FSInsight Daily COVID-19 Chartbook · COVID-19 Chartbook For Reg AC certification and other...
19
FSInsight Daily COVID-19 Chartbook For Reg AC certification and other important disclosures see Slide 19 .
Transcript of FSInsight Daily COVID-19 Chartbook · COVID-19 Chartbook For Reg AC certification and other...
FSInsight Daily COVID-19 Chartbook
For Reg AC certification and other important disclosures see Slide 19.
6,3
03
20,5
55
20,2
00
41,7
64
71,0
38
19,8
53
12,5
83
29,6
55
-1,0
90
-26,1
90
-47,6
01
-52,2
71
-50,8
16
-33,3
13
-48,3
75
-69,2
94
-38,6
98
-37,3
01
-51,4
03
-39,3
38
-50,4
03
-15,6
95
-1,9
31
-29,7
29
-29,9
37
-21,7
10
-27,1
71
-24,7
14
-31,4
74
-27,5
39
-43,0
51
-32,9
28
-38,8
51
-33,7
99
-22,1
26
-22,7
34
-23,8
42
-13,0
45
-18,7
52
-28,3
44
-22,2
45
-23,5
72
-26,0
99
-150,000
-100,000
-50,000
0
50,000
100,000
1/4
/21
1/6
/21
1/8
/21
1/1
0/21
1/1
2/21
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1/1
6/21
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0/21
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2/21
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2/7
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2/9
/21
2/1
1/21
2/1
3/21
2/1
5/21
US daily new cases rolling 7D delta
2/15/2021 2
#1: USA COVID-19 Situation at a Glance…
Source: Fundstrat, COVID-19 Tracking Project, State Department of Health
0
200,000
400,000
600,000
800,000
1,000,000
1,200,000
1,400,000
1,600,000
1,800,000
2,000,000
3/4/20 4/4/20 5/4/20 6/4/20 7/4/20 8/4/20 9/4/20 10/4/20 11/4/20 12/4/20 1/4/21 2/4/21
Dai
ly T
ests
Adm
inis
tere
d
USA total COVID-19 tests administered
~150,000 per day
~400,000
per day
~600,000
per day
~1,400,000
per day
0
50,000
100,000
150,000
200,000
250,000
300,000
350,000
3/4/20 4/4/20 5/4/20 6/4/20 7/4/20 8/4/20 9/4/20 10/4/20 11/4/2012/4/20 1/4/21 2/4/21
Wave 1:
4/24/2020
Wave 2:
7/17/2020
US daily new cases
Wave 3:
1/8/2021
40.3%
34.1%
0%
5%
10%
15%
20%
25%
30%
35%
40%
45%
3/5/20 4/5/20 5/5/20 6/5/20 7/5/20 8/5/20 9/5/20 10/5/20 11/5/20 12/5/20 1/5/21 2/5/21
Daily P
ositiv
ity
Rate
(%
)
United States 10% 7 per. Mov. Avg. (United States)
10%
6.9%
Wave 1
Wave 2
Wave 3
0.6 1.0
1.2 2.3
0.8 1.3 2.1 2.6 3.2
3.1
1.4 3
.93
.5 4.8
4.2
4.2 4.9 8
.58
.07
.75
.35
.1 6.7 9
.7 10
.91
1.2
10
.47
.94
.3 8.0 1
0.6 13
.31
9.1
19
.11
1.1
7.7
15
.01
6.0 2
0.9 24
.02
4.7
0
5
10
15
20
25
30
Daily Vaccinations / Daily Cases (7D Avg)
0
10,000,000
20,000,000
30,000,000
40,000,000
50,000,000
60,000,000
70,000,000
80,000,000
12/
18
12/
30 1/4
1/6
1/8
1/1
2
1/1
4
1/1
9
1/2
1
1/2
3
1/2
5
1/2
7
1/2
9
1/3
1
2/2
2/4
2/6
2/8
2/1
0
2/1
2
2/1
4
# V
accin
es A
dm
inis
tere
d
125,0
98 1,0
30,3
02
1,4
82,3
03
1,3
62,1
77
334,4
50
268,5
18
443,1
56
579,6
32
725,5
73
2,1
95,1
53
330,0
54
915,5
81
792,7
09
1,0
65,8
17
3,2
59,6
78
792,3
18
897,5
06
1,4
83,5
75
1,3
43,9
00
1,2
33,6
98
835,2
95
801,8
68
1,0
39,2
39
1,4
54,7
43
1,6
03,2
56
1,6
07,0
66
1,4
54,9
50
1,0
62,0
20
566,6
61
996,9
29
1,2
74,3
23
1,5
26,8
69
2,1
02,8
95
2,0
43,6
77
1,1
47,2
50
767,2
86
1,4
77,9
26
1,5
22,8
88
1,9
12,3
29
2,1
25,3
17
2,1
01,9
43
0
500,000
1,000,000
1,500,000
2,000,000
2,500,000
3,000,000
3,500,000
4,000,000
12/
18
12/
30 1/4
1/6
1/8
1/1
2
1/1
4
1/1
9
1/2
1
1/2
3
1/2
5
1/2
7
1/2
9
1/3
1
2/2
2/4
2/6
2/8
2/1
0
2/1
2
2/1
4# V
accin
es A
dm
inis
tere
d
2/15/2021 3
#2: USA COVID-19 Vaccination Progress at a Glance…
Source: Fundstrat, COVID-19 Tracking Project, State Department of Health, CDC
Cumulative Vaccines Administered as % State Population
Implied Weekly Vaccines Administered as % State Population
Daily Vaccines Administered
Cumulative Vaccines Administered
2/15/2021 4
#3: USA COVID-19 Daily Cases Weekday Seasonality (Past 4 Weeks) …
Source: Fundstrat, COVID-19 Tracking Project, State Department of Health
18
8,8
26
14
8,7
69
13
8,2
77
17
4,6
05
17
8,0
19
18
2,1
63
16
8,0
16
13
8,4
23
13
3,0
74
13
6,3
46
14
4,8
76
14
8,0
82
16
0,4
53
14
0,8
45
11
3,7
09
10
1,6
00
10
8,8
07
10
1,8
25
11
5,1
54
12
1,6
02
10
7,0
46
91
,58
3
78
,86
6
84
,96
5
88
,78
0
96
,40
2
93
,25
8
84
,80
1
68
,01
1
52
,76
7
0
50,000
100,000
150,000
200,000
250,000
Sunday Monday Tuesday Wednesday Thursday Friday Saturday
US D
aily
Cases
Weekday
Week -4 (1/17-1/23) Week -3 (1/24-1/30) Week -2 (1/31-2/6) Week -1 (2/7-2/13) Current Week (2/14-2/20)
Sorted Daily Cases (3D avg)
Daily Cases per 1mm residents Since Peak Hospitalization
% US
Pop
% US
GDP 2/15
7D
Delta 2/15
7D
Delta # Days
%
Decline
in Daily
Cases
7D Net
Hospitaliz
ation
7D Net
Hospitalizati
on / 7D New
Cases
United States 100% 100% 52,767 -26,099 209 -73 37 -75% -14,600 -2.6%
United States (ex-CA)88% 43,925 -22,172 202 -68 38 -1 0 #DIV/0!
