Fraction complete, January 2016 - McGill University · Fraction complete, January 2016 Egypt...
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Transcript of Fraction complete, January 2016 - McGill University · Fraction complete, January 2016 Egypt...
0.0 0.2 0.4 0.6 0.8 1.0 1.2Fraction complete, January 2016
EgyptPortugal
ChileGreece
BoliviaPeru
PakistanRomania
KazakhstanAlgeria
PhilippinesSaudi Arabia
TanzaniaDR Congo
FinlandSweden
ThailandIran
IndonesiaSouth Africa
PolandNigeria
UkraineUnited Kingdom
TurkeySpain
ItalyMexico
ArgentinaGermany
AustraliaCanadaFrance
IndiaJapan
BrazilRussia
ChinaUnited States
World
Visual assessmentPoint estimateBootstrap (95pc CI)Multilevel model (95pc CI)
Parametric modelCountry-level fitSub-country fitDensity quintile fit
0.0 0.2 0.4 0.6 0.8 1.0 1.2Fraction complete, January 2016
ZambiaLibya
Cote d'IvoireSri Lanka
LithuaniaSwitzerland
TaiwanAngola
NepalMongolia
UgandaZimbabwe
BulgariaSudan
HungaryEthiopia
EcuadorCameroon
DenmarkKenya
MyanmarSyria
MaliNew Zealand
VenezuelaUzbekistan
BelgiumIraq
MalaysiaIreland
Viet NamCzech Rep.
MoroccoMozambique
AustriaNorwayNetherlands
ColombiaSouth Korea
Belarus
Visual assessmentPoint estimateBootstrap (95pc CI)Multilevel model (95pc CI)
Parametric modelCountry-level fitSub-country fitDensity quintile fit
0.0 0.2 0.4 0.6 0.8 1.0 1.2Fraction complete, January 2016
HondurasJordan
YemenSierra Leone
MoldovaPuerto Rico
Costa RicaDominican Rep.
UruguaySlovenia
South SudanOman
Bosnia \& Herz.Chad
SlovakiaKyrgyzstan
GuatemalaEstonia
UAESenegal
BeninNorth Korea
CambodiaBotswana
MadagascarAzerbaijan
Burkina FasoTunisia
MalawiBangladesh
GeorgiaGuinea
AfghanistanNamibia
CubaParaguay
CroatiaLatvia
SerbiaGhana
Visual assessmentPoint estimateBootstrap (95pc CI)Multilevel model (95pc CI)
Parametric modelCountry-level fitSub-country fitDensity quintile fit
0.0 0.2 0.4 0.6 0.8 1.0 1.2Fraction complete, January 2016
LuxembourgBhutan
FijiWestern Sahara
GambiaEritrea
TrinidadQatar
GabonCyprus
SwazilandMontenegro
KuwaitKosovo
JamaicaPalestine
MacedoniaRwanda
PanamaLebanon
Papua New GuineaMauritania
IcelandLesotho
HaitiLiberia
BurundiArmenia
El SalvadorNicaragua
AlbaniaCongo
TajikistanC. African Rep.
TurkmenistanTogo
SomaliaIsrael
LaosNiger
Visual assessmentPoint estimateBootstrap (95pc CI)Multilevel model (95pc CI)
Parametric modelCountry-level fitSub-country fitDensity quintile fit
0.0 0.2 0.4 0.6 0.8 1.0 1.2Fraction complete, January 2016
Faroe IslandsGrenada
Isle of ManMaldives
ArubaFalkland Isl.
AntiguaSamoa
Saint LuciaTonga
ComorosUS Virgin Isl.
Solomon Isl.Aland Islands
GuamCuracao
DjiboutiFr. Polynesia
Fr. GuianaMalta
BarbadosVanuatu
Cabo VerdeBrunei
Guinea-BissauHong KongMartinique
MauritiusTimor-Leste
GuadeloupeBahrain
Eq. GuineaSingapore
New CaledoniaN. Cyprus
GuyanaSuriname
BahamasBelize
Reunion
Visual assessmentPoint estimateBootstrap (95pc CI)Multilevel model (95pc CI)
Parametric modelCountry-level fitSub-country fitDensity quintile fit
0.0 0.2 0.4 0.6 0.8 1.0 1.2Fraction complete, January 2016
Br. Ind. Ocean Terr.Gibraltar
Christmas Isl.Norfolk Isl.
SvalbardSt. Barthelemy
St. PierreNiue
MontserratMarshall Isl.
St. MartinSt. Helena
Wallis \& FutunaAnguillaSt. Maarten
PalauCook Isl.
San MarinoAm. Samoa
LiechtensteinBr. Virgin Isl.
MacaoMicronesia
AndorraSeychelles
GreenlandGuernsey
BermudaSao TomeMayotte
KiribatiBonaire
Turks \& CaicosJersey
Akrotiri DhekeliaSt. Kitts \& Nevis
St. VincentCayman Isl.
