Free NH System II · 2011. 3. 12. · And finally, in order to get the best prices for odds-on...

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Free NH System II NH WIN SYSTEM 47% SR Year Races Wins SR% PL SP PL BF Avg Win Odds 2001 113 53 46.9 8.09 16.37 1.44 2002 96 47 48.96 10.38 17.93 1.42 2003 121 58 47.93 1.9 10.09 1.26 2004 126 60 47.62 7.01 14.39 1.34 2005 126 47 37.3 -13.94 -9.28 1.48 2006 111 53 47.75 12.16 18.35 1.44 2007 145 66 45.52 -2.74 4 1.26 2008 144 64 44.44 6.54 18.06 1.53 2009 217 110 50.69 6.05 17.49 1.13 2010 204 99 48.53 17.99 31.26 1.38 PROFIT £53.44 £138.66 (£1 Stakes) An EXTRA £85 PROFIT if you used BETFAIR SP Terms of Use The system contained in this ebook, and the PDF it is contained in is FREE to distribute to friends, family, and around the internet, or if you run your own web site, you may offer the ebooks as freebies on the understanding that the ebook is not edited in any way, and is passed on as is. Win2Win Racing © Win2Win™ Limited 2011 http://www.win2win.co.uk

Transcript of Free NH System II · 2011. 3. 12. · And finally, in order to get the best prices for odds-on...

Page 1: Free NH System II · 2011. 3. 12. · And finally, in order to get the best prices for odds-on horses it is often worth comparing the betting exchanges with a bookmaker, and sometimes

Free NH System II

NH WIN SYSTEM 47% SR

Year Races Wins SR% PL SP PL BF Avg Win Odds

2001 113 53 46.9 8.09 16.37 1.44

2002 96 47 48.96 10.38 17.93 1.42

2003 121 58 47.93 1.9 10.09 1.26

2004 126 60 47.62 7.01 14.39 1.34

2005 126 47 37.3 -13.94 -9.28 1.48

2006 111 53 47.75 12.16 18.35 1.44

2007 145 66 45.52 -2.74 4 1.26

2008 144 64 44.44 6.54 18.06 1.53

2009 217 110 50.69 6.05 17.49 1.13

2010 204 99 48.53 17.99 31.26 1.38

PROFIT £53.44 £138.66 (£1 Stakes)

An EXTRA £85 PROFIT if you used BETFAIR SP

Terms of Use The system contained in this ebook, and the PDF it is contained in is FREE to distribute to friends, family, and around the

internet, or if you run your own web site, you may offer the ebooks as freebies on the understanding that the ebook is not

edited in any way, and is passed on as is.

Win2Win Racing © Win2Win™ Limited 2011

http://www.win2win.co.uk

Page 2: Free NH System II · 2011. 3. 12. · And finally, in order to get the best prices for odds-on horses it is often worth comparing the betting exchanges with a bookmaker, and sometimes

In order to MAXIMISE profits from this system you need to use a betting exchange. Due to the high liquidity

available on Betfair that is the one I use most of the time. If you already have a Betfair account I recommend

opening a new one for Win2Win Racing systems so you do not affect profits from other forms of gambling.

Click Here to Open a Betfair Account and Claim a Free Bet*

You may also want an account with the 2nd best betting exchange, Betdaq, and to be honest it is worth having in

case of any server issues with the Betfair site.

Click Here to Open a Betdaq Account

And finally, in order to get the best prices for odds-on horses it is often worth comparing the betting exchanges with

a bookmaker, and sometimes the bookie will offer a better price, and all those extra points you pick up add to the

overall profits. BET365 is one of the bookmakers who often offers better prices for odds-on shots.

Click Here to Open a BET365 Account

*Free bets usually range from £10-£25 and change over time. You can have as many Betfair accounts as you like.

Page 3: Free NH System II · 2011. 3. 12. · And finally, in order to get the best prices for odds-on horses it is often worth comparing the betting exchanges with a bookmaker, and sometimes

Introduction

Hi, and thank you for downloading this system. It should provide you with years of profit as long as you stick

strictly to the rules, although as with all gambling, this cannot be guaranteed, but spreading risk over a number of

systems is one of the best ways to secure betting banks. Please be aware that the first 2 years of any system are

usually just based on building the bank, and will not produce any income. I also recommend never starting any

betting with a bank of more than £500. Once it has proven as a long term money maker you can add to the bank, and

therefore increase overall stakes.