States:
Sorted Daily Cases (3D avg)
Daily Cases per 1mm residents Since Peak Hospitalization
% US
Pop
% US
GDP 2/15
7D
Delta 2/15
7D
Delta # Days
%
Decline
in Daily
Cases
7D Net
Hospitaliz
ation
7D Net
Hospitalizati
on / 7D New
Cases
United States 100% 100% 52,767 -26,099 209 -73 37 -75% -14,600 -2.6%
United States (ex-CA)88% 43,925 -22,172 202 -68 38 -1 0 #DIV/0!
States:
2/15/2021 5
#4: USA State COVID-19 Situation at a Glance…
Source: Fundstrat, COVID-19 Tracking Project, State Department of Health
1 California 11.9% 14.6% 6,487 -3,927 209 -111 36 -84% -2,786 (4.6%)
2 New York 5.9% 8.1% 6,365 -2,083 402 -108 37 -56% -1,093 (1.9%)
3 Florida 6.5% 5.0% 3,615 -2,122 257 -51 38 -71% -705 (1.5%)
4 Texas 8.7% 8.8% 2,981 -3,632 198 -64 39 -74% -1,577 (2.9%)
5 Connecticut 1.1% 1.3% 2,905 -1,462 272 -137 33 -80% -197 (3.0%)
6 North Carolina 3.2% 2.7% 2,458 -626 310 -69 37 -70% -398 (1.6%)
7 Pennsylvania 3.9% 3.8% 1,945 -559 224 -66 72 -76% -434 (1.8%)
8 Ohio 3.5% 3.3% 1,915 -11 186 -31 67 -81% -379 (2.0%)
9 Georgia 3.2% 2.9% 1,730 -758 196 -83 36 -76% -534 (3.1%)
10 Massachusetts 2.1% 2.8% 1,573 +204 268 -124 37 -76% -280 (2.0%)
11 Virginia 2.6% 2.6% 1,539 -161 286 -79 28 -69% -452 (2.2%)
12 Illinois 3.8% 4.2% 1,420 -327 135 -45 94 -87% -372 (2.4%)
13 Kansas 0.9% 0.8% 1,348 -50 154 -6 82 -90% -40 (0.9%)
14 Arizona 2.2% 1.7% 1,338 -912 232 -100 43 -86% -734 (4.7%)
15 Michigan 3.0% 2.6% 1,265 -504 71 -22 89 -92% -254 (4.2%)
16 South Carolina 1.6% 1.1% 1,206 -704 427 -57 36 -67% -295 (1.9%)
17 New Jersey 2.7% 3.0% 1,202 -981 238 -132 37 -66% -406 (2.1%)
18 Tennessee 2.1% 1.8% 1,143 -83 209 -123 59 -86% -210 (1.6%)
19 Indiana 2.0% 1.8% 777 -256 160 -116 72 -87% -226 (2.5%)
20 Oklahoma 1.2% 1.0% 730 -310 291 -153 36 -78% -162 (1.7%)
21 Kentucky 1.3% 1.0% 723 -280 238 -99 38 -79% -194 (1.8%)
22 Maryland 1.8% 2.0% 722 -181 150 -68 36 -75% -300 (4.2%)
23 Alabama 1.5% 1.1% 674 -251 200 -74 39 -81% -437 (5.3%)
24 Minnesota 1.7% 1.8% 602 +38 137 -8 77 -90% -4 (0.1%)
25 Mississippi 0.9% 0.6% 544 -91 261 -27 37 -73% -243 (4.3%)
26 Colorado 1.7% 1.8% 533 -454 150 -56 86 -86% -73 (0.9%)
27 Louisiana 1.4% 1.3% 507 -677 130 -98 39 -89% -295 (4.0%)
28 Utah 1.0% 0.9% 462 -52 220 -54 38 -83% -55 (0.8%)
29 Missouri 1.8% 1.5% 421 -26 84 -36 93 -90% -185 (3.7%)
30 Wisconsin 1.8% 1.6% 405 -138 95 -28 94 -93% -159 (3.0%)
31 Nevada 0.9% 0.8% 391 -157 186 -41 37 -81% -209 (5.0%)
32 West Virginia 0.5% 0.4% 301 -97 186 -86 43 -82% -56 (2.0%)
33 Arkansas 0.9% 0.6% 271 -268 146 -93 36 -82% -135 (3.4%)
34 Delaware 0.3% 0.4% 236 -101 334 -51 37 -64% -43 (1.9%)
35 New Hampshire 0.4% 0.4% 232 +112 232 +10 42 -71% -54 (2.1%)
36 Iowa 1.0% 0.9% 214 -103 108 -5 94 -91% -76 (2.3%)
37 Rhode Island 0.3% 0.3% 203 -8 304 -78 72 -80% -60 (2.2%)
38 Puerto Rico 1.0% 0.5% 203 -40 83 -15 58 -77% -54 (3.9%)
39 New Mexico 0.6% 0.5% 190 -121 165 -6 87 -89% -110 (3.8%)
40 Vermont 0.2% 0.2% 185 +39 239 +7 37 -29% -23 (2.8%)
41 Oregon 1.3% 1.2% 183 -114 70 -31 71 -83% -37 (1.2%)
42 Maine 0.4% 0.3% 148 -53 104 -50 31 -83% -29 (2.3%)
43 Montana 0.3% 0.2% 138 +14 148 +6 92 -88% -9 (0.6%)
44 Nebraska 0.6% 0.6% 92 -12 318 +187 88 -78% -55 (1.6%)
45 District of Columbia 0.2% 0.7% 83 -18 156 -81 36 -68% -41 (4.7%)
46 South Dakota 0.3% 0.3% 61 +7 116 -12 93 -94% -26 (2.4%)
47 North Dakota 0.2% 0.3% 46 +17 77 +38 93 -97% 2 0.4%
48 Hawaii 0.4% 0.5% 33 +1 34 -16 170 -83% -42 (10.8%)
49 U.S. Virgin Islands 0.0% 0.0% 18 +18 56 +3 178 -87% 0 0.0%
50 Guam 0.0% 0.0% 4 -11 20 -36 97 -98% -3 (8.6%)
51 Wyoming 0.2% 0.2% 0 -157 29 -91 88 -98% 3 0.9%
52 Washington 2.3% 2.7% 0 -2,807 33 -109 82 -94% -33 (0.8%)
53 Northern Mariana Islands0.0% 0.0% 0 +0 0 +0 111 -100% 0 0.0%
54 Idaho 0.5% 0.4% 0 -449 48 -80 67 -96% -27 (1.5%)
55 American Samoa 0.0% 0.0% 0 +0 0 +0 0 0% 0
56 Alaska 0.2% 0.3% 0 -415 0 -189 72 -100% -4 (0.7%)
2/15/2021 6
#5: USA COVID-19 Heat Map…
Source: Fundstrat, COVID-19 Tracking Project, State Department of Health
Daily Case Increases
Daily Case Increases per 1mm Resident (3D Avg)
7D Delta in Daily New Cases
2/15/2021 7
#6: # of Days since Daily Case Peaked by States…
Source: Fundstrat, COVID-19 Tracking Project, State Department of Health
# Days since Daily Cases (3D Avg) Peak (as of 2/15)
Sorted
Peak Date 2/15/21
% off the
Peak
% US
Pop
United States 1/9/21 37 -75% 100%
States:U.S. Virgin Islands 8/21/20 178 -87% 0.0%
Hawaii 8/29/20 170 -83% 0.4%
Northern Mariana Islands10/27/20 111 -100% 0.0%
Guam 11/10/20 97 -98% 0.0%
Wisconsin 11/13/20 94 -93% 1.8%
Illinois 11/13/20 94 -87% 3.8%