N. Mariana Isl.Dominica
Visual assessmentPoint estimateBootstrap (95pc CI)Multilevel model (95pc CI)
Parametric modelCountry-level fitSub-country fitDensity quintile fit
101 103 105 107
Roads reported by IRF, km
101
102
103
104
105
106
107
Estim
ated
road
s fro
m O
SM d
ata
(km
)
2009201220150.0
10.020.030.0
Leng
th (m
illion
km
) World
2009201220150.003.006.009.00
United States
2009201220150.00
2.50
5.00
7.50China
2009201220150.001.002.003.00
Russia
2009201220150.000.501.001.50
Leng
th (m
illion
km
) Brazil
2009201220150.000.400.801.20
Japan
2009201220150.00
1.00
2.00
3.00India
2009201220150.00
0.40
0.80
1.20France
ActualPredictedAsymptoteVisual assessment:Multilevel estimate95pc CIOther paths(non-roads)200920122015
0.00
0.40
0.80
Leng
th (m
illion
km
) Canada
2009201220150.000.250.500.75
Australia
2009201220150.00
0.50
1.00
1.50Germany
sigmoid-with-4-jumps
World
sigmoid-with-1-jumps
United States
sigmoid-with-4-jumps
China
gompertz
Russia
sigmoid-with-1-jumps
Brazil
sigmoid-with-1-jumps
Japan
sigmoid-with-2-jumps
India
sigmoid-with-1-jumps
France
sigmoid-with-2-jumps
Canada
sigmoid-with-3-jumps
Australia
gompertz
Germany
sigmoid-with-4-jumps
Argentina
sigmoid-with-3-jumps
Mexico
gompertz
Italy
gompertz
Spain
sigmoid-with-3-jumps
Turkey
gompertz
United Kingdom
sigmoid-with-1-jumps
Ukraine
sigmoid-with-2-jumps
Nigeria
sigmoid-with-3-jumps
Poland
2009 2012 2015
sigmoid-with-3-jumps
South Africa
2009 2012 2015
sigmoid-with-4-jumps
Indonesia
2009 2012 2015
gompertz
IranActualDensity quintilesPredictedAsymptoteVisual assessment:Multilevel estimate95pc CI
gompertz
Thailand
gompertz
Sweden
sigmoid-with-1-jumps
Finland
sigmoid-with-4-jumps
DR Congo
sigmoid-with-3-jumps
Tanzania
gompertz
Saudi Arabia
sigmoid-with-1-jumps
Philippines
justaline
Algeria
sigmoid-with-4-jumps
Kazakhstan
sigmoid-with-2-jumps
Romania
sigmoid-with-1-jumps
Pakistan
sigmoid-with-4-jumps
Peru
sigmoid-with-4-jumps
Bolivia
sigmoid-with-3-jumps
Greece
sigmoid-with-2-jumps
Chile
sigmoid-with-2-jumps
Portugal
sigmoid-with-3-jumps
Egypt
sigmoid-with-3-jumps
Belarus
sigmoid-with-4-jumps
South Korea
gompertz
Colombia
2009 2012 2015
sigmoid-with-2-jumps
Netherlands
2009 2012 2015
sigmoid-with-3-jumps
Norway
2009 2012 2015
sigmoid-with-4-jumps
AustriaActualDensity quintilesPredictedAsymptoteVisual assessment:Multilevel estimate95pc CI
sigmoid-with-2-jumps
Mozambique
sigmoid-with-1-jumps
Morocco
gompertz
Czech Rep.
sigmoid-with-3-jumps
Viet Nam
sigmoid-with-1-jumps
Ireland
sigmoid-with-1-jumps
Malaysia
sigmoid-with-4-jumps
Iraq
gompertz
Belgium
sigmoid-with-4-jumps
Uzbekistan
sigmoid-with-2-jumps
Venezuela
sigmoid-with-3-jumps
New Zealand
sigmoid-with-4-jumps
Mali
sigmoid-with-2-jumps
Syria
sigmoid-with-3-jumps
Myanmar
sigmoid-with-4-jumps
Kenya
sigmoid-with-2-jumps
Denmark
sigmoid-with-4-jumps
Cameroon
sigmoid-with-4-jumps
Ecuador
sigmoid-with-4-jumps
Ethiopia
gompertz
Hungary
2009 2012 2015
sigmoid-with-4-jumps
Sudan
2009 2012 2015
sigmoid-with-4-jumps
Bulgaria
2009 2012 2015
sigmoid-with-1-jumps
ZimbabweActualDensity quintilesPredictedAsymptoteVisual assessment:Multilevel estimate95pc CI
sigmoid-with-3-jumps
Uganda
sigmoid-with-4-jumps
Mongolia
sigmoid-with-3-jumps
Nepal
sigmoid-with-4-jumps
Angola
sigmoid-with-4-jumps
Taiwan
gompertz
Switzerland
sigmoid-with-2-jumps
Lithuania
sigmoid-with-1-jumps
Sri Lanka
sigmoid-with-4-jumps
Cote d'Ivoire
sigmoid-with-2-jumps
Libya
sigmoid-with-4-jumps
Zambia
sigmoid-with-3-jumps
Ghana
gompertz
Serbia
sigmoid-with-3-jumps
Latvia
gompertz
Croatia
sigmoid-with-2-jumps
Paraguay
sigmoid-with-4-jumps
Cuba
sigmoid-with-4-jumps
Namibia
sigmoid-with-1-jumps
Afghanistan
sigmoid-with-4-jumps
Guinea
2009 2012 2015
sigmoid-with-1-jumps
Georgia
2009 2012 2015
sigmoid-with-2-jumps
Bangladesh
2009 2012 2015
sigmoid-with-1-jumps
MalawiActualDensity quintilesPredictedAsymptoteVisual assessment:Multilevel estimate95pc CI
sigmoid-with-2-jumps
Tunisia
sigmoid-with-1-jumps
Burkina Faso
sigmoid-with-3-jumps
Azerbaijan
sigmoid-with-4-jumps
Madagascar
sigmoid-with-4-jumps
Botswana
sigmoid-with-3-jumps
Cambodia
sigmoid-with-2-jumps
North Korea
sigmoid-with-4-jumps
Benin
sigmoid-with-2-jumps
Senegal
sigmoid-with-3-jumps
UAE
sigmoid-with-4-jumps
Estonia
sigmoid-with-4-jumps
Guatemala
sigmoid-with-3-jumps
Kyrgyzstan
sigmoid-with-2-jumps
Slovakia
sigmoid-with-2-jumps
Chad
gompertz
Bosnia and Herz.