I have been a full time professional gambler on UK horse racing since 1998, and have helped other punters improve

their returns for over a decade now. This system is designed to help you learn how systems work, how to handle

bank management and staking, and cope with losing runs, which statistically happen more times than winning runs.

If you have not visited my web site; Win2Win Racing , then I suggest you put that at the top of your ‘sites to visit’

list. You will find free profitable win and lay selections, systems, staking, as well as a free and very active forum at

http://www.win2win.co.uk/forum/forum.php . Registration is free. If you have any questions about this system,

please do not hesitate to ask on the forum.

Page 4: Free NH System II · 2011. 3. 12. · And finally, in order to get the best prices for odds-on horses it is often worth comparing the betting exchanges with a bookmaker, and sometimes

The System

I have made profits from systems for years, and now have over 100 live win systems currently running in my

portfolio, so offering this one free on the open market will not leave me missing any sleep. Some people wonder

why I run so many, spreading the risk is key to profiting successfully in any financial dealings.

As this system has proved itself for years, and the way it selects the qualifiers it is unlikely to see a reduction in

profits regardless of how many people use it. Although history proves that the majority will have given up within

the first year as they are not making £££Millions, something that will not happen with any system/method betting

when you are starting out. I started with £200 back in 1998, and now think nothing of placing 4 figure bets.

First of all I recommend using a Betfair account, as you will make AT LEAST 10% more profit over the long

term than with a normal bookmaker. If you do not have one CLICK HERE and you will also get a Free introduction

bet.

If you do not use a betting exchange, you are throwing money away that is supposed to be yours, and it can mean the

difference between making a profit on a system & making a VERY GOOD profit on a system. Full instructions

on how to use Betfair are on the web site, but you can check my forum for answers to any questions.

If you already have an account, you can open another account and use a separate debit/credit card, or use Paypal or

bank transfer, that way you can collect the Free Bet again. You can run all Win2Win systems from the one account,

but keep the betting banks separate either by using the old pen & paper, or a spreadsheet. I prefer to use separate

accounts altogether for win & lay bets.

I have tried to include all the information & help I can think of, but if you need to question something please use the

forum, do not email me.

If you use the System Manager software to manage your balance and staking, it will add additional protection to

your bank, and make keeping track of everything easier. All systems work on horse racing in England, Scotland &

Wales. They have not been tested on racing in any other countries, but you can always paper trade for a few months

to find out for yourself.

Page 5: Free NH System II · 2011. 3. 12. · And finally, in order to get the best prices for odds-on horses it is often worth comparing the betting exchanges with a bookmaker, and sometimes

NH FREE WIN SYSTEM – SR 47% - ROI 4% Bookmaker – ROI 10% Betfair

Although the rules may seem a little complicated at first, as it does with most systems, after a few days you will be

whizzing through them. Most races can be voided leaving only a few to run all the rules on.

National Jump Races ONLY.

INCLUDE Irish Races

DO NOT INCLUDE: NHF (National Hunt Flat races), Races just for MARES, or AMATEUR races.

NON-HANDICAPS ONLY

AGE of horse must be 3 to 7 inclusive.

Days since it last ran must be 90 or more (ignore all horses below that).

Horse must be (likely) Favourite, which means you need to bet as close to the off as possible.

Page 6: Free NH System II · 2011. 3. 12. · And finally, in order to get the best prices for odds-on horses it is often worth comparing the betting exchanges with a bookmaker, and sometimes

Staking & Bank Management

Apart from selecting profitable horses, whether backing or laying, you need to have the correct staking plan and

betting bank in place. This is where many people go wrong, and end up losing, even if the system is profitable long

term. They then blame the system rather than themselves.

I recommend using a starting bank of £100 Minimum and £500 Maximum, but obviously you can adjust it if you

want to go bigger or smaller. The reason I say this is that any mistakes you make in the beginning will not cost you

so much. I still make the odd mistake myself, except they tend to cost me at least a few hundred quid, so I keep them

to a minimum!

Do not run ‘fun bets’ on any accounts you are running these systems on. In fact, stop doing fun bets. If this is

difficult, do them in a separate account, and write down EVERY bet. You soon get bored when you realise how

much you are actually losing, and the losses may cancel out any profits from this system.

