François R. Bouchet, Cosmology2015: from quantum foam to...

108
Strings15, Bengaluru, June 26th 2015 François R. Bouchet, "Cosmology2015: from quantum foam to the cosmic web"

Transcript of François R. Bouchet, Cosmology2015: from quantum foam to...

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Strings15, Bengaluru, June 26th 2015 François R. Bouchet, "Cosmology2015: from quantum foam to the cosmic web"

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2

dL =c

H0

z +1− q0

2z2 +O(z3)

]

Once upon a *me…

Not anymore!!

 Tens of millions of numbers (from CMB/LSS)

 Simple hypotheses explain much of them

–  but pulled from nowhere

 With kludges

–  Those for Single Field Slow Roll infla9on

–  Dark energy (dark ma>er)

 Charge: survey past accomplishments in cosmology,

look forward to the future. Strings15, Bengaluru, June 26th 2015 François R. Bouchet, "Cosmology2015: from quantum foam to the cosmic web"

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3

About these 2 numbers…

The redshiN‐distance rela*on, res*ng on Friedman equa*on and

the energy content

has come a long way since the days of Hubble

dL(z) = a0(1+z)Sk

0

@

c

a0H0

Z z

0

dz0

"

X

i

Ωi0(1 + z0)3(1+wi) +Ωk0(1 + z0)2

#

−1/21

A ,

Strings15, Bengaluru, June 26th 2015 François R. Bouchet, "Cosmology2015: from quantum foam to the cosmic web"

dL =c

H0

z +1− q0

2z2 +O(z3)

]

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Première observation aux Bell Labs

A. Penzias & A. Wilson en 1965

Nobel 1978

2.7 ºK

Strings15, Bengaluru, June 26th 2015 François R. Bouchet, "Cosmology2015: from quantum foam to the cosmic web"

CMB

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Strings15, Bengaluru, June 26th 2015 François R. Bouchet, "Cosmology2015: from quantum foam to the cosmic web"

Home 2.7Gy

LSS

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THEORY + SIMULATIONS

Strings15, Bengaluru, June 26th 2015 François R. Bouchet, "Cosmology2015: from quantum foam to the cosmic web"

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Amazing progress…

Strings15, Bengaluru, June 26th 2015 François R. Bouchet, "Cosmology2015: from quantum foam to the cosmic web"

  In the 60’s and 70’s, the early CMB theory was quickly established; the Universe then was baryonic, but DM evidence was moun*ng.

  In the 80’s

–  The CDM miracle (“The hot, the warm, and the cold”)

•  The west hierarchical clustering (boaom‐up) corresponded to iso‐curvature primordial fluctua*ons

•  The east natural adiaba*c fluctua*ons of HDM lead to pancake theory (top‐down) with superclustering

•  CDM turns HZP n=1 adiaba*c into the current hierarchical picture with superclustering, our cosmic web

–  Two compe9ng theories developed for the seeding of structures, both via quantum fluctua9ons of the vacuum

•  Infla*on

•  Cosmic strings

–  1986 CfA “bubbly” redshiM survey

–  No CMB anisotropies detec9on, but rapid progress

  In the 90’s

–  CMB anisotropies detected, a number of BB pillars established

–  SN1a, and emergence of LCDM paradigm but many skep9cs…

  Since then, BAO, Lensing, CMB polar… Is precision cosmology accurate?

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alm =

Zd2n T (n) Y

lm(n)

A theories‐measurements contact

Strings15, Bengaluru, June 26th 2015 François R. Bouchet, "Cosmology2015: from quantum foam to the cosmic web"

Obey for a statistically isotropic field,

The temperature angular power spectrum is estimated in practice by

< a`m a`0m0 > = C` δ``0 δmm0

cC` =

X

m

|a`m|2

2`+ 1

The harmonic modes

,

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CMB informa*on mine

Strings15, Bengaluru, June 26th 2015 François R. Bouchet, "Cosmology2015: from quantum foam to the cosmic web"

Angle ≈ 200/l degrees

Primordial power

Gravity waves

Acoustic oscillations

Reionisation

Lensing

+ all other statistical properties (NG)

Note ΔT values range

Observable

related to

physical

parameters

through well‐

understood,

mostly linear

physics

Peebles 1965, Sachs&Wolf 1967, Silk 1968, Sunyaev &Zeldovich 1969,

Peebles & Yu 1970 (detailed rec.)… simulated maps Bond&Efstathiou

1987(Infla9on) Bouchet,Benne>&Stebbins1988(strings)… public codes

CMBFAST [Seljack & Zaldarriaga 96], CAMB [Lewis et al. 2000], CLASS…

Kamionkowski et al 1997, Zaldarriaga & Seljak 1997 [E, B], NG…

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10 Strings15, Bengaluru, June 26th 2015 François R. Bouchet, "Cosmology2015: from quantum foam to the cosmic web"

POWER SPECTRUM SHAPE AND

COSMOLOGICAL PARAMETERS

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COBE 1992

Nobel 2006 (G. Smooth & J. Mather)

Strings15, Bengaluru, June 26th 2015

TERRA

INCO

GNITA

François R. Bouchet, "Cosmology2015: from quantum foam to the cosmic web"

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Boomerang 1998-2001 (& Maxima & TOCO)

