for...Sigua for Schemes o Ph.D. ring an r s r ph m 2012 Prof. ´,V LW D JDPH"µ David. tion traffic...

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Microscopic Simulation: A Tool for Evaluation of Traffic Schemes Ricardo Sigua, Ph.D. Professor, Institute of Civil Engineering College of Engineering, UP Diliman Fellow, National Center for Transportation Studies [email protected] Professorial Chair Colloquium 10 August 2012 Prof. Emeritus Norbert S. Vila Professorial Chair ´,V LW D JDPH"µ asked David. Flight Simulation Approaches to studying traffic problems 1) Analytical: Writing mathematical expressions to represent the traffic process and then manipulating it to determine values to be used in changing to better traffic conditions. ; 0 w w w w t k x q continuity equation: . 0 ) ' ( w w w w x k k u u t k x k k c dt du w w 2 equation of motion: 2 / ) 1 ( n ck dk du

Transcript of for...Sigua for Schemes o Ph.D. ring an r s r ph m 2012 Prof. ´,V LW D JDPH"µ David. tion traffic...

Page 1: for...Sigua for Schemes o Ph.D. ring an r s r ph m 2012 Prof. ´,V LW D JDPH"µ David. tion traffic ms 1) ocess ns. 0; w w w w t k x q on:. 0) ' (w w w w x k k u u t k x k k c d t

Microscopic Sim

ulation: A Tool for Evaluation of Traffic Schem

es

Ricardo Sigua, Ph.D

. Professor, Institute of C

ivil Engineering C

ollege of Engineering, UP D

iliman

Fellow, National C

enter for Transportation Studies rdsigua@

up.edu.ph

Professorial Chair Colloquium

10 August 2012

Prof. Emeritus Norbert S. Vila Professorial Chair

asked David.

Flight Simulation

Approaches to studying traffic problem

s 1)A

nalytical: W

riting mathem

atical expressions to represent the traffic process and then m

anipulating it to determine values to be used in changing

to better traffic conditions. ;0t k

x q

continuity equation:

.0)'

(x k

kuu

t k

x kk c

dt du2

equation of motion:

2/)1

(nck

dk du

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2) Trial (and Error): Involves a change in the real traffic situation and then apply subsequent correction if it turns out badly. 3) Sim

ulation: Technique of setting up a stochastic m

odel of real system

which neither over sim

plifies (the system) to the point

where the m

odel becomes trivial, nor incorporates so m

any features of the real system

that the model becom

es untractable or prohibitively clum

sy.

- Harling (O

RSA

, 1958)

CR

ITE

RIO

N

AN

ALY

TIC

AL

SIMU

LA

TIO

N

TR

IAL

Cost

Least M

edium

Most

Time

Least M

edium

Most

Reproducibility

Most

Medium

Least

Realism

Least

Medium

M

ost

Generality of

results M

ost M

edium

Least

Merits of Study Approaches

Early simulation efforts

Writing Program

s in FORTR

AN

, BA

SIC or other languages

Running program

(3x real time !)

Tabulating, analyzing results

0 50

100

150

200

250

300

0500

10001500

Minor  road  capacity,  vph.  

Main

 road

 traffic,  vph.  

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Some Traf Sim

Efforts of ICE faculty m

embers

Analysis of D

elay Caused by M

idblock Jeepney Stops U

sing Simulation, PA

LMIA

NO

, HS, U

EDA

, S, YAI, T

and FUK

UD

A, D

, 2004. M

icro-Scale Analysis of the Transportation Environm

ent in M

etro Manila, V

ERG

EL, YAI, T, IW

AK

UR

A, S, 2001.

Developm

ent of a Simulation Program

for the Evaluation of Jeepney Stop C

onfigurations with Focus on Single

Lane Roadw

ays, REG

IDO

R, JR

F, 1995. A

Study on Control of Left Turn Traffic at Signalized

Intersection, SIGU

A, R

D, 1984.

Some Popular Traffic

Analysis and Simulation

Softwares

Synchro: a macroscopic analysis and optim

ization software application

SIDR

A IN

TERSEC

TION

: an advanced micro-analytical traffic

evaluation tool that employs lane-by-lane and vehicle drive cycle

models.