Page 7: Free NH System II · 2011. 3. 12. · And finally, in order to get the best prices for odds-on horses it is often worth comparing the betting exchanges with a bookmaker, and sometimes

WIN Staking

The staking plan is simple;

Use a FIXED STAKE of 3% of your bank, adjusted after each race OR daily.

So if you take £200 starting bank as an example, 3% of that is £6. This may not sound much, but trust me, I have

been making money from gambling for years and know what I am doing, and this is an easy to follow staking plan

that works well, and it soon builds up in a few months. So if your bank was £420, 3% of that would be £12.60, so

your stake would be £12.60.

You should NEVER bet more than 3% of your bank, as you not only increase risk, but you will lower the ROI%, so

you’ll be risking more, to win less!! (Try a 15% stake in the spreadsheet 0.15…Ouch!!).

Once you have been doing these for a few months, there is nothing to stop you depositing additional money in the

betting bank. This will help build up your investment more quickly.

You DO NOT need to keep notes of every qualifying horse, but you must at the very least keep notes on the daily

Profit/Loss and winners/losers so you can work out what stake to use for individual bets.

Over time as your bank builds up, decrease the stake percentage by 0.1% at a time. By doing this, you add in more

security to your bank, so eventually if you ever get down to a stake of 1% of the bank, any losing runs will prove

insignificant.

Page 8: Free NH System II · 2011. 3. 12. · And finally, in order to get the best prices for odds-on horses it is often worth comparing the betting exchanges with a bookmaker, and sometimes

Staking Notes

One problem for beginners who are using the betting exchanges is the 5% commission, so the sooner you get a

reduction in it the more profit you will make. The only way to do this is to win money, but don’t try and speed the

process up; it will come down over time. Just remember that the more profit you make, the lower your commission

will get.

Obviously if you use a bookmaker you do not pay commission, but then you do not get the additional % bonus on

the prices, and this can cost you £1,000’s over the years in lost profit. You can see the effect of this by putting in the

value ‘0.00’ in the SP+Overbet on the spreadsheet. The only time you may want to use a bookmaker instead is when

a horse is odd-on.

Remember that any system, back or lay is for the long term; you cannot judge it on a daily/weekly basis. I judge

performance in quarters (3 months) for everything I do, anything less does not show the complete trends.

You are now ready to go about using the systems. You will soon remember the rules, and have a selection in a few

minutes, if not seconds. Some days you may have no selections, other days quite a few, this is normal.

Stick to the rules, the staking plan, and the bank management, and you have the potential to make good money from

these over the coming years. Start thinking you know better, fiddle with the rules, or stake too high, and you may

bust the bank, even though the system itself is still producing profits for everyone else!

Some people may lose a bank when starting out; this does not mean a system is ‘broke’, but that you were unlucky

to start due a very bad statistical run, this does happen, and has happened to me in the past with other systems, I

always allow 3 banks to go bust before scrapping a system. Most people pack it in at this point.....and miss the

upturn by starting again!

Page 9: Free NH System II · 2011. 3. 12. · And finally, in order to get the best prices for odds-on horses it is often worth comparing the betting exchanges with a bookmaker, and sometimes

Q&A

Can I use these systems on NH racing? Yes. The systems are designed only for UK NH racing, and not for flat turf or AW, and will lose you money if you

tried to bend the rules.

What happens if more than one qualifies? This should rarely happen, but when it does you back all qualifiers for the same stake you would use if you just had

one qualifier.

Is Betdaq OK to use? Betdaq is fine, but if you want to get decent bets on use Betfair .

I have just been paid a £200 bonus at work; can I add this to my betting bank? Of course. In fact the more you can get into the betting bank, the more profit you will have made at the end of each

year. However, it is best not to do this if you have just started. Let the original bank roll for the first few months and

prove that it is making a profit.

I notice that after a few years the stakes get much larger, are they difficult to get on? If you are reducing the stakes to protect the bank, and withdrawing profits as income, your stakes should always

remain manageable. You will not have any problem getting a few grand on the exchanges as it will be quite happily

snapped up by traders. £10,000 on the first few in the betting will easily vanish. But stakes shouldn’t get that high if

you are taking money out of the banks, and it is always best to limit maximum bets to around £2000.

If the qualifier is a non runner do I review the race again? In most cases yes, but only a small number will be affected so if you cannot check before the race, never check

before the race. Stay consistent.