First observations of the first peak

Strings15, Bengaluru, June 26th 2015 François R. Bouchet, "Cosmology2015: from quantum foam to the

cosmic web"

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13

End of 2002 status… (pre‐WMAP)

Strings15, Bengaluru, June 26th 2015 François R. Bouchet, "Cosmology2015: from quantum foam to the cosmic web"

Octobre 2002

Benoit et al 2003, A & A, 399, L25 +DASI2012 E-detection

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Wilkinson Microwave Anisotropie Probe (WMAP)

2003-2010

Observed first three peaks

Informations on polarisation

Strings15, Bengaluru, June 26th 2015 François R. Bouchet, "Cosmology2015: from quantum foam to the

cosmic web"

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WMAP1, WMAP3, WMAP5, WMAP7 Aghamousa et al. arXiv:1107.0516v2

Nonparametric uncertainties on peak and dip locations and heights

Strings15, Bengaluru, June 26th 2015 François R. Bouchet, "Cosmology2015: from quantum foam to the cosmic

web"

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Planck’s exhaustive temperature anistropies map

Strings15, Bengaluru, June 26th 2015 François R. Bouchet, "Cosmology2015: from quantum foam to the

cosmic web"

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(Ag

ha

mo

usa, S

ha

fie

loo, A

rju

nw

ad

ka

r, S

ou

rad

ee

p, JC

AP

2

01

5)

02

00

04

00

06

00

0

Multipole, l

l(l+

1)C

l2π

2

100

200

300

400

500

600

700

800

900

1000

1100

1200

1300

1400

1500

1600

1700

1800

1900

2000

2100

2200

2300

2400

2500

Table 7. Planck peak positions and amplitudes.

Peak

Number Position [`] Amplitude [ µK2]

TT power spectrum

First . . . . . . . 220.0 ± 0.5 5717 ± 35Second . . . . . . 537.5 ± 0.7 2582 ± 11Third . . . . . . . 810.8 ± 0.7 2523 ± 10Fourth . . . . . . 1120.9 ± 1.0 1237 ± 4Fifth . . . . . . . 1444.2 ± 1.1 797.1 ± 3.1Sixth . . . . . . . 1776 ± 5 377.4 ± 2.9Seventh . . . . . 2081 ± 25 214 ± 4Eighth . . . . . . 2395 ± 24 105 ± 4

Parametric Peak location

Planck TT spectrum

Strings15, Bengaluru, June 26th 2015 François R. Bouchet, "Cosmology2015: from quantum foam to the cosmic web"

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Strings15, Bengaluru, June 26th 2015 François R. Bouchet, "Cosmology2015: from quantum foam to the cosmic web"

After

1)  correcting the original WMAP

map from some residual dust

emission only

traced by Planck/HFI, and

2)  Downgrading Planck to WMAP

resolution (de facto throwing out

~90% of Planck

measured modes)

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Excellent consistency at l ~< 800

Strings15, Bengaluru, June 26th 2015 François R. Bouchet, "Cosmology2015: from quantum foam to the cosmic web"

(where WMAP is precise)

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Planck & high‐resolu*on experiments

Strings15, Bengaluru, June 26th 2015 François R. Bouchet, "Cosmology2015: from quantum foam to the cosmic web"

also see the same sky

In the bands accessible from the ground. NB: This is Planck 2013 data

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Strings15, Bengaluru, June 26th 2015 François R. Bouchet, "Cosmology2015: from quantum foam to the cosmic web"

  highL data (ACT&SPT) are consistent

with Planck

  highL data are only used for consistency

checks & SZ priors, not for cosmology

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TT power spectrum and residuals

Strings15, Bengaluru, June 26th 2015 François R. Bouchet, "Cosmology2015: from quantum foam to the cosmic web"

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Strings15, Bengaluru, June 26th 2015 François R. Bouchet, "Cosmology2015: from quantum foam to the cosmic web"

5

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Strings15, Bengaluru, June 26th 2015 François R. Bouchet, "Cosmology2015: from quantum foam to the cosmic web"

5

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Precision is not accuracy…

Low precision High precision L

ow

accu

racy

Hig

h a

ccu

racy

Strings15, Bengaluru, June 26th 2015 François R. Bouchet, "Cosmology2015: from quantum foam to the cosmic web"

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Strings15, Bengaluru, June 26th 2015 François R. Bouchet, "Cosmology2015: from quantum foam to the cosmic web"

Apart from τ,

5 base LCDM parameters

are determined with % level

precision.

And are robust

w.r.t. jack-knife

tests like removing

channels or even l-range.