sigmoid-with-3-jumps
Oman
sigmoid-with-1-jumps
South Sudan
justaline
Slovenia
sigmoid-with-2-jumps
Uruguay
2009 2012 2015
sigmoid-with-2-jumps
Dominican Rep.
2009 2012 2015
sigmoid-with-3-jumps
Costa Rica
2009 2012 2015
sigmoid-with-1-jumps
Puerto RicoActualDensity quintilesPredictedAsymptoteVisual assessment:Multilevel estimate95pc CI
sigmoid-with-1-jumps
Moldova
sigmoid-with-4-jumps
Sierra Leone
sigmoid-with-2-jumps
Yemen
sigmoid-with-2-jumps
Jordan
sigmoid-with-1-jumps
Honduras
sigmoid-with-2-jumps
Niger
sigmoid-with-4-jumps
Laos
gompertz
Israel
sigmoid-with-1-jumps
Somalia
sigmoid-with-4-jumps
Togo
sigmoid-with-3-jumps
Turkmenistan
sigmoid-with-2-jumps
C. African Rep.
sigmoid-with-3-jumps
Tajikistan
sigmoid-with-1-jumps
Congo
sigmoid-with-4-jumps
Albania
sigmoid-with-2-jumps
Nicaragua
sigmoid-with-1-jumps
El Salvador
sigmoid-with-4-jumps
Armenia
sigmoid-with-3-jumps
Burundi
sigmoid-with-3-jumps
Liberia
2009 2012 2015
sigmoid-with-4-jumps
Haiti
2009 2012 2015
sigmoid-with-2-jumps
Lesotho
2009 2012 2015
sigmoid-with-3-jumps
IcelandActualDensity quintilesPredictedAsymptoteVisual assessment:Multilevel estimate95pc CI
sigmoid-with-4-jumps
Mauritania
sigmoid-with-4-jumps
Papua New Guinea
sigmoid-with-3-jumps
Lebanon
sigmoid-with-4-jumps
Panama
sigmoid-with-4-jumps
Rwanda
sigmoid-with-4-jumps
Macedonia
sigmoid-with-3-jumps
Palestine
sigmoid-with-4-jumps
Jamaica
sigmoid-with-1-jumps
Kosovo
sigmoid-with-4-jumps
Kuwait
sigmoid-with-3-jumps
Montenegro
sigmoid-with-3-jumps
Swaziland
sigmoid-with-2-jumps
Cyprus
sigmoid-with-4-jumps
Gabon
sigmoid-with-2-jumps
Qatar
sigmoid-with-1-jumps
Trinidad
sigmoid-with-3-jumps
Eritrea
sigmoid-with-3-jumps
Gambia
sigmoid-with-1-jumps
Western Sahara
sigmoid-with-3-jumps
Fiji
2009 2012 2015
sigmoid-with-2-jumps
Bhutan
2009 2012 2015
sigmoid-with-4-jumps
Luxembourg
2009 2012 2015
sigmoid-with-3-jumps
ReunionActualDensity quintilesPredictedAsymptoteVisual assessment:Multilevel estimate95pc CI
sigmoid-with-4-jumps
Belize
sigmoid-with-4-jumps
Bahamas
sigmoid-with-3-jumps
Suriname
sigmoid-with-2-jumps
Guyana
sigmoid-with-4-jumps
N. Cyprus
gompertz
New Caledonia
sigmoid-with-4-jumps
Singapore
sigmoid-with-4-jumps
Eq. Guinea
sigmoid-with-3-jumps
Bahrain
sigmoid-with-1-jumps
Guadeloupe
sigmoid-with-1-jumps
Timor-Leste
sigmoid-with-4-jumps
Mauritius
sigmoid-with-3-jumps
Martinique
sigmoid-with-1-jumps
Hong Kong
sigmoid-with-2-jumps
Guinea-Bissau
sigmoid-with-2-jumps
Brunei
sigmoid-with-2-jumps
Cabo Verde
sigmoid-with-4-jumps
Vanuatu
sigmoid-with-1-jumps
Barbados
sigmoid-with-1-jumps
Malta
2009 2012 2015
sigmoid-with-2-jumps
Fr. Guiana
2009 2012 2015
sigmoid-with-4-jumps
Fr. Polynesia
2009 2012 2015
sigmoid-with-3-jumps
DjiboutiActualDensity quintilesPredictedAsymptoteVisual assessment:Multilevel estimate95pc CI
sigmoid-with-3-jumps
Curacao
sigmoid-with-4-jumps
Guam
sigmoid-with-3-jumps
Aland Islands
sigmoid-with-3-jumps
Solomon Isl.