Iowa 11/13/20 94 -91% 1.0%
South Dakota 11/14/20 93 -94% 0.3%
North Dakota 11/14/20 93 -97% 0.2%
Missouri 11/14/20 93 -90% 1.8%
Montana 11/15/20 92 -88% 0.3%
Michigan 11/18/20 89 -92% 3.0%
Wyoming 11/19/20 88 -98% 0.2%
Nebraska 11/19/20 88 -78% 0.6%
New Mexico 11/20/20 87 -89% 0.6%
Colorado 11/21/20 86 -86% 1.7%
Washington 11/25/20 82 -94% 2.3%
Kansas 11/25/20 82 -90% 0.9%
Minnesota 11/30/20 77 -90% 1.7%
Rhode Island 12/5/20 72 -80% 0.3%
Pennsylvania 12/5/20 72 -76% 3.9%
Indiana 12/5/20 72 -87% 2.0%
Alaska 12/5/20 72 -100% 0.2%
Oregon 12/6/20 71 -83% 1.3%
Ohio 12/10/20 67 -81% 3.5%
Idaho 12/10/20 67 -96% 0.5%
Tennessee 12/18/20 59 -86% 2.1%
Puerto Rico 12/19/20 58 -77% 1.0%
West Virginia 1/3/21 43 -82% 0.5%
Arizona 1/3/21 43 -86% 2.2%
New Hampshire 1/4/21 42 -71% 0.4%
Texas 1/7/21 39 -74% 8.7%
Louisiana 1/7/21 39 -89% 1.4%
Alabama 1/7/21 39 -81% 1.5%
Utah 1/8/21 38 -83% 1.0%
Kentucky 1/8/21 38 -79% 1.3%
Florida 1/8/21 38 -71% 6.5%
Vermont 1/9/21 37 -29% 0.2%
New York 1/9/21 37 -56% 5.9%
Nevada 1/9/21 37 -81% 0.9%
New Jersey 1/9/21 37 -66% 2.7%
North Carolina 1/9/21 37 -70% 3.2%
Mississippi 1/9/21 37 -73% 0.9%
Massachusetts 1/9/21 37 -76% 2.1%
Delaware 1/9/21 37 -64% 0.3%
South Carolina 1/10/21 36 -67% 1.6%
Oklahoma 1/10/21 36 -78% 1.2%
Maryland 1/10/21 36 -75% 1.8%
Georgia 1/10/21 36 -76% 3.2%
District of Columbia 1/10/21 36 -68% 0.2%
California 1/10/21 36 -84% 11.9%
Arkansas 1/10/21 36 -82% 0.9%
Connecticut 1/13/21 33 -80% 1.1%
Maine 1/15/21 31 -83% 0.4%
Virginia 1/18/21 28 -69% 2.6%
Sorted
Peak Date 2/15/21
% off the
Peak
% US
Pop
United States 1/9/21 37 -75% 100%
States:
# Days since Daily Case Peak: Longer = Good
Daily Cases % off the Peak: Larger Decline = Good
2/15/2021 8
#7: US New Cases by States… (sorted by today’s new cases)
Source: Fundstrat, COVID-19 Tracking Project, State Department of Health
Sorted
7D Ago Last 3-day Trend
2/8/21 2/13/21 2/14/21 2/15/21 vs 7D ago
United States 78,866 84,801 68,011 52,767 -26,099
States:
Sorted
7D Ago Last 3-day Trend
2/8/21 2/13/21 2/14/21 2/15/21 vs 7D ago
United States 78,866 84,801 68,011 52,767 -26,099
States:
California 10,414 9,421 8,842 6,487
New York 8,448 8,763 8,316 6,365
Florida 5,737 7,515 5,436 3,615
Texas 6,613 8,498 5,725 2,981
Connecticut 4,367 0 0 2,905
North Carolina 3,084 4,130 3,170 2,458
Pennsylvania 2,504 4,088 2,571 1,945
Ohio 1,926 2,799 1,809 1,915
Georgia 2,488 2,793 1,709 1,730
Massachusetts 1,369 2,083 1,882 1,573
Virginia 1,700 3,215 2,575 1,539
Illinois 1,747 2,092 1,631 1,420
Kansas 1,398 0 0 1,348
Arizona 2,250 1,791 1,947 1,338
Michigan 1,769 852 0 1,265
South Carolina 1,910 2,223 3,169 1,206
New Jersey 2,183 3,349 1,781 1,202
Tennessee 1,226 1,792 1,347 1,143
Indiana 1,033 1,232 1,218 777
Oklahoma 1,040 1,458 1,266 730
Kentucky 1,003 764 1,708 723
Maryland 903 1,159 847 722
Alabama 925 1,189 1,075 674
Minnesota 564 940 776 602
Mississippi 635 695 1,093 544
Colorado 987 1,209 853 533
Louisiana 1,184 0 1,312 507
Utah 514 943 710 462
Missouri 447 645 489 421
Wisconsin 543 752 503 405
Nevada 548 813 512 391
West Virginia 398 395 306 301
Arkansas 539 619 433 271
Delaware 337 409 331 236
New Hampshire 120 433 280 232 <--higher
Iowa 317 450 355 214
Rhode Island 211 443 320 203
Puerto Rico 243 321 269 203
New Mexico 311 565 282 190
Vermont 146 146 116 185 <--higher
Oregon 297 458 247 183
Maine 201 160 110 148
Montana 124 234 104 138
Nebraska 104 1,542 209 92
District of Columbia 101 126 122 83
South Dakota 54 137 110 61
North Dakota 29 85 46 46 <--higher
Hawaii 32 67 46 33
U.S. Virgin Islands 0 0 0 18
Guam 15 3 3 4
Wyoming 157 0 50 0
Washington 2,807 747 0 0
Northern Mariana Islands 0 0 0 0
Idaho 449 258 0 0
American Samoa 0 0 0 0
Alaska 415 0 0 0
higher – if the state has 20% more daily cases than 7D ago…
2/15/2021 9
#8: US Daily Hospitalizations…
Source: Fundstrat, COVID-19 Tracking Project, State Department of Health
US Net Hospitalizations (aggregate of 50 states + Washington, D.C.)0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 112
141
485
892
7,6
17
10,7
89
12,1
79
13,8
33
15,5
74
17,8
56
19,9
82
21,8
33
24,5
64
28,3
56
29,5
78
32,9
96 40,1
81
41,6
62
47,2
42
49,0
28
51,9
68
51,9
53
53,7
34
54,8
08
58,9
26
58,0
40
57,5
08
56,2
41
55,1
77
55,1
07
58,0
66
57,7
71
57,4
77
55,7
16
56,0
59
54,7
81
54,7
21
55,0
91
55,0
89
53,9
51
52,5
31
51,7
16
50,4
76
49,7
87
50,6
30
49,9
45
48,8
38
47,4
57
46,3
85
44,6
77
44,3
83
45,2
15
44,5
18
44,0
43
42,5
76
42,6
27
40,8
49
40,6
70
40,9
08
40,6
26
40,1
32
39,0
17
38,0
96
36,9
16