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And many other tests…

Strings15, Bengaluru, June 26th 2015 François R. Bouchet, "Cosmology2015: from quantum foam to the cosmic web"

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Strings15, Bengaluru, June 26th 2015 François R. Bouchet, "Cosmology2015: from quantum foam to the cosmic web"

(and high-passed filtered at ~7o )

30 GHz

357 GHz

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What we already knew

Strings15, Bengaluru, June 26th 2015

François R. Bouchet, "Cosmology2015: from quantum foam to the cosmic web"

WMAP3 (about 50

locations)

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Strings15, Bengaluru, June 26th 2015

François R. Bouchet, "Cosmology2015: from quantum foam to the cosmic web"

The Planck 2015 CMB polarisa*on sky at 5 degree resolu*on

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Strings15, Bengaluru, June 26th 2015

François R. Bouchet, "Cosmology2015: from quantum foam to the cosmic web"

The Planck 2015 CMB polarisa*on sky at 1 degree resolu*on

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Strings15, Bengaluru, June 26th 2015

François R. Bouchet, "Cosmology2015: from quantum foam to the cosmic web"

The Planck 2015 CMB polarisa*on sky at 5 arc minute resolu*on

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Strings15, Bengaluru, June 26th 2015 François R. Bouchet, "Cosmology2015: from quantum foam to the cosmic web"

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Low‐ell (2<l<30) polarisa*on anisotropies

Strings15, Bengaluru, June 26th 2015 François R. Bouchet, "Cosmology2015: from quantum foam to the cosmic web"

HFI 353 GHz polarisation data was used to clean both WMAP and LFI 70GHz polarisation data.

Results are compatible, and it shifts the optical depth

to reionization, τ, to lower values than previously thought.

This plot is for low ell <30 only, i.e. it is not the final, full likelihood, outcome

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Planck 2015 ‐ TE & EE power spectra

  Red curve is the predic*on based on the best fit TT in base ΛCDM

  Albeit quite precise already, 2014 polarisa*on data and results are

not final yet because all systema*c and foreground uncertain*es

have not been exhaus9vely characterised at O(1μK2).

Strings15, Bengaluru, June 26th 2015 François R. Bouchet, "Cosmology2015: from quantum foam to the cosmic web"

Frequency averaged spectrum reduced chi2 = 1.04 Frequency averaged spectrum reduced chi2 = 1.01

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TT & EE spectra – mid 2015

2 10 30

100

101

102

103

104D

`[µK

2]

1000 2000 3000 4000

Planck

ACT

SPT

ACTPol

SPTpol

Strings15, Bengaluru, June 26th 2015 François R. Bouchet, "Cosmology2015: from quantum foam to the cosmic web"

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Adiaba*city

Strings15, Bengaloru, June 26th 2015 François R. Bouchet, "Cosmology2015: from quantum foam to the cosmic web"

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Adiaba*city

Strings15, Bengaloru, June 26th 2015 François R. Bouchet, "Cosmology2015: from quantum foam to the cosmic web"

Kinney

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TE large scale correla*on

Strings15, Bengaloru, June 26th 2015 François R. Bouchet, "Cosmology2015: from quantum foam to the cosmic web"

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T & E – LCDM parameters

Strings15, Bengaluru, June 26th 2015 François R. Bouchet, "Cosmology2015: from quantum foam to the cosmic web"

Parameters from

polarisation spectra are

highly

consistent

with those from

TT spectra.

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Base ΛCDM model

Strings15, Bengaluru, June 26th 2015 François R. Bouchet, "Cosmology2015: from quantum foam to the cosmic web"

TT & TE have quite similar uncertainties (apart from ns where l-range/noise counts most) but beware that they are still some low level systematics in the polarisation data

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42

A different view may hold surprises

Strings15, Bengaluru, June 26th 2015 François R. Bouchet, "Cosmology2015: from quantum foam to the cosmic web"

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Page 43

GRAVITATIONAL LENSING DISTORTS IMAGES

The gravita*onal effects of intervening maaer bend the path of CMB light on its way from the

early universe to the Planck telescope. This “gravita*onal lensing” distorts our image of the CMB

(smoothing on the power spectrum, and correla*ons between scales)

François R. Bouchet, "Cosmology2015: from quantum foam to the cosmic web" Strings15, Bengaluru, June 26th 2015

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Strings15, Bengaluru, June 26th 2015 François R. Bouchet, "Cosmology2015: from quantum foam to the cosmic web"

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Strings15, Bengaluru, June 26th 2015 François R. Bouchet, "Cosmology2015: from quantum foam to the cosmic web"

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Page 46

Planck projected mass map

François R. Bouchet, "Cosmology2015: from quantum foam to the cosmic web" Strings15, Bengaluru, June 26th 2015

2013

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Stacking the Planck mass maps at the positions of peaks and troughs of Cosmic Infrared Background (CIB) leads to a strong detection of the mass

associated with these distant star forming galaxies.

CIB peaks correspond to poten*al extrema

François R. Bouchet, "Cosmology2015: from quantum foam to the cosmic web"

[Planck Collaboration XVIII 2013]

(similar

at

857GHz)

Strings15, Bengaluru, June 26th 2015

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Lensing power spectrum

Strings15, Bengaluru, June 26th 2015 François R. Bouchet, "Cosmology2015: from quantum foam to the cosmic web"

Planck for the first time measured the lensing power spectrum with higher accuracy than it is predicted by the base CDM model that fits the temperature data

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BAO: correla*on func*on & power spectrum

Strings15, Bengaluru, June 26th 2015 François R. Bouchet, "Cosmology2015: from quantum foam to the cosmic web"

The spherical sound wave from an initial overpressure peak stalls after

decoupling at a distance estimated

by Planck of 147.5 ± 0.6 Mpc

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Planck and BAO

Strings15, Bengaluru, June 26th 2015 François R. Bouchet, "Cosmology2015: from quantum foam to the cosmic web"

Grey band is Planck TT+LowP 1(2) sigma range

… are consistent.