sigmoid-with-4-jumps
US Virgin Isl.
sigmoid-with-4-jumps
Comoros
sigmoid-with-2-jumps
Tonga
sigmoid-with-2-jumps
Saint Lucia
sigmoid-with-2-jumps
Samoa
sigmoid-with-2-jumps
Antigua
sigmoid-with-3-jumps
Falkland Isl.
sigmoid-with-4-jumps
Aruba
sigmoid-with-4-jumps
Maldives
sigmoid
Isle of Man
sigmoid-with-1-jumps
Grenada
sigmoid-with-2-jumps
Faroe Islands
sigmoid-with-4-jumps
Dominica
sigmoid-with-4-jumps
N. Mariana Isl.
sigmoid-with-4-jumps
Cayman Isl.
sigmoid-with-4-jumps
St. Vincent
2009 2012 2015
sigmoid-with-2-jumps
St. Kitts and Nevis
2009 2012 2015
sigmoid-with-4-jumps
Akrotiri Dhekelia
2009 2012 2015
sigmoid-with-4-jumps
JerseyActualDensity quintilesPredictedAsymptoteVisual assessment:Multilevel estimate95pc CI
sigmoid-with-3-jumps
Turks and Caicos
sigmoid-with-3-jumps
Bonaire
sigmoid-with-1-jumps
Kiribati
sigmoid-with-4-jumps
Mayotte
sigmoid-with-2-jumps
Sao Tome
sigmoid-with-4-jumps
Bermuda
sigmoid-with-3-jumps
Guernsey
sigmoid-with-4-jumps
Greenland
sigmoid-with-2-jumps
Seychelles
sigmoid-with-3-jumps
Andorra
sigmoid-with-4-jumps
Micronesia
sigmoid-with-2-jumps
Macao
sigmoid-with-1-jumps
Br. Virgin Isl.
sigmoid-with-1-jumps
Liechtenstein
sigmoid-with-2-jumps
Am. Samoa
sigmoid-with-4-jumps
San Marino
sigmoid-with-3-jumps
Cook Isl.
sigmoid-with-4-jumps
Palau
sigmoid-with-2-jumps
St. Maarten
sigmoid-with-3-jumps
Anguilla
2009 2012 2015
sigmoid-with-4-jumps
Wallis and Futuna
2009 2012 2015
sigmoid-with-4-jumps
St. Helena
2009 2012 2015
sigmoid-with-3-jumps
St. MartinActualDensity quintilesPredictedAsymptoteVisual assessment:Multilevel estimate95pc CI
sigmoid-with-1-jumps
All deciles
sigmoid-with-1-jumps
Density decile 1
sigmoid-with-4-jumps
Density decile 2
sigmoid-with-2-jumps
Density decile 3
sigmoid-with-1-jumps
Density decile 4
sigmoid-with-3-jumps
Density decile 5
sigmoid-with-4-jumps
Density decile 6
sigmoid
Density decile 7
sigmoid-with-4-jumps
Density decile 8
2009 2012 2015
gompertz
Density decile 9
2009 2012 2015
sigmoid-with-4-jumps
Density decile 10ActualPredictedAsymptote
North America
sigmoid-with-1-jumps
All deciles
sigmoid-with-3-jumps
Density decile 1
sigmoid-with-4-jumps
Density decile 2
sigmoid-with-3-jumps
Density decile 3
sigmoid-with-4-jumps
Density decile 4
sigmoid-with-1-jumps
Density decile 5
sigmoid-with-4-jumps
Density decile 6
sigmoid-with-3-jumps
Density decile 7
sigmoid-with-3-jumps
Density decile 8
2009 2012 2015
sigmoid-with-2-jumps
Density decile 9
2009 2012 2015
justaline
Density decile 10ActualPredictedAsymptote
IDA only
sigmoid-with-2-jumps
All deciles
sigmoid-with-3-jumps
Density decile 1
sigmoid-with-4-jumps
Density decile 2
sigmoid-with-3-jumps
Density decile 3
sigmoid-with-3-jumps
Density decile 4
sigmoid-with-1-jumps
Density decile 5
sigmoid-with-4-jumps
Density decile 6
sigmoid-with-4-jumps
Density decile 7
sigmoid-with-1-jumps
Density decile 8
2009 2012 2015
sigmoid-with-4-jumps
Density decile 9
2009 2012 2015
justaline
Density decile 10ActualPredictedAsymptote
Low income
sigmoid-with-1-jumps
All deciles
gompertz
Density decile 1
sigmoid-with-2-jumps
Density decile 2
sigmoid-with-1-jumps
Density decile 3
sigmoid-with-2-jumps
Density decile 4
sigmoid-with-2-jumps
Density decile 5
sigmoid-with-3-jumps
Density decile 6
sigmoid-with-3-jumps
Density decile 7
sigmoid-with-2-jumps
Density decile 8
2009 2012 2015
sigmoid-with-3-jumps
Density decile 9
2009 2012 2015
gompertz
Density decile 10ActualPredictedAsymptote
Middle income
gompertz
All deciles
gompertz
Density decile 1
gompertz
Density decile 2
gompertz
Density decile 3
gompertz
Density decile 4
gompertz
Density decile 5
sigmoid-with-2-jumps
Density decile 6
sigmoid-with-1-jumps
Density decile 7
gompertz
Density decile 8
2009 2012 2015
gompertz
Density decile 9
2009 2012 2015
gompertz
Density decile 10ActualPredictedAsymptote
IBRD only
gompertz
All deciles
gompertz
Density decile 1
gompertz
Density decile 2