36,8
78
36,8
14
37,4
75
37,1
80
36,0
86
34,8
63
34,0
54
33,4
47
32,9
22
32,0
98
31,6
38
31,3
26
30,8
96
30,2
98
29,9
79
30,5
47
30,2
03
29,0
39
28,5
20
27,8
77
27,2
30
27,1
14
28,0
17
28,3
10
28,1
72
28,3
59
27,7
53
27,7
19
28,4
89
29,9
06
30,8
38
31,5
11
31,7
99
32,2
43
32,1
23
33,2
07
34,8
40
35,9
34
37,4
84
37,7
70
38,1
38
38,7
32
39,7
67
41,6
96
43,0
18
43,9
00 51,5
34
51,8
03
52,5
93
53,9
28
55,5
16
56,1
44
57,3
53
57,7
63
57,5
49
57,2
56
58,3
29
59,3
22
59,6
60
57,8
12
58,8
03
58,0
92
57,8
02
57,9
32
57,0
96
57,3
19
56,4
74
55,5
37
54,4
05
53,9
10
53,2
97
53,1
60
53,2
96
53,0
52
51,3
09
50,0
25
49,0
32
48,6
34
48,5
02
47,8
99
47,2
47
45,8
07
44,7
87
44,0
27
43,5
07
43,7
41
43,3
09
41,9
58
40,9
86
39,9
07
39,0
33
38,6
69
38,7
72
38,4
16
37,4
69
37,2
35
36,4
62
35,7
29
35,3
37
35,2
74
35,5
78
34,6
70
34,1
05
33,4
97
32,3
54
31,9
99
32,2
73
32,5
76
32,4
18
31,4
14
30,6
80
29,8
14
29,7
96
30,3
26
30,2
78
29,9
10
29,5
38
29,0
21
28,6
11
28,7
58
29,4
42
29,9
18
30,0
37
29,7
78
29,5
51
29,4
26
29,5
49
30,3
95
30,8
81
30,7
43
30,7
00
30,4
54
30,2
84
31,2
41
32,4
96
33,2
60
34,3
41
34,8
53
34,5
98
34,5
08
35,0
53
36,0
39
37,0
68
37,3
11
37,3
54
37,4
03
36,4
59
37,7
56
39,2
55
40,2
28
40,9
95
41,4
98
41,9
24
41,7
76
42,9
19
44,2
21
45,0
23
46,0
81
46,6
92
47,3
36
47,4
51
48,4
11
50,3
23
51,9
49
53,2
51
54,7
40
55,7
66
56,6
68
59,1
36
61,8
16
65,4
29
67,0
86
68,5
00
69,4
80
70,0
13
73,2
46
76,8
46
79,4
10
80,6
98
82,1
78
83,2
27
83,8
70
85,8
36
88,0
80
89,9
58
90,4
36
89,8
20
91,6
35
93,2
38
96
,05
398,6
91
100,2
26
101,0
09
101,2
76
101,1
90
101,4
87
102,1
48
104,5
90
106,6
88
107,2
48
108,1
08
108,5
13
109,3
31
110,5
49
112,8
16
113,0
69
114,2
37
114,7
49
113,9
12
113,6
63
115,3
51
117,7
77
119,4
63
120,1
51
119,1
65
117,3
44
118,7
20
121,2
35
124,6
06
125,2
20
125,3
79
124,9
25
123,5
89
125,5
44
128,2
10
131,2
15
13
2,4
26
132,3
70
131,8
89
130,7
72
129,2
29
129,7
48
131,2
76
130,3
83
128,9
47
127,2
35
126,1
25
124,3
77
123,8
84
123,7
81
122,6
57
119,9
27
116,2
64
113,6
09
110,6
28
109,9
36
109,0
27
107,4
44
104,3
03
101,0
03
97,6
60
95,0
13
93,5
36
92,7
89
91,4
40
88,6
68
86,3
73
84,2
33
81,4
31
80,0
55
79,1
79
76,9
79
74,2
25
71,5
04
69,2
83
67,0
23
65,4
55
0
20,000
40,000
60,000
80,000
100,000
120,000
140,000
3/4/20 4/4/20 5/4/20 6/4/20 7/4/20 8/4/20 9/4/20 10/4/20 11/4/20 12/4/20 1/4/21 2/4/21
Curr
ent H
osp
ital
izat
ion
US Current Hospitalizations 7D Avg
Wave 1Wave 2
Wave 3
-2.6%
4/1/20
12.6%
7/16/20
3.3%
-2.3%
-6%
-4%
-2%
0%
2%
4%
6%
8%
10%
12%
14%
3/4/20 4/4/20 5/4/20 6/4/20 7/4/20 8/4/20 9/4/20 10/4/20 11/4/20 12/4/20 1/4/21 2/4/21
Incr
em
enta
l Hosp
ital
izat
ion R
ate (
7D
Net H
osp
ital
izat
ion (
Net)
/ 7
D N
ew
Cas
es)
United States 7-Day AverageIncremental Hospitalization Rate
2/15/2021 10
#9: Incremental Hospitalization Rate…
Source: Fundstrat, COVID-19 Tracking Project, State Department of Health
Incremental Hospitalization Rate: 7D Net Hospitalizations / 7D Total New Cases
(aggregate of 50 states + Washington, D.C.)
Wave 1
Wave 2
Wave 3
2,420
0
500
1,000
1,500
2,000
2,500
3,000
3,500
4,000
4,500
3/5/20 4/5/20 5/5/20 6/5/20 7/5/20 8/5/20 9/5/20 10/5/20 11/5/20 12/5/20 1/5/21 2/5/21
US daily deaths 7D Avg
2/15/2021 11
#10: US Daily New Fatalities…
Source: Fundstrat, COVID-19 Tracking Project, State Department of Health
US daily COVID-19 Fatalities
Wave 1
Wave 2
Wave 3
2,2
67
253
1,1
68
512
-837
-249
1,6
88
2,4
26
1,6
86
688
-986
-1,8
21
1,3
76
2,5
15
3,3
71
614
159
-454
-1,3
36
1,9
55
2,6
66
3,0
05
1,2
11
-56
-481
-1,1
17
-1,5
43
519
1,5
28
-893
-1,4
36
-1,7
12 -1
,110
-1,7
48
-493 -1
03
-1,1
24
-2,7
30
-3,6
63
-2,6
55
-2,9
81
-692
-909
-1,5
83
-3,1
41
-3,3
00
-3,3
43 -
2,6
47
-1,4
77
-747
-1,3
49
-2,7
72 -2,2
95
-2,1
40
-2,8
02
-1,3
76 -
876
-2,2
00
-2,7
54
-2,7
21 -2,2
21
-2,2
60 -
1,5
68
-4,000
-3,000
-2,000
-1,000
0
1,000
2,000
3,000
4,000
12/15/20 1/15/21 2/15/21
-12,3
54
17,3
25
24,3
10
1,9
44
-19,3
33
1,5
14
-13,3
63
-2,9
38
-11,2
05
-38,5
91
-88,5
23
-29,8
21
-40,0
09-1
7,9
22
6,3
38
3,5
82
21,4
94
70,7
64
66,3
96
64,7
46
6,3
03 2
0,5
55
20,2
00
41,7
64
71,0
38
19,8
53
12,5
83 2
9,6
55
-1,0
90
-26,1
90
-47,6
01
-52,2
71
-50,8
16 -3
3,3
13
-48,3
75
-69,2
94
-38,6
98
-37,3
01
-51,4
03
-39,3
38
-50,4
03
-15,6
95 -1
,931
-29,7
29
-29,9
37
-21,7
10
-27,1
71
-24,7
14
-31,4
74
-27,5
39
-43,0
51
-32,9
28
-38,8
51
-33,7
99
-22,1
26
-22,7
34
-23,8
42
-13,0
45
-18,7
52
-28,3
44
-22,2
45
-23,5
72
-26,0
99
-100,000
-80,000
-60,000
-40,000
-20,000
0
20,000
40,000
60,000
80,000
100,000