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Op*cal depth constraints

Strings15, Bengaluru, June 26th 2015 François R. Bouchet, "Cosmology2015: from quantum foam to the cosmic web"

NB: No lowP

zre < 6.5

excluded by

quasars

A new, independent, way to look at τ  Consistency of lensing and LowP constraints on τ

Pointing to lower τ values than earlier WMAP(1-9) based ones

τ

Dark ages therefore ended around 550 million years

after the BB – more than 100 million years later than

previously thought (note though That the sizeable uncertainties

remain similar for now).

There is now little need for

exotic/contrived sources of

energy to explain the history of reionization.

i.e. a tension between CMB

and galaxy formation is now

fading away.

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Spa*al curvature constraint

Strings15, Bengaluru, June 26th 2015 François R. Bouchet, "Cosmology2015: from quantum foam to the cosmic web"

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Neutrinos masses ∑m < 0.23 eV (95%)

Strings15, Bengaluru, June 26th 2015 François R. Bouchet, "Cosmology2015: from quantum foam to the cosmic web"

Planck TT+LowP

Planck TT+LowP+Lensing

Planck TT+LowP+Lensing+BAO

H0 = 70.6 3.3 km/s/Mpc

0.23eV is from

TT+lowP +lensing

+ext

h2

< 0.0025

(slight tightening

with

TE & EE)

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BBN – Neff, Yp

Strings15, Bengaluru, June 26th 2015 François R. Bouchet, "Cosmology2015: from quantum foam to the cosmic web"

Planck baryometer OK with BBN (but Li7)

Planck TT + lowP + BAO

Neff =3.15 ± 0.23 @ 95%cl;

Neff = 4 is thus excluded at

more than 3 sigma.

Planck found no evidence of

extra degrees of freedom at sub-eV mass level that could

have coexisted with photons at recombination

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Recombina*on history

Planck is impressively sensi*ve to details of the

recombina*on history… and is therefore sensi*ve to

 Varia*on of the fundamental constants

 The value of the 2 ϒ decay rate, or the recombina*on

Temperature…, or any non‐std history!

Strings15, Bengaluru, June 26th 2015 François R. Bouchet, "Cosmology2015: from quantum foam to the cosmic web"

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Dark maaer annihila*on?

Planck TTTEEE

breaks

degeneracies

and sets a limit

5 *mes

stronger than

WMAP9+SPT

Strings15, Bengaluru, June 26th 2015 François R. Bouchet, "Cosmology2015: from quantum foam to the cosmic web"

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Dark maaer annihila*on?

Strings15, Bengaluru, June 26th 2015 François R. Bouchet, "Cosmology2015: from quantum foam to the cosmic web"

See 1501.01618 for powerful other constraints

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Number counts of SZ clusters

Strings15, Bengaluru, June 26th 2015 François R. Bouchet, "Cosmology2015: from quantum foam to the cosmic web"

2013 tension only remains with some mass proxy calibration.

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Comparison of H0

  Inverse distance ladder is In perfect agreement with Planck CMB (use BAO’s absolute calibra*on to calibrate Sn1a in the overlapping region at z=0.57 to bring it down to z=0.)

  NB: some discrepancy with direct distance ladder

Strings15, Bengaluru, June 26th 2015 François R. Bouchet, "Cosmology2015: from quantum foam to the cosmic web"

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Standard cosmological model ‐ LCDM

 So the CMB TT, TE, EE, Φ‐Φ, as well as BBN (but Li7),

the BAO and SN1a measurements are all consistent,

among themselves and across experiments, despite the

per cent level precision of the tests now performed.

 This consistency allows many different checks of the

robustness of base LCDM and some of its extensions.

e.g., so far base LCDM parameters and derived

parameters (including τ constrained two‐ways thanks

to CMB lensing), flatness at 5 x 10‐3 level, neutrinos

masses and number, DM annihila*on, recombina*on

history (A2s1, T0, and also fundamental constants

varia*on, or any energy input).

Strings15, Bengaluru, June 26th 2015 François R. Bouchet, "Cosmology2015: from quantum foam to the cosmic web"

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Some tensions

Strings15, Bengaluru, June 26th 2015 François R. Bouchet, "Cosmology2015: from quantum foam to the cosmic web"

Weak Lensing from CFHTLens

Growth rate of fluctua*ons from

redshiN space distor*ons

Planck CMB lensing

i.e. some tensions with astrophysical measurements of the amplitude of matter fluctuations at low z.

NB: Ly BAO measurements at high redshift are discrepant at 2.7sig, and it is quite difficult to find

physical explanation not disrupting BAO consistency elsewhere, see eg Aubourg etal. 2015

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What these tensions can do…

Strings15, Bengaluru, June 26th 2015 François R. Bouchet, "Cosmology2015: from quantum foam to the cosmic web"

W(a) = w0 + (1-a) wa

Ref.