I had to use a bookmaker today for the Win bets, instead of the exchanges, does this make a difference? If it

was a profitable day then it will impact the long term profits if you do it on a regular basis. If you use the

spreadsheet supplied and check it with no overbet percentage, this is the SP results, and will show you the long term

difference between the exchange and bookmaker profits. If it only occasionally then it will make little difference.

I have started the Win systems, and had 10 losers in a row, is it broke? Statistics say you could have 10 losers in a row, especially on systems with a low SR, but then you can also hit over

6 winners in a row. Some people will start on a good run, some on a bad, just follow the rules and it will average out

over the long term. Remember though, you are statistically likely to start on a losing run.

My bookmaker has banned me? Use the exchanges; with a bookmaker you are making smaller profits anyway.

I made a mistake and bet the wrong horse? Just put the same stake on the opposite bet (Lay), that will cancel it

out, you can only do this on a betting exchange though, but can use this method to cancel an incorrect bookmaker

bet. You may lose a little bit of money in the price difference. You can only do this on a betting exchange.

I bet a horse that I just noticed is not a qualifier? Again, just cancel the bet as above if you done it on the

exchanges.

I know it is early days, but how much income would be the limit to take out each year?

I would not take out over 20%, any more and you will stump bank growth, especially in the early days.

Do these systems work in Ireland? I have no way of checking if they work in other countries. You can always paper trade them for a few months but I

doubt they will be profitable.

Page 10: Free NH System II · 2011. 3. 12. · And finally, in order to get the best prices for odds-on horses it is often worth comparing the betting exchanges with a bookmaker, and sometimes

I have to do these the night before and cannot check for non-runners or which is the likely favourite. Just pick which horses qualify and back the FAV option with a bookmaker.

I’m off on holiday for 2 weeks, will this damage my profits? It may do, then again it may help them. No one knows, and don’t bother checking the results when you return, what

you don’t know can’t hurt!

I started a system 3 months ago, and I am still not showing a profit. This may be the case as all systems hit

periods of being stagnant. Check the graphs on the spreadsheets to give you an idea of what you may expect over

time.

Do I have to do the Rules in the order given? Not really, you may find a quicker way.

How are lower SR systems more profitable than say a 50% SR one? SR always has a relation to average price. A 50% SR means if you average odds of 1/1 you will break even with a

bookmaker, so to show a profit you need to average 11/10+. Now if you have a 19% system, you would be looking

for say 6/1 to profit, but you will probably find the average is higher if it is a profitable system. If you use the

exchanges, you should then easily be able to push up the average to 7/1, giving you more profits, and a nice

advantage over those that use the bookmakers. The overbet on these systems is you are getting the best prices can be

20%+. Put that figure in the graph and see the difference it makes, compared to 5%.

I have another question? Please visit the Win2Win Racing Forum , and ask on there, do not email me, I’m busy on

the forum!

**A quick note on tax. Although gambling winnings are not taxable, you must declare any profits you withdraw for personal use, so

always take a screen print of the withdrawal/statement page on Betfair, or your bookmaker and file it. You do not need to do this for day to

day, withdrawal/deposits, and only need bother if you are making a few grand a month.

Page 11: Free NH System II · 2011. 3. 12. · And finally, in order to get the best prices for odds-on horses it is often worth comparing the betting exchanges with a bookmaker, and sometimes

RECOMMENDED

The Legacy System

Proven to be profitable year after year.

Read the full review HERE

The Staking Machine

If you want to scrape every last penny profit from your systems, then this little bit of kit is an essential.

Read the full review HERE

Bet Angel Pro

This betting bot I use daily, and have done so for years.

Page 12: Free NH System II · 2011. 3. 12. · And finally, in order to get the best prices for odds-on horses it is often worth comparing the betting exchanges with a bookmaker, and sometimes

WIN2WIN LIMITED DISCLAIMER:

NOTICE

Please be aware that you use any of this information at your own discretion. WIN2WIN LIMITED is in no way liable for any debts you may incur with

your betting. Any data is kept for the sole purpose of use with Win2Win, and is not passed on to any other source. SYSTEM The system has been

proven both live and by stats, and is proven over at least an 8 year period. This doe not guarantee it will continue to produce profits in the future, but it is

designed in such a way to absorb the margins between SP & bookmakers.

COUNTRY

Gambling and the use of information related to gambling is illegal in some countries. WIN2WIN LIMITED holds no responsibility for any user gambling

in an unlawful way. By using this system, or anything related to Win2Win Limited you agree to the Terms and Conditions Here