FLASH REPORT FEBRUARY 2020 - EdgePoint · 2/14/2020 · • The M&A market in 2019 declined for...
Transcript of FLASH REPORT FEBRUARY 2020 - EdgePoint · 2/14/2020 · • The M&A market in 2019 declined for...
• The M&A market in 2019 declined for the third consecutive
year in terms of number of transactions (15,663 in 2019
from 17,649 in 2018) according to the IMAA Institute.
Transaction count in the Food and Beverage industry re-
flected this trend, declining from 317 to 283.
• Despite the Y/Y reduction in M&A activity, activity remains
very strong on a historical basis. M&A in the middle market
especially remains robust as well capitalized buyers (both
financial buyers and larger strategics) search for new, inno-
vative brands and broader product offerings.
• Consumers continue to be a key driver of economic growth.
With unemployment at 50-year lows, rising wage rates are
expected to help to spur household income and wealth,
driving consumer spending through 2020.
• Three things we are keeping our eyes on: (1) Multinationals
like Mondelez International are shuttering plants indefinite-
ly due to the coronavirus outbreak; (2) Whole milk category
growth (2.7% Y/Y in 2019 ) is a lone bright spot in an other-
wise struggling category; (3) Credit-card balances rising to a
record $930 billion in 4Q19, well above the previous peak
seen before the 2008 financial crisis, coinciding with a rise
in delinquency rates
EdgePoint is an independent, advisory-focused, investment banking firm serving the middle market.
SELECT RECENT TRANSACTIONS
FEBRUARY 2020 FLASH REPORT
CONSUMER: FOOD AND BEVERAGE
Steve Tardio Managing Director Consumer
For more information and insight please contact members of the EdgePoint Consumer team:
John Herubin Managing Director Business Development
Contact:216-342-5865 [email protected]
Contact:216-342-5737 [email protected]
Target Status Date Buyers Strategic / Financial
Morey's Seafood International, LLC Closed Feb 4 SeaPak Shrimp & Seafood Company (Rich Products Corporation) Strategic
S&D Coffee, Inc. Announced Jan 31 Westrock Coffee Company Strategic (PE Backed)
Mochi Ice Cream Company Closed Jan 30 Lakeview Capital Inc. Financial
RB Foods, Inc. Closed Jan 27 The Good Bean, Inc. Strategic (PE Backed)
Thrushwood Farms Quality Meats, Inc. Announced Jan 16 Western's Smokehouse, LLC Strategic (PE Backed)
Selma's Cookies, Inc. Closed Jan 14 Byrd Cookie Company, Inc. Strategic
Two In-Store Bakery Plants of Treehouse Foods, Inc. Announced Jan 13 Rich Products Corporation Strategic
Pamela's Products, Inc. Closed Jan 7 Quinoa Corporation Strategic (PE Backed)
The Lion Brewery, Inc. Closed Jan 7 Encore Consumer Capital, LP Financial
Wholesome Sweeteners, Inc. Closed Jan 6 Falcon Investment Advisors, LLC Financial
fairlife, LLC Closed Jan 3 The Coca-Cola Company (NYSE:KO) Strategic
Golden Island Jerky Company, Inc. Closed Dec 30 Link Snacks, Inc. Strategic
Country Pure Foods, Inc. Closed Dec 24 Blue Point Capital Partners, LLC Financial
Lender Bagel Business of Conagra Brands, Inc. Closed Dec 19 Bimbo Bakeries USA, Inc. Strategic
