Forex Mgmt
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Transcript of Forex Mgmt
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10-1
Chapter 10Managing Transaction Exposure
to Currency Risk
Learning objectives
Transaction exposure An example
Internal hedges Multinational netting and leading/lagging
Financial market (external) hedges Currency forwards, futures, options, swaps,
and money market hedges
Treasury management best practices
Butler, Multinational Finance, 4e
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Exposures to currency risk
Change in firm value due to unexpectedchanges in foreign exchange rates
- Transaction exposure change in the value of contractual cash flows arising from
the firms monetary assets and liabilities
- Operating exposure change in the value of noncontractual cash flows arising
from the firms real assets
Realassets
Monetaryassets
Commonequity
Monetaryliabilities
Transaction exposure
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A forward currency hedge
Underlying pound exposure
Short forward position
Net position
Net exposureDV$/
DS$/
shortpound
+1,000,000
-1,000,000
+$1,500,000
+$1,500,000
longpound
Transaction exposure
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Managing transaction exposure
Managing transaction exposure internally
- multinational netting (currency diversification)
- leading and lagging
Managing transaction exposure in the financialmarkets
- currency forwards
-
money market hedges- futures
- options
- swaps
Transaction exposure
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Multinational netting
Germansubsidiary
U.S.subsidiary
U.K.parent
100m
Cross rates 1.5000/$1.2500/
$0.8333/
200m$75m
$125m
150m
60m
Internal hedges: Multinational netting
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Cash flows before netting
Germansubsidiary
U.S.subsidiary
U.K.parent
100m200m60m
100m
100m
40m
Internal hedges: Multinational netting
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Cash flows after netting
Germansubsidiary
U.S.subsidiary
U.K.parent
60m 140m
Internal hedges: Multinational netting
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Leading and lagging
Leading and lagging refers to altering thetiming of cash flows within the firm to offsetforeign exchange exposures
For example:
- Leading - If a parent firm is short euros, itcan accelerate euro payments from itssubsidiaries
-Lagging - If a parent firm is long euros, itcan delay euro payments from itssubsidiaries
Internal hedges: Leading and lagging
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10-9
Leading and laggingUnderlying cash flows
Leading
Lagging
-10 million
+7.5 million+7.5 million +7.5 million
-10 million -10 million
Jan Feb Mar Apr JuneMay July Aug
Internal hedges: Leading and lagging
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Currency forward contracts
Advantages
- Forwards can provide a perfect hedge oftransactions of known size and timing
Disadvantages
- Bid-ask spreads can be large on smalltransactions, long-dated contracts, or
infrequently traded currencies- Forwards are a pure credit instrument, so
forward contracts have credit risk
External hedges: Forwards
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Currency futures contracts
The futures contract solution to the defaultrisk of forward contracts
-An exchange clearinghouse takes one side ofevery transaction
- Futures contracts are marked-to-market on a dailybasis
-Initial and maintenance margins are required onfutures contracts
External hedges: Futures
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FX forwards versus futures contracts
Forwards Futures
Counterparty Bank Futures exchange
clearinghouse
Maturity Negotiated Standardized
Amount Negotiated Standardized
Fees Bid-ask Commissions
Collateral Negotiated Margin account
External hedges: Futures
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Currency futures contracts
Advantages
- Low cost if the size, currency and maturity matchthe underlying exposure
-
Low credit risk with daily marking-to-market
Disadvantages- Costs increase with transaction size
- Exchange-traded futures come in limitedcurrencies and maturities
- Daily marking-to-market can cause a cash flowmismatch
External hedges: Futures
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Money market hedges
Advantages
- Synthetic forward positions can be built incurrencies for which there are no forward
currency markets
Disadvantages
- Relatively expensive hedge
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Might not be feasible if there areconstraints on borrowing or lending
External hedges: Money market hedges
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Currency option hedges
Advantages
- Disaster hedge insures againstunfavorable currency movements
Disadvantages
- Option premiums reflect option values, sooption hedges can be expensive involatile currencies and at distantexpiration dates
External hedges: Options
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A pound call is an option to buy pounds- the option holder gains if pound sterling rises
- the option holder does not lose if pound falls