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Allowing neutrinos extensions

Strings15, Bengaluru, June 26th 2015 François R. Bouchet, "Cosmology2015: from quantum foam to the cosmic web"

WL at θPlanck

+ BAO+Ho

(ΩmH3 is tightly constrained by ϑMC)

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Planck 2015: ns vs r

Strings15, Bengaluru, June 26th 2015 François R. Bouchet, "Cosmology2015: from quantum foam to the cosmic web"

Only weakly tighter (indirect) r constraint than with 2013 release (r0.002 < 0.10 @ 95% CL vs 0.11)

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Power spectra reconstruc*on

Strings15, Bengaluru, June 26th 2015 François R. Bouchet, "Cosmology2015: from quantum foam to the cosmic web"

2015 TT+lowP +BAO+JLA

+Hlow

ns=0.968

9 e-folds

12-knots power

spectra (actually

used 3

different methods,

all with

similar

results)

1p

Sp

D

in co

lowPBAO

SN

Hzre

p

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(Unsuccessful) search for features

Strings15, Bengaluru, June 26th 2015 François R. Bouchet, "Cosmology2015: from quantum foam to the cosmic web"

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Axion monodromy infla*on

Periodic poten*al, analy*cal template from Flauger et al.

Strings15, Bengaluru, June 26th 2015 François R. Bouchet, "Cosmology2015: from quantum foam to the cosmic web"

Chi2 improvement insufficient. There are expected bispectrum oscillations Lowest frequency checked already (KO). Others imminent.

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CMB bispectrum fingerprin*ng with Planck

NG of equilateral type

(k1~k2~ k3):

  Non‐canonical kine*c term

–  K‐infla*on

–  DBI infla*on

  Higher‐derivate terms in

Lagrangian

–  Ghost infla*on

  Effec*ve field theory

NG of orthogonal type (k1~2k2~ 2k3) :

  Dis*nguishes between different variants of

–  Non‐canonical kine*c term

–  Higher deriva*ve interac*ons

  Galileon infla*on

NG of local type (k1 k2 ~ k3):

  Mul*‐field models

  Curvaton

  Ekpyro*c/cyclic models

(Also NG of Folded type

  Non Bunch‐Davis

  Higher deriva*ve )

François R. Bouchet, "Cosmology2015: from quantum foam to the

cosmic web"

LEO (Local, Equilateral, Orthogonal) are common outputs

Strings15, Bengaluru, June 26th 2015

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Bispectrum fingerprin*ng

NBD vacuum

Slices through bi‐spectra

of primordial fluctua*ons …

Ghost infla*on

DBI infla*on

Flaaened

Anisotropic

infla*on

Quasi‐

single field

infla*on

François R. Bouchet, "Cosmology2015: from quantum foam to the

cosmic web"

Strings15, Bengaluru, June 26th 2015

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The (local) fNL hunt

Strings15, Bengaluru, June 26th 2015 François R. Bouchet, "Cosmology2015: from quantum foam to the cosmic

web"

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Bispectrum constraints with full mission data

Strings15, Bengaluru, June 26th 2015 François R. Bouchet, "Cosmology2015: from quantum foam to the cosmic web"

flocal NL = 0.8 ± 5.0 fequil NL = - 4 ± 43

fortho NL =-26 ± 21

Planck 2015

Tightest constraints on primordial non-Gaussianities so far: the highest precision test on the origin of structures

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Planck 2015 TTT – 2001 modes

Strings15, Bengaluru, June 26th 2015 François R. Bouchet, "Cosmology2015: from quantum foam to the cosmic

web"

The 2015 analysis contains greatly extended analysis of template families + new techniques

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Constraints on Defects

Strings15, Bengaluru, June 26th 2015 François R. Bouchet, "Cosmology2015: from quantum foam to the cosmic

web"

TT+TE+EE

TT

95%CL

Nambu-Goto Abelian-Higgs

Semi-local Textures (global)

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Large scale anomalies

All COBE or WMAP anomalies confirmed, albeit with updated level of significance. Specifically:

 Low quadrupole, C(Θ) ~ 0 at Θ>60deg

 Quadrupole / octupole alignment

 A rare cold spot

 CMB TT l=20‐30 dip (about 2 sigma aNer marginalising over LCDM parameters)

 Hemispheric difference in TT power ~ 7% at low ell

Strings15, Bengaluru, June 26th 2015 François R. Bouchet, "Cosmology2015: from quantum foam to the cosmic web"

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Strings15, Bengaluru, June 26th 2015 François R. Bouchet, "Cosmology2015: from quantum foam to the cosmic web"

The world of physics is taken aback by an extraordinary result from a beautiful experiment:

The search for primordial gravitationnal waves is over.

It is r=0.2 and it is 5 sigma!