12/15/20 1/15/21 2/15/21
2/15/2021 12
#11: Rolling 7-Day Change in the Key Metrics… (Past 8 Weeks)
Source: Fundstrat, COVID-19 Tracking Project, State Department of Health
276
272491
-156
312
96 113 222
-101
-492
-1,4
61 -1
,145
-176
21
246 338
311
1,1
96
776
43 109
112
69
879
1,2
85
1,0
55
602
101
528
285
-178
-147
242
-33
-379
-1,8
66
245
55
258
-228 -
72
266
1,5
11
-190
-105
-382
-563
106
-36
-277
-402 -278
43
22
-588
-289
-570 -352
210
-599
449
1,3
54
-234
-2,250
-2,000
-1,750
-1,500
-1,250
-1,000
-750
-500
-250
0
250
500
750
1,000
1,250
1,500
1,750
12/15/20 1/15/21 2/15/21
107,1
35
-32,6
92
-55,2
57
33,8
81
-56,4
33
-42,7
81
-32,6
46
-130,0
18
-32,3
56
-28,4
06
-722,8
42
441,5
26
-310,5
82
-442,5
52
-335,5
56
-246,9
80
-113,8
57
17,0
40
-355,6
78
186,6
73
11,1
29
378,9
43
87,8
88
144,7
10
664,0
14
92,3
45
330,0
74
289,4
31
122,0
31
183,2
45
107,2
11
438,9
58
-27,2
76
26,1
08
-169,7
07
-75,9
93
-55,2
29
-138,4
35
-550,6
64
-118,8
53
-249,0
99
8,6
20
-67,6
19
-77,0
92
-41,1
55
4,5
31
151,3
95
-63,7
21
-31,0
92
-346,1
79
-223,9
08
-122,7
07
-175,5
12
-201,3
70
-150,7
51
-140,6
57
131,4
43
-52,3
04
94,2
11
-32,6
45
-90,0
59
-31,3
74
-421,2
59
-800,000
-600,000
-400,000
-200,000
0
200,000
400,000
600,000
800,000
12/15/20 1/15/21 2/15/21
Daily New Cases(8/10-8/23 ex-CA; 9/4-9/5 ex-IL)
Daily Deaths Daily Net Hospitalization(Red = more discharge than admission)
Daily Tests
* Ignored California between 8/10 and 8/23, due to its data glitch caused 300,000-case backlog
2/15/2021 13Source: Fundstrat, COVID-19 Tracking Project, State Department of Health
0
2,000
4,000
6,000
8,000
3/4/20 5/4/20 7/4/20 9/4/20 11/4/20 1/4/21
Louisiana
0
5,000
10,000
15,000
20,000
25,000
3/4/20 5/4/20 7/4/20 9/4/20 11/4/20 1/4/21
Florida
0
5,000
10,000
15,000
20,000
25,000
3/4/20 5/4/20 7/4/20 9/4/20 11/4/20 1/4/21
New York
0
500
1,000
1,500
3/4/20 5/4/20 7/4/20 9/4/20 11/4/20 1/4/21
New Hampshire
0
2,000
4,000
6,000
8,000
10,000
3/4/20 5/4/20 7/4/20 9/4/20 11/4/20 1/4/21
Oklahoma
0
2,000
4,000
6,000
8,000
3/4/20 5/4/20 7/4/20 9/4/20 11/4/20 1/4/21
Kansas
0
2,000
4,000
6,000
8,000
10,000
3/4/20 5/4/20 7/4/20 9/4/20 11/4/20 1/4/21
Washington
0
1,000
2,000
3,000
4,000
5,000
6,000
3/4/20 5/4/20 7/4/20 9/4/20 11/4/20 1/4/21
Alabama
0
2,000
4,000
6,000
8,000
3/4/20 5/4/20 7/4/20 9/4/20 11/4/20 1/4/21
New Jersey
0
500
1,000
1,500
2,000
2,500
3,000
3/4/20 5/4/20 7/4/20 9/4/20 11/4/20 1/4/21
Arkansas
0
200
400
600
800
1,000
1,200
3/4/20 5/4/20 7/4/20 9/4/20 11/4/20 1/4/21
Maine
0
1,000
2,000
3,000
4,000
3/4/20 5/4/20 7/4/20 9/4/20 11/4/20 1/4/21
New Mexico
0
500
1,000
1,500
2,000
2,500
3,000
3/4/20 5/4/20 7/4/20 9/4/20 11/4/20 1/4/21
Oregon
0
500
1,000
1,500
3/4/20 5/4/20 7/4/20 9/4/20 11/4/20 1/4/21
Wyoming
0
10,000
20,000
30,000
40,000
50,000
60,000
3/4/20 5/4/20 7/4/20 9/4/20 11/4/20 1/4/21
California
0
2,000
4,000
6,000
8,000
10,000
3/4/20 5/4/20 7/4/20 9/4/20 11/4/20 1/4/21
Kentucky
0
1,000
2,000
3,000
4,000
3/4/20 5/4/20 7/4/20 9/4/20 11/4/20 1/4/21
Maryland
0
2,000
4,000
6,000
8,000
10,000
3/4/20 5/4/20 7/4/20 9/4/20 11/4/20 1/4/21
Connecticut
0
500
1,000
1,500
2,000
2,500
3/4/20 5/4/20 7/4/20 9/4/20 11/4/20 1/4/21
South Dakota
0
5,000
10,000
15,000
20,000
3/4/20 5/4/20 7/4/20 9/4/20 11/4/20 1/4/21
Arizona
0
2,000
4,000
6,000
8,000
3/4/20 5/4/20 7/4/20 9/4/20 11/4/20 1/4/21
Colorado
0
5,000
10,000
15,000
20,000
25,000
3/4/20 5/4/20 7/4/20 9/4/20 11/4/20 1/4/21
North Carolina
0
200
400
600
800
1,000
3/4/20 5/4/20 7/4/20 9/4/20 11/4/20 1/4/21
Alaska
0
2,000
4,000
6,000
8,000
10,000
3/4/20 5/4/20 7/4/20 9/4/20 11/4/20 1/4/21
Minnesota
0
5,000
10,000
15,000
3/4/20 5/4/20 7/4/20 9/4/20 11/4/20 1/4/21
Pennsylvania
0
500
1,000
1,500
3/4/20 5/4/20 7/4/20 9/4/20 11/4/20 1/4/21
Delaware
0
2,000
4,000
6,000
8,000
10,000
3/4/20 5/4/20 7/4/20 9/4/20 11/4/20 1/4/21
Massachusetts
0
2,000
4,000
6,000
8,000
3/4/20 5/4/20 7/4/20 9/4/20 11/4/20 1/4/21
Utah
0
5,000
10,000
15,000
20,000
25,000
30,000
3/4/20 5/4/20 7/4/20 9/4/20 11/4/20 1/4/21
Texas
0
2,000
4,000
6,000
8,000
3/4/20 5/4/20 7/4/20 9/4/20 11/4/20 1/4/21
Missouri
0
100
200
300
400
3/4/20 5/4/20 7/4/20 9/4/20 11/4/20 1/4/21
Hawaii
0
5,000
10,000
15,000
20,000
3/4/20 5/4/20 7/4/20 9/4/20 11/4/20 1/4/21
Michigan
0
5,000
10,000
15,000
20,000
3/4/20 5/4/20 7/4/20 9/4/20 11/4/20 1/4/21
Illinois
0
1,000
2,000
3,000
4,000
3/4/20 5/4/20 7/4/20 9/4/20 11/4/20 1/4/21
Mississippi
0
100
200
300
400
500
600
3/4/20 5/4/20 7/4/20 9/4/20 11/4/20 1/4/21
DC
0
500
1,000
1,500
2,000
3/4/20 5/4/20 7/4/20 9/4/20 11/4/20 1/4/21