Long pound callan option to buypounds sterlingat a contractual
exercise price
S$/
V$/
Option premium = $0.30/
Exerciseprice
$1.50/
-$0.30/
External hedges: Options
A currency call option
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A call option hedge
S$/
V$/
$1.50/
-$1.50/
Short exposure
External hedges: Options
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A call option hedge
S$/
V$/ Call option hedge
-$0.30/
$1.50/
-$1.50/
Short exposure
External hedges: Options
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A call option hedge
S$/
V$/ Call option hedge
Optionhedged position
-$0.30/
$1.50/
-$1.50/
-$1.80/
Short exposure
External hedges: Options
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A pound put is an option to sell pounds- the option holder gains if pound sterling falls
- the option holder does not lose if pound rises
Long pound putan option to sellpounds sterlingat a contractual
exercise price
S$/
V$/
Option premium = $0.30/
Exerciseprice
$1.50/
-$0.30/
External hedges: Options
A currency put option
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A put option hedge
S$/
V$/
Long exposure
+$1.50/
$1.50/
External hedges: Options
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A put option hedge
S$/
V$/
Put option hedge
Long exposure
-$0.30/
+$1.50/
+$1.20/
$1.50/
External hedges: Options
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A put option hedge
S$/
V$/
Put option hedge
Long exposure
Optionhedged position
-$0.30/
+$1.50/
+$1.20/
$1.50/
External hedges: Options
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Currency swapsIll pay yours if you pay mine
Currency swap
- An agreement to exchange a principal
amount of two currencies and, after a pre-arranged length of time, re-exchange theoriginal principal
-
Interest payments are also usuallyswapped during the life of the contract
External hedges: Swaps
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Currency swap contracts
Advantages
- Quickly transforms the firms liabilities into othercurrencies or payout structures
- Low cost for plain vanilla swaps in actively traded
currencies- Swaps can be used to to hedge long-term
exposures
Disadvantages- Not the best choice for near-term exposures
- Innovative or exotic swaps can be expensive
External hedges: Swaps
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Financial market hedges
Vehicles Advantages Disadvantages
Forward Exact hedge; Large bid-ask spreads onSmall bid-ask spread small or long-dated deals &
for large deals thinly traded currencies
Future Low cost for small Only a few currencies &
deals; low risk maturities; mark-to-market
with mark-to-market can cause a CF mismatch
Money market Synthetic forward Relatively expensive; not
hedge always possible
Swap Quick & low-cost Innovative swaps costly;
switch of payoff may not be best for
structures near-term exposures
Option Disaster hedge Option premiums
provides insurance can be expensive
External hedges
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10%
51%
10%
49%
6%
26%
Alter the size ofa hedge
Alter the timingof a hedge
Actively takepositions
Sometimes
Frequently
Active management of fx risk
Bodnar, Hayt, and Marston, 1998 Wharton Survey of Derivatives
Usage by U.S. Non-Financial Firms, Financial Management(1998).
Financial management
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42%
24%
17% 17%
Beginning-of-
period forward
rates
Beginning-of-
period spot
rates
Baseline
percent
hedged
strategy
Other
benchmark
Risk management benchmarks
Bodnar, Hayt, and Marston, 1998 Wharton Survey.
Financial management
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40%
21% 22%18%
Reduced
volatility
relative to a
benchmark
Risk-adjusted
performance
Absolute profit
or loss
Increased
profit relative
to a
benchmark
Performance evaluation
Bodnar, Hayt, and Marston, 1998 Wharton Survey.
Financial management
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Active treasuries
Tend to be large firms with centralized riskmanagement
Use sophisticated valuation methodologiessuch as value-at-risk for managing theirexposures
Frequently mark their derivatives positions to
market
Gczy, Minton, and Schrand, Taking a View: Corporate Speculation,Governance, and Compensation Journal of Finance(2007)
Financial management
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Active treasuriesmanage their managers
Managers actions are closely monitored
Firms use compensation contracts to align
managers objectives with those of otherstakeholders
Firms use derivatives-specific controls such asperformance benchmarks to manage potential
abuses
Gczy, Minton, and Schrand, Taking a View
Financial management
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Corporate use of derivatives
Used TotalType of product often usage
Currency forwards 72.3% 93.1%
Currency swaps 16.4 52.6
OTC currency options 18.8 48.8Cylinder options 7.0 28.7
Synthetic forwards 3.0 22.0
Currency futures 4.1 20.1
Exchange-traded (spot) options 3.6 17.3Exchange-traded futures options 1.8 8.9
Jesswein, Kwok & Folks, What New Currency Risk Products AreCompanies Using and Why? Journal of Applied CorporateFinance(1995)
Fi i l t