sigmoid-with-3-jumps
Density decile 3
sigmoid-with-4-jumps
Density decile 4
sigmoid-with-2-jumps
Density decile 5
sigmoid-with-2-jumps
Density decile 6
gompertz
Density decile 7
gompertz
Density decile 8
2009 2012 2015
gompertz
Density decile 9
2009 2012 2015
sigmoid-with-3-jumps
Density decile 10ActualPredictedAsymptote
Euro area
sigmoid-with-3-jumps
All deciles
sigmoid-with-3-jumps
Density decile 1
sigmoid-with-3-jumps
Density decile 2
sigmoid-with-4-jumps
Density decile 3
sigmoid-with-4-jumps
Density decile 4
sigmoid-with-4-jumps
Density decile 5
sigmoid-with-4-jumps
Density decile 6
sigmoid-with-4-jumps
Density decile 7
sigmoid-with-1-jumps
Density decile 8
2009 2012 2015
sigmoid-with-1-jumps
Density decile 9
2009 2012 2015
sigmoid-with-3-jumps
Density decile 10ActualPredictedAsymptote
Heavily indebted poor countries (HIPC)
gompertz
All deciles
gompertz
Density decile 1
sigmoid-with-1-jumps
Density decile 2
gompertz
Density decile 3
sigmoid-with-1-jumps
Density decile 4
sigmoid-with-1-jumps
Density decile 5
sigmoid-with-4-jumps
Density decile 6
sigmoid-with-1-jumps
Density decile 7
sigmoid-with-2-jumps
Density decile 8
2009 2012 2015
sigmoid-with-1-jumps
Density decile 9
2009 2012 2015
sigmoid-with-2-jumps
Density decile 10ActualPredictedAsymptote
Upper middle income
sigmoid-with-1-jumps
All deciles
sigmoid-with-4-jumps
Density decile 1
sigmoid-with-1-jumps
Density decile 2
sigmoid-with-1-jumps
Density decile 3
gompertz
Density decile 4
sigmoid-with-2-jumps
Density decile 5
sigmoid-with-2-jumps
Density decile 6
sigmoid-with-3-jumps
Density decile 7
sigmoid-with-4-jumps
Density decile 8
2009 2012 2015
sigmoid-with-4-jumps
Density decile 9
2009 2012 2015
gompertz
Density decile 10ActualPredictedAsymptote
Latin America and Caribbean (developing only)
sigmoid-with-3-jumps
All deciles
sigmoid-with-3-jumps
Density decile 1
gompertz
Density decile 2
sigmoid-with-3-jumps
Density decile 3
sigmoid-with-3-jumps
Density decile 4
sigmoid-with-3-jumps
Density decile 5
sigmoid-with-3-jumps
Density decile 6
sigmoid-with-3-jumps
Density decile 7
sigmoid-with-3-jumps
Density decile 8
2009 2012 2015
sigmoid-with-4-jumps
Density decile 9
2009 2012 2015
sigmoid-with-2-jumps
Density decile 10ActualPredictedAsymptote
World
sigmoid-with-2-jumps
All deciles
sigmoid-with-4-jumps
Density decile 1
sigmoid-with-2-jumps
Density decile 2
sigmoid-with-3-jumps
Density decile 3
sigmoid-with-4-jumps
Density decile 4
sigmoid-with-4-jumps
Density decile 5
sigmoid-with-4-jumps
Density decile 6
sigmoid-with-3-jumps
Density decile 7
sigmoid-with-3-jumps
Density decile 8
2009 2012 2015
gompertz
Density decile 9
2009 2012 2015
justaline
Density decile 10ActualPredictedAsymptote
IDA total
sigmoid-with-4-jumps
All deciles
sigmoid-with-3-jumps
Density decile 1
sigmoid-with-2-jumps
Density decile 2
sigmoid-with-1-jumps
Density decile 3
sigmoid-with-3-jumps
Density decile 4
sigmoid-with-3-jumps
Density decile 5
sigmoid-with-2-jumps
Density decile 6
sigmoid-with-4-jumps
Density decile 7
sigmoid-with-3-jumps
Density decile 8
2009 2012 2015
sigmoid-with-2-jumps
Density decile 9
2009 2012 2015
gompertz
Density decile 10ActualPredictedAsymptote
Least developed countries: UN classification
sigmoid-with-2-jumps
All deciles
sigmoid-with-4-jumps
Density decile 1
sigmoid-with-4-jumps
Density decile 2
sigmoid-with-2-jumps
Density decile 3
sigmoid-with-2-jumps
Density decile 4
sigmoid-with-2-jumps
Density decile 5
sigmoid-with-3-jumps
Density decile 6
sigmoid-with-1-jumps
Density decile 7
sigmoid-with-4-jumps
Density decile 8
2009 2012 2015
gompertz
Density decile 9
2009 2012 2015
sigmoid-with-4-jumps
Density decile 10ActualPredictedAsymptote
Fragile and conflict affected situations
sigmoid-with-4-jumps
All deciles
sigmoid-with-3-jumps
Density decile 1
sigmoid-with-4-jumps
Density decile 2
sigmoid-with-2-jumps
Density decile 3
sigmoid-with-2-jumps
Density decile 4