Montana
0
2,000
4,000
6,000
8,000
3/4/20 5/4/20 7/4/20 9/4/20 11/4/20 1/4/21
South Carolina
0
500
1,000
1,500
2,000
3/4/20 5/4/20 7/4/20 9/4/20 11/4/20 1/4/21
Rhode Island
0
2,000
4,000
6,000
8,000
10,000
12,000
3/4/20 5/4/20 7/4/20 9/4/20 11/4/20 1/4/21
Virginia
0
1,000
2,000
3,000
4,000
3/4/20 5/4/20 7/4/20 9/4/20 11/4/20 1/4/21
Nebraska
0
2,000
4,000
6,000
8,000
10,000
12,000
3/4/20 5/4/20 7/4/20 9/4/20 11/4/20 1/4/21
Georgia
0
500
1,000
1,500
2,000
2,500
3/4/20 5/4/20 7/4/20 9/4/20 11/4/20 1/4/21
North Dakota
0
2,000
4,000
6,000
8,000
10,000
12,000
3/4/20 5/4/20 7/4/20 9/4/20 11/4/20 1/4/21
Tennessee
0
2,000
4,000
6,000
8,000
10,000
3/4/20 5/4/20 7/4/20 9/4/20 11/4/20 1/4/21
Indiana
0
500
1,000
1,500
2,000
2,500
3,000
3/4/20 5/4/20 7/4/20 9/4/20 11/4/20 1/4/21
West Virginia
0
1,000
2,000
3,000
4,000
3/4/20 5/4/20 7/4/20 9/4/20 11/4/20 1/4/21
Nevada
0
500
1,000
1,500
2,000
2,500
3/4/20 5/4/20 7/4/20 9/4/20 11/4/20 1/4/21
Idaho
0
1,000
2,000
3,000
4,000
5,000
3/4/20 5/4/20 7/4/20 9/4/20 11/4/20 1/4/21
Iowa
0
5,000
10,000
15,000
20,000
3/4/20 5/4/20 7/4/20 9/4/20 11/4/20 1/4/21
Ohio
0
50
100
150
200
250
300
3/4/20 5/4/20 7/4/20 9/4/20 11/4/20 1/4/21
Vermont
0
2,000
4,000
6,000
8,000
10,000
3/4/20 5/4/20 7/4/20 9/4/20 11/4/20 1/4/21
Wisconsin
#12: Daily New Cases by States…
NY Tristate + MA/RI
F-CAT
Tag Along (22 States + DC)
Still Facing Outbreak (19 States)
7-Day Average
#13: Current Hospitalizations by States…
Source: Fundstrat, COVID-19 Tracking Project, State Department of Health
0
5,000
10,000
15,000
20,000
3/4/20 5/4/20 7/4/20 9/4/20 11/4/20 1/4/21
New York
0
500
1,000
1,500
2,000
2,500
3/4/20 5/4/20 7/4/20 9/4/20 11/4/20 1/4/21
Louisiana
0
2,000
4,000
6,000
8,000
10,000
3/4/20 5/4/20 7/4/20 9/4/20 11/4/20 1/4/21
Florida
0
500
1,000
1,500
3/4/20 5/4/20 7/4/20 9/4/20 11/4/20 1/4/21
Kansas
0
1,000
2,000
3,000
4,000
3/4/20 5/4/20 7/4/20 9/4/20 11/4/20 1/4/21
Alabama
0
100
200
300
400
3/4/20 5/4/20 7/4/20 9/4/20 11/4/20 1/4/21
New Hampshire
0
500
1,000
1,500
2,000
2,500
3/4/20 5/4/20 7/4/20 9/4/20 11/4/20 1/4/21
Oklahoma
0
500
1,000
1,500
3/4/20 5/4/20 7/4/20 9/4/20 11/4/20 1/4/21
Washington
0
2,000
4,000
6,000
8,000
10,000
3/4/20 5/4/20 7/4/20 9/4/20 11/4/20 1/4/21
New Jersey
0
5,000
10,000
15,000
20,000
25,000
3/4/20 5/4/20 7/4/20 9/4/20 11/4/20 1/4/21
California
0
50
100
150
200
250
300
3/4/20 5/4/20 7/4/20 9/4/20 11/4/20 1/4/21
Wyoming
0
500
1,000
1,500
2,000
3/4/20 5/4/20 7/4/20 9/4/20 11/4/20 1/4/21
Kentucky
0
500
1,000
1,500
3/4/20 5/4/20 7/4/20 9/4/20 11/4/20 1/4/21
Arkansas
0
50
100
150
200
250
3/4/20 5/4/20 7/4/20 9/4/20 11/4/20 1/4/21
Maine
0
200
400
600
800
1,000
3/4/20 5/4/20 7/4/20 9/4/20 11/4/20 1/4/21
New Mexico
0
200
400
600
800
3/4/20 5/4/20 7/4/20 9/4/20 11/4/20 1/4/21
Oregon
0
1,000
2,000
3,000
4,000
5,000
6,000
3/4/20 5/4/20 7/4/20 9/4/20 11/4/20 1/4/21
Arizona
0
500
1,000
1,500
2,000
2,500
3/4/20 5/4/20 7/4/20 9/4/20 11/4/20 1/4/21
Maryland
0
500
1,000
1,500
2,000
2,500
3/4/20 5/4/20 7/4/20 9/4/20 11/4/20 1/4/21
Connecticut
0
1,000
2,000
3,000
4,000
5,000
3/4/20 5/4/20 7/4/20 9/4/20 11/4/20 1/4/21
North Carolina
0
200
400
600
800
3/4/20 5/4/20 7/4/20 9/4/20 11/4/20 1/4/21
South Dakota
0
50
100
150
200
3/4/20 5/4/20 7/4/20 9/4/20 11/4/20 1/4/21
Alaska
0
500
1,000
1,500
2,000
2,500
3/4/20 5/4/20 7/4/20 9/4/20 11/4/20 1/4/21
Colorado
0
500
1,000
1,500
2,000
3/4/20 5/4/20 7/4/20 9/4/20 11/4/20 1/4/21
Minnesota
0
100
200
300
400
500
3/4/20 5/4/20 7/4/20 9/4/20 11/4/20 1/4/21
Delaware
0
2,000
4,000
6,000
8,000
3/4/20 5/4/20 7/4/20 9/4/20 11/4/20 1/4/21
Pennsylvania
0
1,000
2,000
3,000
4,000
5,000
3/4/20 5/4/20 7/4/20 9/4/20 11/4/20 1/4/21
Michigan
0
1,000
2,000
3,000
4,000
5,000
3/4/20 5/4/20 7/4/20 9/4/20 11/4/20 1/4/21
Massachusetts
0
100
200
300
400
3/4/20 5/4/20 7/4/20 9/4/20 11/4/20 1/4/21
Hawaii
0
5,000
10,000
15,000
3/4/20 5/4/20 7/4/20 9/4/20 11/4/20 1/4/21
Texas
0
1,000
2,000
3,000
4,000
3/4/20 5/4/20 7/4/20 9/4/20 11/4/20 1/4/21
Missouri
0
200
400
600
800
3/4/20 5/4/20 7/4/20 9/4/20 11/4/20 1/4/21
Utah
0
100
200
300
400
500
600
3/4/20 5/4/20 7/4/20 9/4/20 11/4/20 1/4/21
Rhode Island
0
100
200
300
400
500
3/4/20 5/4/20 7/4/20 9/4/20 11/4/20 1/4/21
DC
0
2,000
4,000
6,000
8,000
3/4/20 5/4/20 7/4/20 9/4/20 11/4/20 1/4/21
Illinois
0
1,000
2,000
3,000
4,000
3/4/20 5/4/20 7/4/20 9/4/20 11/4/20 1/4/21
Virginia
0
100
200
300
400
500
600
3/4/20 5/4/20 7/4/20 9/4/20 11/4/20 1/4/21
Montana
0
500
1,000
1,500
2,000
3/4/20 5/4/20 7/4/20 9/4/20 11/4/20 1/4/21
Mississippi
0
500
1,000
1,500
2,000
