FROM MPD TO OFFICIAL STATISTICS (TOURISM CASE) · 2019. 7. 3. · Alfatihah Reno Maulani-Statistics...
Transcript of FROM MPD TO OFFICIAL STATISTICS (TOURISM CASE) · 2019. 7. 3. · Alfatihah Reno Maulani-Statistics...
FROM MPD TO OFFICIAL STATISTICS
(TOURISM CASE)Alfatihah Reno Maulani - Statistics Indonesia
STATISTICS INDONESIA
WHY TELKOMSEL
• ±140 million customers with identified home locations• Staypoint data• ±1,4 Terabyte/year• ± 60 billion rows of data
ORIGIN DESTINATION MODEL
CALCULATION FLOW
HOME AND OFFICE DETERMINATION
Select the maximum duration from subscriber’s work
candidates as “OFFICE LOCATION”
S T A R T
09.00 – 16.59Weekday only
Sum the duration of subscriber’s work candidates
(6 months data)
E N D
Select the maximum duration from subscriber’s home
candidates as “HOME LOCATION”
S T A R T
17.00 – 08.59 Weekday + Weekend
Sum the duration of subscriber’s home candidates
(6 months data)
E N D
HOME DETERMINATION EXAMPLE
Home: 17.00 – 08.59 weekday + weekend
Work: 09.00 – 16.59 weekday only
Select the maximum duration from subscriber’s home
candidates as “HOME LOCATION”
S T A R T
17.00 – 08.59 Weekday + Weekend
Sum the duration of subscriber’s home candidates
(6 months data)
E N D
COMMUTER AND CIRCULAR
Commuter Circular (monthly)
Circular (weekly)
RESULT
TRIP DETERMINATION
TRIP DETERMINATIONFOR TOURISM
TOURISM
TOURISM
CONCLUSION
When using MPD, you also have to recognize common habits in using the mobile phone that applies in your country, so you can get the best parameters to design the algorithm to be used.
QUESTION ON MPD
what about those who don't use cellphones?
what about those who have more
than one cellphone?
what about other cellular operators?
1. B + C = A2. E + F = D3. C / A = % travellers with cell phones4. D / C = double simcard ratio 5. E / D = % telkomsel subscriber
TRADITIONAL SURVEY– BUILDING WEIGHT
use a cell phone
(B)no
Number of simcard used
(D)
yes
Travellers(A)
Telkomselnumber
Sum of number
(E)
Sum of number
(F)
yes
no
Number of travellers with
phones(C)
Tourism = ��� ∗ �∗�∗�
�∗�∗�
EMPIRICAL RESULT
EMPIRICAL RESULT
NEXT - DIGITAL SURVEY
subscribers are predicted to travel
get the amount for each district
take a proportional
sample
blast the SMS containing a link
to the digital survey
SMS was stopped when the response
had reached the target
Thank you