From Past to Present: Energy Efficiency Programs and ... · CEE 2018 Annual Industry Report...
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From Past to Present: Energy
Efficiency Programs and Industry
Trends
Kevin Bright
Managing Director, Customer Efficiency Programs
Duke Energy
September 19, 2018
New Orleans, LA
CEE 2018 Annual Industry Report
Preliminary Data
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Evolution of Energy Efficiency
Preliminary Annual Industry Report Insights
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1970s
• Energy crisis and OPEC oil
embargo
• “Conservation”
1980s – Least cost planning
Mid-1990s
• Deregulation
• Some abandon least cost planning
• Implement EE resource standards
2000s
• Industry maturing to serve a host
of objectives in a more sustaining
way
How Efficiency
Programs Began
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Energy
delivery
has used
the same
business
model for
decades
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Some Dynamics Utilities Face
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Declining Electric
Load
• Energy efficiency and conservation
have become a part of the general
culture
• Growth of customer self-generation
• Increases to codes and standards
Need for Increased
Investment• Customers desire greater reliability,
resiliency after Superstorm Sandy,
etc.
• Generally aging infrastructure
• Use control technologies, Smart
Grid
• Cybersecurity
Disruptive Trends
• Communicating products
• Dynamic products
• Energy storage and accessibility to
renewable sources
• New market entrants
NEED/INSERT A GRAPH OF HISTORICAL LOAD TRENDS FOR EACH OF THE THREE UTILITIES.
Grid Quality
Credit Quality
Historical & Forecasted Electricity Growth
Utilities
are challenged
under the
existing
regulatory
model
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What is emerging integrated
demand-side management (IDSM)?
Integration of technologies at end user
homes and facilities
Integration of programs, delivering
customer solutions
Integration of DSM for power planning,
acquisition, transmission planning, and
reliability
Demand-side management refers to, and encompasses, both
energy efficiency and demand response programs
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Potential Benefits of Integration
CUSTOMER BENEFITSEnhanced engagement
Financial savings from new DSM
opportunities
Nonenergy benefits: remote
control, comfort, safety,
convenience, health, wellness, etc.
GRID BENEFITSGrid balancing and load
management
Grid signals, e.g. spinning
reserve, load delay, etc.
Program M&V data
Enhanced customer engagement
New IDSM Program Offerings
ENVIRONMENTAL
BENEFITSEnhanced air quality
Carbon reduction
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State and provincial regulatory
policy is in motion
Key considerations:
• Emerging utility business models
• Inclusion of nonenergy benefits
• Increased grid resiliency and efficient
use of grid capital
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Evolution of Energy Efficiency
Preliminary Annual Industry Report Insights
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CEE Annual Industry Report
Purpose
Scope
Collaboration
Preliminary Data
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US and Canadian Expenditure Trends
Preliminary data as of September 5, 2018
$5.3
$6.5
$7.4
$8.0 $8.0
$8.7 $8.7 $8.8$9.3
$0
$1
$2
$3
$4
$5
$6
$7
$8
$9
$10
2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017
BIL
LIO
NS
US
DGasElectric
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US Electric Energy Efficiency and
Demand Response Expenditures
Preliminary data as of September 5, 2018
$3.8
$4.8
$5.7$6.1 $6.0
$6.7 $6.7 $6.7 $7.1
$0
$1
$2
$3
$4
$5
$6
$7
$8
2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017
BIL
LIO
NS
US
D
Demand Response
Energy Efficiency
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Canadian Electric Energy Efficiency and
Demand Response Expenditures
Preliminary data as of September 5, 2018
$615
$745$712 $696 $700
$626
$562 $572
$737
$0
$100
$200
$300
$400
$500
$600
$700
$800
2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017
MIL
LIO
NS
US
D
Demand Response
Energy Efficiency
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US Energy Efficiency Expenditures by Customer Class
Preliminary data as of September 5, 2018
Electric
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Program Categorization
Residential Customer ClassRank by % of
category
expenditures
Preliminary data as of September 5, 2018
Consumer Product
Rebate - Lighting
Whole home - Retrofit
Prescriptive - HVAC
0% 10% 20% 30%
Whole home - Audits
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Program Categorization
C&I Customer ClassRank by % of
category
expenditures
Preliminary data as of September 5, 2018
Mixed Offerings
Custom
Prescriptive
New Construction
0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70%
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Program Categorization
Cross Sector Customer ClassRank by % of
category
expenditures
Preliminary data as of September 5, 2018
Planning, Evaluation
Other Program Support
Marketing, Education,
and Outreach
Codes & Standards
0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60%
Voltage Reduction /
Transformers
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Energy Efficiency Program Industry
Projected DSM program expenditures
suggest investment increased in 2017
At CEE, members act as an industry,
accounting for about 80% of total DSM
expenditures
Final report will be available in 2019
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Q&A
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Kevin Bright
CEE Board Chair
Watch for full report on www.cee1.org