Jelly beans brand of Gimbal's Announced Dec 19 Jelly Belly Candy Company, Inc. Strategic
U.S. Ice Cream Business Of Nestlé S.A. Announced Dec 11 Froneri International Limited Strategic (PE Backed)
BFY Brands LLC Announced Dec 2 Frito-Lay North America, Inc. Strategic
Bragg Live Food Products, Inc. Closed Nov 23 Ares Capital Corporation (NasdaqGS:ARCC) Financial
All Assets of Bumble Bee Closed Nov 21 F.C.F. Fishery Co., Ltd. Strategic
New Belgium Brewing Company, Inc. Announced Nov 19 Lion Pty Limited Strategic
Peanut Butter Facility of Conagra Brands, Inc. Closed Nov 14 8th Avenue Food & Provisions, Inc. Strategic (PE Backed)
Murry's, Inc. Closed Nov 14 Encore Consumer Capital, LP Financial
Warnock Food Products Inc. Closed Oct 29 Calbee North America, LLC Strategic
Joseph's Pasta Company, Inc. Closed Oct 23 LaSalle Capital Financial
Hughson Nut, Inc. Announced Oct 22 Olam International Limited (SGX:O32) Strategic (PE Backed)
Wisconsin Cheese Group, LLC Closed Oct 21 Centre Partners Management LLC Financial
Creative Snacks Co., LLC Closed Oct 15 KIND LLC Strategic
Popchips, inc. Closed Oct 9 Velocity Snack Brands Strategic (PE Backed)
Arrowhead Mills, Inc./nSpired Natural Foods, Inc. Closed Oct 8 Hometown Food Company Strategic (PE Backed)
EdgePoint | 2000 Auburn Drive, Suite 330 | Beachwood, OH 44122 | (800) 217-7139 | www.edgepoint.com
EdgePoint Public Comparable Index Constituents & TTM Stock Performance
Source: S&P CapIQ (As of February 12, 2020)
Noteworthy Home Health & Hospice Care Transactions | Q1 - Q2 2017 (continued) CONSUMER — FOOD & BEVERAGE FEBRUARY 2020
-20.%
-10.%
0.%
10.%
20.%
30.%
40.%
S&P 500 Index Agricultural Products Index Food Index Beverage Index Retail & Foodservice Index
Share % of 52 Market Enterprise Debt / LTM Enterprise Value / LTM Enterprise Value / NTM
Company Name Price Week High Cap. Value EBITDA Revenue EBITDA Revenue EBITDA
Agricultural Products
Archer-Daniels-Midland Company (NYSE:ADM) 45.98$ 97.4% 25,596.4$ 33,700.4$ 3.3x 64,656.0$ 2,662.0$ 0.5x 10.8x
Bunge Limited (NYSE:BG) 53.64 89.9% 7,598.8 15,322.8 NM 41,900.0 (159.0) 0.4x NM
Darling Ingredients Inc. (NYSE:DAR) 28.32 95.8% 4,636.3 6,371.5 4.2x 3,357.6 411.2 1.9x 11.5x
Limoneira Company (NasdaqGS:LMNR) 20.89 81.4% 372.7 507.2 40.3x 171.4 2.7 3.0x 87.8x
Alico, Inc. (NasdaqGS:ALCO) 36.52 95.5% 273.2 427.8 2.5x 118.5 62.9 3.6x 6.8x
Median 95.5% 4,636.3$ 6,371.5$ 3.8x 3,357.6$ 62.9$ 1.9x 11.2x
Food Index
Tyson Foods, Inc. (NYSE:TSN) 79.77$ 84.6% 29,119.1$ 40,488.1$ 2.9x 43,027.0$ 4,035.0$ 0.9x 10.0x
The Kraft Heinz Company (NasdaqGS:KHC) 29.06 59.7% 35,486.9 64,596.9 4.2x 25,332.0 6,245.0 2.6x 8.8x
General Mills, Inc. (NYSE:GIS) 51.71 91.7% 31,275.1 45,820.8 3.8x 16,783.3 3,723.1 2.7x 12.1x
Campbell Soup Company (NYSE:CPB) 48.16 97.2% 14,527.7 23,076.7 5.9x 8,088.0 1,457.0 2.9x 15.8x
Hormel Foods Corporation (NYSE:HRL) 46.89 97.7% 25,073.8 24,660.0 0.2x 9,497.3 1,305.8 2.6x 18.3x
Conagra Brands, Inc. (NYSE:CAG) 32.09 90.2% 15,621.9 26,254.0 5.0x 10,531.8 2,164.6 2.5x 11.8x