sigmoid-with-2-jumps
Density decile 5
sigmoid-with-3-jumps
Density decile 6
sigmoid-with-4-jumps
Density decile 7
sigmoid-with-2-jumps
Density decile 8
2009 2012 2015
sigmoid-with-1-jumps
Density decile 9
2009 2012 2015
sigmoid-with-3-jumps
Density decile 10ActualPredictedAsymptote
Central Europe and the Baltics
sigmoid-with-3-jumps
All deciles
sigmoid-with-3-jumps
Density decile 1
sigmoid-with-2-jumps
Density decile 2
sigmoid-with-2-jumps
Density decile 3
sigmoid-with-4-jumps
Density decile 4
sigmoid-with-4-jumps
Density decile 5
sigmoid-with-4-jumps
Density decile 6
sigmoid-with-3-jumps
Density decile 7
sigmoid-with-1-jumps
Density decile 8
2009 2012 2015
sigmoid-with-3-jumps
Density decile 9
2009 2012 2015
sigmoid-with-1-jumps
Density decile 10ActualPredictedAsymptote
Europe and Central Asia (developing only)
gompertz
All deciles
gompertz
Density decile 1
gompertz
Density decile 2
gompertz
Density decile 3
gompertz
Density decile 4
gompertz
Density decile 5
gompertz
Density decile 6
gompertz
Density decile 7
gompertz
Density decile 8
2009 2012 2015
gompertz
Density decile 9
2009 2012 2015
sigmoid-with-3-jumps
Density decile 10ActualPredictedAsymptote
IDA and IBRD total
sigmoid-with-2-jumps
All deciles
sigmoid-with-2-jumps
Density decile 1
sigmoid-with-3-jumps
Density decile 2
sigmoid-with-1-jumps
Density decile 3
sigmoid-with-2-jumps
Density decile 4
sigmoid-with-3-jumps
Density decile 5
gompertz
Density decile 6
sigmoid-with-3-jumps
Density decile 7
sigmoid-with-4-jumps
Density decile 8
2009 2012 2015
sigmoid-with-3-jumps
Density decile 9
2009 2012 2015
sigmoid-with-4-jumps
Density decile 10ActualPredictedAsymptote
Other small states
sigmoid-with-3-jumps
All deciles
sigmoid-with-1-jumps
Density decile 1
sigmoid-with-3-jumps
Density decile 2
sigmoid-with-3-jumps
Density decile 3
sigmoid-with-2-jumps
Density decile 4
sigmoid-with-4-jumps
Density decile 5
sigmoid-with-3-jumps
Density decile 6
sigmoid-with-2-jumps
Density decile 7
sigmoid-with-1-jumps
Density decile 8
2009 2012 2015
sigmoid-with-1-jumps
Density decile 9
2009 2012 2015
sigmoid-with-4-jumps
Density decile 10ActualPredictedAsymptote
High income
sigmoid-with-4-jumps
All deciles
gompertz
Density decile 1
sigmoid-with-1-jumps
Density decile 2
gompertz
Density decile 3
sigmoid-with-2-jumps
Density decile 4
sigmoid-with-4-jumps
Density decile 5
sigmoid-with-4-jumps
Density decile 6
sigmoid-with-3-jumps
Density decile 7
sigmoid-with-4-jumps
Density decile 8
2009 2012 2015
sigmoid-with-3-jumps
Density decile 9
2009 2012 2015
sigmoid-with-3-jumps
Density decile 10ActualPredictedAsymptote
Europe and Central Asia (all income levels)
sigmoid-with-4-jumps
All deciles
justaline
Density decile 1
sigmoid-with-1-jumps
Density decile 2
sigmoid-with-2-jumps
Density decile 3
sigmoid-with-2-jumps
Density decile 4
sigmoid-with-3-jumps
Density decile 5
sigmoid-with-4-jumps
Density decile 6
sigmoid-with-1-jumps
Density decile 7
sigmoid-with-1-jumps
Density decile 8
2009 2012 2015
sigmoid-with-2-jumps
Density decile 9
2009 2012 2015
gompertz
Density decile 10ActualPredictedAsymptote
Africa
sigmoid-with-1-jumps
All deciles
sigmoid-with-4-jumps
Density decile 1
sigmoid-with-3-jumps
Density decile 2
sigmoid-with-1-jumps
Density decile 3
sigmoid-with-1-jumps
Density decile 4
sigmoid-with-4-jumps
Density decile 5
sigmoid-with-3-jumps
Density decile 6
sigmoid-with-4-jumps
Density decile 7
gompertz
Density decile 8
2009 2012 2015
sigmoid-with-3-jumps
Density decile 9
2009 2012 2015
sigmoid-with-4-jumps
Density decile 10ActualPredictedAsymptote
South Asia
sigmoid-with-4-jumps
All deciles
gompertz
Density decile 1
sigmoid-with-2-jumps
Density decile 2
sigmoid-with-4-jumps
Density decile 3
sigmoid-with-3-jumps
Density decile 4
justaline
Density decile 5
gompertz
Density decile 6
sigmoid-with-4-jumps
Density decile 7
sigmoid-with-4-jumps
Density decile 8
2009 2012 2015
sigmoid-with-3-jumps
