Q2 2011 Q4 2011 Q2 2012 Q4 2012 Q2 2013 Q4...
FY19 Annual Update
FSREC Fund
Series
Market update
1.
241 O’Riordan Street, Mascot
Macro factors underpinning commercial real estate remain supportive
Spread of commercial property yield to 10 year government bond
Commercial property yields and interest rates
Commercial property yields by sector
3
(0.5%)
-
0.5%
1.0%
1.5%
2.0%
2.5%
3.0%
3.5%
4.0%
Jun
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Jun
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Jun
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Jun
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Jun
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Jun
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Jun
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Jun
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Jun
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Jun
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Jun
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Jun
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Jun
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4.50%
5.00%
5.50%
6.00%
6.50%
7.00%
7.50%
8.00%
8.50%
Jun
-07
Jun
-08
Jun
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Prime Office Yield Prime Industrial Yield
National Retail Yield
Source: Bloomberg, JLL Research, FSREC (30 June 2019)Disclaimer: historical performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance.
Sydney CBD vs Sydney suburban
Office markets
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Source: JLL (30 June 2019)Notes:* Macquarie Park data as an illustration of a typical suburban Sydney marketDisclaimer: historical performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance.
Net effective office rents by market
$150
$250
$350
$450
$550
$650
$750
$850
Sydney CBD Suburban Sydney*
Melbourne, Brisbane and Canberra
$150
$200
$250
$300
$350
$400
$450
$500
$550
$600
Melbourne CBD Brisbane CBD Canberra
Ne
t e
ffe
ctiv
e re
nt
($/s
qm
)
Ne
t e
ffe
ctiv
e re
nt
($/s
qm
)
Non-discretionary consumption categories insensitive to changes in housing wealth
Effect of a 1 per cent change in housing wealth (per capita)
Retail sector – Non-discretionary categories resilient
5
%
0.6
0.4
0.2
0.0
-0.2
%
0.6
0.4
0.2
0.0
-0.2
Non-discretionary consumption
Sh
ort
-ru
n e
last
icit
ies
Source: ABS, Corelogic, RBA (6 March 2019), calculated over six months
Retail sector — sales growth
6
Source: ABS (30 June 2019)Disclaimer: historical performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance.
Non-discretionary retail
FRESH FOODAnnual growth: 3.1%
FOOD CATERINGAnnual growth: 2.9%
SERVICES/OTHERAnnual growth: 3.1%
Discretionary retail
DEPARTMENT STORESAnnual growth: -1.1%
HOUSEHOLD GOODSAnnual growth: -1.5%
CLOTHINGAnnual growth: 1.7%
Annualised sales growth by category
Retail vacancy by shopping centre type
Retail sector — vacancy rates by centre type
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0.00%
1.00%
2.00%
3.00%
4.00%
5.00%
6.00%
Q22009
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Q22015
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Q42017
Q22018
Q42018
Q22019
Neighbourhood centres
Mid-sized centres
Large centres
Source: JLL (30 June 19)Disclaimer: historical performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance.
Retail sector – recent transactions
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Epping, Melbourne | $44.5m, 5.7% | December 2018
Caloundra, Sunshine Coast | $23.1m, 5.7% |November 2018
Cecil Hills, Sydney | $21m, 5.9% | June 2019Willowdale, Sydney | $35m, 5.6% | July 2019
Source: Colliers International, CBRE, FSRECDisclaimer: historical performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance.
FY19 overview
2.