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Planck X (Bicep2 & Keck)

 Since January 30th 2015, the direct constraints on r (Planck X Bicep2 & Keck) have reached the level of the previous best indirect constraints (from Planck alone T), i.e.

 r < 0.11 @ 95%CL

(r =As/AT à, e.g., k=0.05Mpc‐1)

 A new era began…

Strings15, Bengaluru, June 26th 2015 François R. Bouchet, "Cosmology2015: from quantum foam to the cosmic web"

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Planck + BK X Planck

Strings15, Bengaluru, June 26th 2015 François R. Bouchet, "Cosmology2015: from quantum foam to the

cosmic web"

(using nT and r0.002 as primary parameters)

Planck 2013: r0.002 < 0.11 @95%cl Planck 2015: r0.002 < 0.10 @95%cl

BKP : r0.002 < 0.12 @95%cl

Planck+BKP: r0.002 < 0.08 @95%cl

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Strings15, Bengaluru, June 26th 2015 François R. Bouchet, "Cosmology2015: from quantum foam to the cosmic web"

Plus the futures: S4, more ballooning, and back into space

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TT, EE, BB – mid 2015

Strings15, Bengaluru, June 26th 2015 François R. Bouchet, "Cosmology2015: from quantum foam to the cosmic web"

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Strings15, Bengaluru, June 26th 2015 François R. Bouchet, "Cosmology2015: from quantum foam to the cosmic web"

Summary: Basic ΛCDM fits   Primordial fluctuations are, to a very good approximation:

–  Isotropic

–  Gaussian

–  Adiabatic (fluctuations in pressure α to the density)

–  Coherent (fluctuations start @same time, harm. osc)

–  Close to Scale invariant

–  but not exactly (ns =1 is excluded at more than 5σ)

  With minimal cosmological content,

–  Flat spatial geometry (is a very good approximation)

–  Matter is mostly dark (and cold)

–  “Dark energy” consistent with Λ (w=-1)

–  Small fraction of baryon, consistent with BBN

  No gravitational waves (10 percent level)

  Large scale power, with TT versus TE anti-correlation (5o > ϑ > 1o ):

–  This Signature of « super-horizon » fluctuations at decoupling and

adiabaticity of primordial fluctuations (phases TT/TE) provides

an indication of apparently a-causal physics, calling for a

period of accelerated expansion (Spergel & Zaldariaga 97)

I.e. all consistent with generic inflationary framework

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NB

Strings15, Bengaluru, June 26th 2015 François R. Bouchet, "Cosmology2015: from quantum foam to the cosmic web"

This tight agreement between theory and a large body of empirical facts is based on predictions of

the evolution of vacuum quantum fluctuations

amplified by gravity in an expanding background

on scales which cross the Hubble scale, i.e.

using GR successfully in a regime never probed before.

And we are hopeful that nature will allow us to

detect primordial gravitational wave, i.e. direct

signature of quantum fluctuations of the metric, a direct manifestation of quantum gravity, which

should be doable for all large field models.

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Why is the

potenJal so

flat?

Why did the field start here?

Where did this

funcJon come

from?

How do we convert the field

energy completely into

parJcles?

But what is the physics of infla*on?

Strings15, Bengaluru, June 26th 2015 François R. Bouchet, "Cosmology2015: from quantum foam to the cosmic web"

Is there a completely different paradigm to explain the measurements?

Not to Mention

DE/DM

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How to progress?

Strings15, Bengaluru, June 26th 2015 François R. Bouchet, "Cosmology2015: from quantum foam to the cosmic web"

 No single “obvious” beyond Single‐Field‐Slow‐Roll model.

–  Must therefore leave no stone unturned.

 There are established anomalies in the CMB, as well as tensions with the CMB to explore (in addi*on to r)

–  Helas, nearly all anomalies so far are at large scale where we

are limited by cosmic variance; can only progress with physical models to test them elsewhere.

 Many constraints are sta*s*cal, scaling .

 Happily, there are s*ll very many modes awai*ng to be measured, in E & B (r) & spectral distor*ons with CMB & in 3D (fnl) from LSS (e.g., 21cm), providing many loaery *ckets…

–  Cosmology has not been sparing of (big) surprises 9ll now.

∝ N−1/2modes

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CMB-S4 with telescope multiplexing

250, 350, 600 GHz (2018)

Antarctic: BFORE Antarctic: EBEX10K Greenland: GLP

+Atacama: GroundBIRD, MuSE

Strings15, Bengaluru, June 26th 2015 François R. Bouchet, "Cosmology2015: from quantum foam to the cosmic web"

A CMB Moore’s law

Suborbital, proposed or planned:

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PIXIE, DARE, EPIC+? (NASA) (PRISM, CORE+) CORE++? (ESA) LiteBird (JAXA) down selected to a list of 3, early June 2015

Each with rather different trade-offs/objectives… for now

(targeted/fast/”cheap” versus definitive)

LiteBIRD (JAXA) 30-60’ 2 uK/arcmin

6 bands, 15 xtendable?

Proposed/planned CMB space missions

Strings15, Bengaluru, June 26th 2015 François R. Bouchet, "Cosmology2015: from quantum foam to the cosmic web"

PIXIE (NASA)

Core+ (ESA)

….

DARE (NASA)

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Example from the Core+ science case

Strings15, Bengaluru, June 26th 2015 François R. Bouchet, "Cosmology2015: from quantum foam to the cosmic web"

full sky CMB polarisa*on and lensing

mapping, with enough sensi*vity to detect

unambiguously r=10‐3, and lots of frequency

channels (FG + SZ, star forma*on science)

Can settle nu

hierarchy

lensing

Page 87: François R. Bouchet, Cosmology2015: from quantum foam to ...member.ipmu.jp/.../stringsmirrors/2015/26-06-2015-Francois-R-Bouchet.pdf · François R. Bouchet, "Cosmology2015: from

Spectral measurements (date back to FIRAS)

Strings15, Bengaluru, June 26th 2015 François R. Bouchet, "Cosmology2015: from quantum foam to the cosmic web"

arX

iv:0

90

8.0

43

5v1

y and mu distortions reveal

any energy release at any

time after thermalisation (z ~

108).