Density decile 9
2009 2012 2015
gompertz
Density decile 10ActualPredictedAsymptote
Middle East and North Africa (developing only)
sigmoid-with-2-jumps
All deciles
sigmoid-with-3-jumps
Density decile 1
sigmoid-with-1-jumps
Density decile 2
sigmoid-with-1-jumps
Density decile 3
gompertz
Density decile 4
gompertz
Density decile 5
gompertz
Density decile 6
sigmoid-with-2-jumps
Density decile 7
sigmoid-with-2-jumps
Density decile 8
2009 2012 2015
sigmoid-with-1-jumps
Density decile 9
2009 2012 2015
sigmoid-with-4-jumps
Density decile 10ActualPredictedAsymptote
East Asia and Pacific (all income levels)
sigmoid-with-2-jumps
All deciles
sigmoid-with-2-jumps
Density decile 1
sigmoid-with-2-jumps
Density decile 2
sigmoid-with-3-jumps
Density decile 3
sigmoid-with-4-jumps
Density decile 4
sigmoid-with-2-jumps
Density decile 5
sigmoid-with-2-jumps
Density decile 6
sigmoid-with-1-jumps
Density decile 7
sigmoid-with-1-jumps
Density decile 8
2009 2012 2015
sigmoid-with-1-jumps
Density decile 9
2009 2012 2015
sigmoid-with-2-jumps
Density decile 10ActualPredictedAsymptote
IDA blend
sigmoid-with-2-jumps
All deciles
sigmoid-with-2-jumps
Density decile 1
sigmoid-with-1-jumps
Density decile 2
sigmoid-with-3-jumps
Density decile 3
gompertz
Density decile 4
sigmoid-with-3-jumps
Density decile 5
sigmoid-with-2-jumps
Density decile 6
sigmoid-with-2-jumps
Density decile 7
sigmoid-with-2-jumps
Density decile 8
2009 2012 2015
gompertz
Density decile 9
2009 2012 2015
gompertz
Density decile 10ActualPredictedAsymptote
Latin America and Caribbean (all income levels)
sigmoid-with-4-jumps
All deciles
sigmoid-with-1-jumps
Density decile 1
sigmoid-with-2-jumps
Density decile 2
sigmoid-with-4-jumps
Density decile 3
sigmoid-with-3-jumps
Density decile 4
sigmoid-with-2-jumps
Density decile 5
sigmoid-with-2-jumps
Density decile 6
sigmoid-with-1-jumps
Density decile 7
gompertz
Density decile 8
2009 2012 2015
gompertz
Density decile 9
2009 2012 2015
gompertz
Density decile 10ActualPredictedAsymptote
East Asia and Pacific (developing only)
gompertz
All deciles
gompertz
Density decile 1
gompertz
Density decile 2
gompertz
Density decile 3
gompertz
Density decile 4
gompertz
Density decile 5
sigmoid-with-3-jumps
Density decile 6
sigmoid-with-2-jumps
Density decile 7
gompertz
Density decile 8
2009 2012 2015
gompertz
Density decile 9
2009 2012 2015
sigmoid-with-3-jumps
Density decile 10ActualPredictedAsymptote
European Union
gompertz
All deciles
sigmoid-with-4-jumps
Density decile 1
sigmoid-with-4-jumps
Density decile 2
sigmoid-with-4-jumps
Density decile 3
sigmoid-with-4-jumps
Density decile 4
sigmoid-with-3-jumps
Density decile 5
sigmoid-with-2-jumps
Density decile 6
sigmoid-with-3-jumps
Density decile 7
sigmoid-with-4-jumps
Density decile 8
2009 2012 2015
gompertz
Density decile 9
2009 2012 2015
sigmoid-with-1-jumps
Density decile 10ActualPredictedAsymptote
Caribbean small states
sigmoid-with-1-jumps
All deciles
gompertz
Density decile 1
sigmoid-with-4-jumps
Density decile 2
sigmoid-with-3-jumps
Density decile 3
sigmoid-with-2-jumps
Density decile 4
sigmoid-with-4-jumps
Density decile 5
sigmoid-with-1-jumps
Density decile 6
gompertz
Density decile 7
gompertz
Density decile 8
2009 2012 2015
gompertz
Density decile 9
2009 2012 2015
gompertz
Density decile 10ActualPredictedAsymptote
Low and middle income
sigmoid-with-2-jumps
All deciles
sigmoid-with-2-jumps
Density decile 1
sigmoid-with-4-jumps
Density decile 2
sigmoid-with-4-jumps
Density decile 3
sigmoid-with-3-jumps
Density decile 4
sigmoid-with-3-jumps
Density decile 5
sigmoid-with-3-jumps
Density decile 6
gompertz
Density decile 7
gompertz
Density decile 8
2009 2012 2015
gompertz
Density decile 9
2009 2012 2015
sigmoid-with-4-jumps
Density decile 10ActualPredictedAsymptote
Lower middle income
justaline
All deciles
gompertz
Density decile 1
gompertz
Density decile 2
justaline
Density decile 3
justaline