Marketfair, Campbelltown
FSREC Fund Series overview
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Fund I Fund II Fund III Fund IV
No. of assets 5 5 2 1
Occupancy 99% 96% 98% 99%
WALE (years) 5.0 5.8 4.0 4.5
No. of tenants 133 98 62 70
Top tenants by income
1. Coles 2. Study Group3. Fitness First4. Woolworths 5. Aldi
1. Woolworths2. Coles3. Fitness First4. TK Maxx5. Foodworks
1. NSW Government2. Abbvie3. Woolworths4. Landis & Gyr5. Coates Hire
1. Kmart2. Coles3. Aldi4. Quality Pharmacy5. The Reject Shop
Geographic diversification (by value)
Geographic Diversification
Distribution yield1 4.4%2 5.3% 4.8% 4.0%3
72%
13%
15%
87%
13%
QLD
NSW VIC
SA
42%
11%
47%
100%100%
100%
37%
63%
100%
100%
Retail
Office
Note: All figures calculated for the year ending 30 June 20191 Based on initial capital invested2 Yield excluding capital return of $0.50 in FY18 following sale of 390 St Kilda Road, Melbourne3 Annualised yield
Fund performance1
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Portfolio valuations Fund I Fund II Fund III Fund IV
June 2018 valuation $251.1 million $178.2 million $235.1 million n/a
June 2019 valuation $256.1 million $179.0 million $238.5 million $114.1 million
Portfolio valuation change ($) $5.0 million $0.8 million $3.4 million n/a
Portfolio valuation change (%) 2.0% 0.5% 1.5% 0.9%
Weighted avg. capitalisation rate 6.10% 6.18% 6.28% 6.25%
Fund Net Tangible Assets
NTA 2 $1.58 $1.60 $1.52 $1.513
Fund gearing
Gearing ratio 36.8% 38.6% 32.0% 39.6%
Notes:1 All figures based on unaudited estimates for 30 June 2019. Audited financials will be released in mid September 2019.2 If interest rate hedging accounting adjustments were excluded, the NTA would increase to: $1.63 (Fund I), $1.61 (Fund II), $1.54 (Fund III) and $1.54 (Fund IV).3 Fund IV NTA valuation based on historical acquisition cost, less depreciation.
Disclaimer: historical performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance.
Fund performance
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Notes: All figures based on unaudited estimates for 30 June 2019. Audited financials will be released in mid September 2019.Performance is calculated on a total return NTA basis, inclusive of distributions and net of fees and costs, using audited and unaudited NTA per unit on a quarterly basis. The initial NTA used is the proforma NTA, or issue price net of issue costs. Historical performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance.
Operational
performance
3.
241 O’Riordan Street, Mascot
FSREC Fund Series—FY19 portfolio performance
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Source: FSRECNotes: All figures calculated for the year ending 30 June 2019. Retail portfolio statistics calculated on portfolio of 12 shopping centres. All turnover figures based on unaudited sales turnover for the 12 months to 30 June 2019.Disclaimer: historical performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance.
Northpoint, [ ][ ], [ ]
portfolio annual turnover
$803m
Re
tail
po
rtfo
lio
on
ly
portfolio turnover growth
5.1%
retail portfolio weighting to supermarkets
33%
retail portfolio weighting to apparel
2.3%
majors turnover growth
5.4%
annual specialty sales growth
2.5%To
tal
po
rtfo
lio
leasing deals completed
50tenant retention on
lease expiry
66%
average leasing spread
1.5%like for like rental
growth
3.7%
FSREC Fund Series—retail portfolio diversification
Diversification by retail categories
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Source: FSREC, calculated on portfolio of 12 retail centres as at 30 June 2019Note: All figures calculated by income* Includes Gaming Venues, Banks, Post Office, Health Insurance and Professional Services
Diversification by retail groups
32.6%
11.8% 9.3% 9.1% 8.3% 7.2% 6.8%
0.0%
10.0%
20.0%
30.0%
40.0%
Majors General Retail Food Catering Non-RetailSpecialty
Mini-Major Food Retail Retail Services
33%
29%
9%
29%
Major
National
Franchise
Independent
*
Sustainability
62%of portfolio has Solar*
*including Campbelltown installation (in progress)
Birkdale Fair, QLD
Lynbrook Village, VIC
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1.5 MWInstalled*
530equivalent cars
=
Source: Australian National Greenhouse Accounts, July 2017
Customer focused branding strategy rolled out across portfolio
National marketing strategy
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Leasing marketingConsumer marketing
Fund I — key metrics
Expiry profile
shopping centreassets
5tenants
133occupancy
99%
weighted average lease expiry
5.0 yrsleasing deals
completed (FY19)
16majors MAT growth
7.4%
Source: FSRECNote: All stats calculated as at 30 June 2019 (by income)
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0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024+
19% 15% 6%
4% 4%
Top tenants
Oxford Village, SydneyLake Innes Village
Coles Study Group Fitness First
Woolworths Aldi
Fund I—Oxford Village,
Sydney
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Fund II — key metrics