Notably the

release from silk

damping of small scale fluctuations.

This will constrain (blue) values of ns

at damped scales

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The (21cm) Frequency Axis

CMB

21cm

Measurements vs. frequency

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89

Hydrogen Intensity Mapping

To measure BAO scale there is no need to resolve individual galaxies. Map intensity of HI gas using redshifted 21 cm emission along the line of sight.

For 15 Mpc spatial resolution at z~1-2, need ~15-25’ angular resolution. This requires observations with a ~100 m aperture and a fast mapping speed in the 400-800 MHz band.

Strings15, Bengaluru, June 26th 2015 François R. Bouchet, "Cosmology2015: from quantum foam to the cosmic web"

Page 90: François R. Bouchet, Cosmology2015: from quantum foam to ...member.ipmu.jp/.../stringsmirrors/2015/26-06-2015-Francois-R-Bouchet.pdf · François R. Bouchet, "Cosmology2015: from

Strings15, Bengaluru, June 26th 2015 François R. Bouchet, "Cosmology2015: from quantum foam to the cosmic web"

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Some predic*ons for future data sets

Strings15, Bengaluru, June 26th 2015 François R. Bouchet, "Cosmology2015: from quantum foam to the cosmic web"

  Curvature Ωk to 0.07%: could be improved with CMB lensing, but s*ll a long way from cosmic variance limit

  ns , dns/dlnk to 0.0015 with Lya forest P1d , otherwise 0.005, Spherex can also reach 0.001: test infla*on?

  fnl to 1, possibly to 0.2 with Spherex

  Mν to 0.02eV, limited by Planck op*cal depth uncertainty: can we do beaer (21cm?)

Font-Ribera et al 2014…

Planck+DESI+LSST+S4+…

SPHEREX is a proposed All-Sky Spectral Survey

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Neutrino Experiments

!"#$%&'()*'"%+,)-"./

0123 0423 2423 123

523

623

2323 2423 2123

2523

2623

7%(8809":$&(')-;</

0=223

04623

04>23

04423

02?23

02523

02=23

02323

0@23

0123

0223

A&+)AB'+

9(CB%

D"%%"8$%&BCE"B:$(%

F$;(8GH"%&:

F::"C"%B$(%

IBCB:$&:

Big$Bang$

Solar$

PTOLEMY$

Accelerator$

Super8K$$

Borexino$

$SNO+$LENS$$

Hyper8K$

SuperNova$

KamLAND$

Double$Chooz$

Daya$Bay$$JUNO$

RENO$

RENO850$$

RICOCHET$

DANNS$US$reactor$

Stereo$

Super8K$

MINOS+$

IceCube$$PINGU$$

LBNE$

INO$

Hyper8K$

LAGUNA$

Super8K$$

Borexino$$

KamLAND$LVD$

IceCube/PINGU$$

Hyper8K$

LBNE$

SNO+$LAGUNA$

WATCHMAN$

Atmospheric$

Reactor$

Cosmic$

IceCube/PINGU$

Antares$

ANITA$ARA/ARIANNA$

KM3NET$

EVA$

MINOS+$

T2K$

NOvA$T2HK$

LBNO$

RADAR$

CHiPS$

LBNE$MINERvA$

MicroBooNE$

MiniBooNE+$

ICARUS/NESSiE$

LAr1,$SciNOvA$DAEδALUS$

CSISNS,$CENNS$

CAPTAIN,$OscSNS$

νSTORM$

NuMAX$

Cross$SecVon$($ν

e$e

$$ν

e$e

$in$m

b)$

Neutrino$Energy$(eV)$

Terrestrial$

Strings15, Bengaluru, June 26th 2015

François R. Bouchet, "Cosmology2015: from quantum foam to the cosmic web"

Page 93: François R. Bouchet, Cosmology2015: from quantum foam to ...member.ipmu.jp/.../stringsmirrors/2015/26-06-2015-Francois-R-Bouchet.pdf · François R. Bouchet, "Cosmology2015: from
Page 94: François R. Bouchet, Cosmology2015: from quantum foam to ...member.ipmu.jp/.../stringsmirrors/2015/26-06-2015-Francois-R-Bouchet.pdf · François R. Bouchet, "Cosmology2015: from

Planck is a project of the

European Space Agency, with

instruments provided by two

scientific

Consortia funded by ESA member

states (in

particular the lead countries:

France and Italy) with

contributions

from NASA (USA), and

telescope reflectors

provided in a

collaboration between ESA and

a scientific Consortium led

and funded by

Denmark. François R. Bouchet, "Cosmology2015: from quantum foam to the cosmic web"

The Planck results are a product of the Planck Collaboration, including individuals from more than 100 scientific institutes in Europe, the USA and Canada.

Strings15, Bengaluru, June 26th 2015

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Page 95

2015 constraints on single parameter extensions to base LCDM

François R. Bouchet, "Cosmology2015: from quantum foam to the cosmic web"

no compelling evidence for deviaJons from the baseline model

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αiso

Pann

...