2,500
3,000
3/4/20 5/4/20 7/4/20 9/4/20 11/4/20 1/4/21
South Carolina
0
200
400
600
800
1,000
1,200
3/4/20 5/4/20 7/4/20 9/4/20 11/4/20 1/4/21
Nebraska
0
1,000
2,000
3,000
4,000
3/4/20 5/4/20 7/4/20 9/4/20 11/4/20 1/4/21
Tennessee
0
1,000
2,000
3,000
4,000
3/4/20 5/4/20 7/4/20 9/4/20 11/4/20 1/4/21
Indiana
0
100
200
300
400
500
3/4/20 5/4/20 7/4/20 9/4/20 11/4/20 1/4/21
North Dakota
0
200
400
600
800
1,000
3/4/20 5/4/20 7/4/20 9/4/20 11/4/20 1/4/21
West Virginia
0
2,000
4,000
6,000
8,000
3/4/20 5/4/20 7/4/20 9/4/20 11/4/20 1/4/21
Georgia
0
500
1,000
1,500
2,000
2,500
3/4/20 5/4/20 7/4/20 9/4/20 11/4/20 1/4/21
Nevada
0
500
1,000
1,500
2,000
3/4/20 5/4/20 7/4/20 9/4/20 11/4/20 1/4/21
Iowa
0
100
200
300
400
500
600
3/4/20 5/4/20 7/4/20 9/4/20 11/4/20 1/4/21
Idaho
0
1,000
2,000
3,000
4,000
5,000
6,000
3/4/20 5/4/20 7/4/20 9/4/20 11/4/20 1/4/21
Ohio
0
20
40
60
80
100
3/4/20 5/4/20 7/4/20 9/4/20 11/4/20 1/4/21
Vermont
0
500
1,000
1,500
2,000
2,500
3/4/20 5/4/20 7/4/20 9/4/20 11/4/20 1/4/21
Wisconsin
NY Tristate + MA/RI
F-CAT
Tag Along (22 States + DC)
Still Facing Outbreak (19 States)
7-Day Average
2/15/2021 14
#14: Daily New Deaths by States…
Source: Fundstrat, COVID-19 Tracking Project, State Department of Health
0
50
100
150
3/4/20 5/4/20 7/4/20 9/4/20 11/4/20 1/4/21
Louisiana
0
50
100
150
200
250
300
3/4/20 5/4/20 7/4/20 9/4/20 11/4/20 1/4/21
Florida
0
200
400
600
800
1,000
3/4/20 5/4/20 7/4/20 9/4/20 11/4/20 1/4/21
New York
0
100
200
300
400
3/4/20 5/4/20 7/4/20 9/4/20 11/4/20 1/4/21
Alabama
0
5
10
15
20
25
30
3/4/20 5/4/20 7/4/20 9/4/20 11/4/20 1/4/21
New Hampshire
0
20
40
60
80
3/4/20 5/4/20 7/4/20 9/4/20 11/4/20 1/4/21
Oklahoma
0
50
100
150
200
250
3/4/20 5/4/20 7/4/20 9/4/20 11/4/20 1/4/21
Kansas
0
50
100
150
200
3/4/20 5/4/20 7/4/20 9/4/20 11/4/20 1/4/21
Washington
0
200
400
600
800
1,000
3/4/20 5/4/20 7/4/20 9/4/20 11/4/20 1/4/21
California
0
100
200
300
400
500
3/4/20 5/4/20 7/4/20 9/4/20 11/4/20 1/4/21
New Jersey
0
20
40
60
80
100
3/4/20 5/4/20 7/4/20 9/4/20 11/4/20 1/4/21
Arkansas
0
20
40
60
80
3/4/20 5/4/20 7/4/20 9/4/20 11/4/20 1/4/21
Kentucky
0
10
20
30
40
50
3/4/20 5/4/20 7/4/20 9/4/20 11/4/20 1/4/21
Maine
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
3/4/20 5/4/20 7/4/20 9/4/20 11/4/20 1/4/21
New Mexico
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
3/4/20 5/4/20 7/4/20 9/4/20 11/4/20 1/4/21
Oregon
0
10
20
30
40
3/4/20 5/4/20 7/4/20 9/4/20 11/4/20 1/4/21
Wyoming
0
50
100
150
3/4/20 5/4/20 7/4/20 9/4/20 11/4/20 1/4/21
Maryland
0
100
200
300
400
3/4/20 5/4/20 7/4/20 9/4/20 11/4/20 1/4/21
Arizona
0
50
100
150
200
250
300
3/4/20 5/4/20 7/4/20 9/4/20 11/4/20 1/4/21
Connecticut
0
5
10
15
20
25
3/4/20 5/4/20 7/4/20 9/4/20 11/4/20 1/4/21
Alaska
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
3/4/20 5/4/20 7/4/20 9/4/20 11/4/20 1/4/21
South Dakota
0
50
100
150
3/4/20 5/4/20 7/4/20 9/4/20 11/4/20 1/4/21
Colorado
0
50
100
150
200
3/4/20 5/4/20 7/4/20 9/4/20 11/4/20 1/4/21
North Carolina
0
20
40
60
80
100
120
3/4/20 5/4/20 7/4/20 9/4/20 11/4/20 1/4/21
Minnesota
0
100
200
300
400
500
600
3/4/20 5/4/20 7/4/20 9/4/20 11/4/20 1/4/21
Pennsylvania
0
5
10
15
20
3/4/20 5/4/20 7/4/20 9/4/20 11/4/20 1/4/21
Delaware
0
200
400
600
800
3/4/20 5/4/20 7/4/20 9/4/20 11/4/20 1/4/21
Texas
0
50
100
150
200
250
300
3/4/20 5/4/20 7/4/20 9/4/20 11/4/20 1/4/21
Massachusetts
0
10
20
30
40
3/4/20 5/4/20 7/4/20 9/4/20 11/4/20 1/4/21
Utah
0
100
200
300
400
3/4/20 5/4/20 7/4/20 9/4/20 11/4/20 1/4/21
Missouri
0
20
40
60
80
3/4/20 5/4/20 7/4/20 9/4/20 11/4/20 1/4/21
Hawaii
0
100
200
300
400
3/4/20 5/4/20 7/4/20 9/4/20 11/4/20 1/4/21
Michigan
0
10
20
30
40
3/4/20 5/4/20 7/4/20 9/4/20 11/4/20 1/4/21
DC
0
20
40
60
80
100
3/4/20 5/4/20 7/4/20 9/4/20 11/4/20 1/4/21
Rhode Island
0
20
40
60
80
100
120
3/4/20 5/4/20 7/4/20 9/4/20 11/4/20 1/4/21
Mississippi
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
3/4/20 5/4/20 7/4/20 9/4/20 11/4/20 1/4/21
Montana
0
50
100
150
200
250
300
3/4/20 5/4/20 7/4/20 9/4/20 11/4/20 1/4/21
South Carolina
0
20
40
60
80
100
120
3/4/20 5/4/20 7/4/20 9/4/20 11/4/20 1/4/21
Virginia
0
50
100
150
200
250
300
3/4/20 5/4/20 7/4/20 9/4/20 11/4/20 1/4/21
Illinois
0
20
40
60
80
100
120
3/4/20 5/4/20 7/4/20 9/4/20 11/4/20 1/4/21
Nebraska
0
10
20
30
40
50
3/4/20 5/4/20 7/4/20 9/4/20 11/4/20 1/4/21
West Virginia
0
50
100
150
200
3/4/20 5/4/20 7/4/20 9/4/20 11/4/20 1/4/21
Georgia
0
10
20
30
40
3/4/20 5/4/20 7/4/20 9/4/20 11/4/20 1/4/21
North Dakota
0
50
100
150
200
250
3/4/20 5/4/20 7/4/20 9/4/20 11/4/20 1/4/21