The Hershey Company (NYSE:HSY) 154.34 95.2% 32,244.9 36,018.1 2.1x 7,986.3 2,019.7 4.5x 17.8x
The J. M. Smucker Company (NYSE:SJM) 107.77 83.9% 12,291.9 18,267.9 3.7x 7,650.7 1,625.3 2.4x 11.2x
McCormick & Company, Incorporated (NYSE:MKC) 162.12 92.9% 21,545.5 25,726.8 3.8x 5,347.4 1,141.3 4.8x 21.8x
Median 91.7% 25,073.8$ 26,254.0$ 3.8x 9,497.3$ 2,019.7$ 2.8x 12.1x
Beverage Index
PepsiCo, Inc. (NasdaqGS:PEP) 144.33$ 99.3% 201,258.9$ 229,619.9$ 2.6x 66,045.0$ 12,787.0$ 3.5x 17.5x
The Coca-Cola Company (NYSE:KO) 58.99 99.2% 252,477.2 286,182.2 3.6x 37,266.0 11,909.0 7.7x 22.1x
Constellation Brands, Inc. (NYSE:STZ) 199.80 93.2% 38,132.0 51,303.1 3.7x 8,237.8 3,016.5 6.2x 26.4x
Coca-Cola Consolidated, Inc. (Nasdaq:COKE) 276.80 67.0% 1,976.8 3,246.2 3.5x 4,784.2 310.2 0.7x 9.7x
Brown-Forman Corporation (NYSE:BF.B) 69.26 95.1% 32,417.8 34,686.8 2.1x 3,403.0 1,182.0 10.2x 29.1x
The Boston Beer Company, Inc. (NYSE:SAM) 366.96 82.5% 4,371.1 4,390.5 0.2x 1,173.7 217.0 3.7x 20.2x
Primo Water Corporation (NasdaqGM:PRMW) 15.34 93.8% 610.4 812.5 4.5x 307.2 45.5 2.6x 17.8x
Craft Brew Alliance, Inc. (NasdaqGS:BREW) 16.21 93.2% 316.0 364.3 11.2x 198.7 5.4 1.8x 68.0x
Median 93.5% 18,394.4$ 19,538.6$ 3.6x 4,093.6$ 746.1$ 3.6x 21.2x
Retail & FoodService
Costco Wholesale Corporation (NasdaqGS:COST) 313.63$ 99.8% 138,548.4$ 138,709.4$ 1.5x 154,674.0$ 6,379.0$ 0.9x 21.8x
Sysco Corporation (NYSE:SYY) 77.36 90.0% 39,338.2 48,387.6 2.7x 60,461.0 3,420.9 0.8x 13.9x
The Kroger Co. (NYSE:KR) 27.96 93.3% 22,384.4 42,418.4 3.6x 120,989.0 5,138.0 0.4x 7.4x
Walmart Inc. (NYSE:WMT) 116.45 92.9% 330,389.0 405,048.0 2.2x 521,086.0 32,663.0 0.8x 11.5x
Darden Restaurants, Inc. (NYSE:DRI) 120.71 94.0% 14,667.5 20,224.3 4.6x 8,665.9 1,047.9 2.3x 16.4x
United Natural Foods, Inc. (NYSE:UNFI) 7.47 47.8% 399.7 4,670.1 9.5x 24,538.5 454.9 0.2x 10.3x
Aramark (NYSE:ARMK) 40.77 86.3% 10,285.0 17,654.3 5.6x 16,215.6 1,350.2 1.1x 13.2x
Bloomin' Brands, Inc. (NasdaqGS:BLMN) 20.33 83.7% 1,742.5 4,291.0 4.8x 4,130.3 389.6 1.0x 8.1x
Median 91.4% 18,526.0$ 31,321.4$ 4.1x 42,499.7$ 2,385.5$ 0.8x 12.4x
Food & Beverage Median 90.6% 6,117.5$ 10,847.1$ 3.6x 5,065.8$ 433.0$ 1.7x 12.1x
EdgePoint | 2000 Auburn Drive, Suite 330 | Beachwood, OH 44122 | (800) 217-7139 | www.edgepoint.com
Source: University of Michigan
Source: Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis
Source: Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis
Noteworthy Home Health & Hospice Care Transactions | Q1 - Q2 2017 (continued) KEY CONSUMER INDICATORS FEBRUARY 2020
Consumer Confidence Index (2006 - 2020)
Consumer Price Index: Food and Beverages (2006 - 2020)
Personal Consumption Expenditures: Durable Goods (2006 - 2020)
-10%
-8%
-6%
-4%
-2%
0%
2%
4%
6%
8%
U.S. Real GDP GrowthSource: Bureau of Economic Analysis
U.S. Real GDP Growth (2004 - 2019)
50
60
70
80
90
100
110
Consumer Sentiment 10 Year Average
180
200
220
240
260
280
CPI: Food & Bev. 10 Year Average
900
1,000
1,100
1,200
1,300
1,400
1,500
1,600
Duable Goods Consumption 10 Year Average