Conclusions

base ΛCDM con*nues to be a good fit to the Planck data, including polarisa9on.

Strings15, Bengaluru, June 26th 2015 François R. Bouchet, "Cosmology2015: from quantum foam to the cosmic web"

 powerful evidence in favour of simple inflationary models, that match Planck data to very high precision.

 If there is new physics beyond base ΛCDM, its observational signatures in the CMB are weak & difficult to detect.

flocalNL = 0.8 ± 5.0

fequilNL = -4 ± 43

forthoNL=-26 ± 21

@95%cl

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Planck & WMAP agree at very low ell

Strings15, Bengaluru, June 26th 2015 François R. Bouchet, "Cosmology2015: from quantum foam to the cosmic web"

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highL data (ACT&SPT) are consistent with Planck

Strings15, Bengaluru, June 26th 2015 François R. Bouchet, "Cosmology2015: from quantum foam to the cosmic web"

500 1000 1500 2000 2500

Multipole moment, `

102

103

104

D`[µK

2]

Planck

Planck + highL

1 0.2 0.1 0.07Angular scale

highL data only used for consistency

checks, not for cosmology (but for

SZ priors)

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T & E – LCDM parameters

Strings15, Bengaluru, June 26th 2015 François R. Bouchet, "Cosmology2015: from quantum foam to the cosmic web"

A series of increased

precision, but for the

overall % level recalibration

(which now sets the

standard for

mm sky studies -- absolute and

accurate).

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OPTICAL DEPTH

TE-3 years contributes very little

Alone would be an upper limit on tau

New noise estimation (see Fisher) is the reason

tau-1yr was based on TE

tau from (EE-) 3yr is compatible at 2σ level with 1 yr data (likelihood plotted

keeping all other parameters fixed)

OPTICAL DEPTH

TE-3 years contributes very little

Alone would be an upper limit on tau

New noise estimation (see Fisher) is the reason

tau-1yr was based on TE

tau from (EE-) 3yr is compatible at 2σ level with 1 yr data (likelihood plotted

keeping all other parameters fixed)

A slide from my second 2008 lecture at IUCAA school… STRINGS15, BENGALURU, JUNE 26TH 2015 FRANÇOIS R. BOUCHET, "COSMOLOGY2015: FROM QUANTUM FOAM TO

THE COSMIC WEB"

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Neutrinos extensions

Strings15, Bengaluru, June 26th 2015 François R. Bouchet, "Cosmology2015: from quantum foam to the cosmic web"

Free-streaming particles have (1/3, 1/3) (a perfect fluid would have (1/3, 0) )

Neff > 0 at ~ 15σ, Neff =4 excluded at 3-5σ

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Dark maaer annihila*on?

Strings15, Bengaluru, June 26th 2015 François R. Bouchet, "Cosmology2015: from quantum foam to the cosmic web"

DM annihilation:   Suppresses

amplitude, albeit in a very

degenerate way with other

parameters

  Enhances polarisation at

large scale (l

~< 300)

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PCA of w(z)

Strings15, Bengaluru, June 26th 2015 François R. Bouchet, "Cosmology2015: from quantum foam to the cosmic web"

Planck TT + LowP + BAO + JLA + Ho

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Random field characterisa*on

François R. Bouchet, "Cosmology2015: from quantum foam to the

cosmic web"

The angular power spectrum compares two points separated by one angle

2pt

4pt

3pt

To assess non Gaussianity, one must compare fluctuations in three points (bi-spectrum), four

point (tri-spectrum), etc.

Need three numbers to characterize a triangle One origin of four point signal comes from lensing by Large Scale Structures.

Strings15, Bengaluru, June 26th 2015

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fNL= 100

Strings15, Bengaluru, June 26th 2015 François R. Bouchet, "Cosmology2015: from quantum foam to the cosmic

web"

Liguori, Yadav, Hansen, Komatsu, Matarrese, Wandelt 2007

Positive fNL = More Cold Spots

“The frightening power of statistics”

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fNL= 0

Strings15, Bengaluru, June 26th 2015 François R. Bouchet, "Cosmology2015: from quantum foam to the cosmic

web"

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CHALLENGES

Strings15, Bengaluru, June 26th 2015 François R. Bouchet, "Cosmology2015: from quantum foam to the cosmic web"

•  BEAMS: in situ measurement of

beams, esp. sidelobes (ν & polzn dependence, stability)

•  BANDPASSES: in situ

characterization, matching, polzn dependence, avoiding CO etc

•  GROUND PICKUP: shielding,

sufficient suppression of scan

synchronous pickup, stability

•  I Q/U LEAKAGE: ν

dependence, polarization

dependence, stability, spatial dependence

•  SENSITIVITY: low loading, high

optical throughput

•  CALIBRATION: stability,

dynamic range, ν dependence, pointing jitter

•  POLARIZATION ANGLES: in

situ measurement, ν dependence

•  STRIPING: minimize 1/f with fast

modulation

FOREGROUNDS

SYSTEMATICS S

ENSITIVITY

CHALLENGES

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Towards exhaus*ng k‐modes

Strings15, Bengaluru, June 26th 2015 François R. Bouchet, "Cosmology2015: from quantum foam to the cosmic web"