Tennessee
0
50
100
150
200
3/4/20 5/4/20 7/4/20 9/4/20 11/4/20 1/4/21
Indiana
0
20
40
60
80
3/4/20 5/4/20 7/4/20 9/4/20 11/4/20 1/4/21
Nevada
0
20
40
60
80
100
3/4/20 5/4/20 7/4/20 9/4/20 11/4/20 1/4/21
Iowa
0
10
20
30
40
3/4/20 5/4/20 7/4/20 9/4/20 11/4/20 1/4/21
Idaho
0
50
100
150
200
3/4/20 5/4/20 7/4/20 9/4/20 11/4/20 1/4/21
Ohio
0
2
4
6
8
3/4/20 5/4/20 7/4/20 9/4/20 11/4/20 1/4/21
Vermont
0
50
100
150
3/4/20 5/4/20 7/4/20 9/4/20 11/4/20 1/4/21
Wisconsin
NY Tristate + MA/RI
F-CAT
Tag Along (22 States + DC)
Still Facing Outbreak (19 States)
7-Day Average
2/15/2021 15
14,193
23,65718,002
25,431
0
20,000
40,000
60,000
80,000
100,000
120,000
3/5 5/5 7/5 9/511/51/5
356
225210
261
0
200
400
600
800
1,000
1,200
3/5 5/5 7/5 9/5 11/5 1/5
286
732
423
979
0
200
400
600
800
1,000
1,200
1,400
1,600
1,800
3/5 5/5 7/5 9/5 11/5 1/5
7.2
7.0
4.9
10.1
0
5
10
15
20
25
30
35
40
3/5 5/5 7/5 9/5 11/5 1/5
396K
283K225K
364K
0K
100K
200K
300K
400K
500K
600K
700K
800K
900K
1,000K
3/5 5/5 7/5 9/5 11/5 1/5
9,928
2,6872,624
3,738
-1,000
1,000
3,000
5,000
7,000
9,000
11,000
13,000
15,000
3/5 5/5 7/5 9/5 11/5 1/5
11,914
20,369
13,182
26,486
0
10,000
20,000
30,000
40,000
50,000
60,000
3/5 5/5 7/5 9/511/51/5
299
193
154
272
0
100
200
300
400
500
600
700
800
900
3/5 5/5 7/5 9/5 11/5 1/5
2/15/2021 16
#15: State COVID-19 situation by Tier…
Source: Fundstrat, COVID-19 Tracking Project, State Department of Health
Daily Cases Daily Deaths Net Hospitalization
Composite
Daily Aggregate
Composite
Daily Aggregate
Per 1mm Pop
Daily Testing
3.6%
8.5%8.2%7.1%
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
3/20/20 4/20/20 5/20/20 6/20/20 7/20/20 8/20/20 9/20/20 10/20/20 11/20/20 12/20/20 1/20/21
2/15/2021 17
#16: State COVID-19 Daily Positivity Rate by Tier…
Source: Fundstrat, COVID-19 Tracking Project, State Department of Health
Composite Daily Positivity Rate
Wave 1
Wave 2
Wave 3
2/15/2021 18
#17: Global COVID-19 Situation at a Glance…
Source: Fundstrat, COVID-19 Tracking Project, Johns Hopkins CSSE, State Department of Health
Oct 2 Oct 16 Oct 30 Nov 13 Nov 27 Dec 11 Dec 25 Jan 8 Jan 22 Feb 5 Feb 14
Pakistan + India
+ Bangladesh
84,614
Europe
156,734
Europe
288,225
Europe
301,978
Europe
274,576
Europe
268,935
Europe
249,312
Europe
303,170
Europe
242,053
Europe
189,715
Europe
109,739
Europe
77,884
Latin America
67,981
US + Canada
89,511
US + Canada
157,595
US + Canada
172,703
US + Canada
224,650
US + Canada
191,276
US + Canada
270,975
US + Canada
184,098
US + Canada
116,496
US + Canada
85,604
Latin America
61,009
Pakistan + India
+ Bangladesh
66,697
Latin America
65,614
Latin America
74,232
Latin America
79,197
Latin America
92,545
Latin America
89,576
Latin America
132,508
Latin America
134,579
Latin America
108,267
Latin America
82,835
US + Canada
47,741
US + Canada
63,472
Pakistan + India
+ Bangladesh
51,456
Pakistan + India
+ Bangladesh
49,697
Pakistan + India
+ Bangladesh
48,359
Pakistan + India
+ Bangladesh
35,248
Pakistan + India
+ Bangladesh
26,828
Africa
35,216
Asia ex-
India+Pakistan
27,748
Asia ex-
India+Pakistan
23,452
Asia ex-
India+Pakistan
17,568
Asia ex-
India+Pakistan
11,658
Asia ex-
India+Pakistan
13,790
Asia ex-
India+Pakistan
12,846
Africa
14,813
Asia ex-
India+Pakistan
16,287
Africa
19,182
Africa
26,119
Asia ex-
India+Pakistan
24,781
Africa
27,183
Africa
15,791
Pakistan + India
+ Bangladesh
13,587
Africa
8,147
Africa
10,431
Africa
12,181
Asia ex-
India+Pakistan
14,319
Africa
14,870
Asia ex-
India+Pakistan
17,917
Asia ex-
India+Pakistan
18,682
Pakistan + India
+ Bangladesh
16,059
Pakistan + India
+ Bangladesh
17,313
Pakistan + India
+ Bangladesh
14,158
Africa
11,652
0
100,000
200,000
300,000
400,000
500,000
600,000
700,000
800,000
900,000
Dai
ly N
ew
Cas
es
Worldwide USA
DisclosuresThis research is for the clients of FS Insight only. For important disclosures and rating histories regarding sectors or companies that are the subject of this report, please contact your sales representative or FS Insight at 150 East 52nd Street, New York, NY, 10022 USA.
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Thomas J. Lee, the research analyst denoted by an “AC” on the cover of this report, hereby certifies that all of the views expressed in this report accurately reflect his personal views, which have not been influenced by considerations of the firm’s business or client relationships.
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Analyst Industry/Sector Views
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