Density decile 4
justaline
Density decile 5
gompertz
Density decile 6
gompertz
Density decile 7
gompertz
Density decile 8
2009 2012 2015
gompertz
Density decile 9
2009 2012 2015
gompertz
Density decile 10ActualPredictedAsymptote
Middle East and North Africa (all income levels)
sigmoid-with-2-jumps
All deciles
sigmoid-with-3-jumps
Density decile 1
sigmoid-with-3-jumps
Density decile 2
sigmoid-with-4-jumps
Density decile 3
justaline
Density decile 4
justaline
Density decile 5
gompertz
Density decile 6
sigmoid-with-3-jumps
Density decile 7
sigmoid-with-3-jumps
Density decile 8
2009 2012 2015
sigmoid-with-4-jumps
Density decile 9
2009 2012 2015
gompertz
Density decile 10ActualPredictedAsymptote
Small states
gompertz
All deciles
gompertz
Density decile 1
gompertz
Density decile 2
gompertz
Density decile 3
gompertz
Density decile 4
gompertz
Density decile 5
sigmoid-with-1-jumps
Density decile 6
gompertz
Density decile 7
gompertz
Density decile 8
2009 2012 2015
gompertz
Density decile 9
2009 2012 2015
gompertz
Density decile 10ActualPredictedAsymptote
High income: nonOECD
gompertz
All deciles
gompertz
Density decile 1
gompertz
Density decile 2
sigmoid-with-4-jumps
Density decile 3
sigmoid-with-4-jumps
Density decile 4
justaline
Density decile 5
gompertz
Density decile 6
gompertz
Density decile 7
gompertz
Density decile 8
2009 2012 2015
sigmoid-with-4-jumps
Density decile 9
2009 2012 2015
gompertz
Density decile 10ActualPredictedAsymptote
Arab World
sigmoid-with-1-jumps
All deciles
sigmoid-with-2-jumps
Density decile 1
sigmoid-with-3-jumps
Density decile 2
gompertz
Density decile 3
sigmoid-with-1-jumps
Density decile 4
sigmoid-with-2-jumps
Density decile 5
sigmoid-with-2-jumps
Density decile 6
sigmoid-with-2-jumps
Density decile 7
sigmoid-with-1-jumps
Density decile 8
2009 2012 2015
sigmoid-with-1-jumps
Density decile 9
2009 2012 2015
sigmoid-with-1-jumps
Density decile 10ActualPredictedAsymptote
High income: OECD
sigmoid-with-3-jumps
All deciles
sigmoid-with-2-jumps
Density decile 1
sigmoid-with-3-jumps
Density decile 2
sigmoid-with-2-jumps
Density decile 3
sigmoid-with-3-jumps
Density decile 4
sigmoid-with-4-jumps
Density decile 5
sigmoid-with-4-jumps
Density decile 6
sigmoid-with-3-jumps
Density decile 7
justaline
Density decile 8
2009 2012 2015
sigmoid-with-3-jumps
Density decile 9
2009 2012 2015
sigmoid-with-4-jumps
Density decile 10ActualPredictedAsymptote
Pacific island small states
sigmoid-with-4-jumps
All deciles
sigmoid-with-3-jumps
Density decile 1
sigmoid-with-1-jumps
Density decile 2
sigmoid-with-1-jumps
Density decile 3
sigmoid-with-4-jumps
Density decile 4
sigmoid-with-3-jumps
Density decile 5
sigmoid-with-4-jumps
Density decile 6
sigmoid-with-4-jumps
Density decile 7
sigmoid-with-1-jumps
Density decile 8
2009 2012 2015
sigmoid-with-2-jumps
Density decile 9
2009 2012 2015
sigmoid-with-3-jumps
Density decile 10ActualPredictedAsymptote
Sub-Saharan Africa (all income levels)
sigmoid-with-3-jumps
All deciles
sigmoid-with-3-jumps
Density decile 1
sigmoid-with-1-jumps
Density decile 2
sigmoid-with-3-jumps
Density decile 3
sigmoid-with-3-jumps
Density decile 4
sigmoid-with-3-jumps
Density decile 5
sigmoid-with-4-jumps
Density decile 6
sigmoid-with-4-jumps
Density decile 7
sigmoid-with-1-jumps
Density decile 8
2009 2012 2015
gompertz
Density decile 9
2009 2012 2015
gompertz
Density decile 10ActualPredictedAsymptote
Sub-Saharan Africa (developing only)
gompertz
All deciles
sigmoid-with-4-jumps
Density decile 1
sigmoid-with-4-jumps
Density decile 2
sigmoid-with-2-jumps
Density decile 3
sigmoid-with-1-jumps
Density decile 4
sigmoid-with-4-jumps
Density decile 5
sigmoid-with-2-jumps
Density decile 6
sigmoid-with-3-jumps
Density decile 7
sigmoid-with-2-jumps
Density decile 8
2009 2012 2015
sigmoid-with-3-jumps
Density decile 9
2009 2012 2015
sigmoid-with-4-jumps
Density decile 10ActualPredictedAsymptote
OECD members