Paramics: can m

odel transit operations, bus or light rail, with user

defined scheduling and bus stop loading. It can also manage m

ultiple m

odel runs and a sophisticated data analysis tool to aggregate and com

pare scheme options.

TSIS-CO

RSIM

: a microscopic traffic sim

ulation software package for

signal systems, freew

ay systems, or com

bined signal and freeway

systems

VISSIM

: a microscopic sim

ulation program m

odeling for urban and highw

ay traffic, including pedestrians, cyclists and motorized vehicles.

Basic Components of

Traffic Simulation

Road netw

ork: links no. of lanes, lane w

idths, gradient, etc., and nodes nature of conflicts ( diverging, m

erging, crossing/weaving)

traffic volum

e and composition

speed

distribution, lane changing behaviour, gap acceptance, car following, etc.)

Y

IELD or STO

P, signals, roundabout, U-turn, etc.)

Performance evaluation

Comm

on evaluation param

eters Vehicle D

elay Travel tim

e Q

ueue length Fuel consum

ption Em

issions Person delay

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Case Study 1 M

ac-Arthur H

ighway

Roxas Ave.

1st St. (C

lark)

Mac A

rthur Highw

ay

Case 1:

Do N

othing C

ase 2:

C

ase 3:

Case Study 1 Sim Results

Mac-A

rthur Highw

ay R

oxas Ave. (Clark)

Parameter  

Present  

Round

 Square  

Average delay time per vehicle [s], A

ll Vehicle Types 14.948  

19.298  1.095  

Average number of stops per vehicles, A

ll Vehicle Types  

0.56  0.701  

0.03  

Average speed [km/h], A

ll Vehicle Types  31.855  

27.728  50.422  

Average stopped delay per vehicle [s], All Vehicle

Types  5.277  

7.061  0.046  

Total delay time [h], A

ll Vehicle Types  14.857  

27.516  0.925  

Total travel time [h], A

ll Vehicle Types  37.721  

58.297  22.075  

Case Study 2 N

LEX- M

indanao Ave. Intersection

NLEX

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Case Study 2 Sim Results

NLEX

- Mindanao Ave.

Parameter  

w/Pedestrian

Signal  w

/Pedestrian O

verpass  

Average delay time per vehicle [s], A

ll Vehicle Types  45.627  

9.641  

Average number of stops per vehicles, A

ll Vehicle Types 0.912  

0.385  

Average speed [km/h], A

ll Vehicle Types  25.718  

44.300  

Average stopped delay per vehicle [s], All Vehicle Types  

36.831  5.129  

Total delay time [h], A

ll Vehicle Types  47.757  

8.580  

Total travel time [h], A

ll Vehicle Types  98.882  

54.780  

Case Study 3 C

omm

onwealth Ave.

University Ave. Intersection and its

vicinity

a) Large area of conflict

b)

Weaving problem

before reaching the U

-turn lane slot c) Long travel distances

ISSUES

a) Current condition

b)

Signal control for 1 left turn m

ovement

c) Signal control for 2 left turn m

ovements

Case Studies

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Measure of perform

ance

Current

condition, no signal

Option 1:

1 Left turn signal

Option 2:

2 left turn signals

Average delay tim

e per vehicle [s] 4.86

6.45

15.19

Average speed [km

/h] 50.84

50.27

47.42

Average stopped delay per vehicle [s]

0.70

1.48 7.87

Total delay time [h]

10.58

14.04 33.07

Total Distance Traveled [km

], 17138.92

16705.26

16298.01

Total stopped delay [h], 1.51

3.23

17.13

Total travel time [h],

337.14

332.86 343.67

Case Study 3 Sim Results

Com

monw

ealth Ave. U

niversity Ave. Intersection and its vicinity

Conclusions Very effective for evaluating alternative solutions C

urrent comm

ercially available simulation program

s C

ostly N

eed to localize inputs vehicle types; driver behaviour, etc.

M

ust we develop our ow

n? Safety, difficult to assess.

areas for research

A good traffic m

odeller can create a good traffic m

odel out of most m

odelling systems,

and a bad traffic modeller w

ill always create

a bad traffic model out of the best system

- Param

ics microsim

ulation

Thank you!