For Professional Investors only – Not for public distribution The illiquidity argument – ways in...
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Transcript of For Professional Investors only – Not for public distribution The illiquidity argument – ways in...
For Professional Investors only – Not for public distribution
The illiquidity argument – ways in which an inflation-plus return can be achieved using illiquid investments
January 2015Andrew McCaffery, Global Head of Alternatives
2
Diversification vs. growth potential
Diversification against
traditional asset classes
Liquid Strategies Private Markets Real Assets
Risk assets
exposure /
real growth
Currencies
Systematic Global Macro
Discretionary Global Macro
Long/Short Equity
Event Driven
Listed Private Equity
Venture Capital
Growth Capital
Private Debt
Buyouts
Opportunistic Private Property
Private Equity Secondaries
Property Secondaries
Private Equity Co-investments
Core Property
Private Energy
Physical CommoditiesAgriculture
Timber
Infrastructure
Private Real Estate
Secured Income Property
Liquidity LessMore
By accessing non-traditional alpha sources many alternatives offer growth and diversification
potential
Relative Value Strategies
Volatility based strategies
Tail Hedge/Options based
Bro
ad c
har
acte
rist
ics
3
What does illiquidity offer?
What is the potential How is it provided
Private market inefficiencies caused by • Smaller universe of players• Costs/skills required to participate• Asymmetry of information
Growing, “real” cash flows
Multiple and increasing cash flow generation, e.g.:• Investment gains (PE) • Inflation linked contracts (PPP
Infrastructure)
The “illiquidity” premium to public markets
• Return drivers beyond market direction• Less frequent valuation points
Positive diversification benefits
4
With opportunity, comes challenge
Enhanced returnsLower volatility More resilient performanceProtection against adverse markets
- Limited Transparency - Illiquidity- High Investment minimums - High Fees - Performance measurement - Complexity - Cash-flow/commitment management
• Enhanced returns• Lower volatility • More resilient performance• Protection
• Transparency • Illiquidity• Fees • Performance measurement • Cash-flow/commitment management
5
Managing liquidity: cash-flow management in private market allocations
Self Liquidating Portfolio Structure
For illustrative purposes only
• A strategy designed to achieve a self-funding portfolio, with more consistent long-term exposures
• Allows for diversification across vintage years, geographies and sectors
Secondary of Secondaries
• Early diversification
• Quick cash generation
Co-Investments
• Accretive to returns
• Portfolio concentration
• Lower fees
Secondary of Primary
• High conviction invested assets
• Access to strong funds from historic vintages
Primary
• ‘Best ideas’ manager selection
• Bottom-up exposure to chosen markets
Year 1 Year 2 Year 3 Year 4 Year 5 Year 6 Year 7 Year 8 Year 9 Year 10
Year 11
Year 12
0
20
40
60
80
100
Secondary of Secondaries Secondary of Primary Primary Co-Investment
NAV
Commitment less realisation of cost
6
• Private market and real asset linked investments have performed well relative to inflation and overall investment returns
Illiquid Investments
1.Bloomberg, Preqin 2014. Median Public Pension Fund Returns by Asset Class as of 31 December 2013Past performance is no guarantee of future performance and the value of investments can go down as well as up
10 year time horizon (as at Dec 13)1
Private equity
Real estate Overallportfolio returns
RPI0%
2%
4%
6%
8%
10%
12% 11.4%
7.2%6.9%
4.2%
Median Public Pension Fund Returns by Asset Class
7
If you do not require high liquidity throughout your portfolio, why pay for it?
8
Investors should be aware that past performance is not a guide to future results. The value of investments, and the income from them,
can go down as well as up and your clients may get back less than the amount invested.
The views expressed in this presentation should not be construed as advice on how to construct a portfolio or whether to buy, retain or
sell a particular investment. The information contained in the presentation is for exclusive use by professional customers/eligible
counterparties (ECPs) and not the general public. The information is being given only to those persons who have received this document
directly from Aberdeen Asset Management (AAM) and must not be acted or relied upon by persons receiving a copy of this document
other than directly from Aberdeen Asset Management. No part of this document may be copied or duplicated in any form or by any means
or redistributed without the written consent of Aberdeen Asset Management.
Issued by Aberdeen Asset Managers Limited which is authorised and regulated by the Financial Conduct Authority in the United Kingdom.
For Professional Investors only – Not for Public DistributionImportant information