Top tenantsExpiry profile
shopping centreassets
5tenants
98occupancy
96%
weighted average lease expiry
5.8 yrsleasing deals
completed (FY19)
19majors MAT growth
5.9%
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0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024+
21% 10% 5%
5% 4%Source: FSRECNote: All stats calculated as at 30 June 2019 (by income)
Newtown Central
Coles
Foodworks
Fitness First
TK Maxx
Woolworths
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Fund II—Campbelltown master plan
Source: FSRECNote: Indicative outline of Marketfair Campbelltown and adjoining sites
Fund III — key metrics
Expiry profile
assets
2tenants
62occupancy
98%
weighted average lease expiry
4.0 yrsleasing deals
completed (FY19)
10majors MAT growth
3.4%
22Source: FSRECNote: All stats calculated as at 30 June 2019 (by income)
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024+
22
25% 10% 7%
7% 6%
Top tenants
Toormina Gardens
Government Abbvie Woolworths
Landis+Gyr Coates Hire
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Fund III—Toormina Gardens
[ ]
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Fund III—Mascot energy efficiency upgrade
241 O’Riordan Street, Sydney
[ ]
5 star
energy rating
A high-quality convenience based sub-regional shopping in metropolitan Melbourne with growth potential
Fund IV Acquisition—
Keilor Central, Melbourne
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Purchase price
Key acquisition metrics
$113mPurchase yield
6.3%Annual customer
visitations
7m
Occupancy
99%Anchors
Coles/Aldi/
KmartSite area
9ha
Annual centre sales
$158mWALE
4.5 years
Note: Purchase price and yield as at December 2018. All other figures as at 30 June 2019.
Strategy and
Outlook
4.
Keilor Central, Keilor
Strategy and outlook
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fActive
managementPrudent capital
managementGrowth
opportunities
1 2 3
► Optimise portfolio income by improving tenant quality and mix
► Focus on customer experience to drive performance
► Maintain strong relationships with key tenants
► Strategic approach to maximise renewal and leasing outcomes
► Pursue value accretive projects and developments to drive growth
► Considered use of debt gearing over the cycle
► Effective use of interest rate hedging to minimisecosts and risk
Provide a secure and steady income stream for unitholders
This presentation has been prepared by Fort Street Real Estate Capital Pty Limited (ACN 164 101 731) (FSREC) a corporate authorised representative (CAR No. 440307) of Walsh & Company Asset Management Pty Limited (ACN 159 902 708, AFSL 450 257) (Walsh AM) as investment manager for Fort Street Real Estate Capital Fund I (ARSN 163 688 346) (Fund I) , Fort Street Real Estate Capital Fund II (ARSN 169 190 498) (Fund II), Fort Street Real Estate Capital Fund III (ARSN 605 335 957) (Fund III) and Fort Street Real Estate Capital Fund IV (ARSN 623 196 298) (Fund IV) (Funds). Walsh AM is a wholly owned subsidiary of Evans Dixon Limited (ACN 609 913 457) (ED1) and ED1 has a majority economic interest in FSREC.
This presentation may contain general advice. Any general advice provided has been prepared without taking into account your objectives, financial situation or needs. Before acting on the advice, you should consider the appropriateness of the advice with regard to your objectives, financial situation and needs.
Past performance of the FSREC Funds is not a reliable indicator of the future performance of the FSREC Funds.
This presentation may contain statements, opinions, projections, forecasts and other material (forward-looking statements), based on various assumptions. Those assumptions may or may not provide to be correct. The Investment Manager and its advisers (including all of their respective directors, consultants and/or employees, related bodies corporate and the directors, shareholders, managers, employees or agents of them) (Parties) do not make any representation as to the accuracy or likelihood of fulfilment of the forward-looking statements or any of the assumptions upon which they are based. Actual results, performance or achievements may vary materially from any projections and forward-looking statements and the assumptions on which those statements are based. Readers are cautioned not to place undue reliance on forward-looking statements and the Parties assume no obligation to update that information.
The Parties give no warranty, representation or guarantee as to the accuracy or completeness or reliability of the information contained in this presentation. The Parties do not accept, except to the extent permitted by law, responsibility for any loss, claim, damages, costs or expenses arising out of, or in connection with, the information contained in this presentation. Any recipient of this presentation should independently satisfy themselves as to the accuracy of all information contained in this presentation.
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Disclaimer